Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 7–9 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 31.6% 30.0–33.4% 29.5–33.9% 29.1–34.3% 28.3–35.2%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9% 17.8–22.3% 17.2–23.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.8–16.4% 13.4–16.8% 13.1–17.1% 12.5–17.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4% 7.5–10.7% 7.1–11.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.3% 6.5–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 6.0–8.9% 5.6–9.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 241 226–258 222–262 218–265 212–273
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 152 140–165 137–169 134–172 129–179
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 104–127 102–129 98–132 95–138
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 60–77 59–80 57–82 53–87
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 56 50–64 48–65 45–69 43–72
Die Linke 69 54 47–62 45–64 43–66 40–70
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 37 0–44 0–45 0–47 0–51

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 99.9%  
207 0% 99.9%  
208 0% 99.9%  
209 0.1% 99.8%  
210 0.1% 99.8%  
211 0.1% 99.7%  
212 0.1% 99.6%  
213 0.2% 99.5%  
214 0.2% 99.3%  
215 0.3% 99.1%  
216 0.4% 98.7%  
217 0.5% 98%  
218 0.4% 98%  
219 0.7% 97%  
220 0.7% 97%  
221 0.5% 96%  
222 1.4% 95%  
223 1.0% 94%  
224 1.0% 93%  
225 1.4% 92%  
226 2% 91%  
227 2% 88%  
228 2% 87%  
229 2% 85%  
230 2% 83%  
231 2% 80%  
232 2% 79%  
233 2% 77%  
234 4% 75%  
235 4% 71%  
236 4% 67%  
237 3% 63%  
238 2% 60%  
239 3% 58%  
240 2% 55%  
241 3% 53% Median
242 3% 49%  
243 3% 46%  
244 3% 43%  
245 5% 41%  
246 2% 35%  
247 2% 33%  
248 3% 31%  
249 2% 27%  
250 1.3% 25%  
251 2% 24%  
252 2% 21%  
253 1.0% 19%  
254 2% 18%  
255 2% 16%  
256 1.3% 13%  
257 1.3% 12%  
258 2% 11%  
259 0.8% 8%  
260 0.6% 7%  
261 1.0% 7%  
262 0.9% 6%  
263 0.3% 5%  
264 2% 5%  
265 0.2% 3%  
266 0.2% 2%  
267 0.4% 2%  
268 0.7% 2%  
269 0.1% 1.1%  
270 0.3% 1.0%  
271 0.1% 0.8%  
272 0.1% 0.6%  
273 0.2% 0.6%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0% 0.3%  
276 0.1% 0.3%  
277 0.1% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.3% 99.5%  
131 0.3% 99.2%  
132 0.4% 98.9%  
133 0.6% 98%  
134 0.5% 98%  
135 1.0% 97%  
136 0.8% 96%  
137 0.9% 96%  
138 1.4% 95%  
139 2% 93%  
140 2% 91%  
141 2% 89%  
142 3% 87%  
143 3% 84%  
144 2% 81%  
145 2% 79%  
146 2% 77%  
147 3% 75%  
148 3% 71%  
149 6% 68%  
150 5% 62%  
151 4% 57%  
152 4% 53% Median
153 3% 49%  
154 3% 46%  
155 4% 43%  
156 3% 39%  
157 5% 36%  
158 4% 31%  
159 4% 27%  
160 3% 23%  
161 3% 20%  
162 2% 17%  
163 2% 15%  
164 1.2% 12%  
165 2% 11%  
166 1.2% 9%  
167 1.2% 8%  
168 1.3% 7%  
169 1.0% 6%  
170 1.1% 5%  
171 1.0% 4%  
172 0.4% 3%  
173 0.5% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.2% 2%  
176 0.2% 1.3%  
177 0.3% 1.1%  
178 0.2% 0.8%  
179 0.2% 0.6%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0.1% 99.7%  
95 0.3% 99.5%  
96 0.4% 99.3%  
97 0.6% 98.9%  
98 0.9% 98%  
99 0.8% 97%  
100 0.9% 97%  
101 0.7% 96%  
102 1.2% 95%  
103 2% 94%  
104 2% 92%  
105 5% 90%  
106 4% 85%  
107 2% 81%  
108 4% 79%  
109 2% 75%  
110 3% 73%  
111 4% 71%  
112 7% 66%  
113 7% 60%  
114 5% 53% Median
115 4% 47%  
116 3% 43%  
117 2% 40%  
118 2% 39%  
119 5% 37%  
120 5% 32%  
121 6% 27%  
122 5% 21%  
123 2% 16%  
124 2% 14%  
125 0.9% 12%  
126 1.0% 11%  
127 2% 10%  
128 2% 9%  
129 2% 7%  
130 1.5% 5%  
131 0.7% 3%  
132 0.8% 3%  
133 0.2% 2%  
134 0.2% 2%  
135 0.4% 1.4%  
136 0.3% 1.1%  
137 0.2% 0.8%  
138 0.2% 0.6%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 0.5% 99.4%  
55 0.4% 98.9%  
56 0.6% 98%  
57 1.1% 98%  
58 1.5% 97%  
59 3% 95%  
60 3% 93%  
61 2% 90%  
62 3% 87%  
63 4% 85%  
64 7% 81%  
65 6% 74%  
66 7% 68%  
67 4% 61%  
68 4% 57%  
69 5% 53% Median
70 8% 47%  
71 5% 39%  
72 5% 34%  
73 5% 28%  
74 3% 24%  
75 4% 20%  
76 4% 16%  
77 2% 12%  
78 2% 9%  
79 1.4% 8%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 0.8% 3%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 0.3% 1.2%  
86 0.4% 0.9%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.4% 99.8%  
44 1.2% 99.3%  
45 2% 98%  
46 0.8% 96% Last Result
47 0.3% 95%  
48 0.7% 95%  
49 4% 94%  
50 8% 91%  
51 8% 83%  
52 6% 75%  
53 1.4% 69%  
54 1.5% 67%  
55 5% 66%  
56 11% 61% Median
57 11% 50%  
58 10% 39%  
59 4% 29%  
60 0.8% 25%  
61 2% 25%  
62 5% 22%  
63 5% 18%  
64 5% 13%  
65 3% 8%  
66 0.4% 5%  
67 0.6% 4%  
68 0.6% 4%  
69 0.8% 3%  
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.6% 1.3%  
72 0.3% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.4% 99.4%  
42 0.7% 99.0%  
43 1.4% 98%  
44 1.3% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 3% 94%  
47 4% 90%  
48 5% 86%  
49 4% 82%  
50 8% 78%  
51 5% 70%  
52 5% 65%  
53 6% 60%  
54 9% 54% Median
55 7% 45%  
56 5% 38%  
57 7% 33%  
58 5% 26%  
59 5% 21%  
60 2% 16%  
61 4% 14%  
62 3% 11%  
63 2% 7%  
64 1.1% 5%  
65 1.0% 4%  
66 1.3% 3%  
67 0.4% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.3%  
69 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
70 0.3% 0.7%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 0% 51%  
17 0% 51%  
18 0% 51%  
19 0% 51%  
20 0% 51%  
21 0% 51%  
22 0% 51%  
23 0% 51%  
24 0% 51%  
25 0% 51%  
26 0% 51%  
27 0% 51%  
28 0% 51%  
29 0% 51%  
30 0% 51%  
31 0% 51%  
32 0% 51%  
33 0% 51%  
34 0% 51%  
35 0% 51%  
36 0% 51%  
37 1.0% 51% Median
38 9% 50%  
39 8% 41%  
40 8% 33%  
41 6% 25%  
42 4% 19%  
43 4% 15%  
44 3% 10%  
45 3% 7%  
46 2% 5%  
47 1.1% 3%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.4%  
50 0.3% 0.9%  
51 0.2% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 564 100% 541–589 538–593 535–596 529–601
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 472 100% 455–487 451–491 448–494 441–501
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 451 100% 429–472 425–476 421–481 414–487
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 434 100% 417–450 411–455 408–458 401–465
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 412 100% 392–434 388–439 384–442 377–450
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 388 99.2% 369–406 364–410 360–414 353–421
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 366 78% 347–387 342–392 339–395 332–402
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 321 0.8% 303–340 299–345 295–349 288–356
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 319 0.4% 298–339 293–343 290–347 283–354
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 289 0% 267–309 263–314 259–317 252–325
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 267 0% 250–285 247–289 243–293 237–300
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 168 0% 156–183 152–186 149–189 143–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 137 0% 112–159 108–163 105–166 100–172

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 100%  
519 0% 100%  
520 0% 100%  
521 0% 100%  
522 0% 100%  
523 0% 99.9%  
524 0% 99.9%  
525 0% 99.9%  
526 0.1% 99.8%  
527 0.1% 99.8%  
528 0.1% 99.7%  
529 0.1% 99.6%  
530 0.2% 99.5%  
531 0.3% 99.3%  
532 0.3% 99.0%  
533 0.5% 98.7%  
534 0.4% 98%  
535 0.6% 98%  
536 0.6% 97%  
537 1.0% 97%  
538 0.8% 96%  
539 1.2% 95%  
540 2% 94%  
541 2% 92%  
542 1.4% 90%  
543 2% 88%  
544 2% 86%  
545 2% 84%  
546 2% 82%  
547 2% 80%  
548 5% 79%  
549 2% 74%  
550 3% 72%  
551 2% 70%  
552 2% 68%  
553 2% 66%  
554 1.4% 64%  
555 3% 63%  
556 2% 60%  
557 3% 59%  
558 2% 56%  
559 1.0% 54%  
560 1.0% 53%  
561 0.7% 52%  
562 0.6% 52%  
563 0.7% 51% Median
564 0.8% 50%  
565 0.5% 49%  
566 0.6% 49%  
567 0.5% 48%  
568 0.4% 48%  
569 0.6% 47%  
570 0.4% 47%  
571 1.2% 46%  
572 1.3% 45%  
573 2% 44%  
574 1.2% 42%  
575 2% 41%  
576 1.4% 39%  
577 1.3% 38%  
578 2% 36%  
579 2% 34%  
580 2% 32%  
581 3% 30%  
582 4% 27%  
583 2% 24%  
584 2% 22%  
585 2% 20%  
586 2% 18%  
587 2% 16%  
588 2% 14%  
589 3% 12%  
590 2% 9%  
591 1.0% 7%  
592 0.9% 6%  
593 0.8% 5%  
594 0.6% 4%  
595 0.8% 4%  
596 0.5% 3%  
597 0.7% 2%  
598 0.6% 2%  
599 0.3% 1.0%  
600 0.2% 0.8%  
601 0.1% 0.5%  
602 0.1% 0.4%  
603 0.1% 0.3%  
604 0.1% 0.2%  
605 0% 0.2%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0.1%  
608 0% 0.1%  
609 0% 0.1%  
610 0% 0.1%  
611 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.8%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.1% 99.6%  
441 0.1% 99.5%  
442 0.3% 99.4%  
443 0.3% 99.1%  
444 0.2% 98.8%  
445 0.4% 98.6%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.3% 98%  
448 0.5% 98%  
449 0.6% 97%  
450 0.8% 96%  
451 1.1% 96%  
452 2% 94%  
453 0.8% 93%  
454 1.3% 92%  
455 1.2% 91%  
456 2% 90%  
457 1.0% 88%  
458 2% 87%  
459 2% 85%  
460 3% 83%  
461 3% 79%  
462 2% 77%  
463 1.4% 75%  
464 2% 73%  
465 2% 71%  
466 2% 69%  
467 3% 66%  
468 5% 64%  
469 3% 58%  
470 3% 55%  
471 2% 52%  
472 3% 51%  
473 2% 47%  
474 4% 45%  
475 2% 42%  
476 6% 39%  
477 2% 34%  
478 4% 31%  
479 2% 28%  
480 2% 26%  
481 2% 23%  
482 0.9% 21%  
483 4% 20%  
484 0.8% 16%  
485 3% 15%  
486 1.5% 13% Median
487 2% 11%  
488 1.4% 10%  
489 1.1% 8%  
490 2% 7%  
491 0.6% 6%  
492 2% 5%  
493 0.4% 3%  
494 0.7% 3%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.5% 2%  
497 0.2% 1.4%  
498 0.3% 1.2%  
499 0.2% 0.9%  
500 0.2% 0.7%  
501 0.1% 0.6%  
502 0.1% 0.4%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0.1% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0.1% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.7%  
413 0.1% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.1% 99.4%  
416 0.2% 99.3%  
417 0.2% 99.1%  
418 0.3% 98.9%  
419 0.5% 98.7%  
420 0.3% 98%  
421 0.6% 98%  
422 0.6% 97%  
423 1.0% 97%  
424 0.6% 96%  
425 0.8% 95%  
426 1.1% 94%  
427 1.5% 93%  
428 1.2% 92%  
429 2% 91%  
430 0.9% 89%  
431 2% 88%  
432 1.2% 86%  
433 2% 85%  
434 2% 83%  
435 4% 81%  
436 2% 78%  
437 2% 76%  
438 2% 74%  
439 2% 71%  
440 2% 70%  
441 2% 67%  
442 2% 66%  
443 2% 64%  
444 3% 62%  
445 1.4% 59%  
446 2% 58%  
447 1.1% 56%  
448 2% 55%  
449 1.5% 53% Median
450 2% 52%  
451 2% 50%  
452 3% 48%  
453 1.2% 45%  
454 1.4% 44%  
455 1.5% 42%  
456 2% 41%  
457 1.2% 39%  
458 2% 38%  
459 2% 36%  
460 3% 34%  
461 2% 31%  
462 2% 29%  
463 0.9% 27%  
464 2% 26%  
465 1.3% 24%  
466 2% 23%  
467 2% 21%  
468 4% 19%  
469 2% 15%  
470 2% 13%  
471 1.1% 12%  
472 0.9% 11%  
473 2% 10%  
474 0.8% 8%  
475 1.2% 7%  
476 1.2% 6%  
477 0.8% 5%  
478 0.6% 4%  
479 0.4% 4%  
480 0.6% 3%  
481 0.4% 3%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.4% 2%  
484 0.3% 1.5%  
485 0.4% 1.2%  
486 0.3% 0.9%  
487 0.1% 0.6%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0.1% 0.4%  
490 0.1% 0.3%  
491 0.1% 0.3%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0.1% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0.2% 99.7%  
400 0.1% 99.6%  
401 0.1% 99.5%  
402 0.2% 99.4%  
403 0.2% 99.2%  
404 0.2% 99.0%  
405 0.4% 98.8%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.4% 98%  
408 0.8% 98%  
409 0.4% 97%  
410 0.8% 97%  
411 1.3% 96%  
412 0.5% 95%  
413 0.6% 94%  
414 2% 94%  
415 0.5% 92%  
416 1.3% 91%  
417 2% 90%  
418 1.0% 88%  
419 3% 87%  
420 2% 84%  
421 2% 83%  
422 2% 81%  
423 2% 79%  
424 1.4% 77%  
425 3% 75%  
426 2% 72%  
427 2% 69%  
428 2% 67%  
429 3% 65%  
430 2% 62%  
431 4% 60%  
432 3% 57%  
433 2% 54%  
434 3% 51%  
435 3% 49%  
436 2% 46%  
437 3% 43%  
438 3% 40%  
439 2% 37%  
440 3% 35%  
441 3% 31%  
442 2% 28%  
443 3% 26%  
444 2% 23%  
445 2% 21%  
446 2% 19%  
447 4% 17%  
448 0.9% 13% Median
449 1.3% 12%  
450 1.2% 11%  
451 1.3% 9%  
452 1.4% 8%  
453 1.1% 7%  
454 0.5% 6%  
455 0.9% 5%  
456 0.6% 4%  
457 0.7% 4%  
458 0.7% 3%  
459 0.3% 2%  
460 0.3% 2%  
461 0.3% 2%  
462 0.3% 1.2%  
463 0.3% 0.9%  
464 0.1% 0.7%  
465 0.1% 0.6%  
466 0.1% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.4%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.2% 99.6%  
378 0.2% 99.4%  
379 0.2% 99.2%  
380 0.2% 99.0%  
381 0.3% 98.8%  
382 0.3% 98%  
383 0.5% 98%  
384 0.4% 98%  
385 0.8% 97%  
386 0.6% 96%  
387 0.7% 96%  
388 0.7% 95%  
389 2% 94%  
390 1.1% 93%  
391 0.7% 92%  
392 2% 91%  
393 2% 89%  
394 1.1% 87%  
395 2% 86%  
396 2% 84%  
397 2% 82%  
398 2% 80%  
399 3% 79% Last Result
400 1.4% 76%  
401 2% 74%  
402 3% 72%  
403 2% 69%  
404 2% 68%  
405 2% 66%  
406 2% 63%  
407 2% 61%  
408 3% 59%  
409 2% 56%  
410 2% 54%  
411 2% 53% Median
412 1.1% 50%  
413 2% 49%  
414 3% 47%  
415 0.9% 45%  
416 2% 44%  
417 2% 42%  
418 1.3% 40%  
419 3% 39%  
420 2% 36%  
421 2% 34%  
422 2% 32%  
423 2% 30%  
424 1.3% 28%  
425 3% 27%  
426 2% 24%  
427 1.3% 22%  
428 2% 21%  
429 2% 19%  
430 1.0% 17%  
431 3% 16%  
432 1.1% 13%  
433 0.7% 12%  
434 1.4% 11%  
435 2% 10%  
436 0.4% 8%  
437 2% 8%  
438 0.7% 6%  
439 0.5% 5%  
440 1.3% 5%  
441 1.0% 4%  
442 0.3% 3%  
443 0.4% 2%  
444 0.3% 2%  
445 0.4% 2%  
446 0.4% 1.3%  
447 0.1% 0.9%  
448 0.1% 0.8%  
449 0.2% 0.7%  
450 0.1% 0.5%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.6%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.2% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 99.2% Majority
356 0.2% 99.0%  
357 0.1% 98.8%  
358 0.2% 98.6%  
359 0.4% 98%  
360 0.5% 98%  
361 0.4% 97%  
362 0.5% 97%  
363 0.9% 97%  
364 1.1% 96%  
365 0.8% 95%  
366 0.7% 94%  
367 0.8% 93%  
368 1.2% 92%  
369 2% 91%  
370 1.5% 89%  
371 1.5% 88%  
372 2% 86%  
373 3% 85%  
374 3% 82%  
375 2% 79%  
376 2% 77%  
377 2% 75%  
378 2% 74%  
379 2% 72%  
380 2% 69%  
381 2% 67%  
382 2% 65%  
383 3% 63%  
384 2% 60%  
385 3% 58%  
386 2% 56%  
387 3% 54%  
388 3% 51%  
389 2% 49%  
390 3% 47%  
391 2% 44%  
392 3% 42%  
393 3% 39%  
394 3% 36%  
395 2% 33%  
396 2% 31%  
397 2% 29%  
398 3% 27%  
399 2% 24%  
400 2% 22%  
401 1.5% 19%  
402 3% 18%  
403 2% 15% Median
404 1.4% 13%  
405 1.1% 12%  
406 2% 11%  
407 1.2% 9%  
408 0.7% 8%  
409 1.1% 7%  
410 0.8% 6%  
411 0.7% 5%  
412 0.8% 4%  
413 0.5% 3%  
414 0.7% 3%  
415 0.4% 2%  
416 0.4% 2%  
417 0.3% 1.5%  
418 0.3% 1.2%  
419 0.2% 0.9%  
420 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
421 0.1% 0.5%  
422 0.1% 0.4%  
423 0.1% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0.1% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.2% 99.7%  
332 0.2% 99.5%  
333 0.1% 99.4%  
334 0.2% 99.2%  
335 0.2% 99.0%  
336 0.2% 98.9%  
337 0.5% 98.7%  
338 0.4% 98%  
339 0.4% 98%  
340 0.6% 97% Last Result
341 1.1% 97%  
342 0.8% 96%  
343 0.6% 95%  
344 0.9% 94%  
345 0.8% 93%  
346 1.4% 93%  
347 1.3% 91%  
348 2% 90%  
349 3% 88%  
350 2% 86%  
351 1.3% 84%  
352 1.4% 82%  
353 1.0% 81%  
354 2% 80%  
355 3% 78% Majority
356 2% 75%  
357 2% 73%  
358 2% 71%  
359 4% 69%  
360 2% 65%  
361 2% 63%  
362 2% 62%  
363 2% 60%  
364 3% 57%  
365 2% 54%  
366 3% 53% Median
367 3% 50%  
368 2% 47%  
369 3% 45%  
370 2% 43%  
371 2% 41%  
372 2% 39%  
373 3% 37%  
374 4% 34%  
375 2% 30%  
376 2% 28%  
377 1.5% 27%  
378 2% 25%  
379 2% 23%  
380 2% 21%  
381 1.4% 20%  
382 2% 18%  
383 2% 17%  
384 0.9% 14%  
385 1.2% 13%  
386 1.2% 12%  
387 1.4% 11%  
388 1.3% 10%  
389 0.9% 8%  
390 1.4% 7%  
391 1.0% 6%  
392 1.3% 5%  
393 0.7% 4%  
394 0.5% 3%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.3% 2%  
397 0.3% 2%  
398 0.3% 2%  
399 0.3% 1.2%  
400 0.2% 0.9%  
401 0.1% 0.8%  
402 0.2% 0.6%  
403 0.1% 0.5%  
404 0.1% 0.4%  
405 0% 0.3%  
406 0.1% 0.3%  
407 0.1% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.2% 99.5% Last Result
290 0.2% 99.3%  
291 0.3% 99.1%  
292 0.3% 98.8%  
293 0.4% 98.5%  
294 0.4% 98%  
295 0.7% 98%  
296 0.5% 97%  
297 0.8% 97%  
298 0.7% 96%  
299 0.8% 95%  
300 1.1% 94%  
301 0.7% 93%  
302 1.2% 92%  
303 2% 91%  
304 1.1% 89%  
305 1.4% 88%  
306 2% 87%  
307 3% 85%  
308 1.5% 82%  
309 2% 81%  
310 2% 78%  
311 3% 76%  
312 2% 73%  
313 2% 71%  
314 2% 69%  
315 3% 67%  
316 3% 64%  
317 3% 61%  
318 2% 58%  
319 3% 56%  
320 2% 53% Median
321 3% 51%  
322 3% 49%  
323 2% 46%  
324 3% 44%  
325 2% 42%  
326 3% 40%  
327 2% 37%  
328 2% 35%  
329 2% 33%  
330 2% 31%  
331 2% 28%  
332 2% 26%  
333 2% 25%  
334 2% 23%  
335 3% 21%  
336 3% 18%  
337 2% 15%  
338 1.5% 14%  
339 1.5% 12%  
340 2% 11%  
341 1.2% 9%  
342 0.8% 8%  
343 0.7% 7%  
344 0.8% 6%  
345 1.1% 5%  
346 0.9% 4%  
347 0.5% 3%  
348 0.4% 3%  
349 0.5% 3%  
350 0.4% 2%  
351 0.2% 2%  
352 0.1% 1.4%  
353 0.2% 1.2%  
354 0.2% 1.0%  
355 0.2% 0.8% Majority
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0.1% 0.4%  
359 0.1% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.1% 99.5%  
284 0.2% 99.4%  
285 0.3% 99.2%  
286 0.2% 98.9%  
287 0.4% 98.7%  
288 0.3% 98%  
289 0.3% 98%  
290 0.8% 98%  
291 0.7% 97%  
292 0.4% 96%  
293 1.3% 96%  
294 0.7% 95%  
295 0.6% 94%  
296 2% 93%  
297 1.2% 92%  
298 1.0% 91%  
299 2% 89%  
300 1.2% 87%  
301 0.9% 86%  
302 2% 85%  
303 3% 83%  
304 0.9% 80%  
305 3% 79%  
306 2% 77%  
307 1.4% 75%  
308 2% 73%  
309 2% 71%  
310 2% 69%  
311 2% 67%  
312 2% 65%  
313 1.0% 63%  
314 3% 62%  
315 2% 59%  
316 2% 57%  
317 2% 55%  
318 2% 54%  
319 2% 52%  
320 3% 50%  
321 2% 47%  
322 2% 45%  
323 3% 44%  
324 2% 40%  
325 2% 38%  
326 2% 37% Last Result
327 3% 35%  
328 2% 32%  
329 2% 30%  
330 2% 27%  
331 2% 25%  
332 2% 23%  
333 2% 21%  
334 2% 19% Median
335 2% 17%  
336 0.7% 15%  
337 2% 14%  
338 2% 12%  
339 1.2% 10%  
340 1.0% 9%  
341 1.4% 8%  
342 1.0% 7%  
343 1.0% 6%  
344 0.6% 5%  
345 0.6% 4%  
346 0.7% 3%  
347 0.3% 3%  
348 0.6% 2%  
349 0.4% 2%  
350 0.3% 1.5%  
351 0.2% 1.2%  
352 0.1% 1.0%  
353 0.3% 0.8%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0.1% 0.3%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0.1% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.7%  
251 0.1% 99.7%  
252 0.2% 99.6%  
253 0.2% 99.4%  
254 0.1% 99.3%  
255 0.5% 99.2%  
256 0.4% 98.7%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.4% 98%  
259 0.3% 98%  
260 0.8% 97%  
261 0.5% 96%  
262 0.5% 96%  
263 1.3% 95%  
264 1.3% 94%  
265 0.9% 93%  
266 2% 92%  
267 1.2% 90%  
268 1.2% 89%  
269 1.2% 88%  
270 1.4% 87%  
271 3% 85%  
272 2% 83%  
273 2% 81%  
274 2% 79%  
275 1.3% 77%  
276 2% 76%  
277 2% 74%  
278 2% 72%  
279 3% 70%  
280 2% 67%  
281 2% 65%  
282 2% 63%  
283 1.2% 61%  
284 2% 59%  
285 1.4% 58%  
286 2% 56%  
287 2% 54%  
288 1.2% 52%  
289 3% 51%  
290 2% 48%  
291 1.5% 46%  
292 2% 44%  
293 2% 43%  
294 2% 41%  
295 3% 40%  
296 3% 37%  
297 2% 34%  
298 2% 32%  
299 2% 30%  
300 2% 28% Last Result
301 2% 26%  
302 0.9% 24%  
303 2% 23% Median
304 2% 21%  
305 2% 18%  
306 3% 17%  
307 2% 14%  
308 2% 12%  
309 2% 11%  
310 0.8% 9%  
311 1.4% 8%  
312 0.9% 7%  
313 1.0% 6%  
314 0.6% 5%  
315 0.7% 4%  
316 0.8% 4%  
317 0.6% 3%  
318 0.6% 2%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.4% 2%  
321 0.2% 1.2%  
322 0.1% 0.9%  
323 0.2% 0.8%  
324 0.2% 0.7%  
325 0.2% 0.5%  
326 0.1% 0.4%  
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0.1% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.7%  
236 0.1% 99.6%  
237 0.2% 99.5%  
238 0.1% 99.4%  
239 0.3% 99.2%  
240 0.4% 99.0%  
241 0.2% 98.6%  
242 0.4% 98%  
243 0.6% 98%  
244 0.6% 97%  
245 1.0% 97%  
246 0.5% 96%  
247 1.1% 95%  
248 2% 94%  
249 2% 93%  
250 1.3% 91%  
251 1.1% 90%  
252 1.3% 89%  
253 2% 87%  
254 2% 86%  
255 4% 84%  
256 1.2% 80%  
257 3% 79%  
258 2% 76%  
259 2% 74%  
260 3% 72%  
261 2% 69%  
262 2% 67%  
263 3% 64%  
264 3% 61%  
265 2% 58%  
266 3% 56% Median
267 2% 52%  
268 3% 50%  
269 3% 47%  
270 3% 44%  
271 4% 41%  
272 3% 38%  
273 3% 35%  
274 3% 32%  
275 2% 30%  
276 2% 28%  
277 2% 26%  
278 2% 24%  
279 3% 21%  
280 2% 18%  
281 2% 16%  
282 2% 14%  
283 1.1% 12%  
284 1.3% 11%  
285 0.8% 10%  
286 1.4% 9%  
287 1.3% 8%  
288 0.7% 7%  
289 1.2% 6%  
290 0.9% 5%  
291 0.5% 4%  
292 0.5% 3%  
293 0.5% 3%  
294 0.3% 2%  
295 0.3% 2%  
296 0.3% 2%  
297 0.4% 1.3%  
298 0.2% 0.9%  
299 0.1% 0.7%  
300 0.2% 0.6%  
301 0.1% 0.4%  
302 0.1% 0.3%  
303 0% 0.3%  
304 0.1% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.3% 99.5%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.2% 99.1%  
147 0.5% 98.9%  
148 0.2% 98%  
149 0.6% 98%  
150 1.0% 97%  
151 0.4% 96%  
152 2% 96%  
153 1.4% 94%  
154 0.7% 93%  
155 2% 92%  
156 2% 90%  
157 1.3% 88%  
158 3% 86%  
159 3% 83%  
160 2% 80%  
161 3% 78%  
162 4% 75%  
163 2% 72%  
164 3% 70%  
165 5% 66%  
166 2% 61%  
167 5% 59%  
168 5% 54% Median
169 3% 49%  
170 3% 46%  
171 5% 43%  
172 3% 38%  
173 4% 35%  
174 3% 32%  
175 2% 28%  
176 3% 26%  
177 3% 23%  
178 2% 20%  
179 3% 18%  
180 2% 15%  
181 0.9% 13%  
182 2% 12%  
183 2% 10%  
184 1.1% 8%  
185 1.3% 7%  
186 2% 6%  
187 0.5% 4%  
188 0.7% 4%  
189 0.8% 3%  
190 0.5% 2%  
191 0.3% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.2% 1.1%  
194 0.2% 0.9%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.1% 99.6%  
101 0.1% 99.5%  
102 0.2% 99.4%  
103 0.6% 99.2%  
104 0.6% 98.6%  
105 0.9% 98%  
106 0.9% 97%  
107 0.9% 96%  
108 0.6% 95%  
109 0.8% 95%  
110 0.9% 94%  
111 1.4% 93%  
112 2% 92%  
113 3% 89%  
114 3% 86%  
115 2% 83%  
116 2% 81%  
117 0.9% 79%  
118 0.9% 78%  
119 2% 77%  
120 3% 75%  
121 4% 72%  
122 4% 68%  
123 2% 64%  
124 1.4% 62%  
125 0.7% 61%  
126 0.7% 60%  
127 1.2% 59%  
128 2% 58%  
129 2% 57%  
130 1.4% 55%  
131 0.6% 54%  
132 0.9% 53%  
133 0.2% 52%  
134 0.2% 52%  
135 0.6% 52%  
136 0.4% 51%  
137 0.8% 51%  
138 0.7% 50%  
139 0.8% 49%  
140 0.7% 48%  
141 0.7% 48%  
142 0.5% 47%  
143 2% 46%  
144 0.7% 44%  
145 3% 44%  
146 2% 41%  
147 3% 39%  
148 2% 36%  
149 2% 34%  
150 2% 32%  
151 3% 30% Median
152 2% 27%  
153 3% 25%  
154 3% 22%  
155 2% 19%  
156 1.4% 17%  
157 3% 15%  
158 2% 13%  
159 2% 11%  
160 1.4% 9%  
161 2% 8%  
162 1.1% 6%  
163 1.0% 5%  
164 0.9% 4%  
165 0.6% 3%  
166 0.7% 3%  
167 0.3% 2%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.3%  
170 0.3% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.7%  
172 0.1% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations