Opinion Poll by Forsa, 10–14 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.2% 27.9–30.6% 27.5–31.0% 27.2–31.3% 26.6–31.9%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.5–21.5% 18.3–21.8% 17.7–22.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 15.0–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 223 213–234 210–237 207–240 203–248
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 152 143–162 141–164 139–167 135–172
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 121 114–131 112–133 110–135 106–140
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 63–76 61–77 60–79 57–83
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 46–58 45–59 44–61 41–64
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 42–52 39–52 39–55 0–58
Die Linke 69 46 41–51 39–53 38–55 0–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0.2% 99.7%  
203 0.2% 99.5%  
204 0.3% 99.3%  
205 0.4% 99.0%  
206 0.5% 98.6%  
207 0.7% 98%  
208 1.1% 97%  
209 1.1% 96%  
210 1.3% 95%  
211 1.2% 94%  
212 2% 93%  
213 2% 91%  
214 2% 88%  
215 3% 86%  
216 3% 83%  
217 3% 80%  
218 4% 76%  
219 5% 72%  
220 3% 67%  
221 6% 64%  
222 4% 58%  
223 5% 54% Median
224 5% 49%  
225 5% 44%  
226 4% 38%  
227 4% 34%  
228 4% 30%  
229 4% 26%  
230 4% 22%  
231 4% 18%  
232 2% 15%  
233 2% 12%  
234 2% 11%  
235 2% 9%  
236 1.2% 7%  
237 1.1% 6%  
238 0.6% 4%  
239 0.9% 4%  
240 0.6% 3%  
241 0.4% 2%  
242 0.3% 2%  
243 0.2% 2%  
244 0.3% 1.5%  
245 0.2% 1.1%  
246 0.3% 0.9%  
247 0.2% 0.7%  
248 0.1% 0.5%  
249 0% 0.4%  
250 0.1% 0.3%  
251 0.1% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.8%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.4% 99.4%  
137 0.5% 99.0%  
138 0.6% 98.5%  
139 1.0% 98%  
140 1.2% 97%  
141 2% 96%  
142 2% 94%  
143 2% 92%  
144 4% 89%  
145 3% 86%  
146 4% 82%  
147 5% 78%  
148 5% 73%  
149 6% 69%  
150 5% 63%  
151 5% 58%  
152 6% 53% Median
153 5% 47%  
154 5% 42%  
155 5% 37%  
156 4% 32%  
157 4% 28%  
158 4% 23%  
159 3% 19%  
160 3% 16%  
161 3% 13%  
162 2% 10%  
163 2% 8%  
164 2% 6%  
165 1.0% 5%  
166 0.8% 4%  
167 0.7% 3%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.4% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.2%  
171 0.2% 0.9%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.4% 99.6%  
107 0.3% 99.2%  
108 0.6% 99.0%  
109 0.8% 98%  
110 0.6% 98%  
111 1.3% 97%  
112 2% 96%  
113 2% 94%  
114 4% 92%  
115 5% 88%  
116 3% 84%  
117 7% 81%  
118 8% 73%  
119 6% 65%  
120 6% 59%  
121 9% 53% Median
122 5% 44%  
123 4% 40%  
124 5% 36%  
125 3% 31%  
126 3% 27%  
127 4% 24%  
128 4% 20%  
129 2% 16%  
130 4% 14%  
131 3% 10%  
132 1.4% 8%  
133 2% 6%  
134 2% 4%  
135 0.6% 3%  
136 0.7% 2%  
137 0.4% 1.4%  
138 0.2% 1.0%  
139 0.2% 0.8%  
140 0.2% 0.6%  
141 0.1% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.3% 99.6%  
58 0.8% 99.3%  
59 0.9% 98%  
60 1.1% 98%  
61 3% 96%  
62 3% 93%  
63 3% 90%  
64 5% 87%  
65 6% 82%  
66 5% 75%  
67 9% 70%  
68 10% 61%  
69 6% 51% Median
70 7% 45%  
71 8% 38%  
72 6% 30%  
73 6% 24%  
74 5% 18%  
75 3% 13%  
76 3% 10%  
77 3% 8%  
78 1.5% 5%  
79 0.9% 3%  
80 1.0% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.4%  
82 0.3% 0.9%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.7%  
42 0.5% 99.4%  
43 1.1% 98.9%  
44 2% 98%  
45 3% 96%  
46 4% 94% Last Result
47 5% 90%  
48 6% 85%  
49 7% 79%  
50 7% 72%  
51 9% 65%  
52 9% 56% Median
53 9% 47%  
54 8% 38%  
55 7% 30%  
56 7% 23%  
57 5% 16%  
58 3% 11%  
59 3% 8%  
60 1.5% 5%  
61 1.3% 3%  
62 0.9% 2%  
63 0.4% 1.1%  
64 0.3% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100%  
1 0% 98.5%  
2 0% 98.5%  
3 0% 98.5%  
4 0% 98.5%  
5 0% 98.5%  
6 0% 98.5%  
7 0% 98.5%  
8 0% 98.5%  
9 0% 98.5%  
10 0% 98.5%  
11 0% 98.5%  
12 0% 98.5%  
13 0% 98.5%  
14 0% 98.5%  
15 0% 98.5%  
16 0% 98.5%  
17 0% 98.5%  
18 0% 98.5%  
19 0% 98.5%  
20 0% 98.5%  
21 0% 98.5%  
22 0% 98.5%  
23 0% 98.5%  
24 0% 98.5%  
25 0% 98.5%  
26 0% 98.5%  
27 0% 98.5%  
28 0% 98.5%  
29 0% 98.5%  
30 0% 98.5%  
31 0% 98.5%  
32 0% 98.5%  
33 0% 98.5%  
34 0% 98.5%  
35 0% 98.5%  
36 0% 98.5%  
37 0% 98.5%  
38 0.1% 98.5%  
39 5% 98%  
40 2% 93%  
41 0.2% 91%  
42 12% 90%  
43 8% 78%  
44 0.8% 70%  
45 18% 69%  
46 12% 51% Median
47 0.5% 39%  
48 11% 39%  
49 11% 28%  
50 0.6% 16%  
51 5% 16%  
52 5% 10%  
53 0.2% 5%  
54 2% 5%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.1% 1.0%  
57 0.3% 0.9%  
58 0.4% 0.6%  
59 0% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.6% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 4% 95%  
41 4% 91%  
42 6% 86%  
43 8% 80%  
44 9% 72%  
45 9% 63%  
46 9% 54% Median
47 11% 46%  
48 8% 35%  
49 7% 27%  
50 5% 20%  
51 5% 15%  
52 3% 9%  
53 2% 6%  
54 1.2% 4%  
55 1.1% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 548 100% 539–558 536–563 534–584 530–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 473 100% 462–484 459–487 456–494 449–512
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 442 100% 432–453 428–458 425–464 418–479
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 427 100% 416–439 413–444 411–453 405–466
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 397 100% 386–409 382–414 380–421 375–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 390 99.9% 378–401 374–404 371–410 362–424
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 344 12% 333–356 329–360 327–366 321–377
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 319 0.2% 309–332 305–336 302–340 288–349
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 321 0.2% 309–332 305–335 301–339 290–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 319 0.1% 308–331 305–335 299–338 285–347
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 273 0% 263–286 261–290 259–294 254–304
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 167 0% 158–177 154–180 147–183 125–188
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 167 0% 159–178 156–180 151–182 127–188

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 100%  
519 0% 100%  
520 0% 100%  
521 0% 100%  
522 0% 100%  
523 0% 100%  
524 0% 100%  
525 0% 99.9%  
526 0% 99.9%  
527 0.1% 99.9%  
528 0.1% 99.8%  
529 0.2% 99.7%  
530 0.2% 99.6%  
531 0.2% 99.3%  
532 0.4% 99.1%  
533 0.4% 98.7%  
534 0.9% 98%  
535 1.4% 97%  
536 1.3% 96%  
537 1.4% 95%  
538 2% 93%  
539 2% 92%  
540 3% 89%  
541 4% 87%  
542 4% 83%  
543 3% 79%  
544 4% 76%  
545 6% 72%  
546 5% 66%  
547 7% 61%  
548 5% 54% Median
549 5% 49%  
550 6% 44%  
551 4% 39%  
552 6% 34%  
553 5% 28%  
554 4% 24%  
555 3% 20%  
556 2% 16%  
557 3% 14%  
558 2% 11%  
559 2% 9%  
560 0.8% 8%  
561 0.9% 7%  
562 0.5% 6%  
563 0.6% 5%  
564 0.3% 5%  
565 0.2% 4%  
566 0.2% 4%  
567 0.1% 4%  
568 0.1% 4%  
569 0% 4%  
570 0% 4%  
571 0% 4%  
572 0% 4%  
573 0% 4%  
574 0.1% 4%  
575 0% 4%  
576 0.1% 4%  
577 0.1% 4%  
578 0.1% 4%  
579 0.1% 3%  
580 0.1% 3%  
581 0.3% 3%  
582 0.1% 3%  
583 0.2% 3%  
584 0.3% 3%  
585 0.2% 2%  
586 0.2% 2%  
587 0.3% 2%  
588 0.3% 2%  
589 0.1% 1.3%  
590 0.2% 1.2%  
591 0.2% 0.9%  
592 0.1% 0.8%  
593 0.1% 0.7%  
594 0.2% 0.6%  
595 0.1% 0.3%  
596 0% 0.3%  
597 0.1% 0.2%  
598 0.1% 0.1%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0.1%  
601 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0.1% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.7%  
449 0.1% 99.6%  
450 0.1% 99.5%  
451 0.2% 99.3%  
452 0.2% 99.1%  
453 0.4% 98.9%  
454 0.4% 98.5%  
455 0.5% 98%  
456 0.5% 98%  
457 0.7% 97%  
458 1.1% 96%  
459 1.0% 95%  
460 1.5% 94%  
461 2% 93%  
462 2% 91%  
463 2% 89%  
464 3% 87%  
465 3% 84%  
466 3% 81%  
467 4% 78%  
468 3% 74%  
469 4% 71%  
470 5% 67%  
471 5% 63%  
472 6% 58%  
473 5% 51% Median
474 4% 47%  
475 5% 42%  
476 3% 37%  
477 5% 34%  
478 4% 29%  
479 4% 25%  
480 4% 21%  
481 2% 17%  
482 3% 15%  
483 2% 12%  
484 2% 10%  
485 1.4% 8%  
486 1.2% 7%  
487 1.1% 6%  
488 0.7% 5%  
489 0.6% 4%  
490 0.3% 4%  
491 0.3% 3%  
492 0.2% 3%  
493 0.2% 3%  
494 0.1% 3%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.1% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.1% 2%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.1% 1.5%  
505 0.2% 1.3%  
506 0.1% 1.1%  
507 0.1% 1.0%  
508 0.1% 0.9%  
509 0.1% 0.8%  
510 0.1% 0.8%  
511 0.1% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0.1% 0.3%  
517 0.1% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0.1% 99.5%  
419 0.2% 99.4%  
420 0.2% 99.2%  
421 0.2% 99.0%  
422 0.3% 98.8%  
423 0.3% 98.5%  
424 0.4% 98%  
425 0.6% 98%  
426 0.6% 97%  
427 1.1% 97%  
428 1.0% 96%  
429 1.4% 95%  
430 1.5% 93%  
431 2% 92%  
432 2% 90%  
433 2% 88%  
434 4% 86%  
435 2% 81%  
436 4% 79%  
437 4% 75%  
438 4% 71%  
439 5% 68%  
440 3% 62%  
441 4% 59%  
442 5% 55% Median
443 5% 49%  
444 5% 44%  
445 4% 39%  
446 5% 36%  
447 3% 31%  
448 5% 28%  
449 3% 23%  
450 2% 20%  
451 4% 17%  
452 1.4% 14%  
453 2% 12%  
454 1.1% 10%  
455 2% 9%  
456 1.0% 7%  
457 0.7% 6%  
458 0.8% 5%  
459 0.6% 4%  
460 0.6% 4%  
461 0.3% 3%  
462 0.2% 3%  
463 0.2% 3%  
464 0.2% 3%  
465 0.1% 2%  
466 0.2% 2%  
467 0.1% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.1% 2%  
470 0.3% 2%  
471 0.2% 1.4%  
472 0.1% 1.2%  
473 0.1% 1.1%  
474 0.1% 1.0%  
475 0.1% 0.9%  
476 0.1% 0.8%  
477 0.1% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.7%  
479 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
480 0% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.4%  
482 0.1% 0.3%  
483 0.1% 0.3%  
484 0.1% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0.1% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0.2% 99.6%  
406 0.3% 99.5%  
407 0.3% 99.2%  
408 0.2% 98.9%  
409 0.6% 98.7%  
410 0.5% 98%  
411 0.8% 98%  
412 1.2% 97%  
413 1.0% 96%  
414 1.5% 95%  
415 2% 93%  
416 2% 91%  
417 2% 89%  
418 3% 87%  
419 3% 84%  
420 4% 82%  
421 3% 78%  
422 3% 75%  
423 4% 71%  
424 5% 67%  
425 3% 62%  
426 7% 59%  
427 4% 52% Median
428 6% 49%  
429 4% 42%  
430 4% 39%  
431 4% 35%  
432 4% 31%  
433 2% 26%  
434 3% 24%  
435 5% 21%  
436 3% 17%  
437 2% 14%  
438 1.5% 12%  
439 1.3% 10%  
440 1.2% 9%  
441 1.0% 8%  
442 0.8% 7%  
443 0.6% 6%  
444 0.6% 5%  
445 0.5% 5%  
446 0.3% 4%  
447 0.3% 4%  
448 0.2% 4%  
449 0.1% 3%  
450 0.2% 3%  
451 0.3% 3%  
452 0.2% 3%  
453 0.2% 3%  
454 0.3% 2%  
455 0.2% 2%  
456 0.1% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0.2% 2%  
459 0.2% 2%  
460 0.2% 1.3%  
461 0.1% 1.1%  
462 0.1% 1.0%  
463 0.1% 0.9%  
464 0.1% 0.7%  
465 0.1% 0.6%  
466 0.2% 0.6%  
467 0.1% 0.4%  
468 0% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.3%  
470 0.1% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0.1% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.2% 99.6%  
376 0.2% 99.4%  
377 0.4% 99.2%  
378 0.4% 98.9%  
379 0.9% 98%  
380 0.6% 98%  
381 0.8% 97%  
382 1.2% 96%  
383 1.2% 95%  
384 1.1% 94%  
385 1.2% 93%  
386 2% 91%  
387 3% 89%  
388 3% 86%  
389 5% 84%  
390 4% 79%  
391 4% 75%  
392 4% 71%  
393 3% 66%  
394 4% 63%  
395 3% 59%  
396 4% 55% Median
397 5% 52%  
398 5% 47%  
399 5% 42% Last Result
400 5% 38%  
401 4% 33%  
402 4% 29%  
403 5% 25%  
404 3% 20%  
405 2% 17%  
406 2% 15%  
407 1.4% 14%  
408 2% 12%  
409 0.9% 10%  
410 2% 10%  
411 1.3% 8%  
412 1.0% 7%  
413 0.6% 6%  
414 0.6% 5%  
415 0.4% 4%  
416 0.3% 4%  
417 0.4% 4%  
418 0.2% 3%  
419 0.4% 3%  
420 0.2% 3%  
421 0.1% 3%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.1% 2%  
425 0.3% 2%  
426 0.2% 2%  
427 0.2% 1.3%  
428 0.1% 1.1%  
429 0.1% 1.1%  
430 0.2% 1.0%  
431 0.1% 0.8%  
432 0.2% 0.7%  
433 0.1% 0.5%  
434 0.1% 0.5%  
435 0.2% 0.4%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0.1% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.6%  
362 0.1% 99.5%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.4%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.2% 99.1%  
367 0.3% 99.0%  
368 0.2% 98.7%  
369 0.4% 98%  
370 0.4% 98%  
371 0.5% 98%  
372 0.6% 97%  
373 0.9% 97%  
374 0.9% 96%  
375 1.2% 95%  
376 2% 94%  
377 1.4% 92%  
378 2% 90%  
379 2% 89%  
380 2% 87%  
381 2% 84%  
382 2% 83%  
383 3% 80%  
384 3% 77%  
385 4% 74%  
386 5% 71%  
387 4% 66%  
388 5% 62%  
389 3% 57%  
390 5% 54% Median
391 4% 49%  
392 5% 45%  
393 4% 39%  
394 5% 35%  
395 4% 30%  
396 4% 26%  
397 3% 23%  
398 3% 19%  
399 3% 16%  
400 2% 13%  
401 2% 11%  
402 2% 9%  
403 1.2% 7%  
404 0.9% 6%  
405 0.9% 5%  
406 0.5% 4%  
407 0.3% 3%  
408 0.4% 3%  
409 0.2% 3%  
410 0.3% 3%  
411 0.1% 2%  
412 0.1% 2%  
413 0.3% 2%  
414 0.1% 2%  
415 0.3% 2%  
416 0.2% 1.3%  
417 0.1% 1.1%  
418 0.1% 1.0%  
419 0.1% 0.9%  
420 0.1% 0.8% Last Result
421 0% 0.8%  
422 0.1% 0.7%  
423 0% 0.6%  
424 0.1% 0.5%  
425 0% 0.5%  
426 0.1% 0.4%  
427 0.1% 0.3%  
428 0.1% 0.3%  
429 0.1% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.2% 99.6%  
322 0.2% 99.4%  
323 0.2% 99.2%  
324 0.4% 99.0%  
325 0.5% 98.6%  
326 0.5% 98%  
327 0.6% 98%  
328 0.9% 97%  
329 1.1% 96%  
330 1.2% 95%  
331 2% 94%  
332 1.4% 91%  
333 2% 90%  
334 2% 88%  
335 2% 86%  
336 2% 83%  
337 4% 81%  
338 3% 78%  
339 4% 74%  
340 3% 71% Last Result
341 4% 67%  
342 4% 63%  
343 5% 59%  
344 4% 54% Median
345 5% 50%  
346 5% 45%  
347 5% 40%  
348 3% 34%  
349 4% 31%  
350 4% 28%  
351 3% 24%  
352 3% 21%  
353 3% 17%  
354 2% 15%  
355 2% 12% Majority
356 1.3% 10%  
357 2% 9%  
358 1.1% 7%  
359 0.9% 6%  
360 0.6% 5%  
361 0.6% 4%  
362 0.3% 4%  
363 0.4% 4%  
364 0.3% 3%  
365 0.3% 3%  
366 0.2% 3%  
367 0.2% 2%  
368 0.2% 2%  
369 0.3% 2%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.2% 1.5%  
372 0.3% 1.3%  
373 0.1% 1.0%  
374 0.1% 0.9%  
375 0.2% 0.8%  
376 0.1% 0.6%  
377 0.1% 0.5%  
378 0.1% 0.4%  
379 0.1% 0.4%  
380 0.1% 0.3%  
381 0% 0.3%  
382 0.1% 0.2%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0% 99.6%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0% 99.4%  
290 0.1% 99.4%  
291 0.1% 99.3%  
292 0.1% 99.2%  
293 0.1% 99.2%  
294 0.1% 99.1%  
295 0.1% 99.0%  
296 0.2% 98.9%  
297 0.1% 98.8%  
298 0.1% 98.7%  
299 0.2% 98.5%  
300 0.2% 98% Last Result
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.4% 98%  
303 0.6% 97%  
304 0.9% 97%  
305 1.0% 96%  
306 1.3% 95%  
307 2% 94%  
308 2% 92%  
309 2% 90%  
310 3% 88%  
311 3% 85%  
312 3% 82%  
313 5% 79%  
314 5% 74%  
315 3% 69%  
316 6% 67%  
317 4% 61%  
318 5% 57%  
319 5% 52% Median
320 3% 47%  
321 6% 43%  
322 4% 37%  
323 3% 34%  
324 4% 31%  
325 4% 27%  
326 2% 23%  
327 2% 21%  
328 2% 18%  
329 3% 16%  
330 2% 13%  
331 1.4% 11%  
332 1.4% 10%  
333 1.3% 9%  
334 1.1% 7%  
335 1.0% 6%  
336 0.8% 5%  
337 0.8% 4%  
338 0.7% 4%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.6% 3%  
341 0.4% 2%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.4%  
344 0.2% 1.3%  
345 0.1% 1.1%  
346 0.1% 1.0%  
347 0.1% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0.1% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.6%  
290 0.1% 99.5%  
291 0.1% 99.5%  
292 0.1% 99.4%  
293 0.1% 99.3%  
294 0.1% 99.2%  
295 0.1% 99.1%  
296 0.1% 99.0%  
297 0.2% 98.9%  
298 0.2% 98.7%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0.4% 98%  
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.6% 97%  
303 0.7% 97%  
304 0.8% 96%  
305 1.0% 95%  
306 0.9% 94%  
307 1.2% 93%  
308 1.5% 92%  
309 2% 91%  
310 2% 89%  
311 2% 87%  
312 2% 85%  
313 2% 83%  
314 3% 80%  
315 3% 77%  
316 3% 74%  
317 4% 71%  
318 3% 67%  
319 5% 64%  
320 5% 60%  
321 6% 55% Median
322 4% 50%  
323 4% 45%  
324 6% 41%  
325 5% 36%  
326 4% 31% Last Result
327 4% 27%  
328 4% 23%  
329 4% 20%  
330 3% 16%  
331 2% 13%  
332 2% 11%  
333 2% 9%  
334 1.1% 7%  
335 1.2% 6%  
336 1.1% 5%  
337 0.5% 4%  
338 0.5% 3%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.2% 2%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.1% 2%  
344 0.2% 1.4%  
345 0.2% 1.2%  
346 0.1% 1.0%  
347 0.1% 0.9%  
348 0.1% 0.8%  
349 0.1% 0.7%  
350 0.1% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.7%  
284 0% 99.6%  
285 0.1% 99.5%  
286 0% 99.5%  
287 0.1% 99.4%  
288 0% 99.3%  
289 0.1% 99.2% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.2%  
291 0.1% 99.1%  
292 0.1% 99.0%  
293 0.2% 98.9%  
294 0.3% 98.7%  
295 0.1% 98%  
296 0.3% 98%  
297 0.1% 98%  
298 0.1% 98%  
299 0.3% 98%  
300 0.2% 97%  
301 0.4% 97%  
302 0.3% 97%  
303 0.5% 97%  
304 0.9% 96%  
305 0.9% 95%  
306 1.2% 94%  
307 2% 93%  
308 2% 91%  
309 2% 89%  
310 3% 87%  
311 3% 84%  
312 3% 81%  
313 4% 77%  
314 4% 74%  
315 5% 70%  
316 4% 65%  
317 5% 61%  
318 4% 55%  
319 5% 51% Median
320 3% 46%  
321 5% 43%  
322 4% 38%  
323 5% 34%  
324 4% 29%  
325 3% 26%  
326 3% 23%  
327 2% 20%  
328 2% 17%  
329 2% 16%  
330 2% 13%  
331 2% 11%  
332 1.4% 10%  
333 2% 8%  
334 1.2% 6%  
335 0.9% 5%  
336 0.9% 4%  
337 0.6% 3%  
338 0.5% 3%  
339 0.4% 2%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 0.3% 1.3%  
343 0.2% 1.0%  
344 0.2% 0.9%  
345 0.1% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.5%  
348 0.1% 0.5%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.3%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0.2% 99.6%  
255 0.2% 99.4%  
256 0.3% 99.2%  
257 0.6% 98.9%  
258 0.8% 98%  
259 0.8% 98%  
260 1.4% 97%  
261 1.2% 95%  
262 2% 94%  
263 3% 92%  
264 2% 89%  
265 3% 87%  
266 4% 84%  
267 3% 80%  
268 6% 77%  
269 4% 70%  
270 6% 66%  
271 4% 61%  
272 5% 56%  
273 4% 52% Median
274 5% 48%  
275 4% 43%  
276 5% 39%  
277 3% 34%  
278 3% 30%  
279 3% 27%  
280 3% 25%  
281 2% 22%  
282 3% 20%  
283 2% 17%  
284 2% 15%  
285 2% 13%  
286 1.2% 11%  
287 2% 9%  
288 1.2% 8%  
289 1.0% 7%  
290 0.8% 6%  
291 0.8% 5%  
292 0.6% 4%  
293 0.7% 3%  
294 0.6% 3%  
295 0.2% 2%  
296 0.6% 2%  
297 0.1% 1.3%  
298 0.1% 1.2%  
299 0.2% 1.1%  
300 0.1% 0.9%  
301 0.1% 0.8%  
302 0.1% 0.6%  
303 0.1% 0.6%  
304 0.1% 0.5%  
305 0.1% 0.4%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0.1% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.7%  
123 0.1% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0.1% 99.5%  
126 0.1% 99.4%  
127 0.1% 99.3%  
128 0.1% 99.2%  
129 0.2% 99.1%  
130 0.2% 98.9%  
131 0.1% 98.7%  
132 0.1% 98.6%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.4% 98%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0.1% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 98%  
142 0% 98%  
143 0% 98%  
144 0% 98%  
145 0% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.1% 97%  
149 0.1% 97%  
150 0.2% 97%  
151 0.3% 97%  
152 0.4% 97%  
153 0.6% 96%  
154 1.1% 96%  
155 1.0% 95%  
156 2% 94%  
157 2% 92%  
158 2% 91%  
159 2% 88%  
160 4% 86%  
161 3% 82%  
162 5% 79%  
163 5% 74%  
164 5% 69%  
165 5% 64%  
166 5% 59%  
167 5% 53% Median
168 5% 48%  
169 5% 43%  
170 5% 38%  
171 4% 33%  
172 6% 29%  
173 3% 23%  
174 4% 21%  
175 3% 17%  
176 2% 14%  
177 2% 11%  
178 2% 9%  
179 2% 7%  
180 1.1% 6%  
181 1.3% 5%  
182 0.7% 3%  
183 0.7% 3%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.4% 1.3%  
186 0.2% 1.0%  
187 0.2% 0.7%  
188 0.2% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0.1% 99.7%  
127 0.1% 99.6%  
128 0.1% 99.5%  
129 0.1% 99.4%  
130 0.1% 99.3%  
131 0.1% 99.2%  
132 0.1% 99.1%  
133 0.1% 99.0%  
134 0.1% 98.9%  
135 0.1% 98.8%  
136 0% 98.8%  
137 0% 98.8%  
138 0% 98.7%  
139 0% 98.7%  
140 0% 98.7%  
141 0% 98.6%  
142 0% 98.6%  
143 0% 98.6%  
144 0% 98.6%  
145 0% 98.5%  
146 0% 98.5%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.2% 98%  
149 0.1% 98%  
150 0.3% 98%  
151 0.4% 98%  
152 0.4% 97%  
153 0.4% 97%  
154 0.7% 97%  
155 0.5% 96%  
156 1.0% 95%  
157 2% 94%  
158 2% 93%  
159 3% 91%  
160 3% 88%  
161 4% 84%  
162 5% 80%  
163 5% 74%  
164 5% 69%  
165 7% 64%  
166 4% 57%  
167 7% 53% Median
168 5% 46%  
169 5% 41%  
170 5% 36%  
171 3% 31%  
172 4% 28%  
173 3% 25%  
174 2% 21%  
175 4% 20%  
176 2% 16%  
177 3% 14%  
178 2% 11%  
179 2% 8%  
180 2% 6%  
181 1.4% 5%  
182 0.8% 3%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.3% 1.2%  
186 0.2% 0.9%  
187 0.2% 0.7%  
188 0.1% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations