Opinion Poll by Forsa, 26–30 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 28.4% 27.1–29.8% 26.8–30.1% 26.5–30.5% 25.9–31.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.9–20.2% 17.6–20.5% 17.3–20.8% 16.8–21.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 15.0–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.6% 5.9–7.3% 5.7–7.6% 5.5–7.8% 5.2–8.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 214 205–225 202–228 199–231 195–237
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 144 135–152 132–155 131–157 127–162
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 121 113–129 111–131 109–133 105–138
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 69–82 67–84 66–86 63–89
Die Linke 69 60 55–67 53–69 52–70 49–73
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 50 44–55 43–57 42–58 39–61
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 41–51 39–52 0–53 0–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.8%  
194 0.1% 99.7%  
195 0.2% 99.6%  
196 0.3% 99.4%  
197 0.5% 99.1%  
198 0.7% 98.6%  
199 0.5% 98%  
200 1.0% 97% Last Result
201 1.0% 96%  
202 2% 95%  
203 2% 94%  
204 2% 92%  
205 2% 90%  
206 3% 88%  
207 3% 84%  
208 4% 81%  
209 3% 77%  
210 5% 74%  
211 4% 68%  
212 6% 65%  
213 7% 59%  
214 4% 52% Median
215 5% 48%  
216 5% 43%  
217 5% 38%  
218 4% 33%  
219 3% 29%  
220 5% 27%  
221 3% 22%  
222 3% 19%  
223 4% 16%  
224 1.3% 12%  
225 3% 11%  
226 2% 8%  
227 1.4% 7%  
228 0.9% 5%  
229 1.0% 4%  
230 0.8% 3%  
231 0.5% 3%  
232 0.4% 2%  
233 0.3% 2%  
234 0.2% 1.3%  
235 0.3% 1.1%  
236 0.2% 0.8%  
237 0.1% 0.6%  
238 0.1% 0.5%  
239 0.1% 0.4%  
240 0.1% 0.3%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.2%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.2% 99.7%  
127 0.3% 99.5%  
128 0.3% 99.2%  
129 0.6% 98.9%  
130 0.7% 98%  
131 0.9% 98%  
132 2% 97%  
133 2% 95%  
134 2% 93%  
135 3% 91%  
136 3% 88%  
137 4% 85%  
138 4% 81%  
139 5% 76%  
140 5% 72%  
141 5% 66%  
142 6% 61%  
143 4% 55%  
144 7% 51% Median
145 6% 44%  
146 5% 37%  
147 4% 32%  
148 5% 28%  
149 4% 22%  
150 4% 18%  
151 3% 15%  
152 3% 12%  
153 2% 9%  
154 2% 7%  
155 1.4% 6%  
156 1.3% 4%  
157 0.7% 3%  
158 0.7% 2%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.0%  
161 0.3% 0.8%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.8%  
105 0.2% 99.6%  
106 0.4% 99.4%  
107 0.5% 99.0%  
108 0.9% 98%  
109 0.9% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 2% 95%  
112 3% 93%  
113 3% 90%  
114 4% 88%  
115 4% 84%  
116 5% 81%  
117 7% 75%  
118 5% 69%  
119 6% 64%  
120 5% 57%  
121 7% 52% Median
122 8% 45%  
123 6% 37%  
124 6% 31%  
125 4% 25%  
126 3% 21%  
127 3% 17%  
128 3% 14%  
129 3% 11%  
130 2% 8%  
131 1.4% 6%  
132 1.4% 5%  
133 1.1% 4%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.5% 2%  
136 0.4% 1.1%  
137 0.3% 0.8%  
138 0.2% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.6%  
64 0.4% 99.3%  
65 1.1% 98.9%  
66 1.1% 98%  
67 2% 97%  
68 3% 95%  
69 3% 92%  
70 5% 89%  
71 6% 84%  
72 5% 78%  
73 7% 73%  
74 8% 66%  
75 7% 58%  
76 10% 51% Median
77 6% 41%  
78 7% 35%  
79 6% 28%  
80 5% 22%  
81 5% 18%  
82 3% 13%  
83 3% 10%  
84 3% 7%  
85 1.2% 4%  
86 1.2% 3%  
87 0.6% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.3%  
89 0.4% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.7%  
50 0.5% 99.4%  
51 0.9% 98.9%  
52 1.2% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 3% 95%  
55 5% 92%  
56 6% 87%  
57 9% 81%  
58 7% 72%  
59 9% 64%  
60 9% 56% Median
61 9% 47%  
62 8% 38%  
63 6% 30%  
64 5% 23%  
65 4% 19%  
66 3% 15%  
67 3% 11%  
68 2% 8%  
69 2% 6% Last Result
70 1.4% 4%  
71 0.9% 2%  
72 0.5% 1.3%  
73 0.3% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.3% 99.8%  
40 0.6% 99.5%  
41 1.0% 98.9%  
42 2% 98%  
43 2% 96%  
44 4% 94%  
45 5% 90%  
46 7% 84% Last Result
47 8% 78%  
48 9% 70%  
49 9% 60%  
50 11% 52% Median
51 7% 41%  
52 7% 34%  
53 8% 27%  
54 5% 19%  
55 4% 14%  
56 3% 9%  
57 2% 6%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.9% 2%  
60 0.6% 1.4%  
61 0.3% 0.8%  
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 1.0% 97%  
39 2% 96%  
40 3% 94%  
41 5% 91%  
42 8% 86%  
43 13% 78%  
44 10% 66%  
45 10% 55% Median
46 8% 45%  
47 7% 37%  
48 6% 31%  
49 6% 25%  
50 6% 19%  
51 5% 12%  
52 4% 7%  
53 2% 4%  
54 1.0% 2%  
55 0.4% 1.3%  
56 0.3% 0.9%  
57 0.2% 0.5%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 528 100% 518–537 516–541 513–551 509–569
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 453 100% 442–463 438–465 435–468 427–473
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 430 100% 419–440 415–443 412–445 403–451
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 407 100% 396–419 394–423 391–428 386–442
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 384 100% 374–396 371–400 368–405 363–418
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 385 99.7% 373–395 369–398 366–401 357–406
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 339 5% 329–351 326–355 323–359 318–372
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 324 0.3% 314–336 311–340 308–343 303–352
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 309 0% 298–319 294–323 289–325 277–330
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 309 0% 298–320 294–323 287–325 274–331
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 264 0% 254–275 251–278 248–281 244–287
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 180 0% 172–191 170–194 167–197 163–202
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 156–175 153–178 140–180 122–184

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 99.9%  
505 0% 99.9%  
506 0.1% 99.9%  
507 0.1% 99.8%  
508 0.1% 99.7%  
509 0.3% 99.6%  
510 0.5% 99.3%  
511 0.3% 98.8%  
512 0.5% 98%  
513 0.5% 98%  
514 1.3% 97%  
515 1.1% 96%  
516 1.3% 95%  
517 1.5% 94%  
518 2% 92%  
519 3% 90%  
520 2% 87%  
521 3% 85%  
522 4% 82%  
523 5% 78%  
524 3% 73%  
525 4% 69%  
526 6% 65%  
527 7% 59%  
528 7% 52%  
529 5% 45% Median
530 5% 40%  
531 6% 35%  
532 4% 29%  
533 4% 24%  
534 3% 21%  
535 5% 18%  
536 3% 14%  
537 1.3% 11%  
538 1.3% 9%  
539 1.3% 8%  
540 1.3% 7%  
541 0.8% 5%  
542 0.5% 5%  
543 0.4% 4%  
544 0.5% 4%  
545 0.2% 3%  
546 0.1% 3%  
547 0.1% 3%  
548 0.1% 3%  
549 0.1% 3%  
550 0.1% 3%  
551 0.1% 3%  
552 0% 2%  
553 0% 2%  
554 0.2% 2%  
555 0.1% 2%  
556 0.1% 2%  
557 0.1% 2%  
558 0.1% 2%  
559 0.2% 2%  
560 0.2% 2%  
561 0.1% 2%  
562 0.1% 1.5%  
563 0.1% 1.4%  
564 0.2% 1.2%  
565 0.1% 1.0%  
566 0.1% 0.9%  
567 0.1% 0.8%  
568 0.1% 0.7%  
569 0.1% 0.6%  
570 0.1% 0.5%  
571 0.1% 0.4%  
572 0.1% 0.3%  
573 0% 0.2%  
574 0.1% 0.2%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0.1%  
578 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.8%  
424 0.1% 99.8%  
425 0.1% 99.7%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.1% 99.6%  
428 0.1% 99.5%  
429 0.1% 99.4%  
430 0.2% 99.2%  
431 0.3% 99.0%  
432 0.3% 98.7%  
433 0.4% 98%  
434 0.5% 98%  
435 0.4% 98%  
436 0.7% 97%  
437 0.8% 96%  
438 1.2% 96%  
439 2% 94%  
440 1.2% 93%  
441 1.4% 92%  
442 2% 90%  
443 3% 88%  
444 2% 85%  
445 3% 83%  
446 4% 80%  
447 3% 75%  
448 4% 72%  
449 4% 69%  
450 5% 65%  
451 4% 60%  
452 5% 56%  
453 4% 50% Median
454 6% 46%  
455 4% 40%  
456 5% 36%  
457 4% 31%  
458 5% 27%  
459 3% 22%  
460 4% 19%  
461 2% 14%  
462 2% 13%  
463 2% 10%  
464 2% 8%  
465 1.4% 6%  
466 1.1% 5%  
467 0.9% 4%  
468 0.6% 3%  
469 0.6% 2%  
470 0.3% 2%  
471 0.4% 1.2%  
472 0.3% 0.8%  
473 0.2% 0.6%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0.1% 0.2%  
476 0.1% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0.1% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.6%  
403 0.1% 99.6%  
404 0.1% 99.5%  
405 0.1% 99.3%  
406 0.2% 99.2%  
407 0.2% 99.0%  
408 0.2% 98.8%  
409 0.3% 98.6%  
410 0.3% 98%  
411 0.4% 98%  
412 0.4% 98%  
413 0.6% 97%  
414 0.8% 97%  
415 1.1% 96%  
416 1.3% 95%  
417 1.2% 93%  
418 2% 92%  
419 2% 91%  
420 2% 89%  
421 3% 87%  
422 2% 83%  
423 4% 81%  
424 4% 77%  
425 4% 73%  
426 4% 69%  
427 5% 64%  
428 4% 59%  
429 5% 56%  
430 5% 51% Median
431 4% 46%  
432 4% 42%  
433 6% 38%  
434 4% 32%  
435 4% 28%  
436 5% 25%  
437 3% 19%  
438 2% 16%  
439 3% 14%  
440 3% 11%  
441 2% 9%  
442 1.5% 7%  
443 1.3% 6%  
444 1.0% 4%  
445 1.0% 3%  
446 0.4% 2%  
447 0.5% 2%  
448 0.5% 1.4%  
449 0.2% 0.9%  
450 0.2% 0.7%  
451 0.2% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0.1% 0.2%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0.1% 99.9%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0.2% 99.7%  
386 0.2% 99.5%  
387 0.2% 99.4%  
388 0.2% 99.1%  
389 0.4% 98.9%  
390 0.6% 98%  
391 0.8% 98%  
392 0.9% 97%  
393 1.1% 96%  
394 1.1% 95%  
395 2% 94%  
396 2% 92%  
397 2% 90%  
398 4% 88%  
399 2% 84%  
400 4% 82%  
401 3% 79%  
402 4% 75%  
403 6% 72%  
404 3% 66%  
405 4% 62%  
406 4% 58%  
407 5% 54%  
408 4% 49% Median
409 4% 45%  
410 5% 41%  
411 5% 36%  
412 5% 31%  
413 4% 27%  
414 4% 23%  
415 3% 19%  
416 2% 16%  
417 2% 14%  
418 1.5% 12%  
419 2% 10%  
420 1.4% 8%  
421 0.9% 7%  
422 1.0% 6%  
423 0.9% 5%  
424 0.5% 4%  
425 0.5% 4%  
426 0.3% 3%  
427 0.3% 3%  
428 0.3% 3%  
429 0.2% 2%  
430 0.2% 2%  
431 0.1% 2%  
432 0.1% 2%  
433 0.1% 2%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.1% 1.4%  
436 0.1% 1.2%  
437 0.1% 1.1%  
438 0.2% 1.0%  
439 0.1% 0.8%  
440 0.1% 0.7%  
441 0% 0.6%  
442 0.1% 0.6%  
443 0% 0.5%  
444 0.1% 0.4%  
445 0% 0.4%  
446 0.1% 0.3%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0.1% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.9%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.2% 99.6%  
364 0.2% 99.4%  
365 0.4% 99.2%  
366 0.5% 98.9%  
367 0.4% 98%  
368 0.7% 98%  
369 0.8% 97%  
370 0.7% 96%  
371 2% 96%  
372 1.2% 94%  
373 2% 93%  
374 2% 91%  
375 2% 89%  
376 3% 87%  
377 2% 84%  
378 4% 81%  
379 4% 78%  
380 6% 74%  
381 3% 67%  
382 5% 64%  
383 5% 59%  
384 5% 54%  
385 4% 49% Median
386 4% 46%  
387 5% 41%  
388 4% 36%  
389 5% 32%  
390 3% 28%  
391 4% 24%  
392 3% 20%  
393 2% 17%  
394 2% 14%  
395 2% 12%  
396 2% 10%  
397 2% 8%  
398 1.1% 7%  
399 0.6% 6% Last Result
400 0.7% 5%  
401 0.6% 4%  
402 0.4% 4%  
403 0.5% 3%  
404 0.3% 3%  
405 0.3% 3%  
406 0.3% 2%  
407 0.2% 2%  
408 0.1% 2%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.1% 2%  
411 0.1% 1.5%  
412 0.1% 1.3%  
413 0.1% 1.2%  
414 0.1% 1.1%  
415 0.2% 1.0%  
416 0.1% 0.8%  
417 0.1% 0.7%  
418 0.1% 0.6%  
419 0.1% 0.5%  
420 0.1% 0.4%  
421 0% 0.3%  
422 0% 0.3%  
423 0.1% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0% 99.7% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.6%  
358 0.1% 99.5%  
359 0.1% 99.3%  
360 0.2% 99.2%  
361 0.3% 99.0%  
362 0.2% 98.8%  
363 0.3% 98.6%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.6% 98%  
367 0.5% 97%  
368 0.6% 96%  
369 0.8% 96%  
370 0.7% 95%  
371 2% 94%  
372 1.0% 92%  
373 2% 91%  
374 2% 90%  
375 3% 87%  
376 2% 85%  
377 2% 82%  
378 4% 80%  
379 2% 76%  
380 5% 73%  
381 3% 68%  
382 4% 65%  
383 5% 61%  
384 4% 56%  
385 6% 52% Median
386 4% 46%  
387 5% 42%  
388 4% 37%  
389 5% 33%  
390 3% 28%  
391 3% 25%  
392 4% 22%  
393 3% 18%  
394 4% 15%  
395 2% 11%  
396 2% 10%  
397 2% 8%  
398 1.0% 6%  
399 1.2% 5%  
400 0.7% 4%  
401 1.0% 3%  
402 0.4% 2%  
403 0.4% 2%  
404 0.4% 1.1%  
405 0.2% 0.7%  
406 0.2% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.4%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.7%  
318 0.2% 99.6%  
319 0.3% 99.4%  
320 0.2% 99.1%  
321 0.4% 99.0%  
322 0.5% 98.6%  
323 0.6% 98%  
324 1.0% 97%  
325 1.0% 97%  
326 2% 96%  
327 2% 94%  
328 2% 92%  
329 2% 90%  
330 4% 89%  
331 3% 85%  
332 4% 82%  
333 4% 79%  
334 3% 74%  
335 4% 71%  
336 4% 67%  
337 4% 64%  
338 6% 60%  
339 5% 54%  
340 3% 49% Last Result, Median
341 4% 46%  
342 5% 42%  
343 3% 36%  
344 3% 33%  
345 4% 30%  
346 3% 26%  
347 4% 23%  
348 3% 19%  
349 2% 15%  
350 3% 13%  
351 1.5% 10%  
352 1.4% 9%  
353 1.3% 7%  
354 1.1% 6%  
355 0.6% 5% Majority
356 0.6% 4%  
357 0.6% 4%  
358 0.4% 3%  
359 0.3% 3%  
360 0.2% 2%  
361 0.3% 2%  
362 0.2% 2%  
363 0.3% 2%  
364 0.2% 1.5%  
365 0.2% 1.3%  
366 0.2% 1.1%  
367 0.2% 1.0%  
368 0.1% 0.8%  
369 0.1% 0.7%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.6%  
372 0.2% 0.5%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0.1% 99.8%  
302 0.1% 99.7%  
303 0.2% 99.6%  
304 0.2% 99.4%  
305 0.4% 99.3%  
306 0.4% 98.9%  
307 0.4% 98%  
308 1.0% 98%  
309 0.7% 97%  
310 1.2% 96%  
311 1.0% 95%  
312 2% 94%  
313 2% 92%  
314 2% 90%  
315 4% 89%  
316 3% 85%  
317 4% 82%  
318 3% 78%  
319 3% 75%  
320 5% 72%  
321 4% 67%  
322 5% 63%  
323 4% 58%  
324 6% 54%  
325 4% 48% Median
326 5% 44%  
327 4% 39%  
328 3% 35%  
329 5% 32%  
330 2% 27%  
331 4% 24%  
332 2% 20%  
333 2% 18%  
334 3% 15%  
335 2% 13%  
336 2% 10%  
337 1.0% 9%  
338 2% 8%  
339 0.7% 6%  
340 0.8% 5%  
341 0.6% 4%  
342 0.5% 4%  
343 0.6% 3%  
344 0.3% 2%  
345 0.5% 2%  
346 0.3% 2%  
347 0.2% 1.4%  
348 0.3% 1.2%  
349 0.2% 1.0%  
350 0.1% 0.8%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0.1% 0.5%  
353 0.1% 0.4%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.8%  
274 0% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0% 99.7%  
277 0.1% 99.6%  
278 0.1% 99.5%  
279 0.1% 99.4%  
280 0.1% 99.3%  
281 0.2% 99.2%  
282 0.2% 99.0%  
283 0.1% 98.9%  
284 0.2% 98.7%  
285 0.2% 98.5%  
286 0.2% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.2% 98%  
289 0.4% 98%  
290 0.5% 97%  
291 0.3% 97%  
292 0.6% 96%  
293 0.8% 96%  
294 0.7% 95%  
295 0.9% 94%  
296 1.4% 93%  
297 2% 92%  
298 1.1% 90%  
299 2% 89%  
300 3% 87%  
301 3% 84%  
302 5% 81%  
303 3% 77%  
304 4% 73%  
305 3% 70%  
306 5% 67%  
307 4% 61%  
308 4% 57%  
309 5% 53% Median
310 5% 48%  
311 3% 44%  
312 5% 41%  
313 5% 35%  
314 3% 30%  
315 5% 27%  
316 3% 22%  
317 3% 18%  
318 2% 16%  
319 4% 13%  
320 1.3% 10%  
321 1.0% 8%  
322 2% 7%  
323 1.1% 6%  
324 1.0% 4%  
325 1.2% 4%  
326 0.5% 2% Last Result
327 0.5% 2%  
328 0.3% 1.3%  
329 0.3% 0.9%  
330 0.2% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0.1% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0.1% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.1% 99.6%  
274 0.1% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.2% 99.4%  
277 0.2% 99.1%  
278 0.1% 98.9%  
279 0.2% 98.8%  
280 0.2% 98.6%  
281 0.2% 98%  
282 0.1% 98%  
283 0.2% 98%  
284 0.1% 98%  
285 0.2% 98%  
286 0.2% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.2% 97%  
289 0.2% 97%  
290 0.2% 97%  
291 0.6% 97%  
292 0.3% 96%  
293 0.8% 96%  
294 0.8% 95%  
295 0.9% 94%  
296 0.9% 93%  
297 1.4% 92%  
298 2% 91%  
299 1.3% 89%  
300 3% 88% Last Result
301 3% 85%  
302 3% 81%  
303 5% 79%  
304 4% 74%  
305 4% 71%  
306 4% 67%  
307 5% 62%  
308 5% 57%  
309 3% 52%  
310 7% 49% Median
311 2% 41%  
312 5% 39%  
313 4% 34%  
314 5% 30%  
315 3% 26%  
316 3% 23%  
317 3% 20%  
318 3% 17%  
319 3% 14%  
320 2% 11%  
321 2% 9%  
322 2% 7%  
323 1.2% 5%  
324 0.9% 4%  
325 0.9% 3%  
326 0.6% 2%  
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.3% 1.3%  
329 0.3% 1.0%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0.2% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0.1% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.6%  
244 0.3% 99.5%  
245 0.3% 99.3%  
246 0.4% 99.0%  
247 0.5% 98.5%  
248 0.7% 98%  
249 0.8% 97%  
250 1.1% 96%  
251 1.4% 95%  
252 2% 94%  
253 2% 92%  
254 3% 91%  
255 2% 87%  
256 2% 85%  
257 3% 83%  
258 4% 79%  
259 4% 75%  
260 5% 71%  
261 4% 66%  
262 4% 62%  
263 4% 58%  
264 6% 54%  
265 6% 48% Median
266 4% 42%  
267 5% 38%  
268 4% 33%  
269 3% 29%  
270 5% 26%  
271 2% 21%  
272 3% 19%  
273 3% 16%  
274 2% 13%  
275 2% 11%  
276 2% 9%  
277 1.1% 7%  
278 1.2% 6%  
279 1.0% 5%  
280 0.8% 4%  
281 0.6% 3%  
282 0.5% 2%  
283 0.4% 2%  
284 0.3% 1.2%  
285 0.2% 0.9%  
286 0.2% 0.7%  
287 0.1% 0.5%  
288 0.1% 0.4%  
289 0.1% 0.3%  
290 0% 0.2%  
291 0% 0.2%  
292 0% 0.2%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.7%  
163 0.2% 99.6%  
164 0.3% 99.4%  
165 0.4% 99.1%  
166 0.6% 98.8%  
167 0.8% 98%  
168 1.0% 97%  
169 1.2% 96%  
170 1.3% 95%  
171 3% 94%  
172 2% 91%  
173 2% 89%  
174 4% 87%  
175 4% 83%  
176 6% 79%  
177 7% 73%  
178 5% 67%  
179 6% 61%  
180 7% 56%  
181 5% 49% Median
182 4% 44%  
183 5% 40%  
184 4% 35%  
185 3% 30%  
186 5% 27%  
187 2% 23%  
188 3% 20%  
189 3% 17%  
190 3% 14%  
191 2% 12%  
192 2% 9%  
193 2% 7%  
194 1.2% 6%  
195 1.1% 5%  
196 0.8% 4%  
197 0.9% 3%  
198 0.5% 2%  
199 0.4% 1.4%  
200 0.3% 1.1%  
201 0.3% 0.8%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.6%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.4%  
124 0.1% 99.3%  
125 0.1% 99.2%  
126 0.2% 99.1%  
127 0.2% 98.9%  
128 0.1% 98.7%  
129 0.2% 98.6%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.2% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.1% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 97%  
142 0% 97%  
143 0% 97%  
144 0% 97%  
145 0% 97%  
146 0.1% 97%  
147 0.1% 97%  
148 0.1% 97%  
149 0.2% 97%  
150 0.2% 97%  
151 0.5% 97%  
152 0.7% 96%  
153 0.7% 96%  
154 2% 95%  
155 1.5% 93%  
156 2% 92%  
157 3% 90%  
158 3% 87%  
159 2% 84%  
160 4% 82%  
161 6% 78%  
162 3% 72%  
163 6% 69%  
164 5% 63%  
165 6% 58%  
166 6% 52% Median
167 6% 46%  
168 5% 40%  
169 5% 35%  
170 5% 30%  
171 3% 25%  
172 4% 22%  
173 3% 18%  
174 3% 15%  
175 2% 12%  
176 2% 10%  
177 2% 7%  
178 2% 5%  
179 1.0% 4%  
180 0.9% 3%  
181 0.6% 2%  
182 0.4% 1.4%  
183 0.3% 0.9%  
184 0.2% 0.7%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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