Opinion Poll by GMS, 7–12 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 26.9–31.7% 26.5–32.1% 25.7–33.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.8% 5.8–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 224 209–242 205–246 201–251 195–259
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 155 140–168 137–173 134–176 128–183
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 124 112–136 108–140 106–143 101–150
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 68–89 67–92 65–93 59–97
Die Linke 69 54 46–62 44–65 42–67 39–72
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 45–61 43–63 41–66 38–70
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 38 0–45 0–47 0–49 0–53

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0.1% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.8%  
193 0.1% 99.7%  
194 0% 99.6%  
195 0.1% 99.5%  
196 0.2% 99.5%  
197 0.5% 99.3%  
198 0.2% 98.7%  
199 0.1% 98%  
200 0.1% 98% Last Result
201 0.8% 98%  
202 1.2% 97%  
203 0.9% 96%  
204 0.3% 95%  
205 0.4% 95%  
206 0.9% 95%  
207 2% 94%  
208 2% 92%  
209 0.6% 90%  
210 0.5% 89%  
211 0.8% 89%  
212 5% 88%  
213 3% 83%  
214 2% 80%  
215 0.3% 78%  
216 2% 78%  
217 4% 76%  
218 6% 72%  
219 2% 66%  
220 1.4% 65%  
221 1.3% 63%  
222 6% 62%  
223 4% 56%  
224 3% 52% Median
225 1.2% 49%  
226 2% 47%  
227 2% 46%  
228 4% 44%  
229 3% 39%  
230 2% 36%  
231 1.4% 34%  
232 2% 33%  
233 4% 30%  
234 4% 26%  
235 2% 23%  
236 1.1% 21%  
237 2% 20%  
238 1.4% 18%  
239 2% 16%  
240 3% 14%  
241 0.8% 11%  
242 0.8% 10%  
243 2% 9%  
244 1.1% 8%  
245 1.3% 7%  
246 0.5% 5%  
247 0.3% 5%  
248 0.8% 5%  
249 0.6% 4%  
250 0.5% 3%  
251 0.5% 3%  
252 0.3% 2%  
253 0.1% 2%  
254 0.4% 2%  
255 0.2% 1.2%  
256 0.2% 1.0%  
257 0.2% 0.9%  
258 0.1% 0.7%  
259 0.1% 0.5%  
260 0.1% 0.5%  
261 0.1% 0.4%  
262 0.1% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.2% 99.6%  
129 0.2% 99.4%  
130 0.2% 99.2%  
131 0.2% 99.0%  
132 0.6% 98.8%  
133 0.5% 98%  
134 0.5% 98%  
135 0.6% 97%  
136 1.0% 97%  
137 1.4% 96%  
138 0.8% 94%  
139 2% 93%  
140 2% 91%  
141 1.4% 90%  
142 2% 88%  
143 2% 86%  
144 4% 85%  
145 3% 81%  
146 2% 78%  
147 3% 76%  
148 3% 73%  
149 4% 71%  
150 3% 67%  
151 4% 64%  
152 3% 60%  
153 4% 57%  
154 3% 54%  
155 3% 50% Median
156 6% 48%  
157 3% 41%  
158 2% 38%  
159 3% 36%  
160 4% 33%  
161 5% 29%  
162 3% 24%  
163 1.4% 21%  
164 3% 20%  
165 2% 17%  
166 3% 15%  
167 1.4% 12%  
168 2% 11%  
169 1.3% 9%  
170 1.4% 8%  
171 0.8% 7%  
172 0.7% 6%  
173 1.3% 5%  
174 0.8% 4%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.5% 3%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.6% 2%  
179 0.1% 1.3%  
180 0.2% 1.1%  
181 0.3% 0.9%  
182 0.1% 0.6%  
183 0.2% 0.5%  
184 0% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.2% 99.5%  
102 0.3% 99.4%  
103 0.4% 99.1%  
104 0.4% 98.6%  
105 0.6% 98%  
106 0.8% 98%  
107 0.6% 97%  
108 1.3% 96%  
109 1.1% 95%  
110 1.4% 94%  
111 2% 92%  
112 2% 90%  
113 2% 88%  
114 3% 86%  
115 3% 82%  
116 2% 79%  
117 3% 77%  
118 4% 73%  
119 3% 69%  
120 3% 67%  
121 6% 64%  
122 3% 58%  
123 4% 55%  
124 4% 51% Median
125 6% 48%  
126 3% 41%  
127 4% 39%  
128 4% 35%  
129 3% 31%  
130 4% 28%  
131 3% 24%  
132 3% 22%  
133 3% 19%  
134 2% 15%  
135 3% 14%  
136 2% 11%  
137 1.2% 9%  
138 1.0% 7%  
139 0.8% 6%  
140 1.4% 6%  
141 0.5% 4%  
142 0.6% 4%  
143 0.8% 3%  
144 0.5% 2%  
145 0.3% 2%  
146 0.2% 1.5%  
147 0.4% 1.2%  
148 0.1% 0.8%  
149 0.1% 0.7%  
150 0.1% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.4%  
152 0.1% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 0.2% 99.5%  
61 0.2% 99.3%  
62 0.3% 99.1%  
63 0.5% 98.8%  
64 0.7% 98%  
65 1.1% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 3% 92%  
69 4% 89%  
70 4% 85%  
71 5% 81%  
72 4% 76%  
73 5% 72%  
74 4% 68%  
75 5% 63%  
76 6% 59%  
77 5% 52% Median
78 5% 47%  
79 5% 42%  
80 4% 37%  
81 4% 33%  
82 3% 29%  
83 4% 26%  
84 3% 22%  
85 3% 19%  
86 2% 16%  
87 2% 15%  
88 1.4% 13%  
89 2% 11%  
90 2% 9%  
91 2% 7%  
92 2% 5%  
93 1.3% 4%  
94 1.0% 2% Last Result
95 0.5% 1.4%  
96 0.3% 0.9%  
97 0.2% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.2% 99.6%  
40 0.5% 99.4%  
41 0.6% 99.0%  
42 0.9% 98%  
43 2% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 3% 94%  
46 3% 92%  
47 3% 88%  
48 4% 85%  
49 5% 82%  
50 6% 76%  
51 6% 70%  
52 5% 64%  
53 6% 59%  
54 5% 52% Median
55 6% 47%  
56 6% 41%  
57 6% 35%  
58 4% 29%  
59 4% 25%  
60 6% 21%  
61 3% 16%  
62 3% 13%  
63 2% 10%  
64 2% 8%  
65 1.2% 6%  
66 1.4% 5%  
67 0.7% 3%  
68 0.6% 2%  
69 0.5% 2% Last Result
70 0.5% 1.4%  
71 0.3% 0.9%  
72 0.2% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.3% 99.6%  
39 0.5% 99.3%  
40 0.7% 98.8%  
41 1.0% 98%  
42 1.4% 97%  
43 2% 96%  
44 3% 93%  
45 3% 90%  
46 4% 87% Last Result
47 5% 83%  
48 5% 78%  
49 6% 73%  
50 6% 68%  
51 6% 61%  
52 6% 55% Median
53 7% 49%  
54 5% 42%  
55 5% 37%  
56 5% 32%  
57 4% 27%  
58 4% 23%  
59 3% 18%  
60 4% 15%  
61 2% 11%  
62 2% 9%  
63 1.3% 6%  
64 1.1% 5%  
65 1.0% 4%  
66 0.7% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.5% 1.4%  
69 0.2% 1.0%  
70 0.2% 0.7%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 0% 51%  
17 0% 51%  
18 0% 51%  
19 0% 51%  
20 0% 51%  
21 0% 51%  
22 0% 51%  
23 0% 51%  
24 0% 51%  
25 0% 51%  
26 0% 51%  
27 0% 51%  
28 0% 51%  
29 0% 51%  
30 0% 51%  
31 0% 51%  
32 0% 51%  
33 0% 51%  
34 0% 51%  
35 0% 51%  
36 0% 51%  
37 0.4% 51%  
38 7% 50% Median
39 7% 43%  
40 6% 36%  
41 6% 30%  
42 6% 25%  
43 4% 19%  
44 4% 14%  
45 3% 11%  
46 2% 8%  
47 2% 6%  
48 1.3% 4%  
49 0.8% 3%  
50 0.5% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.3%  
52 0.3% 0.8%  
53 0.2% 0.5%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 555 100% 531–581 527–585 524–588 517–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 454 100% 435–471 431–475 426–479 419–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 432 100% 410–455 405–461 400–463 393–472
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 423 100% 404–441 399–447 395–451 387–459
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 401 100% 380–424 375–429 371–433 363–441
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 377 92% 356–397 352–402 347–406 339–414
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 355 53% 334–376 331–381 326–385 318–394
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 332 8% 312–353 307–357 303–362 295–370
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 300 0% 277–320 272–326 268–330 260–338
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 300 0% 277–322 272–326 268–329 260–339
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 278 0% 259–297 255–302 252–307 244–314
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 178 0% 164–194 159–197 155–201 148–208
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 146 0% 120–169 116–174 113–177 108–184

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0% 99.9%  
512 0% 99.9%  
513 0.1% 99.9%  
514 0.1% 99.8%  
515 0.1% 99.7%  
516 0.1% 99.7%  
517 0.2% 99.6%  
518 0.2% 99.4%  
519 0.2% 99.2%  
520 0.2% 99.0%  
521 0.7% 98.8%  
522 0.3% 98%  
523 0.3% 98%  
524 0.7% 98%  
525 0.8% 97%  
526 0.7% 96%  
527 1.3% 95%  
528 1.4% 94%  
529 1.2% 93%  
530 0.8% 92%  
531 2% 91%  
532 1.3% 89%  
533 1.4% 87%  
534 2% 86%  
535 2% 84%  
536 2% 82%  
537 1.1% 80%  
538 2% 79%  
539 3% 77%  
540 2% 74%  
541 1.3% 72%  
542 2% 71%  
543 3% 69%  
544 2% 66%  
545 1.0% 64%  
546 2% 63%  
547 2% 61%  
548 2% 59%  
549 2% 58%  
550 1.1% 56%  
551 2% 55%  
552 0.8% 53%  
553 0.9% 52%  
554 1.1% 51%  
555 0.6% 50% Median
556 0.8% 50%  
557 1.1% 49%  
558 0.6% 48%  
559 0.7% 47%  
560 0.8% 46%  
561 1.2% 46%  
562 1.4% 44%  
563 1.1% 43%  
564 1.0% 42%  
565 1.3% 41%  
566 1.4% 40%  
567 2% 38%  
568 2% 36%  
569 2% 35%  
570 1.3% 33%  
571 1.4% 31%  
572 3% 30%  
573 2% 27%  
574 2% 25%  
575 3% 22%  
576 1.3% 20%  
577 2% 19%  
578 2% 17%  
579 3% 15%  
580 1.3% 12%  
581 2% 11%  
582 0.7% 9%  
583 2% 9%  
584 1.2% 7%  
585 1.2% 5%  
586 0.6% 4%  
587 0.7% 4%  
588 0.6% 3%  
589 0.6% 2%  
590 0.4% 2%  
591 0.2% 1.2%  
592 0.3% 1.0%  
593 0.1% 0.7%  
594 0.1% 0.5%  
595 0.1% 0.5%  
596 0.1% 0.4%  
597 0% 0.3%  
598 0% 0.2%  
599 0% 0.2%  
600 0% 0.2%  
601 0% 0.2%  
602 0% 0.2%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0.1%  
608 0% 0.1%  
609 0% 0.1%  
610 0% 0.1%  
611 0% 0.1%  
612 0% 0.1%  
613 0% 0.1%  
614 0% 0.1%  
615 0% 0.1%  
616 0% 0.1%  
617 0% 0.1%  
618 0% 0.1%  
619 0% 0.1%  
620 0% 0.1%  
621 0% 0.1%  
622 0% 0.1%  
623 0% 0.1%  
624 0% 0.1%  
625 0% 0.1%  
626 0% 0.1%  
627 0% 0.1%  
628 0% 0.1%  
629 0% 0.1%  
630 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.9%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.7%  
418 0.1% 99.6%  
419 0.1% 99.5%  
420 0.3% 99.4%  
421 0.2% 99.1%  
422 0.2% 98.9%  
423 0.1% 98.7%  
424 0.3% 98.6%  
425 0.5% 98%  
426 0.4% 98%  
427 0.4% 97%  
428 0.5% 97%  
429 0.6% 96%  
430 0.6% 96%  
431 1.0% 95%  
432 0.6% 94%  
433 0.9% 94%  
434 2% 93%  
435 2% 91%  
436 0.7% 89%  
437 1.2% 89%  
438 1.4% 87%  
439 2% 86%  
440 3% 84%  
441 1.4% 82%  
442 2% 80%  
443 2% 79%  
444 3% 76%  
445 2% 74%  
446 2% 71%  
447 4% 69%  
448 1.4% 65%  
449 2% 64%  
450 2% 61%  
451 2% 59%  
452 3% 57%  
453 3% 54%  
454 4% 51%  
455 2% 47%  
456 2% 45%  
457 4% 43%  
458 2% 39%  
459 3% 37%  
460 2% 33%  
461 3% 32%  
462 3% 29%  
463 3% 26%  
464 2% 23%  
465 2% 21%  
466 1.2% 19%  
467 2% 18%  
468 2% 16%  
469 1.1% 13% Median
470 1.5% 12%  
471 2% 11%  
472 1.4% 9%  
473 0.9% 8%  
474 1.1% 7%  
475 0.9% 6%  
476 0.7% 5%  
477 0.5% 4%  
478 0.4% 3%  
479 0.6% 3%  
480 0.4% 2%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.3% 1.4%  
484 0.2% 1.2%  
485 0.3% 1.0%  
486 0.1% 0.7%  
487 0.1% 0.6%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0.1% 0.4%  
490 0.1% 0.3%  
491 0% 0.3%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.8%  
392 0.2% 99.7%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.3%  
395 0.1% 99.3%  
396 0.1% 99.2%  
397 0.3% 99.1%  
398 0.4% 98.8%  
399 0.5% 98%  
400 0.4% 98%  
401 0.6% 97%  
402 0.3% 97%  
403 0.4% 97%  
404 1.1% 96%  
405 0.7% 95%  
406 2% 94%  
407 1.4% 93%  
408 0.3% 92%  
409 0.6% 91%  
410 2% 91%  
411 0.8% 88%  
412 2% 88%  
413 2% 86%  
414 2% 84%  
415 1.0% 82%  
416 2% 81%  
417 2% 80%  
418 2% 78%  
419 2% 76%  
420 2% 73%  
421 2% 71%  
422 0.9% 69%  
423 2% 69%  
424 3% 67%  
425 2% 64%  
426 2% 62%  
427 3% 60%  
428 0.9% 57%  
429 1.3% 56%  
430 2% 55%  
431 2% 53% Median
432 2% 51%  
433 2% 49%  
434 2% 47%  
435 2% 45%  
436 1.2% 43%  
437 2% 41%  
438 2% 40%  
439 2% 38%  
440 2% 36%  
441 1.3% 34%  
442 1.2% 33%  
443 2% 31%  
444 2% 29%  
445 1.4% 27%  
446 2% 26%  
447 3% 24%  
448 0.7% 21%  
449 2% 20%  
450 0.9% 18%  
451 1.0% 17%  
452 2% 16%  
453 2% 15%  
454 2% 13%  
455 0.6% 10%  
456 1.0% 10%  
457 2% 9%  
458 0.6% 7%  
459 0.7% 7%  
460 0.6% 6%  
461 1.0% 5%  
462 0.7% 4%  
463 1.0% 3%  
464 0.2% 2%  
465 0.4% 2%  
466 0.2% 2%  
467 0.5% 2%  
468 0.3% 1.2%  
469 0.1% 1.0%  
470 0.2% 0.9%  
471 0.1% 0.7%  
472 0.1% 0.6%  
473 0% 0.5%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0.1% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.2% 99.6%  
388 0.2% 99.4%  
389 0.1% 99.2%  
390 0.3% 99.1%  
391 0.1% 98.8%  
392 0.3% 98.7%  
393 0.3% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.5% 98%  
396 0.5% 97%  
397 0.7% 97%  
398 0.6% 96%  
399 0.6% 95%  
400 1.3% 95%  
401 1.2% 94%  
402 1.1% 92%  
403 1.0% 91%  
404 2% 90%  
405 0.8% 89%  
406 1.0% 88%  
407 1.4% 87%  
408 2% 85%  
409 1.4% 84%  
410 2% 83%  
411 3% 81%  
412 2% 78%  
413 3% 75%  
414 3% 73%  
415 2% 70%  
416 2% 68%  
417 1.4% 66%  
418 2% 65%  
419 3% 63%  
420 3% 60%  
421 2% 57%  
422 3% 55%  
423 3% 51%  
424 3% 48%  
425 2% 46%  
426 5% 44%  
427 1.5% 39%  
428 2% 38%  
429 2% 35%  
430 3% 33%  
431 2% 30%  
432 2% 28%  
433 2% 26%  
434 2% 24%  
435 1.4% 22%  
436 2% 21%  
437 3% 19%  
438 2% 16% Median
439 2% 14%  
440 1.5% 12%  
441 2% 11%  
442 0.8% 9%  
443 1.1% 8%  
444 0.5% 7%  
445 0.7% 7%  
446 0.9% 6%  
447 0.8% 5%  
448 0.5% 4%  
449 1.0% 4%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.7% 3%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.3% 2%  
454 0.2% 1.3%  
455 0.2% 1.2%  
456 0.2% 0.9%  
457 0.1% 0.7%  
458 0.1% 0.6%  
459 0.1% 0.5%  
460 0.1% 0.4%  
461 0.1% 0.3%  
462 0% 0.3%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.1% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.1% 99.1%  
367 0.3% 99.0%  
368 0.4% 98.7%  
369 0.1% 98%  
370 0.6% 98%  
371 0.5% 98%  
372 0.2% 97%  
373 1.1% 97%  
374 0.5% 96%  
375 0.5% 95%  
376 1.5% 95%  
377 0.7% 93%  
378 1.3% 93%  
379 0.9% 91%  
380 0.7% 90%  
381 2% 90%  
382 2% 88%  
383 2% 86%  
384 2% 84%  
385 1.2% 82%  
386 1.2% 81%  
387 3% 80%  
388 2% 77%  
389 1.2% 75%  
390 2% 73%  
391 1.1% 71%  
392 2% 70%  
393 3% 68%  
394 1.2% 66%  
395 3% 65%  
396 2% 61%  
397 1.1% 59%  
398 3% 58%  
399 2% 55% Last Result
400 2% 53% Median
401 3% 51%  
402 2% 49%  
403 2% 47%  
404 2% 45%  
405 1.2% 43%  
406 2% 42%  
407 2% 40%  
408 2% 39%  
409 2% 37%  
410 2% 35%  
411 3% 33%  
412 2% 30%  
413 3% 28%  
414 2% 26%  
415 2% 24%  
416 1.1% 22%  
417 0.9% 21%  
418 1.1% 20%  
419 2% 19%  
420 2% 17%  
421 1.3% 15%  
422 1.4% 13%  
423 2% 12%  
424 1.2% 10%  
425 1.1% 9%  
426 1.0% 8%  
427 0.6% 7%  
428 0.9% 6%  
429 0.7% 6%  
430 1.0% 5%  
431 0.3% 4%  
432 0.6% 3%  
433 0.4% 3%  
434 0.4% 2%  
435 0.3% 2%  
436 0.3% 2%  
437 0.3% 2%  
438 0.2% 1.3%  
439 0.2% 1.0%  
440 0.2% 0.8%  
441 0.2% 0.7%  
442 0.1% 0.5%  
443 0.1% 0.4%  
444 0% 0.3%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.7%  
339 0.1% 99.5%  
340 0.1% 99.4%  
341 0.1% 99.3%  
342 0.2% 99.2%  
343 0.1% 99.0%  
344 0.5% 98.8%  
345 0.3% 98%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.5% 98%  
348 0.4% 97%  
349 0.7% 97%  
350 0.4% 96%  
351 0.7% 96%  
352 0.7% 95%  
353 1.3% 94%  
354 0.6% 93%  
355 2% 92% Majority
356 0.9% 91%  
357 1.5% 90%  
358 2% 88%  
359 1.2% 86%  
360 0.9% 85%  
361 1.1% 84%  
362 1.1% 83%  
363 3% 82%  
364 2% 79%  
365 1.5% 77%  
366 3% 76%  
367 2% 73%  
368 2% 71%  
369 1.5% 69%  
370 2% 68%  
371 2% 66%  
372 3% 63%  
373 2% 61%  
374 3% 59%  
375 3% 56%  
376 2% 53%  
377 2% 51%  
378 4% 49%  
379 3% 45%  
380 3% 43%  
381 2% 40%  
382 2% 38%  
383 2% 36%  
384 2% 34%  
385 2% 31%  
386 2% 30%  
387 2% 27%  
388 2% 25%  
389 2% 23%  
390 2% 21%  
391 1.4% 19% Median
392 1.1% 18%  
393 1.4% 17%  
394 2% 15%  
395 1.5% 14%  
396 1.2% 12%  
397 2% 11%  
398 0.8% 9%  
399 2% 8%  
400 0.5% 7%  
401 0.9% 6%  
402 1.0% 5%  
403 0.7% 4%  
404 0.4% 4%  
405 0.6% 3%  
406 0.4% 3%  
407 0.5% 2%  
408 0.2% 2%  
409 0.3% 2%  
410 0.2% 1.3%  
411 0.2% 1.1%  
412 0.2% 0.9%  
413 0.2% 0.7%  
414 0.1% 0.5%  
415 0.1% 0.5%  
416 0.1% 0.4%  
417 0.1% 0.3%  
418 0.1% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.2% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0% 99.7%  
318 0.2% 99.6%  
319 0.1% 99.5%  
320 0.1% 99.4%  
321 0.2% 99.3%  
322 0.2% 99.1%  
323 0.4% 98.9%  
324 0.4% 98.5%  
325 0.4% 98%  
326 0.4% 98%  
327 0.3% 97%  
328 0.4% 97%  
329 0.6% 97%  
330 0.7% 96%  
331 2% 95%  
332 1.1% 94%  
333 2% 93%  
334 1.0% 91%  
335 1.1% 90%  
336 0.9% 89%  
337 1.4% 88%  
338 1.2% 86%  
339 2% 85%  
340 3% 83% Last Result
341 2% 80%  
342 1.3% 78%  
343 2% 77%  
344 2% 75%  
345 2% 73%  
346 2% 71%  
347 2% 69%  
348 2% 67%  
349 3% 65%  
350 2% 62%  
351 2% 60%  
352 2% 58%  
353 2% 56% Median
354 1.0% 54%  
355 3% 53% Majority
356 2% 50%  
357 3% 48%  
358 3% 45%  
359 2% 42%  
360 2% 40%  
361 1.4% 38%  
362 1.4% 37%  
363 3% 35%  
364 2% 32%  
365 2% 30%  
366 3% 28%  
367 2% 26%  
368 1.3% 24%  
369 1.3% 22%  
370 1.2% 21%  
371 1.2% 20%  
372 3% 19%  
373 1.4% 16%  
374 2% 15%  
375 2% 12%  
376 1.0% 11%  
377 0.6% 10%  
378 2% 9%  
379 0.8% 8%  
380 1.1% 7%  
381 0.7% 6%  
382 0.9% 5%  
383 0.6% 4%  
384 0.5% 3%  
385 0.4% 3%  
386 0.4% 2%  
387 0.3% 2%  
388 0.2% 2%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.1% 1.3%  
391 0.3% 1.2%  
392 0.1% 0.9%  
393 0.2% 0.8%  
394 0.2% 0.6%  
395 0% 0.4%  
396 0% 0.4%  
397 0% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.3%  
399 0.1% 0.3%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.1% 99.5%  
296 0.2% 99.5%  
297 0.2% 99.3%  
298 0.2% 99.1%  
299 0.2% 98.9%  
300 0.3% 98.7%  
301 0.2% 98%  
302 0.5% 98%  
303 0.4% 98%  
304 0.6% 97%  
305 0.4% 97%  
306 0.7% 96%  
307 1.0% 96%  
308 0.9% 95%  
309 0.5% 94%  
310 2% 93%  
311 0.8% 92%  
312 2% 91%  
313 1.2% 89%  
314 1.5% 88%  
315 2% 86%  
316 1.4% 85%  
317 1.1% 83%  
318 1.4% 82%  
319 2% 81%  
320 2% 79%  
321 2% 77%  
322 2% 75%  
323 2% 73%  
324 2% 70%  
325 2% 69%  
326 2% 66%  
327 2% 64%  
328 2% 62%  
329 3% 60%  
330 3% 57%  
331 4% 55%  
332 2% 51%  
333 2% 49% Median
334 3% 47%  
335 3% 44%  
336 2% 41%  
337 3% 39%  
338 2% 37%  
339 2% 34%  
340 1.5% 32%  
341 2% 31%  
342 2% 29%  
343 3% 27%  
344 1.5% 24%  
345 2% 23%  
346 3% 21%  
347 1.1% 18%  
348 1.1% 17%  
349 0.9% 16%  
350 1.2% 15%  
351 2% 14%  
352 1.5% 12%  
353 0.9% 10%  
354 2% 9%  
355 0.6% 8% Majority
356 1.3% 7%  
357 0.7% 6%  
358 0.7% 5%  
359 0.4% 4%  
360 0.7% 4%  
361 0.4% 3%  
362 0.5% 3%  
363 0.2% 2%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.5% 2%  
366 0.1% 1.2%  
367 0.2% 1.0%  
368 0.1% 0.8%  
369 0.1% 0.7%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.3%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.8%  
258 0.1% 99.7%  
259 0.1% 99.6%  
260 0.1% 99.5%  
261 0.1% 99.4%  
262 0.2% 99.3%  
263 0.3% 99.1%  
264 0.1% 98.8%  
265 0.4% 98.7%  
266 0.5% 98%  
267 0.3% 98%  
268 0.4% 98%  
269 0.4% 97%  
270 0.5% 97%  
271 0.6% 96%  
272 0.7% 96%  
273 1.2% 95%  
274 1.0% 94%  
275 0.9% 93%  
276 1.4% 92%  
277 2% 90%  
278 1.5% 89%  
279 2% 87%  
280 1.0% 86%  
281 2% 85%  
282 2% 83%  
283 1.2% 81%  
284 2% 80%  
285 2% 78%  
286 3% 76%  
287 1.1% 73%  
288 2% 72%  
289 2% 70%  
290 2% 69%  
291 2% 67%  
292 2% 65%  
293 2% 63%  
294 1.3% 61%  
295 2% 60%  
296 2% 58%  
297 2% 56%  
298 3% 55%  
299 1.4% 51%  
300 2% 50%  
301 2% 48%  
302 0.9% 46%  
303 3% 45%  
304 1.0% 42%  
305 2% 41%  
306 2% 39%  
307 2% 36%  
308 2% 34%  
309 2% 32%  
310 3% 30%  
311 2% 27%  
312 2% 25%  
313 2% 23%  
314 2% 21% Median
315 2% 20%  
316 2% 18%  
317 2% 16%  
318 2% 14%  
319 1.0% 13%  
320 2% 12%  
321 0.6% 10%  
322 1.0% 9%  
323 1.2% 8%  
324 0.8% 7%  
325 0.8% 6%  
326 0.6% 5% Last Result
327 0.8% 5%  
328 0.4% 4%  
329 0.9% 4%  
330 0.3% 3%  
331 0.4% 2%  
332 0.3% 2%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.3% 1.3%  
335 0.2% 1.1%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0.2% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0.1% 0.4%  
341 0.1% 0.3%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.8%  
258 0% 99.7%  
259 0.1% 99.6%  
260 0.2% 99.5%  
261 0.1% 99.3%  
262 0.2% 99.2%  
263 0.2% 99.0%  
264 0.4% 98.8%  
265 0.2% 98%  
266 0.4% 98%  
267 0.3% 98%  
268 0.1% 98%  
269 0.6% 97%  
270 0.3% 97%  
271 0.7% 97%  
272 0.9% 96%  
273 0.8% 95%  
274 0.9% 94%  
275 1.5% 93%  
276 1.2% 92%  
277 0.8% 91%  
278 2% 90%  
279 1.1% 88%  
280 1.1% 87%  
281 2% 85%  
282 1.2% 83%  
283 2% 82%  
284 1.3% 81%  
285 1.4% 79%  
286 3% 78%  
287 2% 75%  
288 3% 73%  
289 1.3% 70%  
290 2% 69%  
291 3% 67%  
292 1.5% 65%  
293 3% 63%  
294 2% 61%  
295 2% 59%  
296 2% 57%  
297 2% 56%  
298 2% 54%  
299 1.1% 52%  
300 3% 51% Last Result
301 2% 47%  
302 2% 46%  
303 2% 44%  
304 2% 42%  
305 2% 40%  
306 2% 39%  
307 2% 37%  
308 2% 35%  
309 1.4% 33%  
310 2% 32%  
311 1.4% 30%  
312 2% 28%  
313 3% 27%  
314 2% 24%  
315 2% 21%  
316 1.2% 19%  
317 2% 18% Median
318 3% 16%  
319 2% 14%  
320 0.9% 12%  
321 0.8% 11%  
322 0.9% 10%  
323 2% 9%  
324 1.4% 7%  
325 0.5% 6%  
326 0.6% 5%  
327 0.8% 5%  
328 0.8% 4%  
329 0.9% 3%  
330 0.2% 2%  
331 0.2% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.2% 1.3%  
335 0.2% 1.1%  
336 0.1% 0.8%  
337 0.1% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0.2% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.4%  
341 0% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.1% 99.5%  
245 0.2% 99.4%  
246 0.2% 99.3%  
247 0.2% 99.1%  
248 0.2% 98.9%  
249 0.2% 98.7%  
250 0.4% 98%  
251 0.4% 98%  
252 0.5% 98%  
253 0.5% 97%  
254 1.0% 97%  
255 0.8% 96%  
256 1.2% 95%  
257 1.1% 94%  
258 2% 93%  
259 1.4% 91%  
260 1.3% 89%  
261 1.4% 88%  
262 1.4% 87%  
263 2% 85%  
264 2% 83%  
265 1.0% 82%  
266 2% 81%  
267 1.4% 78%  
268 2% 77%  
269 2% 75%  
270 2% 72%  
271 2% 71%  
272 3% 68%  
273 2% 66%  
274 2% 63%  
275 4% 61%  
276 3% 58%  
277 2% 55%  
278 3% 53%  
279 3% 49% Median
280 2% 47%  
281 3% 44%  
282 2% 41%  
283 2% 39%  
284 3% 36%  
285 2% 33%  
286 3% 31%  
287 2% 28%  
288 3% 26%  
289 1.1% 22%  
290 2% 21%  
291 2% 19%  
292 1.1% 17%  
293 2% 16%  
294 1.1% 13%  
295 0.8% 12%  
296 1.3% 12%  
297 1.2% 10%  
298 1.2% 9%  
299 0.7% 8%  
300 0.9% 7%  
301 0.6% 6%  
302 1.1% 6%  
303 0.7% 5%  
304 0.5% 4%  
305 0.5% 3%  
306 0.3% 3%  
307 0.7% 3%  
308 0.4% 2%  
309 0.3% 1.5%  
310 0.2% 1.1%  
311 0.1% 1.0%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.2% 0.8%  
314 0.1% 0.6%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.4%  
317 0.1% 0.3%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.2%  
320 0.1% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0.1% 99.6%  
147 0.1% 99.6%  
148 0% 99.5%  
149 0.1% 99.5%  
150 0.2% 99.3%  
151 0.2% 99.2%  
152 0.2% 99.0%  
153 0.3% 98.8%  
154 0.3% 98.5%  
155 0.7% 98%  
156 0.5% 97%  
157 0.5% 97%  
158 0.6% 96%  
159 0.9% 96%  
160 0.9% 95%  
161 1.3% 94%  
162 1.3% 93%  
163 1.1% 91%  
164 1.5% 90%  
165 3% 89%  
166 3% 86%  
167 1.5% 83%  
168 3% 82%  
169 3% 79%  
170 4% 76%  
171 2% 72%  
172 3% 70%  
173 2% 67%  
174 3% 65%  
175 4% 62%  
176 4% 58%  
177 3% 55%  
178 3% 51% Median
179 5% 48%  
180 3% 43%  
181 5% 41%  
182 3% 36%  
183 2% 33%  
184 3% 31%  
185 5% 28%  
186 2% 24%  
187 2% 22%  
188 1.4% 20%  
189 2% 19%  
190 2% 16%  
191 2% 14%  
192 0.9% 12%  
193 1.2% 11%  
194 1.5% 10%  
195 2% 9%  
196 1.0% 7%  
197 0.7% 6%  
198 0.6% 5%  
199 1.1% 4%  
200 0.6% 3%  
201 0.3% 3%  
202 0.5% 2%  
203 0.2% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.2%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.7%  
208 0.1% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0.4% 99.6%  
109 0.1% 99.2%  
110 0.3% 99.1%  
111 0.7% 98.8%  
112 0.4% 98%  
113 0.6% 98%  
114 0.9% 97%  
115 0.9% 96%  
116 0.9% 95%  
117 1.1% 94%  
118 2% 93%  
119 1.4% 92%  
120 1.3% 90%  
121 2% 89%  
122 1.2% 87%  
123 2% 86%  
124 0.9% 83%  
125 4% 82%  
126 1.0% 79%  
127 2% 78%  
128 2% 75%  
129 2% 74%  
130 2% 72%  
131 2% 69%  
132 2% 68%  
133 2% 66%  
134 1.4% 63%  
135 2% 62%  
136 2% 60%  
137 0.9% 57%  
138 0.8% 57%  
139 0.7% 56%  
140 1.2% 55%  
141 0.5% 54%  
142 0.8% 53%  
143 0.9% 53%  
144 0.7% 52%  
145 0.5% 51%  
146 0.6% 50%  
147 0.9% 50%  
148 0.7% 49%  
149 1.3% 48%  
150 1.0% 47%  
151 1.0% 46%  
152 2% 45%  
153 2% 43%  
154 1.3% 42%  
155 1.1% 40%  
156 2% 39%  
157 2% 37%  
158 2% 36%  
159 3% 33%  
160 2% 31%  
161 2% 28%  
162 1.3% 26% Median
163 3% 25%  
164 2% 21%  
165 1.4% 20%  
166 3% 18%  
167 2% 16%  
168 2% 14%  
169 2% 12%  
170 2% 10%  
171 1.3% 8%  
172 0.7% 7%  
173 1.0% 6%  
174 0.7% 5%  
175 0.9% 4%  
176 0.7% 3%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.5% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.3% 1.5%  
181 0.3% 1.1%  
182 0.2% 0.9%  
183 0.1% 0.7%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations