Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 12–14 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 28.4% 26.7–30.3% 26.2–30.8% 25.8–31.2% 24.9–32.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.1–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 17.0–23.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.3% 12.4–18.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 214 200–228 197–233 194–238 187–245
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 151 139–164 136–168 133–171 128–178
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 112 104–124 100–128 97–132 93–137
Alternative für Deutschland 94 83 74–93 71–96 69–99 65–104
Die Linke 69 53 46–61 44–64 42–66 39–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 50 43–57 40–60 39–62 36–66
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 38–53 0–55 0–57 0–61

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.1% 99.8%  
186 0.1% 99.7%  
187 0.1% 99.6%  
188 0.2% 99.5%  
189 0.2% 99.3%  
190 0.2% 99.1%  
191 0.3% 98.9%  
192 0.4% 98.5%  
193 0.6% 98%  
194 0.7% 98%  
195 0.7% 97%  
196 1.0% 96%  
197 1.2% 95%  
198 1.2% 94%  
199 1.4% 93%  
200 2% 91% Last Result
201 2% 90%  
202 1.2% 88%  
203 2% 87%  
204 2% 85%  
205 3% 82%  
206 2% 80%  
207 3% 77%  
208 4% 74%  
209 4% 71%  
210 3% 67%  
211 5% 64%  
212 4% 59%  
213 3% 55%  
214 4% 52% Median
215 4% 48%  
216 3% 44%  
217 4% 41%  
218 3% 38%  
219 2% 34%  
220 5% 32%  
221 2% 28%  
222 4% 25%  
223 2% 22%  
224 2% 19%  
225 2% 17%  
226 2% 15%  
227 2% 12%  
228 1.4% 11%  
229 1.1% 9%  
230 0.8% 8%  
231 0.9% 7%  
232 1.0% 6%  
233 0.5% 5%  
234 0.8% 5%  
235 0.6% 4%  
236 0.3% 3%  
237 0.5% 3%  
238 0.4% 3%  
239 0.5% 2%  
240 0.3% 2%  
241 0.2% 1.5%  
242 0.2% 1.3%  
243 0.3% 1.1%  
244 0.2% 0.8%  
245 0.1% 0.6%  
246 0.1% 0.5%  
247 0% 0.4%  
248 0% 0.4%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0.1% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.2% 99.7%  
128 0.2% 99.5%  
129 0.2% 99.4%  
130 0.4% 99.2%  
131 0.3% 98.8%  
132 0.5% 98%  
133 0.7% 98%  
134 0.9% 97%  
135 0.7% 96%  
136 1.2% 96%  
137 1.5% 94%  
138 1.2% 93%  
139 2% 92%  
140 2% 89%  
141 2% 87%  
142 3% 86%  
143 3% 82%  
144 3% 79%  
145 4% 76%  
146 5% 72%  
147 2% 67%  
148 4% 65%  
149 4% 61%  
150 3% 57%  
151 5% 54% Median
152 5% 49%  
153 3% 44%  
154 5% 41%  
155 4% 36%  
156 3% 32%  
157 2% 29%  
158 4% 26%  
159 2% 22%  
160 2% 20%  
161 4% 18%  
162 2% 14%  
163 2% 12%  
164 2% 10%  
165 1.2% 8%  
166 0.8% 7%  
167 1.1% 6%  
168 1.0% 5%  
169 0.3% 4%  
170 0.7% 4%  
171 0.7% 3%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.5% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.5%  
175 0.2% 1.1%  
176 0.2% 0.9%  
177 0.2% 0.7%  
178 0.1% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.8%  
93 0.2% 99.6%  
94 0.4% 99.4%  
95 0.5% 99.0%  
96 0.6% 98.5%  
97 0.6% 98%  
98 0.8% 97%  
99 0.7% 96%  
100 0.9% 96%  
101 0.9% 95%  
102 1.1% 94%  
103 2% 93%  
104 2% 91%  
105 4% 89%  
106 5% 85%  
107 5% 80%  
108 6% 75%  
109 6% 70%  
110 6% 63%  
111 4% 58%  
112 4% 53% Median
113 3% 50%  
114 3% 47%  
115 3% 44%  
116 3% 41%  
117 4% 38%  
118 3% 34%  
119 5% 31%  
120 5% 26%  
121 4% 22%  
122 4% 17%  
123 3% 13%  
124 2% 11%  
125 1.3% 8%  
126 1.0% 7%  
127 0.7% 6%  
128 0.6% 5%  
129 0.7% 5%  
130 0.6% 4%  
131 0.5% 3%  
132 0.6% 3%  
133 0.6% 2%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.4% 1.4%  
136 0.2% 0.9%  
137 0.2% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.2%  
68 0.5% 98.8%  
69 0.8% 98%  
70 1.1% 97%  
71 1.3% 96%  
72 2% 95%  
73 2% 93%  
74 2% 91%  
75 3% 89%  
76 4% 86%  
77 4% 82%  
78 4% 78%  
79 5% 74%  
80 5% 69%  
81 5% 64%  
82 5% 59%  
83 6% 53% Median
84 5% 47%  
85 6% 42%  
86 4% 37%  
87 5% 33%  
88 4% 27%  
89 4% 24%  
90 3% 20%  
91 3% 17%  
92 2% 13%  
93 2% 11%  
94 2% 9% Last Result
95 1.1% 7%  
96 1.3% 5%  
97 0.9% 4%  
98 0.7% 3%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.5% 2%  
101 0.3% 1.4%  
102 0.2% 1.0%  
103 0.3% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.3% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.4%  
41 0.6% 98.9%  
42 0.8% 98%  
43 1.5% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 3% 94%  
46 3% 92%  
47 4% 88%  
48 5% 84%  
49 5% 80%  
50 6% 74%  
51 6% 68%  
52 8% 62%  
53 6% 54% Median
54 6% 48%  
55 6% 42%  
56 6% 36%  
57 6% 30%  
58 5% 25%  
59 4% 20%  
60 3% 16%  
61 3% 13%  
62 2% 9%  
63 2% 7%  
64 1.4% 6%  
65 1.1% 4%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 0.7% 2%  
68 0.4% 1.5%  
69 0.3% 1.1% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.8%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.2% 99.8%  
36 0.3% 99.6%  
37 0.3% 99.3%  
38 0.6% 99.0%  
39 1.4% 98%  
40 2% 97%  
41 1.3% 95%  
42 2% 93%  
43 4% 92%  
44 6% 87%  
45 6% 81%  
46 3% 75% Last Result
47 5% 72%  
48 10% 68%  
49 7% 57%  
50 5% 50% Median
51 4% 45%  
52 8% 40%  
53 8% 33%  
54 5% 25%  
55 3% 20%  
56 3% 17%  
57 5% 14%  
58 2% 9%  
59 1.2% 7%  
60 1.2% 6%  
61 2% 5%  
62 1.3% 3%  
63 0.4% 2%  
64 0.3% 1.5%  
65 0.4% 1.2%  
66 0.4% 0.8%  
67 0.2% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0.1% 93%  
38 3% 93%  
39 4% 90%  
40 4% 86%  
41 6% 82%  
42 8% 76%  
43 5% 68%  
44 6% 63%  
45 10% 57% Median
46 6% 47%  
47 6% 42%  
48 8% 35%  
49 4% 27%  
50 4% 23%  
51 5% 18%  
52 3% 13%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 1.3% 4%  
57 0.9% 3%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.3%  
60 0.3% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.6%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 528 100% 515–544 511–558 508–567 501–577
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 459 100% 443–473 439–476 434–481 425–489
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 415 100% 400–432 395–439 393–448 385–461
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 422 100% 405–436 400–441 395–443 384–451
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 391 99.3% 375–406 369–410 364–414 352–421
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 377 97% 362–395 358–401 354–408 348–419
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 347 26% 332–364 328–370 324–376 317–389
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 318 0.7% 303–334 299–340 295–345 288–357
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 309 0% 292–324 284–328 277–331 264–339
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 308 0% 291–323 284–327 277–331 265–338
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 264 0% 250–280 246–285 243–290 236–300
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 166 0% 155–180 151–184 148–188 141–195
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 158 0% 143–171 125–174 117–177 108–184

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 99.9%  
496 0% 99.9%  
497 0.1% 99.9%  
498 0.1% 99.8%  
499 0.1% 99.8%  
500 0.1% 99.7%  
501 0.1% 99.6%  
502 0.2% 99.5%  
503 0.2% 99.3%  
504 0.3% 99.1%  
505 0.3% 98.8%  
506 0.4% 98.5%  
507 0.5% 98%  
508 0.6% 98%  
509 0.7% 97%  
510 0.7% 96%  
511 1.3% 96%  
512 1.3% 94%  
513 1.2% 93%  
514 1.3% 92%  
515 2% 90%  
516 3% 89%  
517 1.4% 86%  
518 3% 85%  
519 3% 82%  
520 3% 79%  
521 4% 76%  
522 3% 72%  
523 4% 69%  
524 3% 65%  
525 4% 62%  
526 3% 58%  
527 4% 55% Median
528 4% 51%  
529 4% 47%  
530 3% 43%  
531 3% 39%  
532 3% 37%  
533 4% 33%  
534 3% 29%  
535 2% 26%  
536 3% 24%  
537 2% 21%  
538 2% 19%  
539 2% 17%  
540 0.8% 15%  
541 1.5% 14%  
542 1.3% 12%  
543 1.0% 11%  
544 0.6% 10%  
545 0.6% 10%  
546 0.5% 9%  
547 0.5% 8%  
548 0.5% 8%  
549 0.2% 7%  
550 0.3% 7%  
551 0.2% 7%  
552 0.2% 7%  
553 0.3% 7%  
554 0.3% 6%  
555 0.2% 6%  
556 0.2% 6%  
557 0.1% 6%  
558 0.4% 5%  
559 0.2% 5%  
560 0.4% 5%  
561 0.2% 4%  
562 0.2% 4%  
563 0.3% 4%  
564 0.2% 4%  
565 0.4% 3%  
566 0.2% 3%  
567 0.4% 3%  
568 0.3% 2%  
569 0.1% 2%  
570 0.2% 2%  
571 0.2% 2%  
572 0.3% 2%  
573 0.2% 1.3%  
574 0.2% 1.1%  
575 0.2% 0.9%  
576 0.1% 0.7%  
577 0.1% 0.6%  
578 0% 0.5%  
579 0.1% 0.5%  
580 0.1% 0.3%  
581 0% 0.2%  
582 0.1% 0.2%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0.1%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0.1% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0% 99.6%  
424 0% 99.6%  
425 0.1% 99.6%  
426 0.1% 99.5%  
427 0.1% 99.4%  
428 0.2% 99.2%  
429 0.1% 99.0%  
430 0.3% 98.9%  
431 0.2% 98.6%  
432 0.2% 98%  
433 0.3% 98%  
434 0.4% 98%  
435 0.5% 97%  
436 1.1% 97%  
437 0.3% 96%  
438 0.5% 96%  
439 0.4% 95%  
440 0.6% 95%  
441 1.2% 94%  
442 2% 93%  
443 2% 91%  
444 1.4% 90%  
445 1.1% 88%  
446 1.0% 87%  
447 1.4% 86%  
448 2% 85%  
449 3% 83%  
450 4% 80%  
451 3% 77%  
452 4% 73%  
453 2% 70%  
454 1.4% 68%  
455 2% 67%  
456 3% 64%  
457 5% 62%  
458 5% 57%  
459 5% 52%  
460 2% 47% Median
461 2% 44%  
462 2% 42%  
463 2% 40%  
464 6% 38%  
465 3% 32%  
466 5% 29%  
467 4% 24%  
468 2% 20%  
469 1.3% 17%  
470 0.9% 16%  
471 1.3% 15%  
472 2% 14%  
473 3% 12%  
474 2% 10%  
475 2% 7%  
476 1.1% 6%  
477 0.5% 5%  
478 0.4% 4%  
479 0.5% 4%  
480 0.5% 3%  
481 0.7% 3%  
482 0.5% 2%  
483 0.4% 2%  
484 0.2% 1.2%  
485 0.1% 0.9%  
486 0.1% 0.8%  
487 0.1% 0.8%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.4%  
491 0.1% 0.3%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.2% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.5%  
386 0.1% 99.4%  
387 0.2% 99.3%  
388 0.3% 99.1%  
389 0.4% 98.8%  
390 0.3% 98%  
391 0.3% 98%  
392 0.3% 98%  
393 0.8% 98%  
394 0.7% 97%  
395 1.1% 96%  
396 0.4% 95%  
397 0.9% 94%  
398 1.2% 94%  
399 2% 92%  
400 2% 90%  
401 1.5% 88%  
402 2% 87%  
403 2% 85%  
404 3% 84%  
405 2% 81%  
406 1.5% 78%  
407 3% 77%  
408 3% 74%  
409 4% 71%  
410 3% 67%  
411 2% 64%  
412 2% 62%  
413 5% 60%  
414 4% 55%  
415 3% 51% Median
416 2% 48%  
417 2% 46%  
418 4% 43%  
419 5% 40%  
420 5% 35%  
421 2% 29%  
422 2% 27%  
423 2% 25%  
424 3% 24%  
425 3% 21%  
426 2% 18%  
427 0.9% 16%  
428 1.0% 15%  
429 1.3% 14%  
430 2% 13%  
431 0.7% 11%  
432 1.1% 11%  
433 0.8% 9%  
434 0.7% 9%  
435 0.8% 8%  
436 1.0% 7%  
437 0.4% 6%  
438 0.5% 6%  
439 0.4% 5%  
440 0.3% 5%  
441 0.2% 5%  
442 0.3% 4%  
443 0.1% 4%  
444 0.5% 4%  
445 0.3% 3%  
446 0.3% 3%  
447 0.3% 3%  
448 0.1% 3%  
449 0.3% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.6% 2%  
453 0.1% 1.4%  
454 0.2% 1.3%  
455 0.2% 1.1%  
456 0% 0.9%  
457 0.1% 0.9%  
458 0.1% 0.8%  
459 0% 0.7%  
460 0.1% 0.7%  
461 0.1% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.2% 0.4%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0.1% 99.8%  
381 0% 99.7%  
382 0.1% 99.7%  
383 0% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.6%  
385 0.1% 99.5%  
386 0.1% 99.4%  
387 0.1% 99.3%  
388 0.1% 99.2%  
389 0.1% 99.2%  
390 0.4% 99.1%  
391 0.3% 98.7%  
392 0.3% 98%  
393 0.3% 98%  
394 0.2% 98%  
395 0.3% 98%  
396 0.4% 97%  
397 0.5% 97%  
398 0.6% 96%  
399 0.4% 96%  
400 0.5% 95%  
401 0.7% 95%  
402 0.9% 94%  
403 1.3% 93%  
404 0.8% 92%  
405 1.2% 91%  
406 2% 90%  
407 0.6% 88%  
408 1.4% 87%  
409 2% 86%  
410 4% 84%  
411 3% 81%  
412 2% 77%  
413 1.3% 75%  
414 3% 74%  
415 2% 71%  
416 4% 69%  
417 2% 65%  
418 3% 62%  
419 3% 59%  
420 2% 56%  
421 3% 54% Median
422 2% 51%  
423 7% 49%  
424 4% 42%  
425 2% 37%  
426 2% 35%  
427 3% 33%  
428 5% 31%  
429 3% 25%  
430 2% 22%  
431 2% 20%  
432 2% 18%  
433 1.4% 16%  
434 2% 15%  
435 1.5% 13%  
436 3% 11%  
437 1.2% 9%  
438 0.8% 7%  
439 0.6% 7%  
440 0.7% 6%  
441 2% 5%  
442 1.1% 4%  
443 0.5% 3%  
444 0.2% 2%  
445 0.3% 2%  
446 0.3% 2%  
447 0.4% 1.5%  
448 0.2% 1.1%  
449 0.2% 0.9%  
450 0.1% 0.7%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0.1% 0.5%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0.1% 0.4%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.5%  
353 0.1% 99.4%  
354 0.1% 99.3%  
355 0.1% 99.3% Majority
356 0.1% 99.2%  
357 0.2% 99.1%  
358 0.2% 98.9%  
359 0.1% 98.7%  
360 0.2% 98.6%  
361 0.2% 98%  
362 0.4% 98%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.4% 98%  
365 0.4% 97%  
366 0.4% 97%  
367 0.5% 96%  
368 0.6% 96%  
369 0.9% 95%  
370 0.8% 94%  
371 0.6% 94%  
372 0.8% 93%  
373 0.9% 92%  
374 1.1% 91%  
375 1.2% 90%  
376 1.1% 89%  
377 2% 88%  
378 2% 86%  
379 2% 84%  
380 3% 83%  
381 2% 80%  
382 2% 78%  
383 2% 76%  
384 3% 74%  
385 3% 71%  
386 2% 68%  
387 4% 66%  
388 4% 62%  
389 2% 58%  
390 3% 55%  
391 3% 52%  
392 3% 49% Median
393 4% 46%  
394 3% 42%  
395 3% 39%  
396 4% 36%  
397 4% 32%  
398 2% 29%  
399 3% 27%  
400 3% 24%  
401 2% 21%  
402 3% 19%  
403 2% 16%  
404 2% 14%  
405 1.5% 12%  
406 2% 11%  
407 1.3% 9%  
408 1.2% 8%  
409 0.9% 7%  
410 0.9% 6%  
411 0.7% 5%  
412 0.8% 4%  
413 0.5% 3%  
414 0.5% 3%  
415 0.3% 2%  
416 0.3% 2%  
417 0.4% 2%  
418 0.3% 1.2%  
419 0.2% 0.9%  
420 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
421 0.2% 0.6%  
422 0.1% 0.5%  
423 0.1% 0.4%  
424 0% 0.3%  
425 0.1% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.2% 99.5%  
349 0.2% 99.3%  
350 0.3% 99.2%  
351 0.3% 98.9%  
352 0.3% 98.6%  
353 0.3% 98%  
354 0.5% 98%  
355 0.5% 97% Majority
356 0.5% 97%  
357 0.6% 96%  
358 1.0% 96%  
359 0.9% 95%  
360 1.4% 94%  
361 2% 93%  
362 1.1% 91%  
363 2% 90%  
364 2% 88%  
365 2% 86%  
366 3% 84%  
367 2% 80%  
368 3% 79%  
369 3% 76%  
370 2% 73%  
371 2% 70%  
372 3% 68%  
373 3% 65%  
374 3% 62%  
375 3% 59%  
376 3% 56% Median
377 4% 53%  
378 4% 49%  
379 5% 45%  
380 2% 41%  
381 3% 38%  
382 3% 35%  
383 2% 31%  
384 2% 30%  
385 2% 27%  
386 2% 25%  
387 2% 23%  
388 2% 20%  
389 2% 19%  
390 1.2% 17%  
391 2% 16%  
392 1.0% 13%  
393 1.1% 12%  
394 1.0% 11%  
395 1.4% 10%  
396 0.7% 9%  
397 1.1% 8%  
398 0.6% 7%  
399 0.6% 6% Last Result
400 0.4% 6%  
401 0.4% 5%  
402 0.7% 5%  
403 0.5% 4%  
404 0.3% 4%  
405 0.3% 3%  
406 0.3% 3%  
407 0.2% 3%  
408 0.3% 3%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.1% 2%  
413 0.2% 1.4%  
414 0.1% 1.2%  
415 0.1% 1.1%  
416 0.1% 0.9%  
417 0.2% 0.8%  
418 0.1% 0.7%  
419 0.1% 0.6%  
420 0% 0.5%  
421 0% 0.4%  
422 0.1% 0.4%  
423 0.1% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.7%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.1% 99.5%  
319 0.2% 99.3%  
320 0.2% 99.1%  
321 0.3% 98.9%  
322 0.3% 98.6%  
323 0.4% 98%  
324 0.4% 98%  
325 0.8% 97%  
326 0.7% 97%  
327 0.8% 96%  
328 0.8% 95%  
329 0.9% 94%  
330 1.0% 93%  
331 1.4% 92%  
332 1.4% 91%  
333 2% 90%  
334 2% 88%  
335 2% 86%  
336 3% 84%  
337 2% 81%  
338 3% 79%  
339 2% 76%  
340 3% 74% Last Result
341 2% 71%  
342 3% 68%  
343 5% 65%  
344 3% 60%  
345 3% 58%  
346 4% 55%  
347 3% 51% Median
348 2% 48%  
349 4% 46%  
350 2% 41%  
351 4% 39%  
352 4% 36%  
353 3% 32%  
354 3% 29%  
355 3% 26% Majority
356 2% 24%  
357 2% 22%  
358 2% 20%  
359 2% 18%  
360 2% 16%  
361 1.3% 15%  
362 2% 13%  
363 1.1% 11%  
364 1.4% 10%  
365 0.8% 9%  
366 0.7% 8%  
367 0.9% 7%  
368 0.6% 7%  
369 0.8% 6%  
370 0.6% 5%  
371 0.3% 5%  
372 0.4% 4%  
373 0.3% 4%  
374 0.5% 4%  
375 0.4% 3%  
376 0.2% 3%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.3% 2%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.1% 1.4%  
382 0.1% 1.3%  
383 0.1% 1.2%  
384 0.2% 1.1%  
385 0.1% 0.9%  
386 0.1% 0.8%  
387 0.2% 0.7%  
388 0.1% 0.6%  
389 0% 0.5%  
390 0.1% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.2% 99.5%  
289 0.1% 99.4% Last Result
290 0.2% 99.3%  
291 0.3% 99.1%  
292 0.4% 98.8%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 0.5% 98%  
296 0.5% 97%  
297 0.8% 97%  
298 0.7% 96%  
299 0.9% 95%  
300 0.9% 94%  
301 1.2% 93%  
302 1.3% 92%  
303 2% 91%  
304 1.5% 89%  
305 2% 88%  
306 2% 86%  
307 3% 84%  
308 2% 81%  
309 3% 79%  
310 3% 76%  
311 2% 73%  
312 4% 71%  
313 4% 68%  
314 3% 64%  
315 3% 61%  
316 4% 58% Median
317 3% 54%  
318 3% 51%  
319 3% 48%  
320 2% 45%  
321 4% 42%  
322 4% 38%  
323 2% 34%  
324 3% 32%  
325 3% 29%  
326 2% 26%  
327 2% 24%  
328 2% 22%  
329 3% 20%  
330 2% 17%  
331 2% 16%  
332 2% 14%  
333 1.1% 12%  
334 1.2% 11%  
335 1.1% 10%  
336 0.9% 9%  
337 0.8% 8%  
338 0.6% 7%  
339 0.8% 6%  
340 0.9% 6%  
341 0.6% 5%  
342 0.5% 4%  
343 0.4% 4%  
344 0.4% 3%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.3% 2%  
347 0.4% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.1% 1.4%  
351 0.2% 1.3%  
352 0.2% 1.1%  
353 0.1% 0.9%  
354 0.1% 0.8%  
355 0.1% 0.7% Majority
356 0.1% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.6%  
358 0.1% 0.5%  
359 0.1% 0.4%  
360 0% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0.1% 99.8%  
262 0% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.7%  
264 0.1% 99.6%  
265 0.1% 99.5%  
266 0.1% 99.4%  
267 0.1% 99.3%  
268 0.2% 99.2%  
269 0.1% 99.0%  
270 0.1% 98.9%  
271 0.2% 98.8%  
272 0.2% 98.6%  
273 0.1% 98%  
274 0.2% 98%  
275 0.4% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.2% 98%  
278 0.2% 97%  
279 0.2% 97%  
280 0.2% 97%  
281 0.3% 97%  
282 0.6% 96%  
283 0.4% 96%  
284 0.4% 95%  
285 0.5% 95%  
286 0.3% 94%  
287 0.6% 94%  
288 0.7% 93%  
289 0.6% 93%  
290 1.0% 92%  
291 1.0% 91%  
292 1.3% 90%  
293 0.9% 89%  
294 1.3% 88%  
295 2% 87%  
296 2% 85%  
297 2% 83%  
298 2% 81%  
299 2% 80%  
300 3% 78% Last Result
301 2% 75%  
302 3% 73%  
303 3% 69%  
304 2% 66%  
305 2% 64%  
306 5% 61%  
307 2% 57%  
308 4% 54% Median
309 3% 50%  
310 2% 47%  
311 5% 45%  
312 3% 40%  
313 3% 37%  
314 3% 34%  
315 3% 31%  
316 2% 28%  
317 3% 26%  
318 4% 24%  
319 2% 20%  
320 3% 18%  
321 2% 15%  
322 2% 14%  
323 2% 12%  
324 1.2% 10%  
325 2% 9%  
326 1.1% 7%  
327 0.8% 6%  
328 0.8% 5%  
329 1.1% 5%  
330 0.7% 4%  
331 0.5% 3%  
332 0.3% 2%  
333 0.5% 2%  
334 0.4% 2%  
335 0.2% 1.3%  
336 0.2% 1.1%  
337 0.2% 0.9%  
338 0.2% 0.7%  
339 0.1% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0.1% 0.3%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0.1% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.7%  
262 0% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.7%  
264 0.1% 99.6%  
265 0.1% 99.5%  
266 0.1% 99.4%  
267 0.1% 99.3%  
268 0.2% 99.2%  
269 0.2% 99.0%  
270 0.1% 98.8%  
271 0.2% 98.7%  
272 0.1% 98%  
273 0.2% 98%  
274 0.2% 98%  
275 0.2% 98%  
276 0.1% 98%  
277 0.2% 98%  
278 0.6% 97%  
279 0.2% 97%  
280 0.4% 97%  
281 0.3% 96%  
282 0.2% 96%  
283 0.3% 96%  
284 0.6% 95%  
285 0.5% 95%  
286 0.7% 94%  
287 0.7% 94%  
288 0.7% 93%  
289 0.9% 92%  
290 1.0% 91%  
291 1.0% 90%  
292 1.2% 89%  
293 1.2% 88%  
294 1.3% 87%  
295 1.4% 86%  
296 2% 84%  
297 2% 83%  
298 3% 81%  
299 2% 78%  
300 2% 76%  
301 2% 73%  
302 3% 71%  
303 4% 68%  
304 4% 64%  
305 3% 61%  
306 3% 58%  
307 3% 55%  
308 3% 52%  
309 3% 49% Median
310 4% 46%  
311 3% 42%  
312 4% 39%  
313 4% 36%  
314 3% 32%  
315 2% 29%  
316 3% 27%  
317 2% 23%  
318 3% 21%  
319 2% 19%  
320 2% 17%  
321 2% 15%  
322 2% 12%  
323 2% 11%  
324 1.4% 9%  
325 1.0% 8%  
326 0.9% 7% Last Result
327 0.9% 6%  
328 0.8% 5%  
329 0.6% 4%  
330 0.6% 3%  
331 0.5% 3%  
332 0.5% 2%  
333 0.4% 2%  
334 0.2% 1.4%  
335 0.2% 1.1%  
336 0.2% 0.9%  
337 0.2% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0.1% 0.4%  
341 0.1% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.7%  
236 0.2% 99.6%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0.2% 99.3%  
239 0.2% 99.1%  
240 0.4% 98.9%  
241 0.4% 98.5%  
242 0.5% 98%  
243 0.5% 98%  
244 0.9% 97%  
245 0.6% 96%  
246 1.1% 96%  
247 0.9% 95%  
248 1.2% 94%  
249 1.4% 93%  
250 1.2% 91%  
251 2% 90%  
252 1.5% 88%  
253 3% 86%  
254 2% 83%  
255 2% 81%  
256 3% 79%  
257 3% 76%  
258 4% 74%  
259 2% 70%  
260 3% 67%  
261 6% 65%  
262 2% 59%  
263 4% 57% Median
264 4% 53%  
265 3% 49%  
266 3% 46%  
267 3% 43%  
268 3% 40%  
269 4% 37%  
270 3% 33%  
271 3% 30%  
272 2% 27%  
273 3% 25%  
274 2% 22%  
275 2% 20%  
276 1.4% 17%  
277 2% 16%  
278 2% 14%  
279 1.2% 12%  
280 1.4% 11%  
281 1.3% 10%  
282 1.2% 8%  
283 0.8% 7%  
284 0.9% 6%  
285 0.5% 5%  
286 0.7% 5%  
287 0.6% 4%  
288 0.5% 4%  
289 0.4% 3%  
290 0.4% 3%  
291 0.3% 2%  
292 0.3% 2%  
293 0.2% 2%  
294 0.2% 1.5%  
295 0.2% 1.3%  
296 0.2% 1.1%  
297 0.2% 1.0%  
298 0.1% 0.8%  
299 0.1% 0.7%  
300 0.1% 0.6%  
301 0.1% 0.5%  
302 0.1% 0.4%  
303 0% 0.3%  
304 0% 0.3%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0.1% 99.6%  
141 0.1% 99.6%  
142 0.1% 99.5%  
143 0.2% 99.4%  
144 0.2% 99.2%  
145 0.3% 99.0%  
146 0.4% 98.7%  
147 0.4% 98%  
148 0.6% 98%  
149 0.7% 97%  
150 0.8% 97%  
151 1.2% 96%  
152 1.3% 95%  
153 1.3% 94%  
154 1.5% 92%  
155 2% 91%  
156 2% 88%  
157 3% 87%  
158 3% 84%  
159 3% 80%  
160 4% 78%  
161 4% 74%  
162 5% 71%  
163 4% 66%  
164 4% 62%  
165 4% 58% Median
166 4% 54%  
167 4% 50%  
168 3% 46%  
169 4% 43%  
170 4% 39%  
171 3% 35%  
172 4% 32%  
173 3% 28%  
174 3% 25%  
175 3% 22%  
176 2% 20%  
177 3% 17%  
178 2% 14%  
179 2% 12%  
180 2% 11%  
181 1.1% 9%  
182 2% 8%  
183 0.9% 6%  
184 0.9% 6%  
185 0.7% 5%  
186 0.6% 4%  
187 0.6% 3%  
188 0.6% 3%  
189 0.4% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.3% 1.4%  
192 0.2% 1.2%  
193 0.2% 1.0%  
194 0.1% 0.8%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0.1% 99.5%  
109 0.3% 99.4%  
110 0.2% 99.1%  
111 0.3% 98.9%  
112 0.3% 98.6%  
113 0.3% 98%  
114 0.2% 98%  
115 0.2% 98%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.1% 97%  
119 0.2% 97%  
120 0.3% 97%  
121 0.1% 97%  
122 0.5% 96%  
123 0.2% 96%  
124 0.6% 96%  
125 0.2% 95%  
126 0.2% 95%  
127 0.2% 95%  
128 0.1% 95%  
129 0.2% 94%  
130 0.1% 94%  
131 0.1% 94%  
132 0.1% 94%  
133 0.2% 94%  
134 0.1% 94%  
135 0.3% 94%  
136 0.2% 93%  
137 0.3% 93%  
138 0.3% 93%  
139 0.3% 93%  
140 0.4% 92%  
141 0.5% 92%  
142 0.5% 91%  
143 1.1% 91%  
144 1.0% 90%  
145 1.1% 89%  
146 2% 88%  
147 2% 86%  
148 2% 84%  
149 2% 82%  
150 3% 80%  
151 2% 77%  
152 3% 75%  
153 3% 71%  
154 3% 68%  
155 5% 64%  
156 3% 60%  
157 5% 57% Median
158 4% 52%  
159 4% 48%  
160 3% 44%  
161 4% 40%  
162 4% 36%  
163 3% 32%  
164 3% 29%  
165 4% 26%  
166 2% 22%  
167 3% 20%  
168 2% 17%  
169 2% 15%  
170 2% 12%  
171 2% 11%  
172 1.3% 9%  
173 1.5% 7%  
174 1.2% 6%  
175 0.8% 5%  
176 0.7% 4%  
177 0.8% 3%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.6% 2%  
180 0.3% 1.5%  
181 0.3% 1.2%  
182 0.2% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.7%  
184 0.1% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations