Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 3–16 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.2–32.6% 28.8–33.1% 28.4–33.5% 27.6–34.4%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9% 17.8–22.3% 17.2–23.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.5% 14.3–16.9% 13.9–17.3% 13.6–17.6% 13.0–18.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4% 7.5–10.7% 7.1–11.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.1% 5.8–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.2–8.1% 6.0–8.4% 5.8–8.7% 5.4–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.4–6.9% 4.0–7.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 230 217–247 213–251 210–256 204–263
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 150 139–162 135–165 133–168 128–175
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 116 106–127 104–131 101–133 97–140
Alternative für Deutschland 94 67 60–76 58–78 56–80 53–85
Die Linke 69 57 50–64 47–67 46–69 43–73
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 50–63 44–65 42–66 40–68
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 41 0–48 0–50 0–51 0–54

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.7%  
204 0.1% 99.6%  
205 0.2% 99.5%  
206 0.2% 99.3%  
207 0.3% 99.1%  
208 0.3% 98.8%  
209 0.5% 98%  
210 0.6% 98%  
211 0.8% 97%  
212 0.8% 97%  
213 0.8% 96%  
214 1.1% 95%  
215 2% 94%  
216 1.3% 92%  
217 1.4% 91%  
218 3% 89%  
219 3% 87%  
220 3% 84%  
221 2% 82%  
222 4% 80%  
223 4% 76%  
224 3% 72%  
225 4% 70%  
226 3% 66%  
227 3% 63%  
228 4% 60%  
229 3% 56%  
230 3% 53% Median
231 4% 50%  
232 3% 46%  
233 3% 43%  
234 3% 40%  
235 3% 37%  
236 3% 34%  
237 2% 31%  
238 3% 29%  
239 3% 26%  
240 2% 23%  
241 2% 21%  
242 2% 19%  
243 2% 17%  
244 2% 15%  
245 1.4% 13%  
246 2% 12%  
247 1.2% 10%  
248 1.1% 9%  
249 1.3% 8%  
250 0.5% 7%  
251 2% 6%  
252 0.5% 5%  
253 0.5% 4%  
254 0.6% 4%  
255 0.4% 3%  
256 0.5% 3%  
257 0.3% 2%  
258 0.4% 2%  
259 0.1% 1.5%  
260 0.5% 1.3%  
261 0.2% 0.9%  
262 0.2% 0.7%  
263 0.1% 0.5%  
264 0.1% 0.4%  
265 0.1% 0.3%  
266 0.1% 0.3%  
267 0% 0.2%  
268 0% 0.2%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.2% 99.5%  
129 0.3% 99.3%  
130 0.3% 99.0%  
131 0.5% 98.7%  
132 0.5% 98%  
133 0.7% 98%  
134 1.0% 97%  
135 1.1% 96%  
136 1.2% 95%  
137 2% 94%  
138 2% 92%  
139 3% 90%  
140 2% 87%  
141 3% 85%  
142 4% 81%  
143 4% 77%  
144 4% 73%  
145 3% 69%  
146 4% 65%  
147 4% 61%  
148 4% 57%  
149 3% 54%  
150 5% 50% Median
151 4% 45%  
152 4% 41%  
153 4% 37%  
154 3% 33%  
155 3% 30%  
156 3% 27%  
157 4% 24%  
158 2% 20%  
159 2% 17%  
160 2% 15%  
161 2% 13%  
162 2% 11%  
163 2% 9%  
164 2% 8%  
165 1.2% 6%  
166 0.9% 5%  
167 0.8% 4%  
168 0.8% 3%  
169 0.5% 2%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.2% 1.2%  
172 0.2% 1.0%  
173 0.2% 0.8%  
174 0.1% 0.7%  
175 0.1% 0.6%  
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.2% 99.6%  
98 0.3% 99.3%  
99 0.5% 99.0%  
100 0.4% 98.5%  
101 1.0% 98%  
102 1.0% 97%  
103 1.0% 96%  
104 1.5% 95%  
105 2% 94%  
106 2% 92%  
107 3% 89%  
108 3% 87%  
109 3% 83%  
110 3% 80%  
111 4% 77%  
112 5% 73%  
113 4% 68%  
114 5% 64%  
115 6% 59%  
116 4% 54% Median
117 5% 49%  
118 5% 45%  
119 4% 40%  
120 4% 35%  
121 4% 32%  
122 4% 28%  
123 4% 24%  
124 3% 20%  
125 3% 16%  
126 2% 13%  
127 2% 11%  
128 2% 9%  
129 1.2% 8%  
130 1.2% 6%  
131 1.0% 5%  
132 1.2% 4%  
133 0.6% 3%  
134 0.6% 2%  
135 0.5% 2%  
136 0.3% 1.4%  
137 0.3% 1.2%  
138 0.2% 0.9%  
139 0.2% 0.7%  
140 0.1% 0.5%  
141 0.2% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.7%  
53 0.3% 99.5%  
54 0.5% 99.3%  
55 0.8% 98.8%  
56 1.2% 98%  
57 1.5% 97%  
58 2% 95%  
59 2% 93%  
60 3% 91%  
61 4% 88%  
62 4% 84%  
63 4% 80%  
64 7% 76%  
65 8% 69%  
66 6% 61%  
67 6% 55% Median
68 5% 49%  
69 6% 43%  
70 6% 38%  
71 5% 31%  
72 4% 27%  
73 4% 23%  
74 5% 19%  
75 3% 14%  
76 3% 11%  
77 2% 8%  
78 2% 6%  
79 1.0% 5%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.2%  
84 0.2% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.3% 99.7%  
44 0.5% 99.4%  
45 0.8% 98.9%  
46 2% 98%  
47 2% 97%  
48 2% 95%  
49 3% 93%  
50 4% 90%  
51 6% 86%  
52 4% 80%  
53 6% 76%  
54 6% 69%  
55 6% 63%  
56 5% 57%  
57 7% 52% Median
58 6% 45%  
59 6% 38%  
60 5% 32%  
61 5% 28%  
62 6% 22%  
63 4% 17%  
64 3% 13%  
65 2% 10%  
66 2% 7%  
67 1.3% 5%  
68 0.9% 4%  
69 0.8% 3% Last Result
70 0.9% 2%  
71 0.4% 1.2%  
72 0.2% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.6%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 0.8% 99.6%  
41 0.9% 98.8%  
42 1.0% 98%  
43 1.4% 97%  
44 0.6% 96%  
45 0.4% 95%  
46 0.2% 95% Last Result
47 0.5% 94%  
48 1.1% 94%  
49 2% 93%  
50 10% 91%  
51 10% 81%  
52 12% 70%  
53 17% 59% Median
54 15% 42%  
55 6% 27%  
56 4% 20%  
57 3% 16%  
58 0.2% 14%  
59 0.1% 14%  
60 0.7% 13%  
61 0.9% 13%  
62 2% 12%  
63 2% 10%  
64 2% 8%  
65 2% 5%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 1.4% 2%  
68 0.6% 0.9%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 0% 78%  
9 0% 78%  
10 0% 78%  
11 0% 78%  
12 0% 78%  
13 0% 78%  
14 0% 78%  
15 0% 78%  
16 0% 78%  
17 0% 78%  
18 0% 78%  
19 0% 78%  
20 0% 78%  
21 0% 78%  
22 0% 78%  
23 0% 78%  
24 0% 78%  
25 0% 78%  
26 0% 78%  
27 0% 78%  
28 0% 78%  
29 0% 78%  
30 0% 78%  
31 0% 78%  
32 0% 78%  
33 0% 78%  
34 0% 78%  
35 0% 78%  
36 0% 78%  
37 2% 78%  
38 9% 76%  
39 9% 67%  
40 9% 59%  
41 9% 50% Median
42 7% 41%  
43 6% 34%  
44 5% 28%  
45 5% 23%  
46 4% 18%  
47 3% 14%  
48 3% 11%  
49 2% 8%  
50 2% 5%  
51 1.3% 4%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.5% 1.3%  
54 0.4% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 546 100% 534–580 531–585 528–589 522–595
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 468 100% 452–482 448–486 444–489 436–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 432 100% 417–458 414–464 410–468 404–477
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 434 100% 417–450 413–455 411–457 402–462
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 400 100% 385–425 382–430 376–433 370–443
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 386 98.7% 368–402 362–406 358–409 350–415
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 351 39% 336–372 333–378 329–383 323–391
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 323 1.3% 307–341 303–347 300–351 294–359
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 320 0.1% 298–335 292–339 288–343 280–349
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 302 0% 279–317 272–321 267–324 259–330
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 266 0% 252–282 248–288 245–291 238–299
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 173 0% 161–186 157–191 155–194 150–201
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 155 0% 123–167 117–170 113–173 106–179

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0% 99.9%  
518 0% 99.9%  
519 0.1% 99.8%  
520 0.1% 99.8%  
521 0.1% 99.7%  
522 0.1% 99.6%  
523 0.2% 99.5%  
524 0.4% 99.3%  
525 0.4% 98.9%  
526 0.3% 98.5%  
527 0.5% 98%  
528 0.7% 98%  
529 0.7% 97%  
530 1.2% 96%  
531 2% 95%  
532 2% 93%  
533 2% 92%  
534 2% 90%  
535 1.4% 89%  
536 3% 87%  
537 3% 84%  
538 3% 82%  
539 3% 78%  
540 4% 75%  
541 3% 71%  
542 3% 67%  
543 3% 65%  
544 4% 62%  
545 5% 58%  
546 4% 54%  
547 3% 49%  
548 4% 47%  
549 3% 43% Median
550 3% 40%  
551 1.5% 37%  
552 2% 36%  
553 3% 34%  
554 2% 31%  
555 2% 29%  
556 1.3% 27%  
557 1.0% 26%  
558 0.8% 25%  
559 0.5% 24%  
560 0.5% 23%  
561 0.7% 23%  
562 0.4% 22%  
563 0.3% 22%  
564 0.5% 21%  
565 0.2% 21%  
566 0.2% 21%  
567 0.6% 21%  
568 0.6% 20%  
569 0.5% 19%  
570 0.5% 19%  
571 0.4% 18%  
572 1.1% 18%  
573 0.9% 17%  
574 0.9% 16%  
575 0.5% 15%  
576 1.3% 14%  
577 0.8% 13%  
578 0.8% 12%  
579 0.9% 12%  
580 1.2% 11%  
581 1.3% 9%  
582 1.3% 8%  
583 0.3% 7%  
584 1.5% 7%  
585 0.7% 5%  
586 0.4% 4%  
587 0.8% 4%  
588 0.3% 3%  
589 0.9% 3%  
590 0.3% 2%  
591 0.3% 2%  
592 0.5% 1.4%  
593 0.2% 0.9%  
594 0.2% 0.7%  
595 0.1% 0.5%  
596 0.1% 0.4%  
597 0.2% 0.3%  
598 0.1% 0.2%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0.1%  
601 0% 0.1%  
602 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0.1% 99.7%  
435 0% 99.7%  
436 0.1% 99.6%  
437 0.1% 99.5%  
438 0.1% 99.4%  
439 0.1% 99.3%  
440 0.3% 99.1%  
441 0.4% 98.8%  
442 0.2% 98%  
443 0.7% 98%  
444 0.6% 98%  
445 0.6% 97%  
446 0.6% 96%  
447 0.5% 96%  
448 0.9% 95%  
449 1.0% 94%  
450 1.4% 93%  
451 0.7% 92%  
452 1.4% 91%  
453 1.0% 90%  
454 2% 89%  
455 2% 87%  
456 1.3% 86%  
457 2% 84%  
458 2% 82%  
459 2% 81%  
460 2% 78%  
461 3% 76%  
462 3% 73%  
463 3% 70%  
464 4% 68%  
465 4% 63%  
466 3% 60%  
467 3% 56%  
468 5% 53%  
469 4% 49%  
470 3% 45%  
471 2% 42%  
472 4% 39%  
473 5% 36%  
474 3% 31% Median
475 2% 28%  
476 2% 26%  
477 3% 24%  
478 3% 21%  
479 2% 18%  
480 2% 16%  
481 2% 14%  
482 2% 12%  
483 2% 10%  
484 1.5% 8%  
485 0.9% 7%  
486 1.1% 6%  
487 1.1% 4%  
488 0.8% 3%  
489 0.4% 3%  
490 0.4% 2%  
491 0.5% 2%  
492 0.2% 1.4%  
493 0.3% 1.1%  
494 0.2% 0.8%  
495 0.1% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0.1% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0.1% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0.1% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.6%  
405 0.2% 99.4%  
406 0.2% 99.3%  
407 0.3% 99.0%  
408 0.4% 98.8%  
409 0.4% 98%  
410 0.6% 98%  
411 0.5% 97%  
412 0.9% 97%  
413 0.7% 96%  
414 1.5% 95%  
415 1.0% 94%  
416 1.3% 93%  
417 2% 91%  
418 1.0% 90%  
419 3% 89%  
420 2% 86%  
421 3% 84%  
422 2% 81%  
423 4% 79%  
424 2% 76%  
425 4% 73%  
426 2% 70%  
427 4% 68%  
428 3% 63%  
429 2% 60%  
430 4% 59%  
431 3% 54%  
432 4% 51%  
433 3% 47% Median
434 2% 44%  
435 2% 42%  
436 3% 40%  
437 2% 37%  
438 2% 35%  
439 1.5% 33%  
440 2% 31%  
441 2% 29%  
442 1.1% 27%  
443 2% 26%  
444 1.4% 24%  
445 1.1% 23%  
446 1.4% 22%  
447 0.9% 20%  
448 1.0% 20%  
449 1.2% 19%  
450 1.4% 17%  
451 0.6% 16%  
452 1.1% 15%  
453 0.5% 14%  
454 0.9% 14%  
455 0.9% 13%  
456 0.8% 12%  
457 0.7% 11%  
458 0.7% 10%  
459 0.9% 10%  
460 0.8% 9%  
461 1.3% 8%  
462 0.9% 7%  
463 0.7% 6%  
464 1.0% 5%  
465 0.7% 4%  
466 0.5% 4%  
467 0.5% 3%  
468 0.3% 3%  
469 0.5% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.3% 1.4%  
473 0.2% 1.1%  
474 0.2% 0.9%  
475 0.2% 0.7%  
476 0.1% 0.6%  
477 0.1% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0.1% 99.7%  
401 0.1% 99.6%  
402 0.1% 99.5%  
403 0.1% 99.4%  
404 0.2% 99.3%  
405 0.1% 99.1%  
406 0.2% 99.0%  
407 0.3% 98.8%  
408 0.1% 98%  
409 0.2% 98%  
410 0.4% 98%  
411 0.7% 98%  
412 1.1% 97%  
413 1.4% 96%  
414 1.2% 95%  
415 1.2% 93%  
416 0.9% 92%  
417 1.3% 91%  
418 1.0% 90%  
419 0.5% 89%  
420 1.0% 88%  
421 0.5% 87%  
422 0.5% 87%  
423 0.9% 87%  
424 1.0% 86%  
425 3% 85%  
426 3% 82%  
427 3% 79%  
428 4% 76%  
429 4% 72%  
430 6% 67%  
431 4% 61%  
432 4% 58%  
433 2% 53%  
434 2% 51%  
435 1.4% 49%  
436 2% 47%  
437 2% 46%  
438 2% 44%  
439 2% 42%  
440 4% 40% Median
441 4% 36%  
442 4% 32%  
443 4% 28%  
444 3% 24%  
445 3% 21%  
446 3% 18%  
447 1.3% 15%  
448 2% 13%  
449 1.3% 12%  
450 0.8% 10%  
451 0.8% 9%  
452 1.4% 9%  
453 0.8% 7%  
454 1.3% 6%  
455 1.2% 5%  
456 0.9% 4%  
457 0.8% 3%  
458 0.7% 2%  
459 0.6% 2%  
460 0.3% 1.0%  
461 0.2% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0.1% 99.9%  
368 0.1% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0.2% 99.6%  
371 0.3% 99.5%  
372 0.2% 99.2%  
373 0.4% 99.0%  
374 0.3% 98.6%  
375 0.5% 98%  
376 0.4% 98%  
377 0.3% 97%  
378 0.4% 97%  
379 0.4% 97%  
380 0.5% 96%  
381 0.5% 96%  
382 0.7% 95%  
383 1.2% 95%  
384 1.4% 93%  
385 2% 92%  
386 2% 90%  
387 3% 88%  
388 4% 86%  
389 5% 82%  
390 4% 77%  
391 4% 73%  
392 4% 70%  
393 3% 66%  
394 3% 63%  
395 3% 60%  
396 2% 57%  
397 2% 55%  
398 2% 54%  
399 2% 52% Last Result, Median
400 2% 50%  
401 3% 48%  
402 2% 45%  
403 2% 43%  
404 3% 41%  
405 3% 38%  
406 3% 35%  
407 2% 32%  
408 2% 30%  
409 1.3% 28%  
410 2% 26%  
411 2% 25%  
412 2% 23%  
413 2% 21%  
414 1.4% 19%  
415 1.2% 18%  
416 1.0% 16%  
417 1.2% 16%  
418 0.7% 14%  
419 0.5% 14%  
420 0.9% 13%  
421 0.3% 12%  
422 0.4% 12%  
423 0.3% 11%  
424 0.4% 11%  
425 0.9% 11%  
426 1.1% 10%  
427 1.1% 9%  
428 0.8% 8%  
429 1.2% 7%  
430 1.1% 6%  
431 1.1% 5%  
432 0.9% 3%  
433 0.5% 3%  
434 0.5% 2%  
435 0.3% 2%  
436 0.2% 1.3%  
437 0.1% 1.1%  
438 0.1% 1.0%  
439 0.1% 0.9%  
440 0.1% 0.8%  
441 0.1% 0.7%  
442 0.1% 0.6%  
443 0.1% 0.5%  
444 0.1% 0.5%  
445 0.1% 0.4%  
446 0.1% 0.3%  
447 0.1% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.7%  
348 0% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.1% 99.5%  
352 0.2% 99.3%  
353 0.1% 99.1%  
354 0.3% 99.0%  
355 0.4% 98.7% Majority
356 0.4% 98%  
357 0.2% 98%  
358 0.4% 98%  
359 1.0% 97%  
360 0.4% 96%  
361 0.7% 96%  
362 0.8% 95%  
363 0.5% 94%  
364 1.1% 94%  
365 0.4% 93%  
366 1.1% 92%  
367 0.8% 91%  
368 0.9% 91%  
369 1.1% 90%  
370 2% 89%  
371 0.8% 86%  
372 1.5% 85%  
373 1.2% 84%  
374 1.5% 83%  
375 1.4% 81%  
376 2% 80%  
377 2% 78%  
378 2% 75%  
379 2% 74%  
380 2% 71%  
381 3% 69%  
382 2% 66%  
383 4% 63%  
384 3% 60%  
385 4% 57%  
386 3% 53%  
387 3% 50%  
388 4% 47%  
389 2% 44%  
390 3% 41%  
391 3% 39% Median
392 4% 36%  
393 2% 32%  
394 4% 30%  
395 3% 26%  
396 2% 23%  
397 1.3% 21%  
398 2% 20%  
399 3% 18%  
400 3% 15%  
401 1.2% 12%  
402 1.3% 11%  
403 2% 9%  
404 1.4% 8%  
405 1.3% 6%  
406 1.0% 5%  
407 0.6% 4%  
408 0.7% 4%  
409 0.6% 3%  
410 0.3% 2%  
411 0.6% 2%  
412 0.3% 1.3%  
413 0.3% 1.1%  
414 0.2% 0.8%  
415 0.1% 0.6%  
416 0.1% 0.5%  
417 0.1% 0.4%  
418 0.1% 0.3%  
419 0.1% 0.2%  
420 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.2% 99.5%  
324 0.2% 99.4%  
325 0.3% 99.2%  
326 0.3% 98.9%  
327 0.3% 98.6%  
328 0.4% 98%  
329 0.6% 98%  
330 0.5% 97%  
331 0.8% 97%  
332 0.8% 96%  
333 1.0% 95%  
334 1.2% 94%  
335 1.5% 93%  
336 2% 91%  
337 1.5% 90%  
338 3% 88%  
339 3% 86%  
340 3% 83% Last Result
341 2% 80%  
342 3% 78%  
343 4% 75%  
344 2% 71%  
345 3% 70%  
346 4% 67%  
347 3% 63%  
348 3% 60%  
349 3% 57%  
350 3% 54% Median
351 4% 51%  
352 3% 48%  
353 3% 45%  
354 3% 42%  
355 2% 39% Majority
356 3% 37%  
357 2% 35%  
358 2% 32%  
359 2% 30%  
360 1.1% 28%  
361 3% 27%  
362 2% 24%  
363 1.2% 21%  
364 2% 20%  
365 1.1% 18%  
366 2% 17%  
367 1.0% 16%  
368 0.7% 15%  
369 1.1% 14%  
370 2% 13%  
371 0.7% 11%  
372 1.1% 10%  
373 0.9% 9%  
374 0.6% 8%  
375 0.5% 8%  
376 0.7% 7%  
377 0.7% 6%  
378 0.7% 6%  
379 0.8% 5%  
380 0.9% 4%  
381 0.4% 3%  
382 0.3% 3%  
383 0.1% 3%  
384 0.3% 2%  
385 0.5% 2%  
386 0.2% 2%  
387 0.3% 1.3%  
388 0.2% 1.1%  
389 0.1% 0.8%  
390 0.1% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0% 0.3%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.7%  
293 0.1% 99.6%  
294 0.1% 99.5%  
295 0.2% 99.4%  
296 0.3% 99.2%  
297 0.3% 98.9%  
298 0.6% 98.7%  
299 0.3% 98%  
300 0.6% 98%  
301 0.7% 97%  
302 0.6% 96%  
303 1.0% 96%  
304 1.3% 95%  
305 1.4% 94%  
306 2% 92%  
307 1.3% 91%  
308 1.2% 89%  
309 3% 88%  
310 3% 85%  
311 2% 82%  
312 1.3% 80%  
313 2% 79%  
314 3% 77%  
315 4% 74%  
316 2% 70%  
317 4% 68%  
318 3% 64%  
319 3% 61%  
320 2% 59%  
321 4% 56%  
322 3% 53%  
323 3% 50% Median
324 4% 47%  
325 3% 43%  
326 4% 40%  
327 2% 37%  
328 3% 34%  
329 2% 31%  
330 2% 29%  
331 2% 26%  
332 2% 25%  
333 2% 22%  
334 1.4% 20%  
335 1.5% 19%  
336 1.2% 17%  
337 1.5% 16%  
338 0.8% 15%  
339 2% 14%  
340 1.1% 11%  
341 0.9% 10%  
342 0.8% 9%  
343 1.1% 9%  
344 0.4% 8%  
345 1.1% 7%  
346 0.5% 6%  
347 0.8% 6%  
348 0.7% 5%  
349 0.4% 4%  
350 1.0% 4%  
351 0.4% 3%  
352 0.2% 2%  
353 0.4% 2%  
354 0.4% 2%  
355 0.3% 1.3% Majority
356 0.1% 1.0%  
357 0.2% 0.9%  
358 0.1% 0.7%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0% 0.3%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0.1% 99.4%  
282 0.2% 99.3%  
283 0.2% 99.1%  
284 0.2% 98.9%  
285 0.2% 98.8%  
286 0.3% 98.5%  
287 0.3% 98%  
288 1.0% 98%  
289 0.5% 97%  
290 0.7% 96%  
291 0.3% 96%  
292 0.5% 96%  
293 1.2% 95%  
294 0.8% 94%  
295 0.7% 93%  
296 1.0% 92%  
297 0.8% 91%  
298 0.9% 91%  
299 0.7% 90%  
300 1.0% 89%  
301 0.8% 88%  
302 1.4% 87%  
303 1.3% 86%  
304 1.5% 84%  
305 1.4% 83%  
306 0.8% 82%  
307 2% 81%  
308 1.4% 79%  
309 1.1% 77%  
310 2% 76%  
311 2% 74%  
312 2% 72%  
313 4% 70%  
314 2% 66%  
315 4% 64%  
316 3% 60%  
317 2% 58%  
318 3% 55%  
319 2% 52%  
320 4% 50%  
321 3% 47%  
322 2% 44%  
323 4% 42%  
324 3% 38% Median
325 3% 35%  
326 4% 33% Last Result
327 2% 29%  
328 3% 27%  
329 3% 24%  
330 2% 20%  
331 4% 19%  
332 1.1% 15%  
333 2% 14%  
334 2% 12%  
335 0.9% 10%  
336 2% 9%  
337 0.5% 8%  
338 1.4% 7%  
339 0.9% 6%  
340 0.8% 5%  
341 0.8% 4%  
342 0.5% 3%  
343 0.7% 3%  
344 0.5% 2%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.4% 1.4%  
347 0.3% 1.0%  
348 0.2% 0.7%  
349 0.2% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0.1% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.1% 99.7%  
259 0.1% 99.5%  
260 0.2% 99.4%  
261 0.3% 99.3%  
262 0.1% 99.0%  
263 0.2% 98.9%  
264 0.3% 98.6%  
265 0.3% 98%  
266 0.3% 98%  
267 0.5% 98%  
268 0.4% 97%  
269 0.3% 97%  
270 0.9% 97%  
271 0.4% 96%  
272 0.7% 95%  
273 0.6% 95%  
274 0.8% 94%  
275 1.0% 93%  
276 0.4% 92%  
277 0.6% 92%  
278 0.9% 91%  
279 2% 90%  
280 1.5% 89%  
281 1.1% 87%  
282 0.5% 86%  
283 0.7% 86%  
284 1.4% 85%  
285 1.1% 84%  
286 1.2% 82%  
287 0.7% 81%  
288 2% 81%  
289 1.2% 79%  
290 2% 78%  
291 1.0% 76%  
292 2% 75%  
293 2% 73%  
294 2% 71%  
295 2% 69%  
296 2% 68%  
297 4% 66%  
298 3% 62%  
299 2% 59%  
300 2% 56% Last Result
301 2% 55%  
302 5% 53%  
303 4% 48%  
304 3% 44%  
305 3% 41%  
306 3% 39%  
307 3% 36% Median
308 5% 33%  
309 2% 28%  
310 2% 26%  
311 3% 24%  
312 3% 22%  
313 2% 18%  
314 2% 16%  
315 1.2% 14%  
316 3% 13%  
317 2% 10%  
318 2% 8%  
319 0.6% 7%  
320 0.9% 6%  
321 0.9% 5%  
322 1.1% 4%  
323 0.7% 3%  
324 0.4% 3%  
325 0.4% 2%  
326 0.4% 2%  
327 0.4% 1.3%  
328 0.2% 1.0%  
329 0.2% 0.8%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.7%  
238 0.1% 99.6%  
239 0.2% 99.5%  
240 0.2% 99.3%  
241 0.2% 99.1%  
242 0.5% 98.9%  
243 0.4% 98%  
244 0.5% 98%  
245 0.6% 98%  
246 0.6% 97%  
247 0.8% 96%  
248 1.0% 96%  
249 1.2% 94%  
250 1.2% 93%  
251 2% 92%  
252 2% 90%  
253 2% 88%  
254 2% 86%  
255 3% 85%  
256 3% 82%  
257 3% 79%  
258 3% 76%  
259 4% 73%  
260 3% 70%  
261 4% 67%  
262 3% 63%  
263 3% 60%  
264 3% 57%  
265 3% 54%  
266 4% 51% Median
267 3% 47%  
268 4% 44%  
269 3% 40%  
270 2% 37%  
271 3% 34%  
272 2% 31%  
273 2% 29%  
274 2% 26%  
275 2% 24%  
276 2% 22%  
277 1.5% 20%  
278 2% 19%  
279 2% 16%  
280 2% 14%  
281 2% 12%  
282 1.0% 11%  
283 0.9% 10%  
284 1.5% 9%  
285 1.0% 8%  
286 1.0% 7%  
287 0.5% 6%  
288 1.0% 5%  
289 0.5% 4%  
290 0.8% 4%  
291 0.4% 3%  
292 0.3% 2%  
293 0.2% 2%  
294 0.2% 2%  
295 0.6% 2%  
296 0.1% 1.0%  
297 0.1% 0.9%  
298 0.1% 0.8%  
299 0.2% 0.6%  
300 0.1% 0.5%  
301 0.1% 0.4%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.5%  
151 0.3% 99.4%  
152 0.3% 99.1%  
153 0.6% 98.8%  
154 0.6% 98%  
155 0.7% 98%  
156 0.9% 97%  
157 1.1% 96%  
158 1.4% 95%  
159 2% 94%  
160 1.5% 92%  
161 2% 91%  
162 2% 89%  
163 3% 87%  
164 2% 84%  
165 3% 81%  
166 3% 79%  
167 3% 75%  
168 4% 72%  
169 4% 68%  
170 3% 64%  
171 5% 60%  
172 3% 55%  
173 4% 53% Median
174 4% 48%  
175 5% 45%  
176 4% 40%  
177 3% 36%  
178 2% 33%  
179 4% 30%  
180 4% 27%  
181 2% 23%  
182 3% 21%  
183 2% 18%  
184 3% 16%  
185 2% 14%  
186 2% 11%  
187 1.2% 10%  
188 2% 9%  
189 0.9% 7%  
190 0.5% 6%  
191 0.9% 5%  
192 0.4% 4%  
193 1.0% 4%  
194 0.4% 3%  
195 0.3% 2%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 0.9%  
200 0.2% 0.7%  
201 0.2% 0.6%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.5%  
108 0.3% 99.4%  
109 0.3% 99.1%  
110 0.3% 98.8%  
111 0.3% 98%  
112 0.5% 98%  
113 0.4% 98%  
114 0.4% 97%  
115 0.8% 97%  
116 0.7% 96%  
117 1.1% 95%  
118 1.2% 94%  
119 0.9% 93%  
120 0.7% 92%  
121 0.7% 91%  
122 0.7% 91%  
123 2% 90%  
124 2% 88%  
125 0.7% 86%  
126 1.3% 86%  
127 1.0% 85%  
128 0.6% 83%  
129 0.4% 83%  
130 0.7% 82%  
131 0.5% 82%  
132 0.8% 81%  
133 0.4% 80%  
134 0.4% 80%  
135 0.4% 80%  
136 0.2% 79%  
137 0.3% 79%  
138 0.4% 79%  
139 0.5% 78%  
140 0.3% 78%  
141 0.6% 78%  
142 0.6% 77%  
143 0.8% 76%  
144 1.0% 76%  
145 1.1% 75%  
146 3% 73%  
147 2% 71%  
148 1.3% 69%  
149 1.5% 68%  
150 2% 66%  
151 4% 64%  
152 3% 60%  
153 4% 57%  
154 3% 53%  
155 4% 50%  
156 2% 46%  
157 2% 44% Median
158 5% 42%  
159 5% 37%  
160 5% 32%  
161 3% 27%  
162 3% 24%  
163 3% 21%  
164 2% 18%  
165 2% 17%  
166 2% 14%  
167 3% 12%  
168 2% 9%  
169 1.2% 7%  
170 0.9% 5%  
171 0.7% 4%  
172 0.7% 4%  
173 0.6% 3%  
174 0.6% 2%  
175 0.6% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.2%  
177 0.3% 0.9%  
178 0.1% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.5%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations