Opinion Poll by Forsa, 3–7 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.6–32.3% 29.2–32.6% 28.9–33.0% 28.2–33.7%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.9–19.1% 16.6–19.5% 16.3–19.8% 15.8–20.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.7–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.2% 6.1–8.4% 5.7–8.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 237 227–248 225–252 222–255 217–262
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 139 131–148 127–149 125–153 122–157
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 100–116 98–118 96–121 93–124
Alternative für Deutschland 94 62 56–68 54–70 53–71 50–75
Die Linke 69 62 56–68 54–70 53–72 50–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 55 49–61 48–63 47–65 44–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 41–52 40–54 39–55 0–58

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.9%  
216 0.1% 99.8%  
217 0.1% 99.6%  
218 0.2% 99.5%  
219 0.3% 99.3%  
220 0.4% 99.0%  
221 0.5% 98.7%  
222 0.7% 98%  
223 0.9% 97%  
224 1.5% 97%  
225 2% 95%  
226 2% 94%  
227 2% 92%  
228 2% 90%  
229 3% 88%  
230 3% 85%  
231 4% 82%  
232 3% 79%  
233 4% 75%  
234 6% 72%  
235 5% 65%  
236 6% 60%  
237 5% 55% Median
238 3% 49%  
239 5% 46%  
240 4% 41%  
241 4% 38%  
242 4% 33%  
243 5% 29%  
244 5% 25%  
245 3% 20%  
246 3% 17%  
247 3% 14%  
248 2% 11%  
249 2% 9%  
250 0.9% 7%  
251 1.0% 6%  
252 1.0% 5%  
253 0.8% 4%  
254 1.0% 4%  
255 0.6% 3%  
256 0.4% 2%  
257 0.3% 2%  
258 0.3% 1.3%  
259 0.2% 1.1%  
260 0.1% 0.8%  
261 0.1% 0.7%  
262 0.1% 0.6%  
263 0.1% 0.5%  
264 0.1% 0.4%  
265 0.1% 0.3%  
266 0% 0.2%  
267 0% 0.2%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 0.7% 99.2%  
125 1.2% 98.6%  
126 1.3% 97%  
127 2% 96%  
128 1.2% 94%  
129 1.1% 93%  
130 2% 92%  
131 3% 90%  
132 4% 87%  
133 8% 83%  
134 4% 75%  
135 6% 71%  
136 3% 65%  
137 3% 62%  
138 5% 59%  
139 5% 54% Median
140 10% 50%  
141 10% 40%  
142 5% 30%  
143 4% 25%  
144 2% 21%  
145 2% 19%  
146 4% 17%  
147 3% 13%  
148 4% 11%  
149 2% 7%  
150 1.0% 5%  
151 0.9% 4%  
152 0.4% 3%  
153 0.5% 3%  
154 0.6% 2%  
155 0.4% 1.5%  
156 0.4% 1.1%  
157 0.3% 0.6%  
158 0.1% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.7%  
93 0.3% 99.6%  
94 0.4% 99.3%  
95 0.6% 98.9%  
96 1.0% 98%  
97 2% 97%  
98 1.5% 96%  
99 2% 94%  
100 3% 92%  
101 4% 89%  
102 5% 85%  
103 3% 80%  
104 5% 77%  
105 6% 72%  
106 7% 66%  
107 8% 59%  
108 6% 52% Median
109 6% 46%  
110 6% 40%  
111 6% 34%  
112 6% 28%  
113 4% 22%  
114 3% 18%  
115 4% 15%  
116 3% 11%  
117 2% 9%  
118 2% 6%  
119 1.2% 5%  
120 0.8% 3%  
121 0.8% 3%  
122 0.6% 2%  
123 0.4% 1.2%  
124 0.3% 0.8%  
125 0.1% 0.5%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.7%  
51 0.6% 99.4%  
52 0.7% 98.7%  
53 1.3% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 3% 95%  
56 4% 92%  
57 7% 88%  
58 7% 81%  
59 6% 74%  
60 7% 68%  
61 6% 60%  
62 8% 54% Median
63 10% 45%  
64 9% 35%  
65 6% 26%  
66 5% 20%  
67 4% 16%  
68 3% 12%  
69 3% 9%  
70 2% 7%  
71 2% 4%  
72 1.1% 2%  
73 0.6% 1.4%  
74 0.2% 0.8%  
75 0.2% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 0.5% 99.4%  
52 0.7% 99.0%  
53 1.2% 98%  
54 3% 97%  
55 3% 95%  
56 4% 91%  
57 6% 87%  
58 6% 81%  
59 9% 75%  
60 8% 67%  
61 8% 59%  
62 8% 51% Median
63 8% 43%  
64 8% 34%  
65 6% 27%  
66 4% 21%  
67 4% 17%  
68 3% 13%  
69 3% 9% Last Result
70 2% 6%  
71 2% 4%  
72 1.0% 3%  
73 0.5% 1.5%  
74 0.4% 1.0%  
75 0.2% 0.6%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.7%  
45 0.6% 99.4%  
46 1.1% 98.8% Last Result
47 2% 98%  
48 3% 96%  
49 4% 93%  
50 5% 89%  
51 5% 84%  
52 6% 79%  
53 7% 73%  
54 9% 66%  
55 8% 57% Median
56 10% 49%  
57 9% 39%  
58 8% 30%  
59 7% 22%  
60 5% 16%  
61 3% 11%  
62 2% 8%  
63 2% 6%  
64 1.3% 4%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 0.6% 2%  
67 0.5% 1.0%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.1% 98%  
39 2% 98%  
40 4% 96%  
41 4% 92%  
42 6% 88%  
43 7% 82%  
44 8% 75%  
45 10% 67%  
46 10% 57% Median
47 10% 48%  
48 8% 38%  
49 7% 30%  
50 6% 23%  
51 5% 16%  
52 4% 11%  
53 3% 8%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.3% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.3% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 540 100% 530–549 527–552 525–559 521–581
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 478 100% 467–488 464–490 460–493 453–497
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 447 100% 436–457 432–460 429–463 421–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 432 100% 421–442 418–446 415–452 410–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 401 100% 390–412 387–416 384–421 379–436
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 401 100% 389–412 386–414 382–417 372–422
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 355 50% 344–366 341–370 338–374 333–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 339 3% 328–350 324–353 320–355 306–361
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 308 0% 297–320 295–323 292–327 287–337
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 293 0% 281–303 277–306 272–309 257–314
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 247 0% 236–257 233–261 231–264 226–271
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 170 0% 160–179 158–182 156–185 152–191
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 154 0% 145–163 141–166 135–168 110–173

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0.1% 99.9%  
518 0.1% 99.8%  
519 0.1% 99.8%  
520 0.1% 99.6%  
521 0.2% 99.5%  
522 0.5% 99.3%  
523 0.3% 98.8%  
524 0.5% 98.5%  
525 1.1% 98%  
526 1.0% 97%  
527 2% 96%  
528 2% 94%  
529 2% 93%  
530 4% 91%  
531 2% 87%  
532 4% 85%  
533 4% 81%  
534 2% 77%  
535 6% 75%  
536 4% 69%  
537 4% 65%  
538 6% 61%  
539 4% 55% Median
540 6% 51%  
541 7% 46%  
542 4% 39%  
543 6% 35%  
544 4% 29%  
545 5% 25%  
546 4% 19%  
547 3% 16%  
548 3% 13%  
549 2% 10%  
550 1.5% 8%  
551 2% 7%  
552 0.6% 5%  
553 0.6% 4%  
554 0.6% 4%  
555 0.2% 3%  
556 0.2% 3%  
557 0.2% 3%  
558 0.1% 3%  
559 0.1% 3%  
560 0.1% 2%  
561 0% 2%  
562 0% 2%  
563 0% 2%  
564 0% 2%  
565 0% 2%  
566 0% 2%  
567 0.1% 2%  
568 0.1% 2%  
569 0.1% 2%  
570 0% 2%  
571 0.1% 2%  
572 0% 2%  
573 0.2% 2%  
574 0.2% 2%  
575 0.1% 1.4%  
576 0% 1.3%  
577 0.1% 1.3%  
578 0.1% 1.2%  
579 0.1% 1.1%  
580 0.4% 0.9%  
581 0.1% 0.5%  
582 0.1% 0.4%  
583 0% 0.4%  
584 0.1% 0.4%  
585 0% 0.3%  
586 0.2% 0.3%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0.1%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0.1% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0.1% 99.7%  
452 0.1% 99.7%  
453 0.1% 99.6%  
454 0.1% 99.5%  
455 0.2% 99.4%  
456 0.2% 99.2%  
457 0.3% 98.9%  
458 0.2% 98.6%  
459 0.5% 98%  
460 0.5% 98%  
461 0.5% 97%  
462 0.6% 97%  
463 0.8% 96%  
464 1.5% 95%  
465 2% 94%  
466 2% 92%  
467 2% 91%  
468 2% 89%  
469 3% 86%  
470 3% 83%  
471 2% 81%  
472 5% 78%  
473 4% 73%  
474 5% 69%  
475 4% 64%  
476 4% 60%  
477 6% 56% Median
478 4% 51%  
479 7% 46%  
480 3% 39%  
481 5% 36%  
482 5% 31%  
483 4% 26%  
484 3% 23%  
485 4% 20%  
486 3% 16%  
487 3% 13%  
488 2% 10%  
489 2% 8%  
490 1.2% 6%  
491 0.9% 5%  
492 1.4% 4%  
493 0.6% 3%  
494 0.5% 2%  
495 0.5% 1.5%  
496 0.3% 1.0%  
497 0.3% 0.8%  
498 0.1% 0.5%  
499 0.1% 0.4%  
500 0.1% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0.1% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.8%  
418 0.1% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.7%  
420 0% 99.6%  
421 0.1% 99.5%  
422 0.1% 99.5%  
423 0.2% 99.4%  
424 0.2% 99.2%  
425 0.3% 99.0%  
426 0.2% 98.8%  
427 0.3% 98.6%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.6% 98%  
430 0.8% 97%  
431 0.7% 97%  
432 1.0% 96%  
433 0.8% 95%  
434 2% 94%  
435 2% 92%  
436 2% 91%  
437 2% 89%  
438 3% 87%  
439 3% 84%  
440 4% 81%  
441 2% 77%  
442 4% 75%  
443 4% 71%  
444 5% 67%  
445 6% 62%  
446 3% 56% Median
447 7% 53%  
448 3% 46%  
449 5% 43%  
450 6% 37%  
451 3% 32%  
452 4% 28%  
453 4% 25%  
454 4% 21%  
455 3% 17%  
456 3% 15%  
457 2% 12%  
458 2% 10%  
459 2% 8%  
460 0.9% 6%  
461 1.2% 5%  
462 0.9% 4%  
463 0.7% 3%  
464 0.6% 2%  
465 0.3% 1.4%  
466 0.3% 1.0%  
467 0.2% 0.7%  
468 0.1% 0.5%  
469 0.1% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.2%  
471 0.1% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0.1% 99.9%  
407 0.1% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0.2% 99.6%  
411 0.2% 99.4%  
412 0.5% 99.2%  
413 0.3% 98.7%  
414 0.6% 98%  
415 0.7% 98%  
416 0.7% 97%  
417 1.0% 96%  
418 2% 95%  
419 1.0% 94%  
420 2% 93%  
421 2% 90%  
422 2% 88%  
423 3% 86%  
424 3% 83%  
425 3% 80%  
426 4% 76%  
427 3% 72%  
428 5% 69%  
429 4% 63%  
430 6% 60%  
431 4% 54% Median
432 5% 51%  
433 5% 45%  
434 4% 40%  
435 5% 37%  
436 3% 32%  
437 4% 28%  
438 3% 24%  
439 3% 21%  
440 4% 18%  
441 1.4% 14%  
442 3% 12%  
443 1.3% 10%  
444 2% 8%  
445 0.9% 7%  
446 1.1% 6%  
447 0.5% 5%  
448 0.7% 4%  
449 0.4% 4%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.3% 3%  
452 0.3% 3%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.2% 2%  
456 0.1% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0.1% 2%  
459 0.1% 1.5%  
460 0.1% 1.3%  
461 0.1% 1.2%  
462 0.1% 1.1%  
463 0.1% 1.0%  
464 0.2% 1.0%  
465 0.2% 0.8%  
466 0.1% 0.7%  
467 0% 0.6%  
468 0.1% 0.5%  
469 0.1% 0.5%  
470 0.1% 0.4%  
471 0.1% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0.1% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.2% 99.6%  
380 0.2% 99.4%  
381 0.3% 99.2%  
382 0.3% 98.9%  
383 0.4% 98.6%  
384 1.0% 98%  
385 0.8% 97%  
386 1.0% 96%  
387 1.4% 95%  
388 1.2% 94%  
389 2% 93%  
390 2% 91%  
391 2% 89%  
392 3% 87%  
393 2% 84%  
394 4% 81%  
395 4% 77%  
396 4% 73%  
397 4% 69%  
398 3% 65%  
399 5% 62% Last Result
400 6% 57% Median
401 4% 51%  
402 5% 47%  
403 4% 42%  
404 5% 38%  
405 5% 33%  
406 3% 28%  
407 4% 25%  
408 3% 22%  
409 2% 19%  
410 2% 17%  
411 3% 14%  
412 2% 12%  
413 2% 9%  
414 1.1% 8%  
415 1.2% 7%  
416 1.1% 5%  
417 0.4% 4%  
418 0.5% 4%  
419 0.5% 3%  
420 0.3% 3%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.1% 2%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.1% 1.4%  
429 0.2% 1.3%  
430 0.1% 1.2%  
431 0.1% 1.0%  
432 0.1% 0.9%  
433 0.1% 0.9%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0.1% 0.6%  
436 0.1% 0.5%  
437 0.1% 0.4%  
438 0.1% 0.3%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.8%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0% 99.7%  
370 0% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.6%  
372 0.1% 99.5%  
373 0.1% 99.5%  
374 0.2% 99.4%  
375 0.1% 99.2%  
376 0.2% 99.1%  
377 0.1% 98.9%  
378 0.2% 98.8%  
379 0.2% 98.6%  
380 0.3% 98%  
381 0.3% 98%  
382 0.4% 98%  
383 0.6% 97%  
384 0.6% 97%  
385 1.1% 96%  
386 0.9% 95%  
387 1.3% 94%  
388 1.3% 93%  
389 2% 92%  
390 2% 90%  
391 2% 88%  
392 2% 85%  
393 3% 83%  
394 3% 81%  
395 4% 77%  
396 4% 73%  
397 4% 69%  
398 4% 64%  
399 5% 61%  
400 4% 55% Median
401 4% 51%  
402 6% 47%  
403 4% 41%  
404 4% 37%  
405 5% 34%  
406 4% 29%  
407 4% 25%  
408 4% 21%  
409 2% 18%  
410 3% 15%  
411 2% 12%  
412 3% 11%  
413 2% 8%  
414 1.3% 6%  
415 1.1% 5%  
416 0.9% 4%  
417 0.6% 3%  
418 0.5% 2%  
419 0.6% 2%  
420 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
421 0.2% 0.8%  
422 0.2% 0.6%  
423 0.1% 0.4%  
424 0.1% 0.3%  
425 0.1% 0.2%  
426 0.1% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.9%  
330 0.1% 99.9%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0.2% 99.6%  
334 0.2% 99.4%  
335 0.3% 99.2%  
336 0.5% 98.9%  
337 0.4% 98%  
338 0.6% 98%  
339 0.9% 97%  
340 1.0% 96% Last Result
341 2% 95%  
342 1.3% 94%  
343 2% 92%  
344 3% 90%  
345 2% 88%  
346 3% 86%  
347 3% 83%  
348 3% 80%  
349 3% 77%  
350 4% 74%  
351 4% 70%  
352 5% 65%  
353 5% 61%  
354 5% 56% Median
355 4% 50% Majority
356 5% 47%  
357 5% 41%  
358 4% 37%  
359 3% 32%  
360 4% 29%  
361 4% 25%  
362 3% 21%  
363 3% 18%  
364 2% 15%  
365 2% 13%  
366 2% 11%  
367 2% 9%  
368 1.4% 8%  
369 1.3% 7%  
370 0.7% 5%  
371 0.8% 4%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.4% 3%  
374 0.4% 3%  
375 0.3% 2%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.2% 2%  
379 0.1% 1.4%  
380 0.1% 1.3%  
381 0.1% 1.1%  
382 0.1% 1.0%  
383 0.2% 0.9%  
384 0.1% 0.8%  
385 0.1% 0.6%  
386 0.1% 0.6%  
387 0.1% 0.5%  
388 0% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0.1% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.8%  
301 0% 99.8%  
302 0% 99.8%  
303 0.1% 99.7%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.6%  
306 0.1% 99.5%  
307 0.1% 99.4%  
308 0% 99.3%  
309 0% 99.3%  
310 0.1% 99.3%  
311 0.1% 99.1%  
312 0.1% 99.0%  
313 0.2% 98.9%  
314 0.2% 98.7%  
315 0.1% 98%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 0.2% 98%  
318 0.3% 98%  
319 0.2% 98%  
320 0.5% 98%  
321 0.7% 97%  
322 0.3% 96%  
323 0.5% 96%  
324 2% 95%  
325 0.9% 94%  
326 0.5% 93% Last Result
327 1.2% 92%  
328 3% 91%  
329 2% 88%  
330 0.9% 86%  
331 5% 85%  
332 5% 80%  
333 2% 75%  
334 4% 74%  
335 6% 70%  
336 3% 64%  
337 2% 61%  
338 6% 59% Median
339 7% 53%  
340 3% 46%  
341 2% 43%  
342 6% 40%  
343 6% 34%  
344 2% 28%  
345 3% 27%  
346 4% 24%  
347 5% 20%  
348 1.2% 15%  
349 4% 14%  
350 3% 10%  
351 1.0% 7%  
352 0.7% 7%  
353 2% 6%  
354 1.4% 4%  
355 0.4% 3% Majority
356 0.3% 2%  
357 0.9% 2%  
358 0.4% 1.2%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0.2% 0.8%  
361 0.2% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0.1% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.2% 99.6%  
288 0.2% 99.4%  
289 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
290 0.6% 98.9%  
291 0.5% 98%  
292 0.6% 98%  
293 0.9% 97%  
294 1.1% 96%  
295 1.3% 95%  
296 2% 94%  
297 3% 92%  
298 2% 89%  
299 3% 88%  
300 2% 85%  
301 4% 82%  
302 4% 79%  
303 4% 75%  
304 5% 71%  
305 4% 66%  
306 4% 63%  
307 6% 59%  
308 4% 53%  
309 4% 49% Median
310 5% 45%  
311 4% 39%  
312 4% 36%  
313 4% 31%  
314 4% 27%  
315 3% 23%  
316 3% 19%  
317 2% 17%  
318 2% 15%  
319 2% 12%  
320 2% 10%  
321 1.3% 8%  
322 1.3% 7%  
323 0.9% 6%  
324 1.1% 5%  
325 0.6% 4%  
326 0.6% 3%  
327 0.4% 3%  
328 0.3% 2%  
329 0.3% 2%  
330 0.2% 2%  
331 0.2% 1.4%  
332 0.1% 1.2%  
333 0.2% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 0.9%  
335 0.2% 0.8%  
336 0.1% 0.6%  
337 0.1% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.5%  
339 0% 0.4%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.3%  
342 0.1% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.6%  
256 0% 99.6%  
257 0.1% 99.6%  
258 0% 99.5%  
259 0.1% 99.4%  
260 0.1% 99.3%  
261 0.1% 99.2%  
262 0.2% 99.1%  
263 0% 98.9%  
264 0.1% 98.9%  
265 0.1% 98.8%  
266 0.2% 98.7%  
267 0.2% 98%  
268 0.1% 98%  
269 0.2% 98%  
270 0.2% 98%  
271 0.2% 98%  
272 0.2% 98%  
273 0.2% 97%  
274 0.3% 97%  
275 0.5% 97%  
276 1.0% 96%  
277 0.8% 95%  
278 1.0% 95%  
279 1.1% 94%  
280 1.2% 92%  
281 1.5% 91%  
282 2% 90%  
283 2% 88%  
284 4% 86%  
285 4% 83%  
286 2% 78%  
287 5% 76%  
288 3% 72%  
289 3% 68%  
290 4% 65%  
291 3% 61%  
292 7% 57%  
293 4% 51% Median
294 5% 47%  
295 6% 42%  
296 5% 36%  
297 3% 31%  
298 4% 28%  
299 3% 24%  
300 4% 21% Last Result
301 2% 17%  
302 3% 15%  
303 3% 13%  
304 2% 10%  
305 2% 7%  
306 1.4% 6%  
307 0.8% 4%  
308 0.6% 4%  
309 0.7% 3%  
310 0.6% 2%  
311 0.5% 2%  
312 0.3% 1.1%  
313 0.3% 0.8%  
314 0.2% 0.5%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0.1% 0.3%  
317 0% 0.2%  
318 0.1% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0.1% 99.9%  
223 0.1% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0.2% 99.8%  
226 0.2% 99.6%  
227 0.3% 99.4%  
228 0.4% 99.1%  
229 0.3% 98.7%  
230 0.6% 98%  
231 0.6% 98%  
232 1.4% 97%  
233 0.8% 96%  
234 2% 95%  
235 1.3% 92%  
236 2% 91%  
237 1.0% 89%  
238 4% 88%  
239 4% 84%  
240 5% 80%  
241 4% 76%  
242 2% 72%  
243 5% 70%  
244 2% 65%  
245 9% 63%  
246 3% 54%  
247 6% 51% Median
248 5% 45%  
249 3% 40%  
250 5% 37%  
251 3% 32%  
252 6% 28%  
253 2% 23%  
254 6% 21%  
255 0.9% 15%  
256 2% 14%  
257 2% 12%  
258 2% 10%  
259 2% 8%  
260 0.8% 6%  
261 1.0% 5%  
262 0.4% 4%  
263 1.0% 4%  
264 0.3% 3%  
265 0.6% 2%  
266 0.3% 2%  
267 0.3% 1.4%  
268 0.2% 1.1%  
269 0.2% 0.9%  
270 0.2% 0.7%  
271 0.1% 0.6%  
272 0.1% 0.5%  
273 0% 0.3%  
274 0.1% 0.3%  
275 0% 0.3%  
276 0.1% 0.2%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0.1% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7%  
152 0.2% 99.5%  
153 0.5% 99.3%  
154 0.4% 98.9%  
155 0.8% 98%  
156 0.8% 98%  
157 1.3% 97%  
158 2% 96%  
159 2% 94%  
160 2% 92%  
161 3% 90%  
162 3% 86%  
163 3% 84%  
164 4% 80%  
165 5% 76%  
166 4% 71%  
167 6% 67%  
168 4% 61%  
169 5% 57%  
170 5% 52% Median
171 7% 46%  
172 4% 40%  
173 5% 35%  
174 4% 30%  
175 5% 26%  
176 3% 21%  
177 4% 18%  
178 2% 14%  
179 3% 12%  
180 2% 9%  
181 2% 7%  
182 1.3% 6%  
183 1.0% 5%  
184 1.0% 4%  
185 0.5% 3%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.2% 1.2%  
189 0.3% 1.0%  
190 0.1% 0.7%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.1% 99.6%  
111 0.1% 99.5%  
112 0.1% 99.4%  
113 0.1% 99.3%  
114 0.1% 99.2%  
115 0.2% 99.1%  
116 0.2% 98.9%  
117 0.1% 98.7%  
118 0.2% 98.6%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0.2% 98%  
124 0.2% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.1% 97%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.4% 97%  
140 0.8% 97%  
141 0.8% 96%  
142 1.2% 95%  
143 1.1% 94%  
144 2% 93%  
145 3% 91%  
146 3% 89%  
147 4% 86%  
148 3% 82%  
149 4% 79%  
150 4% 74%  
151 5% 71%  
152 7% 66%  
153 6% 59%  
154 7% 53% Median
155 5% 46%  
156 4% 41%  
157 5% 36%  
158 3% 32%  
159 5% 28%  
160 5% 23%  
161 4% 18%  
162 3% 14%  
163 2% 11%  
164 2% 10%  
165 1.5% 7%  
166 2% 6%  
167 1.1% 4%  
168 0.8% 3%  
169 0.5% 2%  
170 0.3% 1.4%  
171 0.3% 1.0%  
172 0.2% 0.8%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations