Opinion Poll by Forsa, 27–31 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.6–32.3% 29.2–32.6% 28.9–33.0% 28.2–33.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.9–19.2% 16.6–19.5% 16.4–19.8% 15.9–20.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.7–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.2% 6.1–8.4% 5.7–8.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 238 227–248 225–252 222–255 217–263
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 139 130–148 128–151 126–153 122–158
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 100–116 98–118 96–120 93–125
Alternative für Deutschland 94 62 56–68 54–70 53–72 50–75
Die Linke 69 62 56–68 54–70 53–71 50–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 55 49–61 48–63 47–64 44–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 41–52 40–54 38–55 0–58

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.8%  
216 0.1% 99.8%  
217 0.2% 99.6%  
218 0.2% 99.5%  
219 0.3% 99.2%  
220 0.3% 98.9%  
221 0.6% 98.6%  
222 0.7% 98%  
223 0.6% 97%  
224 2% 97%  
225 2% 95%  
226 2% 94%  
227 2% 92%  
228 2% 89%  
229 4% 87%  
230 3% 83%  
231 3% 81%  
232 4% 78%  
233 4% 74%  
234 5% 70%  
235 5% 66%  
236 4% 61%  
237 6% 57%  
238 5% 51% Median
239 5% 46%  
240 5% 40%  
241 5% 35%  
242 3% 30%  
243 4% 27%  
244 3% 23%  
245 3% 20%  
246 2% 17%  
247 2% 15%  
248 3% 12%  
249 2% 10%  
250 1.5% 8%  
251 1.2% 6%  
252 1.1% 5%  
253 0.8% 4%  
254 0.6% 3%  
255 0.5% 3%  
256 0.4% 2%  
257 0.3% 2%  
258 0.2% 1.5%  
259 0.2% 1.2%  
260 0.2% 1.1%  
261 0.1% 0.9%  
262 0.2% 0.8%  
263 0.1% 0.6%  
264 0.1% 0.5%  
265 0.1% 0.4%  
266 0.1% 0.3%  
267 0.1% 0.2%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.3% 99.4%  
124 0.4% 99.1%  
125 0.7% 98.7%  
126 0.9% 98%  
127 1.3% 97%  
128 1.4% 96%  
129 2% 94%  
130 3% 92%  
131 3% 89%  
132 4% 86%  
133 4% 82%  
134 5% 78%  
135 5% 73%  
136 7% 69%  
137 5% 62%  
138 6% 57%  
139 6% 51% Median
140 5% 45%  
141 6% 40%  
142 6% 35%  
143 4% 29%  
144 5% 25%  
145 4% 21%  
146 3% 17%  
147 3% 14%  
148 3% 11%  
149 2% 8%  
150 1.1% 6%  
151 1.3% 5%  
152 0.9% 4%  
153 0.7% 3%  
154 0.6% 2%  
155 0.4% 2%  
156 0.3% 1.1%  
157 0.2% 0.8%  
158 0.2% 0.6%  
159 0.2% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.8%  
93 0.2% 99.6%  
94 0.5% 99.4%  
95 0.6% 98.9%  
96 1.2% 98%  
97 1.3% 97%  
98 2% 96%  
99 2% 93%  
100 3% 92%  
101 3% 89%  
102 5% 86%  
103 4% 81%  
104 7% 77%  
105 6% 70%  
106 8% 65%  
107 4% 57%  
108 7% 53% Median
109 5% 46%  
110 7% 41%  
111 4% 34%  
112 8% 30%  
113 5% 22%  
114 4% 17%  
115 2% 13%  
116 3% 11%  
117 1.2% 8%  
118 2% 6%  
119 1.0% 5%  
120 1.3% 4%  
121 0.6% 2%  
122 0.6% 2%  
123 0.3% 1.0%  
124 0.2% 0.7%  
125 0.1% 0.5%  
126 0.1% 0.4%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 0.5% 99.4%  
52 1.0% 98.9%  
53 1.5% 98%  
54 2% 96%  
55 3% 94%  
56 4% 90%  
57 5% 87%  
58 7% 82%  
59 8% 75%  
60 7% 67%  
61 9% 60%  
62 10% 52% Median
63 6% 42%  
64 8% 36%  
65 6% 28%  
66 6% 22%  
67 4% 16%  
68 4% 12%  
69 2% 8%  
70 2% 6%  
71 1.3% 4%  
72 0.9% 3%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.3% 1.0%  
75 0.3% 0.6%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.5% 99.8%  
51 0.3% 99.3%  
52 1.3% 99.1%  
53 0.9% 98%  
54 3% 97%  
55 2% 93%  
56 5% 91%  
57 4% 87%  
58 8% 82%  
59 6% 75%  
60 8% 69%  
61 9% 61%  
62 8% 52% Median
63 9% 44%  
64 8% 36%  
65 8% 28%  
66 4% 20%  
67 5% 17%  
68 2% 11%  
69 3% 9% Last Result
70 1.4% 6%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.8% 2%  
74 0.3% 0.9%  
75 0.3% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.7%  
45 0.6% 99.3%  
46 0.9% 98.7% Last Result
47 2% 98%  
48 3% 96%  
49 4% 93%  
50 5% 90%  
51 7% 85%  
52 6% 78%  
53 8% 72%  
54 8% 64%  
55 10% 56% Median
56 8% 46%  
57 8% 38%  
58 7% 30%  
59 6% 24%  
60 5% 17%  
61 4% 12%  
62 2% 8%  
63 2% 6%  
64 1.4% 4%  
65 0.9% 2%  
66 0.6% 1.4%  
67 0.3% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.2% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 3% 96%  
41 4% 93%  
42 5% 89%  
43 7% 83%  
44 11% 76%  
45 9% 66%  
46 9% 57% Median
47 9% 48%  
48 8% 38%  
49 7% 30%  
50 7% 23%  
51 4% 16%  
52 4% 11%  
53 2% 7%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.4% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.5% 1.1%  
58 0.3% 0.6%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 539 100% 530–549 527–552 525–560 520–583
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 478 100% 467–488 464–491 461–493 452–498
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 447 100% 436–457 433–460 429–462 420–467
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 431 100% 421–443 418–447 415–452 410–470
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 400 100% 390–412 387–416 385–421 379–436
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 400 100% 390–412 385–414 381–416 372–422
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 354 47% 344–366 341–369 338–374 333–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 339 3% 327–350 324–353 319–355 305–360
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 309 0% 297–319 295–324 293–328 287–337
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 293 0% 282–303 277–306 272–309 256–314
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 247 0% 236–257 233–261 231–264 226–272
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 170 0% 160–179 158–182 156–185 152–190
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 154 0% 145–163 141–166 134–168 110–172

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0.1% 99.9%  
518 0.1% 99.8%  
519 0.1% 99.7%  
520 0.1% 99.6%  
521 0.2% 99.5%  
522 0.4% 99.3%  
523 0.4% 98.9%  
524 0.6% 98%  
525 0.8% 98%  
526 1.0% 97%  
527 2% 96%  
528 1.4% 95%  
529 2% 93%  
530 3% 91%  
531 3% 89%  
532 3% 86%  
533 4% 82%  
534 5% 78%  
535 5% 74%  
536 4% 69%  
537 5% 65%  
538 5% 60%  
539 6% 54%  
540 5% 49% Median
541 4% 44%  
542 8% 40%  
543 5% 32%  
544 4% 27%  
545 3% 23%  
546 4% 20%  
547 3% 17%  
548 3% 13%  
549 2% 10%  
550 2% 9%  
551 1.2% 7%  
552 1.1% 6%  
553 0.8% 5%  
554 0.4% 4%  
555 0.3% 4%  
556 0.3% 3%  
557 0.2% 3%  
558 0.1% 3%  
559 0.1% 3%  
560 0.1% 3%  
561 0.1% 2%  
562 0% 2%  
563 0% 2%  
564 0% 2%  
565 0% 2%  
566 0% 2%  
567 0.1% 2%  
568 0% 2%  
569 0.1% 2%  
570 0.2% 2%  
571 0.1% 2%  
572 0% 2%  
573 0.1% 2%  
574 0.1% 2%  
575 0.1% 1.5%  
576 0.1% 1.4%  
577 0.2% 1.3%  
578 0.1% 1.1%  
579 0.2% 1.0%  
580 0.1% 0.8%  
581 0% 0.7%  
582 0.1% 0.6%  
583 0.1% 0.5%  
584 0% 0.4%  
585 0.1% 0.4%  
586 0% 0.2%  
587 0% 0.2%  
588 0.1% 0.2%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0.2% 99.8%  
452 0.1% 99.6%  
453 0.1% 99.5%  
454 0.1% 99.4%  
455 0.1% 99.3%  
456 0.2% 99.2%  
457 0.4% 98.9%  
458 0.3% 98.6%  
459 0.4% 98%  
460 0.4% 98%  
461 0.6% 98%  
462 0.6% 97%  
463 1.0% 96%  
464 1.1% 95%  
465 2% 94%  
466 1.4% 93%  
467 2% 91%  
468 2% 89%  
469 4% 88%  
470 3% 84%  
471 3% 81%  
472 4% 78%  
473 5% 73%  
474 4% 69%  
475 5% 65%  
476 5% 60%  
477 5% 55%  
478 5% 51% Median
479 5% 45%  
480 4% 40%  
481 5% 36%  
482 4% 31%  
483 4% 27%  
484 4% 23%  
485 3% 19%  
486 3% 16%  
487 3% 13%  
488 2% 11%  
489 2% 9%  
490 2% 7%  
491 1.1% 5%  
492 1.2% 4%  
493 0.7% 3%  
494 0.5% 2%  
495 0.5% 2%  
496 0.4% 1.2%  
497 0.2% 0.8%  
498 0.3% 0.6%  
499 0.1% 0.3%  
500 0.1% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.8%  
417 0.1% 99.8%  
418 0.1% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.7%  
420 0.1% 99.5%  
421 0.1% 99.4%  
422 0.1% 99.3%  
423 0.2% 99.1%  
424 0.1% 99.0%  
425 0.4% 98.8%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 0.3% 98%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.3% 98%  
430 0.5% 97%  
431 0.8% 97%  
432 0.8% 96%  
433 1.2% 95%  
434 1.5% 94%  
435 2% 93%  
436 2% 91%  
437 4% 89%  
438 3% 85%  
439 3% 83%  
440 5% 79%  
441 4% 75%  
442 4% 71%  
443 5% 67%  
444 4% 62%  
445 4% 58%  
446 3% 53%  
447 4% 50% Median
448 3% 47%  
449 4% 44%  
450 5% 40%  
451 4% 34%  
452 4% 30%  
453 4% 26%  
454 4% 22%  
455 4% 18%  
456 2% 14%  
457 3% 12%  
458 2% 9%  
459 2% 7%  
460 2% 5%  
461 0.9% 4%  
462 0.9% 3%  
463 0.5% 2%  
464 0.4% 2%  
465 0.3% 1.2%  
466 0.2% 0.9%  
467 0.2% 0.7%  
468 0.2% 0.5%  
469 0.1% 0.3%  
470 0.1% 0.2%  
471 0.1% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0.1% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0.1% 99.6%  
411 0.2% 99.4%  
412 0.3% 99.2%  
413 0.3% 98.9%  
414 0.6% 98.6%  
415 0.9% 98%  
416 0.7% 97%  
417 1.2% 97%  
418 1.2% 95%  
419 1.4% 94%  
420 2% 93%  
421 3% 91%  
422 3% 88%  
423 2% 86%  
424 3% 83%  
425 3% 80%  
426 3% 77%  
427 5% 73%  
428 5% 69%  
429 4% 64%  
430 6% 60%  
431 5% 54%  
432 4% 50% Median
433 4% 45%  
434 7% 41%  
435 4% 35%  
436 4% 31%  
437 3% 27%  
438 2% 24%  
439 4% 21%  
440 2% 17%  
441 2% 15%  
442 2% 12%  
443 1.4% 10%  
444 1.2% 9%  
445 1.2% 7%  
446 1.1% 6%  
447 0.7% 5%  
448 0.6% 4%  
449 0.4% 4%  
450 0.4% 3%  
451 0.4% 3%  
452 0.3% 3%  
453 0.3% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.1% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0.1% 2%  
459 0.1% 1.5%  
460 0.1% 1.4%  
461 0.1% 1.3%  
462 0% 1.2%  
463 0.1% 1.2%  
464 0.3% 1.1%  
465 0.1% 0.8%  
466 0.1% 0.7%  
467 0% 0.7%  
468 0% 0.6%  
469 0.1% 0.6%  
470 0.1% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.4%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.3%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0.1% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.2% 99.7%  
379 0.2% 99.5%  
380 0.2% 99.4%  
381 0.2% 99.2%  
382 0.4% 98.9%  
383 0.3% 98.5%  
384 0.5% 98%  
385 0.9% 98%  
386 1.3% 97%  
387 2% 95%  
388 2% 94%  
389 2% 92%  
390 3% 90%  
391 2% 87%  
392 3% 85%  
393 4% 82%  
394 3% 78%  
395 5% 75%  
396 4% 70%  
397 5% 67%  
398 4% 62%  
399 5% 58% Last Result
400 3% 53%  
401 4% 50% Median
402 2% 46%  
403 4% 44%  
404 4% 39%  
405 4% 35%  
406 4% 31%  
407 4% 27%  
408 5% 23%  
409 3% 18%  
410 2% 16%  
411 3% 13%  
412 2% 11%  
413 2% 9%  
414 1.2% 7%  
415 1.0% 6%  
416 0.8% 5%  
417 0.5% 4%  
418 0.6% 4%  
419 0.4% 3%  
420 0.2% 3%  
421 0.3% 3%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.3% 2%  
426 0.1% 1.5%  
427 0.1% 1.4%  
428 0.1% 1.2%  
429 0.1% 1.2%  
430 0.1% 1.1%  
431 0.1% 1.0%  
432 0.1% 0.9%  
433 0.1% 0.8%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0.1% 0.6%  
436 0.1% 0.5%  
437 0% 0.4%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.3%  
440 0.1% 0.3%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0% 99.7%  
371 0.2% 99.7%  
372 0.1% 99.5%  
373 0.1% 99.4%  
374 0.2% 99.3%  
375 0.2% 99.1%  
376 0.1% 98.9%  
377 0.2% 98.8%  
378 0.3% 98.6%  
379 0.2% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.6% 98%  
382 0.6% 97%  
383 0.5% 97%  
384 0.3% 96%  
385 1.0% 96%  
386 0.9% 95%  
387 0.6% 94%  
388 1.0% 93%  
389 2% 93%  
390 2% 91%  
391 0.8% 89%  
392 2% 88%  
393 7% 85%  
394 5% 79%  
395 2% 73%  
396 4% 72%  
397 7% 68%  
398 7% 61%  
399 3% 54%  
400 3% 51%  
401 5% 49% Median
402 6% 44%  
403 1.1% 38%  
404 3% 37%  
405 5% 34%  
406 3% 29%  
407 2% 27%  
408 3% 25%  
409 7% 22%  
410 2% 15%  
411 2% 12%  
412 2% 11%  
413 3% 8%  
414 1.5% 5%  
415 0.5% 4%  
416 0.8% 3%  
417 0.8% 2%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.2% 1.3%  
420 0.3% 1.1% Last Result
421 0.2% 0.8%  
422 0.1% 0.6%  
423 0.1% 0.5%  
424 0.1% 0.4%  
425 0.1% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
328 0% 100%  
329 0.1% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.2% 99.7%  
333 0.2% 99.5%  
334 0.5% 99.3%  
335 0.3% 98.8%  
336 0.5% 98.5%  
337 0.5% 98%  
338 0.7% 98%  
339 0.6% 97%  
340 0.8% 96% Last Result
341 0.7% 95%  
342 1.3% 95%  
343 1.3% 93%  
344 2% 92%  
345 3% 90%  
346 3% 87%  
347 4% 84%  
348 5% 80%  
349 4% 75%  
350 7% 71%  
351 3% 64%  
352 6% 61%  
353 5% 55%  
354 4% 51%  
355 4% 47% Median, Majority
356 3% 43%  
357 3% 40%  
358 3% 37%  
359 4% 34%  
360 4% 31%  
361 3% 27%  
362 3% 24%  
363 4% 21%  
364 3% 17%  
365 3% 14%  
366 2% 11%  
367 2% 8%  
368 2% 7%  
369 0.7% 5%  
370 0.6% 5%  
371 0.6% 4%  
372 0.4% 3%  
373 0.2% 3%  
374 0.4% 3%  
375 0.3% 2%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.1% 2%  
379 0.2% 1.4%  
380 0.2% 1.2%  
381 0.1% 1.1%  
382 0.1% 1.0%  
383 0.1% 0.9%  
384 0.1% 0.8%  
385 0.1% 0.8%  
386 0.1% 0.7%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.2% 0.5%  
389 0% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.8%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.6%  
306 0.2% 99.5%  
307 0.1% 99.2%  
308 0.1% 99.2%  
309 0.1% 99.0%  
310 0.1% 99.0%  
311 0.1% 98.9%  
312 0.1% 98.8%  
313 0.1% 98.7%  
314 0.1% 98.6%  
315 0.2% 98%  
316 0.1% 98%  
317 0.2% 98%  
318 0.3% 98%  
319 0.3% 98%  
320 0.4% 97%  
321 0.4% 97%  
322 0.7% 97%  
323 0.6% 96%  
324 1.0% 95%  
325 1.1% 94%  
326 1.5% 93% Last Result
327 2% 92%  
328 2% 90%  
329 2% 88%  
330 2% 86%  
331 3% 84%  
332 4% 80%  
333 4% 77%  
334 5% 72%  
335 4% 68%  
336 4% 64%  
337 3% 60%  
338 5% 56%  
339 4% 51% Median
340 5% 47%  
341 4% 42%  
342 5% 38%  
343 4% 34%  
344 5% 30%  
345 3% 25%  
346 2% 21%  
347 3% 19%  
348 3% 16%  
349 2% 14%  
350 2% 11%  
351 1.5% 9%  
352 2% 7%  
353 1.3% 5%  
354 1.0% 4%  
355 0.9% 3% Majority
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.6% 2%  
358 0.4% 1.3%  
359 0.3% 1.0%  
360 0.2% 0.6%  
361 0.1% 0.5%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0.1% 0.2%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0.1% 99.5%  
288 0.2% 99.4%  
289 0.3% 99.2% Last Result
290 0.2% 98.9%  
291 0.2% 98.7%  
292 0.8% 98%  
293 0.8% 98%  
294 0.5% 97%  
295 1.5% 96%  
296 3% 95%  
297 2% 92%  
298 2% 89%  
299 2% 88%  
300 7% 85%  
301 3% 78%  
302 2% 75%  
303 3% 73%  
304 5% 71%  
305 3% 66%  
306 1.1% 63%  
307 6% 62%  
308 5% 56%  
309 3% 51% Median
310 3% 49%  
311 7% 46%  
312 7% 39%  
313 4% 32%  
314 2% 28%  
315 5% 27%  
316 7% 21%  
317 2% 15%  
318 0.8% 12%  
319 2% 11%  
320 2% 9%  
321 1.0% 7%  
322 0.6% 7%  
323 0.9% 6%  
324 1.0% 5%  
325 0.3% 4%  
326 0.5% 4%  
327 0.6% 3%  
328 0.6% 3%  
329 0.2% 2%  
330 0.2% 2%  
331 0.3% 2%  
332 0.2% 1.4%  
333 0.1% 1.2%  
334 0.2% 1.1%  
335 0.2% 0.9%  
336 0.1% 0.7%  
337 0.1% 0.6%  
338 0.2% 0.5%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.7%  
256 0.1% 99.6%  
257 0.1% 99.5%  
258 0.1% 99.4%  
259 0.1% 99.3%  
260 0.1% 99.2%  
261 0.1% 99.1%  
262 0.1% 99.1%  
263 0.1% 99.0%  
264 0.2% 98.9%  
265 0.1% 98.6%  
266 0.1% 98.6%  
267 0.1% 98%  
268 0.1% 98%  
269 0.2% 98%  
270 0.2% 98%  
271 0.2% 98%  
272 0.2% 98%  
273 0.3% 97%  
274 0.4% 97%  
275 0.5% 97%  
276 0.7% 96%  
277 0.7% 96%  
278 0.7% 95%  
279 1.0% 94%  
280 1.5% 93%  
281 1.5% 92%  
282 2% 90%  
283 2% 88%  
284 2% 85%  
285 3% 83%  
286 4% 80%  
287 3% 76%  
288 4% 73%  
289 4% 69%  
290 5% 65%  
291 4% 61%  
292 5% 56%  
293 4% 51% Median
294 6% 47%  
295 5% 41%  
296 4% 37%  
297 4% 33%  
298 3% 28%  
299 3% 25%  
300 4% 22% Last Result
301 3% 18%  
302 3% 16%  
303 3% 12%  
304 2% 10%  
305 2% 8%  
306 1.2% 6%  
307 1.1% 5%  
308 0.8% 4%  
309 0.7% 3%  
310 0.6% 2%  
311 0.4% 2%  
312 0.3% 1.2%  
313 0.3% 0.9%  
314 0.2% 0.6%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0.1% 0.3%  
317 0.1% 0.2%  
318 0.1% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0.1% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0.1% 99.7%  
226 0.1% 99.6%  
227 0.2% 99.5%  
228 0.3% 99.3%  
229 0.5% 99.0%  
230 0.8% 98.6%  
231 0.8% 98%  
232 1.1% 97%  
233 0.9% 96%  
234 2% 95%  
235 1.3% 93%  
236 2% 92%  
237 2% 90%  
238 3% 88%  
239 5% 85%  
240 4% 80%  
241 3% 76%  
242 4% 73%  
243 4% 69%  
244 5% 65%  
245 4% 60%  
246 5% 56%  
247 3% 51% Median
248 6% 47%  
249 5% 41%  
250 4% 37%  
251 4% 33%  
252 4% 28%  
253 4% 24%  
254 4% 21%  
255 2% 17%  
256 2% 15%  
257 2% 12%  
258 2% 10%  
259 1.3% 8%  
260 1.0% 6%  
261 1.1% 5%  
262 0.8% 4%  
263 0.6% 3%  
264 0.5% 3%  
265 0.3% 2%  
266 0.3% 2%  
267 0.3% 2%  
268 0.2% 1.2%  
269 0.3% 1.1%  
270 0.1% 0.8%  
271 0.1% 0.6%  
272 0.1% 0.5%  
273 0.1% 0.4%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.3%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7%  
152 0.2% 99.5%  
153 0.4% 99.3%  
154 0.5% 99.0%  
155 0.5% 98%  
156 1.1% 98%  
157 1.2% 97%  
158 2% 96%  
159 1.2% 94%  
160 3% 92%  
161 3% 89%  
162 3% 87%  
163 4% 84%  
164 5% 80%  
165 2% 75%  
166 6% 72%  
167 6% 66%  
168 4% 60%  
169 4% 56%  
170 5% 52% Median
171 4% 47%  
172 6% 43%  
173 6% 37%  
174 4% 31%  
175 5% 27%  
176 5% 22%  
177 3% 17%  
178 2% 13%  
179 2% 11%  
180 1.3% 8%  
181 1.4% 7%  
182 1.1% 6%  
183 1.2% 5%  
184 0.6% 3%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.3% 1.2%  
189 0.2% 0.9%  
190 0.2% 0.7%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.1% 99.5%  
111 0.1% 99.4%  
112 0.1% 99.4%  
113 0.3% 99.3%  
114 0.1% 99.0%  
115 0.3% 98.9%  
116 0.1% 98.6%  
117 0.1% 98.5%  
118 0.1% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.1% 97%  
136 0.1% 97%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.3% 97%  
139 0.5% 97%  
140 0.5% 96%  
141 1.1% 96%  
142 0.9% 95%  
143 1.1% 94%  
144 2% 93%  
145 2% 91%  
146 3% 89%  
147 4% 86%  
148 4% 82%  
149 3% 78%  
150 5% 75%  
151 4% 70%  
152 7% 66%  
153 6% 59%  
154 5% 52% Median
155 5% 47%  
156 6% 42%  
157 5% 36%  
158 6% 32%  
159 4% 26%  
160 4% 21%  
161 3% 18%  
162 3% 14%  
163 3% 12%  
164 2% 9%  
165 2% 7%  
166 1.4% 5%  
167 0.9% 4%  
168 0.9% 3%  
169 0.7% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.4%  
171 0.3% 1.0%  
172 0.2% 0.7%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations