Opinion Poll by Forsa, 2–5 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 32.5% 31.0–34.1% 30.5–34.6% 30.1–35.0% 29.4–35.7%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.8–17.3% 14.5–17.7% 14.2–18.0% 13.7–18.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 15.0% 13.8–16.2% 13.5–16.6% 13.2–16.9% 12.7–17.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.5% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.7% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.6–7.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 247 237–258 234–263 232–268 225–273
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 123 114–133 110–136 109–138 104–143
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 116 106–124 104–126 101–130 97–133
Alternative für Deutschland 94 61 54–68 53–71 52–72 49–76
Die Linke 69 60 54–68 52–70 52–73 48–77
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 57 52–65 49–66 47–69 45–71
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 47 41–52 0–54 0–56 0–60

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0.1% 99.9%  
221 0.1% 99.8%  
222 0.1% 99.7%  
223 0.1% 99.7%  
224 0.1% 99.6%  
225 0.3% 99.5%  
226 0.1% 99.2%  
227 0.4% 99.1%  
228 0.3% 98.7%  
229 0.4% 98%  
230 0.3% 98%  
231 0.3% 98%  
232 1.0% 98%  
233 0.8% 97%  
234 1.2% 96%  
235 3% 95%  
236 2% 92%  
237 2% 90%  
238 2% 89%  
239 4% 87%  
240 6% 83%  
241 4% 77%  
242 4% 74%  
243 1.2% 69%  
244 11% 68%  
245 2% 57%  
246 5% 55%  
247 3% 50% Median
248 2% 48%  
249 11% 46%  
250 4% 35%  
251 3% 31%  
252 2% 28%  
253 2% 26%  
254 6% 24%  
255 1.3% 18%  
256 4% 17%  
257 0.5% 13%  
258 3% 12%  
259 0.6% 10%  
260 2% 9%  
261 1.3% 7%  
262 1.1% 6%  
263 0.5% 5%  
264 0.5% 4%  
265 0.7% 4%  
266 0.3% 3%  
267 0.2% 3%  
268 0.7% 3%  
269 0.7% 2%  
270 0.2% 1.4%  
271 0.5% 1.3%  
272 0.1% 0.8%  
273 0.3% 0.7%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.4%  
276 0.1% 0.3%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.3% 99.7%  
105 0.3% 99.4%  
106 0.6% 99.1%  
107 0.7% 98%  
108 0.2% 98%  
109 0.6% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 1.2% 95%  
112 0.7% 93%  
113 2% 93%  
114 6% 91%  
115 1.5% 85%  
116 2% 83%  
117 3% 81%  
118 3% 78%  
119 7% 75%  
120 7% 69%  
121 1.5% 62%  
122 5% 60%  
123 15% 56% Median
124 3% 40%  
125 1.3% 38%  
126 7% 37%  
127 11% 30%  
128 0.9% 19%  
129 1.2% 18%  
130 4% 17%  
131 0.9% 13%  
132 1.4% 12%  
133 3% 10%  
134 0.8% 7%  
135 0.9% 7%  
136 2% 6%  
137 2% 4%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.9% 2%  
141 0.1% 0.8%  
142 0.1% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.5%  
145 0.2% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.4% 99.6%  
98 0.3% 99.3%  
99 0.4% 99.0%  
100 0.4% 98.5%  
101 1.1% 98%  
102 0.9% 97%  
103 0.8% 96%  
104 1.2% 95%  
105 2% 94%  
106 3% 92%  
107 2% 90%  
108 3% 88%  
109 2% 84%  
110 3% 82%  
111 3% 79%  
112 4% 76%  
113 16% 71%  
114 2% 55%  
115 2% 53%  
116 4% 50% Median
117 17% 47%  
118 4% 30%  
119 4% 26%  
120 5% 22%  
121 4% 17%  
122 2% 13%  
123 0.6% 11%  
124 1.5% 10%  
125 3% 9%  
126 1.2% 6%  
127 0.4% 5%  
128 0.4% 4%  
129 0.6% 4%  
130 2% 3%  
131 0.2% 1.2%  
132 0.3% 1.1%  
133 0.3% 0.8%  
134 0.1% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.4%  
136 0.2% 0.3%  
137 0.1% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.1% 99.7%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 0.7% 99.2%  
51 0.6% 98.5%  
52 0.4% 98%  
53 4% 97%  
54 6% 93%  
55 1.0% 87%  
56 2% 86%  
57 5% 84%  
58 18% 79%  
59 2% 60%  
60 7% 59%  
61 17% 52% Median
62 3% 35%  
63 3% 32%  
64 4% 29%  
65 10% 25%  
66 0.7% 15%  
67 4% 14%  
68 3% 10%  
69 1.3% 8%  
70 1.0% 6%  
71 2% 5%  
72 1.2% 3%  
73 0.1% 2%  
74 0.8% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.0%  
76 0.1% 0.5%  
77 0% 0.4%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.3% 99.7%  
49 0.2% 99.4%  
50 1.0% 99.2%  
51 0.4% 98%  
52 3% 98%  
53 0.6% 95%  
54 7% 94%  
55 1.3% 87%  
56 4% 86%  
57 2% 81%  
58 6% 79%  
59 8% 74%  
60 20% 66% Median
61 3% 46%  
62 6% 43%  
63 3% 36%  
64 5% 33%  
65 4% 29%  
66 6% 24%  
67 5% 18%  
68 5% 13%  
69 3% 9% Last Result
70 1.4% 6%  
71 1.2% 5%  
72 0.4% 3%  
73 0.7% 3%  
74 0.4% 2%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.3% 0.8%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.8%  
45 0.5% 99.5%  
46 0.9% 99.0% Last Result
47 1.1% 98%  
48 1.0% 97%  
49 3% 96%  
50 1.1% 93%  
51 1.4% 92%  
52 3% 91%  
53 4% 87%  
54 1.5% 83%  
55 14% 82%  
56 11% 67%  
57 7% 57% Median
58 11% 49%  
59 15% 38%  
60 4% 23%  
61 1.1% 19%  
62 5% 18%  
63 2% 13%  
64 0.9% 11%  
65 3% 10%  
66 2% 7%  
67 1.2% 5%  
68 1.1% 4%  
69 1.3% 3%  
70 0.7% 1.2%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0% 95%  
38 0.6% 95%  
39 0.5% 94%  
40 3% 94%  
41 2% 90%  
42 4% 88%  
43 4% 84%  
44 4% 80%  
45 20% 76%  
46 4% 56%  
47 21% 52% Median
48 7% 31%  
49 2% 24%  
50 10% 22%  
51 2% 12%  
52 2% 10%  
53 3% 9%  
54 1.1% 6%  
55 2% 5%  
56 0.4% 3%  
57 1.1% 2%  
58 0.3% 1.4%  
59 0.5% 1.0%  
60 0.4% 0.6%  
61 0% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 543 100% 529–553 526–572 526–577 518–585
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 473 100% 458–481 453–486 449–489 445–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 465 100% 452–477 447–479 442–481 436–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 426 100% 415–439 410–447 408–455 402–461
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 419 100% 406–433 404–440 401–450 394–461
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 409 100% 399–421 390–426 387–430 382–437
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 364 89% 354–381 353–387 349–389 341–395
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 351 30% 336–361 328–364 322–368 312–374
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 300 0% 288–310 283–319 279–322 272–327
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 285 0% 267–293 261–296 253–299 248–306
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 239 0% 226–249 221–253 220–258 212–263
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 184 0% 174–194 170–198 167–202 163–210
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 168 0% 156–178 141–182 131–184 123–188

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 99.9%  
514 0% 99.9%  
515 0% 99.9%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0.2% 99.9%  
518 0.3% 99.7%  
519 0.3% 99.4%  
520 0.3% 99.2%  
521 0% 98.8%  
522 0% 98.8%  
523 0% 98.8%  
524 0.2% 98.8%  
525 0.5% 98.6%  
526 3% 98%  
527 2% 95%  
528 2% 92%  
529 2% 91%  
530 0% 89%  
531 0% 89%  
532 0.1% 89%  
533 1.1% 89%  
534 4% 88%  
535 13% 83%  
536 3% 71%  
537 9% 68%  
538 0.8% 59%  
539 0.1% 58%  
540 0% 58%  
541 1.0% 58%  
542 3% 57%  
543 10% 54% Median
544 16% 44%  
545 2% 28%  
546 4% 26%  
547 0.3% 21%  
548 0.1% 21%  
549 0.1% 21%  
550 1.2% 21%  
551 3% 20%  
552 6% 17%  
553 4% 11%  
554 0.9% 8%  
555 0.2% 7%  
556 0% 7%  
557 0% 7%  
558 0.1% 7%  
559 0.2% 6%  
560 0.5% 6%  
561 0.2% 6%  
562 0.2% 6%  
563 0% 5%  
564 0% 5%  
565 0.1% 5%  
566 0.1% 5%  
567 0% 5%  
568 0% 5%  
569 0% 5%  
570 0% 5%  
571 0% 5%  
572 0.1% 5%  
573 0.3% 5%  
574 0.8% 5%  
575 1.4% 4%  
576 0% 3%  
577 0.1% 3%  
578 0% 2%  
579 0% 2%  
580 0.2% 2%  
581 0.4% 2%  
582 0.4% 2%  
583 0.7% 1.3%  
584 0% 0.6%  
585 0.3% 0.6%  
586 0% 0.3%  
587 0% 0.3%  
588 0% 0.2%  
589 0.1% 0.2%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0.1% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.8%  
445 1.1% 99.7%  
446 0% 98.6%  
447 0.1% 98.6%  
448 0.2% 98%  
449 1.0% 98%  
450 0.4% 97%  
451 0.4% 97%  
452 0.9% 96%  
453 0.8% 96%  
454 0.6% 95%  
455 1.0% 94%  
456 0.7% 93%  
457 0.7% 92%  
458 3% 92%  
459 0.3% 89%  
460 1.4% 89%  
461 1.0% 87%  
462 0.8% 87%  
463 2% 86%  
464 0.8% 83%  
465 5% 82%  
466 1.0% 77%  
467 3% 77%  
468 1.3% 73%  
469 5% 72%  
470 1.4% 67%  
471 10% 65%  
472 2% 55%  
473 5% 53%  
474 5% 48% Median
475 7% 43%  
476 4% 37%  
477 3% 33%  
478 12% 30%  
479 1.0% 18% Last Result
480 7% 17%  
481 2% 11%  
482 0.7% 9%  
483 1.2% 8%  
484 2% 7%  
485 0.3% 5%  
486 1.5% 5%  
487 0.6% 4%  
488 0.3% 3%  
489 0.6% 3%  
490 0.3% 2%  
491 0.1% 2%  
492 0.7% 2%  
493 0.1% 0.9%  
494 0.2% 0.8%  
495 0.1% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0.1% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0.1% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0.1% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.8%  
433 0% 99.7%  
434 0% 99.7%  
435 0.2% 99.7%  
436 0% 99.5%  
437 0.7% 99.5%  
438 0.1% 98.8%  
439 0.2% 98.6%  
440 0.4% 98%  
441 0.2% 98%  
442 0.7% 98%  
443 0.5% 97%  
444 0.3% 97%  
445 0.6% 96%  
446 0.5% 96%  
447 0.4% 95%  
448 0.5% 95%  
449 0.8% 94%  
450 0.7% 94%  
451 2% 93%  
452 2% 91%  
453 0.8% 89%  
454 3% 88%  
455 1.4% 85%  
456 4% 83%  
457 6% 79%  
458 3% 73%  
459 0.6% 71%  
460 2% 70%  
461 2% 69%  
462 2% 66%  
463 2% 65%  
464 11% 62%  
465 10% 51%  
466 5% 41%  
467 2% 36% Median
468 4% 33%  
469 3% 29%  
470 2% 26%  
471 2% 24%  
472 2% 22%  
473 0.7% 20%  
474 5% 20%  
475 2% 15%  
476 1.5% 12%  
477 1.4% 11%  
478 2% 10%  
479 4% 8%  
480 2% 4%  
481 0.6% 3%  
482 0.1% 2%  
483 0.6% 2%  
484 0.1% 1.3%  
485 0.1% 1.3%  
486 0.1% 1.1%  
487 0.2% 1.1%  
488 0.6% 0.9%  
489 0.1% 0.3%  
490 0.1% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0.1% 99.9%  
399 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0.1% 99.7%  
402 0.3% 99.6%  
403 0.3% 99.3%  
404 0.2% 99.0%  
405 0.6% 98.7%  
406 0.3% 98%  
407 0.1% 98%  
408 1.0% 98%  
409 0.7% 97%  
410 2% 96%  
411 0.4% 94%  
412 1.1% 94%  
413 0.9% 92%  
414 0.6% 91%  
415 4% 91%  
416 0.7% 86%  
417 1.4% 86%  
418 2% 84%  
419 1.4% 82%  
420 3% 81%  
421 1.5% 78%  
422 4% 76%  
423 3% 72%  
424 3% 69%  
425 3% 65%  
426 12% 62%  
427 3% 50% Median
428 4% 46%  
429 3% 43%  
430 3% 40%  
431 11% 37%  
432 4% 27%  
433 1.5% 23%  
434 2% 21%  
435 6% 20%  
436 0.6% 13%  
437 0.5% 13%  
438 1.4% 12%  
439 1.5% 11%  
440 0.2% 10%  
441 0.3% 9%  
442 1.0% 9%  
443 0.8% 8%  
444 0.2% 7%  
445 1.2% 7%  
446 0.5% 6%  
447 0.4% 5%  
448 0.2% 5%  
449 1.0% 5%  
450 0.1% 4%  
451 0.1% 4%  
452 0.3% 3%  
453 0.5% 3%  
454 0.1% 3%  
455 0.5% 3%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0% 2%  
458 0.7% 2%  
459 0% 0.9%  
460 0% 0.9%  
461 0.5% 0.9%  
462 0% 0.4%  
463 0% 0.4%  
464 0.2% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0.1% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.2% 99.5%  
395 0.2% 99.3%  
396 0.3% 99.1%  
397 0.2% 98.8%  
398 0.3% 98.6%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.2% 98%  
401 1.3% 98%  
402 0.8% 97%  
403 0.3% 96%  
404 4% 96%  
405 1.3% 92%  
406 2% 91%  
407 1.0% 88%  
408 2% 87%  
409 6% 86%  
410 2% 80%  
411 1.4% 78%  
412 0.4% 77%  
413 2% 77%  
414 2% 74%  
415 0.3% 72%  
416 5% 72%  
417 14% 67%  
418 2% 53%  
419 4% 51%  
420 12% 47% Median
421 2% 36%  
422 3% 34%  
423 3% 30%  
424 1.1% 28%  
425 2% 27%  
426 2% 25%  
427 0.2% 24%  
428 0.5% 23%  
429 6% 23%  
430 0.3% 17%  
431 1.1% 17%  
432 4% 16%  
433 3% 12%  
434 0.5% 9%  
435 2% 8%  
436 0.1% 7%  
437 1.0% 7%  
438 0.5% 6%  
439 0.2% 5%  
440 0.6% 5%  
441 0.1% 5%  
442 0.2% 4%  
443 0.7% 4%  
444 0.2% 4%  
445 0.3% 3%  
446 0.1% 3%  
447 0.1% 3%  
448 0.2% 3%  
449 0% 3%  
450 0.4% 3%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 1.0% 2%  
453 0.1% 1.2%  
454 0% 1.1%  
455 0.1% 1.1%  
456 0% 1.0%  
457 0% 1.0%  
458 0.4% 1.0%  
459 0% 0.6%  
460 0% 0.5%  
461 0.3% 0.5%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0.1% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0% 99.7%  
380 0% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.7%  
382 0.5% 99.6%  
383 1.0% 99.1%  
384 0.1% 98%  
385 0% 98%  
386 0.1% 98%  
387 0.4% 98%  
388 1.0% 97%  
389 1.2% 96%  
390 0.4% 95%  
391 0.3% 95%  
392 0.2% 95%  
393 0.6% 94%  
394 0.4% 94%  
395 1.2% 93%  
396 0.8% 92%  
397 0.4% 91%  
398 0.6% 91%  
399 0.8% 90%  
400 0.4% 89%  
401 3% 89%  
402 1.3% 86%  
403 2% 84%  
404 6% 82%  
405 2% 76%  
406 3% 74%  
407 2% 71%  
408 2% 69%  
409 18% 67%  
410 4% 49%  
411 9% 45%  
412 1.0% 36% Median
413 2% 35%  
414 4% 34%  
415 8% 30%  
416 3% 22%  
417 4% 19%  
418 0.9% 15%  
419 1.4% 14%  
420 2% 13% Last Result
421 0.9% 11%  
422 2% 10%  
423 0.9% 8%  
424 0.9% 7%  
425 0.5% 6%  
426 0.9% 6%  
427 0.8% 5%  
428 0.4% 4%  
429 0.9% 4%  
430 0.3% 3%  
431 0.2% 2%  
432 0.9% 2%  
433 0.2% 1.2%  
434 0.1% 1.1%  
435 0.2% 1.0%  
436 0.1% 0.8%  
437 0.3% 0.7%  
438 0.2% 0.4%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
334 0.1% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
341 0.2% 99.6%  
342 0.1% 99.4%  
343 0.1% 99.2%  
344 0.2% 99.2%  
345 0.4% 99.0%  
346 0.2% 98.6%  
347 0.2% 98%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 0.6% 98%  
350 0.5% 97%  
351 0.7% 97%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 2% 95%  
354 4% 93%  
355 1.4% 89% Majority
356 2% 88%  
357 6% 86%  
358 2% 81%  
359 3% 78%  
360 2% 75%  
361 6% 73%  
362 11% 67%  
363 5% 55%  
364 9% 51%  
365 3% 42% Median
366 2% 39%  
367 2% 36%  
368 4% 35%  
369 1.3% 31%  
370 7% 30%  
371 2% 23%  
372 4% 22%  
373 1.2% 18%  
374 0.8% 17%  
375 2% 16%  
376 0.7% 15%  
377 1.1% 14%  
378 1.3% 13%  
379 1.0% 11%  
380 0.4% 10%  
381 1.4% 10%  
382 1.0% 9%  
383 1.2% 8%  
384 0.5% 7%  
385 0.7% 6%  
386 0.2% 5%  
387 0.4% 5%  
388 2% 5%  
389 1.2% 3%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.2% 2%  
392 0.1% 1.4%  
393 0.4% 1.3%  
394 0.1% 0.9%  
395 0.4% 0.8%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.7% 99.8%  
313 0% 99.1%  
314 0% 99.1%  
315 0.1% 99.0%  
316 0% 99.0%  
317 0.1% 98.9%  
318 0.3% 98.8%  
319 0.3% 98.5%  
320 0.3% 98%  
321 0.2% 98%  
322 1.1% 98%  
323 0.5% 97%  
324 0.1% 96%  
325 0.2% 96%  
326 0.1% 96% Last Result
327 0.1% 96%  
328 1.0% 96%  
329 0.9% 95%  
330 0.1% 94%  
331 0.5% 94%  
332 0.6% 93%  
333 0.7% 92%  
334 0.6% 92%  
335 1.0% 91%  
336 0.3% 90%  
337 0.4% 90%  
338 2% 89%  
339 2% 87%  
340 0.6% 85%  
341 3% 84%  
342 0.9% 81%  
343 4% 81%  
344 2% 77%  
345 2% 75%  
346 8% 73%  
347 0.6% 64%  
348 8% 64%  
349 2% 55%  
350 2% 54%  
351 13% 51% Median
352 3% 38%  
353 3% 36%  
354 3% 33%  
355 2% 30% Majority
356 5% 28%  
357 6% 23%  
358 1.1% 17%  
359 3% 16%  
360 0.3% 13%  
361 6% 13%  
362 0.7% 7%  
363 1.0% 7%  
364 1.1% 6%  
365 0.4% 5%  
366 0.8% 4%  
367 0.5% 3%  
368 0.4% 3%  
369 0.8% 2%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.3% 1.4%  
372 0.1% 1.1%  
373 0.4% 1.0%  
374 0.2% 0.6%  
375 0.1% 0.5%  
376 0.1% 0.4%  
377 0% 0.3%  
378 0.2% 0.3%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.2% 99.8%  
272 0.3% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.3%  
274 0.2% 99.2%  
275 0.1% 99.0%  
276 0.2% 98.9%  
277 0.9% 98.8%  
278 0.2% 98%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.9% 97%  
281 0.4% 96%  
282 0.8% 96%  
283 0.9% 95%  
284 0.5% 94%  
285 0.9% 94%  
286 0.9% 93%  
287 2% 92%  
288 0.9% 90%  
289 2% 89% Last Result
290 1.4% 87%  
291 0.9% 86%  
292 4% 85%  
293 3% 81%  
294 8% 78%  
295 4% 70%  
296 2% 66%  
297 1.0% 65%  
298 9% 64%  
299 4% 55% Median
300 18% 51%  
301 2% 33%  
302 2% 31%  
303 3% 29%  
304 2% 26%  
305 6% 24%  
306 2% 18%  
307 1.3% 16%  
308 3% 14%  
309 0.4% 11%  
310 0.8% 11%  
311 0.6% 10%  
312 0.4% 9%  
313 0.8% 9%  
314 1.2% 8%  
315 0.4% 7%  
316 0.6% 6%  
317 0.2% 6%  
318 0.3% 5%  
319 0.4% 5%  
320 1.2% 5%  
321 1.0% 4%  
322 0.4% 3%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0% 2%  
325 0.1% 2%  
326 1.0% 2%  
327 0.5% 0.9%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0% 0.3%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0% 0.3%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.7%  
246 0% 99.7%  
247 0% 99.6%  
248 0.2% 99.6%  
249 0% 99.5%  
250 0% 99.4%  
251 0.1% 99.4%  
252 0.6% 99.3%  
253 2% 98.7%  
254 0.4% 97%  
255 0.4% 97%  
256 0.1% 96%  
257 0.1% 96%  
258 0.2% 96%  
259 0.1% 96%  
260 0.6% 96%  
261 0.6% 95%  
262 1.1% 95%  
263 1.4% 94%  
264 0.1% 92%  
265 0.9% 92%  
266 0.9% 91%  
267 0.4% 90%  
268 0.8% 90%  
269 0.7% 89%  
270 0.6% 88%  
271 1.1% 88%  
272 1.0% 87%  
273 2% 85%  
274 1.1% 84%  
275 2% 83%  
276 3% 81%  
277 0.6% 78%  
278 3% 77%  
279 5% 75%  
280 1.2% 69%  
281 4% 68%  
282 2% 64%  
283 4% 62%  
284 1.3% 58%  
285 16% 57%  
286 5% 41% Median
287 11% 36%  
288 3% 25%  
289 6% 22%  
290 0.8% 16%  
291 4% 15%  
292 0.6% 11%  
293 2% 11%  
294 1.4% 9%  
295 1.0% 7%  
296 2% 6%  
297 1.2% 5%  
298 0.7% 3%  
299 0.8% 3%  
300 0.3% 2% Last Result
301 0.3% 2%  
302 0.2% 1.3%  
303 0.2% 1.2%  
304 0.2% 1.0%  
305 0.2% 0.8%  
306 0.1% 0.6%  
307 0% 0.4%  
308 0.1% 0.4%  
309 0% 0.3%  
310 0.1% 0.3%  
311 0% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0.1% 0.1%  
314 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 99.9%  
211 0.1% 99.9%  
212 0.3% 99.7%  
213 0.9% 99.4%  
214 0.1% 98.5%  
215 0% 98%  
216 0.1% 98%  
217 0.2% 98%  
218 0.1% 98%  
219 0.2% 98%  
220 2% 98% Last Result
221 2% 96%  
222 0.8% 95%  
223 0.2% 94%  
224 0.9% 94%  
225 1.1% 93%  
226 2% 92%  
227 2% 90%  
228 3% 88%  
229 1.1% 85%  
230 3% 84%  
231 6% 81%  
232 4% 75%  
233 1.1% 72%  
234 0.8% 70%  
235 0.8% 70%  
236 2% 69%  
237 1.2% 67%  
238 6% 66%  
239 13% 60% Median
240 25% 46%  
241 2% 21%  
242 0.4% 19%  
243 1.4% 19%  
244 1.4% 17%  
245 0.4% 16%  
246 0.4% 16%  
247 1.0% 15%  
248 3% 14%  
249 2% 11%  
250 0.1% 9%  
251 0.5% 9%  
252 2% 8%  
253 2% 6%  
254 0.6% 5%  
255 0.8% 4%  
256 0.1% 3%  
257 0.2% 3%  
258 0.5% 3%  
259 0.2% 2%  
260 0.2% 2%  
261 0.2% 2%  
262 0.8% 2%  
263 0.6% 1.0%  
264 0% 0.4%  
265 0.1% 0.4%  
266 0.1% 0.3%  
267 0.1% 0.2%  
268 0.1% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0.2% 99.7%  
163 0.1% 99.6%  
164 0.2% 99.4%  
165 0.4% 99.2%  
166 0.3% 98.9%  
167 2% 98.5%  
168 0.4% 97%  
169 0.4% 96%  
170 0.8% 96%  
171 0.8% 95%  
172 2% 94%  
173 1.3% 92%  
174 2% 91%  
175 2% 88%  
176 4% 87%  
177 7% 83%  
178 6% 77%  
179 2% 70%  
180 0.7% 68%  
181 5% 68%  
182 2% 62%  
183 10% 60% Median
184 3% 50%  
185 2% 47%  
186 4% 45%  
187 12% 41%  
188 2% 29%  
189 5% 28%  
190 2% 23%  
191 1.3% 20%  
192 6% 19%  
193 1.1% 13%  
194 2% 12%  
195 0.9% 10%  
196 0.4% 9%  
197 3% 9%  
198 1.1% 6%  
199 0.2% 5%  
200 1.2% 5%  
201 1.1% 4%  
202 0.4% 3%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.5%  
206 0.2% 1.2%  
207 0.1% 1.0%  
208 0.1% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.8%  
210 0.3% 0.8%  
211 0.2% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.7%  
123 1.0% 99.7%  
124 0.4% 98.7%  
125 0.4% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.2% 98%  
132 0.4% 97%  
133 0.1% 97%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.4% 97%  
136 0% 96%  
137 0.7% 96%  
138 0.5% 96%  
139 0% 95%  
140 0.1% 95%  
141 0.1% 95%  
142 0.1% 95%  
143 0% 95%  
144 0.1% 95%  
145 0.2% 95%  
146 0% 95%  
147 0.2% 95%  
148 0% 94%  
149 0.3% 94%  
150 0.3% 94%  
151 0.4% 94%  
152 0.1% 93%  
153 0.1% 93%  
154 0.7% 93%  
155 1.3% 92%  
156 2% 91%  
157 1.4% 89%  
158 2% 88%  
159 0.5% 86%  
160 2% 86%  
161 5% 83%  
162 4% 78%  
163 2% 74%  
164 3% 72%  
165 2% 69%  
166 1.3% 67%  
167 1.2% 66%  
168 17% 65%  
169 5% 48%  
170 2% 42% Median
171 2% 40%  
172 2% 38%  
173 5% 36%  
174 13% 31%  
175 3% 18%  
176 1.3% 14%  
177 2% 13%  
178 1.4% 11%  
179 0.6% 10%  
180 2% 9%  
181 2% 7%  
182 2% 5%  
183 0.5% 3%  
184 0.4% 3%  
185 0.1% 2%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 1.0% 1.5%  
189 0.2% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations