Opinion Poll by GMS, 22–27 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.4% 28.1–33.9% 27.3–34.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.2% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–17.0%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 236 221–252 218–258 214–262 208–273
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 146 133–159 130–163 128–167 122–174
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 107 96–119 93–122 91–125 86–132
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 67–87 65–90 63–92 59–98
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 55 47–63 45–66 43–68 40–73
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 44 42–52 0–58 0–59 0–61
Die Linke 69 46 39–54 0–56 0–58 0–63

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.9%  
204 0% 99.8%  
205 0.1% 99.8%  
206 0.1% 99.7%  
207 0.1% 99.6%  
208 0.1% 99.5%  
209 0.2% 99.4%  
210 0.4% 99.2%  
211 0.4% 98.9%  
212 0.4% 98%  
213 0.4% 98%  
214 0.5% 98%  
215 0.6% 97%  
216 0.9% 97%  
217 0.7% 96%  
218 1.0% 95%  
219 1.4% 94%  
220 1.4% 93%  
221 2% 91%  
222 1.3% 90%  
223 1.3% 88%  
224 2% 87%  
225 3% 85%  
226 3% 82%  
227 3% 79%  
228 3% 76%  
229 2% 73%  
230 3% 71%  
231 3% 68%  
232 2% 64%  
233 4% 62%  
234 3% 58%  
235 4% 55%  
236 4% 51% Median
237 3% 48%  
238 2% 45%  
239 2% 43%  
240 3% 40%  
241 3% 37%  
242 3% 34%  
243 3% 31%  
244 3% 28%  
245 3% 25%  
246 2% 22%  
247 2% 21%  
248 2% 19%  
249 2% 17%  
250 2% 15%  
251 2% 13%  
252 1.3% 11%  
253 0.9% 10%  
254 1.2% 9%  
255 0.8% 8%  
256 0.7% 7%  
257 0.8% 6%  
258 0.6% 5%  
259 0.8% 5%  
260 0.4% 4%  
261 0.6% 3%  
262 0.3% 3%  
263 0.3% 2%  
264 0.3% 2%  
265 0.2% 2%  
266 0.2% 2%  
267 0.3% 1.4%  
268 0.2% 1.2%  
269 0.1% 1.0%  
270 0.1% 0.9%  
271 0.1% 0.7%  
272 0.1% 0.6%  
273 0.1% 0.5%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.4%  
276 0.1% 0.3%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.2% 99.7%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.2% 99.4%  
124 0.3% 99.2%  
125 0.4% 98.9%  
126 0.4% 98%  
127 0.5% 98%  
128 0.7% 98%  
129 1.0% 97%  
130 2% 96%  
131 1.1% 94%  
132 1.2% 93%  
133 2% 92%  
134 2% 90%  
135 2% 88%  
136 2% 86%  
137 3% 84%  
138 3% 80%  
139 4% 78%  
140 3% 74%  
141 5% 71%  
142 4% 67%  
143 4% 63%  
144 4% 60%  
145 5% 55%  
146 4% 50% Median
147 3% 46%  
148 5% 43%  
149 4% 39%  
150 4% 35%  
151 3% 31%  
152 3% 28%  
153 3% 26%  
154 2% 22%  
155 2% 20%  
156 3% 18%  
157 2% 16%  
158 2% 13%  
159 2% 12%  
160 1.4% 10%  
161 1.4% 8%  
162 1.3% 7%  
163 0.9% 5%  
164 0.7% 5%  
165 0.7% 4%  
166 0.5% 3%  
167 0.4% 3%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.4% 2%  
170 0.3% 1.4%  
171 0.2% 1.1%  
172 0.2% 0.9%  
173 0.2% 0.7%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.2% 99.7%  
87 0.3% 99.5%  
88 0.2% 99.2%  
89 0.5% 99.0%  
90 0.7% 98%  
91 0.6% 98%  
92 1.1% 97%  
93 1.1% 96%  
94 1.4% 95%  
95 2% 94%  
96 2% 92%  
97 2% 90%  
98 3% 87%  
99 3% 85%  
100 4% 81%  
101 4% 77%  
102 4% 74%  
103 4% 70%  
104 4% 66%  
105 5% 62%  
106 4% 57%  
107 4% 52% Median
108 4% 48%  
109 4% 43%  
110 4% 39%  
111 4% 35%  
112 5% 31%  
113 3% 26%  
114 2% 23%  
115 3% 20%  
116 3% 18%  
117 2% 15%  
118 2% 13%  
119 2% 11%  
120 2% 9%  
121 1.1% 7%  
122 1.3% 6%  
123 0.9% 4%  
124 0.8% 4%  
125 0.4% 3%  
126 0.5% 2%  
127 0.4% 2%  
128 0.3% 1.4%  
129 0.2% 1.1%  
130 0.2% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.8%  
132 0.1% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.5%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 0.3% 99.4%  
61 0.5% 99.1%  
62 0.8% 98.6%  
63 0.8% 98%  
64 1.2% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 2% 94%  
67 3% 92%  
68 3% 90%  
69 3% 87%  
70 4% 84%  
71 3% 80%  
72 4% 76%  
73 5% 72%  
74 5% 67%  
75 6% 61%  
76 5% 55% Median
77 5% 50%  
78 5% 45%  
79 4% 39%  
80 6% 36%  
81 3% 30%  
82 4% 27%  
83 5% 23%  
84 3% 18%  
85 3% 15%  
86 2% 12%  
87 2% 10%  
88 2% 9%  
89 1.3% 6%  
90 1.2% 5%  
91 1.0% 4%  
92 0.6% 3%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.3% 2% Last Result
95 0.3% 1.4%  
96 0.4% 1.1%  
97 0.2% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.3% 99.6%  
41 0.5% 99.3%  
42 0.6% 98.8%  
43 1.2% 98%  
44 1.5% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 2% 93% Last Result
47 4% 91%  
48 4% 87%  
49 4% 84%  
50 5% 80%  
51 5% 75%  
52 6% 69%  
53 6% 63%  
54 6% 57%  
55 7% 50% Median
56 6% 44%  
57 5% 38%  
58 7% 33%  
59 4% 27%  
60 4% 22%  
61 4% 18%  
62 2% 14%  
63 3% 12%  
64 2% 9%  
65 2% 7%  
66 1.2% 5%  
67 1.1% 4%  
68 0.9% 3%  
69 0.6% 2%  
70 0.4% 1.5%  
71 0.3% 1.1%  
72 0.2% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0% 93%  
38 0% 93%  
39 0% 93%  
40 0% 93%  
41 2% 93%  
42 16% 91%  
43 21% 75%  
44 9% 54% Median
45 1.1% 45%  
46 0.1% 44%  
47 0% 44%  
48 0% 44%  
49 1.4% 44%  
50 14% 42%  
51 15% 29%  
52 6% 14%  
53 1.2% 7%  
54 0% 6%  
55 0% 6%  
56 0% 6%  
57 0.4% 6%  
58 2% 6%  
59 2% 3%  
60 1.0% 2%  
61 0.3% 0.6%  
62 0% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0% 92%  
38 1.1% 92%  
39 4% 91%  
40 4% 87%  
41 4% 84%  
42 6% 80%  
43 6% 74%  
44 7% 68%  
45 7% 61%  
46 7% 54% Median
47 7% 46%  
48 7% 39%  
49 4% 32%  
50 5% 28%  
51 5% 23%  
52 4% 18%  
53 3% 14%  
54 3% 11%  
55 2% 8%  
56 2% 6%  
57 1.2% 5%  
58 0.9% 3%  
59 0.7% 2%  
60 0.5% 2%  
61 0.4% 1.3%  
62 0.3% 0.9%  
63 0.2% 0.6%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 541 100% 528–573 524–581 521–586 514–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 480 100% 464–499 459–509 455–518 445–530
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 442 100% 425–460 420–469 415–476 404–490
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 436 100% 420–460 416–468 412–474 405–485
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 412 100% 394–430 388–439 383–445 372–457
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 397 100% 381–420 377–426 374–433 366–446
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 367 83% 351–388 347–395 343–402 336–413
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 335 8% 317–353 310–359 303–365 290–377
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 297 0% 279–315 270–321 264–326 252–337
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 298 0% 279–315 271–320 263–326 251–336
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 253 0% 238–270 234–276 231–280 224–290
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 153 0% 136–166 117–170 111–173 100–182
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 153 0% 137–167 119–170 110–173 101–181

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 99.9%  
509 0% 99.9%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0.1% 99.9%  
512 0.1% 99.8%  
513 0.1% 99.7%  
514 0.1% 99.6%  
515 0.1% 99.5%  
516 0.2% 99.4%  
517 0.2% 99.2%  
518 0.3% 98.9%  
519 0.5% 98.7%  
520 0.5% 98%  
521 0.5% 98%  
522 0.6% 97%  
523 0.7% 97%  
524 1.3% 96%  
525 0.9% 95%  
526 1.2% 94%  
527 2% 92%  
528 1.3% 91%  
529 2% 89%  
530 3% 88%  
531 2% 85%  
532 3% 83%  
533 3% 80%  
534 3% 77%  
535 3% 75%  
536 3% 72%  
537 4% 69%  
538 4% 65%  
539 3% 61%  
540 3% 57%  
541 4% 54%  
542 3% 50%  
543 3% 47%  
544 4% 43% Median
545 4% 39%  
546 2% 36%  
547 2% 34%  
548 1.5% 32%  
549 4% 30%  
550 2% 26%  
551 2% 24%  
552 1.2% 22%  
553 1.3% 21%  
554 1.2% 20%  
555 0.7% 19%  
556 1.0% 18%  
557 1.0% 17%  
558 0.6% 16%  
559 0.4% 16%  
560 0.3% 15%  
561 0.4% 15%  
562 0.3% 15%  
563 0.4% 14%  
564 0.3% 14%  
565 0.3% 13%  
566 0.4% 13%  
567 0.3% 13%  
568 0.4% 12%  
569 0.4% 12%  
570 0.3% 12%  
571 0.5% 11%  
572 0.7% 11%  
573 0.3% 10%  
574 0.8% 10%  
575 0.5% 9%  
576 0.7% 8%  
577 0.8% 8%  
578 0.5% 7%  
579 0.5% 7%  
580 0.4% 6%  
581 1.1% 6%  
582 0.6% 5%  
583 0.7% 4%  
584 0.3% 3%  
585 0.4% 3%  
586 0.2% 3%  
587 0.3% 2%  
588 0.4% 2%  
589 0.4% 2%  
590 0.2% 1.2%  
591 0.2% 1.0%  
592 0.1% 0.9%  
593 0.2% 0.7%  
594 0.1% 0.5%  
595 0% 0.5%  
596 0.1% 0.4%  
597 0% 0.3%  
598 0% 0.3%  
599 0% 0.3%  
600 0% 0.2%  
601 0% 0.2%  
602 0% 0.2%  
603 0% 0.2%  
604 0% 0.2%  
605 0% 0.2%  
606 0% 0.2%  
607 0% 0.2%  
608 0% 0.2%  
609 0% 0.2%  
610 0% 0.2%  
611 0% 0.2%  
612 0% 0.2%  
613 0% 0.2%  
614 0% 0.2%  
615 0% 0.1%  
616 0% 0.1%  
617 0% 0.1%  
618 0% 0.1%  
619 0% 0.1%  
620 0% 0.1%  
621 0% 0.1%  
622 0% 0.1%  
623 0% 0.1%  
624 0% 0.1%  
625 0% 0.1%  
626 0% 0.1%  
627 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.8%  
441 0% 99.8%  
442 0.1% 99.8%  
443 0.1% 99.7%  
444 0.1% 99.6%  
445 0.1% 99.5%  
446 0.1% 99.5%  
447 0.1% 99.4%  
448 0.1% 99.3%  
449 0.3% 99.2%  
450 0.3% 98.9%  
451 0.1% 98.6%  
452 0.3% 98.5%  
453 0.2% 98%  
454 0.4% 98%  
455 0.5% 98%  
456 0.4% 97%  
457 0.3% 97%  
458 0.7% 96%  
459 0.8% 96%  
460 0.7% 95%  
461 0.7% 94%  
462 1.2% 93%  
463 1.1% 92%  
464 1.2% 91%  
465 2% 90%  
466 1.2% 88%  
467 2% 87%  
468 2% 85%  
469 1.4% 83%  
470 2% 82%  
471 3% 79%  
472 2% 76%  
473 3% 74%  
474 4% 72%  
475 3% 68%  
476 3% 65%  
477 3% 62%  
478 3% 59%  
479 3% 56%  
480 3% 53%  
481 3% 50% Median
482 3% 47%  
483 4% 44%  
484 2% 39%  
485 4% 37%  
486 3% 34%  
487 3% 31%  
488 3% 28%  
489 2% 26%  
490 2% 24%  
491 2% 22%  
492 2% 19%  
493 1.3% 18%  
494 1.0% 16%  
495 2% 15%  
496 1.4% 13%  
497 0.8% 12%  
498 0.7% 11%  
499 1.0% 10%  
500 0.8% 9%  
501 0.4% 9%  
502 0.6% 8%  
503 0.3% 8%  
504 0.5% 7%  
505 0.5% 7%  
506 0.4% 6%  
507 0.3% 6%  
508 0.3% 6%  
509 0.5% 5%  
510 0.1% 5%  
511 0.2% 5%  
512 0.3% 5%  
513 0.1% 4%  
514 0.5% 4%  
515 0.3% 4%  
516 0.4% 3%  
517 0.2% 3%  
518 0.3% 3%  
519 0.3% 2%  
520 0.1% 2%  
521 0.2% 2%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.1% 1.4%  
524 0.2% 1.3%  
525 0.2% 1.1%  
526 0.1% 0.9%  
527 0.1% 0.8%  
528 0.1% 0.7%  
529 0.1% 0.6%  
530 0.1% 0.5%  
531 0% 0.4%  
532 0.1% 0.4%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0.1% 0.3%  
535 0.1% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.7%  
402 0% 99.7%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.5%  
405 0% 99.4%  
406 0.1% 99.4%  
407 0.1% 99.3%  
408 0.2% 99.1%  
409 0.2% 99.0%  
410 0.1% 98.8%  
411 0.3% 98.7%  
412 0.2% 98%  
413 0.3% 98%  
414 0.3% 98%  
415 0.5% 98%  
416 0.4% 97%  
417 0.4% 97%  
418 0.4% 96%  
419 0.7% 96%  
420 0.8% 95%  
421 0.6% 94%  
422 1.0% 94%  
423 0.7% 93%  
424 1.1% 92%  
425 1.1% 91%  
426 1.0% 90%  
427 2% 89%  
428 2% 87%  
429 2% 85%  
430 2% 83%  
431 2% 81%  
432 3% 79%  
433 2% 76%  
434 2% 74%  
435 3% 72%  
436 2% 69%  
437 4% 67%  
438 2% 63%  
439 4% 61%  
440 3% 56%  
441 3% 53%  
442 3% 51% Median
443 3% 47%  
444 3% 44%  
445 2% 42%  
446 4% 40%  
447 3% 36%  
448 2% 33%  
449 3% 30%  
450 1.4% 27%  
451 3% 26%  
452 1.0% 23%  
453 2% 22%  
454 1.3% 19%  
455 2% 18%  
456 1.1% 16%  
457 1.5% 15%  
458 1.3% 13%  
459 0.6% 12%  
460 2% 11%  
461 0.5% 10%  
462 0.8% 9%  
463 0.5% 9%  
464 0.7% 8%  
465 0.5% 7%  
466 0.6% 7%  
467 0.5% 6%  
468 0.4% 6%  
469 0.5% 6%  
470 0.4% 5%  
471 0.6% 5%  
472 0.3% 4%  
473 0.4% 4%  
474 0.4% 3%  
475 0.4% 3%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.4% 2%  
479 0.1% 2% Last Result
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.2% 1.4%  
482 0.1% 1.2%  
483 0.1% 1.2%  
484 0.1% 1.1%  
485 0.1% 1.0%  
486 0.1% 0.9%  
487 0.1% 0.8%  
488 0.1% 0.7%  
489 0% 0.6%  
490 0.1% 0.6%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0% 0.4%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0.1% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.5%  
406 0.2% 99.5%  
407 0.2% 99.3%  
408 0.3% 99.1%  
409 0.2% 98.8%  
410 0.3% 98.6%  
411 0.3% 98%  
412 0.7% 98%  
413 0.6% 97%  
414 0.8% 97%  
415 0.6% 96%  
416 1.0% 95%  
417 1.2% 94%  
418 1.4% 93%  
419 1.3% 92%  
420 1.1% 90%  
421 2% 89%  
422 2% 87%  
423 2% 86%  
424 3% 84%  
425 2% 81%  
426 2% 79%  
427 3% 77%  
428 2% 74%  
429 3% 72%  
430 3% 69%  
431 2% 66%  
432 4% 64%  
433 2% 60%  
434 4% 57%  
435 4% 54%  
436 4% 50%  
437 2% 46% Median
438 4% 45%  
439 3% 41%  
440 3% 38%  
441 2% 35%  
442 2% 33%  
443 2% 31%  
444 2% 29%  
445 3% 27%  
446 1.4% 24%  
447 1.1% 23%  
448 1.4% 22%  
449 2% 20%  
450 1.0% 18%  
451 0.8% 17%  
452 1.0% 17%  
453 1.2% 16%  
454 1.0% 14%  
455 0.7% 13%  
456 0.8% 13%  
457 0.7% 12%  
458 0.5% 11%  
459 0.6% 11%  
460 0.5% 10%  
461 0.5% 10%  
462 0.7% 9%  
463 0.6% 8%  
464 0.7% 8%  
465 0.7% 7%  
466 0.4% 6%  
467 0.4% 6%  
468 0.4% 5%  
469 0.2% 5%  
470 0.6% 5%  
471 0.5% 4%  
472 0.4% 4%  
473 0.4% 3%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.4% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0.2% 1.4%  
480 0.1% 1.2%  
481 0.1% 1.0%  
482 0.1% 0.9%  
483 0.1% 0.8%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.4%  
487 0% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.4%  
489 0% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.3%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.7%  
369 0% 99.7%  
370 0% 99.7%  
371 0% 99.6%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.1% 99.5%  
374 0.2% 99.4%  
375 0.1% 99.3%  
376 0.2% 99.1%  
377 0.2% 98.9%  
378 0.1% 98.7%  
379 0.2% 98.6%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.2% 98%  
382 0.4% 98%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.4% 97%  
385 0.4% 97%  
386 0.5% 97%  
387 0.6% 96%  
388 0.7% 95%  
389 0.6% 95%  
390 0.5% 94%  
391 0.9% 94%  
392 0.8% 93%  
393 1.2% 92%  
394 0.9% 91%  
395 1.4% 90%  
396 2% 88%  
397 1.2% 87%  
398 1.4% 86%  
399 2% 84%  
400 2% 83%  
401 2% 81%  
402 2% 79%  
403 3% 77%  
404 3% 74%  
405 3% 71%  
406 3% 68%  
407 2% 64%  
408 3% 62%  
409 3% 60%  
410 2% 57%  
411 3% 55% Median
412 4% 52%  
413 3% 47%  
414 4% 44%  
415 3% 41%  
416 3% 38%  
417 3% 35%  
418 2% 32%  
419 2% 30%  
420 2% 27% Last Result
421 3% 25%  
422 2% 23%  
423 1.0% 21%  
424 2% 20%  
425 2% 18%  
426 1.2% 16%  
427 2% 15%  
428 0.9% 13%  
429 1.1% 12%  
430 1.4% 11%  
431 0.9% 9%  
432 0.7% 9%  
433 0.6% 8%  
434 0.8% 7%  
435 0.5% 7%  
436 0.4% 6%  
437 0.2% 6%  
438 0.3% 5%  
439 0.3% 5%  
440 0.7% 5%  
441 0.6% 4%  
442 0.6% 3%  
443 0.1% 3%  
444 0.2% 3%  
445 0.2% 3%  
446 0.3% 2%  
447 0.3% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.1% 1.4%  
452 0.1% 1.3%  
453 0.2% 1.2%  
454 0.1% 1.0%  
455 0.2% 0.9%  
456 0.1% 0.7%  
457 0.1% 0.6%  
458 0% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.4%  
460 0.1% 0.4%  
461 0% 0.3%  
462 0.1% 0.3%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.8%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.7%  
366 0.2% 99.6%  
367 0.1% 99.4%  
368 0.1% 99.3%  
369 0.4% 99.2%  
370 0.2% 98.8%  
371 0.4% 98.6%  
372 0.3% 98%  
373 0.3% 98%  
374 0.6% 98%  
375 1.0% 97%  
376 0.8% 96%  
377 0.6% 95%  
378 0.7% 95%  
379 1.3% 94%  
380 2% 93%  
381 2% 91%  
382 1.0% 89%  
383 0.9% 88%  
384 2% 87%  
385 3% 85%  
386 3% 82%  
387 1.0% 80%  
388 2% 79%  
389 6% 77%  
390 1.2% 71%  
391 4% 70%  
392 3% 66%  
393 2% 63%  
394 4% 62%  
395 4% 58%  
396 4% 54%  
397 2% 50%  
398 2% 48% Median
399 3% 46% Last Result
400 5% 43%  
401 2% 39%  
402 2% 37%  
403 2% 36%  
404 3% 34%  
405 3% 31%  
406 2% 28%  
407 1.1% 26%  
408 1.3% 25%  
409 2% 24%  
410 2% 21%  
411 2% 20%  
412 0.7% 18%  
413 0.9% 17%  
414 1.0% 16%  
415 1.4% 15%  
416 2% 14%  
417 0.6% 12%  
418 0.5% 12%  
419 0.8% 11%  
420 1.4% 10%  
421 0.6% 9%  
422 0.9% 8%  
423 0.4% 7%  
424 0.5% 7%  
425 0.8% 6%  
426 0.8% 6%  
427 0.4% 5%  
428 0.3% 4%  
429 0.3% 4%  
430 0.6% 4%  
431 0.4% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.4% 3%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.3% 2%  
437 0.2% 2%  
438 0.1% 1.4%  
439 0.1% 1.3%  
440 0.2% 1.2%  
441 0.2% 1.0%  
442 0% 0.8%  
443 0.1% 0.8%  
444 0.1% 0.7%  
445 0% 0.6%  
446 0.1% 0.5%  
447 0.1% 0.4%  
448 0% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.8%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.7%  
335 0.1% 99.6%  
336 0.1% 99.6%  
337 0.2% 99.4%  
338 0.2% 99.2%  
339 0.2% 99.0%  
340 0.3% 98.8% Last Result
341 0.3% 98.5%  
342 0.7% 98%  
343 0.4% 98%  
344 0.7% 97%  
345 0.7% 96%  
346 0.7% 96%  
347 0.7% 95%  
348 0.8% 94%  
349 0.9% 93%  
350 2% 93%  
351 1.1% 91%  
352 2% 90%  
353 2% 88%  
354 2% 86%  
355 1.1% 83% Majority
356 2% 82%  
357 2% 80%  
358 3% 78%  
359 3% 75%  
360 2% 73%  
361 3% 70%  
362 5% 67%  
363 3% 62%  
364 3% 59%  
365 3% 56%  
366 3% 54%  
367 2% 51% Median
368 3% 49%  
369 4% 46%  
370 3% 42%  
371 3% 39%  
372 2% 36%  
373 2% 34%  
374 2% 32%  
375 2% 30%  
376 2% 28%  
377 2% 26%  
378 3% 24%  
379 2% 22%  
380 2% 19%  
381 1.2% 18%  
382 0.8% 16%  
383 1.1% 16%  
384 0.9% 15%  
385 0.7% 14%  
386 1.0% 13%  
387 0.8% 12%  
388 1.2% 11%  
389 1.1% 10%  
390 0.9% 9%  
391 0.9% 8%  
392 0.4% 7%  
393 0.7% 7%  
394 0.5% 6%  
395 0.6% 5%  
396 0.4% 5%  
397 0.5% 5%  
398 0.4% 4%  
399 0.4% 4%  
400 0.3% 3%  
401 0.3% 3%  
402 0.4% 3%  
403 0.5% 2%  
404 0.3% 2%  
405 0.2% 2%  
406 0.2% 1.3%  
407 0.1% 1.1%  
408 0.1% 1.0%  
409 0.1% 0.9%  
410 0.1% 0.8%  
411 0.1% 0.7%  
412 0.1% 0.6%  
413 0.1% 0.5%  
414 0.1% 0.5%  
415 0% 0.4%  
416 0.1% 0.3%  
417 0% 0.3%  
418 0% 0.3%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.6%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0% 99.5%  
292 0.1% 99.4%  
293 0.1% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.3%  
295 0.1% 99.2%  
296 0.1% 99.1%  
297 0.2% 99.0%  
298 0.1% 98.8%  
299 0.2% 98.6%  
300 0.3% 98%  
301 0.2% 98%  
302 0.3% 98%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.3% 97%  
305 0.3% 97%  
306 0.3% 97%  
307 0.4% 96%  
308 0.4% 96%  
309 0.3% 95%  
310 0.4% 95%  
311 0.5% 95%  
312 0.5% 94%  
313 0.4% 94%  
314 0.8% 93%  
315 0.9% 93%  
316 0.7% 92%  
317 1.2% 91%  
318 1.3% 90%  
319 1.4% 89%  
320 1.4% 87%  
321 2% 86%  
322 2% 84%  
323 2% 82%  
324 1.3% 80%  
325 2% 79%  
326 3% 77% Last Result
327 2% 74%  
328 2% 73%  
329 2% 71%  
330 3% 69%  
331 4% 66%  
332 3% 62%  
333 3% 59%  
334 4% 56%  
335 3% 52% Median
336 4% 49%  
337 3% 45%  
338 2% 43%  
339 3% 40%  
340 2% 37%  
341 2% 35%  
342 3% 33%  
343 2% 30%  
344 2% 28%  
345 2% 26%  
346 3% 24%  
347 3% 21%  
348 2% 19%  
349 2% 17%  
350 2% 15%  
351 1.5% 13%  
352 1.5% 12%  
353 0.7% 10%  
354 1.3% 9%  
355 0.9% 8% Majority
356 0.8% 7%  
357 0.7% 6%  
358 0.6% 6%  
359 0.6% 5%  
360 0.3% 5%  
361 0.4% 4%  
362 0.5% 4%  
363 0.5% 3%  
364 0.3% 3%  
365 0.3% 3%  
366 0.3% 2%  
367 0.3% 2%  
368 0.1% 2%  
369 0.2% 2%  
370 0.1% 1.4%  
371 0.2% 1.3%  
372 0.1% 1.0%  
373 0.2% 0.9%  
374 0.1% 0.8%  
375 0.1% 0.7%  
376 0.1% 0.6%  
377 0% 0.5%  
378 0.1% 0.5%  
379 0% 0.4%  
380 0.1% 0.4%  
381 0.1% 0.3%  
382 0% 0.2%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0% 99.6%  
251 0% 99.6%  
252 0.1% 99.6%  
253 0.1% 99.4%  
254 0.2% 99.3%  
255 0.1% 99.1%  
256 0.2% 99.0%  
257 0.1% 98.8%  
258 0.1% 98.7%  
259 0.1% 98.6%  
260 0.1% 98%  
261 0.2% 98%  
262 0.3% 98%  
263 0.3% 98%  
264 0.2% 98%  
265 0.2% 97%  
266 0.1% 97%  
267 0.6% 97%  
268 0.6% 97%  
269 0.7% 96%  
270 0.3% 95%  
271 0.3% 95%  
272 0.2% 95%  
273 0.4% 94%  
274 0.5% 94%  
275 0.8% 93%  
276 0.6% 93%  
277 0.7% 92%  
278 0.9% 91%  
279 1.4% 91%  
280 1.1% 89%  
281 0.9% 88%  
282 2% 87%  
283 1.2% 85%  
284 2% 84%  
285 2% 82%  
286 1.0% 80%  
287 2% 79%  
288 3% 77%  
289 2% 75% Last Result
290 2% 73%  
291 2% 70%  
292 3% 68%  
293 3% 65%  
294 3% 62%  
295 4% 59%  
296 3% 56%  
297 4% 53%  
298 3% 48%  
299 2% 45% Median
300 3% 43%  
301 3% 40%  
302 2% 38%  
303 3% 36%  
304 3% 32%  
305 3% 29%  
306 3% 26%  
307 2% 23%  
308 2% 21%  
309 2% 19%  
310 2% 17%  
311 1.4% 16%  
312 1.2% 14%  
313 2% 13%  
314 1.4% 12%  
315 0.9% 10%  
316 1.2% 9%  
317 0.8% 8%  
318 0.9% 7%  
319 0.5% 6%  
320 0.6% 6%  
321 0.7% 5%  
322 0.6% 5%  
323 0.5% 4%  
324 0.4% 3%  
325 0.4% 3%  
326 0.3% 3%  
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.2% 2%  
329 0.2% 2%  
330 0.2% 2%  
331 0.1% 1.4%  
332 0.2% 1.3%  
333 0.2% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 0.9%  
335 0.2% 0.7%  
336 0.1% 0.6%  
337 0.1% 0.5%  
338 0% 0.4%  
339 0% 0.4%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.3%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.1% 99.6%  
251 0% 99.5%  
252 0.1% 99.5%  
253 0% 99.4%  
254 0.2% 99.4%  
255 0.1% 99.2%  
256 0.3% 99.0%  
257 0.2% 98.7%  
258 0.1% 98.5%  
259 0.1% 98%  
260 0.1% 98%  
261 0.2% 98%  
262 0.2% 98%  
263 0.3% 98%  
264 0.2% 97%  
265 0.3% 97%  
266 0.2% 97%  
267 0.3% 97%  
268 0.2% 96%  
269 0.4% 96%  
270 0.4% 96%  
271 0.6% 95%  
272 0.5% 95%  
273 0.3% 94%  
274 0.8% 94%  
275 0.7% 93%  
276 0.5% 93%  
277 0.5% 92%  
278 0.7% 92%  
279 1.3% 91%  
280 1.4% 90%  
281 1.1% 88%  
282 1.0% 87%  
283 1.1% 86%  
284 0.9% 85%  
285 2% 84%  
286 1.2% 83%  
287 2% 81%  
288 3% 79%  
289 4% 76%  
290 3% 72%  
291 2% 69%  
292 2% 67%  
293 2% 65%  
294 4% 63%  
295 1.3% 59%  
296 3% 58%  
297 4% 55% Median
298 4% 51%  
299 3% 47%  
300 2% 44% Last Result
301 2% 42%  
302 6% 39%  
303 3% 34%  
304 3% 31%  
305 2% 28%  
306 2% 26%  
307 2% 24%  
308 1.4% 23%  
309 2% 21%  
310 2% 20%  
311 3% 18%  
312 2% 15%  
313 1.4% 13%  
314 1.0% 11%  
315 0.7% 10%  
316 1.1% 10%  
317 0.9% 8%  
318 1.0% 8%  
319 0.6% 7%  
320 1.0% 6%  
321 0.7% 5%  
322 0.6% 4%  
323 0.3% 4%  
324 0.3% 3%  
325 0.5% 3%  
326 0.3% 3%  
327 0.2% 2%  
328 0.2% 2%  
329 0.3% 2%  
330 0.1% 2%  
331 0.5% 1.5%  
332 0.1% 1.0%  
333 0.1% 0.9%  
334 0.1% 0.7%  
335 0.1% 0.6%  
336 0% 0.5%  
337 0% 0.5%  
338 0% 0.4%  
339 0.1% 0.4%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0.1% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0.1% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.8% Last Result
221 0.1% 99.8%  
222 0.1% 99.7%  
223 0.1% 99.6%  
224 0.2% 99.5%  
225 0.2% 99.3%  
226 0.2% 99.1%  
227 0.2% 98.8%  
228 0.3% 98.6%  
229 0.3% 98%  
230 0.5% 98%  
231 0.7% 98%  
232 1.0% 97%  
233 0.7% 96%  
234 1.1% 95%  
235 0.8% 94%  
236 1.3% 93%  
237 2% 92%  
238 2% 90%  
239 2% 88%  
240 2% 87%  
241 2% 85%  
242 1.3% 83%  
243 2% 81%  
244 2% 79%  
245 3% 77%  
246 3% 74%  
247 5% 70%  
248 3% 65%  
249 4% 62%  
250 2% 59%  
251 3% 57%  
252 3% 53%  
253 3% 50% Median
254 3% 47%  
255 3% 44%  
256 3% 41%  
257 2% 38%  
258 3% 36%  
259 3% 34%  
260 4% 31%  
261 3% 27%  
262 3% 24%  
263 2% 21%  
264 1.3% 20%  
265 1.2% 18%  
266 2% 17%  
267 2% 16%  
268 2% 14%  
269 2% 12%  
270 0.8% 10%  
271 1.2% 10%  
272 0.7% 8%  
273 0.8% 8%  
274 0.7% 7%  
275 1.2% 6%  
276 0.4% 5%  
277 0.6% 5%  
278 0.3% 4%  
279 0.9% 4%  
280 0.3% 3%  
281 0.5% 2%  
282 0.3% 2%  
283 0.3% 2%  
284 0.1% 1.5%  
285 0.3% 1.4%  
286 0.1% 1.1%  
287 0.1% 1.0%  
288 0.1% 0.8%  
289 0.1% 0.7%  
290 0.1% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.5%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.3%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.1% 99.6%  
101 0.1% 99.5%  
102 0.1% 99.4%  
103 0.1% 99.2%  
104 0.2% 99.1%  
105 0.2% 98.9%  
106 0.2% 98.7%  
107 0.3% 98.5%  
108 0.3% 98%  
109 0.2% 98%  
110 0.2% 98%  
111 0.2% 98%  
112 0.8% 97%  
113 0.2% 97%  
114 0.3% 96%  
115 0.2% 96%  
116 0.3% 96%  
117 0.6% 95%  
118 0.3% 95%  
119 0.4% 95%  
120 0.3% 94%  
121 0.2% 94%  
122 0.2% 94%  
123 0.2% 93%  
124 0.2% 93%  
125 0.1% 93%  
126 0.1% 93%  
127 0.2% 93%  
128 0.2% 93%  
129 0.1% 92%  
130 0.2% 92%  
131 0.2% 92%  
132 0.2% 92%  
133 0.3% 92%  
134 0.3% 91%  
135 0.4% 91%  
136 0.8% 91%  
137 1.1% 90%  
138 1.2% 89%  
139 0.9% 88%  
140 1.4% 87%  
141 2% 85%  
142 2% 83%  
143 4% 82%  
144 2% 77%  
145 3% 75%  
146 3% 72%  
147 2% 69%  
148 3% 68%  
149 2% 65%  
150 4% 63%  
151 5% 60%  
152 3% 54%  
153 4% 51% Median
154 3% 47%  
155 3% 44%  
156 4% 41%  
157 7% 37%  
158 4% 30%  
159 3% 26%  
160 2% 23%  
161 2% 20%  
162 2% 19%  
163 2% 17%  
164 2% 15%  
165 1.3% 12%  
166 2% 11%  
167 1.2% 9%  
168 0.8% 8%  
169 1.3% 7%  
170 1.2% 6%  
171 1.0% 5%  
172 0.7% 4%  
173 0.7% 3%  
174 0.4% 2%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.2% 2%  
177 0.2% 1.3%  
178 0.2% 1.1%  
179 0.1% 0.9%  
180 0.1% 0.8%  
181 0.1% 0.6%  
182 0.1% 0.5%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.1% 99.6%  
101 0.2% 99.5%  
102 0.1% 99.4%  
103 0.2% 99.2%  
104 0.1% 99.0%  
105 0.2% 98.9%  
106 0.2% 98.7%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 0.3% 98%  
109 0.2% 98%  
110 0.5% 98%  
111 0.3% 97%  
112 0.3% 97%  
113 0.4% 97%  
114 0.3% 96%  
115 0.2% 96%  
116 0.3% 96%  
117 0.2% 95%  
118 0.2% 95%  
119 0.3% 95%  
120 0.4% 95%  
121 0.2% 94%  
122 0.2% 94%  
123 0.2% 94%  
124 0.2% 94%  
125 0.1% 94%  
126 0.1% 93%  
127 0.1% 93%  
128 0.1% 93%  
129 0.1% 93%  
130 0.2% 93%  
131 0.2% 93%  
132 0.3% 93%  
133 0.5% 92%  
134 0.5% 92%  
135 0.5% 91%  
136 0.6% 91%  
137 0.8% 90%  
138 1.0% 89%  
139 1.0% 88%  
140 1.4% 87%  
141 2% 86%  
142 2% 84%  
143 2% 83%  
144 2% 80%  
145 3% 78%  
146 3% 75%  
147 3% 73%  
148 4% 70%  
149 4% 66%  
150 4% 62%  
151 3% 58% Median
152 4% 55%  
153 4% 51%  
154 5% 47%  
155 4% 42%  
156 3% 38%  
157 4% 35%  
158 4% 31%  
159 3% 27%  
160 2% 24%  
161 2% 22%  
162 3% 20%  
163 2% 17%  
164 2% 15%  
165 2% 13%  
166 1.3% 11%  
167 1.2% 10%  
168 1.4% 9%  
169 1.4% 7%  
170 1.0% 6%  
171 0.9% 5%  
172 1.2% 4%  
173 0.5% 3%  
174 0.6% 2%  
175 0.4% 2%  
176 0.2% 1.4%  
177 0.2% 1.2%  
178 0.2% 1.0%  
179 0.1% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations