Opinion Poll by Forsa, 7–11 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.2% 27.9–30.6% 27.6–31.0% 27.2–31.3% 26.6–32.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.9–19.2% 16.6–19.5% 16.4–19.8% 15.9–20.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 15.0–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.4–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.4–10.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.7% 6.1–7.5% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 228 214–242 212–246 209–249 204–255
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 141 130–151 128–155 126–157 122–162
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 125 116–135 113–138 111–140 107–145
Alternative für Deutschland 94 71 63–78 61–80 60–82 57–85
Die Linke 69 71 63–77 62–79 60–81 57–85
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 47–59 45–61 44–63 42–66
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 38 0–43 0–45 0–46 0–49

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.7%  
204 0.2% 99.6%  
205 0.2% 99.4%  
206 0.4% 99.2%  
207 0.4% 98.9%  
208 0.7% 98%  
209 0.6% 98%  
210 1.3% 97%  
211 0.7% 96%  
212 2% 95%  
213 2% 93%  
214 2% 92%  
215 2% 90%  
216 2% 88%  
217 4% 86%  
218 2% 83%  
219 3% 81%  
220 3% 77%  
221 3% 75%  
222 3% 72%  
223 3% 69%  
224 3% 66%  
225 3% 63%  
226 4% 60%  
227 4% 56%  
228 4% 53% Median
229 4% 49%  
230 3% 45%  
231 4% 42%  
232 2% 38%  
233 2% 36%  
234 5% 33%  
235 4% 28%  
236 3% 24%  
237 2% 21%  
238 3% 19%  
239 2% 16%  
240 2% 14%  
241 1.2% 12%  
242 2% 11%  
243 1.0% 9%  
244 1.4% 8%  
245 1.0% 6%  
246 1.2% 5%  
247 0.7% 4%  
248 0.5% 3%  
249 0.7% 3%  
250 0.7% 2%  
251 0.4% 2%  
252 0.3% 1.3%  
253 0.2% 0.9%  
254 0.2% 0.7%  
255 0.2% 0.5%  
256 0.1% 0.3%  
257 0.1% 0.2%  
258 0.1% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.3% 99.4%  
124 0.5% 99.1%  
125 0.5% 98.5%  
126 1.0% 98%  
127 1.2% 97%  
128 2% 96%  
129 2% 94%  
130 2% 92%  
131 2% 90%  
132 3% 88%  
133 3% 85%  
134 4% 81%  
135 4% 78%  
136 4% 74%  
137 4% 70%  
138 5% 67%  
139 5% 62%  
140 6% 57%  
141 7% 52% Median
142 5% 44%  
143 4% 40%  
144 5% 36%  
145 4% 31%  
146 4% 27%  
147 3% 23%  
148 2% 19%  
149 3% 17%  
150 2% 14%  
151 2% 12%  
152 2% 10%  
153 1.3% 8%  
154 1.0% 6%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.1% 4%  
157 0.7% 3%  
158 0.4% 2%  
159 0.4% 1.4%  
160 0.2% 1.0%  
161 0.3% 0.8%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0.2% 99.6%  
108 0.4% 99.5%  
109 0.5% 99.1%  
110 0.7% 98.5%  
111 0.9% 98%  
112 2% 97%  
113 1.3% 95%  
114 1.2% 94%  
115 2% 93%  
116 2% 91%  
117 3% 89%  
118 4% 85%  
119 5% 81%  
120 5% 76%  
121 5% 72%  
122 5% 66%  
123 5% 62%  
124 5% 56%  
125 4% 51% Median
126 4% 47%  
127 6% 42%  
128 4% 37%  
129 4% 33%  
130 5% 29%  
131 3% 24%  
132 4% 21%  
133 4% 17%  
134 2% 13%  
135 2% 10%  
136 2% 8%  
137 1.3% 6%  
138 1.5% 5%  
139 0.7% 4%  
140 0.6% 3%  
141 0.8% 2%  
142 0.3% 2%  
143 0.5% 1.2%  
144 0.2% 0.8%  
145 0.2% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 0.5% 99.3%  
59 0.5% 98.9%  
60 0.9% 98%  
61 3% 97%  
62 2% 95%  
63 3% 93%  
64 4% 90%  
65 4% 85%  
66 5% 81%  
67 6% 76%  
68 6% 70%  
69 9% 64%  
70 5% 56%  
71 9% 50% Median
72 6% 41%  
73 6% 35%  
74 5% 29%  
75 5% 24%  
76 5% 19%  
77 2% 14%  
78 4% 12%  
79 2% 8%  
80 1.1% 5%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0.2% 99.7%  
58 0.6% 99.5%  
59 0.8% 98.8%  
60 1.0% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 2% 95%  
63 4% 93%  
64 3% 89%  
65 4% 86%  
66 5% 82%  
67 8% 77%  
68 6% 69%  
69 6% 64% Last Result
70 6% 57%  
71 10% 51% Median
72 5% 42%  
73 7% 36%  
74 6% 29%  
75 6% 23%  
76 3% 17%  
77 4% 14%  
78 2% 9%  
79 2% 7%  
80 1.2% 5%  
81 1.3% 4%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.2% 1.0%  
85 0.3% 0.8%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 0.3% 99.6%  
43 0.9% 99.2%  
44 1.4% 98%  
45 2% 97%  
46 3% 95% Last Result
47 4% 92%  
48 4% 89%  
49 9% 84%  
50 7% 75%  
51 7% 68%  
52 7% 61%  
53 8% 54% Median
54 9% 46%  
55 7% 37%  
56 8% 30%  
57 5% 22%  
58 5% 17%  
59 3% 12%  
60 3% 9%  
61 2% 6%  
62 1.3% 4%  
63 0.9% 3%  
64 0.7% 2%  
65 0.5% 1.1%  
66 0.2% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 0% 51%  
17 0% 51%  
18 0% 51%  
19 0% 51%  
20 0% 51%  
21 0% 51%  
22 0% 51%  
23 0% 51%  
24 0% 51%  
25 0% 51%  
26 0% 51%  
27 0% 51%  
28 0% 51%  
29 0% 51%  
30 0% 51%  
31 0% 51%  
32 0% 51%  
33 0% 51%  
34 0% 51%  
35 0% 51%  
36 0% 51%  
37 0% 51%  
38 3% 51% Median
39 12% 47%  
40 8% 35%  
41 8% 27%  
42 6% 19%  
43 4% 13%  
44 3% 9%  
45 2% 6%  
46 1.5% 3%  
47 0.8% 2%  
48 0.5% 1.0%  
49 0.3% 0.6%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 545 100% 526–570 522–573 520–574 515–580
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 444 100% 428–459 425–462 422–464 414–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 427 100% 411–443 407–445 405–449 399–454
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 422 100% 403–443 400–446 397–448 390–454
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 406 100% 387–426 384–430 381–433 375–438
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 373 92% 356–389 351–393 348–396 343–401
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 351 43% 334–370 330–374 328–377 322–382
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 336 8% 320–353 316–358 313–361 308–366
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 303 0% 283–321 279–325 276–328 270–333
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 288 0% 266–306 264–310 260–313 256–318
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 265 0% 252–281 248–285 245–288 240–294
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 196 0% 183–208 180–212 178–214 172–219
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 148 0% 123–168 121–171 118–174 114–178

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0.1% 100%  
511 0.1% 99.9%  
512 0% 99.8%  
513 0.1% 99.8%  
514 0.2% 99.7%  
515 0.3% 99.6%  
516 0.2% 99.3%  
517 0.2% 99.2%  
518 0.7% 99.0%  
519 0.7% 98%  
520 0.7% 98%  
521 0.5% 97%  
522 1.4% 96%  
523 2% 95%  
524 2% 93%  
525 0.4% 91%  
526 3% 91%  
527 4% 88%  
528 4% 84%  
529 1.3% 80%  
530 3% 79%  
531 3% 76%  
532 3% 73%  
533 2% 70%  
534 3% 68%  
535 3% 65%  
536 3% 63%  
537 1.0% 60%  
538 1.2% 59%  
539 2% 58%  
540 2% 55%  
541 2% 54%  
542 0.2% 52%  
543 0.4% 52%  
544 1.0% 51%  
545 0.5% 50%  
546 0.2% 50%  
547 0.2% 50% Median
548 0.4% 49%  
549 0.6% 49%  
550 0.3% 49%  
551 0.9% 48%  
552 0.9% 47%  
553 0.4% 46%  
554 0.7% 46%  
555 1.2% 45%  
556 3% 44%  
557 2% 41%  
558 3% 40%  
559 3% 36%  
560 1.4% 34%  
561 1.2% 32%  
562 2% 31%  
563 3% 29%  
564 3% 26%  
565 3% 23%  
566 3% 20%  
567 3% 16%  
568 1.0% 13%  
569 2% 12%  
570 3% 11%  
571 0.7% 8%  
572 2% 8%  
573 2% 5%  
574 1.2% 4%  
575 0.5% 2%  
576 0.3% 2%  
577 0.4% 2%  
578 0.4% 1.1%  
579 0.2% 0.8%  
580 0.2% 0.6%  
581 0.1% 0.3%  
582 0.1% 0.2%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.8%  
414 0.2% 99.7%  
415 0.2% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.3%  
417 0.3% 99.2%  
418 0.2% 98.9%  
419 0.4% 98.7%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.4% 98%  
422 0.5% 98%  
423 0.4% 97%  
424 1.0% 97%  
425 1.0% 96%  
426 2% 95%  
427 1.0% 93%  
428 3% 92%  
429 4% 89%  
430 3% 85%  
431 3% 82%  
432 3% 79%  
433 3% 76%  
434 2% 74%  
435 2% 72%  
436 1.2% 70%  
437 2% 68%  
438 2% 66%  
439 2% 65%  
440 2% 63%  
441 4% 61%  
442 2% 57%  
443 4% 55%  
444 5% 51%  
445 4% 46%  
446 3% 42%  
447 3% 39%  
448 5% 36%  
449 3% 31%  
450 3% 28%  
451 2% 25%  
452 2% 23%  
453 2% 21%  
454 1.1% 19%  
455 2% 18%  
456 2% 16%  
457 1.1% 13%  
458 2% 12%  
459 2% 11%  
460 1.4% 8% Median
461 2% 7%  
462 1.3% 5%  
463 1.3% 4%  
464 0.9% 3%  
465 0.5% 2%  
466 0.5% 1.5%  
467 0.3% 1.0%  
468 0.2% 0.7%  
469 0.1% 0.5%  
470 0.1% 0.4%  
471 0.1% 0.3%  
472 0.1% 0.2%  
473 0.1% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.7%  
399 0.2% 99.6%  
400 0.2% 99.4%  
401 0.2% 99.2%  
402 0.3% 99.0%  
403 0.5% 98.6%  
404 0.5% 98%  
405 0.7% 98%  
406 1.1% 97%  
407 1.0% 96%  
408 0.8% 95%  
409 1.2% 94%  
410 1.0% 93%  
411 2% 92%  
412 2% 90%  
413 1.5% 88%  
414 2% 86%  
415 3% 84%  
416 2% 81%  
417 2% 79%  
418 3% 77%  
419 2% 74%  
420 2% 72%  
421 3% 70%  
422 3% 67%  
423 2% 64%  
424 3% 62%  
425 2% 58%  
426 3% 56%  
427 3% 53%  
428 5% 50%  
429 2% 45%  
430 3% 43%  
431 3% 40%  
432 3% 38%  
433 2% 35%  
434 3% 33%  
435 3% 29%  
436 3% 27%  
437 3% 24%  
438 2% 21%  
439 2% 20%  
440 3% 17%  
441 2% 15%  
442 2% 13%  
443 2% 10%  
444 2% 8% Median
445 1.3% 6%  
446 0.6% 5%  
447 0.8% 4%  
448 0.8% 4%  
449 0.5% 3%  
450 0.7% 2%  
451 0.4% 1.5%  
452 0.3% 1.0%  
453 0.2% 0.8%  
454 0.1% 0.6%  
455 0.1% 0.5%  
456 0.1% 0.3%  
457 0.1% 0.2%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.7%  
390 0.3% 99.6%  
391 0.1% 99.3%  
392 0.2% 99.2%  
393 0.3% 99.0%  
394 0.3% 98.8%  
395 0.4% 98.5%  
396 0.2% 98%  
397 0.8% 98%  
398 0.3% 97%  
399 1.1% 97%  
400 0.8% 96%  
401 2% 95%  
402 2% 93%  
403 2% 90%  
404 4% 89%  
405 0.8% 84%  
406 3% 83%  
407 2% 80%  
408 2% 78%  
409 4% 76%  
410 1.4% 72%  
411 2% 71%  
412 1.0% 69%  
413 2% 68%  
414 1.1% 66%  
415 2% 65%  
416 2% 63%  
417 2% 60%  
418 2% 58%  
419 1.0% 56%  
420 3% 55%  
421 1.3% 52%  
422 2% 51% Median
423 0.9% 49%  
424 1.2% 48%  
425 2% 47%  
426 2% 45%  
427 1.3% 43%  
428 3% 42%  
429 4% 39%  
430 3% 35%  
431 3% 32%  
432 2% 29%  
433 2% 27%  
434 2% 24%  
435 2% 22%  
436 1.0% 21%  
437 2% 20%  
438 1.0% 18%  
439 1.2% 17%  
440 1.1% 15%  
441 3% 14%  
442 1.2% 12%  
443 1.2% 11%  
444 2% 9%  
445 2% 7%  
446 2% 6%  
447 0.6% 4%  
448 1.0% 3%  
449 0.8% 2%  
450 0.6% 2%  
451 0.2% 1.1%  
452 0.1% 0.8%  
453 0.2% 0.7%  
454 0.1% 0.5%  
455 0.1% 0.4%  
456 0.1% 0.3%  
457 0.1% 0.2%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.3% 99.7%  
376 0.2% 99.4%  
377 0.1% 99.2%  
378 0.3% 99.1%  
379 0.5% 98.8%  
380 0.5% 98%  
381 0.6% 98%  
382 0.9% 97%  
383 0.7% 96%  
384 0.9% 96%  
385 2% 95%  
386 2% 93%  
387 2% 91%  
388 1.4% 89%  
389 3% 88%  
390 3% 85%  
391 2% 82%  
392 2% 80%  
393 1.2% 77%  
394 2% 76%  
395 4% 75%  
396 2% 71%  
397 1.3% 69%  
398 2% 68%  
399 3% 66% Last Result
400 2% 63%  
401 2% 61%  
402 2% 59%  
403 2% 57%  
404 2% 55%  
405 3% 53%  
406 2% 50% Median
407 2% 49%  
408 1.3% 47%  
409 2% 45%  
410 1.3% 44%  
411 3% 43%  
412 2% 40%  
413 1.5% 38%  
414 2% 36%  
415 3% 34%  
416 2% 31%  
417 2% 29%  
418 3% 27%  
419 2% 24%  
420 2% 23%  
421 2% 21%  
422 3% 18%  
423 1.4% 15%  
424 2% 14%  
425 1.4% 12%  
426 1.1% 10%  
427 1.2% 9%  
428 2% 8%  
429 0.7% 6%  
430 1.2% 5%  
431 1.0% 4%  
432 0.7% 3%  
433 0.3% 3%  
434 0.5% 2%  
435 0.4% 2%  
436 0.2% 1.3%  
437 0.5% 1.0%  
438 0.1% 0.6%  
439 0.2% 0.5%  
440 0.1% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.6%  
343 0.2% 99.6%  
344 0.4% 99.4%  
345 0.2% 99.0%  
346 0.4% 98.8%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 0.7% 98%  
349 0.3% 97%  
350 2% 97%  
351 0.9% 96%  
352 0.5% 95%  
353 1.3% 94%  
354 1.0% 93%  
355 1.3% 92% Majority
356 2% 90%  
357 3% 89%  
358 2% 86%  
359 1.1% 84%  
360 3% 83%  
361 4% 80%  
362 1.3% 76%  
363 2% 74%  
364 3% 72%  
365 2% 69%  
366 1.3% 67%  
367 3% 66%  
368 3% 63%  
369 2% 60%  
370 2% 58%  
371 3% 56%  
372 2% 53%  
373 3% 51%  
374 2% 48%  
375 2% 46%  
376 3% 44%  
377 2% 41%  
378 2% 39%  
379 2% 37%  
380 5% 35%  
381 2% 30%  
382 2% 28%  
383 3% 26%  
384 2% 23%  
385 3% 20%  
386 2% 18%  
387 2% 16%  
388 2% 14%  
389 2% 12%  
390 2% 10% Median
391 1.5% 8%  
392 1.0% 7%  
393 0.9% 6%  
394 1.2% 5%  
395 0.8% 4%  
396 0.6% 3%  
397 0.5% 2%  
398 0.4% 2%  
399 0.3% 1.3%  
400 0.3% 1.0%  
401 0.2% 0.7%  
402 0.1% 0.5%  
403 0.1% 0.4%  
404 0.1% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.3% 99.5%  
324 0.2% 99.2%  
325 0.2% 99.0%  
326 0.5% 98.8%  
327 0.7% 98%  
328 0.5% 98%  
329 0.8% 97%  
330 2% 96%  
331 0.7% 95%  
332 1.0% 94%  
333 2% 93%  
334 2% 91%  
335 1.4% 89%  
336 1.2% 88%  
337 3% 87%  
338 3% 84%  
339 1.3% 81%  
340 3% 80% Last Result
341 4% 77%  
342 3% 73%  
343 2% 70%  
344 2% 68%  
345 1.5% 66%  
346 3% 65%  
347 2% 62%  
348 3% 60%  
349 2% 56%  
350 3% 55%  
351 3% 52%  
352 1.3% 49% Median
353 3% 48%  
354 1.4% 45%  
355 2% 43% Majority
356 2% 42%  
357 3% 40%  
358 3% 37%  
359 1.4% 34%  
360 3% 33%  
361 4% 30%  
362 1.3% 26%  
363 2% 25%  
364 3% 22%  
365 2% 20%  
366 1.0% 18%  
367 2% 17%  
368 3% 14%  
369 1.2% 11%  
370 1.3% 10%  
371 1.4% 9%  
372 1.1% 8%  
373 1.3% 6%  
374 1.2% 5%  
375 0.6% 4%  
376 0.8% 3%  
377 0.6% 3%  
378 0.4% 2%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.3% 1.3%  
381 0.4% 1.0%  
382 0.1% 0.6%  
383 0.2% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.3%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0.1% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.6%  
308 0.2% 99.5%  
309 0.3% 99.3%  
310 0.3% 99.0%  
311 0.4% 98.7%  
312 0.5% 98%  
313 0.6% 98%  
314 0.8% 97%  
315 1.2% 96%  
316 0.9% 95%  
317 1.0% 94%  
318 1.5% 93%  
319 2% 92%  
320 2% 90%  
321 2% 88%  
322 2% 86%  
323 2% 84%  
324 3% 82%  
325 2% 80%  
326 3% 77%  
327 2% 74%  
328 2% 72%  
329 5% 70%  
330 2% 65%  
331 2% 63%  
332 2% 61%  
333 3% 59%  
334 2% 56%  
335 2% 54%  
336 3% 52%  
337 2% 49% Median
338 3% 47%  
339 2% 44%  
340 2% 42%  
341 3% 40%  
342 3% 37%  
343 1.3% 34%  
344 2% 33%  
345 3% 31%  
346 2% 28%  
347 1.3% 26%  
348 4% 24%  
349 3% 20%  
350 1.1% 17%  
351 2% 16%  
352 3% 14%  
353 2% 11%  
354 1.3% 10%  
355 1.0% 8% Majority
356 1.3% 7%  
357 0.5% 6%  
358 0.9% 5%  
359 2% 4%  
360 0.3% 3%  
361 0.7% 3%  
362 0.4% 2%  
363 0.4% 2%  
364 0.2% 1.2%  
365 0.4% 1.0%  
366 0.2% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.4%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0.1% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0.1% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.2% 99.7%  
270 0.1% 99.6%  
271 0.4% 99.5%  
272 0.1% 99.1%  
273 0.3% 99.0%  
274 0.6% 98.7%  
275 0.4% 98%  
276 0.7% 98%  
277 0.5% 97%  
278 1.1% 97%  
279 1.3% 96%  
280 1.0% 94%  
281 1.3% 93%  
282 1.2% 92%  
283 2% 91%  
284 2% 88%  
285 2% 86%  
286 2% 84%  
287 1.3% 81%  
288 2% 80%  
289 2% 79%  
290 3% 76%  
291 3% 73%  
292 3% 71%  
293 2% 68%  
294 1.5% 66%  
295 2% 65%  
296 2% 63%  
297 2% 61%  
298 2% 59%  
299 2% 57%  
300 2% 55%  
301 2% 54%  
302 2% 52%  
303 2% 50%  
304 2% 48%  
305 2% 47%  
306 2% 45%  
307 2% 43%  
308 2% 41%  
309 3% 39%  
310 2% 36%  
311 3% 34%  
312 2% 31%  
313 2% 30%  
314 3% 27%  
315 2% 24%  
316 3% 22%  
317 2% 19%  
318 1.4% 17%  
319 2% 15% Median
320 2% 13%  
321 1.5% 11%  
322 2% 9%  
323 0.8% 8%  
324 1.4% 7%  
325 1.4% 6%  
326 1.1% 4% Last Result
327 0.5% 3%  
328 0.6% 3%  
329 0.5% 2%  
330 0.2% 1.4%  
331 0.2% 1.2%  
332 0.3% 0.9%  
333 0.2% 0.7%  
334 0.1% 0.4%  
335 0.1% 0.3%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.6%  
256 0.6% 99.5%  
257 0.5% 99.0%  
258 0.3% 98%  
259 0.1% 98%  
260 0.6% 98%  
261 0.6% 97%  
262 0.7% 97%  
263 0.8% 96%  
264 2% 95%  
265 3% 93%  
266 2% 91%  
267 0.6% 89%  
268 2% 88%  
269 1.0% 87%  
270 3% 86%  
271 2% 83%  
272 3% 82%  
273 5% 79%  
274 2% 74%  
275 1.2% 72%  
276 0.9% 71%  
277 3% 70%  
278 3% 68%  
279 1.3% 65%  
280 2% 63%  
281 4% 62%  
282 2% 58%  
283 1.1% 56%  
284 0.7% 55%  
285 1.0% 54%  
286 2% 53%  
287 1.2% 51%  
288 2% 50%  
289 2% 49%  
290 2% 46%  
291 2% 45%  
292 2% 43%  
293 2% 41%  
294 2% 40%  
295 1.3% 38%  
296 4% 36%  
297 5% 33%  
298 2% 28%  
299 2% 26%  
300 2% 24% Last Result
301 2% 22%  
302 2% 20%  
303 3% 18%  
304 2% 16% Median
305 2% 13%  
306 2% 11%  
307 1.4% 9%  
308 1.0% 8%  
309 1.0% 7%  
310 2% 6%  
311 0.7% 4%  
312 0.8% 3%  
313 0.7% 3%  
314 0.4% 2%  
315 0.4% 1.5%  
316 0.2% 1.1%  
317 0.3% 0.9%  
318 0.2% 0.6%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.3%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0.1% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0.2% 99.7%  
240 0.2% 99.5%  
241 0.3% 99.3%  
242 0.4% 99.0%  
243 0.2% 98.6%  
244 0.2% 98%  
245 0.8% 98%  
246 1.0% 97%  
247 1.2% 96%  
248 1.1% 95%  
249 2% 94%  
250 0.7% 92%  
251 1.3% 92%  
252 2% 90%  
253 3% 89%  
254 3% 86%  
255 3% 83%  
256 2% 80%  
257 3% 78%  
258 4% 74%  
259 2% 70%  
260 2% 69%  
261 4% 67%  
262 3% 63%  
263 2% 60%  
264 4% 58%  
265 5% 53%  
266 2% 48% Median
267 2% 46%  
268 2% 44%  
269 2% 42%  
270 4% 39%  
271 2% 36%  
272 3% 33%  
273 5% 31%  
274 3% 26%  
275 1.4% 23%  
276 1.2% 21%  
277 3% 20%  
278 3% 17%  
279 1.3% 14%  
280 1.4% 13%  
281 4% 12%  
282 2% 8%  
283 0.9% 6%  
284 0.5% 6%  
285 0.8% 5%  
286 1.0% 4%  
287 0.8% 3%  
288 0.4% 3%  
289 0.7% 2%  
290 0.4% 1.4%  
291 0.2% 1.0%  
292 0.1% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.8%  
294 0.3% 0.7%  
295 0.2% 0.4%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0.1% 0.2%  
298 0.1% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.2% 99.7%  
173 0.2% 99.5%  
174 0.2% 99.2%  
175 0.2% 99.1%  
176 0.3% 98.9%  
177 0.8% 98.6%  
178 0.9% 98%  
179 1.4% 97%  
180 1.3% 95%  
181 0.9% 94%  
182 1.3% 93%  
183 3% 92%  
184 3% 89%  
185 3% 87%  
186 3% 84%  
187 2% 81%  
188 3% 79%  
189 4% 77%  
190 4% 72%  
191 3% 68%  
192 4% 65%  
193 4% 61%  
194 3% 58%  
195 4% 54%  
196 4% 50% Median
197 5% 46%  
198 3% 41%  
199 3% 38%  
200 4% 35%  
201 4% 31%  
202 3% 27%  
203 2% 24%  
204 3% 22%  
205 2% 19%  
206 3% 17%  
207 4% 14%  
208 2% 10%  
209 1.2% 9%  
210 0.9% 8%  
211 1.3% 7%  
212 1.3% 5%  
213 1.0% 4%  
214 0.8% 3%  
215 0.9% 2%  
216 0.1% 1.4%  
217 0.3% 1.2%  
218 0.2% 0.9%  
219 0.3% 0.8%  
220 0.1% 0.5%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.8%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.2% 99.5%  
115 0.3% 99.4%  
116 0.4% 99.0%  
117 0.5% 98.7%  
118 0.9% 98%  
119 0.8% 97%  
120 1.4% 96%  
121 2% 95%  
122 2% 93%  
123 2% 91%  
124 2% 89%  
125 2% 87%  
126 2% 85%  
127 4% 82%  
128 2% 78%  
129 2% 77%  
130 4% 74%  
131 2% 70%  
132 4% 68%  
133 3% 65%  
134 2% 62%  
135 2% 60%  
136 2% 58%  
137 1.2% 56%  
138 1.3% 55%  
139 0.6% 54%  
140 0.5% 53%  
141 0.7% 53%  
142 0.3% 52%  
143 0.5% 52%  
144 0.3% 51%  
145 0.2% 51%  
146 0.3% 51%  
147 0.2% 50%  
148 0.4% 50%  
149 0.5% 50%  
150 0.4% 49%  
151 0.4% 49%  
152 0.9% 49%  
153 0.9% 48%  
154 1.5% 47%  
155 2% 45%  
156 1.3% 44%  
157 3% 42%  
158 4% 40%  
159 3% 36%  
160 2% 33%  
161 4% 31%  
162 3% 27%  
163 2% 25% Median
164 3% 23%  
165 4% 20%  
166 2% 16%  
167 2% 14%  
168 2% 12%  
169 2% 10%  
170 2% 8%  
171 1.2% 6%  
172 2% 5%  
173 0.6% 3%  
174 0.6% 3%  
175 0.7% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.3%  
177 0.2% 1.0%  
178 0.3% 0.7%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations