Opinion Poll by Kantar, 1–7 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 27.6% 26.1–29.2% 25.7–29.7% 25.4–30.0% 24.7–30.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.2% 17.4–22.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 17.0% 15.8–18.4% 15.4–18.7% 15.1–19.1% 14.6–19.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.1–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.2–11.1%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.6% 6.3–10.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.4% 5.6–7.3% 5.4–7.6% 5.2–7.8% 4.9–8.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.3% 3.7–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 216 201–229 198–234 194–237 189–243
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 156 144–169 140–172 138–175 133–180
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 133 122–144 119–148 117–150 112–155
Alternative für Deutschland 94 70 63–79 61–81 59–83 55–88
Die Linke 69 63 55–71 53–73 52–75 48–79
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 50 44–57 42–59 40–61 37–65
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 0 0–45 0–46 0–47 0–51

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.9%  
186 0.1% 99.8%  
187 0.1% 99.7%  
188 0.1% 99.7%  
189 0.2% 99.6%  
190 0.3% 99.4%  
191 0.3% 99.1%  
192 0.4% 98.7%  
193 0.4% 98%  
194 0.5% 98%  
195 0.5% 97%  
196 0.7% 97%  
197 0.9% 96%  
198 0.7% 95%  
199 1.3% 95%  
200 2% 93% Last Result
201 2% 91%  
202 2% 89%  
203 2% 88%  
204 2% 86%  
205 2% 84%  
206 2% 82%  
207 2% 80%  
208 3% 78%  
209 2% 74%  
210 4% 72%  
211 3% 68%  
212 2% 65%  
213 3% 63%  
214 3% 59%  
215 4% 56%  
216 4% 52% Median
217 4% 48%  
218 3% 44%  
219 4% 40%  
220 3% 36%  
221 2% 34%  
222 2% 31%  
223 3% 29%  
224 3% 27%  
225 3% 24%  
226 3% 20%  
227 4% 17%  
228 2% 13%  
229 2% 12%  
230 1.4% 9%  
231 1.0% 8%  
232 0.7% 7%  
233 0.5% 6%  
234 1.2% 6%  
235 0.8% 5%  
236 1.1% 4%  
237 0.9% 3%  
238 0.5% 2%  
239 0.3% 1.4%  
240 0.3% 1.1%  
241 0.1% 0.7%  
242 0.1% 0.6%  
243 0.1% 0.5%  
244 0.1% 0.4%  
245 0.1% 0.4%  
246 0.1% 0.3%  
247 0.1% 0.2%  
248 0.1% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.2% 99.6%  
134 0.3% 99.3%  
135 0.3% 99.1%  
136 0.5% 98.7%  
137 0.5% 98%  
138 0.9% 98%  
139 0.6% 97%  
140 1.4% 96%  
141 1.1% 95%  
142 1.1% 94%  
143 2% 93%  
144 2% 91%  
145 2% 89%  
146 3% 87%  
147 2% 84%  
148 4% 82%  
149 3% 78%  
150 4% 75%  
151 4% 71%  
152 3% 67%  
153 3% 64%  
154 3% 60%  
155 5% 57%  
156 4% 52% Median
157 4% 49%  
158 4% 45%  
159 3% 41%  
160 5% 38%  
161 3% 33%  
162 5% 31%  
163 3% 26%  
164 3% 23%  
165 3% 20%  
166 2% 17%  
167 2% 15%  
168 2% 12%  
169 1.5% 10%  
170 2% 9%  
171 2% 7%  
172 2% 6%  
173 0.8% 4%  
174 0.6% 3%  
175 0.7% 3%  
176 0.4% 2%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.4% 1.2%  
179 0.2% 0.8%  
180 0.2% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.2% 99.7%  
112 0.3% 99.5%  
113 0.3% 99.3%  
114 0.5% 98.9%  
115 0.3% 98%  
116 0.5% 98%  
117 0.8% 98%  
118 0.8% 97%  
119 1.1% 96%  
120 2% 95%  
121 2% 93%  
122 2% 91%  
123 2% 89%  
124 2% 87%  
125 3% 85%  
126 4% 82%  
127 5% 78%  
128 5% 73%  
129 4% 68%  
130 3% 64%  
131 3% 61%  
132 6% 58%  
133 5% 52% Median
134 7% 47%  
135 3% 40%  
136 4% 37%  
137 2% 33%  
138 4% 31%  
139 2% 27%  
140 5% 25%  
141 3% 20%  
142 3% 17%  
143 2% 14%  
144 2% 12%  
145 1.4% 10%  
146 2% 9%  
147 1.3% 7%  
148 2% 5%  
149 0.8% 4%  
150 0.8% 3%  
151 0.4% 2%  
152 0.3% 2%  
153 0.3% 1.2% Last Result
154 0.3% 1.0%  
155 0.2% 0.6%  
156 0.1% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0.2% 99.7%  
56 0.3% 99.5%  
57 0.5% 99.2%  
58 0.7% 98.6%  
59 1.3% 98%  
60 1.5% 97%  
61 2% 95%  
62 3% 93%  
63 3% 91%  
64 4% 88%  
65 5% 84%  
66 4% 79%  
67 6% 75%  
68 5% 69%  
69 7% 63%  
70 7% 57% Median
71 7% 50%  
72 7% 43%  
73 5% 37%  
74 5% 31%  
75 4% 26%  
76 4% 21%  
77 4% 17%  
78 3% 13%  
79 2% 10%  
80 2% 8%  
81 2% 6%  
82 1.1% 5%  
83 0.9% 3%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.3%  
87 0.3% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.3% 99.7%  
49 0.3% 99.5%  
50 0.5% 99.2%  
51 1.1% 98.6%  
52 1.5% 98%  
53 1.2% 96%  
54 2% 95%  
55 3% 92%  
56 4% 89%  
57 3% 85%  
58 5% 82%  
59 7% 77%  
60 6% 70%  
61 5% 64%  
62 6% 58%  
63 7% 52% Median
64 8% 45%  
65 5% 38%  
66 4% 33%  
67 6% 29%  
68 5% 23%  
69 4% 18% Last Result
70 2% 14%  
71 3% 11%  
72 3% 9%  
73 1.5% 6%  
74 1.0% 4%  
75 1.0% 3%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.5% 1.4%  
78 0.4% 0.9%  
79 0.1% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.7%  
38 0.4% 99.5%  
39 0.5% 99.1%  
40 1.2% 98.6%  
41 2% 97%  
42 2% 95%  
43 3% 93%  
44 3% 90%  
45 4% 87%  
46 6% 83% Last Result
47 5% 77%  
48 10% 71%  
49 9% 61%  
50 9% 53% Median
51 8% 44%  
52 6% 36%  
53 4% 30%  
54 5% 26%  
55 5% 21%  
56 4% 16%  
57 3% 12%  
58 3% 9%  
59 2% 6%  
60 1.4% 5%  
61 0.9% 3%  
62 0.6% 2%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 0.5% 1.1%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 0% 47%  
5 0% 47%  
6 0% 47%  
7 0% 47%  
8 0% 47%  
9 0% 47%  
10 0% 47%  
11 0% 47%  
12 0% 47%  
13 0% 47%  
14 0% 47%  
15 0% 47%  
16 0% 47%  
17 0% 47%  
18 0% 47%  
19 0% 47%  
20 0% 47%  
21 0% 47%  
22 0% 47%  
23 0% 47%  
24 0% 47%  
25 0% 47%  
26 0% 47%  
27 0% 47%  
28 0% 47%  
29 0% 47%  
30 0% 47%  
31 0% 47%  
32 0% 47%  
33 0% 47%  
34 0% 47%  
35 0% 47%  
36 0% 47%  
37 0% 47%  
38 4% 47%  
39 9% 44%  
40 4% 35%  
41 4% 31%  
42 3% 27%  
43 7% 23%  
44 6% 17%  
45 4% 11%  
46 3% 7%  
47 2% 4%  
48 0.9% 2%  
49 0.3% 1.3%  
50 0.3% 1.0%  
51 0.2% 0.7%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 558 100% 531–578 527–581 524–584 519–589
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 442 100% 425–459 422–463 418–466 412–472
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 423 100% 402–443 397–448 393–451 387–457
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 418 100% 403–438 399–442 396–445 389–451
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 401 100% 378–418 374–422 370–425 364–432
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 357 54% 338–376 334–380 330–383 323–390
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 352 46% 333–371 329–375 326–379 319–386
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 337 10% 319–354 314–359 310–363 303–370
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 309 0% 289–330 285–334 281–338 275–344
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 285 0% 265–308 261–312 258–316 252–322
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 289 0% 272–306 268–311 265–315 258–321
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 196 0% 183–210 180–215 176–217 169–223
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 149 0% 130–177 127–181 124–184 119–190

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 99.9%  
514 0% 99.9%  
515 0.1% 99.9%  
516 0.1% 99.8%  
517 0.1% 99.8%  
518 0.1% 99.7%  
519 0.2% 99.6%  
520 0.2% 99.4%  
521 0.3% 99.2%  
522 0.5% 98.9%  
523 0.5% 98%  
524 0.8% 98%  
525 0.7% 97%  
526 0.7% 96%  
527 1.1% 96%  
528 1.3% 95%  
529 1.1% 93%  
530 1.2% 92%  
531 2% 91%  
532 2% 89%  
533 1.2% 87%  
534 2% 86%  
535 2% 84%  
536 3% 81%  
537 1.4% 79%  
538 2% 77%  
539 3% 75%  
540 2% 72%  
541 1.5% 70%  
542 2% 69%  
543 3% 67%  
544 2% 64%  
545 1.3% 62%  
546 1.4% 60%  
547 0.8% 59%  
548 1.0% 58%  
549 1.1% 57%  
550 0.6% 56%  
551 1.0% 56%  
552 1.1% 55%  
553 0.6% 53%  
554 0.3% 53%  
555 0.7% 53% Median
556 0.4% 52%  
557 0.7% 51%  
558 0.8% 51%  
559 0.7% 50%  
560 0.9% 49%  
561 0.5% 48%  
562 1.1% 48%  
563 1.3% 47%  
564 2% 45%  
565 2% 43%  
566 3% 41%  
567 2% 37%  
568 1.3% 35%  
569 3% 34%  
570 3% 31%  
571 4% 28%  
572 2% 25%  
573 2% 22%  
574 2% 20%  
575 1.4% 18%  
576 3% 17%  
577 3% 14%  
578 2% 11%  
579 2% 9%  
580 1.3% 7%  
581 1.3% 6%  
582 1.2% 5%  
583 0.9% 3%  
584 0.6% 3%  
585 0.7% 2%  
586 0.2% 1.3%  
587 0.2% 1.1%  
588 0.2% 0.9%  
589 0.3% 0.7%  
590 0.1% 0.4%  
591 0.1% 0.3%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0.1%  
596 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.2% 99.4%  
414 0.3% 99.3%  
415 0.1% 98.9%  
416 0.4% 98.8%  
417 0.6% 98%  
418 0.4% 98%  
419 0.7% 97%  
420 0.6% 97%  
421 0.8% 96%  
422 0.7% 95% Median
423 2% 95%  
424 0.9% 92%  
425 2% 92%  
426 2% 90%  
427 1.1% 88%  
428 2% 87%  
429 2% 85%  
430 2% 84%  
431 3% 82%  
432 3% 79%  
433 2% 77%  
434 3% 75%  
435 2% 72%  
436 4% 69%  
437 3% 65%  
438 2% 63%  
439 3% 61%  
440 3% 58%  
441 2% 55%  
442 3% 53%  
443 2% 50%  
444 3% 48%  
445 2% 45%  
446 3% 43%  
447 3% 40%  
448 3% 37%  
449 2% 34%  
450 4% 32%  
451 2% 27%  
452 4% 25%  
453 2% 22%  
454 2% 20%  
455 2% 18%  
456 2% 16%  
457 2% 13%  
458 1.5% 12%  
459 1.0% 10%  
460 2% 9%  
461 0.9% 7%  
462 1.1% 6%  
463 0.8% 5%  
464 0.7% 4%  
465 1.0% 4%  
466 0.7% 3%  
467 0.4% 2%  
468 0.3% 2%  
469 0.3% 1.3%  
470 0.2% 1.0%  
471 0.3% 0.8%  
472 0.1% 0.5%  
473 0.1% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.3%  
475 0.1% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0.1% 99.9%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.6%  
388 0.3% 99.5%  
389 0.3% 99.2%  
390 0.3% 98.9%  
391 0.3% 98.6%  
392 0.3% 98%  
393 0.6% 98%  
394 0.7% 97%  
395 0.7% 97%  
396 0.8% 96%  
397 0.7% 95%  
398 1.3% 95%  
399 0.8% 93%  
400 0.9% 92%  
401 0.8% 92%  
402 2% 91%  
403 1.3% 89%  
404 3% 87%  
405 2% 84%  
406 2% 83%  
407 2% 81%  
408 1.4% 79%  
409 2% 78%  
410 2% 75%  
411 3% 73%  
412 2% 70%  
413 2% 68%  
414 2% 66%  
415 1.0% 65%  
416 3% 64%  
417 3% 61%  
418 2% 58%  
419 2% 56%  
420 1.3% 55%  
421 1.2% 53%  
422 2% 52% Median
423 3% 50%  
424 1.3% 48%  
425 2% 47%  
426 2% 44%  
427 1.2% 42%  
428 2% 41%  
429 2% 39%  
430 2% 37%  
431 3% 36%  
432 2% 33%  
433 2% 30%  
434 3% 29%  
435 2% 26%  
436 3% 24%  
437 2% 21%  
438 1.4% 19%  
439 2% 17%  
440 2% 15%  
441 0.9% 13%  
442 1.4% 12%  
443 1.2% 11%  
444 2% 10%  
445 0.6% 8%  
446 2% 8%  
447 0.8% 6%  
448 1.4% 5%  
449 0.8% 4%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.6% 3%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.6% 2%  
454 0.2% 1.2%  
455 0.2% 1.0%  
456 0.2% 0.8%  
457 0.1% 0.6%  
458 0.1% 0.5%  
459 0.1% 0.4%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0.1% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0.1% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.2% 99.5%  
391 0.2% 99.3%  
392 0.2% 99.1%  
393 0.3% 98.9%  
394 0.3% 98.6%  
395 0.5% 98%  
396 0.8% 98%  
397 0.6% 97%  
398 1.0% 96%  
399 1.0% 95% Median
400 2% 94%  
401 1.1% 93%  
402 2% 92%  
403 2% 90%  
404 2% 89%  
405 2% 86%  
406 3% 84%  
407 2% 81%  
408 3% 80%  
409 2% 76%  
410 3% 74%  
411 3% 70%  
412 3% 68%  
413 3% 65%  
414 2% 62%  
415 2% 60%  
416 3% 57%  
417 2% 54%  
418 3% 52%  
419 3% 50%  
420 2% 47%  
421 2% 45%  
422 2% 42%  
423 2% 40%  
424 2% 38%  
425 2% 35%  
426 2% 33%  
427 2% 31%  
428 3% 30%  
429 1.1% 27%  
430 3% 25%  
431 2% 23%  
432 3% 21%  
433 2% 18%  
434 2% 16%  
435 1.4% 14%  
436 2% 13%  
437 1.2% 11%  
438 1.3% 10%  
439 2% 9%  
440 0.8% 7%  
441 0.8% 6%  
442 1.2% 5%  
443 1.0% 4%  
444 0.5% 3%  
445 0.3% 3%  
446 0.6% 2%  
447 0.3% 2%  
448 0.3% 1.3%  
449 0.2% 1.0%  
450 0.3% 0.8%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0.1% 0.3%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.9%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.2% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.3% 99.1%  
367 0.3% 98.9%  
368 0.4% 98.5%  
369 0.6% 98%  
370 0.5% 98%  
371 0.6% 97%  
372 0.8% 96%  
373 0.7% 96%  
374 1.1% 95%  
375 0.9% 94%  
376 1.1% 93%  
377 1.2% 92%  
378 1.1% 91%  
379 2% 90%  
380 1.4% 88%  
381 2% 86%  
382 0.8% 84%  
383 2% 83%  
384 1.0% 81%  
385 2% 80%  
386 1.3% 78%  
387 2% 77%  
388 1.3% 75%  
389 1.5% 73%  
390 2% 72%  
391 3% 70%  
392 1.3% 68%  
393 3% 66%  
394 1.4% 64%  
395 2% 62%  
396 2% 61%  
397 2% 59%  
398 2% 57%  
399 2% 55% Last Result, Median
400 2% 53%  
401 2% 51%  
402 3% 49%  
403 2% 46%  
404 3% 44%  
405 2% 41%  
406 3% 39%  
407 2% 36%  
408 4% 34%  
409 2% 30%  
410 3% 28%  
411 2% 25%  
412 3% 23%  
413 2% 20%  
414 2% 18%  
415 2% 16%  
416 2% 14%  
417 1.4% 12%  
418 2% 11%  
419 2% 9%  
420 1.3% 7%  
421 0.8% 6%  
422 1.1% 5%  
423 1.0% 4%  
424 0.4% 3%  
425 0.6% 3%  
426 0.4% 2%  
427 0.5% 2%  
428 0.2% 1.3%  
429 0.2% 1.1%  
430 0.1% 0.9%  
431 0.2% 0.7%  
432 0.1% 0.5%  
433 0.1% 0.4%  
434 0.1% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0.1% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.9%  
321 0.1% 99.8%  
322 0.1% 99.7%  
323 0.1% 99.6%  
324 0.1% 99.5%  
325 0.2% 99.4%  
326 0.2% 99.2%  
327 0.3% 98.9%  
328 0.5% 98.6%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.4% 98%  
331 0.5% 97%  
332 0.8% 97%  
333 0.7% 96%  
334 1.4% 95%  
335 1.1% 94%  
336 1.3% 93% Median
337 1.0% 91%  
338 2% 90%  
339 2% 89%  
340 2% 87%  
341 2% 85%  
342 3% 83%  
343 2% 80%  
344 2% 78%  
345 2% 76%  
346 3% 74%  
347 3% 71%  
348 2% 68%  
349 2% 66%  
350 3% 65%  
351 1.4% 62%  
352 2% 60%  
353 2% 58%  
354 2% 56%  
355 2% 54% Majority
356 2% 52%  
357 2% 50%  
358 2% 48%  
359 2% 46%  
360 1.5% 45%  
361 2% 43%  
362 2% 41%  
363 2% 39%  
364 2% 36%  
365 2% 34%  
366 2% 33%  
367 3% 31%  
368 2% 28%  
369 3% 26%  
370 2% 23%  
371 3% 21%  
372 1.4% 18%  
373 1.3% 17%  
374 2% 16%  
375 2% 13%  
376 3% 12%  
377 1.3% 9%  
378 1.0% 8%  
379 1.2% 7%  
380 0.8% 6%  
381 0.8% 5%  
382 0.7% 4%  
383 0.9% 3%  
384 0.5% 2%  
385 0.3% 2%  
386 0.4% 2%  
387 0.3% 1.3%  
388 0.2% 1.1%  
389 0.2% 0.8%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.6%  
319 0.1% 99.5%  
320 0.2% 99.4%  
321 0.2% 99.2%  
322 0.3% 98.9%  
323 0.4% 98.7%  
324 0.3% 98%  
325 0.5% 98%  
326 0.9% 98%  
327 0.7% 97%  
328 0.8% 96%  
329 0.8% 95%  
330 1.2% 94%  
331 1.0% 93%  
332 1.3% 92%  
333 3% 91%  
334 2% 88%  
335 2% 87%  
336 1.3% 84%  
337 1.4% 83%  
338 3% 82%  
339 2% 79%  
340 3% 77%  
341 2% 74%  
342 3% 72%  
343 2% 69%  
344 2% 67%  
345 2% 66%  
346 2% 64%  
347 2% 61%  
348 2% 59%  
349 1.5% 57%  
350 2% 55%  
351 2% 54%  
352 2% 52% Median
353 2% 50%  
354 2% 48%  
355 2% 46% Majority
356 2% 44%  
357 2% 42%  
358 1.4% 40%  
359 3% 38%  
360 2% 35%  
361 2% 34%  
362 3% 32%  
363 3% 29%  
364 2% 26%  
365 2% 24%  
366 2% 22%  
367 3% 20%  
368 2% 17%  
369 2% 15%  
370 2% 13%  
371 2% 11%  
372 1.0% 10%  
373 1.3% 9%  
374 1.1% 7%  
375 1.4% 6%  
376 0.7% 5%  
377 0.8% 4%  
378 0.5% 3%  
379 0.4% 3%  
380 0.5% 2%  
381 0.5% 2%  
382 0.3% 1.4%  
383 0.2% 1.1%  
384 0.2% 0.8%  
385 0.1% 0.6%  
386 0.1% 0.5%  
387 0.1% 0.4%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0.1% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0.1% 99.8%  
301 0.1% 99.8%  
302 0.1% 99.7%  
303 0.1% 99.6%  
304 0.1% 99.5%  
305 0.2% 99.4%  
306 0.3% 99.1%  
307 0.4% 98.8%  
308 0.3% 98%  
309 0.4% 98%  
310 0.4% 98%  
311 0.5% 97%  
312 0.8% 97%  
313 0.8% 96%  
314 0.8% 95%  
315 0.7% 95%  
316 1.3% 94%  
317 1.0% 93%  
318 1.2% 92%  
319 2% 90%  
320 1.2% 88%  
321 2% 87%  
322 1.4% 85%  
323 2% 84%  
324 2% 82%  
325 1.4% 80%  
326 3% 78%  
327 2% 75%  
328 2% 73%  
329 2% 71%  
330 3% 69%  
331 2% 66%  
332 3% 64%  
333 2% 61%  
334 2% 59%  
335 3% 57%  
336 2% 54% Median
337 3% 52%  
338 3% 49%  
339 3% 46%  
340 3% 44% Last Result
341 3% 41%  
342 3% 38%  
343 3% 35%  
344 2% 32%  
345 2% 30%  
346 3% 28%  
347 3% 25%  
348 1.4% 22%  
349 2% 20%  
350 3% 19%  
351 1.2% 16%  
352 1.4% 15%  
353 2% 13%  
354 2% 11%  
355 1.4% 10% Majority
356 0.8% 8%  
357 1.5% 8%  
358 0.6% 6%  
359 0.6% 5%  
360 0.6% 5%  
361 0.8% 4%  
362 0.6% 3%  
363 0.6% 3%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.3% 2%  
366 0.3% 2%  
367 0.3% 1.2%  
368 0.2% 0.9%  
369 0.2% 0.7%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0.1% 0.4%  
372 0.1% 0.3%  
373 0.1% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.6%  
276 0.1% 99.4%  
277 0.3% 99.3%  
278 0.2% 99.0%  
279 0.3% 98.7%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.5% 98%  
282 0.4% 97%  
283 0.6% 97%  
284 0.6% 96%  
285 2% 96%  
286 0.9% 94%  
287 1.0% 93%  
288 1.4% 92%  
289 1.1% 91% Median
290 2% 90%  
291 0.6% 88%  
292 1.4% 87%  
293 2% 86%  
294 3% 84%  
295 2% 81%  
296 3% 79%  
297 2% 76%  
298 3% 74%  
299 2% 71%  
300 2% 69% Last Result
301 1.0% 68%  
302 2% 67%  
303 2% 65%  
304 2% 63%  
305 3% 60%  
306 3% 57%  
307 2% 54%  
308 1.5% 52%  
309 2% 51%  
310 1.1% 49%  
311 2% 47%  
312 2% 46%  
313 1.5% 44%  
314 2% 42%  
315 4% 40%  
316 2% 37%  
317 2% 35%  
318 1.4% 33%  
319 3% 32%  
320 2% 29%  
321 1.3% 27%  
322 3% 26%  
323 3% 23%  
324 2% 20%  
325 2% 19%  
326 2% 17%  
327 2% 15%  
328 1.2% 13%  
329 1.4% 12%  
330 2% 11%  
331 1.0% 9%  
332 2% 8%  
333 0.8% 6%  
334 1.0% 5%  
335 0.6% 4%  
336 0.7% 4%  
337 0.6% 3%  
338 0.4% 3%  
339 0.5% 2%  
340 0.3% 2%  
341 0.4% 1.3%  
342 0.2% 1.0%  
343 0.2% 0.8%  
344 0.1% 0.6%  
345 0.1% 0.5%  
346 0.1% 0.4%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0.1% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.7%  
251 0.2% 99.7%  
252 0.2% 99.5%  
253 0.1% 99.3%  
254 0.2% 99.2%  
255 0.4% 99.0%  
256 0.3% 98.6%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.8% 98%  
259 0.6% 97%  
260 0.8% 97%  
261 1.0% 96%  
262 1.2% 95%  
263 1.3% 94%  
264 1.2% 92%  
265 1.3% 91%  
266 2% 90% Median
267 0.9% 87%  
268 3% 86%  
269 2% 83%  
270 2% 82%  
271 3% 80%  
272 3% 77%  
273 2% 74%  
274 2% 72%  
275 2% 71%  
276 3% 69%  
277 2% 65%  
278 2% 64%  
279 1.4% 62%  
280 2% 60%  
281 2% 59%  
282 2% 56%  
283 2% 55%  
284 2% 53%  
285 2% 51%  
286 1.0% 49%  
287 1.5% 48%  
288 2% 47%  
289 1.5% 45%  
290 1.3% 44%  
291 2% 43%  
292 3% 41%  
293 2% 38%  
294 1.3% 37%  
295 2% 36%  
296 1.3% 33%  
297 2% 32%  
298 2% 30%  
299 3% 29%  
300 2% 26%  
301 2% 24%  
302 3% 22%  
303 1.2% 19%  
304 2% 17%  
305 2% 16%  
306 2% 14%  
307 2% 12%  
308 1.0% 10%  
309 2% 9%  
310 0.8% 8%  
311 1.1% 7%  
312 1.3% 6%  
313 0.5% 4%  
314 0.9% 4%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.6% 3%  
317 0.4% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.4% 1.3%  
320 0.2% 1.0%  
321 0.1% 0.7%  
322 0.2% 0.6%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2% Last Result
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.2% 99.6%  
259 0.2% 99.4%  
260 0.2% 99.2%  
261 0.3% 99.1%  
262 0.3% 98.8%  
263 0.4% 98.5%  
264 0.4% 98%  
265 0.8% 98%  
266 0.7% 97%  
267 1.0% 96%  
268 1.2% 95%  
269 0.8% 94%  
270 1.0% 93%  
271 1.3% 92%  
272 1.1% 91%  
273 2% 90%  
274 1.0% 88%  
275 2% 87%  
276 4% 85%  
277 2% 81%  
278 2% 79%  
279 2% 76%  
280 2% 74%  
281 2% 72%  
282 3% 71%  
283 2% 68%  
284 4% 67%  
285 3% 63%  
286 2% 59%  
287 3% 57%  
288 2% 53%  
289 2% 51% Median
290 3% 49%  
291 1.3% 46%  
292 2% 45%  
293 2% 43%  
294 4% 40%  
295 3% 37%  
296 4% 34%  
297 2% 30%  
298 3% 28%  
299 2% 25%  
300 2% 23%  
301 1.0% 22%  
302 2% 21%  
303 2% 19%  
304 2% 17%  
305 3% 15%  
306 2% 12%  
307 2% 10%  
308 0.6% 8%  
309 2% 7%  
310 0.5% 6%  
311 0.6% 5%  
312 0.4% 4%  
313 0.6% 4%  
314 0.8% 4%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.6% 2%  
317 0.5% 2%  
318 0.2% 1.1%  
319 0.1% 0.9%  
320 0.2% 0.7%  
321 0.1% 0.5%  
322 0.1% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2%  
327 0.1% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.8%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.2% 99.7%  
170 0.1% 99.5%  
171 0.2% 99.4%  
172 0.3% 99.2%  
173 0.3% 98.9%  
174 0.4% 98.7%  
175 0.3% 98%  
176 0.6% 98%  
177 0.5% 97%  
178 0.9% 97%  
179 1.0% 96%  
180 0.8% 95%  
181 2% 94%  
182 2% 92%  
183 1.4% 91%  
184 3% 89%  
185 3% 86%  
186 2% 83%  
187 6% 81%  
188 2% 75%  
189 4% 73%  
190 5% 69%  
191 2% 64%  
192 4% 62%  
193 3% 59%  
194 2% 56%  
195 3% 54%  
196 3% 50% Median
197 2% 47%  
198 3% 46%  
199 3% 43%  
200 1.2% 39%  
201 6% 38%  
202 4% 32%  
203 2% 28%  
204 5% 26%  
205 1.4% 21%  
206 3% 19%  
207 2% 16%  
208 0.7% 14%  
209 3% 13%  
210 1.2% 10%  
211 1.0% 9%  
212 2% 8%  
213 0.4% 7%  
214 1.1% 6%  
215 1.1% 5%  
216 0.4% 4%  
217 1.4% 4%  
218 0.4% 2%  
219 0.3% 2%  
220 0.5% 1.5%  
221 0.2% 1.0%  
222 0.1% 0.8% Last Result
223 0.3% 0.7%  
224 0% 0.4%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0.1% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.2% 99.6%  
120 0.2% 99.3%  
121 0.2% 99.2%  
122 0.3% 99.0%  
123 0.8% 98.6%  
124 0.7% 98%  
125 0.9% 97%  
126 1.0% 96%  
127 1.0% 95%  
128 2% 94%  
129 2% 93%  
130 1.4% 91%  
131 1.3% 89%  
132 3% 88%  
133 2% 85% Median
134 5% 83%  
135 2% 78%  
136 3% 77%  
137 1.5% 74%  
138 3% 73%  
139 2% 70%  
140 4% 68%  
141 2% 63%  
142 2% 62%  
143 2% 60%  
144 2% 58%  
145 1.2% 56%  
146 2% 55%  
147 0.9% 53%  
148 2% 52%  
149 0.7% 51%  
150 0.8% 50%  
151 0.5% 49%  
152 0.4% 49%  
153 0.4% 48%  
154 0.4% 48%  
155 0.5% 47%  
156 0.3% 47%  
157 0.5% 47%  
158 0.7% 46%  
159 0.4% 45%  
160 1.2% 45%  
161 0.8% 44%  
162 1.0% 43%  
163 1.3% 42%  
164 2% 41%  
165 1.4% 39%  
166 2% 37%  
167 3% 35%  
168 2% 32%  
169 3% 30%  
170 3% 27%  
171 2% 24%  
172 3% 22%  
173 3% 19%  
174 1.3% 16%  
175 2% 15%  
176 2% 13%  
177 1.1% 11%  
178 2% 9%  
179 1.1% 8%  
180 0.7% 7%  
181 2% 6%  
182 0.5% 5%  
183 0.9% 4%  
184 0.7% 3%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.4%  
188 0.3% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations