Opinion Poll by Forsa, 8–13 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 32.5% 31.1–33.9% 30.7–34.3% 30.4–34.7% 29.7–35.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.9–18.2% 15.6–18.5% 15.3–18.8% 14.8–19.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.6% 12.0–16.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.5% 6.8–8.4% 6.6–8.6% 6.4–8.8% 6.1–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 247 237–258 234–262 232–265 227–273
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 129 121–138 119–141 117–144 113–148
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 107 99–115 97–117 95–119 91–124
Alternative für Deutschland 94 61 55–67 53–69 52–71 50–74
Die Linke 69 61 56–67 54–69 52–71 50–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 57 52–63 50–65 49–67 46–70
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 41–51 40–53 38–54 0–58

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0.1% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0.1% 99.8%  
226 0.1% 99.6%  
227 0.3% 99.5%  
228 0.2% 99.3%  
229 0.4% 99.0%  
230 0.3% 98.6%  
231 0.8% 98%  
232 0.7% 98%  
233 0.9% 97%  
234 1.1% 96%  
235 1.4% 95%  
236 1.5% 93%  
237 2% 92%  
238 3% 90%  
239 3% 87%  
240 4% 85%  
241 3% 81%  
242 4% 78%  
243 4% 74%  
244 5% 70%  
245 5% 64%  
246 5% 60%  
247 5% 54% Median
248 6% 49%  
249 4% 44%  
250 5% 40%  
251 6% 36%  
252 4% 29%  
253 4% 26%  
254 3% 22%  
255 3% 19%  
256 2% 16%  
257 2% 13%  
258 2% 11%  
259 2% 9%  
260 1.2% 8%  
261 1.1% 6%  
262 0.9% 5%  
263 0.8% 4%  
264 0.7% 4%  
265 0.5% 3%  
266 0.5% 2%  
267 0.3% 2%  
268 0.3% 2%  
269 0.2% 1.3%  
270 0.2% 1.0%  
271 0.2% 0.9%  
272 0.1% 0.7%  
273 0.1% 0.6%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0% 0.3%  
276 0.1% 0.3%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.3% 99.6%  
114 0.4% 99.4%  
115 0.7% 99.0%  
116 0.6% 98%  
117 0.9% 98%  
118 1.2% 97%  
119 2% 96%  
120 2% 94%  
121 2% 92%  
122 3% 90%  
123 3% 87%  
124 4% 84%  
125 4% 81%  
126 6% 76%  
127 7% 71%  
128 6% 63%  
129 8% 57% Median
130 5% 50%  
131 8% 45%  
132 5% 37%  
133 6% 32%  
134 5% 26%  
135 4% 21%  
136 3% 17%  
137 3% 14%  
138 2% 11%  
139 1.3% 9%  
140 2% 8%  
141 1.2% 6%  
142 1.1% 4%  
143 0.8% 3%  
144 0.5% 3%  
145 0.7% 2%  
146 0.4% 1.4%  
147 0.3% 1.0%  
148 0.2% 0.7%  
149 0.1% 0.5%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0.1% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.4% 99.2%  
94 0.9% 98.8%  
95 0.9% 98%  
96 2% 97%  
97 2% 95%  
98 3% 94%  
99 3% 91%  
100 4% 88%  
101 4% 84%  
102 5% 80%  
103 5% 75%  
104 6% 70%  
105 6% 64%  
106 7% 57%  
107 7% 51% Median
108 7% 44%  
109 6% 37%  
110 5% 31%  
111 5% 26%  
112 4% 22%  
113 4% 18%  
114 3% 14%  
115 3% 11%  
116 2% 8%  
117 2% 6%  
118 1.2% 5%  
119 1.0% 3%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.6% 2%  
122 0.4% 1.2%  
123 0.2% 0.8%  
124 0.2% 0.5%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.7%  
50 0.7% 99.6%  
51 0.7% 98.9%  
52 0.8% 98%  
53 3% 97%  
54 1.4% 95%  
55 5% 93%  
56 7% 89%  
57 3% 82%  
58 11% 79%  
59 5% 69%  
60 5% 63%  
61 14% 58% Median
62 5% 44%  
63 8% 40%  
64 9% 32%  
65 3% 23%  
66 8% 20%  
67 3% 13%  
68 2% 10%  
69 4% 8%  
70 0.7% 4%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.7% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.2%  
74 0.5% 0.9%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.6%  
50 0.5% 99.6%  
51 0.2% 99.0%  
52 3% 98.9%  
53 0.7% 96%  
54 2% 95%  
55 2% 93%  
56 9% 91%  
57 3% 81%  
58 5% 78%  
59 9% 73%  
60 9% 64%  
61 7% 55% Median
62 6% 48%  
63 17% 42%  
64 3% 25%  
65 5% 22%  
66 2% 17%  
67 8% 15%  
68 1.4% 8%  
69 2% 6% Last Result
70 1.4% 5%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.3% 2%  
73 0.4% 1.3%  
74 0.4% 0.9%  
75 0.2% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
47 0.7% 99.4%  
48 1.0% 98.7%  
49 2% 98%  
50 2% 96%  
51 3% 94%  
52 5% 91%  
53 6% 86%  
54 8% 80%  
55 8% 72%  
56 8% 64%  
57 8% 57% Median
58 8% 49%  
59 8% 41%  
60 8% 33%  
61 7% 26%  
62 6% 19%  
63 4% 13%  
64 3% 9%  
65 2% 6%  
66 2% 5%  
67 1.3% 3%  
68 0.7% 2%  
69 0.5% 1.2%  
70 0.3% 0.7%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.5% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 3% 95%  
41 6% 92%  
42 8% 86%  
43 9% 78%  
44 10% 69%  
45 8% 59%  
46 7% 51% Median
47 8% 45%  
48 7% 36%  
49 9% 29%  
50 6% 20%  
51 6% 14%  
52 3% 9%  
53 2% 5%  
54 1.2% 3%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.4% 0.9%  
58 0.3% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 541 100% 532–550 529–554 527–560 522–585
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 480 100% 469–490 466–493 463–496 456–501
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 457 100% 447–467 443–470 440–473 432–478
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 434 100% 424–445 421–449 418–455 413–472
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 411 100% 401–423 397–427 395–432 389–448
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 412 100% 400–422 397–425 393–428 384–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 366 91% 355–377 352–381 349–386 344–399
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 351 30% 339–361 335–364 331–367 319–373
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 297 0% 287–309 284–312 281–316 276–325
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 282 0% 271–293 266–295 262–298 245–304
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 236 0% 226–247 222–251 220–254 216–262
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 168 0% 159–177 156–180 154–183 149–188
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 152 0% 143–161 140–164 134–167 109–171

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 99.9%  
518 0% 99.9%  
519 0.1% 99.9%  
520 0.1% 99.8%  
521 0.1% 99.7%  
522 0.2% 99.6%  
523 0.2% 99.3%  
524 0.4% 99.1%  
525 0.5% 98.7%  
526 0.6% 98%  
527 0.6% 98%  
528 1.0% 97%  
529 2% 96%  
530 1.3% 94%  
531 2% 93%  
532 2% 91%  
533 3% 89%  
534 3% 85%  
535 4% 82%  
536 4% 78%  
537 4% 74%  
538 7% 70%  
539 5% 63%  
540 5% 58% Median
541 7% 53%  
542 7% 46%  
543 4% 40%  
544 6% 36%  
545 4% 30%  
546 4% 26%  
547 4% 22%  
548 3% 18%  
549 3% 15%  
550 2% 12%  
551 2% 10%  
552 2% 8%  
553 0.9% 6%  
554 0.9% 6%  
555 0.8% 5%  
556 0.4% 4%  
557 0.4% 3%  
558 0.2% 3%  
559 0.2% 3%  
560 0.1% 3%  
561 0.1% 2%  
562 0.1% 2%  
563 0% 2%  
564 0% 2%  
565 0% 2%  
566 0.1% 2%  
567 0% 2%  
568 0.1% 2%  
569 0% 2%  
570 0% 2%  
571 0% 2%  
572 0.1% 2%  
573 0.1% 2%  
574 0.2% 2%  
575 0.1% 2%  
576 0.1% 1.5%  
577 0% 1.4%  
578 0.1% 1.3%  
579 0.1% 1.2%  
580 0.2% 1.1%  
581 0.1% 0.9%  
582 0.1% 0.8%  
583 0.1% 0.7%  
584 0% 0.6%  
585 0.1% 0.5%  
586 0.1% 0.5%  
587 0.1% 0.4%  
588 0.1% 0.3%  
589 0% 0.2%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0.1% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.7%  
454 0.1% 99.7%  
455 0.1% 99.6%  
456 0.1% 99.5%  
457 0.2% 99.4%  
458 0.2% 99.2%  
459 0.2% 99.1%  
460 0.2% 98.9%  
461 0.5% 98.6%  
462 0.4% 98%  
463 0.6% 98%  
464 0.6% 97%  
465 0.8% 96%  
466 1.0% 96%  
467 1.4% 95%  
468 1.2% 93%  
469 2% 92%  
470 2% 90%  
471 1.4% 87%  
472 4% 86%  
473 3% 82%  
474 3% 79%  
475 4% 76%  
476 4% 72%  
477 5% 68%  
478 7% 63%  
479 4% 56% Median
480 6% 53%  
481 4% 47%  
482 5% 42%  
483 5% 37%  
484 3% 32%  
485 3% 28%  
486 5% 25%  
487 3% 20%  
488 4% 17%  
489 3% 14%  
490 2% 11%  
491 2% 9%  
492 2% 7%  
493 2% 6%  
494 0.9% 4%  
495 0.5% 3%  
496 0.8% 3%  
497 0.6% 2%  
498 0.3% 1.3%  
499 0.3% 1.0%  
500 0.2% 0.7%  
501 0.2% 0.5%  
502 0.1% 0.3%  
503 0.1% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0.1% 99.5%  
433 0.1% 99.4%  
434 0.2% 99.3%  
435 0.2% 99.1%  
436 0.3% 98.9%  
437 0.3% 98.6%  
438 0.5% 98%  
439 0.4% 98%  
440 0.4% 98%  
441 0.8% 97%  
442 0.8% 96%  
443 1.3% 95%  
444 1.1% 94%  
445 1.2% 93%  
446 2% 92%  
447 2% 90%  
448 3% 88%  
449 3% 85%  
450 3% 82%  
451 3% 79%  
452 4% 76%  
453 5% 72%  
454 4% 67%  
455 5% 63%  
456 4% 58%  
457 5% 53% Median
458 5% 48%  
459 5% 43%  
460 4% 38%  
461 4% 34%  
462 5% 29%  
463 4% 24%  
464 3% 20%  
465 3% 17%  
466 3% 14%  
467 2% 11%  
468 2% 9%  
469 2% 8%  
470 1.2% 6%  
471 0.8% 5%  
472 0.7% 4%  
473 1.0% 3%  
474 0.6% 2%  
475 0.3% 1.4%  
476 0.3% 1.1%  
477 0.3% 0.9%  
478 0.2% 0.6%  
479 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
480 0.1% 0.3%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0.1% 99.9%  
410 0.1% 99.8%  
411 0.1% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.7%  
413 0.2% 99.6%  
414 0.2% 99.4%  
415 0.3% 99.1%  
416 0.4% 98.8%  
417 0.4% 98%  
418 0.6% 98%  
419 1.1% 97%  
420 0.9% 96%  
421 1.3% 95%  
422 1.2% 94%  
423 1.4% 93%  
424 2% 91%  
425 3% 89%  
426 2% 86%  
427 3% 84%  
428 4% 81%  
429 6% 77%  
430 3% 71%  
431 4% 68%  
432 5% 64%  
433 5% 59% Median
434 6% 54%  
435 5% 48%  
436 5% 44%  
437 3% 39%  
438 5% 36%  
439 5% 30%  
440 3% 25%  
441 3% 22%  
442 2% 19%  
443 2% 17%  
444 3% 14%  
445 2% 12%  
446 1.2% 9%  
447 0.8% 8%  
448 1.5% 7%  
449 1.0% 6%  
450 0.7% 5%  
451 0.4% 4%  
452 0.4% 4%  
453 0.5% 3%  
454 0.3% 3%  
455 0.2% 3%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0.1% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.1% 1.4%  
463 0.1% 1.3%  
464 0.1% 1.2%  
465 0.2% 1.2%  
466 0.1% 1.0%  
467 0% 0.8%  
468 0% 0.8%  
469 0.1% 0.8%  
470 0.1% 0.7%  
471 0.1% 0.6%  
472 0.1% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0.1% 0.3%  
476 0.1% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.2% 99.7%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.2% 99.4%  
391 0.2% 99.2%  
392 0.4% 99.0%  
393 0.5% 98.6%  
394 0.4% 98%  
395 0.8% 98%  
396 0.7% 97%  
397 1.2% 96%  
398 1.0% 95%  
399 1.0% 94% Last Result
400 2% 93%  
401 2% 91%  
402 2% 89%  
403 2% 87%  
404 4% 85%  
405 3% 81%  
406 4% 78%  
407 4% 74%  
408 5% 70%  
409 6% 65%  
410 5% 60%  
411 5% 55% Median
412 6% 50%  
413 5% 44%  
414 4% 39%  
415 3% 34%  
416 6% 31%  
417 4% 25%  
418 3% 21%  
419 2% 19%  
420 3% 17%  
421 2% 14%  
422 1.4% 12%  
423 2% 10%  
424 1.2% 9%  
425 1.1% 7%  
426 0.8% 6%  
427 0.7% 5%  
428 0.7% 5%  
429 0.6% 4%  
430 0.3% 3%  
431 0.3% 3%  
432 0.4% 3%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.1% 2%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.1% 2%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.1% 1.3%  
440 0.1% 1.3%  
441 0.1% 1.2%  
442 0.2% 1.1%  
443 0.1% 0.9%  
444 0.1% 0.8%  
445 0.1% 0.7%  
446 0.1% 0.6%  
447 0% 0.6%  
448 0.1% 0.5%  
449 0.1% 0.5%  
450 0.1% 0.4%  
451 0% 0.3%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0.1% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0% 99.7%  
382 0.1% 99.7%  
383 0.1% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.5%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.2% 99.3%  
387 0.1% 99.1%  
388 0.2% 99.0%  
389 0.3% 98.8%  
390 0.3% 98.5%  
391 0.3% 98%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.4% 98%  
394 0.6% 97%  
395 0.6% 97%  
396 0.9% 96%  
397 1.1% 95%  
398 1.3% 94%  
399 1.3% 93%  
400 2% 91%  
401 2% 90%  
402 2% 87%  
403 3% 85%  
404 3% 82%  
405 3% 80%  
406 4% 77%  
407 4% 73%  
408 3% 68%  
409 4% 65%  
410 5% 61%  
411 5% 56% Median
412 4% 52%  
413 5% 47%  
414 6% 42%  
415 4% 37%  
416 4% 32%  
417 5% 28%  
418 4% 23%  
419 4% 20%  
420 3% 16% Last Result
421 2% 13%  
422 2% 11%  
423 2% 9%  
424 1.1% 7%  
425 1.2% 6%  
426 1.0% 5%  
427 0.8% 4%  
428 0.7% 3%  
429 0.5% 2%  
430 0.4% 2%  
431 0.3% 1.2%  
432 0.3% 1.0%  
433 0.2% 0.7%  
434 0.1% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0.1% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9% Last Result
341 0.1% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.1% 99.6%  
344 0.1% 99.5%  
345 0.4% 99.4%  
346 0.2% 99.1%  
347 0.3% 98.8%  
348 0.6% 98.5%  
349 0.6% 98%  
350 0.6% 97%  
351 1.0% 97%  
352 1.1% 96%  
353 2% 95%  
354 1.2% 93%  
355 2% 91% Majority
356 3% 90%  
357 2% 86%  
358 1.3% 84%  
359 5% 83%  
360 5% 78%  
361 1.3% 73%  
362 5% 72%  
363 7% 67%  
364 2% 60%  
365 3% 58% Median
366 10% 56%  
367 3% 46%  
368 2% 43%  
369 10% 41%  
370 2% 31%  
371 2% 29%  
372 5% 27%  
373 4% 22%  
374 2% 18%  
375 3% 16%  
376 2% 13%  
377 2% 11%  
378 2% 9%  
379 1.2% 8%  
380 1.0% 7%  
381 1.1% 6%  
382 0.5% 5%  
383 0.4% 4%  
384 0.9% 4%  
385 0.3% 3%  
386 0.3% 3%  
387 0.4% 2%  
388 0.1% 2%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.1% 1.3%  
392 0.1% 1.2%  
393 0.1% 1.0%  
394 0.1% 0.9%  
395 0.1% 0.9%  
396 0% 0.7%  
397 0.1% 0.7%  
398 0.1% 0.6%  
399 0.1% 0.5%  
400 0% 0.4%  
401 0% 0.4%  
402 0.1% 0.4%  
403 0% 0.3%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.8%  
314 0% 99.8%  
315 0% 99.8%  
316 0% 99.7%  
317 0.1% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.6%  
319 0.1% 99.5%  
320 0.1% 99.4%  
321 0.2% 99.3%  
322 0.1% 99.1%  
323 0.1% 99.0%  
324 0.1% 98.9%  
325 0.2% 98.8%  
326 0.1% 98.6% Last Result
327 0.2% 98%  
328 0.1% 98%  
329 0.2% 98%  
330 0.2% 98%  
331 0.3% 98%  
332 0.4% 97%  
333 0.4% 97%  
334 0.5% 97%  
335 1.1% 96%  
336 1.2% 95%  
337 1.3% 94%  
338 1.4% 92%  
339 2% 91%  
340 2% 89%  
341 2% 87%  
342 3% 85%  
343 2% 82%  
344 3% 80%  
345 3% 76%  
346 4% 73%  
347 4% 69%  
348 3% 65%  
349 7% 62%  
350 4% 55% Median
351 6% 51%  
352 4% 45%  
353 5% 41%  
354 6% 36%  
355 5% 30% Majority
356 3% 25%  
357 3% 22%  
358 3% 19%  
359 3% 16%  
360 3% 13%  
361 1.5% 10%  
362 2% 9%  
363 2% 7%  
364 1.2% 6%  
365 0.7% 4%  
366 0.7% 4%  
367 0.7% 3%  
368 0.7% 2%  
369 0.4% 2%  
370 0.3% 1.4%  
371 0.3% 1.1%  
372 0.2% 0.8%  
373 0.2% 0.6%  
374 0.1% 0.4%  
375 0.1% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0.1% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.2% 99.5%  
277 0.3% 99.3%  
278 0.3% 99.0%  
279 0.4% 98.8%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.7% 98%  
282 0.8% 97%  
283 1.0% 96%  
284 1.2% 95%  
285 1.1% 94%  
286 2% 93%  
287 2% 91%  
288 2% 89%  
289 3% 87% Last Result
290 4% 84%  
291 4% 80%  
292 5% 77%  
293 4% 72%  
294 4% 68%  
295 6% 63%  
296 5% 58%  
297 4% 53% Median
298 5% 48%  
299 5% 44%  
300 4% 39%  
301 3% 35%  
302 4% 32%  
303 4% 27%  
304 3% 23%  
305 3% 20%  
306 3% 18%  
307 2% 15%  
308 2% 13%  
309 2% 10%  
310 1.3% 9%  
311 1.3% 7%  
312 1.1% 6%  
313 0.9% 5%  
314 0.6% 4%  
315 0.6% 3%  
316 0.4% 3%  
317 0.4% 2%  
318 0.3% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.3% 1.5%  
321 0.2% 1.2%  
322 0.1% 1.0%  
323 0.2% 0.9%  
324 0.1% 0.7%  
325 0.1% 0.6%  
326 0.1% 0.5%  
327 0.1% 0.4%  
328 0% 0.3%  
329 0% 0.3%  
330 0.1% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.1% 99.6%  
245 0.1% 99.5%  
246 0.1% 99.5%  
247 0.1% 99.4%  
248 0.1% 99.3%  
249 0.2% 99.2%  
250 0% 99.0%  
251 0.1% 99.0%  
252 0.1% 98.9%  
253 0.2% 98.8%  
254 0.1% 98.6%  
255 0.1% 98.6%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.1% 98%  
258 0.1% 98%  
259 0.2% 98%  
260 0.2% 98%  
261 0.2% 98%  
262 0.4% 98%  
263 0.5% 97%  
264 0.3% 97%  
265 0.5% 96%  
266 1.0% 96%  
267 0.7% 95%  
268 0.6% 94%  
269 2% 93%  
270 2% 92%  
271 0.8% 90%  
272 2% 89%  
273 4% 87%  
274 2% 83%  
275 1.4% 82%  
276 5% 80%  
277 6% 75%  
278 1.4% 69%  
279 3% 67%  
280 10% 64%  
281 4% 54%  
282 2% 50% Median
283 6% 49%  
284 8% 43%  
285 2% 35%  
286 3% 33%  
287 7% 30%  
288 3% 23%  
289 2% 20%  
290 3% 18%  
291 4% 15%  
292 1.1% 11%  
293 1.0% 10%  
294 3% 9%  
295 2% 6%  
296 0.4% 5%  
297 0.9% 4%  
298 1.2% 4%  
299 0.5% 2%  
300 0.3% 2% Last Result
301 0.5% 2%  
302 0.3% 1.0%  
303 0.1% 0.7%  
304 0.2% 0.6%  
305 0.2% 0.4%  
306 0.1% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0.1% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0.1% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.8%  
215 0.2% 99.7%  
216 0.2% 99.6%  
217 0.4% 99.4%  
218 0.4% 99.0%  
219 0.7% 98.6%  
220 0.9% 98% Last Result
221 1.0% 97%  
222 1.2% 96%  
223 1.3% 95%  
224 1.3% 94%  
225 1.4% 92%  
226 2% 91%  
227 2% 89%  
228 2% 87%  
229 3% 85%  
230 3% 83%  
231 3% 79%  
232 5% 76%  
233 6% 71%  
234 4% 65%  
235 6% 61%  
236 8% 56% Median
237 5% 47%  
238 5% 42%  
239 5% 37%  
240 6% 32%  
241 3% 26%  
242 3% 23%  
243 3% 19%  
244 2% 17%  
245 2% 14%  
246 1.4% 12%  
247 1.4% 11%  
248 2% 10%  
249 1.2% 8%  
250 1.0% 7%  
251 1.1% 6%  
252 0.9% 5%  
253 0.9% 4%  
254 0.6% 3%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.4% 2%  
257 0.2% 1.4%  
258 0.2% 1.1%  
259 0.2% 0.9%  
260 0.1% 0.8%  
261 0.1% 0.6%  
262 0.1% 0.5%  
263 0.1% 0.4%  
264 0.1% 0.3%  
265 0% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.2%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.2% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.5%  
151 0.3% 99.2%  
152 0.4% 98.9%  
153 0.6% 98%  
154 0.9% 98%  
155 1.2% 97%  
156 1.4% 96%  
157 2% 94%  
158 2% 93%  
159 4% 91%  
160 3% 87%  
161 3% 84%  
162 4% 81%  
163 4% 77%  
164 4% 73%  
165 7% 68%  
166 4% 61%  
167 6% 57%  
168 5% 51% Median
169 5% 46%  
170 6% 41%  
171 5% 35%  
172 4% 30%  
173 4% 26%  
174 4% 23%  
175 2% 18%  
176 4% 16%  
177 3% 12%  
178 2% 10%  
179 1.4% 8%  
180 1.3% 6%  
181 1.1% 5%  
182 0.9% 4%  
183 0.7% 3%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.3% 1.2%  
187 0.2% 0.9%  
188 0.2% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0.2% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0.2% 99.5%  
111 0.1% 99.3%  
112 0.1% 99.2%  
113 0.1% 99.1%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0.1% 98.8%  
116 0.1% 98.7%  
117 0.2% 98.6%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.3% 97%  
138 0.6% 97%  
139 0.8% 96%  
140 1.0% 95%  
141 1.3% 94%  
142 2% 93%  
143 2% 91%  
144 2% 89%  
145 4% 87%  
146 4% 83%  
147 4% 79%  
148 4% 75%  
149 5% 71%  
150 5% 66%  
151 5% 61%  
152 6% 55%  
153 6% 49% Median
154 6% 44%  
155 4% 38%  
156 6% 33%  
157 4% 28%  
158 4% 24%  
159 3% 19%  
160 3% 16%  
161 3% 13%  
162 2% 10%  
163 2% 8%  
164 1.3% 6%  
165 1.2% 5%  
166 0.9% 3%  
167 0.8% 3%  
168 0.6% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.1%  
170 0.3% 0.9%  
171 0.2% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations