Opinion Poll by Forsa, 27–29 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 32.5% 30.7–34.3% 30.2–34.8% 29.8–35.3% 28.9–36.2%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.9% 13.9–18.2% 13.3–19.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.7–16.4% 13.3–16.8% 13.0–17.2% 12.4–17.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.4–10.8% 7.0–11.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.5–9.7% 6.1–10.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.2% 5.7–9.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 254 236–270 231–275 228–279 222–287
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 125 113–136 109–141 107–143 103–149
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 117 106–129 103–132 100–135 95–141
Alternative für Deutschland 94 70 61–79 59–83 58–85 54–89
Die Linke 69 63 54–71 52–73 51–76 47–81
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 59 51–68 49–70 47–72 44–77
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 38 0–45 0–47 0–49 0–53

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.8%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0.1% 99.7%  
221 0.1% 99.7%  
222 0.1% 99.5%  
223 0.2% 99.4%  
224 0.2% 99.2%  
225 0.2% 98.9%  
226 0.4% 98.7%  
227 0.7% 98%  
228 0.6% 98%  
229 0.6% 97%  
230 0.6% 96%  
231 0.9% 96%  
232 0.6% 95%  
233 2% 94%  
234 0.9% 93%  
235 2% 92%  
236 0.9% 90%  
237 1.5% 89%  
238 2% 88%  
239 2% 86%  
240 3% 85%  
241 2% 82%  
242 1.4% 79%  
243 3% 78%  
244 2% 75%  
245 3% 73%  
246 2% 70%  
247 3% 68%  
248 2% 65%  
249 2% 63%  
250 3% 61%  
251 2% 58%  
252 2% 56%  
253 4% 54%  
254 3% 50% Median
255 2% 48%  
256 4% 45%  
257 3% 41%  
258 2% 38%  
259 7% 36%  
260 2% 29%  
261 2% 27%  
262 2% 25%  
263 3% 23%  
264 1.2% 20%  
265 1.3% 18%  
266 3% 17%  
267 1.3% 14%  
268 1.3% 12%  
269 0.8% 11%  
270 0.7% 10%  
271 1.0% 9%  
272 1.1% 8%  
273 1.3% 7%  
274 0.6% 6%  
275 1.0% 5%  
276 0.7% 4%  
277 0.3% 4%  
278 0.7% 3%  
279 0.7% 3%  
280 0.2% 2%  
281 0.3% 2%  
282 0.2% 1.4%  
283 0.1% 1.2%  
284 0.3% 1.0%  
285 0.2% 0.8%  
286 0.1% 0.6%  
287 0.1% 0.6%  
288 0.1% 0.5%  
289 0% 0.3%  
290 0% 0.3%  
291 0.1% 0.3%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.1% 99.6%  
103 0.1% 99.5%  
104 0.3% 99.4%  
105 0.7% 99.1%  
106 0.6% 98%  
107 1.1% 98%  
108 0.9% 97%  
109 0.8% 96%  
110 0.6% 95%  
111 1.0% 94%  
112 2% 93%  
113 2% 91%  
114 3% 89%  
115 2% 86%  
116 2% 84%  
117 2% 83%  
118 3% 81%  
119 6% 77%  
120 6% 71%  
121 5% 65%  
122 4% 60%  
123 4% 56%  
124 2% 52%  
125 3% 50% Median
126 6% 47%  
127 6% 41%  
128 4% 35%  
129 2% 31%  
130 2% 29%  
131 1.3% 27%  
132 4% 26%  
133 3% 22%  
134 3% 19%  
135 4% 16%  
136 3% 12%  
137 0.7% 10%  
138 0.7% 9%  
139 1.2% 8%  
140 2% 7%  
141 1.4% 5%  
142 0.9% 4%  
143 1.1% 3%  
144 0.4% 2%  
145 0.2% 2%  
146 0.2% 1.4%  
147 0.2% 1.2%  
148 0.4% 1.0%  
149 0.2% 0.6%  
150 0.1% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.3%  
152 0% 0.3%  
153 0% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.6%  
96 0.2% 99.4%  
97 0.2% 99.2%  
98 0.4% 99.0%  
99 0.7% 98.6%  
100 0.7% 98%  
101 0.7% 97%  
102 0.8% 96%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 94%  
105 2% 92%  
106 2% 90%  
107 2% 88%  
108 4% 86%  
109 3% 82%  
110 2% 79%  
111 3% 76%  
112 4% 73%  
113 5% 69%  
114 4% 64%  
115 4% 60%  
116 4% 56%  
117 5% 53% Median
118 6% 47%  
119 4% 41%  
120 3% 37%  
121 3% 35%  
122 5% 31%  
123 3% 27%  
124 3% 23%  
125 3% 21%  
126 3% 17%  
127 1.5% 15%  
128 2% 13%  
129 2% 11%  
130 1.3% 9%  
131 1.3% 7%  
132 1.3% 6%  
133 0.9% 5%  
134 0.9% 4%  
135 0.7% 3%  
136 0.6% 2%  
137 0.5% 2%  
138 0.3% 1.3%  
139 0.2% 1.0%  
140 0.3% 0.8%  
141 0.1% 0.6%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.7%  
54 0.3% 99.6%  
55 0.4% 99.3%  
56 0.5% 98.9%  
57 0.7% 98%  
58 1.3% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 3% 95%  
61 2% 92%  
62 2% 90%  
63 4% 88%  
64 5% 84%  
65 5% 79%  
66 3% 74%  
67 4% 71%  
68 7% 66%  
69 7% 59%  
70 5% 52% Median
71 4% 47%  
72 5% 44%  
73 8% 39%  
74 6% 31%  
75 3% 25%  
76 3% 22%  
77 4% 19%  
78 4% 15%  
79 3% 11%  
80 1.2% 9%  
81 1.2% 8%  
82 1.3% 6%  
83 1.4% 5%  
84 1.1% 4%  
85 0.6% 3%  
86 0.4% 2%  
87 0.4% 1.5%  
88 0.4% 1.1%  
89 0.2% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 0.3% 99.6%  
48 0.4% 99.4%  
49 0.6% 98.9%  
50 0.7% 98%  
51 1.1% 98%  
52 2% 97%  
53 3% 95%  
54 3% 92%  
55 4% 89%  
56 4% 86%  
57 5% 82%  
58 5% 77%  
59 5% 71%  
60 5% 66%  
61 4% 61%  
62 4% 57%  
63 5% 52% Median
64 6% 47%  
65 7% 41%  
66 5% 34%  
67 5% 29%  
68 4% 24%  
69 4% 19% Last Result
70 4% 15%  
71 3% 12%  
72 2% 9%  
73 2% 6%  
74 1.2% 5%  
75 0.7% 3%  
76 0.5% 3%  
77 0.4% 2%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.4% 1.3%  
80 0.2% 0.9%  
81 0.3% 0.7%  
82 0.1% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 0.2% 99.6%  
45 0.4% 99.4%  
46 0.7% 99.0% Last Result
47 1.3% 98%  
48 1.2% 97%  
49 2% 96%  
50 2% 94%  
51 3% 92%  
52 4% 89%  
53 4% 85%  
54 5% 81%  
55 5% 76%  
56 6% 72%  
57 6% 66%  
58 7% 60%  
59 7% 53% Median
60 5% 46%  
61 7% 41%  
62 4% 34%  
63 6% 30%  
64 4% 24%  
65 5% 20%  
66 2% 15%  
67 3% 13%  
68 2% 10%  
69 3% 8%  
70 1.4% 6%  
71 1.3% 4%  
72 0.6% 3%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0.4% 2%  
75 0.4% 1.3%  
76 0.4% 1.0%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 0% 52%  
2 0% 52%  
3 0% 52%  
4 0% 52%  
5 0% 52%  
6 0% 52%  
7 0% 52%  
8 0% 52%  
9 0% 52%  
10 0% 52%  
11 0% 52%  
12 0% 52%  
13 0% 52%  
14 0% 52%  
15 0% 52%  
16 0% 52%  
17 0% 52%  
18 0% 52%  
19 0% 52%  
20 0% 52%  
21 0% 52%  
22 0% 52%  
23 0% 52%  
24 0% 52%  
25 0% 52%  
26 0% 52%  
27 0% 52%  
28 0% 52%  
29 0% 52%  
30 0% 52%  
31 0% 52%  
32 0% 52%  
33 0% 52%  
34 0% 52%  
35 0% 52%  
36 0% 52%  
37 0% 52%  
38 3% 52% Median
39 7% 49%  
40 7% 42%  
41 6% 35%  
42 7% 28%  
43 5% 21%  
44 4% 16%  
45 3% 13%  
46 3% 9%  
47 2% 7%  
48 1.3% 4%  
49 1.0% 3%  
50 0.7% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.4%  
52 0.4% 0.9%  
53 0.2% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 552 100% 530–579 526–582 522–585 516–592
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 459 100% 441–476 437–480 433–484 425–490
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 451 100% 434–469 429–472 425–476 418–483
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 436 100% 414–459 411–464 406–468 400–475
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 429 100% 408–451 403–456 399–460 391–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 405 100% 386–423 381–428 376–431 368–439
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 382 97% 361–404 357–409 353–413 346–420
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 334 11% 313–355 308–359 304–363 296–370
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 304 0% 286–323 281–328 278–333 270–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 264 0% 241–286 236–291 232–295 225–301
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 242 0% 225–258 221–263 217–267 211–274
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 180 0% 165–195 162–199 159–202 153–209
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 142 0% 114–163 110–167 107–170 102–177

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0% 99.9%  
512 0% 99.9%  
513 0.1% 99.8%  
514 0.1% 99.8%  
515 0.1% 99.7%  
516 0.1% 99.6%  
517 0.2% 99.4%  
518 0.2% 99.2%  
519 0.3% 99.0%  
520 0.3% 98.7%  
521 0.3% 98%  
522 0.7% 98%  
523 0.6% 97%  
524 0.9% 97%  
525 0.5% 96%  
526 1.4% 95%  
527 1.0% 94%  
528 1.0% 93%  
529 1.1% 92%  
530 2% 91%  
531 2% 89%  
532 2% 87%  
533 2% 85%  
534 2% 82%  
535 2% 81%  
536 2% 79%  
537 2% 77%  
538 2% 75%  
539 2% 73%  
540 2% 70%  
541 3% 69%  
542 3% 66%  
543 1.2% 63%  
544 1.4% 62%  
545 1.4% 60%  
546 2% 59%  
547 2% 57%  
548 0.8% 55%  
549 1.4% 54%  
550 1.3% 53%  
551 0.7% 52%  
552 1.1% 51%  
553 0.9% 50%  
554 0.6% 49%  
555 0.9% 48% Median
556 0.8% 47%  
557 0.8% 47%  
558 0.6% 46%  
559 0.5% 45%  
560 0.7% 45%  
561 0.9% 44%  
562 2% 43%  
563 1.4% 41%  
564 1.4% 40%  
565 2% 39%  
566 2% 37%  
567 2% 35%  
568 1.5% 33%  
569 1.4% 32%  
570 2% 30%  
571 4% 29%  
572 4% 25%  
573 2% 22%  
574 2% 20%  
575 2% 17%  
576 3% 15%  
577 1.1% 13%  
578 0.8% 11%  
579 1.4% 11%  
580 1.3% 9%  
581 2% 8%  
582 2% 6%  
583 1.1% 5%  
584 0.6% 4%  
585 0.7% 3%  
586 0.4% 2%  
587 0.3% 2%  
588 0.2% 2%  
589 0.4% 1.4%  
590 0.4% 1.0%  
591 0.2% 0.7%  
592 0.1% 0.5%  
593 0.1% 0.4%  
594 0.1% 0.3%  
595 0% 0.2%  
596 0% 0.1%  
597 0% 0.1%  
598 0% 0.1%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0.1% 99.8%  
423 0% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.7%  
425 0.1% 99.6%  
426 0.1% 99.5%  
427 0.2% 99.4%  
428 0.2% 99.3%  
429 0.2% 99.0%  
430 0.3% 98.8%  
431 0.3% 98.5%  
432 0.4% 98%  
433 0.8% 98%  
434 0.5% 97%  
435 0.7% 97%  
436 0.8% 96%  
437 0.5% 95%  
438 0.9% 95%  
439 0.8% 94%  
440 2% 93%  
441 2% 91%  
442 2% 90%  
443 0.7% 88%  
444 2% 87%  
445 1.0% 85%  
446 2% 84%  
447 3% 83%  
448 2% 80%  
449 2% 78%  
450 3% 76%  
451 3% 74%  
452 2% 71%  
453 4% 69%  
454 2% 65%  
455 2% 63%  
456 3% 61%  
457 3% 59%  
458 4% 56%  
459 4% 51%  
460 2% 47%  
461 3% 45%  
462 2% 42%  
463 2% 40%  
464 3% 38%  
465 2% 35%  
466 4% 33%  
467 2% 29%  
468 4% 27%  
469 2% 24%  
470 1.2% 22%  
471 3% 20%  
472 1.2% 18%  
473 2% 17%  
474 3% 15%  
475 1.3% 12%  
476 2% 11% Median
477 1.4% 9%  
478 1.4% 8%  
479 1.1% 6%  
480 0.8% 5%  
481 0.7% 4%  
482 0.6% 4%  
483 0.5% 3%  
484 0.5% 3%  
485 0.5% 2%  
486 0.3% 1.5%  
487 0.3% 1.2%  
488 0.1% 0.9%  
489 0.1% 0.8%  
490 0.2% 0.7%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0.1% 99.5%  
419 0.2% 99.4%  
420 0.3% 99.2%  
421 0.2% 98.9%  
422 0.3% 98.7%  
423 0.2% 98%  
424 0.5% 98%  
425 0.4% 98%  
426 0.5% 97%  
427 0.7% 97%  
428 0.9% 96%  
429 0.7% 95%  
430 1.1% 95%  
431 0.7% 93%  
432 1.1% 93%  
433 1.1% 92%  
434 2% 91%  
435 2% 89%  
436 1.4% 86%  
437 2% 85%  
438 1.4% 83%  
439 2% 81%  
440 1.3% 79%  
441 2% 78%  
442 2% 76%  
443 2% 74%  
444 3% 72%  
445 2% 69%  
446 3% 67%  
447 3% 64%  
448 3% 60%  
449 2% 57%  
450 3% 55%  
451 2% 52%  
452 2% 50%  
453 3% 48%  
454 3% 45%  
455 3% 42%  
456 4% 39%  
457 3% 35%  
458 2% 33%  
459 2% 30%  
460 3% 28%  
461 2% 26%  
462 2% 23%  
463 2% 21%  
464 2% 20%  
465 3% 18%  
466 1.2% 15%  
467 2% 14%  
468 2% 12% Median
469 1.5% 10%  
470 1.0% 9%  
471 2% 8%  
472 1.0% 6%  
473 0.6% 5%  
474 0.9% 4%  
475 0.8% 3%  
476 0.4% 3%  
477 0.4% 2%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0.3% 2% Last Result
480 0.3% 1.3%  
481 0.3% 1.0%  
482 0.1% 0.8%  
483 0.2% 0.7%  
484 0.1% 0.4%  
485 0.1% 0.3%  
486 0.1% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0.1% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0% 99.6%  
399 0% 99.6%  
400 0.1% 99.6%  
401 0.4% 99.4%  
402 0.3% 99.0%  
403 0.2% 98.7%  
404 0% 98.5%  
405 0.1% 98%  
406 1.0% 98%  
407 1.0% 97%  
408 0.7% 96%  
409 0.2% 96%  
410 0.1% 96%  
411 0.8% 95%  
412 2% 95%  
413 2% 92%  
414 0.6% 90%  
415 0.1% 90%  
416 0.2% 90%  
417 1.2% 89%  
418 5% 88%  
419 3% 83%  
420 0.3% 80%  
421 0.2% 80%  
422 1.3% 80%  
423 3% 79%  
424 5% 76%  
425 2% 71%  
426 0.2% 69%  
427 0.4% 68%  
428 2% 68%  
429 3% 66%  
430 2% 62%  
431 0.7% 60%  
432 0.5% 59%  
433 1.2% 59%  
434 4% 57%  
435 3% 54%  
436 2% 51%  
437 0.5% 49%  
438 0.9% 48% Median
439 2% 47%  
440 3% 46%  
441 3% 43%  
442 2% 40%  
443 0.7% 38%  
444 1.5% 37%  
445 1.0% 36%  
446 2% 35%  
447 2% 33%  
448 1.5% 31%  
449 1.4% 29%  
450 2% 28%  
451 2% 26%  
452 2% 24%  
453 3% 22%  
454 0.9% 19%  
455 1.2% 18%  
456 2% 17%  
457 2% 15%  
458 2% 14%  
459 3% 11%  
460 0.7% 9%  
461 0.7% 8%  
462 0.9% 7%  
463 0.8% 7%  
464 1.2% 6%  
465 0.5% 5%  
466 0.4% 4%  
467 0.5% 4%  
468 1.0% 3%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.4% 2%  
471 0.2% 1.5%  
472 0.2% 1.3%  
473 0.3% 1.1%  
474 0.1% 0.8%  
475 0.2% 0.7%  
476 0.1% 0.5%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0.1% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.1% 99.4%  
394 0.2% 99.2%  
395 0.2% 99.0%  
396 0.3% 98.8%  
397 0.5% 98.5%  
398 0.2% 98%  
399 0.5% 98% Last Result
400 0.7% 97%  
401 0.7% 97%  
402 0.7% 96%  
403 0.9% 95%  
404 1.0% 94%  
405 0.8% 93%  
406 1.2% 93%  
407 1.1% 91%  
408 1.3% 90%  
409 2% 89%  
410 1.1% 87%  
411 2% 86%  
412 1.3% 83%  
413 2% 82%  
414 2% 80%  
415 2% 78%  
416 2% 76%  
417 2% 74%  
418 2% 72%  
419 2% 70%  
420 3% 68%  
421 2% 66%  
422 2% 63%  
423 1.4% 61%  
424 2% 60%  
425 1.4% 58%  
426 1.3% 56%  
427 2% 55%  
428 2% 53%  
429 1.5% 51%  
430 2% 50% Median
431 1.4% 47%  
432 2% 46%  
433 2% 44%  
434 2% 42%  
435 3% 40%  
436 2% 37%  
437 2% 35%  
438 1.3% 33%  
439 2% 32%  
440 1.2% 30%  
441 1.3% 29%  
442 2% 28%  
443 1.4% 26%  
444 3% 24%  
445 1.0% 22%  
446 2% 21%  
447 2% 18%  
448 2% 16%  
449 1.3% 14%  
450 2% 12%  
451 1.0% 11%  
452 1.0% 10%  
453 1.2% 9%  
454 0.9% 8%  
455 1.0% 7%  
456 0.9% 6%  
457 0.9% 5%  
458 0.6% 4%  
459 0.5% 3%  
460 0.4% 3%  
461 0.3% 2%  
462 0.3% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.3% 2%  
465 0.3% 1.2%  
466 0.2% 0.9%  
467 0.1% 0.7%  
468 0.2% 0.5%  
469 0.1% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.3%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.9%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.1% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.5%  
370 0% 99.4%  
371 0.1% 99.4%  
372 0.3% 99.3%  
373 0.5% 99.0%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.5% 98%  
376 0.4% 98%  
377 0.1% 97%  
378 0.3% 97%  
379 0.4% 97%  
380 1.0% 96%  
381 1.5% 95%  
382 1.0% 94%  
383 0.9% 93%  
384 1.1% 92%  
385 0.4% 91%  
386 1.0% 90%  
387 1.2% 89%  
388 3% 88%  
389 2% 86%  
390 4% 84%  
391 2% 80%  
392 0.8% 78%  
393 1.0% 77%  
394 2% 76%  
395 3% 75%  
396 3% 72%  
397 3% 69%  
398 2% 66%  
399 2% 63%  
400 2% 61%  
401 2% 60%  
402 2% 58%  
403 2% 55%  
404 3% 53%  
405 2% 50%  
406 2% 48%  
407 3% 45%  
408 2% 43%  
409 3% 41%  
410 2% 38%  
411 3% 36%  
412 1.4% 33%  
413 2% 32%  
414 2% 29%  
415 2% 27%  
416 3% 25%  
417 2% 22%  
418 2% 20%  
419 2% 18%  
420 2% 16% Last Result
421 1.2% 15% Median
422 2% 13%  
423 2% 11%  
424 1.2% 10%  
425 1.4% 8%  
426 1.3% 7%  
427 0.8% 6%  
428 0.5% 5%  
429 0.9% 5%  
430 0.7% 4%  
431 0.5% 3%  
432 0.5% 2%  
433 0.3% 2%  
434 0.4% 2%  
435 0.2% 1.3%  
436 0.2% 1.0%  
437 0.2% 0.9%  
438 0.2% 0.7%  
439 0.2% 0.5%  
440 0.1% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.3%  
442 0.1% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9% Last Result
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.1% 99.6%  
346 0.1% 99.5%  
347 0.2% 99.4%  
348 0.1% 99.2%  
349 0.2% 99.1%  
350 0.3% 98.9%  
351 0.4% 98.6%  
352 0.5% 98%  
353 0.4% 98%  
354 0.6% 97%  
355 0.3% 97% Majority
356 0.8% 96%  
357 0.6% 96%  
358 1.4% 95%  
359 0.9% 94%  
360 2% 93%  
361 1.1% 91%  
362 1.3% 90%  
363 1.1% 88%  
364 1.2% 87%  
365 2% 86%  
366 3% 84%  
367 2% 82%  
368 2% 80%  
369 2% 78%  
370 0.8% 76%  
371 2% 75%  
372 2% 74%  
373 3% 72%  
374 3% 69%  
375 2% 66%  
376 3% 64%  
377 1.5% 61%  
378 0.8% 60%  
379 2% 59%  
380 3% 57%  
381 3% 55%  
382 3% 52%  
383 2% 49% Median
384 2% 47%  
385 1.1% 45%  
386 1.5% 44%  
387 2% 43%  
388 3% 41%  
389 2% 37%  
390 5% 35%  
391 2% 31%  
392 0.7% 29%  
393 0.9% 28%  
394 1.1% 27%  
395 2% 26%  
396 3% 24%  
397 3% 21%  
398 2% 18%  
399 1.4% 16%  
400 0.6% 15%  
401 0.7% 14%  
402 1.0% 13%  
403 1.1% 12%  
404 2% 11%  
405 1.4% 9%  
406 1.4% 8%  
407 0.8% 6%  
408 0.3% 5%  
409 0.4% 5%  
410 0.6% 5%  
411 0.7% 4%  
412 0.5% 3%  
413 0.7% 3%  
414 0.6% 2%  
415 0.1% 1.5%  
416 0.1% 1.3%  
417 0.2% 1.2%  
418 0.2% 1.1%  
419 0.2% 0.8%  
420 0.2% 0.7%  
421 0.2% 0.5%  
422 0.1% 0.3%  
423 0% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.1% 99.5%  
298 0.3% 99.3%  
299 0.2% 99.1%  
300 0.3% 98.9%  
301 0.2% 98.6%  
302 0.4% 98%  
303 0.3% 98%  
304 0.6% 98%  
305 0.5% 97%  
306 0.4% 97%  
307 1.1% 96%  
308 0.5% 95%  
309 0.9% 95%  
310 0.8% 94%  
311 1.0% 93%  
312 2% 92%  
313 1.3% 90%  
314 0.8% 89%  
315 0.9% 88%  
316 1.3% 87%  
317 3% 86%  
318 1.2% 83%  
319 2% 82%  
320 2% 80%  
321 1.1% 78%  
322 3% 77%  
323 3% 74%  
324 2% 71%  
325 2% 69%  
326 2% 67% Last Result
327 3% 66%  
328 2% 63%  
329 2% 61%  
330 2% 59%  
331 3% 58%  
332 2% 55%  
333 2% 53%  
334 2% 51%  
335 1.5% 49%  
336 2% 48%  
337 3% 46%  
338 2% 43%  
339 2% 41%  
340 2% 39%  
341 2% 37%  
342 2% 35%  
343 2% 34%  
344 2% 31%  
345 2% 29%  
346 2% 28%  
347 3% 26%  
348 1.4% 23%  
349 2% 21%  
350 1.2% 19%  
351 1.5% 18% Median
352 2% 17%  
353 2% 15%  
354 2% 13%  
355 1.1% 11% Majority
356 2% 10%  
357 1.0% 8%  
358 1.2% 7%  
359 1.0% 6%  
360 0.7% 5%  
361 1.2% 4%  
362 0.4% 3%  
363 0.4% 3%  
364 0.4% 2%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.3% 2%  
367 0.2% 1.3%  
368 0.2% 1.0%  
369 0.2% 0.8%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0.1% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.2% 99.7%  
271 0.2% 99.5%  
272 0.2% 99.3%  
273 0.2% 99.1%  
274 0.2% 99.0%  
275 0.4% 98.7%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.5% 98%  
278 0.5% 98%  
279 0.7% 97%  
280 0.9% 96%  
281 0.5% 95%  
282 0.8% 95%  
283 1.3% 94%  
284 1.4% 93%  
285 1.2% 92%  
286 2% 90%  
287 2% 89%  
288 1.2% 87%  
289 2% 85% Last Result
290 2% 84%  
291 2% 82%  
292 2% 80%  
293 3% 78%  
294 2% 75%  
295 2% 73%  
296 2% 71%  
297 1.4% 68%  
298 3% 67%  
299 2% 64%  
300 3% 62%  
301 2% 59%  
302 3% 57%  
303 2% 55%  
304 2% 52%  
305 3% 50% Median
306 2% 47%  
307 2% 45%  
308 2% 42%  
309 2% 40%  
310 2% 39%  
311 2% 37%  
312 3% 34%  
313 3% 31%  
314 3% 28%  
315 2% 25%  
316 1.0% 24%  
317 0.8% 23%  
318 2% 22%  
319 4% 20%  
320 2% 16%  
321 3% 14%  
322 1.2% 12%  
323 1.0% 11%  
324 0.4% 10%  
325 1.1% 9%  
326 0.9% 8%  
327 1.0% 7%  
328 1.5% 6%  
329 1.0% 5%  
330 0.4% 4%  
331 0.3% 3%  
332 0.1% 3%  
333 0.4% 3%  
334 0.5% 2%  
335 0.4% 2%  
336 0.5% 2%  
337 0.3% 1.0%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0.1% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.7%  
224 0.1% 99.7%  
225 0.2% 99.6%  
226 0.1% 99.4%  
227 0.2% 99.3%  
228 0.3% 99.1%  
229 0.1% 98.9%  
230 0.6% 98.8%  
231 0.4% 98%  
232 0.3% 98%  
233 0.8% 97%  
234 0.3% 97%  
235 1.0% 96%  
236 0.9% 95%  
237 0.3% 94%  
238 1.4% 94%  
239 1.0% 93%  
240 0.8% 92%  
241 2% 91%  
242 1.0% 89%  
243 1.1% 88%  
244 2% 87%  
245 1.1% 85%  
246 2% 84%  
247 2% 82%  
248 1.2% 80%  
249 4% 79%  
250 2% 76%  
251 1.0% 74%  
252 3% 73%  
253 1.1% 70%  
254 2% 69%  
255 2% 67%  
256 1.2% 64%  
257 2% 63%  
258 2% 61%  
259 0.8% 59%  
260 2% 58%  
261 1.2% 56%  
262 2% 55%  
263 2% 53%  
264 2% 51%  
265 1.3% 49%  
266 2% 48%  
267 1.4% 46%  
268 1.5% 44%  
269 2% 43%  
270 2% 41%  
271 2% 39%  
272 2% 36%  
273 2% 34%  
274 2% 33%  
275 2% 30%  
276 2% 28%  
277 2% 26%  
278 2% 24%  
279 2% 23%  
280 2% 21% Median
281 1.5% 19%  
282 2% 18%  
283 2% 16%  
284 1.0% 14%  
285 1.1% 13%  
286 2% 12%  
287 1.0% 10%  
288 1.3% 9%  
289 2% 8%  
290 0.7% 6%  
291 1.3% 5%  
292 0.5% 4%  
293 0.6% 4%  
294 0.5% 3%  
295 0.5% 3%  
296 0.5% 2%  
297 0.3% 2%  
298 0.3% 1.4%  
299 0.3% 1.1%  
300 0.1% 0.8% Last Result
301 0.2% 0.7%  
302 0.1% 0.5%  
303 0.1% 0.4%  
304 0.1% 0.3%  
305 0.1% 0.2%  
306 0.1% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 99.9%  
205 0% 99.9%  
206 0% 99.9%  
207 0.1% 99.9%  
208 0.1% 99.8%  
209 0.1% 99.8%  
210 0.1% 99.7%  
211 0.2% 99.6%  
212 0.2% 99.4%  
213 0.2% 99.2%  
214 0.4% 99.0%  
215 0.3% 98.7%  
216 0.2% 98%  
217 0.7% 98%  
218 0.5% 97%  
219 0.6% 97%  
220 1.0% 96% Last Result
221 1.1% 95%  
222 0.7% 94%  
223 1.1% 94%  
224 2% 93%  
225 2% 91%  
226 1.1% 89%  
227 2% 88%  
228 2% 86%  
229 2% 84%  
230 3% 82%  
231 2% 80%  
232 2% 77%  
233 3% 75%  
234 2% 72%  
235 3% 70%  
236 3% 67%  
237 2% 64%  
238 3% 61%  
239 3% 59%  
240 2% 55%  
241 3% 54%  
242 3% 51% Median
243 2% 48%  
244 3% 46%  
245 3% 43%  
246 3% 40%  
247 3% 37%  
248 2% 35%  
249 4% 33%  
250 2% 28%  
251 1.4% 26%  
252 3% 24%  
253 1.4% 21%  
254 2% 20%  
255 2% 17%  
256 1.2% 15%  
257 2% 14%  
258 2% 12%  
259 0.5% 10%  
260 2% 9%  
261 0.8% 7%  
262 0.7% 6%  
263 1.1% 6%  
264 0.8% 5%  
265 0.5% 4%  
266 0.8% 3%  
267 0.2% 3%  
268 0.5% 2%  
269 0.1% 2%  
270 0.4% 2%  
271 0.3% 1.3%  
272 0.2% 1.0%  
273 0.1% 0.8%  
274 0.2% 0.6%  
275 0.1% 0.5%  
276 0.1% 0.4%  
277 0.1% 0.3%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.7%  
153 0.2% 99.6%  
154 0.3% 99.4%  
155 0.2% 99.1%  
156 0.3% 98.9%  
157 0.4% 98.6%  
158 0.3% 98%  
159 0.6% 98%  
160 0.8% 97%  
161 0.8% 96%  
162 1.1% 96%  
163 1.3% 94%  
164 2% 93%  
165 2% 92%  
166 2% 90%  
167 2% 87%  
168 2% 86%  
169 2% 84%  
170 3% 82%  
171 3% 79%  
172 3% 76%  
173 3% 73%  
174 3% 70%  
175 3% 67%  
176 4% 64%  
177 3% 60%  
178 3% 58%  
179 2% 54%  
180 4% 52% Median
181 4% 48%  
182 4% 44%  
183 5% 40%  
184 4% 36%  
185 3% 32%  
186 2% 29%  
187 2% 27%  
188 3% 25%  
189 2% 22%  
190 2% 19%  
191 3% 18%  
192 1.5% 15%  
193 2% 14%  
194 2% 12%  
195 2% 10%  
196 0.9% 8%  
197 0.8% 7%  
198 0.7% 6%  
199 0.7% 5%  
200 0.7% 5%  
201 0.8% 4%  
202 0.9% 3%  
203 0.5% 2%  
204 0.5% 2%  
205 0.4% 1.3%  
206 0.1% 1.0%  
207 0.2% 0.8%  
208 0.1% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.2% 99.6%  
103 0.3% 99.4%  
104 0.4% 99.0%  
105 0.3% 98.6%  
106 0.3% 98%  
107 0.6% 98%  
108 1.0% 97%  
109 0.9% 96%  
110 0.8% 96%  
111 0.9% 95%  
112 1.3% 94%  
113 1.0% 93%  
114 2% 92%  
115 2% 89%  
116 1.5% 87%  
117 3% 86%  
118 4% 83%  
119 2% 79%  
120 1.4% 77%  
121 2% 76%  
122 2% 74%  
123 2% 71%  
124 2% 69%  
125 2% 67%  
126 2% 65%  
127 1.1% 64%  
128 2% 63%  
129 2% 61%  
130 1.0% 59%  
131 1.0% 58%  
132 1.1% 57%  
133 0.8% 56%  
134 0.9% 55%  
135 0.7% 54%  
136 0.6% 54%  
137 0.6% 53%  
138 0.5% 52%  
139 0.6% 52%  
140 0.4% 51%  
141 0.6% 51%  
142 0.7% 50%  
143 0.8% 50%  
144 1.2% 49%  
145 0.9% 48%  
146 1.3% 47%  
147 2% 45%  
148 2% 43%  
149 2% 42%  
150 1.1% 39%  
151 2% 38%  
152 2% 36%  
153 3% 34%  
154 2% 31%  
155 2% 29% Median
156 2% 27%  
157 2% 25%  
158 2% 22%  
159 2% 20%  
160 2% 18%  
161 2% 16%  
162 1.2% 14%  
163 3% 12%  
164 2% 10%  
165 0.9% 8%  
166 1.4% 7%  
167 0.8% 6%  
168 1.1% 5%  
169 0.7% 4%  
170 0.4% 3%  
171 0.5% 2%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.2%  
175 0.2% 0.9%  
176 0.2% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations