Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 4–16 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.3–32.0% 27.8–32.5% 27.4–33.0% 26.6–33.9%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.5% 18.0–21.1% 17.5–21.6% 17.2–22.0% 16.5–22.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 17.0% 15.5–18.5% 15.2–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.2–20.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 223 210–238 206–242 203–247 197–255
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 145 133–157 130–160 127–164 122–171
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 126 114–138 112–141 109–144 105–151
Alternative für Deutschland 94 67 59–76 57–79 55–81 51–86
Die Linke 69 52 45–60 43–63 41–65 38–69
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 44–60 43–62 41–64 38–68
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 38–53 0–54 0–56 0–60

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0.1% 99.8%  
195 0.1% 99.7%  
196 0.1% 99.6%  
197 0.2% 99.5%  
198 0.2% 99.3%  
199 0.3% 99.1%  
200 0.4% 98.8% Last Result
201 0.4% 98%  
202 0.4% 98%  
203 0.6% 98%  
204 0.7% 97%  
205 0.7% 96%  
206 1.1% 96%  
207 1.1% 95%  
208 2% 93%  
209 1.4% 92%  
210 2% 90%  
211 2% 88%  
212 3% 87%  
213 3% 84%  
214 2% 81%  
215 2% 79%  
216 3% 76%  
217 4% 73%  
218 2% 70%  
219 4% 68%  
220 3% 64%  
221 4% 61%  
222 3% 56%  
223 4% 53% Median
224 3% 49%  
225 4% 46%  
226 3% 42%  
227 3% 39%  
228 4% 36%  
229 3% 32%  
230 3% 29%  
231 3% 26%  
232 3% 23%  
233 1.3% 20%  
234 2% 19%  
235 2% 16%  
236 2% 14%  
237 2% 13%  
238 2% 11%  
239 1.5% 9%  
240 0.9% 8%  
241 1.1% 7%  
242 0.8% 6%  
243 0.7% 5%  
244 0.7% 4%  
245 0.7% 4%  
246 0.5% 3%  
247 0.4% 3%  
248 0.5% 2%  
249 0.3% 2%  
250 0.2% 1.4%  
251 0.1% 1.1%  
252 0.2% 1.0%  
253 0.2% 0.8%  
254 0.1% 0.7%  
255 0.1% 0.6%  
256 0.1% 0.4%  
257 0.1% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.3%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.2% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.3% 99.4%  
124 0.2% 99.0%  
125 0.6% 98.9%  
126 0.4% 98%  
127 0.7% 98%  
128 0.8% 97%  
129 1.1% 96%  
130 1.5% 95%  
131 1.2% 94%  
132 2% 93%  
133 2% 90%  
134 3% 89%  
135 3% 86%  
136 3% 84%  
137 3% 81%  
138 4% 78%  
139 2% 74%  
140 5% 72%  
141 5% 67%  
142 4% 62%  
143 4% 58%  
144 4% 55%  
145 6% 50% Median
146 3% 45%  
147 4% 42%  
148 4% 37%  
149 3% 33%  
150 3% 30%  
151 3% 26%  
152 2% 23%  
153 3% 21%  
154 2% 18%  
155 2% 15%  
156 2% 13%  
157 2% 11%  
158 2% 9%  
159 0.9% 7%  
160 1.4% 6%  
161 0.7% 5%  
162 0.9% 4%  
163 0.7% 3%  
164 0.3% 3%  
165 0.5% 2%  
166 0.3% 2%  
167 0.3% 1.5%  
168 0.2% 1.2%  
169 0.3% 1.1%  
170 0.1% 0.8%  
171 0.2% 0.6%  
172 0.1% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.5%  
106 0.4% 99.4%  
107 0.3% 99.0%  
108 0.5% 98.7%  
109 0.9% 98%  
110 0.4% 97%  
111 1.3% 97%  
112 2% 96%  
113 0.9% 94%  
114 3% 93%  
115 1.4% 90%  
116 2% 89%  
117 4% 87%  
118 1.3% 83%  
119 4% 81%  
120 4% 77%  
121 2% 73%  
122 7% 72%  
123 4% 65%  
124 3% 61%  
125 7% 58%  
126 3% 51% Median
127 6% 47%  
128 5% 42%  
129 2% 37%  
130 5% 34%  
131 3% 29%  
132 2% 26%  
133 5% 24%  
134 1.4% 20%  
135 3% 19%  
136 3% 16%  
137 2% 13%  
138 3% 11%  
139 2% 9%  
140 0.8% 7%  
141 2% 6%  
142 0.5% 4%  
143 0.8% 4%  
144 0.8% 3%  
145 0.2% 2%  
146 0.4% 2%  
147 0.3% 2%  
148 0.2% 1.2%  
149 0.3% 1.0%  
150 0.1% 0.7%  
151 0.1% 0.6%  
152 0.1% 0.5%  
153 0% 0.3% Last Result
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.7%  
52 0.5% 99.5%  
53 0.5% 99.0%  
54 0.6% 98.6%  
55 1.2% 98%  
56 2% 97%  
57 1.4% 95%  
58 3% 94%  
59 3% 91%  
60 4% 88%  
61 3% 83%  
62 5% 80%  
63 6% 76%  
64 5% 70%  
65 5% 65%  
66 7% 60%  
67 5% 53% Median
68 5% 47%  
69 6% 42%  
70 5% 36%  
71 4% 31%  
72 4% 27%  
73 4% 22%  
74 3% 18%  
75 3% 15%  
76 3% 12%  
77 2% 9%  
78 2% 7%  
79 1.4% 6%  
80 1.1% 4%  
81 0.6% 3%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.3% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.3% 99.7%  
39 0.4% 99.4%  
40 0.5% 99.0%  
41 1.3% 98.5%  
42 1.1% 97%  
43 2% 96%  
44 3% 94%  
45 4% 91%  
46 4% 88%  
47 4% 84%  
48 6% 81%  
49 6% 74%  
50 7% 68%  
51 6% 61%  
52 7% 55% Median
53 6% 48%  
54 7% 43%  
55 5% 35%  
56 6% 30%  
57 4% 24%  
58 3% 20%  
59 4% 17%  
60 3% 12%  
61 3% 10%  
62 1.3% 7%  
63 2% 5%  
64 1.1% 4%  
65 0.9% 3%  
66 0.5% 2%  
67 0.4% 1.3%  
68 0.3% 0.9%  
69 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.7%  
38 0.2% 99.5%  
39 0.5% 99.3%  
40 1.1% 98.8%  
41 1.1% 98%  
42 1.1% 97%  
43 2% 96%  
44 4% 93%  
45 4% 89%  
46 3% 85% Last Result
47 5% 82%  
48 8% 77%  
49 7% 69%  
50 5% 62%  
51 6% 57%  
52 9% 51% Median
53 8% 42%  
54 4% 35%  
55 4% 30%  
56 6% 26%  
57 5% 21%  
58 2% 15%  
59 2% 13%  
60 3% 11%  
61 3% 8%  
62 1.2% 5%  
63 0.8% 4%  
64 1.2% 3%  
65 0.8% 2%  
66 0.4% 1.4%  
67 0.2% 1.0%  
68 0.3% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0.6% 93%  
38 4% 92%  
39 4% 89%  
40 4% 85%  
41 6% 80%  
42 6% 75%  
43 6% 69%  
44 7% 63%  
45 7% 56% Median
46 8% 50%  
47 7% 42%  
48 6% 35%  
49 6% 29%  
50 5% 23%  
51 4% 18%  
52 4% 14%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 7%  
55 1.4% 5%  
56 1.1% 4%  
57 0.9% 2%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.1%  
60 0.3% 0.7%  
61 0.2% 0.5%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 544 100% 532–561 528–577 525–584 520–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 464 100% 447–478 442–482 439–485 431–492
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 445 100% 429–459 424–463 419–467 410–475
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 419 100% 404–437 401–444 396–451 390–462
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 401 100% 386–419 382–424 378–432 371–443
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 386 98.6% 369–401 363–405 357–409 347–416
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 342 16% 328–359 323–364 320–370 312–382
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 323 1.4% 308–340 304–346 300–352 293–362
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 320 0.1% 301–334 294–339 288–342 278–349
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 315 0.1% 298–330 291–334 284–337 272–345
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 270 0% 256–286 252–292 249–296 242–306
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 179 0% 166–192 162–196 159–200 152–207
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 171 0% 155–183 140–187 131–190 122–197

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 99.9%  
514 0% 99.9%  
515 0% 99.9%  
516 0.1% 99.8%  
517 0.1% 99.8%  
518 0.1% 99.7%  
519 0.1% 99.6%  
520 0.2% 99.5%  
521 0.2% 99.3%  
522 0.4% 99.2%  
523 0.4% 98.8%  
524 0.5% 98%  
525 0.5% 98%  
526 0.8% 97%  
527 0.9% 97%  
528 1.1% 96%  
529 1.2% 95%  
530 1.3% 94%  
531 1.3% 92%  
532 2% 91%  
533 1.5% 89%  
534 2% 88%  
535 3% 86%  
536 3% 83%  
537 4% 80%  
538 3% 77%  
539 4% 73%  
540 4% 69%  
541 4% 65%  
542 4% 61%  
543 4% 57%  
544 4% 54%  
545 3% 50%  
546 3% 47% Median
547 4% 44%  
548 4% 40%  
549 3% 36%  
550 4% 33%  
551 4% 29%  
552 2% 26%  
553 3% 23%  
554 3% 20%  
555 2% 18%  
556 2% 16%  
557 1.1% 14%  
558 1.3% 13%  
559 1.1% 12%  
560 0.7% 11%  
561 0.5% 10%  
562 0.5% 10%  
563 0.4% 9%  
564 0.5% 9%  
565 0.3% 8%  
566 0.4% 8%  
567 0.2% 8%  
568 0.2% 7%  
569 0.2% 7%  
570 0.3% 7%  
571 0.1% 7%  
572 0.2% 6%  
573 0.2% 6%  
574 0.4% 6%  
575 0.2% 6%  
576 0.1% 5%  
577 0.2% 5%  
578 0.2% 5%  
579 0.2% 5%  
580 0.5% 5%  
581 0.6% 4%  
582 0.4% 4%  
583 0.4% 3%  
584 0.4% 3%  
585 0.4% 2%  
586 0.3% 2%  
587 0.2% 2%  
588 0.1% 1.5%  
589 0.1% 1.4%  
590 0.1% 1.2%  
591 0.3% 1.2%  
592 0.2% 0.9%  
593 0.2% 0.7%  
594 0.1% 0.6%  
595 0.1% 0.4%  
596 0.1% 0.3%  
597 0% 0.2%  
598 0% 0.2%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0.1%  
601 0% 0.1%  
602 0% 0.1%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0.1% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.8%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0.1% 99.7%  
430 0.1% 99.6%  
431 0.2% 99.5%  
432 0.1% 99.3%  
433 0.4% 99.3%  
434 0.2% 98.9%  
435 0.3% 98.7%  
436 0.2% 98%  
437 0.3% 98%  
438 0.4% 98%  
439 0.4% 98%  
440 0.8% 97%  
441 0.4% 96%  
442 0.9% 96%  
443 0.8% 95%  
444 0.9% 94%  
445 1.0% 93%  
446 1.1% 92%  
447 1.4% 91%  
448 1.2% 90%  
449 2% 89%  
450 1.4% 87%  
451 2% 85%  
452 2% 83%  
453 3% 82%  
454 2% 79%  
455 3% 77%  
456 3% 75%  
457 3% 72%  
458 3% 70%  
459 3% 66%  
460 3% 64%  
461 4% 61%  
462 3% 57%  
463 3% 54%  
464 3% 51%  
465 5% 48% Median
466 3% 43%  
467 3% 40%  
468 4% 37%  
469 2% 33%  
470 3% 30%  
471 3% 27%  
472 3% 24%  
473 2% 21%  
474 3% 19%  
475 2% 16%  
476 2% 14%  
477 2% 12%  
478 2% 10%  
479 1.5% 9%  
480 1.3% 7%  
481 1.2% 6%  
482 1.1% 5%  
483 0.6% 4%  
484 0.8% 3%  
485 0.3% 3%  
486 0.5% 2%  
487 0.4% 2%  
488 0.2% 1.4%  
489 0.3% 1.2%  
490 0.2% 0.9%  
491 0.1% 0.7%  
492 0.1% 0.6%  
493 0.1% 0.5%  
494 0.1% 0.4%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.2% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.3%  
413 0.1% 99.1%  
414 0.1% 99.0%  
415 0.1% 98.9%  
416 0.3% 98.8%  
417 0.3% 98%  
418 0.4% 98%  
419 0.3% 98%  
420 0.4% 97%  
421 0.7% 97%  
422 0.6% 96%  
423 0.8% 96%  
424 1.1% 95%  
425 0.6% 94%  
426 0.8% 93%  
427 1.2% 93%  
428 1.0% 92%  
429 1.1% 90%  
430 1.5% 89%  
431 1.4% 88%  
432 2% 87%  
433 2% 85%  
434 2% 83%  
435 2% 81%  
436 3% 79%  
437 3% 76%  
438 2% 73%  
439 3% 71%  
440 3% 67%  
441 3% 64%  
442 3% 61%  
443 3% 58%  
444 3% 55%  
445 4% 52%  
446 3% 49% Median
447 3% 45%  
448 4% 42%  
449 4% 38%  
450 2% 34%  
451 5% 32%  
452 3% 28%  
453 3% 25%  
454 2% 22%  
455 2% 20%  
456 3% 18%  
457 2% 15%  
458 1.5% 13%  
459 2% 12%  
460 2% 10%  
461 0.8% 8%  
462 1.3% 7%  
463 1.1% 6%  
464 1.0% 5%  
465 0.7% 4%  
466 0.6% 3%  
467 0.4% 3%  
468 0.4% 2%  
469 0.4% 2%  
470 0.3% 1.4%  
471 0.2% 1.1%  
472 0.2% 1.0%  
473 0.2% 0.8%  
474 0.1% 0.6%  
475 0.1% 0.5%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.1% 99.5%  
391 0.1% 99.4%  
392 0.2% 99.3%  
393 0.2% 99.1%  
394 0.3% 98.9%  
395 0.6% 98.6%  
396 0.6% 98%  
397 0.5% 97%  
398 0.6% 97%  
399 0.6% 96%  
400 0.6% 96%  
401 0.8% 95%  
402 1.5% 94%  
403 2% 93%  
404 2% 91%  
405 2% 89%  
406 2% 88%  
407 1.3% 86%  
408 2% 85%  
409 2% 83%  
410 3% 80%  
411 4% 78%  
412 3% 73%  
413 3% 71%  
414 3% 68%  
415 3% 65%  
416 2% 63%  
417 4% 60%  
418 3% 56%  
419 4% 53%  
420 5% 49% Median
421 2% 44%  
422 3% 42%  
423 3% 38%  
424 2% 36%  
425 4% 34%  
426 3% 30%  
427 2% 27%  
428 2% 24%  
429 2% 23%  
430 1.0% 20%  
431 2% 19%  
432 2% 18%  
433 1.3% 16%  
434 2% 14%  
435 1.4% 13%  
436 0.7% 11%  
437 1.4% 11%  
438 0.9% 9%  
439 0.4% 9%  
440 1.1% 8%  
441 0.6% 7%  
442 0.5% 6%  
443 0.4% 6%  
444 0.6% 5%  
445 0.4% 5%  
446 0.4% 4%  
447 0.3% 4%  
448 0.4% 4%  
449 0.4% 3%  
450 0.4% 3%  
451 0.4% 3%  
452 0.2% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 2%  
455 0.2% 2%  
456 0.1% 1.4%  
457 0.2% 1.3%  
458 0.1% 1.1%  
459 0.1% 0.9%  
460 0.2% 0.8%  
461 0.1% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0.1% 0.3%  
466 0.1% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.6%  
372 0.2% 99.5%  
373 0.2% 99.3%  
374 0.3% 99.1%  
375 0.3% 98.9%  
376 0.4% 98.6%  
377 0.3% 98%  
378 0.7% 98%  
379 0.4% 97%  
380 0.6% 97%  
381 0.6% 96%  
382 0.8% 96%  
383 1.0% 95%  
384 1.4% 94%  
385 1.1% 92%  
386 2% 91%  
387 1.2% 89%  
388 2% 88%  
389 3% 86%  
390 4% 83%  
391 3% 80%  
392 3% 77%  
393 3% 74%  
394 3% 71%  
395 3% 69%  
396 2% 66%  
397 3% 64%  
398 3% 61%  
399 2% 58% Last Result
400 3% 56%  
401 4% 53% Median
402 2% 49%  
403 3% 47%  
404 5% 43%  
405 5% 39%  
406 3% 34%  
407 4% 31%  
408 3% 28%  
409 2% 25%  
410 3% 23%  
411 2% 20%  
412 2% 19%  
413 1.3% 17%  
414 1.2% 16%  
415 0.9% 15%  
416 1.2% 14%  
417 1.0% 12%  
418 1.2% 11%  
419 0.9% 10%  
420 1.3% 9%  
421 0.9% 8%  
422 0.7% 7%  
423 0.7% 6%  
424 0.8% 6%  
425 0.4% 5%  
426 0.5% 5%  
427 0.3% 4%  
428 0.3% 4%  
429 0.2% 4%  
430 0.3% 3%  
431 0.3% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.3% 2%  
434 0.3% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.2% 1.5%  
438 0.2% 1.3%  
439 0.1% 1.1%  
440 0.1% 1.0%  
441 0.2% 0.9%  
442 0.1% 0.7%  
443 0.1% 0.6%  
444 0% 0.5%  
445 0.1% 0.4%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0.1% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0% 99.4%  
350 0.2% 99.4%  
351 0.2% 99.2%  
352 0.2% 99.0%  
353 0.1% 98.8%  
354 0.1% 98.7%  
355 0.3% 98.6% Majority
356 0.4% 98%  
357 0.5% 98%  
358 0.3% 97%  
359 0.3% 97%  
360 0.1% 97%  
361 0.3% 97%  
362 0.7% 96%  
363 0.9% 96%  
364 0.8% 95%  
365 0.4% 94%  
366 0.7% 93%  
367 0.8% 93%  
368 1.4% 92%  
369 0.9% 90%  
370 1.2% 90%  
371 0.9% 88%  
372 2% 87%  
373 2% 86%  
374 2% 84%  
375 2% 82%  
376 2% 81%  
377 2% 79%  
378 3% 76%  
379 2% 73%  
380 2% 71%  
381 2% 69%  
382 3% 67%  
383 5% 64%  
384 4% 59%  
385 3% 55%  
386 2% 52%  
387 3% 50% Median
388 3% 47%  
389 5% 44%  
390 4% 39%  
391 3% 35%  
392 2% 32%  
393 2% 30%  
394 3% 27%  
395 3% 24%  
396 2% 21%  
397 2% 18%  
398 2% 17%  
399 2% 15%  
400 2% 13%  
401 2% 11%  
402 1.4% 10%  
403 2% 8%  
404 0.7% 6%  
405 1.2% 6%  
406 0.5% 5%  
407 0.6% 4%  
408 0.5% 3%  
409 0.7% 3%  
410 0.6% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.2% 1.4%  
413 0.2% 1.2%  
414 0.2% 1.1%  
415 0.2% 0.8%  
416 0.1% 0.6%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0% 0.4%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
421 0% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.1% 99.8%  
311 0.1% 99.7%  
312 0.2% 99.7%  
313 0.1% 99.5%  
314 0.2% 99.4%  
315 0.2% 99.2%  
316 0.2% 99.0%  
317 0.3% 98.7%  
318 0.5% 98%  
319 0.3% 98%  
320 0.7% 98%  
321 0.5% 97%  
322 0.8% 96%  
323 0.9% 96%  
324 1.0% 95%  
325 2% 94%  
326 1.0% 92%  
327 1.0% 91%  
328 2% 90%  
329 2% 88%  
330 2% 86%  
331 3% 84%  
332 3% 82%  
333 2% 79%  
334 3% 77%  
335 3% 74%  
336 3% 71%  
337 3% 68%  
338 3% 65%  
339 3% 62%  
340 3% 59% Last Result
341 4% 56%  
342 3% 52% Median
343 4% 49%  
344 3% 45%  
345 3% 42%  
346 3% 40%  
347 3% 36%  
348 4% 33%  
349 2% 30%  
350 2% 28%  
351 3% 26%  
352 3% 23%  
353 2% 20%  
354 2% 18%  
355 2% 16% Majority
356 1.3% 14%  
357 1.5% 13%  
358 1.2% 12%  
359 1.2% 10%  
360 0.7% 9%  
361 0.8% 8%  
362 1.2% 8%  
363 0.7% 6%  
364 0.9% 6%  
365 0.4% 5%  
366 0.5% 4%  
367 0.5% 4%  
368 0.5% 3%  
369 0.3% 3%  
370 0.3% 3%  
371 0.2% 2%  
372 0.3% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.2% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.2% 1.3%  
377 0.1% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 1.0%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.7%  
381 0.1% 0.6%  
382 0% 0.5%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0.1% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0% 99.7%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0.1% 99.5%  
294 0.2% 99.4%  
295 0.2% 99.2%  
296 0.2% 98.9%  
297 0.2% 98.8%  
298 0.2% 98.6%  
299 0.6% 98%  
300 0.7% 98%  
301 0.5% 97%  
302 0.6% 97%  
303 0.5% 96%  
304 1.2% 95%  
305 0.7% 94%  
306 2% 94%  
307 1.4% 92%  
308 2% 90%  
309 2% 89%  
310 2% 87%  
311 2% 85%  
312 2% 83%  
313 2% 82%  
314 3% 79%  
315 3% 76%  
316 2% 73%  
317 2% 70%  
318 3% 68%  
319 4% 65%  
320 5% 61%  
321 3% 56%  
322 3% 53%  
323 2% 50% Median
324 3% 48%  
325 4% 45%  
326 5% 41%  
327 3% 36%  
328 2% 33%  
329 2% 31%  
330 2% 29%  
331 3% 27%  
332 2% 24%  
333 2% 21%  
334 2% 19%  
335 2% 18%  
336 2% 16%  
337 2% 14%  
338 0.9% 13%  
339 1.2% 12%  
340 0.9% 10%  
341 1.4% 10%  
342 0.8% 8%  
343 0.7% 7%  
344 0.4% 7%  
345 0.8% 6%  
346 0.9% 5%  
347 0.7% 4%  
348 0.3% 4%  
349 0.1% 3%  
350 0.3% 3%  
351 0.3% 3%  
352 0.5% 3%  
353 0.4% 2%  
354 0.3% 2%  
355 0.1% 1.4% Majority
356 0.1% 1.3%  
357 0.2% 1.2%  
358 0.2% 1.0%  
359 0.2% 0.8%  
360 0% 0.6%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.3%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.6%  
278 0% 99.5%  
279 0.1% 99.5%  
280 0.4% 99.3%  
281 0.1% 99.0%  
282 0.1% 98.9%  
283 0.4% 98.7%  
284 0.3% 98%  
285 0.2% 98%  
286 0.1% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.4% 98%  
289 0.3% 97%  
290 0.3% 97%  
291 0.6% 97%  
292 0.2% 96%  
293 0.4% 96%  
294 0.9% 95%  
295 0.4% 94%  
296 0.6% 94%  
297 0.8% 93%  
298 1.0% 93%  
299 0.9% 92%  
300 0.7% 91%  
301 1.1% 90%  
302 0.9% 89%  
303 0.8% 88%  
304 2% 87%  
305 1.0% 86%  
306 1.2% 85%  
307 2% 84%  
308 3% 81%  
309 1.5% 79%  
310 3% 77%  
311 3% 74%  
312 2% 72%  
313 2% 70%  
314 3% 68%  
315 1.5% 64%  
316 4% 63%  
317 3% 59%  
318 3% 56%  
319 2% 53%  
320 5% 51% Median
321 4% 46%  
322 2% 42%  
323 3% 40%  
324 4% 37%  
325 2% 33%  
326 2% 31% Last Result
327 3% 29%  
328 3% 25%  
329 2% 23%  
330 3% 20%  
331 2% 17%  
332 2% 15%  
333 1.5% 12%  
334 2% 11%  
335 1.1% 9%  
336 1.2% 8%  
337 0.8% 7%  
338 0.9% 6%  
339 0.8% 5%  
340 1.3% 4%  
341 0.5% 3%  
342 0.4% 3%  
343 0.6% 2%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.1% 1.3%  
346 0.3% 1.1%  
347 0.2% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0.1% 0.3%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0.1% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0% 99.5%  
273 0.1% 99.5%  
274 0.2% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 99.2%  
276 0.1% 99.1%  
277 0.2% 99.0%  
278 0.1% 98.8%  
279 0.3% 98.7%  
280 0.1% 98%  
281 0.1% 98%  
282 0.2% 98%  
283 0.3% 98%  
284 0.2% 98%  
285 0.3% 97%  
286 0.4% 97%  
287 0.3% 97%  
288 0.4% 96%  
289 0.4% 96%  
290 0.3% 96%  
291 0.5% 95%  
292 0.7% 95%  
293 0.7% 94%  
294 0.7% 93%  
295 0.9% 93%  
296 0.8% 92%  
297 0.9% 91%  
298 1.3% 90%  
299 0.9% 89%  
300 2% 88% Last Result
301 2% 86%  
302 2% 85%  
303 2% 83%  
304 2% 81%  
305 2% 79%  
306 2% 77%  
307 3% 75%  
308 3% 72%  
309 2% 69%  
310 3% 67%  
311 3% 63%  
312 3% 60%  
313 3% 57%  
314 4% 54%  
315 3% 50%  
316 3% 47% Median
317 3% 44%  
318 3% 41%  
319 4% 38%  
320 3% 34%  
321 3% 31%  
322 3% 28%  
323 3% 25%  
324 2% 22%  
325 2% 20%  
326 2% 18%  
327 2% 16%  
328 2% 13%  
329 1.3% 12%  
330 2% 10%  
331 1.3% 9%  
332 1.3% 7%  
333 0.9% 6%  
334 0.8% 5%  
335 0.7% 4%  
336 0.6% 4%  
337 0.7% 3%  
338 0.4% 2%  
339 0.3% 2%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.3% 1.3%  
342 0.2% 1.0%  
343 0.2% 0.8%  
344 0.1% 0.7%  
345 0.1% 0.5%  
346 0.1% 0.4%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0.1% 99.6%  
243 0.1% 99.5%  
244 0.2% 99.3%  
245 0.3% 99.1%  
246 0.3% 98.9%  
247 0.4% 98.5%  
248 0.5% 98%  
249 0.5% 98%  
250 0.6% 97%  
251 0.8% 96%  
252 1.2% 96%  
253 0.8% 95%  
254 2% 94%  
255 2% 92%  
256 1.4% 91%  
257 2% 89%  
258 2% 87%  
259 2% 86%  
260 3% 83%  
261 2% 81%  
262 3% 79%  
263 3% 76%  
264 3% 73%  
265 2% 70%  
266 5% 67%  
267 3% 63%  
268 3% 60%  
269 3% 57%  
270 4% 54%  
271 3% 50% Median
272 4% 47%  
273 2% 43%  
274 5% 40%  
275 3% 35%  
276 3% 33%  
277 3% 30%  
278 2% 27%  
279 3% 25%  
280 2% 22%  
281 2% 21%  
282 2% 18%  
283 2% 16%  
284 2% 15%  
285 1.4% 13%  
286 2% 12%  
287 1.0% 10%  
288 1.3% 9%  
289 0.9% 8%  
290 0.7% 7%  
291 0.7% 6%  
292 0.8% 5%  
293 0.5% 4%  
294 0.7% 4%  
295 0.5% 3%  
296 0.4% 3%  
297 0.2% 2%  
298 0.5% 2%  
299 0.2% 2%  
300 0.2% 2%  
301 0.2% 1.3%  
302 0.2% 1.2%  
303 0.2% 1.0%  
304 0.1% 0.8%  
305 0.1% 0.7%  
306 0.1% 0.6%  
307 0.1% 0.5%  
308 0% 0.4%  
309 0% 0.3%  
310 0% 0.3%  
311 0% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0% 99.6%  
151 0.1% 99.6%  
152 0.1% 99.5%  
153 0.1% 99.4%  
154 0.1% 99.3%  
155 0.2% 99.2%  
156 0.3% 98.9%  
157 0.3% 98.6%  
158 0.5% 98%  
159 0.7% 98%  
160 0.8% 97%  
161 0.5% 96%  
162 1.2% 96%  
163 1.1% 95%  
164 1.4% 94%  
165 2% 92%  
166 2% 90%  
167 2% 88%  
168 2% 86%  
169 2% 84%  
170 3% 82%  
171 3% 79%  
172 3% 75%  
173 4% 72%  
174 3% 68%  
175 4% 65%  
176 3% 61%  
177 4% 58%  
178 4% 54% Median
179 5% 50%  
180 4% 45%  
181 4% 41%  
182 3% 37%  
183 4% 35%  
184 4% 31%  
185 2% 27%  
186 4% 25%  
187 3% 21%  
188 2% 19%  
189 3% 17%  
190 2% 14%  
191 1.5% 12%  
192 1.2% 11%  
193 2% 10%  
194 1.4% 8%  
195 0.7% 7%  
196 1.0% 6%  
197 0.8% 5%  
198 0.5% 4%  
199 0.5% 3%  
200 0.5% 3%  
201 0.6% 2%  
202 0.2% 2%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.2% 1.2%  
205 0.2% 1.0%  
206 0.2% 0.8%  
207 0.2% 0.7%  
208 0.1% 0.5%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.7%  
121 0.1% 99.6%  
122 0% 99.5%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 0.2% 99.2%  
125 0.1% 99.0%  
126 0.3% 98.9%  
127 0.3% 98.6%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.5% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.3% 98%  
132 0.2% 97%  
133 0.2% 97%  
134 0.2% 97%  
135 0.5% 97%  
136 0.1% 96%  
137 0.7% 96%  
138 0.2% 96%  
139 0.2% 95%  
140 0.3% 95%  
141 0.6% 95%  
142 0.1% 94%  
143 0.4% 94%  
144 0.1% 94%  
145 0.1% 94%  
146 0.2% 94%  
147 0.1% 93%  
148 0.3% 93%  
149 0.3% 93%  
150 0.3% 93%  
151 0.3% 92%  
152 0.4% 92%  
153 0.6% 92%  
154 0.6% 91%  
155 1.0% 90%  
156 0.9% 89%  
157 1.1% 89%  
158 2% 87%  
159 2% 86%  
160 2% 84%  
161 3% 82%  
162 2% 80%  
163 2% 78%  
164 3% 75%  
165 3% 72%  
166 3% 69%  
167 4% 66%  
168 4% 62%  
169 3% 58%  
170 4% 55%  
171 4% 51% Median
172 5% 47%  
173 4% 43%  
174 4% 39%  
175 3% 34%  
176 4% 32%  
177 3% 28%  
178 3% 25%  
179 3% 22%  
180 3% 19%  
181 2% 16%  
182 2% 14%  
183 2% 12%  
184 2% 10%  
185 1.5% 8%  
186 1.4% 7%  
187 0.8% 5%  
188 0.9% 5%  
189 0.7% 4%  
190 0.6% 3%  
191 0.4% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.3% 1.2%  
195 0.2% 0.9%  
196 0.2% 0.7%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations