Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 21–22 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.3–31.9% 27.8–32.4% 27.4–32.9% 26.6–33.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.1–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.3–13.0% 8.7–13.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 232 215–249 212–253 207–257 200–265
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 153 141–169 138–173 136–175 128–184
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 98–119 94–123 92–126 87–132
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 76–96 73–98 70–101 67–106
Die Linke 69 54 46–63 44–65 43–67 39–72
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 54 46–62 44–65 43–67 39–71
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 38 0–45 0–47 0–48 0–52

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
193 0% 100%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0.1% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.8%  
199 0.2% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.5%  
202 0.1% 99.4%  
203 0.2% 99.3%  
204 0.3% 99.1%  
205 0.2% 98.9%  
206 0.6% 98.7%  
207 0.7% 98%  
208 0.7% 97%  
209 0.3% 97%  
210 0.6% 96%  
211 0.5% 96%  
212 0.8% 95%  
213 0.7% 94%  
214 2% 94%  
215 3% 92%  
216 1.1% 89%  
217 2% 88%  
218 2% 85%  
219 1.5% 84%  
220 1.3% 82%  
221 2% 81%  
222 3% 79%  
223 3% 76%  
224 2% 73%  
225 4% 71%  
226 4% 67%  
227 1.5% 63%  
228 2% 61%  
229 2% 59%  
230 3% 57%  
231 3% 54%  
232 4% 51% Median
233 5% 48%  
234 3% 43%  
235 2% 40%  
236 2% 38%  
237 4% 35%  
238 2% 32%  
239 1.2% 30%  
240 2% 28%  
241 2% 26%  
242 3% 24%  
243 2% 21%  
244 2% 19%  
245 2% 17%  
246 2% 15%  
247 0.9% 12%  
248 1.3% 11%  
249 1.0% 10%  
250 2% 9%  
251 1.0% 7%  
252 1.0% 6%  
253 1.1% 5%  
254 0.5% 4%  
255 0.6% 4%  
256 0.5% 3%  
257 0.3% 3%  
258 0.3% 2%  
259 0.3% 2%  
260 0.4% 2%  
261 0.3% 1.3%  
262 0.3% 1.0%  
263 0.1% 0.8%  
264 0.1% 0.6%  
265 0.1% 0.5%  
266 0% 0.4%  
267 0.1% 0.4%  
268 0.1% 0.3%  
269 0% 0.2%  
270 0.1% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.2% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.7%  
129 0.2% 99.5%  
130 0.3% 99.2%  
131 0.3% 98.9%  
132 0.2% 98.6%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.2% 98%  
136 0.5% 98%  
137 0.6% 97%  
138 2% 97%  
139 2% 95%  
140 2% 93%  
141 3% 91%  
142 2% 88%  
143 2% 85%  
144 2% 83%  
145 1.3% 81%  
146 2% 80%  
147 2% 78%  
148 4% 76%  
149 4% 73%  
150 5% 69%  
151 4% 64%  
152 4% 60%  
153 5% 55% Median
154 3% 50%  
155 2% 46%  
156 2% 44%  
157 2% 43%  
158 4% 40%  
159 4% 36%  
160 5% 31%  
161 4% 26%  
162 3% 22%  
163 2% 19%  
164 2% 17%  
165 2% 15%  
166 0.9% 13%  
167 0.8% 12%  
168 0.9% 11%  
169 1.1% 10%  
170 1.5% 9%  
171 1.5% 8%  
172 1.1% 6%  
173 1.4% 5%  
174 1.1% 4%  
175 0.6% 3%  
176 0.7% 2%  
177 0.2% 1.4%  
178 0.1% 1.1%  
179 0% 1.1%  
180 0.1% 1.0%  
181 0.1% 0.9%  
182 0.2% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.7%  
184 0.1% 0.5%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.2% 99.4%  
89 0.3% 99.2%  
90 0.5% 98.9%  
91 0.7% 98%  
92 0.7% 98%  
93 0.8% 97%  
94 1.3% 96%  
95 1.4% 95%  
96 1.4% 93%  
97 2% 92%  
98 4% 90%  
99 3% 86%  
100 3% 83%  
101 3% 80%  
102 4% 77%  
103 3% 73%  
104 4% 70%  
105 6% 66%  
106 4% 61%  
107 4% 56%  
108 4% 52% Median
109 3% 48%  
110 5% 45%  
111 6% 41%  
112 4% 35%  
113 4% 31%  
114 4% 28%  
115 5% 24%  
116 2% 20%  
117 2% 18%  
118 3% 16%  
119 3% 13%  
120 1.4% 9%  
121 1.4% 8%  
122 1.2% 6%  
123 0.9% 5%  
124 0.6% 4%  
125 1.0% 4%  
126 0.5% 3%  
127 0.4% 2%  
128 0.4% 2%  
129 0.3% 1.4%  
130 0.3% 1.1%  
131 0.1% 0.7%  
132 0.2% 0.7%  
133 0.2% 0.5%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.5%  
68 0.4% 99.2%  
69 0.5% 98.9%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 1.1% 97%  
72 1.0% 96%  
73 1.4% 95%  
74 2% 94%  
75 2% 92%  
76 3% 90%  
77 3% 87%  
78 5% 84%  
79 4% 79%  
80 5% 75%  
81 3% 70%  
82 5% 66%  
83 4% 62%  
84 6% 57%  
85 5% 52% Median
86 5% 47%  
87 5% 42%  
88 6% 37%  
89 5% 32%  
90 3% 27%  
91 3% 24%  
92 3% 21%  
93 3% 18%  
94 2% 15% Last Result
95 3% 13%  
96 3% 11%  
97 2% 8%  
98 1.2% 6%  
99 0.8% 5%  
100 0.8% 4%  
101 0.7% 3%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.5% 2%  
104 0.5% 1.4%  
105 0.4% 1.0%  
106 0.1% 0.6%  
107 0.1% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.4%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.5%  
41 0.6% 99.1%  
42 0.9% 98.6%  
43 1.4% 98%  
44 2% 96%  
45 2% 94%  
46 3% 92%  
47 4% 90%  
48 4% 86%  
49 5% 82%  
50 5% 77%  
51 6% 72%  
52 6% 66%  
53 6% 60%  
54 7% 54% Median
55 8% 47%  
56 6% 40%  
57 6% 33%  
58 5% 27%  
59 3% 23%  
60 4% 19%  
61 3% 15%  
62 2% 12%  
63 2% 10%  
64 3% 8%  
65 2% 5%  
66 1.1% 4%  
67 0.6% 3%  
68 0.7% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
70 0.2% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.7%  
72 0.2% 0.6%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.3% 99.7%  
40 0.3% 99.5%  
41 0.7% 99.1%  
42 1.0% 98%  
43 0.9% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 92% Last Result
47 4% 89%  
48 5% 85%  
49 5% 81%  
50 5% 76%  
51 6% 71%  
52 5% 65%  
53 7% 60%  
54 7% 53% Median
55 6% 46%  
56 6% 40%  
57 6% 34%  
58 4% 28%  
59 5% 24%  
60 4% 19%  
61 4% 15%  
62 2% 11%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 7%  
65 1.3% 5%  
66 0.8% 4%  
67 1.0% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.4% 2%  
70 0.3% 1.1%  
71 0.3% 0.8%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 0% 51%  
17 0% 51%  
18 0% 51%  
19 0% 51%  
20 0% 51%  
21 0% 51%  
22 0% 51%  
23 0% 51%  
24 0% 51%  
25 0% 51%  
26 0% 51%  
27 0% 51%  
28 0% 51%  
29 0% 51%  
30 0% 51%  
31 0% 51%  
32 0% 51%  
33 0% 51%  
34 0% 51%  
35 0% 51%  
36 0% 51%  
37 0.2% 51%  
38 5% 51% Median
39 8% 45%  
40 6% 37%  
41 7% 31%  
42 6% 24%  
43 4% 18%  
44 3% 14%  
45 3% 11%  
46 2% 7%  
47 2% 5%  
48 1.1% 4%  
49 0.8% 2%  
50 0.5% 2%  
51 0.4% 1.1%  
52 0.3% 0.7%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 548 100% 525–573 520–577 517–580 510–587
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 461 100% 444–478 440–483 436–487 429–494
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 440 100% 418–463 413–468 410–472 402–479
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 416 100% 396–434 392–438 388–442 379–450
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 393 99.7% 373–416 368–421 364–425 357–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 393 99.6% 373–411 367–416 363–420 355–428
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 371 83% 350–393 346–397 342–401 335–409
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 316 0.4% 298–336 293–342 289–346 281–354
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 307 0.1% 285–328 281–333 277–337 268–346
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 284 0% 261–305 256–311 253–314 245–322
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 262 0% 245–281 241–285 237–289 231–297
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 162 0% 149–176 146–180 142–184 135–190
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 132 0% 105–154 101–158 98–161 93–168

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 99.9%  
504 0% 99.9%  
505 0% 99.9%  
506 0% 99.9%  
507 0.1% 99.8%  
508 0.1% 99.8%  
509 0.1% 99.7%  
510 0.1% 99.6%  
511 0.2% 99.5%  
512 0.2% 99.3%  
513 0.2% 99.1%  
514 0.4% 98.8%  
515 0.2% 98%  
516 0.4% 98%  
517 0.6% 98%  
518 0.8% 97%  
519 0.9% 96%  
520 0.8% 95%  
521 1.1% 95%  
522 1.4% 94%  
523 0.9% 92%  
524 1.1% 91%  
525 1.0% 90%  
526 3% 89%  
527 2% 86%  
528 3% 85%  
529 2% 82%  
530 1.4% 80%  
531 2% 78%  
532 2% 76%  
533 1.3% 74%  
534 2% 73%  
535 3% 70%  
536 4% 68%  
537 2% 64%  
538 1.2% 62%  
539 1.4% 61%  
540 2% 60%  
541 1.1% 58%  
542 0.9% 57%  
543 2% 56%  
544 2% 54%  
545 0.9% 52%  
546 0.7% 51%  
547 0.5% 51% Median
548 0.9% 50%  
549 1.0% 49%  
550 0.7% 48%  
551 0.9% 48%  
552 0.9% 47%  
553 1.4% 46%  
554 2% 44%  
555 0.8% 43%  
556 1.2% 42%  
557 0.7% 41%  
558 2% 40%  
559 1.2% 38%  
560 2% 37%  
561 2% 36%  
562 3% 34%  
563 3% 31%  
564 1.5% 28%  
565 2% 27%  
566 2% 25%  
567 3% 22%  
568 1.1% 20%  
569 2% 19%  
570 1.4% 17%  
571 3% 15%  
572 2% 12%  
573 1.0% 10%  
574 1.2% 9%  
575 1.2% 8%  
576 1.1% 7%  
577 0.6% 6%  
578 0.5% 5%  
579 1.4% 4%  
580 0.8% 3%  
581 0.3% 2%  
582 0.2% 2%  
583 0.4% 2%  
584 0.4% 1.2%  
585 0.2% 0.8%  
586 0.1% 0.7%  
587 0.1% 0.6%  
588 0.1% 0.5%  
589 0.1% 0.3%  
590 0% 0.2%  
591 0% 0.2%  
592 0% 0.2%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0.1%  
596 0% 0.1%  
597 0% 0.1%  
598 0% 0.1%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0.1%  
601 0% 0.1%  
602 0% 0.1%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0.1%  
608 0% 0.1%  
609 0% 0.1%  
610 0% 0.1%  
611 0% 0.1%  
612 0% 0.1%  
613 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.8%  
425 0.1% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.1% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.6%  
429 0.1% 99.5%  
430 0.2% 99.4%  
431 0.2% 99.2%  
432 0.3% 99.0%  
433 0.4% 98.7%  
434 0.4% 98%  
435 0.4% 98%  
436 0.3% 98%  
437 0.8% 97%  
438 0.8% 96%  
439 0.5% 96%  
440 0.7% 95%  
441 1.2% 94%  
442 0.9% 93%  
443 1.4% 92%  
444 1.3% 91%  
445 2% 90%  
446 2% 88%  
447 1.3% 86%  
448 1.3% 85%  
449 2% 83%  
450 1.1% 82%  
451 4% 81%  
452 3% 76%  
453 2% 74%  
454 2% 72%  
455 2% 70%  
456 3% 68%  
457 4% 65%  
458 2% 61%  
459 2% 59%  
460 3% 57%  
461 4% 54%  
462 2% 49%  
463 3% 48%  
464 3% 44%  
465 3% 41%  
466 2% 38%  
467 4% 37%  
468 2% 33%  
469 2% 31%  
470 3% 29%  
471 2% 26%  
472 2% 24%  
473 3% 21%  
474 2% 18%  
475 1.3% 16%  
476 2% 15%  
477 3% 13% Median
478 1.0% 11%  
479 1.1% 10%  
480 2% 9%  
481 1.1% 7%  
482 0.8% 6%  
483 0.8% 5%  
484 0.5% 5%  
485 1.0% 4%  
486 0.3% 3%  
487 0.6% 3%  
488 0.4% 2%  
489 0.3% 2%  
490 0.3% 1.5%  
491 0.3% 1.1%  
492 0.1% 0.9%  
493 0.1% 0.7%  
494 0.1% 0.6%  
495 0.1% 0.5%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0.1% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0.1% 99.7%  
401 0.1% 99.6%  
402 0.1% 99.6%  
403 0.1% 99.4%  
404 0.2% 99.3%  
405 0.3% 99.1%  
406 0.3% 98.8%  
407 0.3% 98.5%  
408 0.4% 98%  
409 0.4% 98%  
410 0.6% 98%  
411 0.6% 97%  
412 0.8% 96%  
413 1.0% 96%  
414 1.0% 95%  
415 1.0% 94%  
416 1.0% 93%  
417 0.9% 92%  
418 1.2% 91%  
419 1.4% 89%  
420 1.1% 88%  
421 2% 87%  
422 2% 85%  
423 2% 83%  
424 1.2% 81%  
425 3% 80%  
426 2% 77%  
427 1.5% 75%  
428 2% 73%  
429 2% 71%  
430 2% 69%  
431 3% 68%  
432 1.4% 64%  
433 2% 63%  
434 2% 61%  
435 1.3% 59%  
436 2% 58%  
437 2% 56%  
438 2% 54%  
439 2% 52% Median
440 1.1% 51%  
441 2% 49%  
442 2% 48%  
443 2% 46%  
444 2% 44%  
445 2% 42%  
446 2% 40%  
447 1.5% 38%  
448 1.3% 37%  
449 2% 35%  
450 1.1% 34%  
451 4% 33%  
452 2% 29%  
453 1.2% 27%  
454 1.5% 26%  
455 1.2% 24%  
456 2% 23%  
457 3% 21%  
458 1.3% 17%  
459 1.3% 16%  
460 2% 15%  
461 2% 13%  
462 0.9% 11%  
463 1.3% 10%  
464 0.9% 9%  
465 2% 8%  
466 0.9% 7%  
467 0.6% 6%  
468 0.6% 5%  
469 0.9% 5%  
470 0.6% 4%  
471 0.5% 3%  
472 0.4% 3%  
473 0.5% 2%  
474 0.4% 2%  
475 0.2% 1.3%  
476 0.1% 1.1%  
477 0.2% 1.0%  
478 0.2% 0.8%  
479 0.1% 0.6%  
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0.1% 0.4%  
482 0% 0.3%  
483 0.1% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.2% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.3%  
382 0.2% 99.2%  
383 0.2% 99.0%  
384 0.2% 98.8%  
385 0.3% 98.7%  
386 0.2% 98%  
387 0.4% 98%  
388 0.6% 98%  
389 0.5% 97%  
390 0.7% 97%  
391 0.6% 96%  
392 0.9% 95%  
393 1.3% 94%  
394 0.8% 93%  
395 0.8% 92%  
396 2% 92%  
397 1.3% 90%  
398 1.4% 88%  
399 2% 87%  
400 1.0% 85%  
401 2% 84%  
402 2% 82%  
403 1.4% 80%  
404 2% 79%  
405 3% 77%  
406 1.2% 74%  
407 2% 73%  
408 2% 71%  
409 2% 69%  
410 3% 66%  
411 2% 64%  
412 3% 62%  
413 4% 59%  
414 2% 55%  
415 2% 53%  
416 3% 51%  
417 3% 48%  
418 2% 44%  
419 3% 43%  
420 2% 40%  
421 3% 38%  
422 2% 35%  
423 3% 33%  
424 2% 30%  
425 2% 28%  
426 3% 26%  
427 1.4% 23%  
428 3% 22%  
429 2% 19%  
430 2% 17%  
431 2% 15%  
432 2% 13% Median
433 1.1% 12%  
434 2% 10%  
435 1.5% 9%  
436 1.0% 7%  
437 0.9% 6%  
438 0.7% 5%  
439 0.4% 5%  
440 0.9% 4%  
441 0.5% 3%  
442 0.4% 3%  
443 0.3% 2%  
444 0.4% 2%  
445 0.5% 2%  
446 0.2% 1.3%  
447 0.2% 1.1%  
448 0.2% 0.9%  
449 0.1% 0.7%  
450 0.2% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0.1% 0.3%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.7% Majority
356 0.1% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.5%  
358 0.1% 99.4%  
359 0.1% 99.2%  
360 0.2% 99.1%  
361 0.2% 98.9%  
362 0.3% 98.6%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.6% 97%  
366 0.8% 97%  
367 0.4% 96%  
368 0.9% 96%  
369 1.0% 95%  
370 0.6% 94%  
371 1.5% 93%  
372 1.5% 92%  
373 1.5% 90%  
374 1.2% 89%  
375 2% 87%  
376 2% 86%  
377 2% 84%  
378 1.1% 83%  
379 2% 81%  
380 1.4% 79%  
381 2% 78%  
382 3% 76%  
383 2% 73%  
384 2% 72%  
385 2% 70%  
386 3% 68%  
387 2% 66%  
388 2% 63%  
389 2% 61%  
390 2% 58%  
391 2% 56%  
392 2% 54%  
393 3% 52%  
394 2% 50% Median
395 2% 48%  
396 3% 46%  
397 2% 44%  
398 2% 42%  
399 2% 40% Last Result
400 2% 38%  
401 2% 36%  
402 2% 34%  
403 2% 33%  
404 2% 31%  
405 2% 29%  
406 1.1% 27%  
407 2% 26%  
408 2% 24%  
409 2% 22%  
410 2% 20%  
411 1.5% 18%  
412 0.9% 17%  
413 3% 16%  
414 1.2% 13%  
415 0.8% 12%  
416 2% 11%  
417 1.4% 9%  
418 0.6% 8%  
419 1.2% 7%  
420 1.0% 6%  
421 0.8% 5%  
422 0.7% 4%  
423 0.2% 4%  
424 0.7% 3%  
425 0.3% 3%  
426 0.5% 2%  
427 0.3% 2%  
428 0.3% 2%  
429 0.1% 1.2%  
430 0.2% 1.1%  
431 0.2% 0.9%  
432 0.2% 0.8%  
433 0.2% 0.6%  
434 0.1% 0.4%  
435 0.1% 0.4%  
436 0.1% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0.2% 99.6% Majority
356 0.1% 99.5%  
357 0.2% 99.4%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.3% 99.1%  
360 0.2% 98.8%  
361 0.3% 98.6%  
362 0.2% 98%  
363 0.9% 98%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.4% 97%  
366 0.7% 96%  
367 0.7% 96%  
368 0.6% 95%  
369 0.6% 94%  
370 0.7% 94%  
371 1.4% 93%  
372 0.7% 92%  
373 2% 91%  
374 0.7% 89%  
375 2% 88%  
376 2% 87%  
377 3% 85%  
378 1.3% 82%  
379 2% 81%  
380 1.1% 79%  
381 2% 78%  
382 2% 76%  
383 2% 73%  
384 2% 72%  
385 2% 70%  
386 3% 68%  
387 3% 65%  
388 4% 63%  
389 1.3% 59%  
390 2% 58%  
391 1.4% 56%  
392 3% 54%  
393 2% 51%  
394 3% 49%  
395 2% 45%  
396 3% 43%  
397 3% 40%  
398 2% 37%  
399 2% 35%  
400 2% 33%  
401 3% 31%  
402 3% 28%  
403 2% 25%  
404 2% 23%  
405 1.4% 21%  
406 1.2% 20%  
407 3% 19%  
408 2% 15%  
409 2% 14% Median
410 1.1% 11%  
411 1.3% 10%  
412 0.5% 9%  
413 1.1% 8%  
414 0.6% 7%  
415 1.1% 7%  
416 1.1% 6%  
417 0.9% 5%  
418 0.6% 4%  
419 0.4% 3%  
420 0.3% 3% Last Result
421 0.4% 2%  
422 0.4% 2%  
423 0.2% 1.4%  
424 0.3% 1.2%  
425 0.1% 0.9%  
426 0.1% 0.8%  
427 0.1% 0.7%  
428 0.1% 0.5%  
429 0.1% 0.4%  
430 0% 0.3%  
431 0% 0.3%  
432 0.1% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0.1% 99.9%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0.1% 99.7%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.5%  
336 0.3% 99.4%  
337 0.2% 99.1%  
338 0.2% 98.9%  
339 0.3% 98.7%  
340 0.3% 98% Last Result
341 0.5% 98%  
342 0.4% 98%  
343 0.3% 97%  
344 1.0% 97%  
345 0.4% 96%  
346 0.8% 95%  
347 0.8% 95%  
348 1.1% 94%  
349 2% 93%  
350 1.3% 91%  
351 1.0% 90%  
352 1.1% 89%  
353 2% 88%  
354 3% 85%  
355 1.3% 83% Majority
356 1.5% 81%  
357 2% 80%  
358 2% 78%  
359 2% 76%  
360 2% 74%  
361 3% 72%  
362 2% 69%  
363 3% 68%  
364 2% 64%  
365 2% 62%  
366 3% 61%  
367 2% 58%  
368 2% 56%  
369 2% 54%  
370 2% 52%  
371 3% 50% Median
372 1.2% 48%  
373 3% 46%  
374 2% 44%  
375 2% 42%  
376 2% 40%  
377 3% 38%  
378 1.4% 35%  
379 2% 33%  
380 1.1% 31%  
381 2% 30%  
382 2% 28%  
383 1.5% 26%  
384 1.2% 24%  
385 2% 23%  
386 2% 21%  
387 2% 19%  
388 2% 17%  
389 1.0% 15%  
390 1.1% 14%  
391 0.7% 13%  
392 2% 12%  
393 0.9% 10%  
394 2% 9%  
395 1.1% 7%  
396 0.9% 6%  
397 0.6% 5%  
398 0.7% 5%  
399 0.6% 4%  
400 0.7% 4%  
401 0.4% 3%  
402 0.3% 2%  
403 0.6% 2%  
404 0.3% 2%  
405 0.2% 1.3%  
406 0.2% 1.1%  
407 0.2% 0.9%  
408 0.2% 0.8%  
409 0.1% 0.6%  
410 0% 0.5%  
411 0.1% 0.4%  
412 0% 0.3%  
413 0.1% 0.3%  
414 0.1% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.6%  
282 0.1% 99.5%  
283 0.1% 99.3%  
284 0.1% 99.2%  
285 0.3% 99.1%  
286 0.2% 98.8%  
287 0.4% 98.6%  
288 0.4% 98%  
289 0.3% 98% Last Result
290 0.4% 97%  
291 0.6% 97%  
292 0.9% 96%  
293 1.1% 95%  
294 1.1% 94%  
295 0.6% 93%  
296 1.1% 93%  
297 0.5% 92%  
298 1.3% 91%  
299 1.1% 90%  
300 2% 89%  
301 2% 86%  
302 3% 85%  
303 1.2% 81%  
304 1.4% 80%  
305 2% 79%  
306 2% 77%  
307 3% 75%  
308 3% 72%  
309 2% 69%  
310 2% 67%  
311 2% 65%  
312 3% 63%  
313 3% 60%  
314 2% 57%  
315 3% 55% Median
316 2% 51%  
317 3% 49%  
318 1.4% 46%  
319 2% 44%  
320 1.3% 42%  
321 4% 41%  
322 3% 37%  
323 3% 35%  
324 2% 32%  
325 2% 30%  
326 2% 28%  
327 2% 27%  
328 2% 24%  
329 1.1% 22%  
330 2% 21%  
331 1.3% 19%  
332 3% 18%  
333 2% 15%  
334 2% 13%  
335 0.7% 12%  
336 2% 11%  
337 0.7% 9%  
338 1.4% 8%  
339 0.7% 7%  
340 0.6% 6%  
341 0.6% 6%  
342 0.7% 5%  
343 0.7% 4%  
344 0.4% 4%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.9% 3%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.2% 1.4%  
350 0.3% 1.2%  
351 0.1% 0.9%  
352 0.2% 0.8%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.2% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.2% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.4%  
270 0.2% 99.3%  
271 0.2% 99.1%  
272 0.2% 98.9%  
273 0.2% 98.8%  
274 0.2% 98.6%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.4% 98%  
277 0.4% 98%  
278 0.9% 97%  
279 0.4% 96%  
280 0.8% 96%  
281 2% 95%  
282 0.8% 93%  
283 0.9% 93%  
284 1.5% 92%  
285 0.9% 90%  
286 2% 89%  
287 0.7% 88%  
288 1.1% 87%  
289 2% 86%  
290 0.8% 83%  
291 2% 83%  
292 1.4% 81%  
293 2% 79%  
294 3% 77%  
295 1.0% 74%  
296 2% 73%  
297 2% 72%  
298 2% 70%  
299 1.4% 67%  
300 3% 66%  
301 2% 63%  
302 2% 62%  
303 2% 60%  
304 2% 58%  
305 2% 56%  
306 2% 54%  
307 2% 52%  
308 2% 50%  
309 2% 48%  
310 3% 46%  
311 1.1% 43%  
312 1.2% 42%  
313 4% 40%  
314 1.3% 36%  
315 2% 35%  
316 2% 33%  
317 1.0% 32%  
318 2% 31%  
319 2% 28%  
320 1.4% 26%  
321 2% 25%  
322 2% 23%  
323 3% 21%  
324 2% 18% Median
325 3% 17%  
326 1.2% 14% Last Result
327 1.3% 12%  
328 1.2% 11%  
329 1.3% 10%  
330 1.1% 9%  
331 1.2% 7%  
332 0.8% 6%  
333 0.9% 5%  
334 0.5% 5%  
335 0.5% 4%  
336 0.5% 3%  
337 0.5% 3%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.5% 2%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.3% 1.3%  
342 0.1% 1.0%  
343 0.2% 0.9%  
344 0.1% 0.7%  
345 0.1% 0.6%  
346 0.2% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.5%  
246 0.2% 99.5%  
247 0.1% 99.3%  
248 0.2% 99.2%  
249 0.2% 99.0%  
250 0.4% 98.8%  
251 0.5% 98%  
252 0.3% 98%  
253 0.6% 98%  
254 0.6% 97%  
255 0.7% 96%  
256 1.0% 96%  
257 0.4% 95%  
258 2% 94%  
259 0.7% 93%  
260 2% 92%  
261 0.7% 90%  
262 1.3% 90%  
263 2% 88%  
264 1.4% 86%  
265 1.0% 85%  
266 1.1% 84%  
267 2% 83%  
268 1.1% 81%  
269 3% 80%  
270 2% 77%  
271 1.1% 75%  
272 3% 74%  
273 1.1% 71%  
274 3% 70%  
275 1.0% 67%  
276 1.5% 66%  
277 2% 64%  
278 1.0% 62%  
279 2% 61%  
280 2% 59%  
281 2% 57%  
282 1.1% 55%  
283 2% 54%  
284 2% 52%  
285 1.4% 49%  
286 2% 48%  
287 2% 46%  
288 2% 45%  
289 2% 43%  
290 1.3% 41%  
291 4% 40%  
292 1.1% 36%  
293 2% 35%  
294 2% 33%  
295 2% 31%  
296 2% 29%  
297 3% 27%  
298 2% 24%  
299 2% 22% Median
300 2% 21% Last Result
301 1.5% 18%  
302 2% 17%  
303 2% 15%  
304 2% 13%  
305 0.9% 11%  
306 0.9% 10%  
307 1.3% 9%  
308 0.9% 8%  
309 1.2% 7%  
310 0.4% 6%  
311 0.5% 5%  
312 0.9% 5%  
313 0.5% 4%  
314 0.8% 3%  
315 0.4% 2%  
316 0.3% 2%  
317 0.3% 2%  
318 0.2% 1.5%  
319 0.2% 1.3%  
320 0.2% 1.0%  
321 0.3% 0.8%  
322 0.1% 0.6%  
323 0.1% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0.1% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.7%  
230 0.1% 99.6%  
231 0.2% 99.5%  
232 0.2% 99.3%  
233 0.2% 99.2%  
234 0.3% 98.9%  
235 0.3% 98.7%  
236 0.4% 98%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 0.8% 97%  
239 0.7% 97%  
240 0.5% 96%  
241 1.2% 95%  
242 0.8% 94%  
243 1.2% 93%  
244 0.8% 92%  
245 2% 91%  
246 2% 90%  
247 2% 88%  
248 1.4% 87%  
249 1.3% 85%  
250 3% 84%  
251 3% 82%  
252 2% 79%  
253 2% 77%  
254 4% 75%  
255 3% 71%  
256 2% 68%  
257 2% 66%  
258 3% 64%  
259 3% 61%  
260 3% 58%  
261 3% 55% Median
262 3% 52%  
263 3% 49%  
264 3% 46%  
265 2% 43%  
266 2% 41%  
267 3% 39%  
268 2% 36%  
269 3% 34%  
270 3% 31%  
271 1.4% 28%  
272 3% 27%  
273 1.5% 24%  
274 4% 22%  
275 1.0% 19%  
276 2% 18%  
277 2% 16%  
278 0.9% 14%  
279 2% 13%  
280 1.2% 11%  
281 2% 10%  
282 0.7% 8%  
283 2% 8%  
284 0.7% 6%  
285 0.5% 5%  
286 0.9% 5%  
287 0.5% 4%  
288 0.7% 4%  
289 0.4% 3%  
290 0.3% 2%  
291 0.5% 2%  
292 0.2% 2%  
293 0.5% 1.5%  
294 0.1% 1.0%  
295 0.1% 0.9%  
296 0.2% 0.7%  
297 0.1% 0.5%  
298 0.1% 0.5%  
299 0% 0.4%  
300 0.1% 0.3%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.6%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.5%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0.2% 99.4%  
138 0.2% 99.2%  
139 0.4% 99.0%  
140 0.4% 98.6%  
141 0.7% 98%  
142 0.6% 98%  
143 0.5% 97%  
144 0.6% 96%  
145 0.8% 96%  
146 1.1% 95%  
147 1.3% 94%  
148 2% 93%  
149 2% 91%  
150 3% 89%  
151 2% 86%  
152 2% 84%  
153 2% 82%  
154 2% 79%  
155 3% 77%  
156 3% 74%  
157 4% 71%  
158 4% 67%  
159 4% 63%  
160 4% 59%  
161 4% 55%  
162 3% 52% Median
163 3% 48%  
164 4% 45%  
165 4% 42%  
166 3% 38%  
167 3% 35%  
168 2% 32%  
169 4% 30%  
170 4% 26%  
171 2% 22%  
172 2% 20%  
173 2% 18%  
174 4% 16%  
175 2% 12%  
176 2% 11%  
177 0.9% 9%  
178 0.9% 8%  
179 2% 7%  
180 0.7% 5%  
181 0.4% 4%  
182 0.4% 4%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.6% 3%  
185 0.5% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.5%  
188 0.4% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.1% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.2% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.5%  
94 0.1% 99.4%  
95 0.5% 99.3%  
96 0.5% 98.8%  
97 0.5% 98%  
98 0.6% 98%  
99 1.2% 97%  
100 0.9% 96%  
101 0.4% 95%  
102 1.3% 95%  
103 2% 93%  
104 1.1% 91%  
105 0.9% 90%  
106 3% 89%  
107 3% 87%  
108 1.0% 84%  
109 0.9% 83%  
110 4% 82%  
111 4% 78%  
112 1.3% 74%  
113 2% 73%  
114 2% 71%  
115 3% 69%  
116 0.7% 66%  
117 2% 65%  
118 3% 63%  
119 2% 61%  
120 1.0% 58%  
121 1.3% 57%  
122 0.9% 56%  
123 0.6% 55%  
124 0.5% 55%  
125 1.0% 54%  
126 0.5% 53%  
127 0.4% 53%  
128 0.6% 52%  
129 0.5% 52%  
130 0.7% 51%  
131 0.3% 50%  
132 0.7% 50%  
133 0.6% 49%  
134 0.8% 49%  
135 0.9% 48%  
136 1.3% 47%  
137 1.2% 46%  
138 1.1% 45%  
139 2% 44%  
140 2% 41%  
141 3% 40%  
142 2% 36%  
143 2% 35%  
144 2% 33%  
145 2% 30%  
146 2% 28% Median
147 3% 26%  
148 2% 24%  
149 2% 22%  
150 3% 20%  
151 2% 17%  
152 2% 15%  
153 2% 13%  
154 1.3% 10%  
155 1.1% 9%  
156 1.0% 8%  
157 1.3% 7%  
158 1.2% 6%  
159 0.8% 4%  
160 0.5% 4%  
161 0.7% 3%  
162 0.6% 2%  
163 0.3% 2%  
164 0.2% 1.3%  
165 0.2% 1.1%  
166 0.2% 0.9%  
167 0.2% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations