Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 14–16 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.4–31.8% 28.0–32.3% 27.6–32.7% 26.8–33.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.3–20.9% 16.9–21.3% 16.3–22.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 17.0% 15.7–18.4% 15.3–18.9% 15.0–19.2% 14.4–19.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.8% 8.0–12.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.9% 6.1–7.9% 5.8–8.2% 5.6–8.5% 5.3–9.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 229 214–245 210–250 206–252 201–259
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 145 133–157 130–161 127–165 122–170
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 130 119–141 115–145 113–148 108–154
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 68–85 66–88 64–91 60–95
Die Linke 69 54 47–62 45–64 43–66 40–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 46–61 44–63 43–65 40–69
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 37 0–44 0–46 0–47 0–51

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
194 0% 100%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0.1% 99.9%  
198 0.1% 99.8%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
201 0.2% 99.5%  
202 0.2% 99.3%  
203 0.2% 99.1%  
204 0.4% 98.8%  
205 0.7% 98%  
206 0.5% 98%  
207 0.7% 97%  
208 0.6% 97%  
209 0.8% 96%  
210 2% 95%  
211 0.8% 93%  
212 1.1% 93%  
213 1.1% 91%  
214 2% 90%  
215 2% 88%  
216 1.5% 87%  
217 2% 85%  
218 2% 83%  
219 2% 81%  
220 2% 79%  
221 2% 77%  
222 4% 75%  
223 2% 71%  
224 3% 69%  
225 3% 66%  
226 3% 63%  
227 4% 60%  
228 5% 56%  
229 2% 51% Median
230 5% 49%  
231 4% 43%  
232 5% 40%  
233 1.5% 35%  
234 3% 33%  
235 3% 30%  
236 3% 27%  
237 3% 24%  
238 2% 22%  
239 1.3% 20%  
240 1.1% 19%  
241 2% 18%  
242 1.3% 15%  
243 2% 14%  
244 0.9% 12%  
245 2% 12%  
246 0.8% 10%  
247 2% 9%  
248 1.3% 7%  
249 1.0% 6%  
250 0.7% 5%  
251 0.4% 4%  
252 1.5% 4%  
253 0.6% 2%  
254 0.4% 2%  
255 0.2% 2%  
256 0.3% 1.3%  
257 0.2% 1.0%  
258 0.1% 0.8%  
259 0.2% 0.6%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.3%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.3% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.2% 99.4%  
124 0.2% 99.2%  
125 0.3% 99.0%  
126 0.4% 98.6%  
127 0.7% 98%  
128 1.3% 97%  
129 1.1% 96%  
130 1.3% 95%  
131 1.3% 94%  
132 1.4% 92%  
133 1.5% 91%  
134 2% 90%  
135 2% 87%  
136 4% 85%  
137 3% 81%  
138 3% 77%  
139 3% 75%  
140 3% 72%  
141 3% 69%  
142 4% 65%  
143 4% 61%  
144 5% 57%  
145 5% 52% Median
146 4% 47%  
147 3% 44%  
148 4% 41%  
149 3% 36%  
150 5% 33%  
151 4% 28%  
152 3% 24%  
153 2% 21%  
154 3% 18%  
155 2% 16%  
156 1.3% 14%  
157 2% 12%  
158 1.5% 10%  
159 2% 8%  
160 1.0% 6%  
161 0.8% 5%  
162 0.7% 5%  
163 0.5% 4%  
164 0.6% 3%  
165 0.7% 3%  
166 0.6% 2%  
167 0.5% 2%  
168 0.3% 1.1%  
169 0.2% 0.8%  
170 0.1% 0.6%  
171 0.1% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.6%  
109 0.3% 99.5%  
110 0.4% 99.2%  
111 0.4% 98.8%  
112 0.6% 98%  
113 0.6% 98%  
114 1.0% 97%  
115 1.5% 96%  
116 1.3% 95%  
117 2% 93%  
118 2% 92%  
119 2% 90%  
120 2% 88%  
121 3% 85%  
122 3% 82%  
123 4% 79%  
124 4% 75%  
125 4% 71%  
126 4% 67%  
127 5% 63%  
128 3% 58%  
129 5% 55%  
130 4% 50% Median
131 4% 46%  
132 4% 42%  
133 3% 38%  
134 3% 35%  
135 5% 31%  
136 3% 27%  
137 3% 24%  
138 4% 21%  
139 2% 17%  
140 3% 15%  
141 2% 12%  
142 2% 10%  
143 1.0% 8%  
144 1.2% 7%  
145 2% 6%  
146 0.6% 4%  
147 0.7% 4%  
148 0.7% 3%  
149 0.4% 2%  
150 0.6% 2%  
151 0.3% 1.2%  
152 0.2% 1.0%  
153 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.2% 99.6%  
61 0.4% 99.4%  
62 0.5% 99.1%  
63 0.8% 98.5%  
64 0.8% 98%  
65 1.1% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 3% 94%  
68 3% 91%  
69 4% 88%  
70 5% 84%  
71 5% 80%  
72 5% 75%  
73 4% 70%  
74 5% 66%  
75 5% 61%  
76 6% 56% Median
77 5% 50%  
78 6% 45%  
79 5% 39%  
80 5% 34%  
81 5% 29%  
82 5% 24%  
83 4% 19%  
84 3% 15%  
85 4% 12%  
86 2% 9%  
87 1.2% 7%  
88 1.1% 6%  
89 1.2% 5%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 0.6% 3%  
92 0.6% 2%  
93 0.4% 1.4%  
94 0.3% 1.1% Last Result
95 0.3% 0.8%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.6% 99.5%  
42 0.7% 98.9%  
43 1.2% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 94%  
47 4% 91%  
48 4% 87%  
49 6% 83%  
50 6% 77%  
51 7% 71%  
52 6% 64%  
53 6% 58%  
54 8% 51% Median
55 6% 44%  
56 6% 38%  
57 5% 31%  
58 5% 26%  
59 4% 21%  
60 3% 17%  
61 4% 14%  
62 3% 11%  
63 2% 8%  
64 2% 5%  
65 1.2% 4%  
66 0.8% 3%  
67 0.4% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.3%  
69 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.6%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.4% 99.5%  
41 0.6% 99.1%  
42 0.8% 98.5%  
43 1.3% 98%  
44 2% 96%  
45 2% 95%  
46 4% 92% Last Result
47 4% 88%  
48 4% 84%  
49 6% 80%  
50 6% 74%  
51 6% 68%  
52 7% 62%  
53 7% 55% Median
54 7% 48%  
55 7% 41%  
56 6% 34%  
57 5% 28%  
58 5% 23%  
59 3% 18%  
60 4% 15%  
61 3% 11%  
62 2% 8%  
63 1.4% 6%  
64 1.3% 4%  
65 1.0% 3%  
66 0.5% 2%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.0%  
69 0.2% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 0% 51%  
17 0% 51%  
18 0% 51%  
19 0% 51%  
20 0% 51%  
21 0% 51%  
22 0% 51%  
23 0% 51%  
24 0% 51%  
25 0% 51%  
26 0% 51%  
27 0% 51%  
28 0% 51%  
29 0% 51%  
30 0% 51%  
31 0% 51%  
32 0% 51%  
33 0% 51%  
34 0% 51%  
35 0% 51%  
36 0% 51%  
37 2% 51% Median
38 8% 49%  
39 8% 41%  
40 7% 33%  
41 6% 26%  
42 6% 20%  
43 4% 15%  
44 3% 11%  
45 2% 7%  
46 2% 5%  
47 1.2% 3%  
48 0.8% 2%  
49 0.6% 1.4%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 556 100% 534–582 530–586 527–588 522–593
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 449 100% 432–465 428–469 423–472 417–479
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 434 100% 416–451 412–454 408–458 401–464
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 427 100% 407–449 403–454 399–457 391–464
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 412 100% 391–433 387–438 384–441 377–449
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 381 97% 361–398 357–403 354–406 346–414
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 358 61% 339–379 334–384 331–388 325–394
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 328 3% 311–348 306–352 303–355 295–363
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 304 0% 282–325 278–328 274–332 267–339
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 297 0% 275–317 270–322 266–326 259–332
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 274 0% 258–292 254–297 251–300 244–307
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 184 0% 170–198 167–201 163–205 157–211
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 153 0% 127–174 123–178 121–181 115–187

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 99.9%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0% 99.9%  
518 0.1% 99.9%  
519 0.1% 99.8%  
520 0.1% 99.7%  
521 0.1% 99.6%  
522 0.2% 99.5%  
523 0.3% 99.3%  
524 0.3% 99.1%  
525 0.4% 98.7%  
526 0.6% 98%  
527 0.6% 98%  
528 0.7% 97%  
529 1.1% 96%  
530 0.8% 95%  
531 1.1% 95%  
532 1.1% 94%  
533 1.2% 92%  
534 2% 91%  
535 2% 89%  
536 2% 88%  
537 1.3% 86%  
538 4% 84%  
539 2% 81%  
540 3% 79%  
541 3% 76%  
542 1.4% 73%  
543 3% 72%  
544 3% 69%  
545 2% 66%  
546 2% 64%  
547 2% 62%  
548 2% 61%  
549 2% 59%  
550 2% 56%  
551 1.0% 55%  
552 1.5% 54%  
553 0.7% 52%  
554 1.1% 52%  
555 0.5% 51%  
556 0.6% 50%  
557 0.4% 49% Median
558 0.6% 49%  
559 0.8% 48%  
560 0.4% 48%  
561 1.0% 47%  
562 0.9% 46%  
563 1.0% 45%  
564 1.0% 44%  
565 1.0% 43%  
566 1.1% 42%  
567 2% 41%  
568 2% 39%  
569 1.3% 38%  
570 3% 36%  
571 1.5% 33%  
572 2% 32%  
573 3% 29%  
574 2% 26%  
575 3% 24%  
576 2% 21%  
577 2% 19%  
578 2% 17%  
579 2% 15%  
580 2% 13%  
581 1.4% 11%  
582 1.4% 10%  
583 1.1% 9%  
584 1.4% 8%  
585 0.9% 6%  
586 2% 5%  
587 0.8% 4%  
588 0.6% 3%  
589 0.5% 2%  
590 0.5% 2%  
591 0.3% 1.2%  
592 0.2% 0.9%  
593 0.2% 0.7%  
594 0.1% 0.5%  
595 0.1% 0.4%  
596 0.1% 0.3%  
597 0.1% 0.2%  
598 0% 0.1%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0.1%  
601 0% 0.1%  
602 0% 0.1%  
603 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.7%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.2% 99.5%  
418 0.2% 99.3%  
419 0.3% 99.1%  
420 0.1% 98.8%  
421 0.4% 98.6%  
422 0.3% 98%  
423 0.5% 98%  
424 0.4% 97%  
425 0.4% 97%  
426 0.7% 97%  
427 0.5% 96%  
428 0.7% 95%  
429 1.2% 95%  
430 0.7% 93%  
431 2% 93%  
432 1.3% 91%  
433 2% 90%  
434 1.2% 88%  
435 4% 86%  
436 1.4% 83%  
437 2% 81%  
438 3% 79%  
439 2% 76%  
440 2% 74%  
441 2% 72%  
442 2% 70%  
443 2% 68%  
444 2% 66%  
445 2% 63%  
446 2% 61%  
447 4% 58%  
448 3% 54%  
449 4% 51%  
450 3% 47%  
451 3% 44%  
452 3% 42%  
453 2% 39%  
454 3% 36%  
455 3% 33%  
456 3% 31%  
457 2% 28%  
458 2% 26%  
459 3% 24%  
460 1.5% 21%  
461 3% 20%  
462 1.3% 17%  
463 2% 16%  
464 2% 14% Median
465 2% 12%  
466 2% 10%  
467 1.1% 8%  
468 1.4% 7%  
469 0.8% 5%  
470 1.1% 5%  
471 0.4% 3%  
472 0.5% 3%  
473 0.6% 2%  
474 0.3% 2%  
475 0.4% 2%  
476 0.2% 1.2%  
477 0.2% 1.0%  
478 0.1% 0.8%  
479 0.2% 0.7%  
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0.1% 0.4%  
482 0.1% 0.3%  
483 0.1% 0.2%  
484 0.1% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0% 99.7%  
400 0.1% 99.7%  
401 0.1% 99.5%  
402 0.2% 99.4%  
403 0.2% 99.3%  
404 0.3% 99.1%  
405 0.4% 98.8%  
406 0.4% 98%  
407 0.2% 98%  
408 0.9% 98%  
409 0.3% 97%  
410 0.7% 97%  
411 0.6% 96%  
412 1.2% 95%  
413 1.0% 94%  
414 1.2% 93%  
415 1.4% 92%  
416 1.1% 91%  
417 2% 89%  
418 2% 88%  
419 1.1% 85%  
420 3% 84%  
421 1.2% 81%  
422 2% 80%  
423 2% 78%  
424 2% 76%  
425 2% 74%  
426 2% 72%  
427 3% 70%  
428 2% 67%  
429 3% 65%  
430 4% 62%  
431 2% 58%  
432 3% 56%  
433 2% 53%  
434 2% 51%  
435 3% 48%  
436 3% 45%  
437 2% 42%  
438 4% 40%  
439 3% 36%  
440 2% 33%  
441 3% 31%  
442 3% 27%  
443 1.3% 24%  
444 2% 23%  
445 3% 21%  
446 1.3% 18%  
447 2% 17%  
448 2% 14%  
449 1.2% 12% Median
450 0.9% 11%  
451 1.4% 10%  
452 2% 9%  
453 0.8% 7%  
454 2% 6%  
455 0.6% 5%  
456 0.5% 4%  
457 1.1% 4%  
458 0.6% 3%  
459 0.3% 2%  
460 0.4% 2%  
461 0.4% 1.4%  
462 0.1% 0.9%  
463 0.2% 0.9%  
464 0.2% 0.6%  
465 0.1% 0.5%  
466 0.1% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.2% 99.6%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.2% 99.4%  
394 0.2% 99.2%  
395 0.2% 99.0%  
396 0.3% 98.7%  
397 0.4% 98%  
398 0.4% 98%  
399 0.4% 98%  
400 0.8% 97%  
401 0.6% 97%  
402 0.9% 96%  
403 1.0% 95%  
404 0.9% 94%  
405 1.4% 93%  
406 1.3% 92%  
407 1.5% 90%  
408 2% 89%  
409 3% 87%  
410 2% 84%  
411 2% 82%  
412 2% 81%  
413 1.4% 79%  
414 2% 77%  
415 2% 75%  
416 2% 73%  
417 2% 71%  
418 2% 69%  
419 3% 68%  
420 2% 65%  
421 2% 63%  
422 1.3% 61%  
423 2% 60%  
424 2% 57%  
425 2% 55%  
426 2% 53%  
427 2% 52% Median
428 2% 50%  
429 2% 48%  
430 1.1% 46%  
431 2% 45%  
432 2% 42%  
433 2% 40%  
434 1.2% 38%  
435 4% 37%  
436 1.3% 33%  
437 2% 32%  
438 3% 30%  
439 2% 27%  
440 2% 26%  
441 2% 24%  
442 2% 22%  
443 1.4% 20%  
444 2% 19%  
445 1.2% 17%  
446 0.9% 16%  
447 2% 15%  
448 1.5% 13%  
449 2% 11%  
450 1.0% 10%  
451 1.5% 9%  
452 0.9% 7%  
453 0.9% 6%  
454 0.6% 5%  
455 1.0% 5%  
456 0.8% 4%  
457 0.7% 3%  
458 0.4% 2%  
459 0.4% 2%  
460 0.4% 2%  
461 0.1% 1.2%  
462 0.2% 1.0%  
463 0.1% 0.8%  
464 0.2% 0.7%  
465 0.1% 0.5%  
466 0.1% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0.1% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.6%  
378 0.2% 99.5%  
379 0.3% 99.2%  
380 0.3% 99.0%  
381 0.3% 98.7%  
382 0.4% 98%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.8% 98%  
385 0.5% 97%  
386 1.0% 96%  
387 0.6% 95%  
388 1.2% 95%  
389 0.7% 94%  
390 2% 93%  
391 1.0% 90%  
392 0.9% 89%  
393 1.3% 89%  
394 2% 87%  
395 2% 85%  
396 2% 84%  
397 1.2% 81%  
398 2% 80%  
399 1.5% 78% Last Result
400 2% 77%  
401 4% 75%  
402 2% 71%  
403 2% 68%  
404 2% 66%  
405 2% 64%  
406 2% 62%  
407 2% 60%  
408 2% 59%  
409 2% 56%  
410 1.4% 55%  
411 1.4% 53%  
412 3% 52% Median
413 2% 49%  
414 2% 47%  
415 2% 45%  
416 1.5% 43%  
417 2% 41%  
418 2% 39%  
419 2% 37%  
420 3% 35%  
421 1.2% 32%  
422 1.5% 31%  
423 2% 29%  
424 2% 28%  
425 2% 26%  
426 1.0% 24%  
427 2% 23%  
428 2% 21%  
429 2% 19%  
430 3% 17%  
431 1.4% 14%  
432 1.4% 13%  
433 1.4% 11%  
434 1.3% 10%  
435 1.1% 9%  
436 1.3% 8%  
437 0.5% 6%  
438 2% 6%  
439 0.4% 4%  
440 0.4% 4%  
441 0.9% 3%  
442 0.5% 2%  
443 0.2% 2%  
444 0.4% 2%  
445 0.2% 1.3%  
446 0.2% 1.1%  
447 0.2% 0.9%  
448 0.2% 0.8%  
449 0.1% 0.6%  
450 0.1% 0.5%  
451 0.1% 0.3%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.1% 99.6%  
346 0.2% 99.5%  
347 0.1% 99.4%  
348 0.2% 99.3%  
349 0.2% 99.1%  
350 0.2% 98.9%  
351 0.3% 98.7%  
352 0.4% 98%  
353 0.5% 98%  
354 0.5% 98%  
355 0.6% 97% Majority
356 0.5% 97%  
357 2% 96%  
358 1.0% 94%  
359 1.3% 93%  
360 0.9% 92%  
361 2% 91%  
362 1.4% 89%  
363 3% 88%  
364 2% 85%  
365 2% 83%  
366 2% 81%  
367 2% 79%  
368 2% 77%  
369 2% 75%  
370 4% 73%  
371 2% 69%  
372 2% 68%  
373 1.3% 66%  
374 2% 65%  
375 2% 63%  
376 2% 61%  
377 2% 59%  
378 2% 57%  
379 2% 55%  
380 2% 53%  
381 3% 52%  
382 2% 48%  
383 2% 46%  
384 2% 45%  
385 3% 42%  
386 2% 39%  
387 3% 38%  
388 3% 35%  
389 2% 32%  
390 2% 30%  
391 4% 28%  
392 3% 25%  
393 2% 22%  
394 4% 20%  
395 2% 16% Median
396 1.0% 14%  
397 2% 13%  
398 2% 11%  
399 0.6% 9%  
400 0.8% 8%  
401 2% 8%  
402 0.6% 6%  
403 0.7% 5%  
404 1.0% 4%  
405 0.4% 3%  
406 0.4% 3%  
407 0.5% 2%  
408 0.4% 2%  
409 0.1% 2%  
410 0.3% 1.4%  
411 0.3% 1.1%  
412 0.1% 0.8%  
413 0.1% 0.7%  
414 0.1% 0.6%  
415 0.1% 0.4%  
416 0.1% 0.3%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0.1% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0.2% 99.6%  
326 0.2% 99.5%  
327 0.2% 99.3%  
328 0.3% 99.1%  
329 0.5% 98.8%  
330 0.7% 98%  
331 0.5% 98%  
332 0.5% 97%  
333 0.5% 97%  
334 1.2% 96%  
335 1.4% 95%  
336 1.0% 94%  
337 1.2% 93%  
338 0.7% 91%  
339 2% 91%  
340 0.9% 89% Last Result
341 1.0% 88%  
342 2% 87%  
343 1.0% 86%  
344 1.3% 85%  
345 2% 83%  
346 2% 81%  
347 1.1% 80%  
348 3% 79%  
349 2% 76%  
350 3% 74%  
351 2% 72%  
352 3% 70%  
353 3% 67%  
354 4% 65%  
355 2% 61% Majority
356 2% 58%  
357 4% 56%  
358 3% 52% Median
359 3% 50%  
360 2% 47%  
361 3% 45%  
362 2% 42%  
363 3% 40%  
364 2% 37%  
365 2% 35%  
366 3% 32%  
367 2% 30%  
368 2% 28%  
369 2% 26%  
370 3% 25%  
371 1.5% 21%  
372 1.4% 20%  
373 1.0% 18%  
374 2% 17%  
375 1.0% 16%  
376 1.1% 15%  
377 1.4% 14%  
378 1.3% 12%  
379 1.3% 11%  
380 1.0% 10%  
381 2% 9%  
382 0.8% 7%  
383 1.0% 6%  
384 0.7% 5%  
385 0.5% 5%  
386 0.7% 4%  
387 0.6% 3%  
388 0.8% 3%  
389 0.5% 2%  
390 0.2% 2%  
391 0.4% 1.4%  
392 0.3% 1.1%  
393 0.2% 0.8%  
394 0.2% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.4%  
396 0% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.7%  
295 0.1% 99.6%  
296 0.1% 99.4%  
297 0.1% 99.3%  
298 0.3% 99.2%  
299 0.3% 98.9%  
300 0.1% 98.6%  
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.5% 98%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.4% 97%  
305 1.0% 97%  
306 0.7% 96%  
307 0.6% 95%  
308 2% 94%  
309 0.8% 92%  
310 0.6% 92%  
311 2% 91%  
312 2% 89%  
313 1.0% 87%  
314 2% 86%  
315 4% 84%  
316 2% 80%  
317 3% 78%  
318 4% 75%  
319 2% 72%  
320 2% 70%  
321 3% 68%  
322 3% 65%  
323 2% 62%  
324 3% 61%  
325 2% 58%  
326 2% 55%  
327 2% 54%  
328 3% 52%  
329 2% 48% Median
330 2% 47%  
331 2% 45%  
332 2% 43%  
333 2% 41%  
334 2% 39%  
335 2% 37%  
336 1.3% 35%  
337 2% 34%  
338 2% 32%  
339 4% 31%  
340 2% 27%  
341 2% 25%  
342 2% 23%  
343 2% 21%  
344 2% 19%  
345 2% 17%  
346 3% 15%  
347 1.4% 12%  
348 2% 11%  
349 0.9% 9%  
350 1.3% 8%  
351 1.0% 7%  
352 2% 6%  
353 0.5% 4%  
354 0.6% 3%  
355 0.5% 3% Majority
356 0.5% 2%  
357 0.4% 2%  
358 0.3% 2%  
359 0.2% 1.3%  
360 0.2% 1.1%  
361 0.2% 0.9%  
362 0.1% 0.7%  
363 0.2% 0.6%  
364 0.1% 0.5%  
365 0.1% 0.4%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.6%  
268 0.2% 99.5%  
269 0.1% 99.3%  
270 0.2% 99.2%  
271 0.3% 99.0%  
272 0.2% 98.7%  
273 0.5% 98.5%  
274 0.7% 98%  
275 0.4% 97%  
276 0.4% 97%  
277 1.1% 97%  
278 1.0% 95%  
279 0.5% 94%  
280 2% 94%  
281 1.2% 92%  
282 1.3% 91%  
283 2% 90%  
284 2% 88%  
285 2% 86%  
286 0.8% 84%  
287 2% 83%  
288 3% 81%  
289 0.9% 78%  
290 3% 77%  
291 2% 75%  
292 1.2% 72%  
293 1.2% 71%  
294 2% 70%  
295 2% 68%  
296 1.3% 66%  
297 2% 65%  
298 3% 63%  
299 2% 60%  
300 1.0% 58%  
301 2% 57%  
302 2% 55%  
303 2% 53%  
304 2% 52%  
305 2% 49%  
306 2% 48%  
307 2% 45%  
308 2% 43%  
309 1.4% 42%  
310 3% 40%  
311 2% 37%  
312 2% 34%  
313 2% 32%  
314 3% 31%  
315 2% 28%  
316 1.4% 26%  
317 2% 25%  
318 2% 23%  
319 1.5% 20% Median
320 4% 19%  
321 1.1% 15%  
322 2% 14%  
323 1.5% 12%  
324 1.0% 11%  
325 2% 10%  
326 1.2% 8% Last Result
327 1.3% 7%  
328 1.2% 5%  
329 0.4% 4%  
330 0.6% 4%  
331 0.3% 3%  
332 0.6% 3%  
333 0.5% 2%  
334 0.2% 2%  
335 0.4% 2%  
336 0.2% 1.1%  
337 0.2% 0.9%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0.1% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.4%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.8%  
258 0.1% 99.7%  
259 0.1% 99.6%  
260 0.2% 99.5%  
261 0.3% 99.3%  
262 0.2% 99.0%  
263 0.3% 98.8%  
264 0.2% 98%  
265 0.4% 98%  
266 0.5% 98%  
267 0.4% 97%  
268 0.4% 97%  
269 0.7% 96%  
270 0.9% 96%  
271 0.9% 95%  
272 1.1% 94%  
273 1.2% 93%  
274 1.5% 92%  
275 1.3% 90%  
276 1.4% 89%  
277 1.1% 88%  
278 2% 86%  
279 1.3% 84%  
280 2% 83%  
281 2% 81%  
282 2% 80%  
283 2% 77%  
284 1.3% 76%  
285 3% 74%  
286 2% 72%  
287 1.2% 70%  
288 2% 69%  
289 2% 66%  
290 3% 64%  
291 2% 61%  
292 2% 60%  
293 1.4% 58%  
294 2% 57%  
295 2% 54%  
296 2% 52%  
297 2% 50%  
298 2% 49%  
299 2% 46%  
300 3% 45% Last Result
301 2% 42%  
302 2% 40%  
303 2% 38%  
304 3% 36%  
305 1.3% 32%  
306 2% 31%  
307 2% 29%  
308 3% 27%  
309 2% 24%  
310 2% 22%  
311 2% 20%  
312 2% 18% Median
313 1.4% 16%  
314 1.3% 15%  
315 2% 14%  
316 1.3% 12%  
317 1.3% 11%  
318 2% 9%  
319 1.3% 8%  
320 0.9% 6%  
321 0.5% 6%  
322 0.8% 5%  
323 0.7% 4%  
324 0.6% 4%  
325 0.5% 3%  
326 0.4% 3%  
327 0.6% 2%  
328 0.4% 2%  
329 0.2% 1.1%  
330 0.2% 0.9%  
331 0.2% 0.7%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0.1% 0.3%  
335 0.1% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.1% 99.6%  
245 0.2% 99.5%  
246 0.2% 99.3%  
247 0.3% 99.1%  
248 0.4% 98.8%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.5% 98%  
251 0.6% 98%  
252 0.5% 97%  
253 1.0% 97%  
254 0.6% 96%  
255 1.2% 95%  
256 1.2% 94%  
257 1.4% 93%  
258 2% 91%  
259 2% 89%  
260 2% 88%  
261 2% 86%  
262 3% 84%  
263 2% 81%  
264 2% 80%  
265 2% 77%  
266 4% 76%  
267 2% 72%  
268 2% 70%  
269 3% 68%  
270 2% 65%  
271 4% 62%  
272 3% 59%  
273 3% 55%  
274 3% 53%  
275 3% 49% Median
276 3% 47%  
277 2% 44%  
278 3% 42%  
279 2% 39%  
280 2% 37%  
281 2% 35%  
282 3% 33%  
283 2% 30%  
284 2% 28%  
285 3% 26%  
286 2% 23%  
287 1.5% 21%  
288 2% 19%  
289 2% 17%  
290 3% 15%  
291 1.2% 12%  
292 1.4% 11%  
293 0.9% 10%  
294 1.5% 9%  
295 1.2% 7%  
296 0.7% 6%  
297 0.7% 5%  
298 1.0% 5%  
299 0.8% 4%  
300 0.6% 3%  
301 0.5% 2%  
302 0.5% 2%  
303 0.2% 1.4%  
304 0.2% 1.2%  
305 0.2% 1.0%  
306 0.2% 0.7%  
307 0.1% 0.5%  
308 0.1% 0.5%  
309 0.1% 0.4%  
310 0.1% 0.3%  
311 0.1% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.1% 99.6%  
158 0.1% 99.5%  
159 0.1% 99.3%  
160 0.2% 99.2%  
161 0.4% 99.0%  
162 0.5% 98.5%  
163 0.7% 98%  
164 0.5% 97%  
165 0.6% 97%  
166 0.9% 96%  
167 1.1% 95%  
168 1.4% 94%  
169 2% 93%  
170 2% 91%  
171 2% 89%  
172 2% 87%  
173 3% 85%  
174 4% 82%  
175 3% 79%  
176 2% 75%  
177 3% 73%  
178 2% 70%  
179 4% 68%  
180 4% 64%  
181 4% 60%  
182 2% 56%  
183 3% 53%  
184 3% 50% Median
185 3% 47%  
186 3% 44%  
187 3% 41%  
188 4% 38%  
189 3% 34%  
190 2% 30%  
191 3% 28%  
192 2% 25%  
193 3% 23%  
194 4% 20%  
195 2% 16%  
196 1.4% 14%  
197 1.4% 12%  
198 2% 11%  
199 2% 9%  
200 2% 7%  
201 1.0% 6%  
202 0.8% 5%  
203 0.7% 4%  
204 0.6% 3%  
205 0.6% 3%  
206 0.5% 2%  
207 0.4% 2%  
208 0.3% 1.4%  
209 0.2% 1.0%  
210 0.2% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.2% 0.5%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.8%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.2% 99.4%  
117 0.3% 99.2%  
118 0.3% 98.8%  
119 0.6% 98.5%  
120 0.4% 98%  
121 0.9% 98%  
122 0.8% 97%  
123 1.0% 96%  
124 1.2% 95%  
125 1.3% 94%  
126 2% 92%  
127 2% 91%  
128 1.5% 89%  
129 2% 87%  
130 2% 85%  
131 2% 83%  
132 3% 82%  
133 2% 79%  
134 2% 77%  
135 3% 75%  
136 1.4% 72%  
137 2% 70%  
138 3% 68%  
139 2% 65%  
140 2% 64%  
141 1.3% 61%  
142 2% 60%  
143 0.7% 58%  
144 1.1% 57%  
145 1.4% 56%  
146 0.6% 55%  
147 0.8% 54%  
148 0.7% 54%  
149 0.4% 53%  
150 0.9% 52%  
151 0.5% 51%  
152 0.5% 51%  
153 1.0% 50%  
154 0.4% 49%  
155 1.0% 49%  
156 2% 48%  
157 0.4% 46%  
158 2% 46%  
159 2% 44%  
160 0.6% 42%  
161 3% 42%  
162 3% 39%  
163 0.9% 35%  
164 3% 35%  
165 2% 31%  
166 2% 29%  
167 4% 27% Median
168 2% 23%  
169 1.4% 21%  
170 2% 20%  
171 2% 18%  
172 3% 16%  
173 1.2% 13%  
174 2% 12%  
175 2% 10%  
176 0.8% 8%  
177 2% 7%  
178 0.9% 5%  
179 0.4% 4%  
180 1.0% 4%  
181 0.6% 3%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.3% 1.3%  
185 0.2% 1.1%  
186 0.2% 0.8%  
187 0.1% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations