Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 7–20 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 28.8% 27.1–30.7% 26.6–31.2% 26.1–31.6% 25.3–32.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.9–19.4% 14.2–20.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.9–12.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 211 200–227 197–230 193–233 186–240
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 148 136–160 133–163 131–166 125–172
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 127 117–138 114–141 112–144 107–151
Alternative für Deutschland 94 73 66–81 64–84 62–86 58–92
Die Linke 69 51 44–58 43–60 41–62 38–67
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 51 44–58 42–60 41–62 37–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 47 41–52 40–54 38–55 0–58

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.1% 99.7%  
186 0.1% 99.6%  
187 0.1% 99.5%  
188 0.1% 99.3%  
189 0.2% 99.2%  
190 0.3% 99.0%  
191 0.4% 98.7%  
192 0.4% 98%  
193 0.6% 98%  
194 0.5% 97%  
195 0.7% 97%  
196 0.9% 96%  
197 1.1% 95%  
198 2% 94%  
199 2% 93%  
200 2% 91% Last Result
201 2% 89%  
202 2% 87%  
203 4% 84%  
204 3% 81%  
205 4% 77%  
206 3% 73%  
207 4% 70%  
208 4% 66%  
209 5% 62%  
210 4% 56%  
211 5% 52% Median
212 3% 47%  
213 3% 44%  
214 3% 41%  
215 3% 38%  
216 3% 35%  
217 2% 32%  
218 3% 29%  
219 2% 27%  
220 2% 24%  
221 2% 22%  
222 2% 20%  
223 3% 18%  
224 2% 15%  
225 2% 14%  
226 2% 12%  
227 2% 10%  
228 2% 9%  
229 1.3% 7%  
230 1.1% 6%  
231 0.8% 5%  
232 0.8% 4%  
233 0.7% 3%  
234 0.5% 2%  
235 0.4% 2%  
236 0.3% 1.3%  
237 0.2% 1.0%  
238 0.1% 0.8%  
239 0.1% 0.7%  
240 0.1% 0.5%  
241 0.1% 0.4%  
242 0.1% 0.4%  
243 0% 0.3%  
244 0.1% 0.2%  
245 0% 0.2%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.4%  
127 0.3% 99.2%  
128 0.3% 98.9%  
129 0.5% 98.5%  
130 0.5% 98%  
131 0.9% 98%  
132 0.9% 97%  
133 1.1% 96%  
134 1.3% 95%  
135 2% 93%  
136 2% 92%  
137 2% 89%  
138 3% 88%  
139 2% 85%  
140 2% 82%  
141 3% 80%  
142 3% 77%  
143 5% 74%  
144 6% 68%  
145 4% 62%  
146 4% 58%  
147 3% 55%  
148 4% 52% Median
149 5% 48%  
150 4% 43%  
151 5% 39%  
152 3% 34%  
153 4% 31%  
154 4% 27%  
155 3% 22%  
156 3% 19%  
157 2% 16%  
158 2% 15%  
159 2% 13%  
160 2% 11%  
161 2% 9%  
162 2% 7%  
163 1.2% 5%  
164 0.7% 4%  
165 0.6% 3%  
166 0.4% 3%  
167 0.4% 2%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.5%  
170 0.3% 1.2%  
171 0.2% 0.8%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.2% 99.5%  
108 0.3% 99.3%  
109 0.3% 99.0%  
110 0.6% 98.7%  
111 0.5% 98%  
112 0.9% 98%  
113 1.0% 97%  
114 1.1% 96%  
115 2% 95%  
116 1.3% 93%  
117 3% 91%  
118 2% 89%  
119 3% 86%  
120 4% 84%  
121 2% 80%  
122 5% 78%  
123 3% 72%  
124 5% 69%  
125 4% 64%  
126 5% 60%  
127 5% 55% Median
128 3% 49%  
129 7% 46%  
130 3% 40%  
131 6% 37%  
132 5% 31%  
133 2% 26%  
134 4% 23%  
135 2% 19%  
136 3% 17%  
137 2% 14%  
138 3% 12%  
139 2% 9%  
140 1.0% 7%  
141 1.5% 6%  
142 0.6% 5%  
143 1.2% 4%  
144 0.7% 3%  
145 0.5% 2%  
146 0.4% 2%  
147 0.3% 1.5%  
148 0.3% 1.1%  
149 0.1% 0.8%  
150 0.2% 0.7%  
151 0.1% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
154 0% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 0.3% 99.5%  
60 0.6% 99.2%  
61 0.8% 98.6%  
62 0.9% 98%  
63 1.5% 97%  
64 3% 95%  
65 3% 93%  
66 4% 90%  
67 3% 86%  
68 4% 83%  
69 6% 79%  
70 6% 73%  
71 7% 67%  
72 6% 60%  
73 6% 54% Median
74 7% 48%  
75 7% 41%  
76 4% 34%  
77 5% 29%  
78 5% 24%  
79 4% 20%  
80 4% 15%  
81 2% 12%  
82 2% 9%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 6%  
85 1.1% 4%  
86 0.7% 3%  
87 0.5% 2%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.3% 1.3%  
90 0.2% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0.1% 99.8%  
38 0.3% 99.8%  
39 0.3% 99.4%  
40 0.7% 99.1%  
41 2% 98%  
42 1.0% 97%  
43 3% 96%  
44 3% 93%  
45 3% 89%  
46 8% 87%  
47 5% 79%  
48 5% 74%  
49 10% 69%  
50 5% 59%  
51 9% 53% Median
52 9% 45%  
53 4% 36%  
54 8% 32%  
55 5% 24%  
56 3% 19%  
57 5% 15%  
58 2% 11%  
59 2% 8%  
60 2% 6%  
61 0.9% 4%  
62 0.9% 3%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 0.3% 1.5%  
65 0.4% 1.1%  
66 0.3% 0.8%  
67 0.1% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.3% 99.7%  
38 0.4% 99.5%  
39 0.6% 99.1%  
40 1.0% 98%  
41 1.4% 98%  
42 2% 96%  
43 2% 94%  
44 4% 91%  
45 4% 88%  
46 5% 83% Last Result
47 6% 78%  
48 6% 72%  
49 7% 67%  
50 6% 59%  
51 8% 53% Median
52 8% 45%  
53 6% 38%  
54 5% 32%  
55 6% 26%  
56 5% 21%  
57 4% 16%  
58 3% 12%  
59 2% 9%  
60 2% 7%  
61 1.3% 5%  
62 1.0% 3%  
63 0.8% 2%  
64 0.5% 2%  
65 0.4% 1.1%  
66 0.2% 0.7%  
67 0.2% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0.3% 98%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 3% 95%  
41 4% 93%  
42 5% 89%  
43 6% 84%  
44 8% 78%  
45 10% 70%  
46 10% 60%  
47 10% 51% Median
48 9% 40%  
49 9% 32%  
50 6% 23%  
51 5% 17%  
52 4% 12%  
53 3% 8%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.3% 3%  
56 0.8% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 538 100% 526–551 522–554 519–558 513–587
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 457 100% 444–471 439–475 435–478 427–484
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 437 100% 426–448 422–452 419–454 400–460
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 411 100% 396–425 392–429 389–434 382–447
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 391 99.9% 377–404 373–409 369–413 362–430
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 383 99.1% 369–397 364–401 360–405 350–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 337 6% 323–351 319–355 314–359 309–370
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 326 0.9% 312–340 308–345 304–349 297–359
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 322 0.1% 309–335 304–338 300–341 284–347
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 309 0% 296–323 292–327 288–331 273–337
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 275 0% 261–290 257–294 254–297 247–306
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 179 0% 166–191 163–195 160–198 153–205
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 174 0% 164–183 161–186 157–188 126–193

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 99.9%  
508 0% 99.9%  
509 0.1% 99.9%  
510 0.1% 99.8%  
511 0.1% 99.7%  
512 0.1% 99.6%  
513 0.1% 99.5%  
514 0.2% 99.4%  
515 0.2% 99.3%  
516 0.4% 99.0%  
517 0.3% 98.7%  
518 0.4% 98%  
519 0.7% 98%  
520 0.6% 97%  
521 0.7% 97%  
522 1.0% 96%  
523 0.9% 95%  
524 2% 94%  
525 1.5% 92%  
526 2% 91%  
527 2% 89%  
528 2% 88%  
529 2% 85%  
530 3% 83%  
531 4% 80%  
532 3% 76%  
533 4% 73%  
534 3% 69%  
535 4% 67%  
536 4% 63%  
537 4% 58% Median
538 5% 55%  
539 4% 49%  
540 4% 45%  
541 4% 41%  
542 4% 37%  
543 3% 34%  
544 3% 31%  
545 4% 27%  
546 3% 23%  
547 3% 20%  
548 2% 17%  
549 2% 14%  
550 2% 12%  
551 2% 10%  
552 2% 9%  
553 1.4% 7%  
554 0.8% 6%  
555 0.9% 5%  
556 0.8% 4%  
557 0.5% 3%  
558 0.3% 3%  
559 0.4% 2%  
560 0.2% 2%  
561 0.2% 2%  
562 0.2% 1.5%  
563 0.1% 1.3%  
564 0.1% 1.2%  
565 0.1% 1.1%  
566 0.1% 1.0%  
567 0% 1.0%  
568 0% 0.9%  
569 0% 0.9%  
570 0% 0.9%  
571 0% 0.9%  
572 0% 0.9%  
573 0% 0.9%  
574 0% 0.8%  
575 0% 0.8%  
576 0% 0.8%  
577 0% 0.8%  
578 0% 0.8%  
579 0% 0.8%  
580 0% 0.8%  
581 0% 0.7%  
582 0% 0.7%  
583 0% 0.7%  
584 0% 0.7%  
585 0.1% 0.6%  
586 0% 0.6%  
587 0.1% 0.5%  
588 0% 0.5%  
589 0% 0.4%  
590 0.1% 0.4%  
591 0% 0.3%  
592 0.1% 0.2%  
593 0% 0.2%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0.1%  
596 0% 0.1%  
597 0% 0.1%  
598 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.8%  
423 0% 99.8%  
424 0% 99.7%  
425 0.1% 99.7%  
426 0.1% 99.6%  
427 0.1% 99.5%  
428 0.1% 99.5%  
429 0.2% 99.4%  
430 0.2% 99.2%  
431 0.1% 99.0%  
432 0.2% 98.9%  
433 0.3% 98.7%  
434 0.5% 98%  
435 0.5% 98%  
436 0.5% 97%  
437 0.7% 97%  
438 0.5% 96%  
439 0.7% 96%  
440 1.1% 95%  
441 1.1% 94%  
442 1.4% 93%  
443 1.3% 91%  
444 2% 90%  
445 2% 88%  
446 2% 86%  
447 1.5% 84%  
448 2% 83%  
449 3% 80%  
450 3% 77%  
451 4% 75%  
452 3% 71%  
453 4% 68%  
454 3% 63%  
455 4% 60%  
456 3% 56%  
457 4% 53% Median
458 3% 48%  
459 4% 45%  
460 4% 42%  
461 4% 38%  
462 4% 34%  
463 3% 30%  
464 3% 27%  
465 3% 24%  
466 2% 21%  
467 3% 19%  
468 2% 16%  
469 2% 14%  
470 2% 12%  
471 2% 11%  
472 1.5% 8%  
473 1.0% 7%  
474 0.8% 6%  
475 0.7% 5%  
476 0.8% 4%  
477 0.8% 3%  
478 0.5% 3%  
479 0.5% 2%  
480 0.3% 2%  
481 0.3% 1.3%  
482 0.2% 1.0%  
483 0.2% 0.8%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.4%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0.1% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0% 99.8%  
394 0.1% 99.8%  
395 0% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.7%  
397 0% 99.6%  
398 0% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.6%  
400 0.1% 99.5%  
401 0% 99.5%  
402 0% 99.4%  
403 0.1% 99.4%  
404 0.1% 99.3%  
405 0.1% 99.3%  
406 0.1% 99.2%  
407 0.1% 99.1%  
408 0.1% 99.1%  
409 0.1% 99.0%  
410 0.1% 99.0%  
411 0.1% 98.9%  
412 0.1% 98.8%  
413 0.1% 98.7%  
414 0.1% 98.6%  
415 0.2% 98%  
416 0.2% 98%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.3% 98%  
419 0.7% 98%  
420 0.4% 97%  
421 0.8% 96%  
422 1.0% 96%  
423 1.1% 95%  
424 1.2% 93%  
425 1.4% 92%  
426 2% 91%  
427 3% 89%  
428 3% 86%  
429 3% 83%  
430 3% 80%  
431 3% 77%  
432 4% 74%  
433 4% 70%  
434 4% 66%  
435 5% 62%  
436 5% 57% Median
437 4% 51%  
438 4% 48%  
439 5% 43%  
440 5% 38%  
441 4% 34%  
442 4% 30%  
443 3% 26%  
444 3% 23%  
445 2% 19%  
446 3% 17%  
447 2% 14%  
448 2% 12%  
449 2% 9%  
450 2% 8%  
451 0.8% 6%  
452 1.2% 5%  
453 0.8% 4%  
454 0.6% 3%  
455 0.7% 2%  
456 0.5% 2%  
457 0.3% 1.3%  
458 0.2% 1.0%  
459 0.2% 0.8%  
460 0.2% 0.6%  
461 0.1% 0.5%  
462 0.1% 0.3%  
463 0.1% 0.3%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0.1% 99.8%  
381 0.2% 99.7%  
382 0.1% 99.5%  
383 0% 99.5%  
384 0.4% 99.4%  
385 0.4% 99.1%  
386 0% 98.7%  
387 0.2% 98.6%  
388 0.8% 98%  
389 0.7% 98%  
390 0.1% 97%  
391 0.8% 97%  
392 1.4% 96%  
393 0.8% 95%  
394 0.2% 94%  
395 2% 94%  
396 2% 92%  
397 0.4% 89%  
398 0.9% 89%  
399 3% 88%  
400 3% 85%  
401 0.3% 82%  
402 3% 81%  
403 5% 78%  
404 2% 73%  
405 0.5% 72%  
406 6% 71%  
407 6% 65%  
408 1.0% 59%  
409 0.7% 58%  
410 7% 58% Median
411 4% 50%  
412 0.8% 46%  
413 2% 45%  
414 7% 43%  
415 4% 36%  
416 0.3% 33%  
417 3% 32%  
418 6% 29%  
419 1.4% 23%  
420 0.6% 22%  
421 4% 21%  
422 3% 17%  
423 0.4% 14%  
424 0.8% 14%  
425 3% 13%  
426 1.5% 10%  
427 0.2% 8%  
428 1.1% 8%  
429 2% 7%  
430 0.4% 5%  
431 0.1% 4%  
432 0.9% 4%  
433 0.9% 3%  
434 0.1% 3%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.4% 2%  
437 0.3% 2%  
438 0.1% 1.5%  
439 0.2% 1.4%  
440 0.2% 1.2%  
441 0.1% 1.0%  
442 0.1% 0.9%  
443 0.1% 0.8%  
444 0.1% 0.8%  
445 0.1% 0.6%  
446 0% 0.5%  
447 0% 0.5%  
448 0.1% 0.5%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.3%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.4%  
364 0.2% 99.3%  
365 0.3% 99.2%  
366 0.3% 98.9%  
367 0.3% 98.6%  
368 0.4% 98%  
369 0.6% 98%  
370 0.6% 97%  
371 0.7% 97%  
372 0.9% 96%  
373 0.8% 95%  
374 1.0% 94%  
375 2% 93%  
376 1.1% 92%  
377 2% 90%  
378 2% 89%  
379 2% 87%  
380 2% 85%  
381 2% 83%  
382 3% 80%  
383 3% 78%  
384 4% 75%  
385 3% 71%  
386 3% 68%  
387 4% 65%  
388 3% 61%  
389 4% 58% Median
390 4% 54%  
391 3% 50%  
392 3% 47%  
393 4% 43%  
394 4% 40%  
395 3% 35%  
396 4% 32%  
397 2% 29%  
398 2% 26%  
399 3% 24% Last Result
400 3% 21%  
401 3% 18%  
402 2% 16%  
403 2% 14%  
404 2% 12%  
405 1.5% 10%  
406 1.0% 8%  
407 1.3% 7%  
408 1.0% 6%  
409 0.9% 5%  
410 0.8% 4%  
411 0.5% 4%  
412 0.4% 3%  
413 0.3% 3%  
414 0.5% 2%  
415 0.2% 2%  
416 0.2% 2%  
417 0.2% 1.5%  
418 0.2% 1.3%  
419 0.2% 1.2%  
420 0.1% 1.0%  
421 0.1% 0.9%  
422 0.1% 0.9%  
423 0.1% 0.8%  
424 0% 0.7%  
425 0.1% 0.7%  
426 0% 0.6%  
427 0% 0.6%  
428 0% 0.6%  
429 0% 0.5%  
430 0.1% 0.5%  
431 0.1% 0.4%  
432 0% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.8%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.7%  
348 0% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.1% 99.5%  
352 0.1% 99.4%  
353 0.1% 99.3%  
354 0.2% 99.2%  
355 0.2% 99.1% Majority
356 0.3% 98.9%  
357 0.3% 98.6%  
358 0.4% 98%  
359 0.3% 98%  
360 0.6% 98%  
361 0.6% 97%  
362 0.6% 96%  
363 0.7% 96%  
364 0.7% 95%  
365 1.1% 94%  
366 0.8% 93%  
367 1.1% 93%  
368 1.2% 91%  
369 2% 90%  
370 2% 88%  
371 2% 86%  
372 3% 84%  
373 3% 81%  
374 4% 79%  
375 2% 75%  
376 2% 73%  
377 4% 71%  
378 4% 67%  
379 3% 63%  
380 2% 60%  
381 4% 58%  
382 4% 55% Median
383 4% 51%  
384 2% 47%  
385 4% 45%  
386 3% 40%  
387 4% 37%  
388 4% 34%  
389 4% 30%  
390 3% 26%  
391 2% 23%  
392 2% 21%  
393 3% 19%  
394 2% 16%  
395 1.5% 14%  
396 1.4% 12%  
397 2% 11%  
398 0.9% 9%  
399 2% 8%  
400 0.8% 7%  
401 1.1% 6%  
402 0.7% 5%  
403 0.8% 4%  
404 0.6% 3%  
405 0.7% 3%  
406 0.3% 2%  
407 0.4% 2%  
408 0.2% 1.4%  
409 0.3% 1.2%  
410 0.1% 0.8%  
411 0.2% 0.7%  
412 0.1% 0.6%  
413 0.1% 0.5%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0.1% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.8%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.1% 99.6%  
310 0.2% 99.4%  
311 0.2% 99.2%  
312 0.4% 99.0%  
313 0.4% 98.6%  
314 0.7% 98%  
315 0.3% 97%  
316 0.8% 97%  
317 0.4% 96%  
318 0.6% 96%  
319 1.1% 95%  
320 0.7% 94%  
321 2% 93%  
322 1.3% 92%  
323 2% 91%  
324 2% 88%  
325 3% 87%  
326 2% 84%  
327 3% 82%  
328 3% 78%  
329 2% 75%  
330 5% 73%  
331 2% 68%  
332 4% 67%  
333 3% 63%  
334 3% 59%  
335 2% 56% Median
336 4% 54%  
337 4% 50%  
338 3% 46%  
339 5% 44%  
340 3% 39% Last Result
341 5% 36%  
342 3% 31%  
343 3% 28%  
344 3% 25%  
345 3% 22%  
346 2% 20%  
347 2% 17%  
348 2% 15%  
349 1.2% 13%  
350 2% 12%  
351 0.9% 10%  
352 2% 9%  
353 1.0% 8%  
354 1.1% 7%  
355 0.9% 6% Majority
356 0.7% 5%  
357 0.8% 4%  
358 0.4% 3%  
359 0.6% 3%  
360 0.2% 2%  
361 0.4% 2%  
362 0.3% 2%  
363 0.2% 1.5%  
364 0.2% 1.3%  
365 0.1% 1.1%  
366 0.1% 0.9%  
367 0.1% 0.8%  
368 0.1% 0.7%  
369 0.1% 0.6%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.1% 99.5%  
298 0.2% 99.4%  
299 0.1% 99.3%  
300 0.3% 99.2%  
301 0.2% 98.8%  
302 0.4% 98.6%  
303 0.3% 98%  
304 0.7% 98%  
305 0.6% 97%  
306 0.8% 97%  
307 0.7% 96%  
308 1.1% 95%  
309 0.8% 94%  
310 2% 93%  
311 0.9% 92%  
312 2% 91%  
313 1.4% 89%  
314 1.5% 88%  
315 2% 86%  
316 3% 84%  
317 2% 81%  
318 2% 79%  
319 3% 77%  
320 4% 74%  
321 4% 70%  
322 4% 66%  
323 3% 63%  
324 4% 60%  
325 2% 55%  
326 4% 53% Median
327 4% 49%  
328 4% 45%  
329 2% 42%  
330 3% 40%  
331 4% 37%  
332 4% 33%  
333 2% 29%  
334 2% 27%  
335 4% 25%  
336 3% 21%  
337 3% 19%  
338 2% 16%  
339 2% 14%  
340 2% 12%  
341 1.2% 10%  
342 1.1% 9%  
343 0.8% 7%  
344 1.1% 7%  
345 0.7% 6%  
346 0.7% 5%  
347 0.6% 4%  
348 0.6% 4%  
349 0.6% 3%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.4% 2%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.3% 1.4%  
354 0.2% 1.1%  
355 0.2% 0.9% Majority
356 0.1% 0.8%  
357 0.1% 0.7%  
358 0.1% 0.6%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.8%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.7%  
279 0% 99.7%  
280 0% 99.7%  
281 0% 99.6%  
282 0% 99.6%  
283 0% 99.6%  
284 0% 99.5%  
285 0% 99.5%  
286 0.1% 99.4%  
287 0% 99.4%  
288 0.1% 99.3%  
289 0.1% 99.3%  
290 0.1% 99.2%  
291 0.1% 99.1%  
292 0.1% 99.1%  
293 0.1% 99.0%  
294 0.1% 98.9%  
295 0.1% 98.7%  
296 0.2% 98.6%  
297 0.2% 98%  
298 0.3% 98%  
299 0.3% 98%  
300 0.5% 98% Last Result
301 0.5% 97%  
302 0.5% 97%  
303 0.6% 96%  
304 0.9% 96%  
305 1.0% 95%  
306 0.9% 94%  
307 1.5% 93%  
308 1.1% 91%  
309 2% 90%  
310 2% 89%  
311 2% 87%  
312 3% 85%  
313 3% 82%  
314 3% 80%  
315 4% 77%  
316 4% 74%  
317 3% 70%  
318 5% 67%  
319 3% 63%  
320 5% 59%  
321 4% 55%  
322 4% 51% Median
323 3% 47%  
324 6% 44%  
325 4% 38%  
326 2% 34%  
327 4% 32%  
328 3% 28%  
329 3% 25%  
330 4% 22%  
331 2% 18%  
332 2% 16%  
333 2% 14%  
334 2% 12%  
335 2% 10%  
336 1.2% 8%  
337 1.2% 7%  
338 0.6% 5%  
339 1.1% 5%  
340 0.7% 4%  
341 0.6% 3%  
342 0.5% 2%  
343 0.4% 2%  
344 0.3% 1.4%  
345 0.3% 1.1%  
346 0.2% 0.8%  
347 0.2% 0.6%  
348 0.1% 0.4%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0.1% 0.3%  
351 0.1% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.7%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0% 99.5%  
274 0% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.1% 99.4%  
277 0.1% 99.3%  
278 0.1% 99.2%  
279 0.1% 99.1%  
280 0.1% 99.0%  
281 0.2% 98.9%  
282 0.1% 98.7%  
283 0.2% 98.6%  
284 0.1% 98%  
285 0.2% 98%  
286 0.3% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.3% 98%  
289 0.4% 97%  
290 0.6% 97%  
291 0.4% 96%  
292 1.2% 96%  
293 1.3% 95%  
294 1.2% 93%  
295 2% 92%  
296 2% 90%  
297 2% 88%  
298 3% 86%  
299 1.5% 83%  
300 2% 82%  
301 2% 80%  
302 3% 78%  
303 3% 76%  
304 3% 73%  
305 3% 69%  
306 5% 66%  
307 6% 61%  
308 5% 55%  
309 4% 51% Median
310 5% 47%  
311 4% 41%  
312 2% 37%  
313 2% 35%  
314 2% 33%  
315 3% 31%  
316 1.2% 28%  
317 2% 27%  
318 3% 24%  
319 2% 22%  
320 3% 19%  
321 2% 16%  
322 3% 14%  
323 2% 11%  
324 1.4% 9%  
325 1.0% 7%  
326 0.9% 6% Last Result
327 0.8% 5%  
328 0.6% 5%  
329 0.5% 4%  
330 0.5% 3%  
331 0.4% 3%  
332 0.7% 2%  
333 0.4% 2%  
334 0.4% 1.4%  
335 0.3% 1.0%  
336 0.1% 0.7%  
337 0.2% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.4%  
339 0.1% 0.3%  
340 0.1% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.1% 99.6%  
248 0.2% 99.5%  
249 0.2% 99.3%  
250 0.2% 99.1%  
251 0.3% 98.9%  
252 0.4% 98.6%  
253 0.4% 98%  
254 0.5% 98%  
255 0.8% 97%  
256 0.6% 96%  
257 0.9% 96%  
258 1.1% 95%  
259 1.1% 94%  
260 1.3% 93%  
261 1.5% 91%  
262 2% 90%  
263 2% 88%  
264 2% 86%  
265 3% 85%  
266 3% 82%  
267 2% 79%  
268 3% 77%  
269 3% 74%  
270 3% 71%  
271 3% 68%  
272 5% 65%  
273 4% 60%  
274 2% 57%  
275 5% 55% Median
276 4% 49%  
277 2% 45%  
278 4% 42%  
279 3% 38%  
280 3% 35%  
281 3% 32%  
282 3% 29%  
283 3% 26%  
284 2% 23%  
285 3% 21%  
286 2% 17%  
287 3% 16%  
288 2% 13%  
289 1.3% 12%  
290 2% 10%  
291 1.1% 8%  
292 1.2% 7%  
293 1.0% 6%  
294 0.8% 5%  
295 0.9% 4%  
296 0.5% 3%  
297 0.5% 3%  
298 0.4% 2%  
299 0.4% 2%  
300 0.2% 2%  
301 0.3% 1.4%  
302 0.1% 1.1%  
303 0.2% 1.0%  
304 0.1% 0.8%  
305 0.1% 0.7%  
306 0.1% 0.6%  
307 0.1% 0.5%  
308 0.1% 0.4%  
309 0% 0.3%  
310 0% 0.3%  
311 0% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0% 99.7%  
151 0.1% 99.7%  
152 0.1% 99.6%  
153 0.1% 99.6%  
154 0.1% 99.5%  
155 0.2% 99.3%  
156 0.3% 99.1%  
157 0.4% 98.9%  
158 0.4% 98%  
159 0.5% 98%  
160 0.8% 98%  
161 0.7% 97%  
162 1.0% 96%  
163 0.9% 95%  
164 1.4% 94%  
165 1.5% 93%  
166 2% 91%  
167 2% 89%  
168 2% 87%  
169 2% 85%  
170 3% 83%  
171 3% 79%  
172 3% 76%  
173 4% 73%  
174 3% 69%  
175 4% 66%  
176 3% 62%  
177 5% 59%  
178 3% 54% Median
179 4% 50%  
180 4% 46%  
181 5% 42%  
182 3% 37%  
183 4% 34%  
184 3% 30%  
185 3% 26%  
186 2% 24%  
187 3% 21%  
188 2% 18%  
189 2% 15%  
190 2% 13%  
191 2% 11%  
192 1.5% 9%  
193 1.2% 8%  
194 1.3% 7%  
195 0.9% 5%  
196 0.8% 5%  
197 0.8% 4%  
198 0.6% 3%  
199 0.4% 2%  
200 0.4% 2%  
201 0.4% 2%  
202 0.2% 1.2%  
203 0.2% 1.0%  
204 0.2% 0.8%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.3%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0.1% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0.1% 99.6%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0.1% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.4%  
129 0.1% 99.4%  
130 0% 99.3%  
131 0% 99.3%  
132 0% 99.3%  
133 0% 99.2%  
134 0.1% 99.2%  
135 0% 99.1%  
136 0% 99.1%  
137 0% 99.1%  
138 0% 99.0%  
139 0% 99.0%  
140 0% 99.0%  
141 0% 98.9%  
142 0.1% 98.9%  
143 0% 98.8%  
144 0% 98.8%  
145 0.1% 98.8%  
146 0.1% 98.7%  
147 0.1% 98.7%  
148 0% 98.6%  
149 0% 98.5%  
150 0.1% 98%  
151 0.1% 98%  
152 0.1% 98%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0.1% 98%  
155 0.2% 98%  
156 0.2% 98%  
157 0.3% 98%  
158 0.5% 97%  
159 0.7% 97%  
160 0.6% 96%  
161 0.8% 95%  
162 1.1% 95%  
163 2% 94%  
164 2% 91%  
165 2% 89%  
166 3% 87%  
167 4% 85%  
168 3% 81%  
169 4% 78%  
170 5% 74%  
171 4% 69%  
172 6% 64%  
173 5% 58%  
174 6% 53% Median
175 5% 47%  
176 5% 42%  
177 6% 37%  
178 4% 31%  
179 4% 27%  
180 5% 24%  
181 4% 18%  
182 3% 15%  
183 2% 12%  
184 2% 10%  
185 2% 8%  
186 2% 6%  
187 1.1% 5%  
188 1.1% 4%  
189 0.7% 2%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.4%  
192 0.3% 1.0%  
193 0.2% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations