Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 23–25 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 32.5% 30.8–34.3% 30.4–34.8% 29.9–35.2% 29.2–36.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.2–20.9% 16.9–21.3% 16.2–22.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.7–16.4% 13.4–16.8% 13.1–17.1% 12.5–17.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4% 7.5–10.7% 7.0–11.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.1% 5.7–9.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 249 232–265 228–269 224–273 218–279
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 145 134–158 131–161 128–164 122–170
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 115 104–126 101–129 99–132 94–137
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 61–78 59–80 57–82 53–87
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 58 50–65 48–68 46–70 43–74
Die Linke 69 54 47–62 45–64 44–66 40–70
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 0 0–44 0–45 0–47 0–51

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.8%  
216 0.1% 99.8%  
217 0.1% 99.7%  
218 0.1% 99.6%  
219 0.2% 99.5%  
220 0.2% 99.2%  
221 0.2% 99.1%  
222 0.6% 98.9%  
223 0.3% 98%  
224 0.6% 98%  
225 0.6% 97%  
226 0.5% 97%  
227 0.8% 96%  
228 0.7% 95%  
229 1.1% 95%  
230 1.2% 94%  
231 1.2% 92%  
232 2% 91%  
233 2% 89%  
234 2% 88%  
235 2% 86%  
236 2% 84%  
237 2% 82%  
238 3% 80%  
239 3% 78%  
240 2% 75%  
241 2% 72%  
242 2% 70%  
243 3% 68%  
244 2% 65%  
245 3% 63%  
246 4% 60%  
247 3% 56%  
248 3% 54%  
249 2% 50% Median
250 2% 48%  
251 2% 45%  
252 3% 43%  
253 4% 40%  
254 3% 36%  
255 2% 34%  
256 3% 32%  
257 3% 29%  
258 2% 25%  
259 2% 23%  
260 3% 21%  
261 3% 18%  
262 1.5% 16%  
263 2% 14%  
264 2% 13%  
265 2% 11%  
266 1.2% 10%  
267 2% 8%  
268 2% 7%  
269 0.7% 5%  
270 0.5% 4%  
271 0.5% 4%  
272 1.0% 4%  
273 0.4% 3%  
274 0.3% 2%  
275 0.3% 2%  
276 0.6% 2%  
277 0.1% 1.0%  
278 0.2% 0.8%  
279 0.1% 0.6%  
280 0.1% 0.5%  
281 0.1% 0.4%  
282 0.1% 0.3%  
283 0.1% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.6%  
123 0.3% 99.4%  
124 0.4% 99.1%  
125 0.2% 98.7%  
126 0.4% 98.5%  
127 0.6% 98%  
128 0.6% 98%  
129 0.8% 97%  
130 0.6% 96%  
131 2% 96%  
132 2% 94%  
133 2% 92%  
134 2% 90%  
135 3% 88%  
136 4% 84%  
137 2% 81%  
138 5% 79%  
139 4% 74%  
140 3% 70%  
141 4% 67%  
142 4% 63%  
143 4% 59%  
144 3% 55%  
145 3% 52% Median
146 3% 49%  
147 3% 46%  
148 3% 42%  
149 3% 39%  
150 4% 36%  
151 5% 32%  
152 3% 27%  
153 2% 24%  
154 4% 23%  
155 3% 19%  
156 2% 16%  
157 2% 13%  
158 2% 11%  
159 2% 9%  
160 2% 8%  
161 2% 6%  
162 0.7% 4%  
163 0.6% 4%  
164 0.5% 3%  
165 0.5% 2%  
166 0.6% 2%  
167 0.2% 1.4%  
168 0.3% 1.2%  
169 0.3% 0.9%  
170 0.2% 0.6%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.2% 99.6%  
95 0.2% 99.5%  
96 0.4% 99.2%  
97 0.4% 98.8%  
98 0.4% 98%  
99 0.8% 98%  
100 1.2% 97%  
101 0.9% 96%  
102 2% 95%  
103 2% 93%  
104 2% 92%  
105 2% 89%  
106 3% 87%  
107 3% 84%  
108 3% 81%  
109 4% 78%  
110 3% 73%  
111 5% 70%  
112 4% 65%  
113 3% 61%  
114 5% 57%  
115 5% 52% Median
116 4% 47%  
117 4% 43%  
118 4% 39%  
119 4% 34%  
120 5% 30%  
121 3% 26%  
122 4% 23%  
123 3% 19%  
124 3% 16%  
125 2% 13%  
126 2% 11%  
127 2% 9%  
128 1.1% 7%  
129 1.2% 6%  
130 1.0% 4%  
131 0.9% 3%  
132 0.6% 3%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.5% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.0%  
136 0.2% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.6%  
138 0.2% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.7%  
54 0.4% 99.4%  
55 0.6% 99.0%  
56 0.7% 98%  
57 0.8% 98%  
58 2% 97%  
59 2% 95%  
60 2% 94%  
61 4% 92%  
62 4% 87%  
63 5% 84%  
64 5% 79%  
65 5% 73%  
66 5% 69%  
67 6% 64%  
68 6% 58%  
69 4% 52% Median
70 6% 47%  
71 7% 41%  
72 5% 35%  
73 5% 29%  
74 5% 25%  
75 4% 20%  
76 3% 16%  
77 3% 13%  
78 2% 10%  
79 2% 8%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.3% 4%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.3% 1.2%  
86 0.2% 0.8%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.4% 99.7%  
44 0.6% 99.3%  
45 0.5% 98.8%  
46 0.9% 98% Last Result
47 1.1% 97%  
48 1.4% 96%  
49 2% 95%  
50 3% 93%  
51 4% 90%  
52 4% 86%  
53 5% 82%  
54 7% 77%  
55 6% 71%  
56 8% 65%  
57 6% 57%  
58 8% 51% Median
59 6% 43%  
60 6% 37%  
61 5% 31%  
62 4% 26%  
63 4% 22%  
64 4% 17%  
65 4% 14%  
66 2% 10%  
67 2% 8%  
68 2% 5%  
69 1.0% 4%  
70 0.9% 3%  
71 0.5% 2%  
72 0.4% 1.3%  
73 0.3% 0.9%  
74 0.2% 0.7%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.3% 99.7%  
41 0.3% 99.4%  
42 0.5% 99.1%  
43 1.0% 98.6%  
44 2% 98%  
45 3% 96%  
46 3% 93%  
47 2% 90%  
48 3% 88%  
49 5% 85%  
50 8% 80%  
51 9% 72%  
52 6% 64%  
53 5% 58%  
54 5% 53% Median
55 8% 48%  
56 8% 40%  
57 7% 32%  
58 4% 25%  
59 3% 21%  
60 3% 18%  
61 3% 14%  
62 3% 11%  
63 3% 8%  
64 1.2% 5%  
65 1.1% 4%  
66 0.8% 3%  
67 0.7% 2%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.5% 1.0% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0% 45%  
4 0% 45%  
5 0% 45%  
6 0% 45%  
7 0% 45%  
8 0% 45%  
9 0% 45%  
10 0% 45%  
11 0% 45%  
12 0% 45%  
13 0% 45%  
14 0% 45%  
15 0% 45%  
16 0% 45%  
17 0% 45%  
18 0% 45%  
19 0% 45%  
20 0% 45%  
21 0% 45%  
22 0% 45%  
23 0% 45%  
24 0% 45%  
25 0% 45%  
26 0% 45%  
27 0% 45%  
28 0% 45%  
29 0% 45%  
30 0% 45%  
31 0% 45%  
32 0% 45%  
33 0% 45%  
34 0% 45%  
35 0% 45%  
36 0% 45%  
37 0.7% 45%  
38 8% 45%  
39 6% 36%  
40 4% 30%  
41 4% 26%  
42 5% 22%  
43 4% 16%  
44 5% 12%  
45 3% 7%  
46 2% 4%  
47 0.8% 3%  
48 0.5% 2%  
49 0.4% 1.4%  
50 0.4% 1.0%  
51 0.3% 0.6%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 571 100% 542–590 538–594 535–596 529–602
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 471 100% 455–486 451–491 448–494 441–502
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 453 100% 429–474 425–478 421–480 415–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 440 100% 423–458 419–462 416–466 408–473
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 422 100% 400–443 395–447 392–450 385–457
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 394 99.9% 376–413 372–417 368–421 361–428
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 376 91% 355–395 351–400 347–404 340–411
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 325 3% 306–346 300–350 297–355 290–362
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 315 0.1% 296–333 292–337 288–341 281–348
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 279 0% 258–301 254–306 250–309 244–316
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 261 0% 244–277 240–281 236–285 230–292
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 169 0% 156–182 152–186 149–189 143–195
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 129 0% 111–159 108–163 105–166 100–172

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 100%  
519 0% 100%  
520 0% 100%  
521 0% 100%  
522 0% 100%  
523 0% 100%  
524 0% 99.9%  
525 0% 99.9%  
526 0.1% 99.9%  
527 0.1% 99.8%  
528 0.1% 99.7%  
529 0.1% 99.6%  
530 0.2% 99.5%  
531 0.2% 99.3%  
532 0.4% 99.1%  
533 0.3% 98.7%  
534 0.4% 98%  
535 0.6% 98%  
536 0.8% 97%  
537 0.7% 97%  
538 1.1% 96%  
539 1.2% 95%  
540 1.3% 94%  
541 1.4% 92%  
542 1.2% 91%  
543 2% 90%  
544 2% 88%  
545 2% 86%  
546 2% 84%  
547 2% 82%  
548 2% 80%  
549 3% 78%  
550 3% 75%  
551 2% 72%  
552 3% 71%  
553 2% 68%  
554 2% 66%  
555 2% 65%  
556 1.3% 63%  
557 2% 61%  
558 1.0% 60%  
559 1.0% 59%  
560 1.0% 58%  
561 0.6% 57%  
562 0.5% 56%  
563 0.7% 56%  
564 0.6% 55%  
565 0.4% 54%  
566 0.4% 54%  
567 0.7% 54% Median
568 0.7% 53%  
569 0.7% 52%  
570 0.5% 52%  
571 1.4% 51%  
572 2% 50%  
573 0.9% 48%  
574 1.1% 47%  
575 2% 46%  
576 1.0% 44%  
577 2% 43%  
578 2% 41%  
579 2% 38%  
580 2% 36%  
581 3% 34%  
582 3% 31%  
583 4% 28%  
584 2% 25%  
585 1.2% 22%  
586 4% 21%  
587 2% 17%  
588 2% 15%  
589 2% 13%  
590 2% 12%  
591 2% 9%  
592 1.1% 7%  
593 0.7% 6%  
594 1.0% 5%  
595 2% 4%  
596 0.4% 3%  
597 0.4% 2%  
598 0.6% 2%  
599 0.4% 1.3%  
600 0.3% 0.9%  
601 0.1% 0.6%  
602 0.2% 0.5%  
603 0.1% 0.4%  
604 0.1% 0.2%  
605 0.1% 0.2%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0.1%  
608 0% 0.1%  
609 0% 0.1%  
610 0% 0.1%  
611 0% 0.1%  
612 0% 0.1%  
613 0% 0.1%  
614 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.8%  
439 0.1% 99.8%  
440 0.1% 99.7%  
441 0.2% 99.5%  
442 0.3% 99.4%  
443 0.5% 99.1%  
444 0.1% 98.6%  
445 0.3% 98.5%  
446 0.2% 98%  
447 0.4% 98%  
448 0.5% 98%  
449 0.8% 97%  
450 0.8% 96%  
451 1.2% 96%  
452 1.2% 94% Median
453 0.7% 93%  
454 2% 92%  
455 0.7% 91%  
456 1.2% 90%  
457 1.4% 89%  
458 3% 87%  
459 3% 84%  
460 3% 82%  
461 3% 79%  
462 1.2% 76%  
463 3% 75%  
464 2% 72%  
465 3% 70%  
466 2% 68%  
467 3% 65%  
468 4% 62%  
469 5% 59%  
470 3% 54%  
471 3% 51%  
472 2% 48%  
473 3% 45%  
474 3% 43%  
475 4% 40%  
476 3% 36%  
477 4% 33%  
478 3% 29%  
479 3% 26%  
480 3% 23%  
481 2% 21%  
482 2% 19%  
483 1.1% 17%  
484 2% 15%  
485 2% 14%  
486 2% 12%  
487 1.2% 9%  
488 1.3% 8%  
489 0.7% 7%  
490 0.9% 6%  
491 0.7% 5%  
492 0.6% 5%  
493 0.8% 4%  
494 1.0% 3%  
495 0.5% 2%  
496 0.4% 2%  
497 0.2% 1.4%  
498 0.2% 1.2%  
499 0.2% 1.0%  
500 0.2% 0.8%  
501 0.1% 0.6%  
502 0.1% 0.5%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0.1% 99.9%  
411 0.1% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.1% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.4%  
417 0.3% 99.2%  
418 0.4% 98.9%  
419 0.3% 98%  
420 0.3% 98%  
421 0.4% 98%  
422 0.4% 97%  
423 0.7% 97%  
424 0.8% 96%  
425 0.8% 96%  
426 1.1% 95%  
427 2% 94%  
428 1.2% 92%  
429 0.8% 91%  
430 0.6% 90%  
431 2% 89%  
432 1.4% 88%  
433 2% 86%  
434 1.1% 84%  
435 3% 83%  
436 2% 80%  
437 3% 78%  
438 2% 74%  
439 0.7% 72%  
440 1.1% 71%  
441 2% 70%  
442 2% 69%  
443 2% 67%  
444 3% 65%  
445 2% 62%  
446 0.9% 60%  
447 2% 59%  
448 1.1% 58%  
449 1.2% 57%  
450 1.0% 55%  
451 2% 55%  
452 2% 53% Median
453 1.0% 50%  
454 2% 49%  
455 0.8% 47%  
456 1.3% 46%  
457 1.4% 45%  
458 3% 43%  
459 2% 41%  
460 3% 38%  
461 2% 35%  
462 1.0% 33%  
463 2% 32%  
464 1.5% 29%  
465 1.3% 28%  
466 2% 27%  
467 2% 25%  
468 3% 23%  
469 3% 20%  
470 2% 17%  
471 2% 15%  
472 1.2% 13%  
473 1.1% 11%  
474 0.8% 10%  
475 1.1% 10%  
476 1.2% 8%  
477 2% 7%  
478 1.3% 6%  
479 1.1% 4%  
480 0.9% 3%  
481 0.5% 2%  
482 0.2% 2%  
483 0.2% 2%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.3% 1.3%  
486 0.3% 1.1%  
487 0.2% 0.8%  
488 0.2% 0.5%  
489 0.1% 0.4%  
490 0.1% 0.3%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.4%  
411 0.3% 99.2%  
412 0.2% 98.9%  
413 0.3% 98.7%  
414 0.4% 98%  
415 0.5% 98%  
416 0.5% 98%  
417 1.0% 97%  
418 0.4% 96%  
419 0.9% 96%  
420 1.1% 95%  
421 0.9% 94%  
422 2% 93% Median
423 1.1% 91%  
424 1.0% 90%  
425 2% 89%  
426 2% 87%  
427 2% 85%  
428 2% 83%  
429 3% 81%  
430 2% 78%  
431 3% 77%  
432 2% 74%  
433 2% 72%  
434 3% 70%  
435 3% 67%  
436 3% 63%  
437 2% 60%  
438 3% 58%  
439 3% 55%  
440 3% 53%  
441 2% 50%  
442 3% 48%  
443 4% 45%  
444 2% 41%  
445 3% 39%  
446 2% 36%  
447 3% 33%  
448 2% 30%  
449 2% 28%  
450 3% 26%  
451 2% 23%  
452 2% 21%  
453 2% 19%  
454 2% 17%  
455 2% 15%  
456 2% 13%  
457 1.0% 11%  
458 1.1% 10%  
459 0.6% 9%  
460 2% 8%  
461 0.8% 6%  
462 1.3% 6%  
463 0.8% 4%  
464 0.5% 4%  
465 0.5% 3%  
466 0.7% 3%  
467 0.4% 2%  
468 0.2% 2%  
469 0.3% 1.3%  
470 0.1% 1.0%  
471 0.2% 0.8%  
472 0.1% 0.6%  
473 0.1% 0.6%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0.1% 0.3%  
476 0.1% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1% Last Result
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0.1% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0.1% 99.6%  
385 0.1% 99.5%  
386 0.2% 99.4%  
387 0.3% 99.2%  
388 0.3% 99.0%  
389 0.2% 98.7%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.5% 98%  
392 0.6% 98%  
393 0.5% 97%  
394 0.9% 97%  
395 1.0% 96%  
396 0.9% 95%  
397 1.2% 94%  
398 1.0% 93%  
399 1.0% 92% Last Result
400 2% 91%  
401 2% 89%  
402 1.2% 87%  
403 0.9% 86%  
404 2% 85%  
405 2% 83%  
406 2% 82%  
407 2% 80%  
408 2% 78%  
409 3% 76%  
410 2% 74%  
411 3% 72%  
412 1.3% 69%  
413 2% 68%  
414 2% 66%  
415 1.4% 63%  
416 1.2% 62%  
417 2% 61%  
418 2% 59%  
419 2% 57%  
420 2% 55%  
421 2% 54%  
422 2% 52% Median
423 2% 50%  
424 2% 48%  
425 2% 46%  
426 2% 44%  
427 2% 42%  
428 2% 39%  
429 3% 37%  
430 2% 35%  
431 3% 33%  
432 2% 31%  
433 2% 29%  
434 2% 27%  
435 3% 25%  
436 2% 22%  
437 2% 20%  
438 2% 18%  
439 1.4% 16%  
440 2% 15%  
441 1.0% 13%  
442 1.3% 12%  
443 2% 10%  
444 2% 8%  
445 1.1% 7%  
446 0.7% 6%  
447 1.0% 5%  
448 0.8% 4%  
449 0.5% 3%  
450 0.4% 3%  
451 0.4% 2%  
452 0.5% 2%  
453 0.2% 1.5%  
454 0.3% 1.3%  
455 0.2% 1.0%  
456 0.2% 0.8%  
457 0.1% 0.6%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.3%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0.1% 99.9%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.6%  
362 0.2% 99.4%  
363 0.1% 99.2%  
364 0.4% 99.1%  
365 0.2% 98.7%  
366 0.5% 98.5%  
367 0.5% 98%  
368 0.4% 98%  
369 0.4% 97%  
370 0.6% 97%  
371 0.8% 96%  
372 0.9% 95%  
373 0.6% 94%  
374 1.4% 94%  
375 2% 92%  
376 1.0% 91% Median
377 2% 90%  
378 2% 88%  
379 1.5% 86%  
380 2% 85%  
381 2% 82%  
382 2% 81%  
383 2% 79%  
384 1.4% 76%  
385 2% 75%  
386 2% 73%  
387 2% 71%  
388 4% 69%  
389 3% 65%  
390 3% 62%  
391 2% 59%  
392 3% 57%  
393 2% 54%  
394 3% 52%  
395 3% 49%  
396 2% 47%  
397 2% 44%  
398 2% 42%  
399 2% 40%  
400 3% 38%  
401 2% 35%  
402 3% 33%  
403 2% 30%  
404 3% 28%  
405 2% 25%  
406 2% 23%  
407 2% 21%  
408 2% 19%  
409 1.4% 17%  
410 2% 15%  
411 1.4% 13%  
412 2% 12%  
413 1.2% 10%  
414 1.5% 9%  
415 1.1% 8%  
416 0.8% 7%  
417 1.0% 6%  
418 0.8% 5%  
419 0.6% 4%  
420 0.7% 3% Last Result
421 0.4% 3%  
422 0.6% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.2% 1.4%  
425 0.2% 1.2%  
426 0.2% 1.0%  
427 0.1% 0.7%  
428 0.2% 0.6%  
429 0.1% 0.4%  
430 0.1% 0.4%  
431 0.1% 0.3%  
432 0.1% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.8%  
337 0.1% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.7%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.2% 99.6% Last Result
341 0.2% 99.4%  
342 0.3% 99.2%  
343 0.2% 99.0%  
344 0.2% 98.8%  
345 0.4% 98.6%  
346 0.4% 98%  
347 0.6% 98%  
348 0.7% 97%  
349 0.5% 96%  
350 0.7% 96%  
351 1.3% 95%  
352 1.0% 94%  
353 1.1% 93%  
354 1.1% 92%  
355 1.4% 91% Majority
356 1.3% 89%  
357 1.2% 88%  
358 2% 87%  
359 2% 85%  
360 2% 83%  
361 2% 82%  
362 2% 80%  
363 1.3% 78%  
364 3% 77%  
365 2% 74%  
366 3% 72%  
367 2% 69%  
368 3% 67%  
369 2% 64%  
370 2% 63%  
371 2% 61%  
372 2% 59%  
373 1.3% 57%  
374 3% 56%  
375 2% 53%  
376 2% 51% Median
377 3% 49%  
378 2% 46%  
379 2% 44%  
380 3% 42%  
381 2% 39%  
382 2% 37%  
383 3% 35%  
384 1.4% 33%  
385 2% 31%  
386 2% 29%  
387 2% 27%  
388 3% 26%  
389 2% 23%  
390 2% 20%  
391 2% 18%  
392 2% 16%  
393 2% 15%  
394 2% 13%  
395 1.5% 11%  
396 1.0% 10%  
397 1.3% 9%  
398 1.2% 7%  
399 0.5% 6%  
400 0.9% 6%  
401 0.7% 5%  
402 1.0% 4%  
403 0.4% 3%  
404 0.6% 3%  
405 0.3% 2%  
406 0.5% 2%  
407 0.3% 1.3%  
408 0.2% 1.0%  
409 0.1% 0.8%  
410 0.2% 0.7%  
411 0.1% 0.5%  
412 0.1% 0.4%  
413 0% 0.3%  
414 0.1% 0.3%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0.1% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0.2% 99.5%  
292 0.2% 99.3%  
293 0.3% 99.0%  
294 0.2% 98.7%  
295 0.2% 98.5%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 0.6% 98%  
298 0.5% 97%  
299 0.7% 97%  
300 1.3% 96%  
301 0.8% 95%  
302 1.0% 94%  
303 0.6% 93%  
304 0.6% 92%  
305 1.4% 92%  
306 1.0% 90%  
307 3% 89% Median
308 1.3% 87%  
309 2% 85%  
310 3% 83%  
311 1.2% 80%  
312 2% 79%  
313 2% 77%  
314 2% 76%  
315 3% 74%  
316 2% 72%  
317 3% 70%  
318 4% 67%  
319 2% 63%  
320 2% 61%  
321 2% 59%  
322 1.2% 57%  
323 3% 56%  
324 2% 53%  
325 2% 51%  
326 3% 50% Last Result
327 2% 47%  
328 2% 45%  
329 2% 43%  
330 2% 40%  
331 2% 38%  
332 2% 36%  
333 2% 35%  
334 2% 33%  
335 2% 31%  
336 2% 29%  
337 3% 27%  
338 2% 24%  
339 2% 22%  
340 2% 20%  
341 2% 18%  
342 2% 17%  
343 1.4% 15%  
344 1.3% 13%  
345 1.3% 12%  
346 1.1% 11%  
347 2% 10%  
348 1.5% 8%  
349 0.5% 6%  
350 1.0% 6%  
351 0.7% 5%  
352 0.6% 4%  
353 0.6% 4%  
354 0.5% 3%  
355 0.7% 3% Majority
356 0.3% 2%  
357 0.3% 2%  
358 0.2% 1.2%  
359 0.2% 1.0%  
360 0.1% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.7%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.6%  
281 0.2% 99.6%  
282 0.1% 99.4%  
283 0.2% 99.3%  
284 0.2% 99.0%  
285 0.2% 98.8%  
286 0.2% 98.6%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 0.4% 98%  
289 0.7% 97% Last Result
290 0.6% 97%  
291 0.8% 96%  
292 1.0% 95%  
293 0.8% 94%  
294 1.1% 93%  
295 1.5% 92%  
296 1.2% 91%  
297 2% 90%  
298 1.4% 88%  
299 2% 87%  
300 1.4% 85%  
301 2% 83%  
302 2% 81%  
303 2% 79%  
304 2% 77%  
305 3% 75%  
306 2% 72%  
307 3% 70%  
308 2% 67%  
309 3% 65%  
310 2% 62%  
311 2% 60%  
312 2% 58%  
313 2% 56%  
314 3% 53% Median
315 3% 51%  
316 2% 48%  
317 3% 46%  
318 2% 43%  
319 3% 41%  
320 3% 38%  
321 4% 35%  
322 2% 31%  
323 2% 29%  
324 2% 27%  
325 1.4% 25%  
326 2% 24%  
327 2% 21%  
328 2% 19%  
329 2% 18%  
330 1.5% 15%  
331 2% 14%  
332 2% 12%  
333 1.0% 10%  
334 2% 9%  
335 1.4% 8%  
336 0.6% 6%  
337 0.9% 6%  
338 0.8% 5%  
339 0.6% 4%  
340 0.4% 3%  
341 0.4% 3%  
342 0.5% 2%  
343 0.5% 2%  
344 0.2% 1.5%  
345 0.4% 1.3%  
346 0.1% 0.9%  
347 0.2% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0.1% 0.3%  
351 0.1% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.6%  
244 0.1% 99.5%  
245 0.3% 99.4%  
246 0.2% 99.1%  
247 0.3% 98.9%  
248 0.3% 98.7%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.6% 98%  
251 0.5% 97%  
252 0.5% 97%  
253 1.0% 96%  
254 1.0% 95%  
255 1.3% 94%  
256 1.0% 93%  
257 1.2% 92%  
258 2% 91%  
259 2% 89%  
260 1.0% 88% Median
261 2% 87%  
262 2% 85%  
263 2% 83%  
264 1.2% 81%  
265 4% 80%  
266 1.4% 76%  
267 1.2% 74%  
268 3% 73%  
269 2% 70%  
270 3% 68%  
271 0.9% 66%  
272 2% 65%  
273 2% 63%  
274 1.2% 60%  
275 1.2% 59%  
276 3% 58%  
277 1.3% 54%  
278 1.4% 53%  
279 3% 52%  
280 2% 49%  
281 2% 47%  
282 1.2% 45%  
283 2% 44%  
284 1.4% 42%  
285 2% 40%  
286 1.3% 38%  
287 2% 37%  
288 3% 35%  
289 1.4% 32%  
290 2% 31%  
291 3% 29%  
292 1.4% 26%  
293 2% 25%  
294 2% 22%  
295 2% 21%  
296 1.5% 19%  
297 2% 17%  
298 1.2% 15%  
299 1.4% 14%  
300 1.0% 12% Last Result
301 2% 11%  
302 1.4% 10%  
303 1.0% 8%  
304 1.1% 7%  
305 1.1% 6%  
306 0.6% 5%  
307 0.7% 4%  
308 0.8% 4%  
309 0.5% 3%  
310 0.5% 2%  
311 0.4% 2%  
312 0.3% 2%  
313 0.2% 1.3%  
314 0.3% 1.1%  
315 0.2% 0.9%  
316 0.2% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0.1% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0.1% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.7%  
229 0.2% 99.7%  
230 0.2% 99.5%  
231 0.2% 99.4%  
232 0.2% 99.2%  
233 0.3% 99.0%  
234 0.2% 98.7%  
235 0.5% 98%  
236 0.7% 98%  
237 0.2% 97%  
238 1.0% 97%  
239 0.8% 96%  
240 0.7% 95%  
241 1.3% 95%  
242 1.1% 93%  
243 2% 92%  
244 1.3% 91%  
245 1.3% 89%  
246 3% 88%  
247 1.4% 86%  
248 2% 84%  
249 3% 82%  
250 2% 79%  
251 2% 77%  
252 3% 75%  
253 3% 72%  
254 2% 69%  
255 4% 67%  
256 2% 63%  
257 2% 61%  
258 3% 59%  
259 3% 55%  
260 2% 52% Median
261 3% 50%  
262 3% 47%  
263 3% 44%  
264 2% 41%  
265 4% 39%  
266 2% 34%  
267 1.3% 32%  
268 4% 31%  
269 2% 27%  
270 3% 25%  
271 1.2% 22%  
272 2% 21%  
273 2% 19%  
274 1.1% 16%  
275 1.1% 15%  
276 3% 14%  
277 1.2% 11%  
278 0.7% 10%  
279 2% 9%  
280 1.0% 7%  
281 1.1% 6%  
282 0.3% 5%  
283 1.2% 5%  
284 0.3% 3%  
285 0.6% 3%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.6% 2%  
288 0.4% 2%  
289 0.2% 1.3%  
290 0.3% 1.1%  
291 0.1% 0.7%  
292 0.2% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0.1% 0.3%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.2% 99.5%  
145 0.3% 99.3%  
146 0.3% 99.0%  
147 0.3% 98.8%  
148 0.4% 98%  
149 0.6% 98%  
150 0.8% 97%  
151 0.8% 97%  
152 1.2% 96%  
153 1.3% 95%  
154 1.1% 94%  
155 2% 92%  
156 1.2% 91%  
157 2% 90%  
158 2% 87%  
159 3% 85%  
160 3% 82%  
161 3% 80%  
162 3% 77%  
163 3% 74%  
164 3% 71%  
165 4% 67%  
166 3% 64%  
167 5% 61%  
168 4% 56%  
169 4% 52% Median
170 5% 48%  
171 4% 44%  
172 3% 40%  
173 4% 37%  
174 3% 33%  
175 4% 31%  
176 4% 26%  
177 2% 23%  
178 4% 21%  
179 2% 17%  
180 2% 15%  
181 2% 13%  
182 2% 11%  
183 2% 10%  
184 2% 8%  
185 0.9% 6%  
186 1.2% 6%  
187 0.8% 4%  
188 0.7% 4%  
189 0.7% 3%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.3% 1.4%  
193 0.4% 1.1%  
194 0.2% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.6%  
101 0.2% 99.5%  
102 0.4% 99.3%  
103 0.3% 98.9%  
104 0.7% 98.6%  
105 0.7% 98%  
106 0.9% 97%  
107 1.0% 96%  
108 1.3% 95%  
109 2% 94%  
110 2% 92%  
111 2% 91%  
112 2% 89%  
113 2% 87%  
114 2% 85%  
115 3% 82% Median
116 3% 80%  
117 3% 77%  
118 3% 74%  
119 2% 71%  
120 3% 69%  
121 2% 66%  
122 3% 64%  
123 2% 61%  
124 2% 59%  
125 2% 56%  
126 2% 54%  
127 1.5% 53%  
128 1.0% 51%  
129 1.0% 50%  
130 0.9% 49%  
131 0.8% 48%  
132 0.6% 48%  
133 0.5% 47%  
134 0.6% 47%  
135 0.3% 46%  
136 0.3% 46%  
137 0.7% 45%  
138 0.4% 45%  
139 0.3% 44%  
140 0.6% 44%  
141 1.3% 43%  
142 0.4% 42%  
143 0.9% 42%  
144 2% 41%  
145 2% 39%  
146 1.1% 37%  
147 2% 36%  
148 2% 34%  
149 2% 32%  
150 2% 30%  
151 2% 28%  
152 2% 26%  
153 2% 23%  
154 2% 21%  
155 3% 20%  
156 2% 17%  
157 2% 15%  
158 2% 13%  
159 2% 12%  
160 1.2% 9%  
161 1.2% 8%  
162 1.3% 7%  
163 0.9% 5%  
164 0.7% 4%  
165 1.0% 4%  
166 0.7% 3%  
167 0.3% 2%  
168 0.6% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.2%  
170 0.3% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.7%  
172 0.1% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations