Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 19–22 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.5% 28.2–30.8% 27.9–31.2% 27.6–31.5% 27.0–32.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.5% 17.5–19.7% 17.1–20.0% 16.9–20.3% 16.4–20.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.8–16.4% 13.5–16.6% 13.1–17.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.5% 7.8–9.3% 7.5–9.6% 7.4–9.8% 7.0–10.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.6%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 220 211–230 208–233 206–236 201–242
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 138 130–146 128–149 127–152 122–156
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 112 104–120 103–122 101–124 97–129
Alternative für Deutschland 94 75 68–82 67–83 65–85 63–89
Die Linke 69 64 58–70 56–72 55–73 53–76
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 55 50–61 49–63 48–64 45–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 40–50 39–51 37–53 0–55

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
196 0% 100%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
201 0.2% 99.5%  
202 0.3% 99.4%  
203 0.4% 99.0%  
204 0.6% 98.7%  
205 0.5% 98%  
206 0.9% 98%  
207 0.7% 97%  
208 2% 96%  
209 1.3% 94%  
210 3% 93%  
211 3% 90%  
212 2% 88%  
213 4% 85%  
214 4% 81%  
215 2% 77%  
216 5% 75%  
217 6% 70%  
218 4% 64%  
219 6% 60%  
220 8% 54% Median
221 6% 46%  
222 3% 40%  
223 5% 37%  
224 4% 32%  
225 3% 28%  
226 5% 25%  
227 5% 20%  
228 2% 16%  
229 2% 13%  
230 2% 11%  
231 2% 9%  
232 0.9% 7%  
233 1.4% 6%  
234 1.0% 5%  
235 0.9% 4%  
236 0.4% 3%  
237 0.8% 2%  
238 0.3% 2%  
239 0.3% 1.2%  
240 0.2% 0.9%  
241 0.1% 0.7%  
242 0.1% 0.6%  
243 0.1% 0.5%  
244 0.1% 0.4%  
245 0% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.2% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.6%  
123 0.3% 99.5%  
124 0.6% 99.1%  
125 0.4% 98.5%  
126 0.6% 98%  
127 2% 98%  
128 2% 96%  
129 2% 93%  
130 5% 91%  
131 2% 86%  
132 3% 84%  
133 4% 81%  
134 4% 77%  
135 5% 73%  
136 4% 68%  
137 11% 64%  
138 6% 52% Median
139 4% 47%  
140 9% 43%  
141 6% 34%  
142 3% 29%  
143 5% 26%  
144 5% 21%  
145 3% 15%  
146 2% 12%  
147 3% 10%  
148 1.2% 7%  
149 0.9% 5%  
150 1.1% 5%  
151 0.9% 3%  
152 0.7% 3%  
153 0.5% 2%  
154 0.5% 1.3%  
155 0.2% 0.8%  
156 0.1% 0.6%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.3% 99.7%  
98 0.2% 99.5%  
99 0.9% 99.2%  
100 0.7% 98%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 1.0% 97%  
103 2% 96%  
104 4% 93%  
105 3% 90%  
106 4% 87%  
107 3% 83%  
108 5% 80%  
109 6% 75%  
110 8% 68%  
111 5% 61%  
112 7% 56% Median
113 4% 49%  
114 7% 45%  
115 8% 38%  
116 8% 30%  
117 4% 22%  
118 4% 18%  
119 4% 15%  
120 2% 11%  
121 3% 9%  
122 1.2% 6%  
123 1.1% 4%  
124 0.8% 3%  
125 0.8% 2%  
126 0.4% 2%  
127 0.5% 1.2%  
128 0.2% 0.7%  
129 0.2% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.5%  
64 0.7% 99.3%  
65 1.2% 98.6%  
66 1.2% 97%  
67 3% 96%  
68 4% 93%  
69 4% 90%  
70 6% 86%  
71 4% 80%  
72 6% 76%  
73 11% 70%  
74 7% 59%  
75 7% 52% Median
76 9% 45%  
77 5% 37%  
78 7% 32%  
79 7% 25%  
80 4% 18%  
81 4% 14%  
82 3% 10%  
83 3% 7%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.0% 3%  
86 0.8% 2%  
87 0.4% 1.2%  
88 0.3% 0.8%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.7%  
53 0.6% 99.5%  
54 1.0% 98.9%  
55 1.2% 98%  
56 2% 97%  
57 3% 94%  
58 4% 92%  
59 5% 87%  
60 6% 82%  
61 7% 76%  
62 9% 69%  
63 10% 60%  
64 8% 50% Median
65 7% 42%  
66 8% 35%  
67 5% 26%  
68 7% 21%  
69 3% 15% Last Result
70 4% 11%  
71 2% 7%  
72 2% 5%  
73 1.1% 3%  
74 0.9% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.3%  
76 0.3% 0.8%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.7%  
46 0.5% 99.4% Last Result
47 1.2% 98.9%  
48 2% 98%  
49 3% 96%  
50 4% 93%  
51 5% 88%  
52 6% 83%  
53 8% 77%  
54 11% 69%  
55 8% 58% Median
56 9% 50%  
57 11% 40%  
58 6% 29%  
59 6% 23%  
60 4% 17%  
61 4% 12%  
62 3% 9%  
63 2% 5%  
64 1.1% 3%  
65 0.7% 2%  
66 0.4% 1.1%  
67 0.3% 0.7%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0.7% 98%  
38 2% 97%  
39 4% 95%  
40 3% 91%  
41 8% 88%  
42 13% 81%  
43 7% 67%  
44 8% 60%  
45 8% 52% Median
46 17% 45%  
47 4% 28%  
48 6% 24%  
49 6% 18%  
50 6% 12%  
51 2% 6%  
52 1.3% 5%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.6% 1.3%  
55 0.3% 0.8%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 526 100% 517–535 514–539 512–544 507–566
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 458 100% 448–468 445–470 441–474 434–478
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 432 100% 422–442 418–445 415–447 408–452
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 413 100% 404–424 400–428 398–433 393–447
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 395 100% 385–405 381–408 377–411 368–415
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 388 100% 378–398 375–402 372–407 366–420
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 350 32% 341–361 338–365 335–369 329–378
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 320 0% 310–330 305–333 300–336 289–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 314 0% 304–324 301–328 298–332 294–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 295 0% 284–305 280–308 276–311 261–316
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 251 0% 240–261 238–264 235–267 231–274
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 176 0% 167–185 165–188 162–191 158–197
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 157 0% 148–166 145–168 140–170 116–174

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 99.9%  
504 0.1% 99.9%  
505 0.1% 99.8%  
506 0.1% 99.7%  
507 0.2% 99.6%  
508 0.4% 99.5%  
509 0.3% 99.1%  
510 0.4% 98.8%  
511 0.6% 98%  
512 0.9% 98%  
513 0.9% 97%  
514 2% 96%  
515 1.4% 94%  
516 2% 93%  
517 2% 91%  
518 4% 89%  
519 4% 85%  
520 3% 81%  
521 5% 78%  
522 7% 73%  
523 4% 66%  
524 6% 62%  
525 4% 56% Median
526 5% 53%  
527 8% 48%  
528 4% 40%  
529 4% 36%  
530 5% 31%  
531 5% 26%  
532 3% 21%  
533 4% 19%  
534 4% 14%  
535 2% 11%  
536 2% 9%  
537 0.9% 7%  
538 1.0% 6%  
539 0.8% 5%  
540 0.6% 4%  
541 0.5% 4%  
542 0.3% 3%  
543 0.3% 3%  
544 0.1% 3%  
545 0.1% 2%  
546 0% 2%  
547 0% 2%  
548 0% 2%  
549 0.1% 2%  
550 0% 2%  
551 0.1% 2%  
552 0% 2%  
553 0% 2%  
554 0.1% 2%  
555 0.2% 2%  
556 0.2% 2%  
557 0% 1.4%  
558 0% 1.4%  
559 0.1% 1.3%  
560 0% 1.3%  
561 0.1% 1.2%  
562 0.1% 1.2%  
563 0.2% 1.0%  
564 0.2% 0.9%  
565 0.1% 0.7%  
566 0.1% 0.5%  
567 0.1% 0.5%  
568 0.1% 0.4%  
569 0.1% 0.3%  
570 0% 0.2%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0.2% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.1% 99.5%  
435 0.1% 99.4%  
436 0.4% 99.4%  
437 0.2% 98.9%  
438 0.1% 98.7%  
439 0.2% 98.6%  
440 0.5% 98%  
441 0.8% 98%  
442 0.4% 97%  
443 0.3% 97%  
444 0.6% 96%  
445 2% 96%  
446 2% 94%  
447 1.2% 92%  
448 0.9% 91%  
449 2% 90%  
450 4% 87%  
451 5% 83%  
452 2% 78%  
453 2% 76%  
454 4% 73%  
455 6% 70%  
456 4% 63%  
457 8% 59%  
458 4% 51% Median
459 4% 47%  
460 6% 43%  
461 5% 37%  
462 2% 31%  
463 3% 29%  
464 6% 26%  
465 4% 20%  
466 2% 15%  
467 1.4% 14%  
468 2% 12%  
469 3% 10%  
470 3% 7%  
471 0.8% 5%  
472 0.4% 4%  
473 0.7% 3%  
474 1.0% 3%  
475 0.6% 2%  
476 0.2% 1.1%  
477 0.1% 0.8%  
478 0.2% 0.7%  
479 0.2% 0.5%  
480 0.1% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.6%  
407 0.1% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.5%  
409 0.2% 99.4%  
410 0.2% 99.3%  
411 0.2% 99.1%  
412 0.3% 98.9%  
413 0.5% 98.6%  
414 0.4% 98%  
415 0.8% 98%  
416 0.5% 97%  
417 0.7% 96%  
418 0.9% 96%  
419 1.2% 95%  
420 1.0% 94%  
421 1.4% 93%  
422 2% 91%  
423 2% 89%  
424 2% 88%  
425 4% 86%  
426 3% 82%  
427 6% 79%  
428 6% 73%  
429 4% 67%  
430 4% 63%  
431 5% 59%  
432 6% 54% Median
433 5% 48%  
434 3% 43%  
435 4% 41%  
436 8% 37%  
437 5% 29%  
438 4% 24%  
439 3% 20%  
440 4% 17%  
441 3% 13%  
442 2% 11%  
443 2% 9%  
444 1.2% 7%  
445 1.1% 6%  
446 1.0% 5%  
447 1.3% 4%  
448 0.5% 2%  
449 0.7% 2%  
450 0.3% 1.1%  
451 0.3% 0.8%  
452 0.2% 0.6%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0.2% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.4% 99.4%  
395 0.3% 99.0%  
396 0.4% 98.7%  
397 0.6% 98%  
398 0.6% 98%  
399 0.9% 97%  
400 1.2% 96%  
401 1.5% 95%  
402 1.2% 94%  
403 2% 92%  
404 3% 90%  
405 2% 88%  
406 3% 85%  
407 3% 82%  
408 4% 79%  
409 3% 75%  
410 5% 72%  
411 9% 67%  
412 4% 59%  
413 5% 55% Median
414 5% 50%  
415 4% 44%  
416 5% 40%  
417 4% 36%  
418 4% 31%  
419 3% 27%  
420 4% 24%  
421 3% 20%  
422 3% 17%  
423 2% 14%  
424 3% 12%  
425 1.2% 9%  
426 1.4% 8%  
427 1.2% 6%  
428 0.7% 5%  
429 0.6% 4%  
430 0.4% 4%  
431 0.5% 3%  
432 0.4% 3%  
433 0.3% 3%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.1% 2%  
436 0.4% 2%  
437 0.2% 2%  
438 0.1% 1.4%  
439 0.1% 1.3%  
440 0.1% 1.2%  
441 0.1% 1.1%  
442 0.1% 1.0%  
443 0.1% 0.9%  
444 0.1% 0.9%  
445 0.1% 0.8%  
446 0.2% 0.7%  
447 0% 0.5%  
448 0.1% 0.5%  
449 0.1% 0.4%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0.1% 0.3%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
358 0% 100%  
359 0.1% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.7%  
366 0% 99.6%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.5%  
369 0.1% 99.4%  
370 0.3% 99.3%  
371 0.1% 99.0%  
372 0.1% 99.0%  
373 0.2% 98.8%  
374 0.3% 98.6%  
375 0.4% 98%  
376 0.3% 98%  
377 0.4% 98%  
378 0.7% 97%  
379 0.6% 97%  
380 0.7% 96%  
381 1.0% 95%  
382 0.8% 94%  
383 2% 93%  
384 1.5% 92%  
385 3% 90%  
386 2% 88%  
387 3% 86%  
388 3% 82%  
389 3% 79%  
390 4% 76%  
391 5% 72%  
392 2% 68%  
393 10% 66%  
394 4% 55%  
395 4% 52% Median
396 5% 47%  
397 7% 42%  
398 3% 34%  
399 4% 31%  
400 4% 27%  
401 3% 23%  
402 3% 20%  
403 2% 16%  
404 2% 14%  
405 3% 11%  
406 2% 9%  
407 2% 7%  
408 1.0% 5%  
409 1.0% 4%  
410 0.7% 3%  
411 0.8% 3%  
412 0.4% 2%  
413 0.4% 1.4%  
414 0.3% 1.0%  
415 0.2% 0.7%  
416 0.1% 0.5%  
417 0.1% 0.3%  
418 0.1% 0.2%  
419 0.1% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0.1% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.2% 99.6%  
367 0.1% 99.4%  
368 0.2% 99.3%  
369 0.3% 99.1%  
370 0.3% 98.8%  
371 0.7% 98%  
372 0.7% 98%  
373 0.7% 97%  
374 1.1% 96%  
375 1.1% 95%  
376 1.2% 94%  
377 2% 93%  
378 2% 91%  
379 3% 89%  
380 3% 86%  
381 4% 84%  
382 3% 80%  
383 5% 77%  
384 4% 72%  
385 5% 68%  
386 6% 63%  
387 5% 57% Median
388 5% 52%  
389 4% 47%  
390 9% 43%  
391 5% 35%  
392 3% 30%  
393 3% 26%  
394 4% 23%  
395 3% 19%  
396 3% 16%  
397 2% 13%  
398 2% 11%  
399 1.5% 9% Last Result
400 1.3% 8%  
401 1.1% 7%  
402 0.6% 5%  
403 0.9% 5%  
404 0.5% 4%  
405 0.6% 3%  
406 0.3% 3%  
407 0.2% 3%  
408 0.2% 2%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.1% 2%  
411 0.1% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.3% 1.4%  
414 0.2% 1.1%  
415 0.2% 1.0%  
416 0.1% 0.8%  
417 0.1% 0.7%  
418 0% 0.6%  
419 0% 0.6%  
420 0.1% 0.6%  
421 0.1% 0.5%  
422 0.1% 0.4%  
423 0% 0.3%  
424 0.1% 0.3%  
425 0.1% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
324 0% 100%  
325 0.1% 99.9%  
326 0.1% 99.9%  
327 0.1% 99.8%  
328 0.1% 99.8%  
329 0.2% 99.7%  
330 0.2% 99.5%  
331 0.1% 99.3%  
332 0.5% 99.1%  
333 0.4% 98.7%  
334 0.6% 98%  
335 0.7% 98%  
336 1.0% 97%  
337 0.6% 96%  
338 1.1% 95%  
339 1.4% 94%  
340 3% 93% Last Result
341 2% 90%  
342 3% 88%  
343 2% 85%  
344 4% 83%  
345 3% 79%  
346 6% 75%  
347 6% 70%  
348 3% 63%  
349 7% 61%  
350 4% 54% Median
351 8% 50%  
352 3% 42%  
353 4% 38%  
354 3% 35%  
355 6% 32% Majority
356 3% 26%  
357 5% 22%  
358 2% 18%  
359 2% 16%  
360 3% 14%  
361 2% 11%  
362 2% 9%  
363 1.2% 7%  
364 1.2% 6%  
365 0.7% 5%  
366 0.7% 4%  
367 0.5% 4%  
368 0.6% 3%  
369 0.3% 3%  
370 0.5% 2%  
371 0.2% 2%  
372 0.1% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.2% 1.3%  
375 0.4% 1.1%  
376 0.1% 0.8%  
377 0.1% 0.7%  
378 0.1% 0.6%  
379 0.1% 0.5%  
380 0% 0.4%  
381 0.1% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0.1% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.1% 99.5%  
290 0.1% 99.4%  
291 0.1% 99.3%  
292 0.1% 99.2%  
293 0% 99.0%  
294 0.3% 99.0%  
295 0.1% 98.7%  
296 0.2% 98.6%  
297 0.1% 98%  
298 0.1% 98%  
299 0.3% 98%  
300 0.3% 98%  
301 0.2% 97%  
302 0.7% 97%  
303 0.4% 97%  
304 0.6% 96%  
305 0.6% 96%  
306 1.0% 95%  
307 0.9% 94%  
308 1.0% 93%  
309 1.4% 92%  
310 2% 91%  
311 2% 89%  
312 2% 87%  
313 2% 85%  
314 5% 82%  
315 2% 78%  
316 5% 75%  
317 6% 70%  
318 6% 64%  
319 4% 58%  
320 11% 55% Median
321 6% 44%  
322 4% 39%  
323 5% 35%  
324 2% 30%  
325 3% 27%  
326 4% 24% Last Result
327 4% 20%  
328 3% 16%  
329 3% 13%  
330 2% 11%  
331 1.4% 9%  
332 2% 7%  
333 1.0% 6%  
334 0.8% 5%  
335 1.0% 4%  
336 0.6% 3%  
337 0.7% 2%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.3% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.2% 0.7%  
342 0.1% 0.5%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0.1% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0.2% 99.5%  
295 0.3% 99.3%  
296 0.4% 99.0%  
297 0.4% 98.6%  
298 0.8% 98%  
299 0.7% 97%  
300 1.0% 97%  
301 1.0% 96%  
302 2% 95%  
303 2% 93%  
304 3% 91%  
305 2% 89%  
306 2% 86%  
307 3% 84%  
308 3% 80%  
309 4% 77%  
310 4% 73%  
311 3% 69%  
312 7% 66%  
313 5% 58%  
314 4% 53% Median
315 4% 48%  
316 10% 45%  
317 2% 34%  
318 5% 32%  
319 4% 28%  
320 3% 24%  
321 3% 21%  
322 3% 18%  
323 2% 14%  
324 3% 12%  
325 1.5% 10%  
326 2% 8%  
327 0.8% 7%  
328 1.0% 6%  
329 0.7% 5%  
330 0.6% 4%  
331 0.7% 3%  
332 0.4% 3%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.4% 2%  
335 0.3% 2%  
336 0.2% 1.4%  
337 0.1% 1.2%  
338 0.1% 1.0%  
339 0.3% 1.0%  
340 0.1% 0.7%  
341 0.1% 0.6%  
342 0.1% 0.5%  
343 0% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.4%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0.1% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.8%  
258 0% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.7%  
261 0.3% 99.7%  
262 0.1% 99.4%  
263 0.1% 99.3%  
264 0% 99.1%  
265 0.1% 99.1%  
266 0.2% 99.0%  
267 0.1% 98.8%  
268 0.2% 98.8%  
269 0.1% 98.5%  
270 0.1% 98%  
271 0.1% 98%  
272 0.1% 98%  
273 0.2% 98%  
274 0.1% 98%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.3% 97%  
278 0.4% 97%  
279 0.7% 97%  
280 1.1% 96%  
281 1.0% 95%  
282 0.9% 94%  
283 1.5% 93%  
284 2% 92%  
285 2% 90%  
286 2% 88%  
287 3% 85%  
288 5% 82%  
289 3% 77%  
290 3% 75%  
291 4% 72%  
292 6% 67%  
293 5% 61%  
294 4% 56%  
295 4% 52% Median
296 5% 48%  
297 5% 43%  
298 3% 38%  
299 8% 35%  
300 6% 28% Last Result
301 3% 22%  
302 3% 19%  
303 2% 16%  
304 3% 14%  
305 2% 11%  
306 2% 9%  
307 2% 7%  
308 1.1% 5%  
309 1.1% 4%  
310 0.5% 3%  
311 0.6% 3%  
312 0.7% 2%  
313 0.4% 1.3%  
314 0.3% 1.0%  
315 0.1% 0.7%  
316 0.2% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.3%  
318 0.1% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0.1% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0.1% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.2% 99.6%  
232 0.3% 99.4%  
233 0.4% 99.2%  
234 0.7% 98.8%  
235 0.6% 98%  
236 0.7% 97%  
237 1.3% 97%  
238 1.3% 95%  
239 2% 94%  
240 3% 93%  
241 2% 90%  
242 4% 88%  
243 2% 84%  
244 3% 82%  
245 5% 79%  
246 5% 74%  
247 5% 69%  
248 4% 64%  
249 3% 60%  
250 6% 57% Median
251 5% 50%  
252 6% 45%  
253 6% 39%  
254 4% 32%  
255 3% 28%  
256 3% 25%  
257 3% 23%  
258 5% 20%  
259 3% 15%  
260 2% 12%  
261 2% 10%  
262 2% 9%  
263 0.9% 6%  
264 1.2% 5%  
265 0.9% 4%  
266 0.8% 3%  
267 0.3% 3%  
268 0.7% 2%  
269 0.3% 2%  
270 0.3% 1.3%  
271 0.2% 0.9%  
272 0.1% 0.8%  
273 0.1% 0.7%  
274 0.1% 0.6%  
275 0.1% 0.5%  
276 0% 0.4%  
277 0.1% 0.3%  
278 0% 0.3%  
279 0.1% 0.3%  
280 0.1% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.4% 99.7%  
159 0.1% 99.3%  
160 0.4% 99.3%  
161 0.6% 98.8%  
162 1.0% 98%  
163 0.6% 97%  
164 0.6% 97%  
165 4% 96%  
166 0.6% 92%  
167 2% 92%  
168 4% 89%  
169 3% 86%  
170 4% 83%  
171 1.1% 78%  
172 10% 77%  
173 3% 67%  
174 4% 64%  
175 8% 60%  
176 4% 52% Median
177 8% 49%  
178 1.2% 41%  
179 11% 39%  
180 4% 28%  
181 2% 24%  
182 6% 22%  
183 2% 16%  
184 4% 15%  
185 0.4% 10%  
186 3% 10%  
187 2% 7%  
188 0.5% 5%  
189 1.3% 4%  
190 0.2% 3%  
191 1.0% 3%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.5%  
194 0.4% 1.2%  
195 0.2% 0.8%  
196 0.1% 0.7%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.6%  
116 0.1% 99.5%  
117 0.1% 99.5%  
118 0.3% 99.4%  
119 0.3% 99.1%  
120 0.1% 98.8%  
121 0.1% 98.7%  
122 0.1% 98.6%  
123 0.1% 98.5%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.2% 98%  
141 0.3% 97%  
142 0.3% 97%  
143 0.4% 97%  
144 0.7% 96%  
145 2% 96%  
146 0.8% 94%  
147 2% 93%  
148 1.2% 91%  
149 2% 90%  
150 5% 87%  
151 6% 82%  
152 4% 76%  
153 4% 73%  
154 5% 69%  
155 6% 64%  
156 7% 58%  
157 5% 51% Median
158 6% 46%  
159 4% 40%  
160 5% 36%  
161 5% 31%  
162 8% 26%  
163 3% 19%  
164 3% 15%  
165 2% 13%  
166 3% 11%  
167 2% 8%  
168 1.2% 6%  
169 1.3% 4%  
170 0.8% 3%  
171 0.6% 2%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.4% 1.1%  
174 0.2% 0.7%  
175 0.1% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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