Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 20–22 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.3–32.6% 28.9–33.1% 28.5–33.5% 27.7–34.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9% 17.9–22.2% 17.2–23.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.8–16.4% 13.5–16.8% 13.2–17.1% 12.6–17.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.1–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.6–10.7% 7.1–11.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.4% 6.7–9.6% 6.2–10.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.2–8.1% 6.0–8.4% 5.8–8.6% 5.4–9.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 234 221–251 217–256 213–260 207–266
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 152 140–164 137–168 134–172 129–177
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 104–125 102–129 99–132 95–137
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 61–77 59–80 57–82 54–87
Die Linke 69 61 54–69 52–72 50–74 47–78
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 54 47–62 46–64 44–66 41–70
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 38 0–43 0–45 0–47 0–50

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.9%  
204 0.1% 99.8%  
205 0.1% 99.8%  
206 0.1% 99.7%  
207 0.1% 99.6%  
208 0.2% 99.5%  
209 0.2% 99.3%  
210 0.2% 99.1%  
211 0.3% 98.8%  
212 0.5% 98.5%  
213 0.6% 98%  
214 0.7% 97%  
215 0.6% 97%  
216 0.9% 96%  
217 0.9% 95%  
218 1.1% 94%  
219 1.1% 93%  
220 2% 92%  
221 2% 91%  
222 2% 89%  
223 2% 87%  
224 2% 85%  
225 1.4% 83%  
226 4% 82%  
227 3% 78%  
228 3% 75%  
229 4% 72%  
230 4% 67%  
231 4% 63%  
232 4% 59%  
233 4% 55%  
234 4% 51% Median
235 4% 47%  
236 3% 43%  
237 3% 40%  
238 2% 36%  
239 3% 34%  
240 2% 32%  
241 2% 29%  
242 1.4% 27%  
243 3% 26%  
244 1.4% 23%  
245 2% 21%  
246 2% 19%  
247 2% 17%  
248 2% 15%  
249 2% 14%  
250 1.4% 12%  
251 2% 11%  
252 1.0% 9%  
253 1.2% 8%  
254 0.8% 7%  
255 0.8% 6%  
256 0.6% 5%  
257 0.8% 5%  
258 0.7% 4%  
259 0.4% 3%  
260 0.7% 3%  
261 0.4% 2%  
262 0.3% 2%  
263 0.3% 1.3%  
264 0.3% 1.0%  
265 0.1% 0.8%  
266 0.2% 0.6%  
267 0.1% 0.4%  
268 0.1% 0.3%  
269 0% 0.2%  
270 0.1% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.2% 99.6%  
130 0.3% 99.5%  
131 0.2% 99.1%  
132 0.4% 98.9%  
133 0.5% 98.5%  
134 0.7% 98%  
135 0.7% 97%  
136 1.0% 97%  
137 1.0% 96%  
138 2% 95%  
139 2% 93%  
140 2% 91%  
141 2% 88%  
142 2% 87%  
143 4% 84%  
144 3% 80%  
145 3% 77%  
146 5% 74%  
147 4% 69%  
148 3% 65%  
149 3% 62%  
150 4% 59%  
151 3% 54%  
152 5% 51% Median
153 4% 46%  
154 3% 43%  
155 5% 40%  
156 3% 35%  
157 4% 31%  
158 3% 27%  
159 3% 24%  
160 2% 21%  
161 3% 19%  
162 2% 16%  
163 2% 14%  
164 2% 12%  
165 1.3% 10%  
166 2% 9%  
167 1.0% 7%  
168 1.2% 6%  
169 0.8% 5%  
170 0.8% 4%  
171 0.6% 3%  
172 0.7% 3%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.4% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.2%  
176 0.2% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.5%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.7%  
95 0.2% 99.6%  
96 0.3% 99.4%  
97 0.6% 99.1%  
98 0.5% 98.5%  
99 1.0% 98%  
100 0.9% 97%  
101 0.8% 96%  
102 2% 95%  
103 3% 93%  
104 2% 91%  
105 2% 89%  
106 3% 87%  
107 4% 84%  
108 4% 80%  
109 5% 76%  
110 3% 71%  
111 3% 68%  
112 6% 64%  
113 6% 59%  
114 5% 52% Median
115 4% 48%  
116 5% 44%  
117 5% 40%  
118 4% 35%  
119 3% 30%  
120 4% 27%  
121 3% 23%  
122 3% 20%  
123 3% 17%  
124 3% 14%  
125 2% 11%  
126 1.3% 9%  
127 2% 8%  
128 1.1% 6%  
129 1.2% 5%  
130 0.8% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.7% 3%  
133 0.3% 2%  
134 0.5% 2%  
135 0.4% 1.1%  
136 0.2% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.6%  
138 0.2% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.3% 99.6%  
55 0.5% 99.2%  
56 0.8% 98.8%  
57 0.9% 98%  
58 1.4% 97%  
59 2% 96%  
60 2% 94%  
61 4% 92%  
62 3% 88%  
63 4% 85%  
64 5% 81%  
65 5% 76%  
66 5% 71%  
67 7% 66%  
68 6% 59%  
69 6% 53% Median
70 6% 47%  
71 7% 41%  
72 7% 34%  
73 6% 27%  
74 4% 21%  
75 2% 17%  
76 2% 15%  
77 3% 13%  
78 2% 10%  
79 2% 8%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.1% 4%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 0.3% 1.1%  
86 0.2% 0.7%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.2% 99.7%  
48 0.5% 99.4%  
49 0.7% 99.0%  
50 0.8% 98%  
51 2% 97%  
52 2% 96%  
53 3% 94%  
54 3% 90%  
55 4% 88%  
56 5% 83%  
57 6% 78%  
58 5% 72%  
59 6% 68%  
60 7% 61%  
61 7% 54% Median
62 6% 48%  
63 7% 42%  
64 5% 35%  
65 6% 30%  
66 5% 24%  
67 4% 19%  
68 3% 15%  
69 3% 13% Last Result
70 2% 10%  
71 2% 7%  
72 2% 6%  
73 0.9% 4%  
74 0.9% 3%  
75 0.6% 2%  
76 0.4% 1.4%  
77 0.3% 0.9%  
78 0.2% 0.6%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.2% 99.7%  
42 0.7% 99.4%  
43 0.8% 98.8%  
44 1.2% 98%  
45 1.5% 97%  
46 3% 95% Last Result
47 4% 92%  
48 3% 89%  
49 5% 85%  
50 6% 80%  
51 6% 74%  
52 6% 68%  
53 9% 62%  
54 7% 53% Median
55 7% 46%  
56 5% 39%  
57 8% 34%  
58 5% 26%  
59 4% 22%  
60 4% 18%  
61 3% 14%  
62 3% 11%  
63 2% 8%  
64 2% 6%  
65 1.3% 4%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 0.4% 1.4%  
69 0.4% 1.1%  
70 0.3% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 0% 56%  
9 0% 56%  
10 0% 56%  
11 0% 56%  
12 0% 56%  
13 0% 56%  
14 0% 56%  
15 0% 56%  
16 0% 56%  
17 0% 56%  
18 0% 56%  
19 0% 56%  
20 0% 56%  
21 0% 56%  
22 0% 56%  
23 0% 56%  
24 0% 56%  
25 0% 56%  
26 0% 56%  
27 0% 56%  
28 0% 56%  
29 0% 56%  
30 0% 56%  
31 0% 56%  
32 0% 56%  
33 0% 56%  
34 0% 56%  
35 0% 56%  
36 0% 56%  
37 2% 56%  
38 14% 54% Median
39 7% 40%  
40 7% 33%  
41 4% 26%  
42 5% 21%  
43 7% 16%  
44 2% 9%  
45 2% 7%  
46 1.2% 5%  
47 2% 4%  
48 1.0% 2%  
49 0.3% 1.1%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.1% 0.5%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 551 100% 534–581 531–585 528–587 522–593
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 464 100% 447–479 444–484 440–486 433–492
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 440 100% 422–462 417–468 413–471 407–477
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 428 100% 408–443 404–447 400–450 393–457
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 402 100% 385–425 381–430 377–434 370–441
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 383 97% 361–399 357–403 353–406 346–413
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 357 56% 341–378 336–383 332–387 326–394
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 326 3% 310–348 306–352 303–356 296–363
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 315 0% 289–330 285–335 282–340 276–345
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 291 0% 268–308 263–314 259–317 252–323
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 266 0% 251–284 247–288 243–293 238–299
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 176 0% 162–189 160–193 157–197 151–203
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 143 0% 113–160 109–163 106–166 101–171

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0% 99.9%  
518 0.1% 99.9%  
519 0.1% 99.8%  
520 0.1% 99.7%  
521 0.1% 99.6%  
522 0.2% 99.6%  
523 0.2% 99.3%  
524 0.2% 99.1%  
525 0.3% 98.9%  
526 0.6% 98.6%  
527 0.5% 98%  
528 0.7% 98%  
529 1.0% 97%  
530 0.8% 96%  
531 1.3% 95%  
532 2% 94%  
533 1.4% 92%  
534 2% 91%  
535 3% 89%  
536 2% 86%  
537 1.4% 84%  
538 5% 83%  
539 2% 78%  
540 2% 76%  
541 2% 74%  
542 3% 72%  
543 3% 68%  
544 2% 66%  
545 3% 64%  
546 2% 61%  
547 3% 59%  
548 1.5% 56%  
549 2% 54%  
550 2% 52%  
551 1.1% 50%  
552 1.2% 49%  
553 1.0% 48%  
554 1.5% 47% Median
555 0.6% 46%  
556 0.6% 45%  
557 0.6% 44%  
558 0.6% 44%  
559 0.6% 43%  
560 0.6% 43%  
561 0.7% 42%  
562 0.6% 41%  
563 0.5% 41%  
564 2% 40%  
565 2% 39%  
566 1.4% 37%  
567 1.2% 36%  
568 1.2% 34%  
569 2% 33%  
570 2% 31%  
571 1.3% 29%  
572 2% 28%  
573 3% 26%  
574 1.3% 23%  
575 3% 22%  
576 2% 19%  
577 1.3% 17%  
578 3% 16%  
579 1.3% 13%  
580 1.3% 11%  
581 2% 10%  
582 1.2% 8%  
583 0.8% 7%  
584 1.1% 6%  
585 1.0% 5%  
586 0.9% 4%  
587 0.8% 3%  
588 0.4% 2%  
589 0.5% 2%  
590 0.4% 1.3%  
591 0.3% 1.0%  
592 0.2% 0.7%  
593 0.2% 0.5%  
594 0.1% 0.3%  
595 0.1% 0.2%  
596 0.1% 0.2%  
597 0% 0.1%  
598 0% 0.1%  
599 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.9%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.1% 99.4%  
435 0.2% 99.3%  
436 0.3% 99.1%  
437 0.4% 98.8%  
438 0.4% 98%  
439 0.3% 98%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.4% 97%  
442 0.7% 97%  
443 0.7% 96%  
444 2% 96%  
445 1.5% 94%  
446 1.4% 92%  
447 1.0% 91%  
448 0.8% 90%  
449 1.0% 89%  
450 1.1% 88%  
451 2% 87%  
452 3% 85%  
453 2% 82%  
454 3% 81%  
455 2% 78%  
456 2% 76%  
457 2% 74%  
458 2% 71%  
459 2% 69%  
460 3% 67%  
461 4% 64%  
462 5% 60%  
463 3% 56%  
464 6% 53%  
465 2% 47%  
466 2% 44%  
467 2% 43%  
468 2% 41%  
469 4% 39%  
470 4% 35%  
471 5% 31%  
472 2% 26%  
473 2% 24%  
474 1.4% 22%  
475 1.4% 21%  
476 2% 19%  
477 3% 18%  
478 3% 15% Median
479 2% 12%  
480 2% 9%  
481 0.5% 7%  
482 0.4% 7%  
483 0.6% 6%  
484 2% 6%  
485 0.9% 4%  
486 0.9% 3%  
487 0.7% 2%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.2% 1.3%  
490 0.2% 1.1%  
491 0.2% 0.9%  
492 0.2% 0.7%  
493 0.2% 0.5%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0.1% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.9%  
404 0.1% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0.2% 99.6%  
408 0.3% 99.5%  
409 0.3% 99.2%  
410 0.3% 98.9%  
411 0.2% 98.6%  
412 0.3% 98%  
413 0.7% 98%  
414 0.6% 97%  
415 0.5% 97%  
416 0.6% 96%  
417 1.0% 96%  
418 2% 95%  
419 1.0% 93%  
420 0.8% 92%  
421 1.0% 91%  
422 2% 90%  
423 2% 89%  
424 1.4% 87%  
425 2% 85%  
426 6% 84%  
427 4% 78%  
428 2% 75%  
429 1.1% 72%  
430 1.3% 71%  
431 3% 70%  
432 3% 67%  
433 2% 64%  
434 2% 63%  
435 2% 61%  
436 2% 59%  
437 2% 56%  
438 1.4% 55%  
439 2% 53%  
440 2% 52% Median
441 2% 49%  
442 2% 47%  
443 1.2% 45%  
444 3% 44%  
445 2% 41%  
446 2% 39%  
447 1.3% 37%  
448 0.9% 35%  
449 0.8% 35%  
450 1.2% 34%  
451 2% 33%  
452 3% 30%  
453 1.4% 28%  
454 2% 26%  
455 2% 24%  
456 1.1% 23%  
457 1.2% 21%  
458 1.3% 20%  
459 2% 19%  
460 3% 17%  
461 3% 14%  
462 2% 11%  
463 0.7% 10%  
464 0.6% 9%  
465 0.7% 8%  
466 0.9% 8%  
467 1.1% 7%  
468 1.1% 6%  
469 0.9% 5%  
470 0.8% 4%  
471 0.4% 3%  
472 0.3% 2%  
473 0.3% 2%  
474 0.4% 2%  
475 0.5% 2%  
476 0.2% 1.0%  
477 0.3% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.5%  
479 0.1% 0.4%  
480 0% 0.4%  
481 0.1% 0.3%  
482 0.1% 0.2%  
483 0.1% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.9%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0.2% 99.4%  
396 0.3% 99.1%  
397 0.4% 98.9%  
398 0.3% 98.5%  
399 0.5% 98%  
400 0.5% 98%  
401 0.5% 97%  
402 0.9% 97%  
403 0.6% 96%  
404 0.8% 95%  
405 0.9% 94%  
406 1.3% 93%  
407 2% 92%  
408 0.9% 91%  
409 1.3% 90%  
410 1.3% 88%  
411 2% 87%  
412 2% 85%  
413 1.4% 84%  
414 2% 82%  
415 1.1% 81%  
416 2% 79%  
417 3% 78%  
418 2% 75%  
419 2% 73%  
420 2% 71%  
421 2% 69%  
422 2% 67%  
423 2% 64%  
424 5% 63%  
425 2% 58%  
426 3% 57%  
427 3% 54%  
428 3% 51%  
429 2% 48%  
430 5% 46%  
431 4% 41%  
432 2% 37%  
433 3% 35%  
434 2% 32%  
435 3% 30%  
436 1.5% 27%  
437 4% 25%  
438 3% 21%  
439 1.5% 18%  
440 2% 17% Median
441 2% 15%  
442 3% 13%  
443 2% 10%  
444 0.9% 9%  
445 1.1% 8%  
446 1.4% 7%  
447 1.0% 5%  
448 0.5% 4%  
449 0.8% 4%  
450 0.5% 3%  
451 0.5% 2%  
452 0.5% 2%  
453 0.2% 1.4%  
454 0.2% 1.1%  
455 0.2% 0.9%  
456 0.2% 0.7%  
457 0.1% 0.5%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.3%  
460 0.1% 0.2%  
461 0.1% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.6%  
371 0.2% 99.5%  
372 0.2% 99.3%  
373 0.2% 99.1%  
374 0.4% 98.9%  
375 0.4% 98.5%  
376 0.4% 98%  
377 0.4% 98%  
378 0.5% 97%  
379 0.6% 97%  
380 0.7% 96%  
381 2% 95%  
382 0.8% 94%  
383 0.9% 93%  
384 1.2% 92%  
385 2% 91%  
386 2% 89%  
387 2% 88%  
388 3% 86%  
389 2% 83%  
390 2% 81%  
391 2% 79%  
392 4% 78%  
393 3% 74%  
394 2% 71%  
395 3% 69%  
396 2% 66%  
397 2% 64%  
398 3% 62%  
399 3% 59% Last Result
400 3% 56%  
401 2% 53%  
402 2% 52% Median
403 2% 49%  
404 3% 48%  
405 2% 45%  
406 3% 43%  
407 2% 40%  
408 1.4% 38%  
409 2% 37%  
410 2% 35%  
411 2% 33%  
412 2% 31%  
413 2% 29%  
414 2% 28%  
415 1.1% 26%  
416 2% 25%  
417 2% 24%  
418 2% 21%  
419 2% 20%  
420 2% 18%  
421 0.8% 16%  
422 2% 15%  
423 0.9% 14%  
424 3% 13%  
425 0.7% 10%  
426 1.2% 10%  
427 0.8% 8%  
428 1.2% 8%  
429 0.8% 6%  
430 1.0% 6%  
431 0.7% 5%  
432 0.5% 4%  
433 0.6% 3%  
434 0.5% 3%  
435 0.4% 2%  
436 0.3% 2%  
437 0.4% 2%  
438 0.3% 1.2%  
439 0.2% 0.9%  
440 0.2% 0.7%  
441 0.1% 0.5%  
442 0.1% 0.4%  
443 0.1% 0.3%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0.1% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.2% 99.6%  
347 0.2% 99.4%  
348 0.2% 99.3%  
349 0.3% 99.1%  
350 0.2% 98.8%  
351 0.5% 98.6%  
352 0.3% 98%  
353 0.3% 98%  
354 0.8% 97%  
355 0.6% 97% Majority
356 0.7% 96%  
357 1.2% 95%  
358 1.0% 94%  
359 0.9% 93%  
360 2% 92%  
361 0.7% 91%  
362 2% 90%  
363 1.0% 88%  
364 1.2% 87%  
365 2% 86%  
366 1.3% 84%  
367 1.4% 83%  
368 3% 81%  
369 1.4% 79%  
370 2% 78%  
371 2% 76%  
372 3% 74%  
373 1.4% 71%  
374 2% 70%  
375 2% 68%  
376 3% 66%  
377 2% 63%  
378 2% 61%  
379 2% 59%  
380 2% 57%  
381 2% 55%  
382 2% 53%  
383 3% 50%  
384 3% 47%  
385 3% 45%  
386 3% 41%  
387 2% 39%  
388 3% 37%  
389 3% 34%  
390 3% 31%  
391 2% 28%  
392 3% 26%  
393 2% 23%  
394 3% 21%  
395 2% 18% Median
396 2% 16%  
397 2% 15%  
398 1.4% 12%  
399 2% 11%  
400 0.9% 9%  
401 1.1% 8%  
402 2% 7%  
403 0.6% 5%  
404 0.9% 4%  
405 0.7% 4%  
406 0.5% 3%  
407 0.5% 2%  
408 0.4% 2%  
409 0.3% 2%  
410 0.4% 1.3%  
411 0.1% 0.9%  
412 0.2% 0.7%  
413 0.1% 0.5%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0.1% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.2% 99.4%  
328 0.2% 99.2%  
329 0.4% 99.0%  
330 0.2% 98.6%  
331 0.4% 98%  
332 0.4% 98%  
333 0.5% 97%  
334 0.8% 97%  
335 0.8% 96%  
336 0.9% 95%  
337 0.9% 94%  
338 0.9% 94%  
339 1.2% 93%  
340 1.3% 91% Last Result
341 1.2% 90%  
342 2% 89%  
343 2% 87%  
344 1.5% 85%  
345 3% 84%  
346 2% 81%  
347 3% 79%  
348 2% 76%  
349 3% 73%  
350 3% 70%  
351 3% 67%  
352 2% 64%  
353 2% 62%  
354 4% 60%  
355 3% 56% Majority
356 2% 53%  
357 3% 52% Median
358 2% 49%  
359 2% 47%  
360 3% 44%  
361 2% 42%  
362 2% 40%  
363 2% 37%  
364 2% 35%  
365 3% 34%  
366 2% 31%  
367 2% 29%  
368 3% 27%  
369 1.3% 25%  
370 2% 23%  
371 2% 22%  
372 2% 20%  
373 1.2% 18%  
374 2% 17%  
375 1.1% 15%  
376 2% 14%  
377 1.4% 12%  
378 0.9% 10%  
379 2% 10%  
380 0.7% 8%  
381 0.9% 7%  
382 1.0% 6%  
383 0.8% 5%  
384 0.8% 4%  
385 0.5% 4%  
386 0.5% 3%  
387 0.5% 3%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.5% 2%  
390 0.2% 1.3%  
391 0.2% 1.1%  
392 0.2% 1.0%  
393 0.2% 0.8%  
394 0.1% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.5%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.2% 99.5%  
298 0.1% 99.3%  
299 0.4% 99.1%  
300 0.3% 98.7%  
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.5% 98%  
303 0.5% 98%  
304 0.7% 97%  
305 0.9% 96%  
306 0.6% 96%  
307 2% 95%  
308 1.1% 93%  
309 0.9% 92%  
310 2% 91%  
311 1.4% 89%  
312 2% 88%  
313 2% 85%  
314 2% 84%  
315 3% 82%  
316 2% 79%  
317 3% 77%  
318 2% 74%  
319 3% 72%  
320 3% 69%  
321 3% 66%  
322 2% 63%  
323 3% 61%  
324 3% 59%  
325 3% 55%  
326 3% 53%  
327 2% 50% Median
328 2% 47%  
329 2% 45%  
330 2% 43%  
331 2% 41%  
332 2% 39%  
333 3% 37%  
334 2% 34%  
335 2% 32%  
336 1.4% 30%  
337 3% 29%  
338 2% 26%  
339 2% 24%  
340 1.4% 22%  
341 3% 21%  
342 1.4% 19%  
343 1.3% 17%  
344 2% 16%  
345 1.2% 14%  
346 1.0% 13%  
347 2% 12%  
348 0.7% 10%  
349 2% 9%  
350 0.9% 8%  
351 1.0% 7%  
352 1.2% 6%  
353 0.7% 5%  
354 0.6% 4%  
355 0.8% 3% Majority
356 0.3% 3%  
357 0.3% 2%  
358 0.5% 2%  
359 0.2% 1.4%  
360 0.3% 1.2%  
361 0.2% 0.9%  
362 0.2% 0.7%  
363 0.2% 0.6%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.3%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.5%  
278 0.1% 99.3%  
279 0.3% 99.2%  
280 0.2% 98.9%  
281 0.4% 98.6%  
282 0.8% 98%  
283 0.8% 97%  
284 1.2% 97%  
285 1.0% 95%  
286 2% 94%  
287 1.5% 93%  
288 0.8% 92%  
289 2% 91%  
290 1.0% 89%  
291 1.4% 88%  
292 1.1% 87%  
293 0.9% 86%  
294 1.1% 85%  
295 1.3% 84%  
296 0.9% 82%  
297 1.1% 81%  
298 1.3% 80%  
299 1.2% 79%  
300 3% 78%  
301 2% 75%  
302 2% 73%  
303 2% 72%  
304 2% 69%  
305 3% 68%  
306 2% 65%  
307 2% 64%  
308 1.1% 61%  
309 2% 60%  
310 1.4% 58%  
311 2% 57%  
312 2% 55%  
313 1.4% 54%  
314 2% 52%  
315 2% 50%  
316 2% 48%  
317 2% 46%  
318 3% 44%  
319 3% 41%  
320 2% 38%  
321 3% 36%  
322 3% 34%  
323 3% 30%  
324 4% 28%  
325 2% 23%  
326 3% 22% Last Result, Median
327 3% 19%  
328 2% 15%  
329 2% 13%  
330 2% 11%  
331 1.2% 9%  
332 1.0% 8%  
333 0.6% 7%  
334 0.8% 6%  
335 0.5% 5%  
336 0.4% 5%  
337 0.8% 5%  
338 0.8% 4%  
339 0.5% 3%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.4% 2%  
342 0.5% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.1%  
344 0.3% 0.9%  
345 0.2% 0.6%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.8%  
251 0.1% 99.7%  
252 0.1% 99.6%  
253 0.2% 99.5%  
254 0.2% 99.2%  
255 0.3% 99.0%  
256 0.3% 98.7%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.4% 98%  
259 0.6% 98%  
260 0.5% 97%  
261 0.5% 96%  
262 0.5% 96%  
263 0.8% 96%  
264 1.0% 95%  
265 1.0% 94%  
266 1.4% 93%  
267 1.2% 91%  
268 2% 90%  
269 2% 88%  
270 1.0% 86%  
271 1.3% 85%  
272 1.4% 84%  
273 0.9% 83%  
274 1.3% 82%  
275 1.2% 80%  
276 1.2% 79%  
277 2% 78%  
278 3% 76%  
279 2% 73%  
280 2% 72%  
281 2% 70%  
282 2% 68%  
283 2% 66%  
284 1.3% 64%  
285 2% 62%  
286 2% 61%  
287 2% 58%  
288 2% 56%  
289 2% 55%  
290 2% 53%  
291 3% 51%  
292 1.0% 48%  
293 2% 47%  
294 3% 45%  
295 1.4% 42%  
296 3% 41%  
297 3% 38%  
298 3% 35%  
299 3% 32%  
300 3% 29% Last Result
301 2% 25%  
302 2% 23%  
303 1.4% 21%  
304 2% 20% Median
305 3% 18%  
306 2% 15%  
307 2% 13%  
308 2% 12%  
309 1.2% 9%  
310 0.7% 8%  
311 1.2% 8%  
312 0.9% 6%  
313 0.4% 5%  
314 0.7% 5%  
315 1.0% 4%  
316 0.4% 3%  
317 0.8% 3%  
318 0.5% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.2% 1.3%  
321 0.3% 1.1%  
322 0.2% 0.8%  
323 0.2% 0.6%  
324 0.1% 0.5%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0.1% 0.3%  
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.2% 99.7%  
238 0.2% 99.5%  
239 0.2% 99.3%  
240 0.3% 99.1%  
241 0.4% 98.8%  
242 0.4% 98%  
243 0.7% 98%  
244 0.5% 97%  
245 0.8% 97%  
246 0.9% 96%  
247 1.0% 95%  
248 1.0% 94%  
249 1.1% 93%  
250 1.2% 92%  
251 2% 91%  
252 1.1% 89%  
253 2% 88%  
254 3% 85%  
255 3% 83%  
256 3% 79%  
257 2% 76%  
258 3% 74%  
259 4% 71%  
260 3% 67%  
261 3% 64%  
262 3% 62%  
263 3% 59%  
264 3% 56%  
265 3% 53%  
266 3% 50% Median
267 3% 47%  
268 4% 45%  
269 3% 40%  
270 2% 37%  
271 2% 35%  
272 2% 33%  
273 1.4% 31%  
274 2% 29%  
275 2% 28%  
276 2% 26%  
277 3% 24%  
278 3% 22%  
279 2% 19%  
280 2% 17%  
281 2% 15%  
282 2% 14%  
283 1.3% 12%  
284 1.2% 10%  
285 1.3% 9%  
286 2% 8%  
287 0.9% 6%  
288 0.6% 5%  
289 0.7% 5%  
290 0.6% 4%  
291 0.4% 3%  
292 0.4% 3%  
293 0.3% 3%  
294 0.5% 2%  
295 0.4% 2%  
296 0.4% 1.3%  
297 0.1% 0.9%  
298 0.2% 0.8%  
299 0.2% 0.6%  
300 0.1% 0.4%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.7%  
152 0.2% 99.5%  
153 0.3% 99.3%  
154 0.4% 99.0%  
155 0.4% 98.6%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 0.7% 98%  
158 0.8% 97%  
159 0.5% 96%  
160 2% 96%  
161 2% 94%  
162 2% 91%  
163 2% 90%  
164 2% 88%  
165 2% 86%  
166 3% 84%  
167 3% 81%  
168 4% 78%  
169 2% 74%  
170 2% 72%  
171 3% 69%  
172 3% 66%  
173 4% 63%  
174 5% 59%  
175 3% 54% Median
176 3% 51%  
177 3% 48%  
178 6% 45%  
179 3% 39%  
180 5% 36%  
181 3% 31%  
182 2% 29%  
183 3% 26%  
184 3% 24%  
185 3% 21%  
186 2% 17%  
187 3% 15%  
188 1.5% 12%  
189 1.4% 11%  
190 1.3% 10%  
191 1.0% 8%  
192 1.4% 7%  
193 1.2% 6%  
194 0.8% 5%  
195 0.7% 4%  
196 0.5% 3%  
197 0.5% 3%  
198 0.6% 2%  
199 0.4% 2%  
200 0.2% 1.2%  
201 0.3% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.7%  
203 0.2% 0.6%  
204 0.1% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.6%  
102 0.3% 99.5%  
103 0.4% 99.2%  
104 0.2% 98.8%  
105 0.4% 98.6%  
106 1.0% 98%  
107 0.9% 97%  
108 0.7% 96%  
109 1.3% 96%  
110 1.1% 94%  
111 0.9% 93%  
112 2% 92%  
113 3% 90%  
114 2% 87%  
115 2% 86%  
116 2% 84%  
117 3% 82%  
118 2% 79%  
119 2% 77%  
120 2% 75%  
121 3% 73%  
122 2% 71%  
123 2% 69%  
124 2% 67%  
125 1.2% 65%  
126 0.8% 64%  
127 1.4% 63%  
128 0.9% 61%  
129 1.0% 61%  
130 0.7% 60%  
131 0.6% 59%  
132 0.7% 58%  
133 0.3% 58%  
134 0.6% 57%  
135 0.6% 57%  
136 0.3% 56%  
137 0.4% 56%  
138 0.9% 55%  
139 0.5% 54%  
140 0.6% 54%  
141 2% 53%  
142 1.1% 52%  
143 1.2% 50%  
144 2% 49%  
145 2% 48%  
146 2% 46%  
147 3% 43%  
148 2% 41%  
149 2% 39%  
150 4% 36%  
151 2% 32%  
152 3% 30% Median
153 3% 27%  
154 4% 24%  
155 2% 20%  
156 2% 19%  
157 3% 16%  
158 2% 14%  
159 1.5% 12%  
160 2% 10%  
161 2% 8%  
162 0.9% 6%  
163 1.2% 5%  
164 0.8% 4%  
165 0.8% 4%  
166 0.8% 3%  
167 0.3% 2%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.1%  
170 0.2% 0.8%  
171 0.1% 0.6%  
172 0.1% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations