Opinion Poll by GMS, 9–15 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 31.7% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.2% 28.9–34.7% 28.1–35.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 239 225–255 221–259 218–265 211–273
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 128 117–141 114–144 111–147 106–154
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 113 102–124 99–128 97–131 92–137
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 59–77 57–80 55–82 52–88
Die Linke 69 61 52–69 51–72 49–75 45–79
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 55 48–64 46–66 44–69 41–73
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 39–53 0–55 0–57 0–61

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 99.9%  
206 0% 99.9%  
207 0% 99.9%  
208 0.1% 99.8%  
209 0.1% 99.8%  
210 0.1% 99.7%  
211 0.1% 99.6%  
212 0.1% 99.5%  
213 0.2% 99.3%  
214 0.3% 99.1%  
215 0.4% 98.8%  
216 0.5% 98%  
217 0.4% 98%  
218 0.5% 98%  
219 0.7% 97%  
220 0.8% 96%  
221 1.0% 96%  
222 1.0% 95%  
223 1.2% 94%  
224 2% 92%  
225 2% 91%  
226 2% 89%  
227 2% 87%  
228 2% 85%  
229 2% 83%  
230 3% 80%  
231 2% 78%  
232 2% 75%  
233 3% 73%  
234 3% 69%  
235 4% 67%  
236 4% 63%  
237 4% 59%  
238 4% 55%  
239 3% 51% Median
240 4% 48%  
241 3% 43%  
242 3% 41%  
243 3% 38%  
244 4% 35%  
245 2% 31%  
246 3% 29%  
247 2% 26%  
248 3% 24%  
249 3% 21%  
250 2% 18%  
251 2% 16%  
252 1.3% 15%  
253 2% 13%  
254 1.2% 11%  
255 1.1% 10%  
256 1.4% 9%  
257 1.1% 8%  
258 0.8% 6%  
259 0.6% 6%  
260 0.7% 5%  
261 0.4% 4%  
262 0.5% 4%  
263 0.4% 3%  
264 0.3% 3%  
265 0.5% 3%  
266 0.6% 2%  
267 0.2% 2%  
268 0.2% 1.4%  
269 0.2% 1.2%  
270 0.2% 1.0%  
271 0.1% 0.9%  
272 0.1% 0.7%  
273 0.2% 0.7%  
274 0.1% 0.5%  
275 0.1% 0.4%  
276 0.1% 0.3%  
277 0.1% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.2% 99.6%  
107 0.2% 99.4%  
108 0.2% 99.2%  
109 0.5% 99.0%  
110 0.6% 98%  
111 0.6% 98%  
112 1.0% 97%  
113 0.8% 96%  
114 1.1% 95%  
115 1.3% 94%  
116 2% 93%  
117 2% 91%  
118 3% 89%  
119 3% 86%  
120 3% 83%  
121 2% 81%  
122 3% 78%  
123 6% 75%  
124 4% 69%  
125 4% 65%  
126 5% 62%  
127 4% 57%  
128 3% 53% Median
129 6% 50%  
130 5% 44%  
131 4% 39%  
132 4% 35%  
133 3% 31%  
134 3% 29%  
135 3% 25%  
136 3% 22%  
137 4% 20%  
138 2% 16%  
139 2% 14%  
140 2% 12%  
141 1.2% 10%  
142 1.3% 9%  
143 2% 8%  
144 1.2% 6%  
145 1.0% 4%  
146 0.7% 3%  
147 0.5% 3%  
148 0.3% 2%  
149 0.4% 2%  
150 0.4% 1.4%  
151 0.2% 1.0%  
152 0.1% 0.8%  
153 0.1% 0.6%  
154 0.1% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.2% 99.7%  
93 0.2% 99.4%  
94 0.2% 99.2%  
95 0.4% 98.9%  
96 0.8% 98.5%  
97 0.6% 98%  
98 0.9% 97%  
99 1.4% 96%  
100 2% 95%  
101 1.3% 93%  
102 2% 92%  
103 2% 90%  
104 4% 87%  
105 2% 84%  
106 4% 82%  
107 4% 77%  
108 4% 74%  
109 3% 70%  
110 5% 67%  
111 4% 61%  
112 4% 57%  
113 3% 52% Median
114 6% 49%  
115 5% 44%  
116 4% 38%  
117 3% 35%  
118 5% 32%  
119 4% 27%  
120 3% 23%  
121 3% 20%  
122 2% 17%  
123 3% 15%  
124 2% 12%  
125 2% 10%  
126 1.3% 8%  
127 0.9% 7%  
128 1.1% 6%  
129 1.3% 5%  
130 0.6% 3%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.4% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.4%  
135 0.3% 1.1%  
136 0.2% 0.8%  
137 0.2% 0.6%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 0.3% 99.6%  
53 0.5% 99.3%  
54 0.7% 98.7%  
55 0.9% 98%  
56 1.2% 97%  
57 2% 96%  
58 2% 94%  
59 3% 92%  
60 3% 89%  
61 3% 87%  
62 3% 83%  
63 4% 80%  
64 4% 76%  
65 5% 71%  
66 4% 66%  
67 6% 62%  
68 4% 57%  
69 7% 52% Median
70 7% 46%  
71 5% 39%  
72 5% 34%  
73 4% 28%  
74 5% 24%  
75 4% 19%  
76 4% 15%  
77 3% 11%  
78 2% 9%  
79 1.4% 7%  
80 1.1% 5%  
81 1.0% 4%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.2% 1.3%  
86 0.3% 1.1%  
87 0.2% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.6%  
46 0.3% 99.4%  
47 0.4% 99.1%  
48 0.8% 98.7%  
49 0.9% 98%  
50 2% 97%  
51 3% 95%  
52 3% 92%  
53 4% 90%  
54 5% 86%  
55 5% 81%  
56 4% 76%  
57 5% 73%  
58 4% 68%  
59 5% 63%  
60 6% 58%  
61 5% 52% Median
62 5% 47%  
63 8% 42%  
64 7% 34%  
65 5% 27%  
66 5% 22%  
67 3% 17%  
68 2% 13%  
69 2% 11% Last Result
70 2% 9%  
71 1.3% 8%  
72 2% 7%  
73 1.3% 5%  
74 0.8% 4%  
75 0.9% 3%  
76 0.6% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.2%  
78 0.2% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.4% 99.6%  
42 0.5% 99.2%  
43 0.6% 98.7%  
44 1.0% 98%  
45 2% 97%  
46 2% 95% Last Result
47 3% 93%  
48 3% 90%  
49 4% 87%  
50 4% 83%  
51 5% 79%  
52 5% 74%  
53 7% 69%  
54 7% 62%  
55 5% 55% Median
56 6% 49%  
57 6% 44%  
58 6% 37%  
59 5% 31%  
60 5% 26%  
61 4% 21%  
62 3% 17%  
63 3% 14%  
64 2% 11%  
65 2% 8%  
66 2% 6%  
67 1.3% 5%  
68 1.0% 4%  
69 0.7% 3%  
70 0.5% 2%  
71 0.4% 1.4%  
72 0.4% 1.0%  
73 0.2% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0.1% 92%  
38 2% 92%  
39 4% 90%  
40 5% 86%  
41 6% 81%  
42 6% 75%  
43 7% 70%  
44 6% 63%  
45 7% 56% Median
46 6% 49%  
47 8% 43%  
48 6% 35%  
49 5% 29%  
50 4% 23%  
51 4% 19%  
52 4% 15%  
53 3% 11%  
54 2% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 1.2% 4%  
57 0.9% 3%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.4% 1.1%  
61 0.3% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 535 100% 522–552 518–568 515–575 509–585
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 467 100% 452–481 446–485 442–489 432–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 451 100% 436–467 431–470 426–474 417–480
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 422 100% 408–441 403–449 400–457 392–467
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 408 100% 393–426 388–433 384–440 378–452
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 407 100% 390–422 384–426 379–430 370–436
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 363 76% 347–381 343–386 339–393 332–405
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 339 9% 321–354 314–358 308–362 297–369
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 302 0% 287–319 283–325 279–330 273–339
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 285 0% 267–301 259–305 252–309 240–316
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 241 0% 227–257 223–262 220–266 213–275
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 174 0% 161–187 158–192 155–195 149–203
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 158 0% 142–171 123–174 116–178 108–184

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 99.9%  
503 0% 99.9%  
504 0% 99.9%  
505 0.1% 99.8%  
506 0.1% 99.8%  
507 0.1% 99.7%  
508 0.1% 99.6%  
509 0.1% 99.5%  
510 0.2% 99.4%  
511 0.3% 99.2%  
512 0.4% 99.0%  
513 0.4% 98.6%  
514 0.5% 98%  
515 0.5% 98%  
516 0.7% 97%  
517 0.8% 96%  
518 0.8% 96%  
519 1.0% 95%  
520 1.4% 94%  
521 1.4% 92%  
522 2% 91%  
523 2% 89%  
524 2% 87%  
525 2% 85%  
526 4% 83%  
527 3% 79%  
528 3% 76%  
529 4% 73%  
530 4% 70%  
531 3% 66%  
532 4% 63%  
533 3% 59%  
534 3% 56%  
535 4% 52% Median
536 4% 48%  
537 3% 44%  
538 3% 41%  
539 3% 38%  
540 3% 35%  
541 3% 32%  
542 3% 28%  
543 2% 26%  
544 2% 24%  
545 3% 22%  
546 2% 19%  
547 2% 17%  
548 1.4% 15%  
549 2% 14%  
550 0.7% 12%  
551 1.2% 11%  
552 0.7% 10%  
553 0.6% 10%  
554 0.5% 9%  
555 0.4% 9%  
556 0.3% 8%  
557 0.2% 8%  
558 0.2% 8%  
559 0.3% 7%  
560 0.2% 7%  
561 0.3% 7%  
562 0.2% 7%  
563 0.3% 6%  
564 0.2% 6%  
565 0.3% 6%  
566 0.1% 6%  
567 0.3% 5%  
568 0.3% 5%  
569 0.3% 5%  
570 0.4% 5%  
571 0.5% 4%  
572 0.3% 4%  
573 0.4% 3%  
574 0.2% 3%  
575 0.4% 3%  
576 0.3% 2%  
577 0.3% 2%  
578 0.2% 2%  
579 0.3% 2%  
580 0.2% 1.4%  
581 0.2% 1.1%  
582 0.1% 1.0%  
583 0.2% 0.9%  
584 0.1% 0.7%  
585 0.1% 0.5%  
586 0.1% 0.5%  
587 0.1% 0.4%  
588 0.1% 0.3%  
589 0% 0.2%  
590 0% 0.2%  
591 0.1% 0.1%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.5%  
434 0.1% 99.3%  
435 0.2% 99.3%  
436 0.2% 99.1%  
437 0.2% 98.9%  
438 0.1% 98.7%  
439 0.2% 98.6%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.5% 98%  
442 0.3% 98%  
443 0.5% 97%  
444 0.4% 97%  
445 0.8% 96%  
446 0.7% 96%  
447 0.5% 95%  
448 1.2% 94%  
449 1.0% 93%  
450 1.1% 92%  
451 1.0% 91%  
452 2% 90%  
453 2% 88%  
454 1.2% 87%  
455 1.3% 85%  
456 3% 84%  
457 3% 81%  
458 3% 78%  
459 1.2% 75%  
460 2% 74%  
461 3% 72%  
462 5% 69%  
463 4% 64%  
464 3% 60%  
465 4% 57%  
466 3% 54%  
467 3% 51% Median
468 4% 47%  
469 4% 43%  
470 4% 40%  
471 2% 35%  
472 3% 34%  
473 4% 31%  
474 5% 27%  
475 1.2% 23%  
476 1.0% 21%  
477 2% 20%  
478 3% 18%  
479 2% 15%  
480 1.5% 12%  
481 1.3% 11%  
482 1.1% 10%  
483 2% 9%  
484 1.1% 7%  
485 2% 6%  
486 0.7% 4%  
487 0.6% 4%  
488 0.4% 3%  
489 0.5% 3%  
490 0.6% 2%  
491 0.2% 1.4%  
492 0.2% 1.2%  
493 0.1% 1.0%  
494 0.3% 0.8%  
495 0.2% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0.1% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0.1% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0.1% 99.6%  
416 0.1% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.1% 99.4%  
419 0.2% 99.3%  
420 0.2% 99.2%  
421 0.1% 98.9%  
422 0.2% 98.8%  
423 0.3% 98.6%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.5% 98%  
426 0.4% 98%  
427 0.3% 97%  
428 0.5% 97%  
429 0.7% 96%  
430 0.5% 96%  
431 0.6% 95%  
432 0.8% 95%  
433 0.9% 94%  
434 1.3% 93%  
435 1.1% 92%  
436 1.4% 91%  
437 2% 89%  
438 2% 88%  
439 2% 86%  
440 2% 84%  
441 2% 82%  
442 2% 80%  
443 3% 78%  
444 3% 75%  
445 4% 72%  
446 3% 68%  
447 3% 65%  
448 3% 62%  
449 2% 59%  
450 3% 56%  
451 3% 53%  
452 3% 50% Median
453 3% 46%  
454 3% 44%  
455 3% 40%  
456 3% 37%  
457 3% 34%  
458 3% 31%  
459 3% 28%  
460 2% 25%  
461 3% 23%  
462 2% 20%  
463 2% 18%  
464 2% 16%  
465 2% 14%  
466 2% 12%  
467 2% 10%  
468 1.2% 8%  
469 1.4% 7%  
470 0.8% 6%  
471 1.0% 5%  
472 0.7% 4%  
473 0.6% 3%  
474 0.5% 3%  
475 0.3% 2%  
476 0.4% 2%  
477 0.3% 1.3%  
478 0.2% 1.0%  
479 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
480 0.2% 0.7%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0.1% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.2% 99.3%  
395 0.2% 99.1%  
396 0.2% 99.0%  
397 0.4% 98.7%  
398 0.4% 98%  
399 0.3% 98%  
400 0.7% 98%  
401 0.7% 97%  
402 0.6% 96%  
403 0.8% 96%  
404 1.0% 95%  
405 1.0% 94%  
406 1.0% 93%  
407 2% 92%  
408 1.4% 90%  
409 1.4% 89%  
410 2% 87%  
411 3% 85%  
412 1.5% 83%  
413 2% 81%  
414 4% 79%  
415 2% 75%  
416 3% 72%  
417 3% 70%  
418 4% 67%  
419 3% 63%  
420 3% 60%  
421 3% 57%  
422 5% 54% Median
423 2% 49%  
424 4% 46%  
425 4% 43%  
426 3% 39%  
427 2% 36%  
428 3% 34%  
429 3% 31%  
430 2% 28%  
431 2% 26%  
432 2% 23%  
433 1.5% 21%  
434 1.5% 20%  
435 2% 18%  
436 2% 16%  
437 1.2% 15%  
438 0.9% 13%  
439 1.4% 12%  
440 0.8% 11%  
441 0.8% 10%  
442 0.8% 9%  
443 1.0% 9%  
444 0.5% 8%  
445 0.8% 7%  
446 0.4% 6%  
447 0.3% 6%  
448 0.4% 6%  
449 0.7% 5%  
450 0.4% 5%  
451 0.2% 4%  
452 0.2% 4%  
453 0.3% 4%  
454 0.1% 3%  
455 0.6% 3%  
456 0.2% 3%  
457 0.3% 3%  
458 0.3% 2%  
459 0.3% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.2% 1.4%  
463 0.2% 1.2%  
464 0.1% 1.0%  
465 0.2% 0.9%  
466 0.1% 0.7%  
467 0.2% 0.6%  
468 0% 0.5%  
469 0% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.4%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0.1% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.7%  
376 0% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.2% 99.5%  
379 0.3% 99.3%  
380 0.1% 99.0%  
381 0.1% 98.9%  
382 0.4% 98.8%  
383 0.7% 98%  
384 0.5% 98%  
385 0.2% 97%  
386 0.3% 97%  
387 0.7% 97%  
388 2% 96%  
389 1.1% 94%  
390 0.7% 93%  
391 0.4% 92%  
392 1.4% 92%  
393 3% 90%  
394 2% 87%  
395 0.7% 85%  
396 1.2% 84%  
397 2% 83%  
398 5% 81%  
399 4% 76% Last Result
400 1.3% 72%  
401 1.4% 71%  
402 4% 69%  
403 4% 65%  
404 4% 61%  
405 1.2% 57%  
406 1.2% 56%  
407 5% 55% Median
408 5% 50%  
409 4% 45%  
410 1.2% 41%  
411 1.0% 40%  
412 4% 39%  
413 4% 36%  
414 4% 31%  
415 1.1% 28%  
416 2% 27%  
417 2% 25%  
418 4% 24%  
419 2% 19%  
420 0.9% 17%  
421 0.8% 16%  
422 1.4% 16%  
423 2% 14%  
424 1.3% 12%  
425 0.8% 11%  
426 0.6% 10%  
427 1.2% 10%  
428 0.9% 8%  
429 1.0% 7%  
430 0.3% 6%  
431 0.3% 6%  
432 0.6% 6%  
433 0.7% 5%  
434 0.4% 5%  
435 0.3% 4%  
436 0.3% 4%  
437 0.2% 4%  
438 0.5% 3%  
439 0.2% 3%  
440 0.3% 3%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.1% 2%  
443 0.2% 2%  
444 0.4% 2%  
445 0.1% 2%  
446 0.3% 1.4%  
447 0.1% 1.1%  
448 0.1% 1.0%  
449 0.1% 0.9%  
450 0.1% 0.7%  
451 0.1% 0.7%  
452 0.1% 0.6%  
453 0.1% 0.5%  
454 0.1% 0.4%  
455 0.1% 0.3%  
456 0.1% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.8%  
366 0% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.1% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.1% 99.5%  
371 0.1% 99.4%  
372 0.1% 99.4%  
373 0.2% 99.3%  
374 0.1% 99.1%  
375 0.3% 99.0%  
376 0.2% 98.7%  
377 0.2% 98.5%  
378 0.5% 98%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.3% 97%  
381 0.3% 97%  
382 0.6% 97%  
383 0.8% 96%  
384 0.9% 96%  
385 0.6% 95%  
386 0.6% 94%  
387 1.0% 93%  
388 1.0% 92%  
389 1.0% 91%  
390 1.0% 91%  
391 2% 90%  
392 1.4% 88%  
393 1.2% 86%  
394 1.2% 85%  
395 2% 84%  
396 3% 82%  
397 2% 79%  
398 2% 78%  
399 3% 76%  
400 3% 73%  
401 2% 70%  
402 3% 68%  
403 4% 65%  
404 3% 62%  
405 4% 59%  
406 2% 55%  
407 3% 53%  
408 4% 50% Median
409 3% 45%  
410 3% 43%  
411 6% 39%  
412 2% 34%  
413 3% 31%  
414 2% 29%  
415 4% 27%  
416 3% 23%  
417 2% 20%  
418 2% 18%  
419 2% 16%  
420 2% 14% Last Result
421 1.3% 12%  
422 1.1% 11%  
423 2% 10%  
424 1.0% 7%  
425 1.0% 6%  
426 0.7% 5%  
427 0.6% 5%  
428 1.0% 4%  
429 0.7% 3%  
430 0.5% 3%  
431 0.5% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.2% 1.3%  
434 0.3% 1.2%  
435 0.3% 0.9%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.3%  
440 0.1% 0.2%  
441 0.1% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.8%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.7%  
332 0.2% 99.6%  
333 0.2% 99.5%  
334 0.2% 99.3%  
335 0.2% 99.1%  
336 0.1% 98.9%  
337 0.4% 98.8%  
338 0.3% 98%  
339 0.7% 98%  
340 0.6% 97% Last Result
341 0.4% 97%  
342 0.5% 96%  
343 0.9% 96%  
344 1.3% 95%  
345 1.3% 94%  
346 1.3% 92%  
347 1.1% 91%  
348 0.8% 90%  
349 1.5% 89%  
350 2% 88%  
351 4% 86%  
352 2% 82%  
353 2% 80%  
354 2% 78%  
355 2% 76% Majority
356 4% 74%  
357 4% 70%  
358 3% 66%  
359 3% 63%  
360 2% 60%  
361 2% 58%  
362 3% 56%  
363 6% 53% Median
364 4% 47%  
365 3% 44%  
366 2% 41%  
367 2% 39%  
368 3% 37%  
369 3% 34%  
370 4% 30%  
371 3% 27%  
372 2% 24%  
373 1.2% 23%  
374 2% 21%  
375 2% 19%  
376 2% 17%  
377 2% 15%  
378 1.2% 13%  
379 0.9% 12%  
380 0.7% 11%  
381 1.3% 10%  
382 1.1% 9%  
383 1.1% 8%  
384 0.8% 7%  
385 0.5% 6%  
386 0.5% 5%  
387 0.5% 5%  
388 0.6% 5%  
389 0.5% 4%  
390 0.4% 3%  
391 0.2% 3%  
392 0.2% 3%  
393 0.3% 3%  
394 0.2% 2%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.1% 2%  
398 0.1% 2%  
399 0.2% 1.5%  
400 0.1% 1.3%  
401 0.1% 1.2%  
402 0.1% 1.0%  
403 0.2% 0.9%  
404 0.2% 0.7%  
405 0.1% 0.5%  
406 0% 0.5%  
407 0.1% 0.4%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0.1% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.7%  
295 0% 99.6%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.2% 99.5%  
298 0.1% 99.4%  
299 0.1% 99.3%  
300 0.1% 99.2%  
301 0.2% 99.1%  
302 0.1% 98.9%  
303 0.1% 98.7%  
304 0.4% 98.6%  
305 0.1% 98%  
306 0.2% 98%  
307 0.2% 98%  
308 0.4% 98%  
309 0.2% 97%  
310 0.5% 97%  
311 0.3% 97%  
312 0.5% 96%  
313 0.5% 96%  
314 0.4% 95%  
315 0.6% 95%  
316 0.3% 94%  
317 0.5% 94%  
318 0.9% 93%  
319 0.8% 93%  
320 0.8% 92%  
321 2% 91%  
322 1.1% 89%  
323 1.0% 88%  
324 1.1% 87%  
325 2% 86%  
326 1.2% 84% Last Result
327 1.3% 82%  
328 2% 81%  
329 2% 79%  
330 1.3% 76%  
331 3% 75%  
332 3% 72%  
333 3% 70%  
334 3% 67%  
335 3% 64%  
336 3% 61%  
337 2% 57%  
338 5% 55%  
339 3% 50% Median
340 2% 47%  
341 5% 45%  
342 3% 40%  
343 3% 37%  
344 2% 34%  
345 5% 32%  
346 1.4% 27%  
347 3% 26%  
348 3% 23%  
349 3% 21%  
350 1.2% 18%  
351 3% 16%  
352 2% 14%  
353 1.5% 12%  
354 1.0% 11%  
355 2% 9% Majority
356 1.0% 7%  
357 0.7% 6%  
358 0.8% 6%  
359 0.9% 5%  
360 0.7% 4%  
361 0.4% 3%  
362 0.7% 3%  
363 0.4% 2%  
364 0.2% 2%  
365 0.4% 2%  
366 0.2% 1.2%  
367 0.3% 1.0%  
368 0.1% 0.7%  
369 0.1% 0.6%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0.1% 0.3%  
372 0% 0.3%  
373 0.1% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.9%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.5%  
274 0.3% 99.4%  
275 0.3% 99.1%  
276 0.2% 98.8%  
277 0.2% 98.7%  
278 0.5% 98%  
279 0.5% 98%  
280 0.7% 97%  
281 1.0% 97%  
282 0.6% 96%  
283 0.7% 95%  
284 1.0% 95%  
285 1.0% 94%  
286 2% 93%  
287 1.1% 90%  
288 1.3% 89%  
289 2% 88% Last Result
290 2% 86%  
291 2% 84%  
292 2% 82%  
293 3% 80%  
294 4% 77%  
295 2% 73%  
296 3% 71%  
297 2% 69%  
298 6% 66%  
299 3% 61%  
300 3% 57%  
301 4% 55%  
302 3% 50% Median
303 2% 47%  
304 4% 45%  
305 3% 41%  
306 4% 38%  
307 3% 35%  
308 2% 32%  
309 3% 30%  
310 3% 27%  
311 2% 24%  
312 2% 22%  
313 3% 21%  
314 2% 18%  
315 1.2% 16%  
316 1.2% 15%  
317 1.4% 14%  
318 2% 12%  
319 1.0% 10%  
320 1.0% 9%  
321 1.0% 9%  
322 1.0% 8%  
323 0.6% 7%  
324 0.6% 6%  
325 0.9% 5%  
326 0.8% 4%  
327 0.6% 4%  
328 0.3% 3%  
329 0.3% 3%  
330 0.4% 3%  
331 0.5% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.2% 1.5%  
334 0.3% 1.3%  
335 0.1% 1.0%  
336 0.2% 0.9%  
337 0.1% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0.1% 99.5%  
241 0.1% 99.4%  
242 0.1% 99.4%  
243 0.1% 99.2%  
244 0.1% 99.1%  
245 0.2% 99.1%  
246 0.3% 98.9%  
247 0.2% 98.6%  
248 0.3% 98%  
249 0.2% 98%  
250 0.1% 98%  
251 0.2% 98%  
252 0.2% 98%  
253 0.1% 97%  
254 0.3% 97%  
255 0.4% 97%  
256 0.4% 97%  
257 0.4% 96%  
258 0.3% 96%  
259 0.6% 95%  
260 0.3% 95%  
261 0.5% 95%  
262 0.4% 94%  
263 0.8% 94%  
264 0.6% 93%  
265 0.6% 92%  
266 1.0% 92%  
267 0.9% 91%  
268 0.6% 90%  
269 1.1% 89%  
270 1.0% 88%  
271 1.1% 87%  
272 2% 86%  
273 2% 84%  
274 2% 82%  
275 2% 80%  
276 2% 78%  
277 3% 76%  
278 2% 73%  
279 2% 72%  
280 3% 69%  
281 3% 66%  
282 4% 64%  
283 4% 60%  
284 3% 56%  
285 3% 53%  
286 3% 50% Median
287 3% 47%  
288 2% 44%  
289 4% 41%  
290 2% 38%  
291 3% 36%  
292 4% 32%  
293 3% 28%  
294 3% 25%  
295 2% 22%  
296 2% 20%  
297 1.4% 18%  
298 3% 17%  
299 2% 14%  
300 1.4% 12% Last Result
301 2% 11%  
302 1.2% 9%  
303 1.2% 8%  
304 1.3% 6%  
305 0.7% 5%  
306 0.6% 4%  
307 0.7% 4%  
308 0.5% 3%  
309 0.5% 3%  
310 0.5% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.4% 1.4%  
313 0.2% 1.1%  
314 0.2% 0.9%  
315 0.2% 0.7%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0.1% 0.3%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 99.9%  
208 0% 99.9%  
209 0% 99.9%  
210 0.1% 99.8%  
211 0.1% 99.8%  
212 0.1% 99.7%  
213 0.2% 99.6%  
214 0.1% 99.4%  
215 0.2% 99.3%  
216 0.3% 99.1%  
217 0.3% 98.8%  
218 0.4% 98.6%  
219 0.5% 98%  
220 0.7% 98% Last Result
221 0.6% 97%  
222 0.7% 96%  
223 0.7% 96%  
224 1.3% 95%  
225 1.2% 94%  
226 2% 93%  
227 1.2% 91%  
228 2% 90%  
229 2% 88%  
230 2% 86%  
231 3% 84%  
232 3% 82%  
233 3% 78%  
234 3% 75%  
235 3% 73%  
236 3% 70%  
237 3% 67%  
238 4% 64%  
239 4% 59%  
240 3% 55%  
241 4% 52% Median
242 3% 48%  
243 3% 46%  
244 3% 42%  
245 3% 40%  
246 4% 37%  
247 3% 32%  
248 2% 29%  
249 3% 27%  
250 2% 24%  
251 2% 22%  
252 2% 20%  
253 3% 18%  
254 2% 16%  
255 2% 14%  
256 1.4% 12%  
257 1.2% 11%  
258 1.1% 10%  
259 2% 8%  
260 0.9% 7%  
261 0.8% 6%  
262 0.5% 5%  
263 0.7% 5%  
264 0.5% 4%  
265 0.3% 3%  
266 0.8% 3%  
267 0.5% 2%  
268 0.3% 2%  
269 0.2% 2%  
270 0.3% 1.4%  
271 0.1% 1.1%  
272 0.1% 1.0%  
273 0.1% 0.9%  
274 0.2% 0.7%  
275 0.2% 0.6%  
276 0.1% 0.4%  
277 0.1% 0.3%  
278 0% 0.3%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.2% 99.5%  
150 0.2% 99.3%  
151 0.3% 99.1%  
152 0.3% 98.7%  
153 0.4% 98%  
154 0.4% 98%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.7% 97%  
157 0.6% 96%  
158 1.0% 96%  
159 1.3% 95%  
160 2% 93%  
161 2% 92%  
162 2% 90%  
163 3% 87%  
164 4% 85%  
165 3% 81%  
166 3% 78%  
167 3% 75%  
168 4% 72%  
169 3% 68%  
170 3% 65%  
171 2% 62%  
172 3% 60%  
173 4% 57%  
174 3% 52% Median
175 4% 49%  
176 5% 46%  
177 4% 41%  
178 4% 37%  
179 4% 33%  
180 3% 28%  
181 4% 25%  
182 3% 22%  
183 2% 19%  
184 2% 17%  
185 2% 15%  
186 1.3% 13%  
187 2% 11%  
188 0.8% 10%  
189 0.9% 9%  
190 2% 8%  
191 0.9% 6%  
192 0.8% 5%  
193 0.9% 5%  
194 0.7% 4%  
195 0.6% 3%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.3% 2%  
199 0.4% 1.5%  
200 0.2% 1.1%  
201 0.2% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.7%  
203 0.1% 0.6%  
204 0.1% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.3%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0.1% 99.5%  
109 0.2% 99.4%  
110 0.1% 99.2%  
111 0.2% 99.1%  
112 0.2% 98.9%  
113 0.3% 98.7%  
114 0.1% 98%  
115 0.3% 98%  
116 0.4% 98%  
117 0.4% 97%  
118 0.3% 97%  
119 0.3% 97%  
120 0.4% 96%  
121 0.5% 96%  
122 0.2% 96%  
123 0.4% 95%  
124 0.4% 95%  
125 0.2% 95%  
126 0.2% 94%  
127 0.1% 94%  
128 0.3% 94%  
129 0.2% 94%  
130 0.2% 94%  
131 0.1% 93%  
132 0.1% 93%  
133 0.2% 93%  
134 0.2% 93%  
135 0.2% 93%  
136 0.2% 92%  
137 0.2% 92%  
138 0.4% 92%  
139 0.4% 92%  
140 0.3% 91%  
141 0.8% 91%  
142 0.8% 90%  
143 0.9% 89%  
144 0.9% 88%  
145 1.2% 87%  
146 2% 86%  
147 1.3% 84%  
148 2% 83%  
149 2% 80%  
150 3% 78%  
151 3% 75%  
152 3% 72%  
153 2% 69%  
154 3% 67%  
155 5% 64%  
156 4% 58%  
157 3% 55%  
158 3% 52% Median
159 4% 49%  
160 6% 44%  
161 4% 39%  
162 3% 35%  
163 3% 32%  
164 4% 30%  
165 4% 26%  
166 2% 22%  
167 2% 20%  
168 2% 17%  
169 3% 15%  
170 2% 12%  
171 1.3% 10%  
172 1.2% 9%  
173 1.4% 8%  
174 1.4% 6%  
175 0.9% 5%  
176 0.7% 4%  
177 0.7% 3%  
178 0.6% 3%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.3% 1.3%  
182 0.3% 1.0%  
183 0.2% 0.8%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations