Opinion Poll by Forsa, 22–26 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.5–32.3% 29.1–32.7% 28.8–33.1% 28.2–33.7%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.9–18.2% 15.6–18.5% 15.3–18.8% 14.8–19.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.0–16.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.3–12.0%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.4–8.0% 6.2–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.7–8.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 235 225–246 222–249 219–253 214–260
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 129 121–138 119–141 116–143 113–148
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 107 99–115 97–117 95–119 92–124
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 70–83 68–86 67–88 64–91
Die Linke 69 61 55–67 54–69 52–71 49–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 54 49–60 47–62 46–64 43–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 41–51 39–53 0–55 0–58

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 99.9%  
211 0.1% 99.9%  
212 0.1% 99.8%  
213 0.2% 99.8%  
214 0.2% 99.6%  
215 0.3% 99.4%  
216 0.3% 99.1%  
217 0.4% 98.9%  
218 0.6% 98%  
219 0.5% 98%  
220 0.9% 97%  
221 1.2% 97%  
222 1.2% 95%  
223 1.3% 94%  
224 2% 93%  
225 2% 91%  
226 3% 88%  
227 2% 85%  
228 6% 83%  
229 3% 77%  
230 4% 74%  
231 5% 70%  
232 5% 65%  
233 4% 60%  
234 4% 57%  
235 5% 52% Median
236 4% 47%  
237 4% 43%  
238 4% 39%  
239 6% 35%  
240 4% 29%  
241 4% 26%  
242 4% 22%  
243 3% 18%  
244 2% 14%  
245 2% 12%  
246 1.4% 10%  
247 2% 9%  
248 1.2% 7%  
249 0.9% 6%  
250 0.8% 5%  
251 0.8% 4%  
252 0.7% 3%  
253 0.3% 3%  
254 0.5% 2%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.2% 1.3%  
257 0.2% 1.1%  
258 0.2% 0.9%  
259 0.2% 0.7%  
260 0.1% 0.6%  
261 0.1% 0.5%  
262 0.1% 0.4%  
263 0.1% 0.3%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.2% 99.7%  
113 0.2% 99.6%  
114 0.4% 99.3%  
115 0.5% 98.9%  
116 0.9% 98%  
117 1.0% 97%  
118 1.3% 96%  
119 2% 95%  
120 2% 93%  
121 3% 91%  
122 3% 88%  
123 4% 85%  
124 4% 82%  
125 5% 78%  
126 5% 73%  
127 6% 68%  
128 6% 62%  
129 7% 56% Median
130 5% 49%  
131 7% 44%  
132 5% 37%  
133 5% 32%  
134 4% 27%  
135 5% 23%  
136 3% 17%  
137 4% 15%  
138 2% 11%  
139 2% 9%  
140 2% 7%  
141 1.2% 5%  
142 1.0% 4%  
143 0.8% 3%  
144 0.4% 2%  
145 0.6% 2%  
146 0.3% 1.1%  
147 0.2% 0.8%  
148 0.2% 0.6%  
149 0.1% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.4% 99.2%  
94 0.7% 98.8%  
95 0.9% 98%  
96 2% 97%  
97 1.4% 96%  
98 2% 94%  
99 3% 92%  
100 3% 89%  
101 5% 86%  
102 4% 81%  
103 5% 77%  
104 7% 72%  
105 5% 65%  
106 7% 60%  
107 7% 53% Median
108 7% 47%  
109 6% 40%  
110 5% 34%  
111 4% 28%  
112 5% 24%  
113 4% 19%  
114 4% 15%  
115 2% 11%  
116 2% 9%  
117 2% 7%  
118 1.2% 5%  
119 1.2% 4%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.5% 2%  
122 0.4% 1.2%  
123 0.2% 0.8%  
124 0.2% 0.6%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 0.5% 99.5%  
65 0.6% 99.1%  
66 1.0% 98%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 3% 94%  
70 4% 91%  
71 5% 87%  
72 4% 82%  
73 5% 78%  
74 8% 73%  
75 7% 65%  
76 6% 58%  
77 9% 52% Median
78 7% 42%  
79 7% 36%  
80 6% 29%  
81 6% 23%  
82 4% 17%  
83 3% 13%  
84 3% 9%  
85 2% 7%  
86 1.5% 5%  
87 1.0% 4%  
88 0.9% 3%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.2%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.7%  
50 0.5% 99.5%  
51 0.8% 99.0%  
52 1.2% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 3% 95%  
55 3% 92%  
56 6% 89%  
57 6% 83%  
58 6% 77%  
59 9% 71%  
60 8% 62%  
61 8% 55% Median
62 9% 46%  
63 7% 38%  
64 7% 31%  
65 5% 24%  
66 5% 19%  
67 4% 13%  
68 3% 10%  
69 2% 7% Last Result
70 2% 5%  
71 0.8% 3%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 0.5% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.8%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.7%  
44 0.5% 99.5%  
45 1.0% 99.0%  
46 2% 98% Last Result
47 2% 96%  
48 3% 94%  
49 4% 91%  
50 7% 87%  
51 8% 81%  
52 9% 72%  
53 7% 64%  
54 8% 57% Median
55 8% 49%  
56 10% 41%  
57 7% 31%  
58 5% 23%  
59 4% 18%  
60 4% 14%  
61 3% 10%  
62 3% 7%  
63 1.3% 4%  
64 0.9% 3%  
65 0.7% 2%  
66 0.4% 1.2%  
67 0.4% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 0.6% 97%  
39 2% 97%  
40 3% 95%  
41 4% 91%  
42 6% 87%  
43 7% 80%  
44 11% 74%  
45 9% 63%  
46 10% 54% Median
47 8% 43%  
48 9% 35%  
49 7% 27%  
50 6% 20%  
51 4% 14%  
52 3% 10%  
53 2% 7%  
54 1.5% 4%  
55 1.0% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.2% 0.6%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 526 100% 516–535 513–539 510–549 505–568
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 464 100% 453–475 450–478 447–480 440–485
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 442 100% 431–453 427–456 424–458 416–463
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 419 100% 408–430 405–434 402–440 397–456
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 411 100% 401–422 396–426 393–428 384–434
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 396 100% 385–408 382–412 379–418 374–431
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 366 90% 355–378 352–382 349–387 343–400
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 335 1.2% 324–346 320–349 315–352 304–357
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 298 0% 287–308 283–313 281–316 275–325
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 282 0% 271–293 266–296 260–299 245–304
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 237 0% 226–247 223–250 220–253 216–260
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 168 0% 159–178 156–180 154–183 150–189
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 153 0% 143–162 140–165 128–167 110–171

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 99.9%  
502 0.1% 99.9%  
503 0.1% 99.9%  
504 0.1% 99.8%  
505 0.2% 99.7%  
506 0.2% 99.5%  
507 0.4% 99.3%  
508 0.3% 98.9%  
509 0.3% 98.6%  
510 0.8% 98%  
511 0.5% 97%  
512 1.1% 97%  
513 1.4% 96%  
514 1.3% 95%  
515 2% 93%  
516 2% 91%  
517 3% 89%  
518 3% 86%  
519 5% 83%  
520 4% 78%  
521 2% 74%  
522 8% 71%  
523 3% 63%  
524 5% 60%  
525 5% 55% Median
526 4% 50%  
527 6% 46%  
528 3% 39%  
529 5% 36%  
530 6% 32%  
531 3% 25%  
532 6% 22%  
533 2% 17%  
534 3% 15%  
535 3% 12%  
536 1.1% 9%  
537 2% 8%  
538 0.9% 6%  
539 0.7% 5%  
540 0.5% 5%  
541 0.7% 4%  
542 0.3% 4%  
543 0.2% 3%  
544 0.3% 3%  
545 0.1% 3%  
546 0.1% 3%  
547 0.1% 3%  
548 0% 3%  
549 0% 3%  
550 0% 2%  
551 0% 2%  
552 0% 2%  
553 0% 2%  
554 0.1% 2%  
555 0.1% 2%  
556 0% 2%  
557 0.1% 2%  
558 0.1% 2%  
559 0.4% 2%  
560 0.1% 2%  
561 0.1% 1.5%  
562 0.1% 1.4%  
563 0.3% 1.3%  
564 0.1% 1.0%  
565 0.1% 0.9%  
566 0.1% 0.8%  
567 0.1% 0.7%  
568 0.1% 0.6%  
569 0.1% 0.5%  
570 0.1% 0.4%  
571 0.1% 0.3%  
572 0.1% 0.2%  
573 0% 0.2%  
574 0.1% 0.2%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0% 99.7%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.1% 99.6%  
441 0.2% 99.4%  
442 0.2% 99.3%  
443 0.2% 99.0%  
444 0.2% 98.9%  
445 0.2% 98.6%  
446 0.8% 98%  
447 0.7% 98%  
448 0.7% 97%  
449 0.7% 96%  
450 0.9% 96%  
451 1.1% 95%  
452 1.4% 94%  
453 3% 92%  
454 2% 90%  
455 2% 87%  
456 2% 85%  
457 3% 83%  
458 4% 80%  
459 4% 76%  
460 4% 72%  
461 5% 68%  
462 6% 63%  
463 4% 57%  
464 4% 54% Median
465 4% 49%  
466 5% 46%  
467 7% 41%  
468 5% 34%  
469 3% 29%  
470 3% 26%  
471 4% 23%  
472 2% 19%  
473 3% 17%  
474 3% 13%  
475 2% 10%  
476 2% 9%  
477 1.1% 6%  
478 1.1% 5%  
479 1.0% 4%  
480 0.9% 3%  
481 0.7% 2%  
482 0.4% 2%  
483 0.4% 1.3%  
484 0.2% 0.9%  
485 0.2% 0.7%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0.1% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.7%  
416 0.1% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.1% 99.4%  
419 0.1% 99.3%  
420 0.2% 99.2%  
421 0.4% 99.0%  
422 0.6% 98.5%  
423 0.4% 98%  
424 0.5% 98%  
425 0.5% 97%  
426 0.8% 97%  
427 1.1% 96%  
428 1.1% 95%  
429 1.0% 94%  
430 2% 93%  
431 2% 90%  
432 3% 89%  
433 2% 85%  
434 3% 83%  
435 2% 80%  
436 6% 78%  
437 3% 72%  
438 4% 69%  
439 5% 66%  
440 3% 61%  
441 6% 57%  
442 3% 51% Median
443 4% 48%  
444 4% 44%  
445 6% 40%  
446 3% 33%  
447 6% 30%  
448 4% 25%  
449 3% 21%  
450 3% 18%  
451 3% 15%  
452 2% 12%  
453 2% 10%  
454 2% 9%  
455 2% 7%  
456 1.2% 5%  
457 0.8% 4%  
458 0.6% 3%  
459 0.5% 2%  
460 0.7% 2%  
461 0.4% 1.2%  
462 0.3% 0.9%  
463 0.2% 0.6%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0.1% 0.3%  
466 0.1% 0.2%  
467 0.1% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0.1% 99.9%  
394 0.1% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.7%  
397 0.1% 99.5%  
398 0.2% 99.4%  
399 0.3% 99.2%  
400 0.4% 98.9%  
401 0.8% 98.5%  
402 0.7% 98%  
403 0.9% 97%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 1.4% 96%  
406 1.3% 94%  
407 2% 93%  
408 3% 91%  
409 2% 88%  
410 5% 86%  
411 2% 81%  
412 4% 80%  
413 3% 76%  
414 4% 73%  
415 5% 69%  
416 4% 64%  
417 4% 59%  
418 4% 55% Median
419 5% 50%  
420 3% 45%  
421 4% 41%  
422 4% 37%  
423 4% 33%  
424 4% 29%  
425 4% 25%  
426 3% 21%  
427 2% 18%  
428 3% 16%  
429 2% 13%  
430 2% 11%  
431 2% 9%  
432 1.3% 8%  
433 1.0% 6%  
434 0.7% 5%  
435 0.5% 5%  
436 0.5% 4%  
437 0.4% 4%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.4% 3%  
440 0.3% 3%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.2% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0.1% 2%  
445 0.1% 2%  
446 0.5% 2%  
447 0.2% 1.4%  
448 0.1% 1.2%  
449 0.1% 1.2%  
450 0.1% 1.1%  
451 0.1% 1.0%  
452 0.2% 0.9%  
453 0% 0.7%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.4%  
458 0.1% 0.3%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0.1% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0% 99.7%  
382 0% 99.7%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0.2% 99.6%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.2% 99.4%  
387 0.1% 99.2%  
388 0.2% 99.1%  
389 0.2% 98.9%  
390 0.4% 98.7%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.5% 98%  
394 0.6% 97%  
395 0.7% 97%  
396 0.9% 96%  
397 1.1% 95%  
398 1.1% 94%  
399 1.2% 93%  
400 1.5% 92%  
401 2% 90%  
402 3% 88%  
403 3% 85%  
404 3% 82%  
405 3% 79%  
406 4% 76%  
407 2% 72%  
408 5% 70%  
409 5% 64%  
410 7% 60%  
411 5% 53%  
412 4% 48% Median
413 6% 44%  
414 3% 38%  
415 4% 35%  
416 5% 31%  
417 3% 26%  
418 3% 23%  
419 3% 20%  
420 2% 17% Last Result
421 2% 14%  
422 2% 12%  
423 2% 10%  
424 2% 8%  
425 1.2% 6%  
426 1.3% 5%  
427 1.0% 4%  
428 0.7% 3%  
429 0.5% 2%  
430 0.5% 2%  
431 0.3% 1.3%  
432 0.2% 0.9%  
433 0.2% 0.7%  
434 0.1% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.4%  
436 0.1% 0.2%  
437 0.1% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.3% 99.6%  
375 0.3% 99.3%  
376 0.2% 99.1%  
377 0.3% 98.9%  
378 0.4% 98.6%  
379 0.9% 98%  
380 0.8% 97%  
381 1.0% 97%  
382 1.0% 96%  
383 1.0% 95%  
384 2% 94%  
385 3% 92%  
386 2% 89%  
387 2% 87%  
388 3% 84%  
389 2% 82%  
390 6% 79%  
391 3% 73%  
392 5% 70%  
393 3% 65%  
394 4% 62%  
395 5% 59%  
396 5% 54% Median
397 5% 49%  
398 5% 44%  
399 3% 39% Last Result
400 4% 36%  
401 5% 32%  
402 5% 27%  
403 3% 23%  
404 3% 20%  
405 2% 17%  
406 3% 15%  
407 2% 13%  
408 2% 11%  
409 1.1% 8%  
410 0.7% 7%  
411 0.7% 6%  
412 0.9% 6%  
413 1.0% 5%  
414 0.4% 4%  
415 0.3% 3%  
416 0.2% 3%  
417 0.3% 3%  
418 0.2% 3%  
419 0.2% 2%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.3% 2%  
422 0.3% 2%  
423 0.1% 1.4%  
424 0.1% 1.4%  
425 0.1% 1.3%  
426 0.1% 1.2%  
427 0.3% 1.1%  
428 0% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.7%  
430 0.1% 0.7%  
431 0.1% 0.6%  
432 0.1% 0.5%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0.1% 0.3%  
437 0.1% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
341 0% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.2% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.5%  
345 0.2% 99.4%  
346 0.4% 99.1%  
347 0.4% 98.7%  
348 0.7% 98%  
349 0.5% 98%  
350 0.9% 97%  
351 1.1% 96%  
352 1.2% 95%  
353 1.2% 94%  
354 2% 93%  
355 2% 90% Majority
356 2% 88%  
357 3% 86%  
358 2% 83%  
359 4% 81%  
360 3% 77%  
361 4% 73%  
362 6% 70%  
363 3% 63%  
364 5% 61%  
365 6% 56%  
366 4% 50% Median
367 6% 46%  
368 4% 41%  
369 3% 37%  
370 5% 33%  
371 3% 28%  
372 3% 25%  
373 4% 22%  
374 2% 18%  
375 1.4% 16%  
376 2% 15%  
377 2% 12%  
378 2% 11%  
379 1.4% 8%  
380 0.6% 7%  
381 1.2% 6%  
382 0.8% 5%  
383 0.5% 4%  
384 0.6% 4%  
385 0.3% 3%  
386 0.3% 3%  
387 0.3% 3%  
388 0.2% 2%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.1% 2%  
392 0.2% 1.4%  
393 0.1% 1.3%  
394 0.1% 1.1%  
395 0.1% 1.0%  
396 0.2% 1.0%  
397 0% 0.7%  
398 0.1% 0.7%  
399 0% 0.6%  
400 0.2% 0.5%  
401 0.1% 0.4%  
402 0.1% 0.3%  
403 0% 0.3%  
404 0.1% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0.1% 99.8%  
299 0% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.8%  
301 0.1% 99.7%  
302 0.1% 99.6%  
303 0% 99.5%  
304 0.2% 99.5%  
305 0% 99.3%  
306 0.1% 99.3%  
307 0.1% 99.2%  
308 0.1% 99.1%  
309 0.2% 99.0%  
310 0.2% 98.8%  
311 0.3% 98.6%  
312 0.2% 98%  
313 0.2% 98%  
314 0.4% 98%  
315 0.3% 98%  
316 0.4% 97%  
317 0.4% 97%  
318 0.4% 96%  
319 0.8% 96%  
320 1.0% 95%  
321 1.0% 94%  
322 2% 93%  
323 1.2% 91%  
324 2% 90%  
325 3% 88%  
326 2% 85% Last Result
327 2% 83%  
328 4% 81%  
329 4% 77%  
330 3% 73%  
331 5% 70%  
332 4% 65%  
333 5% 61%  
334 3% 55%  
335 4% 52% Median
336 5% 48%  
337 4% 42%  
338 3% 38%  
339 4% 35%  
340 5% 30%  
341 3% 26%  
342 4% 23%  
343 3% 19%  
344 2% 15%  
345 2% 13%  
346 2% 11%  
347 1.1% 9%  
348 2% 8%  
349 0.8% 6%  
350 1.0% 5%  
351 1.2% 4%  
352 0.6% 3%  
353 0.6% 2%  
354 0.2% 1.4%  
355 0.3% 1.2% Majority
356 0.2% 0.9%  
357 0.2% 0.7%  
358 0.1% 0.5%  
359 0.1% 0.4%  
360 0.1% 0.2%  
361 0.1% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.6%  
276 0.2% 99.5%  
277 0.2% 99.3%  
278 0.3% 99.1%  
279 0.5% 98.7%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.7% 98%  
282 1.0% 97%  
283 1.3% 96%  
284 1.2% 95%  
285 2% 94%  
286 2% 92%  
287 2% 90%  
288 2% 88%  
289 2% 86% Last Result
290 3% 83%  
291 3% 80%  
292 3% 77%  
293 5% 74%  
294 4% 69%  
295 3% 65%  
296 6% 62%  
297 4% 56% Median
298 5% 52%  
299 7% 47%  
300 5% 40%  
301 5% 36%  
302 2% 30%  
303 4% 28%  
304 3% 24%  
305 3% 21%  
306 3% 18%  
307 3% 15%  
308 2% 12%  
309 1.5% 10%  
310 1.2% 8%  
311 1.1% 7%  
312 1.1% 6%  
313 0.9% 5%  
314 0.7% 4%  
315 0.6% 3%  
316 0.5% 3%  
317 0.4% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.4% 2%  
320 0.2% 1.3%  
321 0.2% 1.1%  
322 0.1% 0.9%  
323 0.2% 0.8%  
324 0.1% 0.6%  
325 0.2% 0.6%  
326 0.1% 0.4%  
327 0% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.3%  
329 0% 0.3%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0% 99.6%  
245 0.2% 99.6%  
246 0.1% 99.4%  
247 0.2% 99.3%  
248 0% 99.1%  
249 0.1% 99.1%  
250 0.2% 99.0%  
251 0% 98.8%  
252 0.2% 98.8%  
253 0.1% 98.6%  
254 0.1% 98%  
255 0.1% 98%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.1% 98%  
258 0.1% 98%  
259 0.2% 98%  
260 0.2% 98%  
261 0.2% 97%  
262 0.3% 97%  
263 0.4% 97%  
264 0.5% 97%  
265 0.4% 96%  
266 1.1% 96%  
267 0.7% 95%  
268 1.2% 94%  
269 1.2% 93%  
270 1.1% 91%  
271 2% 90%  
272 2% 89%  
273 2% 86%  
274 2% 84%  
275 3% 82%  
276 3% 79%  
277 4% 75%  
278 5% 71%  
279 3% 66%  
280 3% 63%  
281 6% 60%  
282 7% 54% Median
283 3% 48%  
284 4% 44%  
285 6% 40%  
286 5% 35%  
287 4% 30%  
288 4% 26%  
289 4% 22%  
290 3% 19%  
291 4% 16%  
292 2% 12%  
293 2% 10%  
294 2% 8%  
295 2% 7%  
296 0.9% 5%  
297 1.0% 4%  
298 0.7% 3%  
299 0.6% 3%  
300 0.5% 2% Last Result
301 0.3% 1.4%  
302 0.3% 1.1%  
303 0.2% 0.8%  
304 0.2% 0.6%  
305 0.2% 0.4%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0.1% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0.1% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.8%  
215 0.1% 99.6%  
216 0.2% 99.5%  
217 0.2% 99.3%  
218 0.6% 99.1%  
219 0.5% 98.5%  
220 0.8% 98% Last Result
221 0.8% 97%  
222 0.8% 96%  
223 1.0% 95%  
224 1.4% 94%  
225 2% 93%  
226 2% 91%  
227 3% 89%  
228 2% 86%  
229 3% 84%  
230 3% 81%  
231 4% 78%  
232 4% 74%  
233 5% 70%  
234 6% 65%  
235 3% 60%  
236 4% 56% Median
237 6% 52%  
238 5% 46%  
239 6% 41%  
240 6% 35%  
241 4% 29%  
242 3% 26%  
243 3% 22%  
244 3% 19%  
245 3% 16%  
246 2% 13%  
247 2% 11%  
248 1.3% 9%  
249 2% 7%  
250 1.0% 6%  
251 0.6% 5%  
252 0.9% 4%  
253 0.5% 3%  
254 0.5% 2%  
255 0.3% 2%  
256 0.2% 2%  
257 0.3% 1.4%  
258 0.2% 1.1%  
259 0.2% 0.8%  
260 0.2% 0.6%  
261 0.1% 0.5%  
262 0.1% 0.4%  
263 0.1% 0.3%  
264 0.1% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.7%  
150 0.4% 99.6%  
151 0.3% 99.2%  
152 0.4% 98.9%  
153 0.3% 98.5%  
154 1.2% 98%  
155 1.2% 97%  
156 2% 96%  
157 1.0% 94%  
158 1.3% 93%  
159 3% 92%  
160 4% 88%  
161 3% 84%  
162 2% 81%  
163 4% 79%  
164 4% 75%  
165 9% 71%  
166 4% 62%  
167 3% 58%  
168 6% 55% Median
169 5% 49%  
170 9% 44%  
171 3% 35%  
172 3% 32%  
173 4% 28%  
174 5% 25%  
175 4% 19%  
176 3% 15%  
177 1.4% 13%  
178 2% 11%  
179 2% 9%  
180 2% 7%  
181 1.1% 5%  
182 0.6% 4%  
183 1.0% 3%  
184 0.6% 2%  
185 0.5% 2%  
186 0.2% 1.1%  
187 0.2% 1.0%  
188 0.2% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0.1% 99.5%  
111 0.2% 99.4%  
112 0.1% 99.1%  
113 0.4% 99.0%  
114 0.1% 98.6%  
115 0.2% 98.5%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.1% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 97%  
130 0% 97%  
131 0% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0.1% 97%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.4% 97%  
138 0.5% 96%  
139 0.6% 96%  
140 1.3% 95%  
141 0.9% 94%  
142 2% 93%  
143 2% 92%  
144 2% 90%  
145 2% 88%  
146 4% 85%  
147 3% 82%  
148 4% 78%  
149 5% 74%  
150 6% 69%  
151 7% 63%  
152 6% 56%  
153 4% 51% Median
154 6% 47%  
155 5% 40%  
156 5% 35%  
157 5% 30%  
158 3% 25%  
159 4% 22%  
160 3% 18%  
161 3% 15%  
162 3% 12%  
163 2% 9%  
164 2% 7%  
165 1.3% 5%  
166 1.1% 4%  
167 0.8% 3%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.4% 1.5%  
170 0.3% 1.1%  
171 0.2% 0.7%  
172 0.1% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations