Opinion Poll by Forsa, 31 August–4 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.3% 28.0–30.6% 27.6–31.0% 27.3–31.3% 26.7–32.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.9–19.1% 16.6–19.5% 16.3–19.8% 15.8–20.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 15.0–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 227 215–242 211–246 209–249 204–254
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 139 130–150 128–153 125–155 122–160
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 125 116–135 113–138 111–140 107–144
Alternative für Deutschland 94 71 64–78 63–79 61–82 58–85
Die Linke 69 70 63–77 62–79 60–81 57–85
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 47–59 46–61 44–62 42–66
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 38 0–43 0–45 0–46 0–48

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.2% 99.7%  
204 0.2% 99.6%  
205 0.2% 99.4%  
206 0.5% 99.2%  
207 0.3% 98.6%  
208 0.6% 98%  
209 0.7% 98%  
210 0.8% 97%  
211 1.3% 96%  
212 1.2% 95%  
213 1.3% 94%  
214 1.3% 92%  
215 2% 91%  
216 1.1% 89%  
217 4% 88%  
218 3% 84%  
219 2% 81%  
220 2% 79%  
221 5% 76%  
222 2% 71%  
223 4% 69%  
224 5% 65%  
225 3% 60%  
226 2% 57%  
227 4% 54% Median
228 3% 50%  
229 4% 47%  
230 3% 43%  
231 3% 40%  
232 3% 37%  
233 3% 34%  
234 3% 31%  
235 2% 28%  
236 3% 26%  
237 2% 23%  
238 2% 21%  
239 3% 19%  
240 3% 16%  
241 1.2% 13%  
242 2% 11%  
243 2% 9%  
244 0.7% 8%  
245 1.2% 7%  
246 2% 6%  
247 0.5% 4%  
248 0.7% 3%  
249 0.9% 3%  
250 0.3% 2%  
251 0.3% 1.4%  
252 0.4% 1.1%  
253 0.1% 0.7%  
254 0.2% 0.6%  
255 0.1% 0.4%  
256 0.1% 0.3%  
257 0% 0.2%  
258 0.1% 0.2%  
259 0.1% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.2% 99.7%  
122 0.3% 99.5%  
123 0.3% 99.2%  
124 0.7% 98.9%  
125 0.7% 98%  
126 0.7% 97%  
127 1.0% 97%  
128 2% 96%  
129 2% 94%  
130 2% 92%  
131 2% 90%  
132 3% 88%  
133 4% 84%  
134 4% 81%  
135 5% 77%  
136 4% 72%  
137 6% 68%  
138 5% 61%  
139 6% 56% Median
140 5% 50%  
141 4% 45%  
142 5% 41%  
143 5% 36%  
144 3% 31%  
145 4% 28%  
146 4% 24%  
147 3% 20%  
148 3% 17%  
149 3% 14%  
150 3% 11%  
151 2% 8%  
152 1.5% 7%  
153 2% 5%  
154 0.7% 4%  
155 0.4% 3%  
156 0.8% 2%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.3% 1.2%  
159 0.2% 0.9%  
160 0.3% 0.7%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0.2% 99.8%  
107 0.2% 99.7%  
108 0.3% 99.5%  
109 0.4% 99.2%  
110 0.5% 98.8%  
111 0.9% 98%  
112 0.8% 97%  
113 2% 97%  
114 1.4% 95%  
115 3% 94%  
116 2% 91%  
117 3% 89%  
118 5% 87%  
119 4% 82%  
120 3% 78%  
121 6% 75%  
122 5% 69%  
123 5% 64%  
124 6% 59%  
125 5% 53% Median
126 7% 49%  
127 4% 41%  
128 5% 38%  
129 4% 32%  
130 5% 28%  
131 3% 24%  
132 5% 21%  
133 3% 16%  
134 2% 13%  
135 3% 11%  
136 2% 8%  
137 2% 7%  
138 1.0% 5%  
139 1.4% 4%  
140 0.7% 3%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.4% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 0.7%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.3% 99.6%  
59 0.5% 99.4%  
60 1.0% 98.9%  
61 1.0% 98%  
62 1.4% 97%  
63 3% 95%  
64 3% 92%  
65 3% 89%  
66 7% 86%  
67 5% 80%  
68 5% 74%  
69 10% 69%  
70 6% 58%  
71 5% 53% Median
72 11% 47%  
73 6% 37%  
74 5% 31%  
75 6% 26%  
76 6% 20%  
77 3% 14%  
78 3% 11%  
79 3% 8%  
80 1.3% 5%  
81 1.1% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.5% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 1.0%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 99.7%  
58 0.3% 99.3%  
59 0.7% 99.0%  
60 0.9% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 1.3% 95%  
63 5% 94%  
64 3% 89%  
65 5% 86%  
66 9% 82%  
67 6% 73%  
68 7% 67%  
69 7% 61% Last Result
70 6% 54% Median
71 6% 48%  
72 9% 42%  
73 7% 34%  
74 5% 27%  
75 5% 22%  
76 4% 17%  
77 3% 13%  
78 4% 10%  
79 2% 6%  
80 1.2% 4%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.5% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 1.0%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 0.5% 99.5%  
43 0.6% 99.1%  
44 1.2% 98.5%  
45 2% 97%  
46 3% 96% Last Result
47 5% 92%  
48 4% 88%  
49 7% 84%  
50 7% 76%  
51 8% 69%  
52 9% 61%  
53 7% 52% Median
54 8% 45%  
55 8% 37%  
56 7% 29%  
57 7% 22%  
58 3% 15%  
59 3% 12%  
60 2% 8%  
61 2% 6%  
62 2% 4%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.7% 2%  
65 0.4% 0.9%  
66 0.2% 0.5%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 0% 52%  
2 0% 52%  
3 0% 52%  
4 0% 52%  
5 0% 52%  
6 0% 52%  
7 0% 52%  
8 0% 52%  
9 0% 52%  
10 0% 52%  
11 0% 52%  
12 0% 52%  
13 0% 52%  
14 0% 52%  
15 0% 52%  
16 0% 52%  
17 0% 52%  
18 0% 52%  
19 0% 52%  
20 0% 52%  
21 0% 52%  
22 0% 52%  
23 0% 52%  
24 0% 52%  
25 0% 52%  
26 0% 52%  
27 0% 52%  
28 0% 52%  
29 0% 52%  
30 0% 52%  
31 0% 52%  
32 0% 52%  
33 0% 52%  
34 0% 52%  
35 0% 52%  
36 0% 52%  
37 0% 52%  
38 4% 52% Median
39 10% 47%  
40 11% 38%  
41 7% 27%  
42 7% 20%  
43 5% 13%  
44 3% 8%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 0.6% 2%  
48 0.5% 0.9%  
49 0.2% 0.5%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 542 100% 525–569 522–572 520–574 515–578
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 443 100% 427–457 424–460 421–463 415–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 428 100% 412–443 408–446 406–449 400–455
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 420 100% 402–441 400–444 396–447 390–453
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 406 100% 387–426 385–430 381–432 376–438
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 374 93% 356–390 353–393 350–397 344–402
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 352 44% 335–370 331–374 329–377 323–383
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 335 7% 319–353 316–356 312–359 307–365
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 304 0% 283–321 280–324 277–328 271–333
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 288 0% 266–306 263–309 259–312 254–318
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 265 0% 251–280 247–284 245–287 239–292
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 195 0% 184–208 180–212 178–214 174–220
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 151 0% 124–169 121–171 119–174 115–178

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0.1% 99.9%  
512 0.1% 99.8%  
513 0.1% 99.8%  
514 0.1% 99.7%  
515 0.2% 99.5%  
516 0.3% 99.3%  
517 0.3% 99.0%  
518 0.5% 98.7%  
519 0.7% 98%  
520 0.9% 98%  
521 1.1% 97%  
522 1.0% 96%  
523 1.4% 95%  
524 2% 93%  
525 2% 91%  
526 2% 89%  
527 2% 87%  
528 4% 86%  
529 2% 82%  
530 2% 79%  
531 4% 77%  
532 3% 74%  
533 4% 70%  
534 3% 67%  
535 2% 64%  
536 4% 61%  
537 2% 57%  
538 1.4% 55%  
539 1.0% 54%  
540 2% 53%  
541 1.3% 51%  
542 0.5% 50%  
543 0.4% 50%  
544 0.3% 49% Median
545 0.4% 49%  
546 0.3% 49%  
547 0.3% 48%  
548 0.4% 48%  
549 0.2% 48%  
550 0.6% 47%  
551 0.7% 47%  
552 0.6% 46%  
553 0.6% 45%  
554 0.6% 45%  
555 2% 44%  
556 3% 42%  
557 1.2% 39%  
558 0.5% 38%  
559 2% 37%  
560 5% 35%  
561 4% 30%  
562 1.4% 27%  
563 2% 25%  
564 2% 23%  
565 5% 22%  
566 2% 17%  
567 0.8% 15%  
568 3% 14%  
569 3% 11%  
570 1.3% 7%  
571 0.4% 6%  
572 0.7% 6%  
573 2% 5%  
574 1.3% 3%  
575 0.4% 2%  
576 0.1% 1.3%  
577 0.3% 1.2%  
578 0.5% 0.9%  
579 0.1% 0.4%  
580 0.1% 0.3%  
581 0% 0.2%  
582 0.1% 0.2%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0.1% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.6%  
416 0.2% 99.5%  
417 0.2% 99.3%  
418 0.4% 99.1%  
419 0.4% 98.7%  
420 0.5% 98%  
421 0.9% 98%  
422 0.8% 97%  
423 0.7% 96%  
424 0.9% 95%  
425 1.2% 95%  
426 2% 93%  
427 2% 92%  
428 1.4% 90%  
429 2% 88%  
430 2% 86%  
431 3% 84%  
432 3% 82%  
433 3% 79%  
434 3% 76%  
435 2% 73%  
436 3% 71%  
437 2% 68%  
438 3% 65%  
439 3% 62%  
440 3% 59%  
441 3% 56%  
442 2% 54%  
443 3% 51%  
444 3% 48%  
445 3% 45%  
446 3% 42%  
447 4% 39%  
448 2% 35%  
449 3% 33%  
450 4% 30%  
451 3% 26%  
452 2% 22%  
453 3% 21%  
454 3% 18%  
455 2% 15%  
456 2% 13%  
457 3% 11% Median
458 1.4% 8%  
459 1.0% 7%  
460 1.4% 6%  
461 1.1% 5%  
462 0.8% 3%  
463 0.6% 3%  
464 0.5% 2%  
465 0.3% 1.5%  
466 0.3% 1.1%  
467 0.2% 0.8%  
468 0.2% 0.6%  
469 0.1% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.3%  
471 0.1% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0.2% 99.5%  
401 0.2% 99.3%  
402 0.2% 99.2%  
403 0.3% 98.9%  
404 0.8% 98.7%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.8% 98%  
407 1.1% 97%  
408 0.9% 96%  
409 1.1% 95%  
410 1.3% 94%  
411 2% 92%  
412 1.1% 91%  
413 1.5% 89%  
414 3% 88%  
415 1.3% 85%  
416 3% 84%  
417 2% 81%  
418 4% 79%  
419 2% 75%  
420 2% 73%  
421 2% 71%  
422 2% 69%  
423 4% 67%  
424 3% 63%  
425 3% 60%  
426 3% 57%  
427 3% 55%  
428 2% 52%  
429 3% 49%  
430 4% 46%  
431 3% 42%  
432 2% 39%  
433 2% 37%  
434 3% 35%  
435 2% 31%  
436 5% 29%  
437 3% 24%  
438 3% 22%  
439 2% 19%  
440 3% 17%  
441 2% 14%  
442 2% 12%  
443 2% 10% Median
444 1.2% 8%  
445 2% 7%  
446 0.6% 5%  
447 0.9% 5%  
448 0.8% 4%  
449 1.0% 3%  
450 0.5% 2%  
451 0.5% 2%  
452 0.4% 1.3%  
453 0.3% 0.9%  
454 0.1% 0.6%  
455 0.2% 0.5%  
456 0.1% 0.3%  
457 0.1% 0.3%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.6%  
391 0.2% 99.5%  
392 0.2% 99.3%  
393 0.3% 99.1%  
394 0.5% 98.8%  
395 0.7% 98%  
396 0.6% 98%  
397 0.5% 97%  
398 0.5% 97%  
399 1.0% 96%  
400 2% 95%  
401 2% 93%  
402 2% 91%  
403 1.0% 90%  
404 3% 89%  
405 2% 86%  
406 2% 84%  
407 5% 82%  
408 2% 77%  
409 1.5% 76%  
410 3% 74%  
411 3% 71%  
412 3% 68%  
413 2% 65%  
414 3% 62%  
415 2% 60%  
416 2% 58%  
417 2% 56%  
418 3% 54%  
419 0.9% 52% Median
420 2% 51%  
421 2% 49%  
422 1.3% 48%  
423 1.2% 46%  
424 1.4% 45%  
425 1.4% 44%  
426 2% 42%  
427 2% 41%  
428 1.5% 38%  
429 2% 37%  
430 2% 34%  
431 2% 33%  
432 3% 30%  
433 3% 28%  
434 3% 25%  
435 2% 22%  
436 3% 21%  
437 2% 18%  
438 2% 16%  
439 2% 14%  
440 2% 12%  
441 2% 10%  
442 1.3% 8%  
443 1.3% 7%  
444 0.9% 6%  
445 0.6% 5%  
446 1.0% 4%  
447 1.0% 3%  
448 0.7% 2%  
449 0.3% 2%  
450 0.3% 1.3%  
451 0.3% 1.0%  
452 0.2% 0.7%  
453 0.1% 0.5%  
454 0.1% 0.4%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0.1% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.2% 99.7%  
376 0.2% 99.5%  
377 0.3% 99.4%  
378 0.2% 99.1%  
379 0.3% 99.0%  
380 0.5% 98.7%  
381 1.0% 98%  
382 0.9% 97%  
383 0.5% 96%  
384 0.5% 96%  
385 1.2% 95%  
386 3% 94%  
387 2% 92%  
388 1.1% 90%  
389 0.9% 89%  
390 2% 88%  
391 4% 86%  
392 3% 82%  
393 2% 79%  
394 2% 77%  
395 1.0% 75%  
396 4% 74%  
397 2% 70%  
398 4% 67%  
399 1.4% 63% Last Result
400 1.3% 62%  
401 2% 61%  
402 4% 59%  
403 2% 55%  
404 2% 53%  
405 0.8% 51% Median
406 2% 50%  
407 2% 49%  
408 2% 47%  
409 2% 45%  
410 1.4% 43%  
411 2% 42%  
412 1.4% 40%  
413 2% 39%  
414 3% 37%  
415 1.2% 34%  
416 3% 33%  
417 2% 30%  
418 4% 28%  
419 2% 24%  
420 1.4% 22%  
421 2% 21%  
422 1.4% 19%  
423 4% 18%  
424 2% 14%  
425 1.0% 12%  
426 2% 11%  
427 1.4% 9%  
428 2% 8%  
429 0.8% 6%  
430 2% 5%  
431 0.3% 3%  
432 0.7% 3%  
433 0.4% 2%  
434 0.5% 2%  
435 0.3% 1.4%  
436 0.2% 1.0%  
437 0.2% 0.8%  
438 0.2% 0.6%  
439 0.2% 0.5%  
440 0.1% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.6%  
345 0.2% 99.4%  
346 0.3% 99.2%  
347 0.5% 98.9%  
348 0.4% 98%  
349 0.4% 98%  
350 0.4% 98%  
351 0.9% 97%  
352 1.2% 96%  
353 1.1% 95%  
354 1.4% 94%  
355 2% 93% Majority
356 2% 91%  
357 2% 89%  
358 2% 87%  
359 1.4% 86%  
360 2% 84%  
361 3% 82%  
362 2% 79%  
363 2% 77%  
364 2% 75%  
365 2% 73%  
366 2% 71%  
367 4% 68%  
368 2% 65%  
369 3% 63%  
370 2% 61%  
371 2% 58%  
372 2% 56%  
373 3% 54%  
374 2% 51%  
375 2% 49%  
376 4% 47%  
377 2% 43%  
378 4% 41%  
379 4% 38%  
380 2% 34%  
381 3% 32%  
382 2% 29%  
383 2% 27%  
384 4% 26%  
385 4% 22%  
386 1.2% 18%  
387 3% 17%  
388 1.3% 14%  
389 1.3% 13% Median
390 3% 11%  
391 1.5% 9%  
392 1.3% 7%  
393 2% 6%  
394 0.5% 4%  
395 0.8% 4%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.7% 3%  
398 0.6% 2%  
399 0.4% 1.3%  
400 0.2% 0.9%  
401 0.2% 0.8%  
402 0.1% 0.6%  
403 0.2% 0.5%  
404 0.1% 0.3%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.9%  
321 0.1% 99.8%  
322 0.2% 99.7%  
323 0.2% 99.5%  
324 0.3% 99.4%  
325 0.2% 99.1%  
326 0.4% 98.9%  
327 0.4% 98%  
328 0.6% 98%  
329 0.7% 98%  
330 1.0% 97%  
331 2% 96%  
332 1.0% 94%  
333 1.3% 93%  
334 2% 92%  
335 1.5% 90%  
336 2% 89%  
337 3% 87%  
338 2% 84%  
339 3% 82%  
340 3% 79% Last Result
341 3% 76%  
342 3% 73%  
343 2% 71%  
344 2% 69%  
345 3% 67%  
346 3% 63%  
347 2% 61%  
348 1.3% 59%  
349 2% 58%  
350 3% 55%  
351 2% 52% Median
352 2% 50%  
353 2% 48%  
354 2% 46%  
355 2% 44% Majority
356 3% 42%  
357 2% 39%  
358 2% 37%  
359 2% 35%  
360 2% 33%  
361 3% 31%  
362 2% 28%  
363 2% 26%  
364 2% 24%  
365 2% 22%  
366 2% 20%  
367 3% 18%  
368 1.1% 15%  
369 2% 13%  
370 2% 11%  
371 2% 10%  
372 0.7% 8%  
373 2% 7%  
374 0.9% 5%  
375 1.1% 4%  
376 0.6% 3%  
377 0.5% 3%  
378 0.8% 2%  
379 0.2% 1.5%  
380 0.3% 1.3%  
381 0.2% 1.0%  
382 0.2% 0.8%  
383 0.2% 0.6%  
384 0.1% 0.3%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0.1% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0.1% 99.9%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.2% 99.7%  
307 0.1% 99.5%  
308 0.2% 99.4%  
309 0.2% 99.2%  
310 0.4% 99.1%  
311 0.6% 98.7%  
312 0.7% 98%  
313 0.4% 97%  
314 0.8% 97%  
315 0.5% 96%  
316 2% 96%  
317 1.3% 94%  
318 1.5% 93%  
319 3% 91%  
320 1.3% 89%  
321 1.3% 87%  
322 3% 86%  
323 1.2% 83%  
324 4% 82%  
325 4% 78%  
326 2% 74%  
327 2% 73%  
328 3% 71%  
329 2% 68%  
330 4% 66%  
331 4% 62%  
332 2% 59%  
333 4% 57%  
334 2% 53% Median
335 2% 51%  
336 3% 49%  
337 2% 46%  
338 2% 44%  
339 2% 42%  
340 3% 39%  
341 2% 37%  
342 4% 35%  
343 2% 32%  
344 2% 29%  
345 2% 27%  
346 2% 25%  
347 2% 23%  
348 3% 21%  
349 2% 18%  
350 1.4% 16%  
351 2% 14%  
352 2% 13%  
353 2% 11%  
354 2% 9%  
355 1.4% 7% Majority
356 1.1% 6%  
357 1.2% 5%  
358 0.9% 4%  
359 0.4% 3%  
360 0.4% 2%  
361 0.4% 2%  
362 0.5% 2%  
363 0.3% 1.1%  
364 0.2% 0.8%  
365 0.1% 0.6%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.2% 99.8%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0.2% 99.6%  
272 0.2% 99.4%  
273 0.3% 99.1%  
274 0.4% 98.8%  
275 0.5% 98%  
276 0.5% 98%  
277 0.9% 98%  
278 1.0% 97%  
279 0.4% 96%  
280 2% 95%  
281 0.5% 93%  
282 2% 92%  
283 2% 90%  
284 2% 89%  
285 2% 87%  
286 2% 85%  
287 2% 83%  
288 3% 82%  
289 3% 79%  
290 1.0% 76%  
291 4% 75%  
292 1.4% 72%  
293 3% 70%  
294 3% 67%  
295 1.5% 65%  
296 2% 63%  
297 2% 62%  
298 2% 60%  
299 2% 58%  
300 2% 56%  
301 1.4% 55%  
302 2% 53%  
303 1.0% 51%  
304 2% 50%  
305 1.5% 48%  
306 2% 47%  
307 2% 44%  
308 2% 42%  
309 2% 40%  
310 3% 38%  
311 2% 35%  
312 5% 34%  
313 1.2% 28%  
314 3% 27%  
315 2% 24%  
316 2% 22%  
317 3% 20%  
318 4% 18% Median
319 2% 14%  
320 1.0% 12%  
321 2% 11%  
322 2% 9%  
323 1.3% 7%  
324 1.3% 6%  
325 0.7% 5%  
326 0.6% 4% Last Result
327 0.7% 3%  
328 0.5% 3%  
329 0.7% 2%  
330 0.5% 1.5%  
331 0.2% 1.0%  
332 0.2% 0.8%  
333 0.2% 0.7%  
334 0.1% 0.5%  
335 0.1% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.7%  
254 0.1% 99.6%  
255 0.2% 99.5%  
256 0.1% 99.3%  
257 0.2% 99.1%  
258 0.6% 98.9%  
259 0.8% 98%  
260 0.6% 97%  
261 0.9% 97%  
262 0.8% 96%  
263 0.6% 95%  
264 0.6% 95%  
265 2% 94%  
266 4% 92%  
267 1.4% 88%  
268 2% 87%  
269 2% 85%  
270 2% 83%  
271 1.3% 82%  
272 2% 80%  
273 3% 78%  
274 3% 75%  
275 2% 72%  
276 2% 69%  
277 1.4% 68%  
278 1.0% 66%  
279 2% 65%  
280 2% 63%  
281 3% 61%  
282 1.1% 58%  
283 2% 57%  
284 1.2% 56%  
285 1.2% 54%  
286 1.1% 53%  
287 2% 52%  
288 2% 50%  
289 0.9% 48%  
290 2% 47%  
291 1.1% 46%  
292 2% 44%  
293 3% 42%  
294 2% 39%  
295 3% 38%  
296 1.2% 35%  
297 2% 33%  
298 4% 31%  
299 2% 27%  
300 3% 25% Last Result
301 3% 22%  
302 2% 19% Median
303 1.5% 17%  
304 4% 16%  
305 0.9% 12%  
306 2% 11%  
307 2% 9%  
308 2% 7%  
309 0.9% 6%  
310 1.1% 5%  
311 0.6% 4%  
312 1.0% 3%  
313 0.3% 2%  
314 0.4% 2%  
315 0.3% 1.3%  
316 0.3% 1.0%  
317 0.2% 0.7%  
318 0.2% 0.5%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.3%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.9%  
238 0.2% 99.8%  
239 0.2% 99.6%  
240 0.2% 99.5%  
241 0.2% 99.3%  
242 0.2% 99.1%  
243 0.4% 98.9%  
244 0.7% 98%  
245 0.8% 98%  
246 0.9% 97%  
247 1.2% 96%  
248 0.6% 95%  
249 0.9% 94%  
250 2% 93%  
251 1.5% 91%  
252 2% 90%  
253 3% 87%  
254 3% 85%  
255 2% 82%  
256 2% 81%  
257 3% 78%  
258 5% 76%  
259 4% 71%  
260 3% 67%  
261 4% 64%  
262 2% 60%  
263 2% 58%  
264 3% 56% Median
265 5% 53%  
266 5% 48%  
267 3% 43%  
268 3% 40%  
269 2% 37%  
270 2% 35%  
271 2% 33%  
272 3% 31%  
273 4% 28%  
274 3% 24%  
275 2% 21%  
276 2% 19%  
277 1.5% 17%  
278 1.1% 15%  
279 2% 14%  
280 2% 12%  
281 3% 10%  
282 0.8% 7%  
283 1.2% 6%  
284 0.9% 5%  
285 0.5% 4%  
286 0.3% 4%  
287 1.1% 3%  
288 1.0% 2%  
289 0.3% 1.3%  
290 0.2% 1.1%  
291 0.2% 0.8%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0.1% 0.3%  
296 0.1% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.1% 99.7%  
173 0.1% 99.6%  
174 0.3% 99.5%  
175 0.5% 99.2%  
176 0.4% 98.7%  
177 0.5% 98%  
178 0.6% 98%  
179 1.2% 97%  
180 1.1% 96%  
181 1.1% 95%  
182 1.0% 94%  
183 2% 93%  
184 4% 91%  
185 2% 87%  
186 2% 85%  
187 3% 82%  
188 3% 79%  
189 4% 76%  
190 4% 72%  
191 3% 68%  
192 4% 66%  
193 4% 62%  
194 5% 58%  
195 4% 53% Median
196 4% 49%  
197 3% 46%  
198 5% 43%  
199 4% 38%  
200 4% 34%  
201 2% 30%  
202 3% 28%  
203 3% 25%  
204 5% 22%  
205 3% 18%  
206 1.2% 14%  
207 2% 13%  
208 2% 11%  
209 2% 9%  
210 1.0% 7%  
211 0.7% 6%  
212 1.1% 6%  
213 1.0% 4%  
214 1.4% 3%  
215 0.3% 2%  
216 0.3% 2%  
217 0.5% 1.5%  
218 0.3% 1.0%  
219 0.2% 0.7%  
220 0.1% 0.5%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
223 0.1% 0.2%  
224 0.1% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.3% 99.5%  
116 0.4% 99.3%  
117 0.5% 98.9%  
118 0.5% 98%  
119 1.3% 98%  
120 1.0% 97%  
121 2% 96%  
122 1.3% 94%  
123 2% 93%  
124 3% 91%  
125 2% 88%  
126 3% 86%  
127 3% 83%  
128 3% 80%  
129 3% 77%  
130 3% 74%  
131 2% 72%  
132 4% 69%  
133 2% 65%  
134 2% 64%  
135 2% 62%  
136 1.5% 59%  
137 1.5% 58%  
138 0.9% 57%  
139 1.3% 56%  
140 0.6% 54%  
141 0.5% 54%  
142 0.4% 53%  
143 0.4% 53%  
144 0.4% 52%  
145 0.2% 52%  
146 0.2% 52%  
147 0.2% 52%  
148 0.4% 51%  
149 0.2% 51%  
150 0.5% 51%  
151 0.4% 50%  
152 0.7% 50%  
153 0.8% 49%  
154 1.4% 48%  
155 0.8% 47%  
156 2% 46%  
157 3% 44%  
158 3% 42%  
159 2% 39%  
160 3% 37%  
161 3% 33%  
162 3% 30%  
163 3% 27% Median
164 2% 24%  
165 3% 21%  
166 3% 18%  
167 2% 14%  
168 2% 12%  
169 2% 10%  
170 1.5% 8%  
171 2% 6%  
172 1.4% 5%  
173 0.8% 3%  
174 0.7% 3%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.4% 1.4%  
177 0.2% 1.0%  
178 0.2% 0.7%  
179 0.2% 0.5%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations