Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 28–30 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.3–32.6% 28.8–33.1% 28.4–33.5% 27.6–34.4%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.6–22.5% 19.1–23.0% 18.8–23.3% 18.1–24.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4% 7.5–10.7% 7.1–11.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.6% 6.2–10.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.3–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.8–8.7% 5.4–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 236 221–252 216–255 214–260 207–266
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 160 148–173 145–177 142–180 136–186
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 107 97–118 94–121 92–124 88–129
Alternative für Deutschland 94 70 60–76 59–78 58–83 54–87
Die Linke 69 61 54–69 52–72 50–74 47–79
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 55 48–63 45–64 44–67 41–71
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 0 0–44 0–45 0–47 0–50

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.9%  
204 0.1% 99.8%  
205 0.1% 99.8%  
206 0.1% 99.7%  
207 0.1% 99.6%  
208 0.2% 99.5%  
209 0.3% 99.2%  
210 0.3% 98.9%  
211 0.3% 98.6%  
212 0.4% 98%  
213 0.4% 98%  
214 0.5% 98%  
215 1.0% 97%  
216 1.3% 96%  
217 0.6% 95%  
218 1.0% 94%  
219 1.1% 93%  
220 1.4% 92%  
221 2% 91%  
222 2% 89%  
223 3% 87%  
224 2% 85%  
225 2% 83%  
226 3% 81%  
227 3% 77%  
228 2% 75%  
229 4% 73%  
230 3% 69%  
231 5% 66%  
232 3% 61%  
233 3% 58%  
234 2% 56%  
235 2% 54%  
236 3% 51% Median
237 4% 48%  
238 3% 44%  
239 4% 41%  
240 2% 37%  
241 2% 35%  
242 3% 33%  
243 3% 30%  
244 3% 28%  
245 2% 25%  
246 3% 23%  
247 3% 20%  
248 2% 17%  
249 2% 15%  
250 2% 14%  
251 1.1% 12%  
252 1.4% 11%  
253 2% 10%  
254 1.3% 8%  
255 2% 7%  
256 0.5% 5%  
257 0.6% 4%  
258 0.8% 4%  
259 0.4% 3%  
260 0.5% 3%  
261 0.6% 2%  
262 0.3% 2%  
263 0.1% 1.2%  
264 0.2% 1.1%  
265 0.2% 0.9%  
266 0.2% 0.6%  
267 0.1% 0.5%  
268 0.1% 0.4%  
269 0.1% 0.3%  
270 0.1% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.1% 99.6%  
137 0.2% 99.5%  
138 0.3% 99.3%  
139 0.4% 99.0%  
140 0.6% 98.7%  
141 0.5% 98%  
142 0.5% 98%  
143 0.8% 97%  
144 1.2% 96%  
145 1.2% 95%  
146 2% 94%  
147 2% 92%  
148 2% 91%  
149 2% 89%  
150 3% 87%  
151 2% 84%  
152 3% 81%  
153 3% 78%  
154 3% 75%  
155 3% 72%  
156 4% 69%  
157 3% 65%  
158 4% 61%  
159 5% 57%  
160 4% 52% Median
161 4% 49%  
162 4% 45%  
163 4% 42%  
164 4% 37%  
165 4% 33%  
166 4% 29%  
167 3% 26%  
168 2% 22%  
169 2% 20%  
170 3% 18%  
171 2% 15%  
172 2% 13%  
173 2% 11%  
174 2% 10%  
175 1.2% 8%  
176 1.2% 6%  
177 1.0% 5%  
178 0.6% 4%  
179 0.7% 4%  
180 0.7% 3%  
181 0.6% 2%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.2% 1.3%  
184 0.3% 1.1%  
185 0.2% 0.8%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.1% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0.2% 99.6%  
89 0.3% 99.4%  
90 0.4% 99.1%  
91 0.8% 98.6%  
92 1.0% 98%  
93 0.9% 97%  
94 1.1% 96%  
95 1.4% 95%  
96 2% 93%  
97 3% 92%  
98 3% 89%  
99 4% 86%  
100 3% 83%  
101 4% 80%  
102 4% 75%  
103 4% 71%  
104 5% 67%  
105 4% 63%  
106 5% 58%  
107 5% 53% Median
108 5% 48%  
109 5% 43%  
110 5% 37%  
111 4% 32%  
112 3% 29%  
113 3% 25%  
114 4% 22%  
115 3% 19%  
116 2% 16%  
117 2% 14%  
118 2% 11%  
119 2% 9%  
120 1.2% 7%  
121 1.3% 6%  
122 0.8% 4%  
123 0.6% 4%  
124 0.8% 3%  
125 0.6% 2%  
126 0.4% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.2%  
128 0.2% 0.7%  
129 0.1% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.1% 99.5%  
55 0.2% 99.4%  
56 0.3% 99.2%  
57 0.9% 98.9%  
58 1.3% 98%  
59 3% 97%  
60 4% 94%  
61 6% 90%  
62 6% 83%  
63 5% 77%  
64 6% 72%  
65 4% 66%  
66 3% 62%  
67 2% 60%  
68 2% 58%  
69 3% 56%  
70 3% 53% Median
71 5% 50%  
72 7% 45%  
73 8% 38%  
74 9% 30%  
75 7% 21%  
76 5% 14%  
77 3% 9%  
78 1.3% 6%  
79 0.7% 4%  
80 0.5% 4%  
81 0.2% 3%  
82 0.3% 3%  
83 0.4% 3%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.4% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.2%  
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.3% 99.6%  
48 0.5% 99.4%  
49 0.9% 98.9%  
50 1.1% 98%  
51 1.4% 97%  
52 2% 95%  
53 2% 94%  
54 3% 92%  
55 5% 88%  
56 5% 83%  
57 5% 79%  
58 5% 74%  
59 6% 69%  
60 8% 63%  
61 6% 55% Median
62 5% 48%  
63 6% 43%  
64 5% 37%  
65 6% 32%  
66 7% 26%  
67 4% 20%  
68 4% 16%  
69 3% 13% Last Result
70 2% 10%  
71 2% 8%  
72 2% 6%  
73 1.2% 4%  
74 0.8% 3%  
75 0.6% 2%  
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.1%  
78 0.2% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.2% 99.7%  
42 0.6% 99.5%  
43 0.7% 98.9%  
44 0.8% 98%  
45 3% 97%  
46 2% 95% Last Result
47 2% 93%  
48 5% 91%  
49 4% 86%  
50 4% 82%  
51 7% 78%  
52 6% 71%  
53 5% 65%  
54 9% 60%  
55 7% 51% Median
56 5% 44%  
57 7% 39%  
58 6% 32%  
59 3% 26%  
60 7% 23%  
61 3% 16%  
62 2% 12%  
63 2% 10%  
64 3% 8%  
65 0.9% 5%  
66 0.8% 4%  
67 1.1% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.3% 1.3%  
70 0.4% 1.0%  
71 0.3% 0.6%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 0% 48%  
5 0% 48%  
6 0% 48%  
7 0% 48%  
8 0% 48%  
9 0% 48%  
10 0% 48%  
11 0% 48%  
12 0% 48%  
13 0% 48%  
14 0% 48%  
15 0% 48%  
16 0% 48%  
17 0% 48%  
18 0% 48%  
19 0% 48%  
20 0% 48%  
21 0% 48%  
22 0% 48%  
23 0% 48%  
24 0% 48%  
25 0% 48%  
26 0% 48%  
27 0% 48%  
28 0% 48%  
29 0% 48%  
30 0% 48%  
31 0% 48%  
32 0% 48%  
33 0% 48%  
34 0% 48%  
35 0% 48%  
36 0% 48%  
37 2% 48%  
38 8% 46%  
39 8% 38%  
40 6% 30%  
41 6% 24%  
42 4% 19%  
43 4% 14%  
44 3% 11%  
45 2% 7%  
46 2% 5%  
47 1.1% 3%  
48 0.7% 2%  
49 0.6% 1.3%  
50 0.3% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 560 100% 534–581 531–585 527–588 522–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 471 100% 455–487 451–491 448–494 441–500
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 451 100% 430–473 425–477 421–481 415–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 418 100% 400–436 397–440 393–444 385–450
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 398 100% 378–418 373–423 369–427 363–434
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 380 96% 361–398 356–403 352–406 346–413
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 359 61% 340–380 336–384 332–387 326–395
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 329 4% 311–348 306–353 303–357 296–363
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 311 0% 290–331 285–335 282–340 275–346
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 288 0% 266–310 262–313 259–317 251–324
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 267 0% 251–285 247–289 244–292 237–299
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 169 0% 156–182 153–186 150–189 144–195
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 125 0% 103–151 101–155 98–158 93–163

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0% 99.9%  
518 0.1% 99.9%  
519 0.1% 99.8%  
520 0.1% 99.7%  
521 0.1% 99.7%  
522 0.2% 99.5%  
523 0.2% 99.4%  
524 0.3% 99.1%  
525 0.3% 98.8%  
526 0.5% 98.5%  
527 0.6% 98%  
528 0.7% 97%  
529 0.9% 97%  
530 0.7% 96%  
531 1.2% 95%  
532 1.1% 94%  
533 1.5% 93%  
534 2% 91%  
535 1.4% 90%  
536 2% 88%  
537 2% 86%  
538 2% 84%  
539 1.4% 82%  
540 2% 80%  
541 1.5% 78%  
542 2% 77%  
543 2% 75%  
544 3% 72%  
545 2% 70%  
546 2% 68%  
547 2% 66%  
548 2% 64%  
549 2% 62%  
550 2% 60%  
551 1.0% 58%  
552 0.8% 57%  
553 1.0% 56%  
554 1.4% 55%  
555 0.4% 54%  
556 0.8% 54%  
557 1.0% 53%  
558 0.6% 52% Median
559 0.7% 51%  
560 0.5% 50%  
561 0.9% 50%  
562 0.7% 49%  
563 1.0% 48%  
564 0.8% 47%  
565 1.3% 46%  
566 2% 45%  
567 0.9% 43%  
568 1.5% 42%  
569 3% 41%  
570 3% 38%  
571 2% 35%  
572 2% 32%  
573 2% 30%  
574 3% 28%  
575 3% 25%  
576 3% 22%  
577 2% 20%  
578 2% 17%  
579 1.4% 16%  
580 3% 14%  
581 1.4% 11%  
582 1.5% 10%  
583 1.0% 8%  
584 1.4% 7%  
585 2% 6%  
586 0.5% 4%  
587 0.7% 4%  
588 0.8% 3%  
589 0.3% 2%  
590 0.4% 2%  
591 0.3% 1.4%  
592 0.4% 1.1%  
593 0.2% 0.7%  
594 0.2% 0.5%  
595 0.1% 0.3%  
596 0.1% 0.3%  
597 0% 0.1%  
598 0% 0.1%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.8%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.1% 99.6%  
441 0.2% 99.5%  
442 0.1% 99.4%  
443 0.3% 99.3%  
444 0.2% 98.9%  
445 0.3% 98.7%  
446 0.4% 98%  
447 0.4% 98%  
448 0.5% 98%  
449 0.6% 97%  
450 1.1% 96%  
451 1.4% 95% Median
452 0.6% 94%  
453 2% 93%  
454 0.6% 92%  
455 2% 91%  
456 2% 89%  
457 2% 87%  
458 1.2% 86%  
459 2% 84%  
460 2% 82%  
461 2% 80%  
462 3% 78%  
463 4% 75%  
464 2% 72%  
465 3% 70%  
466 2% 67%  
467 4% 64%  
468 3% 61%  
469 2% 58%  
470 4% 56%  
471 3% 52%  
472 3% 50%  
473 3% 47%  
474 3% 43%  
475 3% 40%  
476 2% 37%  
477 3% 35%  
478 3% 32%  
479 3% 30%  
480 3% 27%  
481 2% 24%  
482 2% 21%  
483 3% 19%  
484 3% 17%  
485 2% 14%  
486 2% 13%  
487 1.4% 11%  
488 1.1% 10%  
489 2% 8%  
490 0.9% 6%  
491 0.9% 5%  
492 0.6% 4%  
493 0.8% 4%  
494 0.7% 3%  
495 0.5% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.2% 1.4%  
498 0.3% 1.2%  
499 0.2% 0.9%  
500 0.2% 0.7%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.3%  
503 0.1% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0.1% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.1% 99.5%  
416 0.3% 99.4%  
417 0.2% 99.2%  
418 0.3% 99.0%  
419 0.3% 98.6%  
420 0.4% 98%  
421 0.5% 98%  
422 0.6% 97%  
423 0.7% 97%  
424 0.9% 96%  
425 0.7% 95%  
426 0.8% 94%  
427 0.8% 94%  
428 1.1% 93%  
429 1.2% 92%  
430 2% 91%  
431 2% 89%  
432 2% 87%  
433 2% 86%  
434 2% 83%  
435 2% 81%  
436 1.4% 79%  
437 3% 78%  
438 2% 75%  
439 1.2% 74%  
440 2% 72%  
441 3% 71%  
442 1.4% 68%  
443 3% 67%  
444 2% 64%  
445 2% 62%  
446 2% 60%  
447 1.4% 58%  
448 2% 57%  
449 2% 55%  
450 2% 53%  
451 2% 51% Median
452 1.2% 49%  
453 2% 48%  
454 1.3% 46%  
455 2% 44%  
456 2% 42%  
457 2% 40%  
458 1.2% 39%  
459 2% 37%  
460 2% 36%  
461 2% 33%  
462 2% 31%  
463 3% 29%  
464 1.0% 26%  
465 3% 25%  
466 2% 22%  
467 3% 21%  
468 2% 18%  
469 0.8% 16%  
470 2% 16%  
471 1.3% 14%  
472 2% 13%  
473 2% 11%  
474 2% 9%  
475 0.9% 8%  
476 0.9% 7%  
477 0.8% 6%  
478 0.9% 5%  
479 0.5% 4%  
480 0.8% 4%  
481 0.6% 3%  
482 0.4% 2%  
483 0.4% 2%  
484 0.2% 1.4%  
485 0.1% 1.2%  
486 0.3% 1.0%  
487 0.2% 0.7%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0.1% 0.4%  
490 0% 0.3%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0.1% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0.1% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.6%  
385 0.1% 99.5%  
386 0.1% 99.5%  
387 0.2% 99.3%  
388 0.2% 99.1%  
389 0.1% 98.9%  
390 0.5% 98.8%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.6% 98%  
393 0.5% 98%  
394 0.8% 97%  
395 0.6% 96%  
396 0.6% 96%  
397 2% 95%  
398 0.8% 93% Median
399 0.6% 93%  
400 2% 92%  
401 0.9% 90%  
402 1.3% 89%  
403 2% 88%  
404 2% 86%  
405 2% 83%  
406 2% 82%  
407 3% 80%  
408 2% 77%  
409 2% 75%  
410 3% 73%  
411 3% 70%  
412 2% 68%  
413 3% 66%  
414 3% 63%  
415 3% 60%  
416 3% 57%  
417 3% 54%  
418 3% 51%  
419 2% 48%  
420 3% 46%  
421 3% 43%  
422 1.5% 41%  
423 4% 39%  
424 2% 35%  
425 2% 33%  
426 4% 31%  
427 2% 28%  
428 2% 25%  
429 2% 23%  
430 3% 21%  
431 2% 18%  
432 1.2% 17%  
433 1.5% 15%  
434 2% 14%  
435 1.4% 11%  
436 2% 10%  
437 1.0% 8%  
438 1.3% 7%  
439 0.8% 6%  
440 0.6% 5%  
441 0.6% 5%  
442 0.8% 4%  
443 0.4% 3%  
444 0.5% 3%  
445 0.7% 2%  
446 0.5% 2%  
447 0.2% 1.1%  
448 0.2% 0.9%  
449 0.2% 0.7%  
450 0.1% 0.5%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.4%  
365 0.2% 99.2%  
366 0.3% 99.0%  
367 0.4% 98.6%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 0.5% 98%  
370 0.6% 97%  
371 0.5% 97%  
372 0.7% 96%  
373 0.9% 96%  
374 1.2% 95%  
375 1.2% 94%  
376 1.0% 92%  
377 1.1% 91%  
378 1.2% 90%  
379 2% 89%  
380 2% 88%  
381 2% 85%  
382 2% 83%  
383 1.4% 82%  
384 2% 80%  
385 2% 78%  
386 1.3% 76%  
387 2% 74%  
388 3% 72%  
389 3% 70%  
390 2% 67%  
391 2% 65%  
392 2% 63%  
393 2% 61%  
394 2% 59%  
395 2% 57%  
396 2% 56%  
397 3% 54%  
398 2% 51% Median
399 1.2% 49% Last Result
400 3% 48%  
401 2% 45%  
402 2% 44%  
403 2% 42%  
404 3% 40%  
405 2% 37%  
406 2% 35%  
407 3% 34%  
408 2% 31%  
409 2% 28%  
410 2% 27%  
411 2% 24%  
412 1.3% 22%  
413 2% 21%  
414 3% 19%  
415 1.4% 16%  
416 2% 15%  
417 2% 13%  
418 1.3% 11%  
419 0.8% 10%  
420 1.5% 9%  
421 1.1% 8%  
422 0.6% 6%  
423 1.1% 6%  
424 0.8% 5%  
425 0.5% 4%  
426 0.6% 3%  
427 0.7% 3%  
428 0.4% 2%  
429 0.3% 2%  
430 0.3% 1.4%  
431 0.2% 1.1%  
432 0.2% 0.9%  
433 0.2% 0.7%  
434 0.1% 0.6%  
435 0.1% 0.5%  
436 0.1% 0.3%  
437 0.1% 0.3%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.1% 99.6%  
346 0.2% 99.5%  
347 0.2% 99.3%  
348 0.1% 99.1%  
349 0.3% 99.0%  
350 0.4% 98.8%  
351 0.3% 98%  
352 0.6% 98%  
353 0.6% 97%  
354 0.7% 97%  
355 0.5% 96% Majority
356 1.0% 96%  
357 0.7% 95%  
358 1.2% 94%  
359 1.3% 93%  
360 1.0% 91%  
361 1.1% 91% Median
362 2% 89%  
363 1.1% 88%  
364 2% 87%  
365 2% 85%  
366 1.3% 83%  
367 2% 82%  
368 2% 80%  
369 2% 78%  
370 2% 76%  
371 2% 73%  
372 2% 71%  
373 2% 69%  
374 4% 67%  
375 2% 64%  
376 2% 61%  
377 2% 59%  
378 3% 57%  
379 2% 54%  
380 2% 52%  
381 4% 49%  
382 2% 45%  
383 3% 43%  
384 2% 41%  
385 3% 38%  
386 2% 35%  
387 2% 33%  
388 3% 31%  
389 2% 28%  
390 2% 26%  
391 3% 24%  
392 1.2% 21%  
393 2% 20%  
394 3% 18%  
395 2% 15%  
396 2% 14%  
397 2% 12%  
398 1.3% 10%  
399 0.9% 9%  
400 1.1% 8%  
401 1.3% 7%  
402 0.5% 6%  
403 0.9% 5%  
404 0.9% 4%  
405 0.4% 4%  
406 0.6% 3%  
407 0.6% 2%  
408 0.4% 2%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.3% 1.3%  
411 0.2% 0.9%  
412 0.2% 0.8%  
413 0.1% 0.6%  
414 0.1% 0.5%  
415 0% 0.3%  
416 0.1% 0.3%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0.1% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.3% 99.4%  
328 0.2% 99.1%  
329 0.4% 98.9%  
330 0.2% 98.5%  
331 0.4% 98%  
332 0.5% 98%  
333 0.7% 97%  
334 0.7% 97%  
335 0.8% 96%  
336 0.6% 95%  
337 0.7% 95%  
338 1.2% 94%  
339 2% 93%  
340 2% 91% Last Result
341 1.2% 89%  
342 1.1% 88%  
343 2% 87%  
344 2% 85%  
345 3% 83%  
346 2% 80%  
347 2% 79%  
348 2% 77%  
349 1.3% 75%  
350 3% 73%  
351 4% 71%  
352 2% 67%  
353 2% 65%  
354 2% 63%  
355 2% 61% Majority
356 2% 59%  
357 3% 57%  
358 2% 54%  
359 2% 52%  
360 2% 49%  
361 2% 48% Median
362 2% 46%  
363 2% 44%  
364 2% 42%  
365 2% 40%  
366 2% 38%  
367 2% 36%  
368 2% 33%  
369 2% 31%  
370 2% 29%  
371 2% 27%  
372 1.5% 25%  
373 2% 23%  
374 3% 22%  
375 2% 18%  
376 2% 16%  
377 1.4% 15%  
378 1.4% 13%  
379 1.3% 12%  
380 0.9% 11%  
381 2% 10%  
382 2% 8%  
383 1.3% 7%  
384 0.6% 5%  
385 0.9% 5%  
386 0.6% 4%  
387 1.0% 3%  
388 0.4% 2%  
389 0.4% 2%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.3% 1.3%  
392 0.1% 1.0%  
393 0.2% 0.9%  
394 0.1% 0.7%  
395 0.2% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.7%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.5%  
297 0.2% 99.4%  
298 0.2% 99.2%  
299 0.3% 99.1%  
300 0.2% 98.7%  
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.6% 98%  
303 0.6% 98%  
304 0.4% 97%  
305 0.9% 96%  
306 0.9% 96%  
307 0.5% 95%  
308 1.3% 94%  
309 1.1% 93%  
310 0.9% 92%  
311 1.3% 91%  
312 2% 90%  
313 2% 88%  
314 2% 86%  
315 3% 85%  
316 2% 82%  
317 1.2% 80%  
318 3% 79%  
319 2% 76%  
320 2% 74%  
321 3% 72%  
322 2% 69%  
323 2% 67%  
324 3% 65%  
325 2% 62%  
326 3% 59%  
327 2% 57%  
328 4% 55% Median
329 2% 51%  
330 2% 48%  
331 3% 46%  
332 2% 43%  
333 2% 41%  
334 2% 39%  
335 4% 36%  
336 2% 33%  
337 2% 31%  
338 2% 29%  
339 2% 27%  
340 2% 24%  
341 2% 22%  
342 2% 20%  
343 1.3% 18%  
344 2% 17%  
345 2% 15%  
346 1.1% 13%  
347 2% 12%  
348 1.1% 11%  
349 1.0% 9%  
350 1.3% 9%  
351 1.2% 7%  
352 0.7% 6%  
353 1.0% 5%  
354 0.5% 4%  
355 0.7% 4% Majority
356 0.6% 3%  
357 0.6% 3%  
358 0.3% 2%  
359 0.4% 2%  
360 0.3% 1.2%  
361 0.1% 1.0%  
362 0.2% 0.9%  
363 0.2% 0.7%  
364 0.1% 0.5%  
365 0.1% 0.4%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.6%  
276 0.1% 99.4%  
277 0.3% 99.2%  
278 0.3% 98.9%  
279 0.2% 98.6%  
280 0.3% 98%  
281 0.4% 98%  
282 0.4% 98%  
283 0.9% 97%  
284 0.6% 96%  
285 1.4% 96%  
286 0.7% 94%  
287 0.8% 94%  
288 0.9% 93%  
289 2% 92%  
290 0.8% 90%  
291 2% 89% Median
292 2% 88%  
293 1.3% 86%  
294 1.2% 85%  
295 1.4% 84%  
296 2% 82%  
297 3% 80%  
298 1.3% 77%  
299 2% 76%  
300 3% 74%  
301 1.3% 71%  
302 2% 70%  
303 2% 68%  
304 2% 66%  
305 1.5% 64%  
306 2% 62%  
307 2% 60%  
308 2% 58%  
309 3% 56%  
310 2% 53%  
311 2% 51%  
312 3% 49%  
313 2% 46%  
314 2% 44%  
315 2% 43%  
316 2% 41%  
317 3% 39%  
318 2% 37%  
319 1.4% 35%  
320 3% 33%  
321 4% 31%  
322 2% 27%  
323 2% 25%  
324 2% 23%  
325 2% 21%  
326 0.9% 19% Last Result
327 2% 18%  
328 1.4% 16%  
329 2% 15%  
330 2% 13%  
331 2% 12%  
332 2% 10%  
333 1.3% 8%  
334 0.9% 7%  
335 1.0% 6%  
336 0.4% 5%  
337 0.9% 5%  
338 0.6% 4%  
339 0.4% 3%  
340 0.4% 3%  
341 0.4% 2%  
342 0.6% 2%  
343 0.3% 1.3%  
344 0.2% 1.0%  
345 0.2% 0.8%  
346 0.2% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0.1% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.7%  
251 0.2% 99.6%  
252 0.1% 99.4%  
253 0.1% 99.3%  
254 0.2% 99.2%  
255 0.3% 99.0%  
256 0.3% 98.8%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.2% 98%  
259 0.6% 98%  
260 0.8% 97%  
261 0.6% 96%  
262 1.2% 96%  
263 0.7% 95%  
264 1.2% 94%  
265 2% 93%  
266 1.0% 91%  
267 2% 90% Median
268 1.2% 88%  
269 3% 86%  
270 2% 84%  
271 1.0% 82%  
272 3% 81%  
273 3% 78%  
274 2% 75%  
275 1.4% 74%  
276 2% 72%  
277 2% 70%  
278 2% 68%  
279 1.2% 66%  
280 2% 65%  
281 2% 64%  
282 2% 61%  
283 1.3% 60%  
284 2% 58%  
285 2% 56%  
286 2% 54%  
287 1.4% 53%  
288 2% 51%  
289 2% 49%  
290 3% 47%  
291 1.3% 45%  
292 3% 44%  
293 2% 41%  
294 2% 39%  
295 2% 37%  
296 1.2% 35%  
297 3% 34%  
298 0.7% 31%  
299 3% 30%  
300 2% 28% Last Result
301 2% 26%  
302 2% 24%  
303 2% 21%  
304 2% 20%  
305 0.5% 17%  
306 3% 17%  
307 0.7% 14%  
308 2% 13%  
309 1.0% 11%  
310 3% 10%  
311 1.0% 7%  
312 1.1% 7%  
313 1.1% 5%  
314 0.5% 4%  
315 1.0% 4%  
316 0.4% 3%  
317 0.6% 3%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.5% 2%  
320 0.2% 1.2%  
321 0.1% 1.0%  
322 0.3% 0.9%  
323 0.1% 0.6%  
324 0.1% 0.6%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0.1% 0.3%  
327 0.1% 0.2%  
328 0.1% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.2% 99.4%  
239 0.2% 99.3%  
240 0.2% 99.0%  
241 0.4% 98.9%  
242 0.4% 98%  
243 0.4% 98%  
244 0.8% 98%  
245 0.7% 97%  
246 1.0% 96%  
247 0.7% 95%  
248 1.2% 94%  
249 0.6% 93%  
250 2% 93%  
251 2% 91%  
252 2% 89%  
253 2% 88%  
254 2% 86%  
255 2% 84%  
256 2% 82%  
257 2% 80%  
258 2% 78%  
259 3% 76%  
260 2% 73%  
261 2% 71%  
262 3% 69%  
263 2% 66%  
264 3% 63%  
265 4% 60%  
266 3% 56%  
267 3% 53% Median
268 3% 50%  
269 3% 47%  
270 3% 44%  
271 2% 40%  
272 4% 38%  
273 4% 34%  
274 2% 30%  
275 2% 28%  
276 2% 26%  
277 3% 24%  
278 2% 22%  
279 1.2% 20%  
280 2% 18%  
281 2% 17%  
282 2% 15%  
283 1.1% 13%  
284 2% 12%  
285 1.4% 10%  
286 1.0% 9%  
287 1.0% 8%  
288 1.0% 7%  
289 1.1% 6%  
290 0.5% 5%  
291 0.7% 4%  
292 0.9% 3%  
293 0.6% 2%  
294 0.3% 2%  
295 0.4% 2%  
296 0.3% 1.2%  
297 0.2% 1.0%  
298 0.2% 0.8%  
299 0.2% 0.6%  
300 0.1% 0.4%  
301 0.1% 0.4%  
302 0.1% 0.3%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.4%  
146 0.3% 99.2%  
147 0.2% 99.0%  
148 0.6% 98.8%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.6% 98%  
151 0.8% 97%  
152 0.9% 96%  
153 1.4% 95%  
154 2% 94%  
155 2% 92%  
156 2% 91%  
157 2% 89%  
158 2% 87%  
159 3% 85%  
160 4% 82%  
161 3% 78%  
162 3% 76%  
163 4% 73%  
164 3% 69%  
165 4% 66%  
166 3% 62%  
167 4% 58%  
168 4% 54% Median
169 4% 50%  
170 3% 46%  
171 4% 43%  
172 4% 39%  
173 4% 36%  
174 4% 32%  
175 2% 28%  
176 4% 26%  
177 3% 23%  
178 3% 20%  
179 2% 17%  
180 2% 15%  
181 1.5% 13%  
182 1.4% 11%  
183 1.5% 10%  
184 1.5% 8%  
185 1.2% 7%  
186 0.9% 6%  
187 0.7% 5%  
188 1.0% 4%  
189 0.5% 3%  
190 0.5% 2%  
191 0.4% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.2%  
194 0.2% 0.8%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.6%  
94 0.3% 99.4%  
95 0.3% 99.1%  
96 0.5% 98.8%  
97 0.4% 98%  
98 0.6% 98%  
99 0.8% 97%  
100 0.9% 96%  
101 2% 96%  
102 2% 94%  
103 2% 92%  
104 2% 90%  
105 2% 88%  
106 2% 86%  
107 2% 84% Median
108 3% 82%  
109 4% 79%  
110 3% 76%  
111 3% 72%  
112 2% 70%  
113 2% 68%  
114 2% 66%  
115 2% 64%  
116 2% 62%  
117 2% 60%  
118 2% 58%  
119 2% 56%  
120 1.0% 54%  
121 1.0% 53%  
122 0.7% 52%  
123 0.5% 52%  
124 0.8% 51%  
125 0.6% 50%  
126 0.5% 50%  
127 0.5% 49%  
128 0.3% 49%  
129 0.3% 49%  
130 0.4% 48%  
131 0.6% 48%  
132 0.6% 47%  
133 0.8% 47%  
134 0.9% 46%  
135 1.2% 45%  
136 1.4% 44%  
137 2% 42%  
138 2% 41%  
139 2% 39%  
140 2% 37%  
141 2% 36%  
142 2% 33%  
143 3% 31%  
144 3% 29%  
145 3% 26%  
146 2% 22%  
147 3% 21%  
148 3% 17%  
149 1.3% 15%  
150 2% 13%  
151 2% 11%  
152 1.4% 9%  
153 1.4% 8%  
154 1.2% 7%  
155 1.1% 6%  
156 0.7% 4%  
157 0.8% 4%  
158 0.7% 3%  
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.4% 2%  
161 0.4% 1.3%  
162 0.3% 1.0%  
163 0.2% 0.7%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations