Opinion Poll by Forsa, 24–28 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.3% 28.0–30.6% 27.6–31.0% 27.3–31.4% 26.7–32.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.9–20.2% 17.6–20.5% 17.3–20.8% 16.8–21.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 15.0–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.4–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.7% 6.1–7.5% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 231 217–245 214–249 212–252 206–258
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 150 140–161 137–165 135–167 130–172
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 127 116–136 114–139 112–141 108–146
Alternative für Deutschland 94 71 64–78 62–80 61–82 58–86
Die Linke 69 55 49–62 48–64 47–66 44–69
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 48–60 46–62 45–63 42–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 0 0–44 0–45 0–46 0–49

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0.1% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.9%  
204 0.1% 99.8%  
205 0.1% 99.7%  
206 0.2% 99.6%  
207 0.2% 99.5%  
208 0.2% 99.3%  
209 0.2% 99.1%  
210 0.5% 98.9%  
211 0.7% 98%  
212 1.2% 98%  
213 1.0% 97%  
214 1.2% 96%  
215 1.3% 94%  
216 2% 93%  
217 2% 92%  
218 1.3% 90%  
219 2% 88%  
220 2% 86%  
221 3% 84%  
222 4% 81%  
223 3% 77%  
224 3% 73%  
225 2% 70%  
226 3% 68%  
227 3% 65%  
228 4% 63%  
229 3% 59%  
230 3% 57%  
231 4% 54% Median
232 5% 50%  
233 4% 45%  
234 3% 41%  
235 2% 38%  
236 2% 36%  
237 3% 34%  
238 3% 32%  
239 4% 28%  
240 2% 24%  
241 2% 22%  
242 3% 20%  
243 3% 17%  
244 3% 14%  
245 1.0% 11%  
246 1.2% 10%  
247 1.5% 9%  
248 1.4% 7%  
249 1.0% 6%  
250 1.2% 5%  
251 0.7% 4%  
252 0.6% 3%  
253 0.6% 2%  
254 0.4% 2%  
255 0.5% 1.4%  
256 0.1% 0.8%  
257 0.2% 0.7%  
258 0.1% 0.5%  
259 0.2% 0.5%  
260 0.1% 0.3%  
261 0% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.2% 99.8%  
130 0.2% 99.6%  
131 0.3% 99.4%  
132 0.2% 99.1%  
133 0.5% 98.9%  
134 0.7% 98%  
135 0.7% 98%  
136 2% 97%  
137 1.5% 95%  
138 1.0% 94%  
139 2% 93%  
140 2% 90%  
141 4% 88%  
142 3% 84%  
143 4% 82%  
144 4% 78%  
145 4% 74%  
146 4% 70%  
147 5% 66%  
148 4% 61%  
149 4% 56%  
150 4% 52% Median
151 4% 48%  
152 4% 44%  
153 6% 40%  
154 6% 34%  
155 4% 28%  
156 3% 25%  
157 1.4% 22%  
158 3% 20%  
159 3% 18%  
160 3% 15%  
161 3% 12%  
162 2% 8%  
163 0.7% 7%  
164 0.9% 6%  
165 0.7% 5%  
166 1.2% 4%  
167 1.4% 3%  
168 0.6% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.2%  
170 0.1% 0.9%  
171 0.1% 0.8%  
172 0.2% 0.7%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.2% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.2% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.6%  
109 0.3% 99.3%  
110 0.5% 99.1%  
111 0.5% 98.6%  
112 0.8% 98%  
113 1.3% 97%  
114 2% 96%  
115 2% 94%  
116 2% 92%  
117 2% 90%  
118 3% 88%  
119 3% 85%  
120 3% 81%  
121 4% 78%  
122 3% 74%  
123 5% 71%  
124 5% 65%  
125 6% 60%  
126 4% 54%  
127 5% 50% Median
128 6% 45%  
129 6% 40%  
130 4% 34%  
131 5% 29%  
132 3% 24%  
133 3% 21%  
134 3% 18%  
135 2% 14%  
136 3% 12%  
137 2% 9%  
138 1.1% 7%  
139 2% 6%  
140 1.1% 4%  
141 0.9% 3%  
142 0.7% 2%  
143 0.4% 2%  
144 0.5% 1.3%  
145 0.2% 0.8%  
146 0.2% 0.6%  
147 0.2% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.4% 99.6%  
59 0.6% 99.2%  
60 0.8% 98.5%  
61 1.2% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 2% 95%  
64 3% 93%  
65 4% 90%  
66 7% 85%  
67 5% 79%  
68 6% 74%  
69 6% 67%  
70 6% 61%  
71 8% 55% Median
72 9% 47%  
73 6% 39%  
74 7% 32%  
75 4% 26%  
76 4% 22%  
77 5% 17%  
78 4% 13%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.1% 5%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 0.4% 1.2%  
86 0.3% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 0.5% 99.7%  
45 0.5% 99.2%  
46 1.1% 98.7%  
47 2% 98%  
48 2% 96%  
49 5% 94%  
50 4% 89%  
51 5% 85%  
52 7% 81%  
53 8% 74%  
54 9% 65%  
55 8% 57% Median
56 8% 49%  
57 8% 40%  
58 7% 33%  
59 6% 26%  
60 5% 20%  
61 3% 15%  
62 3% 12%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 6%  
65 0.9% 4%  
66 1.0% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.5% 1.2%  
69 0.3% 0.7% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 99.7%  
43 0.5% 99.3%  
44 0.8% 98.7%  
45 2% 98%  
46 2% 96% Last Result
47 3% 94%  
48 4% 91%  
49 8% 87%  
50 6% 79%  
51 7% 73%  
52 6% 65%  
53 10% 59% Median
54 9% 50%  
55 8% 41%  
56 6% 33%  
57 6% 27%  
58 5% 20%  
59 5% 15%  
60 2% 11%  
61 3% 8%  
62 2% 6%  
63 1.3% 3%  
64 0.7% 2%  
65 0.6% 1.5%  
66 0.4% 0.9%  
67 0.2% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 0% 49%  
8 0% 49%  
9 0% 49%  
10 0% 49%  
11 0% 49%  
12 0% 49%  
13 0% 49%  
14 0% 49%  
15 0% 49%  
16 0% 49%  
17 0% 49%  
18 0% 49%  
19 0% 49%  
20 0% 49%  
21 0% 49%  
22 0% 49%  
23 0% 49%  
24 0% 49%  
25 0% 49%  
26 0% 49%  
27 0% 49%  
28 0% 49%  
29 0% 49%  
30 0% 49%  
31 0% 49%  
32 0% 49%  
33 0% 49%  
34 0% 49%  
35 0% 49%  
36 0% 49%  
37 0% 49%  
38 1.0% 49%  
39 8% 48%  
40 9% 40%  
41 9% 32%  
42 7% 23%  
43 5% 16%  
44 4% 11%  
45 3% 7%  
46 2% 4%  
47 1.1% 2%  
48 0.6% 1.4%  
49 0.4% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 563 100% 539–584 536–588 533–590 528–593
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 456 100% 441–470 437–474 435–477 429–481
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 436 100% 415–456 411–459 408–462 403–467
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 432 100% 417–447 413–451 410–454 404–459
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 411 100% 392–431 388–435 385–437 380–444
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 377 96% 360–394 356–398 353–400 347–406
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 356 53% 338–374 335–378 332–381 326–387
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 332 4% 315–349 311–353 309–356 303–362
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 306 0% 287–325 283–328 280–331 274–337
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 298 0% 278–317 274–320 271–323 266–329
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 277 0% 261–292 258–296 255–299 249–305
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 182 0% 170–194 167–197 165–199 161–205
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 145 0% 124–170 122–173 120–175 115–180

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 100%  
519 0% 100%  
520 0% 100%  
521 0% 100%  
522 0% 100%  
523 0% 100%  
524 0% 99.9%  
525 0% 99.9%  
526 0.1% 99.8%  
527 0.1% 99.8%  
528 0.1% 99.6%  
529 0.2% 99.5%  
530 0.3% 99.3%  
531 0.5% 99.0%  
532 0.5% 98%  
533 0.9% 98%  
534 0.7% 97%  
535 1.1% 96%  
536 2% 95%  
537 1.4% 94%  
538 2% 92%  
539 2% 90%  
540 2% 88%  
541 3% 86%  
542 2% 83%  
543 2% 81%  
544 3% 79%  
545 3% 76%  
546 3% 72%  
547 3% 69%  
548 3% 67%  
549 2% 64%  
550 3% 61%  
551 2% 59%  
552 1.1% 57%  
553 1.4% 56%  
554 0.9% 54%  
555 0.8% 53%  
556 0.5% 53%  
557 0.4% 52%  
558 0.5% 52%  
559 0.3% 51%  
560 0.2% 51%  
561 0.1% 51% Median
562 0.1% 51%  
563 0.6% 50%  
564 0.3% 50%  
565 0.4% 49%  
566 0.4% 49%  
567 0.1% 49%  
568 2% 49%  
569 0.7% 47%  
570 0.7% 46%  
571 1.1% 45%  
572 0.5% 44%  
573 6% 44%  
574 1.2% 37%  
575 2% 36%  
576 3% 34%  
577 0.8% 31%  
578 7% 30%  
579 0.9% 23%  
580 3% 23%  
581 3% 20%  
582 0.7% 17%  
583 6% 16%  
584 0.7% 10%  
585 1.2% 10%  
586 2% 8%  
587 0.6% 6%  
588 3% 6%  
589 0.1% 3%  
590 0.7% 3%  
591 0.8% 2%  
592 0.1% 1.1%  
593 0.5% 1.0%  
594 0% 0.4%  
595 0.1% 0.4%  
596 0.2% 0.3%  
597 0% 0.1%  
598 0.1% 0.1%  
599 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0.1% 99.9%  
427 0.1% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0.2% 99.5%  
430 0.2% 99.3%  
431 0.2% 99.1%  
432 0.2% 98.9%  
433 0.5% 98.7%  
434 0.5% 98% Median
435 0.5% 98%  
436 0.8% 97%  
437 1.4% 96%  
438 1.4% 95%  
439 1.3% 93%  
440 2% 92%  
441 2% 91%  
442 2% 89%  
443 1.0% 87%  
444 3% 86%  
445 2% 83%  
446 3% 81%  
447 3% 79%  
448 2% 76%  
449 3% 74%  
450 2% 71%  
451 4% 68%  
452 4% 64%  
453 2% 60%  
454 3% 58%  
455 3% 55%  
456 3% 52%  
457 4% 49%  
458 2% 45%  
459 5% 42%  
460 4% 37%  
461 3% 34%  
462 2% 31%  
463 2% 29%  
464 3% 26%  
465 2% 23%  
466 3% 21%  
467 3% 18%  
468 2% 15%  
469 2% 14%  
470 3% 12%  
471 1.2% 9%  
472 2% 8%  
473 1.0% 7%  
474 1.2% 5%  
475 0.5% 4%  
476 1.0% 4%  
477 0.8% 3%  
478 0.5% 2%  
479 0.4% 1.5%  
480 0.4% 1.1%  
481 0.2% 0.7%  
482 0.1% 0.5%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0.1% 0.3%  
485 0.1% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0.1% 99.9%  
401 0.1% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0.2% 99.6%  
404 0.2% 99.4%  
405 0.2% 99.3%  
406 0.4% 99.0%  
407 0.5% 98.6%  
408 0.9% 98%  
409 0.5% 97%  
410 1.1% 97%  
411 1.1% 96%  
412 1.1% 95%  
413 1.3% 93%  
414 1.1% 92%  
415 3% 91%  
416 2% 88%  
417 2% 87%  
418 3% 85%  
419 2% 81%  
420 3% 80%  
421 2% 77%  
422 2% 75%  
423 2% 73%  
424 2% 71%  
425 3% 69%  
426 2% 66%  
427 2% 64%  
428 1.1% 62%  
429 2% 61%  
430 3% 59%  
431 1.1% 56%  
432 2% 55%  
433 1.0% 54%  
434 1.1% 53% Median
435 1.3% 52%  
436 1.1% 50%  
437 2% 49%  
438 2% 47%  
439 2% 45%  
440 2% 43%  
441 2% 42%  
442 2% 40%  
443 1.0% 38%  
444 3% 37%  
445 2% 34%  
446 2% 33%  
447 2% 30%  
448 2% 28%  
449 2% 26%  
450 2% 23%  
451 3% 22%  
452 3% 18%  
453 2% 15%  
454 1.4% 14%  
455 2% 12%  
456 1.1% 10%  
457 2% 9%  
458 0.7% 7%  
459 2% 7%  
460 1.0% 4%  
461 0.4% 3%  
462 0.7% 3%  
463 0.4% 2%  
464 0.4% 2%  
465 0.2% 1.2%  
466 0.3% 0.9%  
467 0.2% 0.7%  
468 0.1% 0.4%  
469 0.1% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.2%  
471 0.1% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0.1% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.2% 99.6%  
405 0.2% 99.4%  
406 0.3% 99.2%  
407 0.3% 98.9%  
408 0.3% 98.6%  
409 0.4% 98%  
410 0.7% 98%  
411 1.0% 97% Median
412 0.9% 96%  
413 0.4% 95%  
414 2% 95%  
415 1.2% 93%  
416 2% 92%  
417 2% 90%  
418 1.5% 88%  
419 2% 87%  
420 2% 85%  
421 3% 83%  
422 3% 80%  
423 2% 77%  
424 2% 74%  
425 2% 72%  
426 3% 71%  
427 3% 68%  
428 4% 65%  
429 3% 61%  
430 4% 58%  
431 3% 54%  
432 2% 52%  
433 2% 49%  
434 3% 47%  
435 3% 44%  
436 4% 41%  
437 4% 37%  
438 2% 34%  
439 2% 31%  
440 3% 29%  
441 2% 26%  
442 3% 24%  
443 4% 22%  
444 3% 18%  
445 1.4% 14%  
446 2% 13%  
447 2% 11%  
448 1.2% 10%  
449 2% 8%  
450 1.4% 7%  
451 1.2% 5%  
452 1.0% 4%  
453 0.5% 3%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.6% 2%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.3% 1.2%  
458 0.4% 0.9%  
459 0.2% 0.5%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0.1% 0.3%  
462 0.1% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.2% 99.5%  
381 0.2% 99.3%  
382 0.3% 99.1%  
383 0.3% 98.8%  
384 0.5% 98%  
385 0.7% 98%  
386 0.5% 97%  
387 1.3% 97%  
388 0.8% 95%  
389 1.0% 95%  
390 1.3% 94%  
391 2% 92%  
392 2% 90%  
393 1.4% 89%  
394 2% 88%  
395 3% 85%  
396 3% 83%  
397 2% 80%  
398 2% 78%  
399 2% 76% Last Result
400 3% 74%  
401 2% 71%  
402 3% 69%  
403 2% 66%  
404 2% 64%  
405 2% 62%  
406 2% 60%  
407 1.1% 58%  
408 3% 57%  
409 1.2% 54%  
410 2% 53%  
411 2% 51% Median
412 2% 50%  
413 0.9% 48%  
414 2% 47%  
415 2% 45%  
416 2% 44%  
417 2% 42%  
418 2% 39%  
419 2% 38%  
420 2% 36%  
421 3% 34%  
422 3% 31%  
423 2% 28%  
424 2% 26%  
425 1.4% 24%  
426 2% 23%  
427 2% 20%  
428 3% 18%  
429 1.3% 15%  
430 3% 13%  
431 1.2% 11%  
432 1.2% 9%  
433 1.4% 8%  
434 0.7% 7%  
435 2% 6%  
436 0.4% 4%  
437 0.9% 3%  
438 0.4% 2%  
439 0.3% 2%  
440 0.3% 2%  
441 0.3% 1.2%  
442 0.3% 1.0%  
443 0.2% 0.7%  
444 0.2% 0.5%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0.1% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0.1% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.5%  
348 0.3% 99.4%  
349 0.3% 99.1%  
350 0.5% 98.8%  
351 0.3% 98%  
352 0.5% 98%  
353 0.5% 98%  
354 0.7% 97%  
355 1.2% 96% Median, Majority
356 1.3% 95%  
357 1.4% 94%  
358 0.8% 92%  
359 2% 92%  
360 1.5% 90%  
361 2% 89%  
362 2% 87%  
363 3% 85%  
364 2% 82%  
365 3% 81%  
366 2% 78%  
367 2% 75%  
368 3% 74%  
369 2% 71%  
370 2% 69%  
371 3% 67%  
372 3% 64%  
373 2% 61%  
374 3% 59%  
375 2% 55%  
376 2% 53%  
377 2% 51%  
378 4% 49%  
379 3% 46%  
380 2% 43%  
381 2% 41%  
382 3% 39%  
383 2% 36%  
384 2% 34%  
385 2% 32%  
386 3% 30%  
387 5% 27%  
388 1.3% 22%  
389 2% 21%  
390 2% 18%  
391 2% 16%  
392 2% 14%  
393 1.1% 12%  
394 2% 11%  
395 2% 9%  
396 1.0% 7%  
397 1.1% 6%  
398 1.0% 5%  
399 0.9% 4%  
400 1.0% 3%  
401 0.4% 2%  
402 0.3% 2%  
403 0.4% 2%  
404 0.4% 1.1%  
405 0.1% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0.2% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0.1% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.9%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.2% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.2% 99.5%  
328 0.2% 99.2%  
329 0.3% 99.0%  
330 0.5% 98.8%  
331 0.7% 98%  
332 0.4% 98%  
333 1.1% 97%  
334 0.8% 96%  
335 0.7% 95%  
336 2% 94%  
337 1.5% 93%  
338 1.4% 91%  
339 3% 90%  
340 2% 87% Last Result
341 1.0% 85%  
342 2% 84%  
343 2% 82%  
344 2% 80%  
345 3% 78%  
346 3% 74%  
347 3% 71%  
348 3% 68%  
349 2% 66%  
350 2% 64%  
351 2% 62%  
352 3% 60%  
353 2% 57%  
354 3% 55%  
355 2% 53% Median, Majority
356 2% 51%  
357 2% 49%  
358 2% 47%  
359 2% 45%  
360 2% 43%  
361 2% 41%  
362 2% 38%  
363 3% 36%  
364 2% 34%  
365 3% 32%  
366 2% 29%  
367 2% 27%  
368 3% 25%  
369 2% 22%  
370 2% 20%  
371 3% 18%  
372 2% 16%  
373 2% 13%  
374 2% 11%  
375 1.1% 9%  
376 2% 8%  
377 1.2% 7%  
378 1.1% 5%  
379 0.7% 4%  
380 0.7% 4%  
381 0.6% 3%  
382 0.7% 2%  
383 0.3% 2%  
384 0.3% 1.3%  
385 0.2% 1.0%  
386 0.2% 0.8%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.2% 0.4%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0.1% 99.8%  
302 0.2% 99.7%  
303 0.1% 99.5%  
304 0.1% 99.4%  
305 0.4% 99.3%  
306 0.4% 98.9%  
307 0.3% 98%  
308 0.4% 98%  
309 1.0% 98%  
310 0.9% 97%  
311 1.0% 96%  
312 1.1% 95%  
313 1.0% 94%  
314 2% 93%  
315 2% 91%  
316 1.1% 89%  
317 2% 88%  
318 2% 86%  
319 2% 84%  
320 2% 82%  
321 1.3% 79%  
322 5% 78%  
323 3% 73%  
324 2% 70%  
325 2% 68%  
326 2% 66%  
327 3% 64%  
328 2% 61%  
329 2% 59%  
330 3% 57%  
331 4% 54%  
332 2% 51% Median
333 2% 49%  
334 2% 47%  
335 3% 45%  
336 2% 41%  
337 3% 39%  
338 3% 36%  
339 2% 33%  
340 2% 31%  
341 3% 29%  
342 2% 26%  
343 2% 25%  
344 3% 22%  
345 2% 19%  
346 3% 18%  
347 2% 15%  
348 2% 13%  
349 1.5% 11%  
350 2% 10%  
351 0.8% 8%  
352 1.4% 8%  
353 1.3% 6%  
354 1.2% 5%  
355 0.7% 4% Majority
356 0.5% 3%  
357 0.5% 2%  
358 0.3% 2%  
359 0.5% 2%  
360 0.3% 1.2%  
361 0.3% 0.9%  
362 0.1% 0.6%  
363 0.1% 0.5%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0% 0.3%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0.2% 99.6%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.4% 99.3%  
277 0.3% 98.9%  
278 0.5% 98.6%  
279 0.6% 98%  
280 0.7% 98%  
281 0.8% 97%  
282 0.8% 96%  
283 0.9% 95%  
284 2% 94% Median
285 1.2% 92%  
286 0.9% 91%  
287 2% 90%  
288 2% 89%  
289 1.4% 86%  
290 3% 85%  
291 3% 82%  
292 2% 79%  
293 2% 77%  
294 2% 75%  
295 3% 73%  
296 1.5% 70%  
297 3% 69%  
298 2% 66%  
299 3% 64%  
300 2% 62%  
301 2% 60%  
302 2% 58%  
303 1.5% 55%  
304 2% 54%  
305 1.3% 52%  
306 1.4% 51%  
307 1.2% 49%  
308 2% 48%  
309 2% 45%  
310 2% 43%  
311 2% 41%  
312 2% 39%  
313 2% 37%  
314 2% 35%  
315 2% 33%  
316 2% 31%  
317 3% 29%  
318 2% 26%  
319 3% 24%  
320 3% 21%  
321 3% 18%  
322 2% 15%  
323 2% 14%  
324 1.1% 12%  
325 2% 11%  
326 1.5% 9% Last Result
327 1.4% 7%  
328 1.2% 6%  
329 1.2% 5%  
330 0.9% 4%  
331 0.6% 3%  
332 0.5% 2%  
333 0.5% 2%  
334 0.3% 1.3%  
335 0.2% 1.0%  
336 0.2% 0.8%  
337 0.1% 0.6%  
338 0.2% 0.5%  
339 0.1% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.1% 99.6%  
266 0.2% 99.5%  
267 0.3% 99.3%  
268 0.2% 99.0%  
269 0.4% 98.8%  
270 0.6% 98%  
271 0.6% 98%  
272 0.6% 97%  
273 1.2% 97%  
274 1.0% 95%  
275 1.2% 94%  
276 1.3% 93%  
277 2% 92% Median
278 2% 90%  
279 2% 88%  
280 2% 86%  
281 4% 85%  
282 1.3% 81%  
283 2% 80%  
284 2% 78%  
285 3% 75%  
286 3% 73%  
287 2% 70%  
288 2% 68%  
289 2% 66%  
290 2% 64%  
291 1.1% 62%  
292 2% 60%  
293 2% 58%  
294 2% 56%  
295 2% 54%  
296 1.2% 53%  
297 1.4% 52%  
298 1.2% 50%  
299 2% 49%  
300 2% 47% Last Result
301 1.2% 45%  
302 2% 44%  
303 1.1% 42%  
304 3% 41%  
305 2% 37%  
306 3% 36%  
307 3% 32%  
308 2% 30%  
309 3% 28%  
310 2% 25%  
311 2% 24%  
312 3% 22%  
313 2% 19%  
314 2% 17%  
315 2% 15%  
316 1.2% 12%  
317 2% 11%  
318 1.1% 9%  
319 1.3% 8%  
320 2% 6%  
321 1.0% 5%  
322 0.6% 4%  
323 0.6% 3%  
324 0.6% 2%  
325 0.4% 2%  
326 0.4% 1.4%  
327 0.2% 1.1%  
328 0.3% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.6%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0.1% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.8%  
249 0.2% 99.6%  
250 0.2% 99.5%  
251 0.3% 99.3%  
252 0.2% 99.0%  
253 0.3% 98.7%  
254 0.5% 98%  
255 0.8% 98%  
256 0.9% 97%  
257 0.6% 96%  
258 0.7% 96%  
259 2% 95%  
260 2% 93%  
261 2% 91%  
262 2% 90%  
263 1.3% 88%  
264 3% 86%  
265 2% 84%  
266 2% 81%  
267 4% 79%  
268 2% 75%  
269 2% 73%  
270 4% 71%  
271 2% 67%  
272 2% 65%  
273 4% 63%  
274 2% 58%  
275 3% 56%  
276 2% 53%  
277 4% 51% Median
278 2% 47%  
279 3% 44%  
280 3% 41%  
281 4% 38%  
282 2% 34%  
283 2% 32%  
284 3% 30%  
285 3% 27%  
286 3% 24%  
287 2% 21%  
288 2% 19%  
289 2% 17%  
290 2% 15%  
291 0.9% 13%  
292 2% 12%  
293 2% 10%  
294 2% 8%  
295 1.2% 6%  
296 0.6% 5%  
297 1.0% 5%  
298 0.6% 4%  
299 0.7% 3%  
300 0.8% 2%  
301 0.3% 2%  
302 0.3% 1.3%  
303 0.3% 1.0%  
304 0.1% 0.7%  
305 0.2% 0.6%  
306 0.1% 0.4%  
307 0.1% 0.3%  
308 0.1% 0.2%  
309 0.1% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.7%  
161 0.4% 99.6%  
162 0.3% 99.2%  
163 0.4% 98.9%  
164 0.6% 98.5%  
165 0.8% 98%  
166 1.0% 97%  
167 2% 96%  
168 2% 94%  
169 2% 92%  
170 2% 90%  
171 3% 88%  
172 2% 85%  
173 3% 83%  
174 3% 80%  
175 2% 77%  
176 3% 75%  
177 4% 72%  
178 3% 68%  
179 6% 65%  
180 4% 59%  
181 3% 55%  
182 4% 52% Median
183 4% 48%  
184 4% 44%  
185 4% 41%  
186 5% 36%  
187 3% 31%  
188 3% 29%  
189 2% 26%  
190 4% 23%  
191 2% 19%  
192 2% 17%  
193 3% 14%  
194 2% 11%  
195 2% 9%  
196 1.3% 7%  
197 2% 6%  
198 1.1% 5%  
199 1.3% 3%  
200 0.4% 2%  
201 0.4% 2%  
202 0.4% 1.4%  
203 0.2% 1.0%  
204 0.2% 0.8%  
205 0.2% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.4%  
207 0.1% 0.3%  
208 0.1% 0.3%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.3% 99.5%  
117 0.4% 99.1%  
118 0.5% 98.8%  
119 0.6% 98%  
120 0.9% 98%  
121 1.4% 97%  
122 1.4% 95%  
123 2% 94%  
124 2% 92%  
125 2% 90%  
126 2% 88%  
127 3% 85% Median
128 3% 83%  
129 4% 80%  
130 2% 76%  
131 4% 74%  
132 3% 69%  
133 2% 67%  
134 3% 65%  
135 2% 62%  
136 2% 60%  
137 2% 58%  
138 1.1% 56%  
139 2% 55%  
140 1.0% 54%  
141 0.8% 53%  
142 0.7% 52%  
143 0.4% 51%  
144 0.5% 51%  
145 0.3% 50%  
146 0.3% 50%  
147 0.2% 50%  
148 0.3% 49%  
149 0.3% 49%  
150 0.2% 49%  
151 0.4% 49%  
152 0.4% 48%  
153 0.9% 48%  
154 0.6% 47%  
155 3% 46%  
156 0.6% 44%  
157 1.4% 43%  
158 3% 42%  
159 1.1% 39%  
160 2% 38%  
161 2% 36%  
162 3% 33%  
163 3% 30%  
164 3% 27%  
165 2% 24%  
166 2% 22%  
167 5% 20%  
168 1.0% 15%  
169 3% 14%  
170 3% 12%  
171 1.4% 9%  
172 2% 7%  
173 2% 6%  
174 0.9% 4%  
175 0.8% 3%  
176 0.7% 2%  
177 0.5% 2%  
178 0.2% 1.2%  
179 0.4% 1.0%  
180 0.1% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

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