Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 5–18 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.2–32.6% 28.7–33.1% 28.3–33.5% 27.6–34.4%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.2–20.9% 16.9–21.3% 16.3–22.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 17.0% 15.7–18.4% 15.3–18.8% 15.0–19.2% 14.4–19.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.5% 7.5–10.8% 7.1–11.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.3–8.2% 6.0–8.5% 5.8–8.7% 5.4–9.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.5% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–7.0% 4.0–7.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 230 217–245 213–251 210–255 204–263
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 142 131–154 127–157 126–161 121–167
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 127 116–138 113–142 111–144 106–150
Alternative für Deutschland 94 68 60–76 58–79 56–81 53–86
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 54 47–61 45–63 43–66 40–70
Die Linke 69 52 46–60 44–62 42–65 40–68
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 41 0–48 0–50 0–51 0–55

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.7%  
204 0.2% 99.6%  
205 0.2% 99.4%  
206 0.2% 99.3%  
207 0.3% 99.0%  
208 0.5% 98.7%  
209 0.4% 98%  
210 0.6% 98%  
211 0.8% 97%  
212 1.1% 96%  
213 1.1% 95%  
214 1.2% 94%  
215 1.4% 93%  
216 1.5% 92%  
217 2% 90%  
218 2% 88%  
219 3% 87%  
220 3% 84%  
221 3% 81%  
222 4% 78%  
223 2% 74%  
224 3% 72%  
225 4% 69%  
226 3% 66%  
227 4% 63%  
228 4% 59%  
229 3% 55%  
230 4% 52% Median
231 4% 48%  
232 4% 44%  
233 3% 41%  
234 3% 37%  
235 2% 34%  
236 3% 32%  
237 3% 29%  
238 3% 26%  
239 2% 23%  
240 2% 21%  
241 3% 19%  
242 1.4% 16%  
243 2% 15%  
244 2% 13%  
245 1.4% 11%  
246 0.9% 10%  
247 1.2% 9%  
248 1.0% 8%  
249 0.9% 7%  
250 0.7% 6%  
251 0.6% 5%  
252 0.6% 4%  
253 0.6% 4%  
254 0.6% 3%  
255 0.3% 3%  
256 0.3% 2%  
257 0.2% 2%  
258 0.3% 2%  
259 0.3% 1.4%  
260 0.3% 1.0%  
261 0.1% 0.8%  
262 0.1% 0.6%  
263 0.2% 0.6%  
264 0.1% 0.4%  
265 0.1% 0.3%  
266 0.1% 0.3%  
267 0% 0.2%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.4% 99.6%  
122 0.4% 99.2%  
123 0.2% 98.8%  
124 0.3% 98.6%  
125 0.6% 98%  
126 1.3% 98%  
127 2% 96%  
128 1.2% 95%  
129 0.5% 94%  
130 1.1% 93%  
131 3% 92%  
132 4% 89%  
133 4% 85%  
134 2% 82%  
135 1.5% 80%  
136 4% 78%  
137 6% 75%  
138 6% 69%  
139 4% 63%  
140 2% 60%  
141 4% 58%  
142 6% 54% Median
143 6% 48%  
144 5% 42%  
145 2% 37%  
146 3% 35%  
147 4% 32%  
148 5% 28%  
149 4% 23%  
150 2% 20%  
151 2% 17%  
152 2% 16%  
153 2% 13%  
154 3% 11%  
155 1.5% 8%  
156 1.2% 7%  
157 1.0% 6%  
158 0.8% 5%  
159 0.7% 4%  
160 0.6% 3%  
161 0.5% 3%  
162 0.5% 2%  
163 0.3% 2%  
164 0.4% 2%  
165 0.2% 1.1%  
166 0.2% 0.9%  
167 0.2% 0.7%  
168 0.2% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0.1% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.2% 99.5%  
108 0.4% 99.3%  
109 0.5% 98.9%  
110 0.5% 98%  
111 0.5% 98%  
112 1.2% 97%  
113 1.3% 96%  
114 1.0% 95%  
115 2% 94%  
116 3% 92%  
117 3% 90%  
118 2% 87%  
119 4% 85%  
120 2% 81%  
121 4% 79%  
122 5% 75%  
123 5% 70%  
124 4% 65%  
125 4% 61%  
126 4% 56%  
127 5% 52% Median
128 5% 47%  
129 5% 42%  
130 3% 37%  
131 3% 34%  
132 5% 31%  
133 5% 26%  
134 3% 21%  
135 2% 18%  
136 2% 16%  
137 3% 14%  
138 2% 11%  
139 2% 9%  
140 0.9% 7%  
141 0.8% 7%  
142 0.9% 6%  
143 1.2% 5%  
144 1.2% 4%  
145 0.5% 2%  
146 0.3% 2%  
147 0.3% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.4%  
149 0.4% 1.1%  
150 0.2% 0.7%  
151 0.1% 0.5%  
152 0% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.7%  
53 0.3% 99.6%  
54 0.5% 99.3%  
55 0.8% 98.7%  
56 1.1% 98%  
57 1.2% 97%  
58 2% 96%  
59 3% 94%  
60 3% 91%  
61 4% 87%  
62 5% 84%  
63 4% 79%  
64 5% 75%  
65 6% 69%  
66 7% 63%  
67 5% 56%  
68 6% 50% Median
69 6% 44%  
70 5% 38%  
71 6% 32%  
72 5% 26%  
73 4% 21%  
74 3% 17%  
75 2% 14%  
76 2% 12%  
77 3% 10%  
78 2% 7%  
79 1.2% 5%  
80 0.8% 4%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.5%  
84 0.3% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.3% 99.7%  
41 0.3% 99.5%  
42 0.6% 99.1%  
43 1.1% 98%  
44 1.5% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 3% 94% Last Result
47 4% 91%  
48 4% 87%  
49 5% 83%  
50 6% 78%  
51 6% 72%  
52 8% 66%  
53 6% 58%  
54 8% 52% Median
55 7% 44%  
56 7% 38%  
57 6% 31%  
58 4% 26%  
59 5% 21%  
60 4% 16%  
61 3% 13%  
62 3% 9%  
63 2% 7%  
64 1.1% 5%  
65 1.1% 4%  
66 0.7% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.3%  
69 0.4% 1.0%  
70 0.2% 0.6%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.5% 99.5%  
41 0.7% 99.0%  
42 1.1% 98%  
43 1.2% 97%  
44 3% 96%  
45 2% 93%  
46 4% 91%  
47 7% 87%  
48 4% 80%  
49 4% 76%  
50 9% 72%  
51 7% 63%  
52 10% 57% Median
53 3% 47%  
54 4% 43%  
55 11% 40%  
56 5% 29%  
57 5% 23%  
58 3% 19%  
59 3% 15%  
60 4% 13%  
61 3% 9%  
62 1.3% 6%  
63 1.4% 5%  
64 0.6% 3%  
65 0.9% 3%  
66 0.9% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0% 81%  
7 0% 81%  
8 0% 81%  
9 0% 81%  
10 0% 81%  
11 0% 81%  
12 0% 81%  
13 0% 81%  
14 0% 81%  
15 0% 81%  
16 0% 81%  
17 0% 81%  
18 0% 81%  
19 0% 81%  
20 0% 81%  
21 0% 81%  
22 0% 81%  
23 0% 81%  
24 0% 81%  
25 0% 81%  
26 0% 81%  
27 0% 81%  
28 0% 81%  
29 0% 81%  
30 0% 81%  
31 0% 81%  
32 0% 81%  
33 0% 81%  
34 0% 81%  
35 0% 81%  
36 0% 81%  
37 2% 81%  
38 5% 79%  
39 7% 74%  
40 10% 66%  
41 10% 56% Median
42 8% 46%  
43 7% 38%  
44 6% 31%  
45 5% 25%  
46 5% 21%  
47 5% 16%  
48 4% 11%  
49 2% 7%  
50 2% 5%  
51 1.0% 3%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.7% 2%  
54 0.4% 1.0%  
55 0.3% 0.6%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 549 100% 537–582 534–588 532–592 525–598
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 462 100% 446–476 442–479 437–482 429–489
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 447 100% 430–461 425–465 420–468 412–474
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 424 100% 410–448 406–456 403–461 396–469
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 409 100% 395–433 391–440 388–444 381–454
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 388 98.9% 370–402 364–406 359–410 350–417
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 351 38% 336–371 332–378 329–382 322–391
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 321 1.1% 307–339 303–345 299–350 292–359
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 322 0.1% 299–336 293–340 288–343 278–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 306 0% 283–320 276–325 270–328 263–335
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 269 0% 254–286 251–290 248–296 242–303
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 179 0% 168–193 164–197 161–200 155–209
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 133–178 127–182 124–185 117–191

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 100%  
519 0% 100%  
520 0% 99.9%  
521 0% 99.9%  
522 0% 99.9%  
523 0.1% 99.8%  
524 0.2% 99.8%  
525 0.1% 99.6%  
526 0.1% 99.5%  
527 0.2% 99.4%  
528 0.4% 99.2%  
529 0.4% 98.8%  
530 0.2% 98%  
531 0.5% 98%  
532 1.1% 98%  
533 1.1% 97%  
534 0.8% 95%  
535 0.8% 95%  
536 2% 94%  
537 3% 92%  
538 1.3% 89%  
539 1.2% 88%  
540 5% 87%  
541 4% 82%  
542 2% 78%  
543 2% 76%  
544 4% 74%  
545 5% 71%  
546 3% 66%  
547 2% 62%  
548 4% 61%  
549 6% 56%  
550 3% 50%  
551 0.9% 46%  
552 5% 46%  
553 4% 40% Median
554 3% 36%  
555 1.3% 33%  
556 2% 32%  
557 3% 30%  
558 3% 28%  
559 0.7% 25%  
560 0.3% 24%  
561 2% 24%  
562 0.9% 22%  
563 0.3% 21%  
564 0.2% 20%  
565 0.6% 20%  
566 0.5% 20%  
567 0.4% 19%  
568 0.3% 19%  
569 0.2% 18%  
570 0.4% 18%  
571 0.3% 18%  
572 0.4% 17%  
573 0.5% 17%  
574 0.3% 17%  
575 0.7% 16%  
576 0.7% 16%  
577 1.4% 15%  
578 0.7% 13%  
579 0.5% 13%  
580 0.7% 12%  
581 0.6% 11%  
582 1.1% 11%  
583 0.9% 10%  
584 0.5% 9%  
585 2% 8%  
586 0.8% 6%  
587 0.7% 6%  
588 0.9% 5%  
589 0.5% 4%  
590 0.7% 4%  
591 0.4% 3%  
592 0.4% 3%  
593 0.4% 2%  
594 0.5% 2%  
595 0.3% 1.3%  
596 0.2% 0.9%  
597 0.1% 0.7%  
598 0.2% 0.7%  
599 0.1% 0.4%  
600 0.1% 0.3%  
601 0.1% 0.2%  
602 0% 0.2%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0.1% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0.2% 99.6%  
430 0.1% 99.4%  
431 0.2% 99.3%  
432 0.3% 99.1%  
433 0.1% 98.8%  
434 0.2% 98.7%  
435 0.6% 98%  
436 0.3% 98%  
437 0.3% 98%  
438 0.3% 97%  
439 0.9% 97%  
440 0.5% 96%  
441 0.4% 96%  
442 1.3% 95%  
443 0.7% 94%  
444 1.0% 93%  
445 2% 92%  
446 2% 91%  
447 1.1% 89%  
448 3% 88%  
449 1.4% 85%  
450 1.5% 84%  
451 2% 83%  
452 2% 81%  
453 2% 79%  
454 3% 76%  
455 3% 74%  
456 3% 71%  
457 1.5% 68%  
458 4% 67%  
459 4% 62%  
460 3% 59%  
461 3% 56%  
462 5% 53%  
463 3% 48%  
464 2% 45%  
465 4% 43%  
466 4% 39%  
467 2% 35% Median
468 4% 33%  
469 4% 29%  
470 3% 24%  
471 2% 22%  
472 4% 19%  
473 2% 16%  
474 1.4% 14%  
475 2% 13%  
476 2% 11%  
477 0.9% 9%  
478 2% 8%  
479 2% 6%  
480 0.4% 4%  
481 0.6% 4%  
482 0.9% 3%  
483 0.5% 2%  
484 0.3% 2%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.4% 1.3%  
487 0.2% 0.9%  
488 0.2% 0.8%  
489 0.2% 0.6%  
490 0.1% 0.4%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0.1% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0.1% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.8%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0.2% 99.6%  
413 0% 99.4%  
414 0.3% 99.4%  
415 0.1% 99.1%  
416 0.1% 99.0%  
417 0.4% 98.9%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.3% 98%  
420 0.5% 98%  
421 0.4% 97%  
422 0.5% 97%  
423 0.7% 97%  
424 0.6% 96%  
425 0.4% 95%  
426 1.4% 95%  
427 0.8% 93%  
428 0.7% 93%  
429 1.2% 92%  
430 0.9% 91%  
431 1.5% 90%  
432 1.1% 88%  
433 1.3% 87%  
434 2% 86%  
435 1.5% 84%  
436 2% 82%  
437 2% 81%  
438 2% 78%  
439 2% 76%  
440 2% 74%  
441 3% 72%  
442 3% 69%  
443 3% 66%  
444 3% 63%  
445 4% 59%  
446 3% 56%  
447 3% 52%  
448 2% 49%  
449 7% 47%  
450 2% 40%  
451 3% 37%  
452 5% 35% Median
453 3% 30%  
454 3% 28%  
455 2% 25%  
456 3% 22%  
457 2% 20%  
458 2% 18%  
459 1.3% 15%  
460 3% 14%  
461 2% 11%  
462 1.2% 9%  
463 1.2% 8%  
464 1.5% 7%  
465 1.1% 5%  
466 0.4% 4%  
467 0.7% 4%  
468 0.9% 3%  
469 0.5% 2%  
470 0.3% 2%  
471 0.4% 1.4%  
472 0.3% 1.0%  
473 0.1% 0.8%  
474 0.1% 0.6%  
475 0.1% 0.5%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0.1% 99.8%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0.2% 99.5%  
398 0.2% 99.3%  
399 0.3% 99.1%  
400 0.2% 98.8%  
401 0.5% 98.6%  
402 0.6% 98%  
403 0.5% 98%  
404 0.8% 97%  
405 0.9% 96%  
406 1.2% 95%  
407 1.0% 94%  
408 0.9% 93%  
409 2% 92%  
410 2% 91%  
411 2% 89%  
412 2% 87%  
413 2% 85%  
414 3% 83%  
415 2% 80%  
416 3% 78%  
417 4% 75%  
418 2% 71%  
419 4% 69%  
420 3% 65%  
421 3% 62%  
422 3% 59%  
423 2% 56%  
424 4% 54%  
425 2% 50%  
426 2% 48% Median
427 3% 45%  
428 3% 42%  
429 3% 39%  
430 3% 36%  
431 2% 33%  
432 3% 31%  
433 2% 28%  
434 0.8% 26%  
435 3% 25%  
436 0.8% 23%  
437 2% 22%  
438 0.4% 20%  
439 1.2% 20%  
440 0.9% 19%  
441 0.7% 18%  
442 1.4% 17%  
443 0.8% 16%  
444 0.9% 15%  
445 1.0% 14%  
446 1.2% 13%  
447 0.7% 12%  
448 1.4% 11%  
449 0.7% 10%  
450 0.9% 9%  
451 0.3% 8%  
452 0.3% 8%  
453 1.1% 7%  
454 0.5% 6%  
455 0.5% 6%  
456 0.9% 5%  
457 0.3% 4%  
458 0.5% 4%  
459 0.6% 4%  
460 0.3% 3%  
461 0.4% 3%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0.5% 2%  
464 0.3% 1.5%  
465 0.2% 1.2%  
466 0.1% 1.0%  
467 0.2% 0.9%  
468 0.1% 0.7%  
469 0.1% 0.5%  
470 0.1% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.3%  
472 0.1% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0.1% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.8%  
380 0.1% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.6%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0.2% 99.3%  
384 0.3% 99.1%  
385 0.3% 98.8%  
386 0.4% 98.5%  
387 0.4% 98%  
388 0.6% 98%  
389 0.7% 97%  
390 0.7% 96%  
391 1.3% 96%  
392 1.1% 94%  
393 1.0% 93%  
394 1.4% 92%  
395 1.4% 91%  
396 1.5% 90%  
397 3% 88%  
398 3% 86%  
399 3% 83% Last Result
400 2% 80%  
401 3% 78%  
402 3% 75%  
403 2% 72%  
404 3% 70%  
405 3% 67%  
406 2% 64%  
407 4% 61%  
408 3% 58%  
409 4% 54%  
410 4% 50%  
411 3% 46% Median
412 2% 43%  
413 2% 41%  
414 3% 38%  
415 2% 36%  
416 2% 33%  
417 3% 31%  
418 1.4% 28%  
419 2% 27%  
420 2% 25%  
421 1.4% 23%  
422 1.5% 22%  
423 1.2% 20%  
424 1.3% 19%  
425 0.5% 18%  
426 2% 17%  
427 1.1% 15%  
428 1.0% 14%  
429 0.8% 13%  
430 0.6% 13%  
431 1.2% 12%  
432 0.6% 11%  
433 0.5% 10%  
434 1.1% 10%  
435 0.8% 9%  
436 0.4% 8%  
437 1.0% 7%  
438 0.6% 6%  
439 0.6% 6%  
440 0.5% 5%  
441 0.4% 5%  
442 0.6% 4%  
443 0.5% 4%  
444 0.6% 3%  
445 0.2% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.4% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.3% 1.3%  
450 0.1% 1.0%  
451 0.2% 0.9%  
452 0.1% 0.7%  
453 0.1% 0.6%  
454 0.1% 0.5%  
455 0.2% 0.4%  
456 0% 0.3%  
457 0.1% 0.3%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.7%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.2% 99.4%  
352 0.1% 99.3%  
353 0.2% 99.2%  
354 0.1% 99.0%  
355 0.4% 98.9% Majority
356 0.3% 98%  
357 0.2% 98%  
358 0.3% 98%  
359 0.6% 98%  
360 0.2% 97%  
361 0.3% 97%  
362 1.1% 97%  
363 0.4% 95%  
364 0.6% 95%  
365 0.5% 94%  
366 1.0% 94%  
367 0.7% 93%  
368 1.1% 92%  
369 1.0% 91%  
370 0.9% 90%  
371 2% 89%  
372 0.8% 88%  
373 1.3% 87%  
374 2% 85%  
375 1.1% 83%  
376 2% 82%  
377 2% 80%  
378 2% 78%  
379 2% 76%  
380 3% 74%  
381 1.3% 71%  
382 2% 70%  
383 4% 68%  
384 2% 63%  
385 2% 61%  
386 5% 59%  
387 3% 54%  
388 2% 51%  
389 4% 49%  
390 4% 45%  
391 2% 41%  
392 3% 39%  
393 4% 36% Median
394 2% 32%  
395 4% 30%  
396 3% 26%  
397 2% 23%  
398 2% 21%  
399 3% 19%  
400 1.4% 16%  
401 2% 14%  
402 3% 12%  
403 1.1% 10%  
404 0.8% 8%  
405 2% 8%  
406 1.3% 6%  
407 0.5% 5%  
408 0.9% 4%  
409 0.8% 3%  
410 0.3% 3%  
411 0.4% 2%  
412 0.5% 2%  
413 0.3% 1.4%  
414 0.2% 1.1%  
415 0.2% 0.9%  
416 0.1% 0.7%  
417 0.1% 0.6%  
418 0.1% 0.5%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0% 0.2% Last Result
421 0.1% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0.3% 99.4%  
325 0.2% 99.1%  
326 0.3% 98.9%  
327 0.3% 98.6%  
328 0.5% 98%  
329 0.7% 98%  
330 0.6% 97%  
331 0.8% 96%  
332 1.0% 96%  
333 0.8% 95%  
334 2% 94%  
335 1.0% 92%  
336 2% 91%  
337 2% 89%  
338 2% 88%  
339 2% 86%  
340 3% 84% Last Result
341 2% 81%  
342 3% 78%  
343 3% 76%  
344 2% 73%  
345 4% 70%  
346 3% 66%  
347 3% 63%  
348 4% 60%  
349 4% 56%  
350 2% 52%  
351 3% 50%  
352 3% 47% Median
353 3% 45%  
354 3% 41%  
355 3% 38% Majority
356 3% 36%  
357 2% 33%  
358 2% 31%  
359 2% 28%  
360 1.0% 26%  
361 2% 25%  
362 2% 23%  
363 1.1% 21%  
364 2% 20%  
365 1.0% 18%  
366 2% 17%  
367 0.9% 15%  
368 1.4% 14%  
369 1.3% 13%  
370 0.5% 12%  
371 1.4% 11%  
372 0.5% 10%  
373 0.8% 9%  
374 1.3% 9%  
375 0.8% 7%  
376 0.6% 6%  
377 0.4% 6%  
378 0.8% 5%  
379 0.6% 5%  
380 0.5% 4%  
381 0.4% 3%  
382 0.7% 3%  
383 0.3% 2%  
384 0.2% 2%  
385 0.4% 2%  
386 0.1% 2%  
387 0.2% 1.4%  
388 0.1% 1.1%  
389 0.2% 1.0%  
390 0.1% 0.8%  
391 0.2% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0.1% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0.1% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.8% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.1% 99.4%  
294 0.2% 99.3%  
295 0.2% 99.1%  
296 0.3% 98.9%  
297 0.5% 98.6%  
298 0.4% 98%  
299 0.3% 98%  
300 0.8% 97%  
301 0.9% 97%  
302 0.5% 96%  
303 1.3% 95%  
304 2% 94%  
305 0.8% 92%  
306 1.1% 92%  
307 3% 90%  
308 2% 88%  
309 1.4% 86%  
310 3% 84%  
311 2% 81%  
312 2% 79%  
313 3% 77%  
314 4% 74%  
315 2% 70%  
316 4% 68%  
317 3% 64%  
318 2% 61%  
319 4% 59%  
320 4% 55%  
321 2% 51% Median
322 3% 49%  
323 5% 46%  
324 2% 41%  
325 2% 39%  
326 4% 37%  
327 2% 32%  
328 1.3% 30%  
329 3% 29%  
330 2% 26%  
331 2% 24%  
332 2% 22%  
333 2% 20%  
334 1.1% 18%  
335 2% 17%  
336 1.3% 15%  
337 0.8% 13%  
338 2% 12%  
339 0.9% 11%  
340 1.0% 10%  
341 1.1% 9%  
342 0.7% 8%  
343 1.0% 7%  
344 0.5% 6%  
345 0.6% 6%  
346 0.4% 5%  
347 1.1% 5%  
348 0.3% 3%  
349 0.2% 3%  
350 0.6% 3%  
351 0.3% 2%  
352 0.2% 2%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.4% 2%  
355 0.1% 1.1% Majority
356 0.2% 1.0%  
357 0.1% 0.8%  
358 0.2% 0.7%  
359 0.1% 0.6%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.4%  
362 0% 0.3%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.7%  
278 0.1% 99.6%  
279 0.1% 99.5%  
280 0.2% 99.4%  
281 0.2% 99.2%  
282 0.1% 99.1%  
283 0.2% 99.0%  
284 0.2% 98.8%  
285 0.3% 98.7%  
286 0.2% 98%  
287 0.4% 98%  
288 0.7% 98%  
289 0.4% 97%  
290 0.8% 97%  
291 0.4% 96%  
292 0.4% 95%  
293 0.6% 95%  
294 0.3% 94%  
295 0.6% 94%  
296 0.5% 94%  
297 2% 93%  
298 0.7% 91%  
299 1.4% 91%  
300 1.3% 89%  
301 1.0% 88%  
302 0.7% 87%  
303 1.0% 86%  
304 1.0% 85%  
305 1.4% 84%  
306 1.1% 83%  
307 1.2% 82%  
308 1.3% 81%  
309 1.2% 79%  
310 1.4% 78%  
311 2% 77%  
312 2% 75%  
313 3% 73%  
314 3% 71%  
315 3% 68%  
316 4% 66%  
317 3% 62%  
318 2% 59%  
319 3% 56%  
320 2% 54%  
321 2% 52%  
322 4% 50%  
323 2% 47%  
324 4% 44%  
325 5% 40% Median
326 3% 36% Last Result
327 5% 33%  
328 4% 28%  
329 2% 25%  
330 2% 23%  
331 2% 20%  
332 2% 18%  
333 2% 17%  
334 2% 14%  
335 2% 12%  
336 2% 10%  
337 1.3% 9%  
338 2% 7%  
339 0.6% 6%  
340 1.0% 5%  
341 0.7% 4%  
342 0.4% 3%  
343 0.5% 3%  
344 0.5% 2%  
345 0.5% 2%  
346 0.2% 1.4%  
347 0.3% 1.2%  
348 0.2% 0.8%  
349 0.1% 0.7%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.7%  
261 0.1% 99.7%  
262 0.1% 99.6%  
263 0.1% 99.5%  
264 0.1% 99.4%  
265 0.1% 99.3%  
266 0.2% 99.2%  
267 0.2% 99.0%  
268 0.4% 98.8%  
269 0.1% 98%  
270 0.8% 98%  
271 0.2% 97%  
272 0.4% 97%  
273 0.5% 97%  
274 0.7% 96%  
275 0.3% 96%  
276 0.8% 95%  
277 0.3% 95%  
278 0.4% 94%  
279 0.4% 94%  
280 2% 93%  
281 0.2% 92%  
282 2% 92%  
283 0.3% 90%  
284 0.7% 90%  
285 0.4% 89%  
286 2% 88%  
287 0.5% 86%  
288 1.3% 86%  
289 0.7% 85%  
290 1.4% 84%  
291 1.2% 82%  
292 2% 81%  
293 0.6% 80%  
294 2% 79%  
295 0.9% 77%  
296 1.3% 76%  
297 1.3% 74%  
298 2% 73%  
299 1.1% 71%  
300 3% 70% Last Result
301 3% 67%  
302 4% 64%  
303 3% 60%  
304 2% 57%  
305 3% 55%  
306 4% 52%  
307 2% 48%  
308 3% 46%  
309 2% 43%  
310 3% 41% Median
311 3% 38%  
312 4% 35%  
313 2% 31%  
314 5% 29%  
315 2% 24%  
316 4% 22%  
317 2% 17%  
318 3% 15%  
319 1.2% 13%  
320 1.4% 11%  
321 1.1% 10%  
322 1.3% 9%  
323 0.7% 8%  
324 1.3% 7%  
325 0.9% 6%  
326 0.9% 5%  
327 0.7% 4%  
328 0.7% 3%  
329 0.6% 2%  
330 0.4% 2%  
331 0.3% 1.3%  
332 0.2% 1.0%  
333 0.2% 0.8%  
334 0.1% 0.7%  
335 0.1% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.7%  
241 0.1% 99.6%  
242 0.1% 99.5%  
243 0.2% 99.4%  
244 0.4% 99.2%  
245 0.2% 98.8%  
246 0.3% 98.6%  
247 0.7% 98%  
248 0.5% 98%  
249 0.9% 97%  
250 0.9% 96%  
251 1.1% 95%  
252 0.9% 94%  
253 2% 93%  
254 2% 92%  
255 2% 90%  
256 1.5% 88%  
257 1.3% 86%  
258 2% 85%  
259 3% 83%  
260 2% 80%  
261 4% 78%  
262 3% 74%  
263 2% 71%  
264 4% 68%  
265 4% 64%  
266 3% 61%  
267 4% 58%  
268 2% 53%  
269 4% 51% Median
270 5% 47%  
271 3% 43%  
272 2% 40%  
273 3% 38%  
274 4% 35%  
275 1.3% 31%  
276 4% 30%  
277 2% 25%  
278 2% 23%  
279 1.0% 21%  
280 3% 20%  
281 1.0% 17%  
282 3% 16%  
283 0.6% 13%  
284 1.1% 13%  
285 1.0% 11%  
286 2% 10%  
287 0.7% 8%  
288 1.0% 7%  
289 0.7% 6%  
290 0.7% 6%  
291 0.7% 5%  
292 0.6% 4%  
293 0.3% 4%  
294 0.6% 3%  
295 0.2% 3%  
296 0.5% 3%  
297 0.4% 2%  
298 0.5% 2%  
299 0.1% 1.2%  
300 0.2% 1.1%  
301 0.2% 0.9%  
302 0.2% 0.8%  
303 0.1% 0.6%  
304 0.1% 0.5%  
305 0% 0.4%  
306 0% 0.3%  
307 0% 0.3%  
308 0.1% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.2%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.7%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.6%  
156 0.2% 99.5%  
157 0.2% 99.3%  
158 0.5% 99.1%  
159 0.5% 98.7%  
160 0.4% 98%  
161 0.5% 98%  
162 0.6% 97%  
163 1.0% 97%  
164 1.0% 96%  
165 1.3% 95%  
166 2% 93%  
167 1.0% 92%  
168 3% 91%  
169 3% 88%  
170 2% 85%  
171 4% 83%  
172 4% 79%  
173 3% 76%  
174 4% 73%  
175 4% 69%  
176 4% 65%  
177 4% 61%  
178 3% 57%  
179 4% 54% Median
180 3% 50%  
181 4% 46%  
182 5% 43%  
183 4% 37%  
184 5% 34%  
185 3% 29%  
186 2% 26%  
187 3% 23%  
188 2% 20%  
189 2% 18%  
190 2% 16%  
191 1.4% 14%  
192 2% 13%  
193 1.3% 11%  
194 1.2% 10%  
195 2% 8%  
196 1.0% 7%  
197 0.7% 6%  
198 1.3% 5%  
199 0.8% 4%  
200 0.5% 3%  
201 0.4% 2%  
202 0.2% 2%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.2% 1.3%  
205 0.2% 1.1%  
206 0.1% 1.0%  
207 0.2% 0.9%  
208 0.2% 0.7%  
209 0.2% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.2% 99.7%  
118 0.2% 99.5%  
119 0.3% 99.3%  
120 0.3% 99.1%  
121 0.4% 98.8%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.6% 98%  
125 0.7% 97%  
126 1.0% 97%  
127 0.8% 96%  
128 0.6% 95%  
129 1.1% 94%  
130 0.5% 93%  
131 0.8% 93%  
132 1.3% 92%  
133 0.8% 91%  
134 0.8% 90%  
135 0.4% 89%  
136 0.7% 89%  
137 1.4% 88%  
138 0.8% 87%  
139 0.5% 86%  
140 0.2% 85%  
141 0.4% 85%  
142 0.5% 85%  
143 0.8% 84%  
144 0.7% 83%  
145 0.4% 83%  
146 0.3% 82%  
147 0.2% 82%  
148 0.4% 82%  
149 0.5% 81%  
150 0.8% 81%  
151 0.2% 80%  
152 0.8% 80%  
153 0.4% 79%  
154 1.2% 79%  
155 0.7% 77%  
156 0.9% 77%  
157 3% 76%  
158 1.2% 73%  
159 2% 72%  
160 1.0% 70%  
161 4% 69%  
162 3% 65%  
163 2% 61%  
164 4% 59%  
165 2% 54%  
166 4% 52%  
167 2% 48%  
168 5% 45% Median
169 3% 40%  
170 4% 38%  
171 4% 34%  
172 2% 30%  
173 6% 28%  
174 2% 22%  
175 4% 20%  
176 2% 16%  
177 3% 14%  
178 2% 12%  
179 1.2% 10%  
180 2% 8%  
181 0.8% 6%  
182 2% 6%  
183 0.5% 4%  
184 0.8% 3%  
185 0.6% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.5% 1.5%  
188 0.2% 1.0%  
189 0.2% 0.9%  
190 0.1% 0.6%  
191 0.2% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations