Opinion Poll by Forsa, 2–6 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.3% 28.0–30.6% 27.6–31.0% 27.3–31.3% 26.7–32.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.9–19.1% 16.6–19.5% 16.3–19.8% 15.8–20.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.7% 13.0–17.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 223 212–233 210–236 207–239 203–246
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 138 129–146 126–148 124–151 120–155
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 106–123 105–125 103–127 100–132
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 70–83 68–85 66–87 63–91
Die Linke 69 61 55–67 53–69 52–71 50–74
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 46–58 45–59 44–61 41–64
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 41–51 39–53 38–54 0–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0.2% 99.6%  
204 0.3% 99.5%  
205 0.4% 99.1%  
206 0.6% 98.7%  
207 0.7% 98%  
208 0.7% 97%  
209 0.9% 97%  
210 1.1% 96%  
211 2% 95%  
212 3% 92%  
213 2% 90%  
214 3% 87%  
215 2% 85%  
216 3% 83%  
217 5% 79%  
218 6% 75%  
219 5% 69%  
220 4% 63%  
221 4% 59%  
222 4% 55%  
223 5% 51% Median
224 5% 46%  
225 6% 41%  
226 5% 35%  
227 4% 30%  
228 3% 26%  
229 2% 22%  
230 3% 20%  
231 3% 17%  
232 3% 14%  
233 3% 11%  
234 1.3% 9%  
235 1.2% 7%  
236 1.4% 6%  
237 0.9% 5%  
238 0.9% 4%  
239 0.8% 3%  
240 0.5% 2%  
241 0.5% 2%  
242 0.3% 1.4%  
243 0.2% 1.1%  
244 0.1% 0.9%  
245 0.1% 0.7%  
246 0.1% 0.6%  
247 0.2% 0.5%  
248 0.1% 0.3%  
249 0.1% 0.2%  
250 0% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.6%  
121 0.2% 99.5%  
122 0.3% 99.2%  
123 0.6% 98.9%  
124 0.9% 98%  
125 1.3% 97%  
126 2% 96%  
127 2% 95%  
128 2% 93%  
129 2% 91%  
130 2% 89%  
131 5% 87%  
132 6% 82%  
133 7% 76%  
134 5% 69%  
135 4% 64%  
136 5% 60%  
137 5% 55%  
138 7% 51% Median
139 8% 44%  
140 6% 36%  
141 5% 30%  
142 3% 25%  
143 2% 21%  
144 3% 19%  
145 4% 16%  
146 4% 12%  
147 2% 9%  
148 2% 6%  
149 1.1% 5%  
150 0.7% 4%  
151 0.6% 3%  
152 0.7% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.5%  
154 0.3% 1.0%  
155 0.2% 0.6%  
156 0.1% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.5%  
101 0.7% 99.2%  
102 1.0% 98.5%  
103 0.6% 98%  
104 1.4% 97%  
105 3% 96%  
106 3% 93%  
107 2% 90%  
108 3% 87%  
109 8% 85%  
110 5% 77%  
111 6% 72%  
112 3% 65%  
113 7% 62%  
114 10% 55% Median
115 5% 45%  
116 4% 40%  
117 6% 36%  
118 6% 30%  
119 6% 24%  
120 2% 18%  
121 3% 16%  
122 3% 14%  
123 3% 10%  
124 1.4% 7%  
125 0.9% 6%  
126 2% 5%  
127 1.2% 3%  
128 0.5% 2%  
129 0.3% 1.5%  
130 0.3% 1.2%  
131 0.3% 0.9%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 0.6% 99.2%  
66 1.2% 98.6%  
67 1.3% 97%  
68 2% 96%  
69 3% 94%  
70 4% 91%  
71 5% 87%  
72 5% 82%  
73 7% 77%  
74 6% 70%  
75 8% 64%  
76 8% 55% Median
77 7% 47%  
78 7% 40%  
79 7% 33%  
80 5% 26%  
81 5% 21%  
82 5% 17%  
83 4% 12%  
84 2% 8%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.3% 4%  
87 0.9% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.4%  
90 0.3% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 0.4% 99.5%  
51 0.7% 99.2%  
52 1.4% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 3% 95%  
55 4% 92%  
56 5% 89%  
57 7% 84%  
58 6% 77%  
59 8% 70%  
60 10% 63%  
61 8% 53% Median
62 7% 45%  
63 7% 38%  
64 8% 31%  
65 5% 23%  
66 4% 17%  
67 4% 13%  
68 3% 9%  
69 2% 6% Last Result
70 1.4% 4%  
71 1.0% 3%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.4% 1.1%  
74 0.3% 0.7%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.7%  
42 0.6% 99.4%  
43 0.9% 98.8%  
44 2% 98%  
45 3% 96%  
46 3% 93% Last Result
47 5% 90%  
48 6% 85%  
49 8% 79%  
50 8% 71%  
51 9% 64%  
52 9% 55% Median
53 9% 45%  
54 7% 36%  
55 8% 29%  
56 7% 21%  
57 4% 15%  
58 4% 11%  
59 3% 7%  
60 2% 5%  
61 1.1% 3%  
62 0.6% 2%  
63 0.4% 1.0%  
64 0.3% 0.6%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.5% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 4% 95%  
41 4% 91%  
42 7% 86%  
43 7% 79%  
44 9% 72%  
45 9% 63%  
46 10% 54% Median
47 10% 45%  
48 10% 35%  
49 6% 25%  
50 5% 19%  
51 4% 13%  
52 3% 9%  
53 2% 6%  
54 1.3% 4%  
55 0.9% 2%  
56 0.6% 1.4%  
57 0.3% 0.7%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 526 100% 516–536 514–539 511–546 507–567
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 458 100% 446–468 443–470 440–472 432–477
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 435 100% 423–445 420–448 416–450 407–455
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 412 100% 401–422 398–426 395–432 390–446
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 397 100% 386–407 381–410 377–413 367–418
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 389 100% 378–400 375–404 372–408 367–421
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 351 34% 340–362 337–366 334–370 329–384
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 320 0% 309–330 305–334 300–336 285–342
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 312 0% 302–323 299–328 296–332 291–342
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 297 0% 286–308 282–311 277–314 262–318
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 252 0% 241–262 238–266 236–269 231–277
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 175 0% 166–185 164–188 162–191 158–197
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 160 0% 151–169 148–172 141–174 117–179

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 99.9%  
503 0% 99.9%  
504 0.1% 99.9%  
505 0.1% 99.8%  
506 0.1% 99.7%  
507 0.2% 99.5%  
508 0.2% 99.4%  
509 0.5% 99.1%  
510 0.7% 98.7%  
511 0.6% 98%  
512 0.9% 97%  
513 1.1% 97%  
514 2% 95%  
515 2% 94%  
516 2% 92%  
517 2% 90%  
518 3% 87%  
519 3% 85%  
520 5% 81%  
521 4% 76%  
522 5% 72%  
523 4% 67%  
524 4% 63%  
525 5% 59%  
526 5% 54%  
527 7% 48% Median
528 6% 41%  
529 3% 35%  
530 4% 32%  
531 5% 28%  
532 4% 23%  
533 3% 19%  
534 3% 15%  
535 2% 13%  
536 2% 11%  
537 2% 9%  
538 1.4% 7%  
539 1.2% 6%  
540 0.7% 5%  
541 0.5% 4%  
542 0.4% 4%  
543 0.4% 3%  
544 0.3% 3%  
545 0.1% 3%  
546 0.1% 3%  
547 0.1% 2%  
548 0% 2%  
549 0.1% 2%  
550 0.1% 2%  
551 0% 2%  
552 0.1% 2%  
553 0.1% 2%  
554 0% 2%  
555 0.1% 2%  
556 0.1% 2%  
557 0.1% 2%  
558 0.1% 2%  
559 0% 2%  
560 0.3% 2%  
561 0.1% 1.3%  
562 0.1% 1.2%  
563 0.2% 1.1%  
564 0.1% 0.9%  
565 0.2% 0.8%  
566 0.1% 0.6%  
567 0.1% 0.5%  
568 0.1% 0.4%  
569 0% 0.4%  
570 0.1% 0.4%  
571 0.1% 0.3%  
572 0.1% 0.2%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0.1% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0.1% 99.5%  
433 0.1% 99.4%  
434 0.2% 99.3%  
435 0.3% 99.2%  
436 0.2% 98.9%  
437 0.3% 98.7%  
438 0.4% 98%  
439 0.5% 98%  
440 0.6% 98%  
441 0.8% 97%  
442 0.8% 96%  
443 1.1% 95%  
444 1.2% 94%  
445 2% 93%  
446 2% 91%  
447 2% 90%  
448 3% 88%  
449 3% 85%  
450 2% 83%  
451 2% 80%  
452 4% 78%  
453 3% 73%  
454 6% 71%  
455 4% 65%  
456 5% 60%  
457 4% 56%  
458 6% 52%  
459 3% 45% Median
460 6% 42%  
461 6% 36%  
462 5% 31%  
463 3% 26%  
464 4% 23%  
465 3% 19%  
466 3% 15%  
467 2% 12%  
468 4% 10%  
469 1.2% 7%  
470 1.1% 6%  
471 1.1% 4%  
472 1.0% 3%  
473 0.7% 2%  
474 0.3% 2%  
475 0.4% 1.4%  
476 0.3% 1.0%  
477 0.2% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.3%  
480 0.1% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.9%  
404 0.1% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0.2% 99.7%  
408 0.2% 99.5%  
409 0.1% 99.2%  
410 0.1% 99.1%  
411 0.2% 99.0%  
412 0.1% 98.8%  
413 0.2% 98.7%  
414 0.3% 98.5%  
415 0.4% 98%  
416 0.5% 98%  
417 0.5% 97%  
418 0.7% 97%  
419 0.9% 96%  
420 1.0% 95%  
421 1.3% 94%  
422 2% 93%  
423 1.5% 91%  
424 2% 89%  
425 2% 87%  
426 3% 85%  
427 4% 83%  
428 3% 79%  
429 3% 75%  
430 3% 72%  
431 4% 69%  
432 3% 64%  
433 6% 62%  
434 4% 56%  
435 5% 52% Median
436 5% 47%  
437 6% 41%  
438 4% 35%  
439 4% 32%  
440 4% 27%  
441 5% 23%  
442 3% 18%  
443 3% 15%  
444 2% 13%  
445 2% 10%  
446 2% 8%  
447 1.5% 7%  
448 1.1% 5%  
449 0.8% 4%  
450 0.8% 3%  
451 0.5% 2%  
452 0.6% 2%  
453 0.4% 1.4%  
454 0.3% 1.0%  
455 0.2% 0.7%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.4%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0.1% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.2% 99.7%  
390 0.1% 99.5%  
391 0.3% 99.4%  
392 0.3% 99.1%  
393 0.4% 98.8%  
394 0.5% 98%  
395 0.8% 98%  
396 1.0% 97%  
397 0.8% 96%  
398 1.1% 95%  
399 2% 94%  
400 2% 93%  
401 2% 91%  
402 2% 89%  
403 3% 87%  
404 4% 84%  
405 2% 80%  
406 4% 78%  
407 4% 74%  
408 5% 71%  
409 3% 66%  
410 5% 63%  
411 5% 58%  
412 4% 53%  
413 5% 48% Median
414 6% 43%  
415 4% 37%  
416 4% 33%  
417 4% 29%  
418 4% 25%  
419 4% 21%  
420 3% 18%  
421 2% 15%  
422 3% 13%  
423 1.3% 10%  
424 1.3% 8%  
425 1.1% 7%  
426 0.9% 6%  
427 0.9% 5%  
428 0.6% 4%  
429 0.4% 4%  
430 0.3% 3%  
431 0.3% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.1% 2%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.1% 2%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.2% 1.4%  
440 0.1% 1.2%  
441 0.1% 1.1%  
442 0.1% 1.1%  
443 0.2% 1.0%  
444 0.1% 0.8%  
445 0.1% 0.7%  
446 0.1% 0.6%  
447 0.1% 0.5%  
448 0% 0.4%  
449 0.1% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0.1% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0.2% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.6%  
367 0.1% 99.5%  
368 0.2% 99.4%  
369 0.2% 99.2%  
370 0.1% 99.0%  
371 0.1% 98.9%  
372 0.2% 98.8%  
373 0.2% 98.7%  
374 0.2% 98%  
375 0.2% 98%  
376 0.4% 98%  
377 0.2% 98%  
378 0.4% 97%  
379 0.7% 97%  
380 0.8% 96%  
381 0.7% 96%  
382 0.8% 95%  
383 2% 94%  
384 1.3% 93%  
385 1.1% 91%  
386 2% 90%  
387 3% 88%  
388 2% 85%  
389 4% 83%  
390 4% 79%  
391 3% 75%  
392 2% 72%  
393 5% 70%  
394 6% 65%  
395 3% 59%  
396 6% 56%  
397 7% 51% Median
398 4% 44%  
399 2% 39%  
400 7% 38%  
401 4% 31%  
402 2% 27%  
403 3% 24%  
404 6% 21%  
405 2% 16%  
406 1.3% 13%  
407 3% 12%  
408 2% 9%  
409 0.7% 7%  
410 2% 6%  
411 1.3% 5%  
412 0.6% 3%  
413 0.7% 3%  
414 0.6% 2%  
415 0.4% 1.4%  
416 0.1% 1.0%  
417 0.3% 0.8%  
418 0.2% 0.6%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
421 0.1% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.2% 99.6%  
368 0.2% 99.5%  
369 0.3% 99.3%  
370 0.4% 99.0%  
371 0.4% 98.6%  
372 0.7% 98%  
373 0.8% 97%  
374 1.0% 97%  
375 1.4% 96%  
376 1.2% 94%  
377 2% 93%  
378 2% 91%  
379 3% 89%  
380 3% 86%  
381 3% 83%  
382 4% 80%  
383 3% 76%  
384 3% 73%  
385 4% 70%  
386 4% 66%  
387 5% 62%  
388 5% 57%  
389 6% 52% Median
390 4% 46%  
391 3% 42%  
392 4% 39%  
393 4% 35%  
394 5% 31%  
395 4% 25%  
396 4% 21%  
397 2% 17%  
398 2% 15%  
399 2% 13% Last Result
400 2% 11%  
401 1.4% 9%  
402 1.3% 8%  
403 1.3% 7%  
404 0.6% 5%  
405 0.7% 5%  
406 0.5% 4%  
407 0.5% 4%  
408 0.6% 3%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.1% 2%  
413 0.1% 2%  
414 0.2% 1.4%  
415 0.2% 1.2%  
416 0% 1.1%  
417 0.2% 1.0%  
418 0.2% 0.9%  
419 0.1% 0.7%  
420 0.1% 0.6%  
421 0.1% 0.5%  
422 0.1% 0.5%  
423 0% 0.4%  
424 0% 0.4%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0.1% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0.1% 99.9%  
326 0.1% 99.9%  
327 0.1% 99.8%  
328 0.1% 99.7%  
329 0.2% 99.7%  
330 0.2% 99.5%  
331 0.3% 99.3%  
332 0.4% 99.0%  
333 0.5% 98.6%  
334 0.9% 98%  
335 0.6% 97%  
336 1.1% 97%  
337 1.0% 95%  
338 2% 94%  
339 1.4% 93%  
340 2% 91% Last Result
341 2% 89%  
342 3% 87%  
343 3% 84%  
344 3% 81%  
345 4% 78%  
346 5% 74%  
347 3% 69%  
348 5% 66%  
349 3% 61%  
350 5% 57%  
351 4% 52% Median
352 6% 48%  
353 4% 42%  
354 4% 38%  
355 5% 34% Majority
356 3% 29%  
357 4% 26%  
358 3% 22%  
359 3% 19%  
360 2% 16%  
361 2% 14%  
362 2% 11%  
363 2% 10%  
364 0.8% 7%  
365 1.3% 6%  
366 0.6% 5%  
367 0.8% 5%  
368 0.7% 4%  
369 0.5% 3%  
370 0.4% 3%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.3% 2%  
373 0.3% 2%  
374 0.2% 1.3%  
375 0.1% 1.2%  
376 0.1% 1.1%  
377 0.1% 1.0%  
378 0.1% 0.9%  
379 0% 0.8%  
380 0% 0.8%  
381 0.1% 0.7%  
382 0% 0.6%  
383 0% 0.6%  
384 0.1% 0.6%  
385 0.1% 0.4%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0.1% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0.1% 99.8%  
283 0.2% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.6%  
285 0.1% 99.5%  
286 0.1% 99.5%  
287 0.1% 99.4%  
288 0% 99.3%  
289 0.2% 99.3%  
290 0.2% 99.1%  
291 0.1% 98.9%  
292 0.1% 98.8%  
293 0.1% 98.7%  
294 0.1% 98.6%  
295 0.1% 98.5%  
296 0.2% 98%  
297 0.2% 98%  
298 0.2% 98%  
299 0.3% 98%  
300 0.4% 98%  
301 0.4% 97%  
302 0.3% 97%  
303 0.5% 97%  
304 0.8% 96%  
305 0.7% 95%  
306 2% 95%  
307 1.3% 93%  
308 1.1% 92%  
309 1.2% 91%  
310 2% 89%  
311 4% 87%  
312 2% 84%  
313 4% 81%  
314 2% 77%  
315 4% 75%  
316 3% 72%  
317 3% 68%  
318 8% 65%  
319 3% 57%  
320 5% 54%  
321 3% 49% Median
322 5% 46%  
323 7% 41%  
324 5% 34%  
325 4% 30%  
326 3% 25% Last Result
327 2% 22%  
328 4% 20%  
329 3% 17%  
330 4% 14%  
331 2% 10%  
332 2% 8%  
333 0.9% 7%  
334 1.1% 6%  
335 1.1% 5%  
336 1.1% 4%  
337 0.6% 2%  
338 0.4% 2%  
339 0.3% 1.4%  
340 0.4% 1.1%  
341 0.2% 0.8%  
342 0.3% 0.6%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0.1% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.2% 99.7%  
292 0.3% 99.4%  
293 0.1% 99.2%  
294 0.4% 99.0%  
295 0.6% 98.6%  
296 0.7% 98%  
297 0.6% 97%  
298 1.3% 97%  
299 2% 95%  
300 0.7% 94%  
301 2% 93%  
302 3% 91%  
303 1.3% 88%  
304 2% 87%  
305 6% 84%  
306 3% 79%  
307 2% 76%  
308 4% 73%  
309 7% 69%  
310 2% 62%  
311 4% 61%  
312 7% 56%  
313 6% 49% Median
314 3% 44%  
315 6% 41%  
316 5% 35%  
317 2% 30%  
318 3% 28%  
319 4% 25%  
320 4% 21%  
321 2% 17%  
322 3% 15%  
323 2% 12%  
324 1.1% 10%  
325 1.3% 9%  
326 2% 7%  
327 0.8% 6%  
328 0.7% 5%  
329 0.8% 4%  
330 0.7% 4%  
331 0.4% 3%  
332 0.2% 3%  
333 0.4% 2%  
334 0.2% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0.2% 2%  
337 0.2% 1.3%  
338 0.1% 1.2%  
339 0.1% 1.1%  
340 0.2% 1.0%  
341 0.2% 0.8%  
342 0.1% 0.6%  
343 0.1% 0.5%  
344 0.2% 0.4%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.8%  
258 0% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.7%  
261 0.1% 99.7%  
262 0.1% 99.6%  
263 0.1% 99.5%  
264 0.1% 99.4%  
265 0.1% 99.3%  
266 0.1% 99.1%  
267 0.1% 99.1%  
268 0.1% 99.0%  
269 0.1% 98.9%  
270 0.2% 98.8%  
271 0.1% 98.6%  
272 0.1% 98%  
273 0.1% 98%  
274 0.2% 98%  
275 0.1% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.3% 98%  
278 0.3% 97%  
279 0.4% 97%  
280 0.4% 97%  
281 0.5% 96%  
282 1.1% 96%  
283 1.1% 95%  
284 1.2% 93%  
285 1.3% 92%  
286 2% 91%  
287 2% 89%  
288 3% 87%  
289 3% 84%  
290 3% 81%  
291 3% 77%  
292 3% 74%  
293 4% 71%  
294 4% 67%  
295 4% 63%  
296 5% 58%  
297 4% 53%  
298 5% 49% Median
299 5% 44%  
300 4% 39% Last Result
301 5% 35%  
302 3% 30%  
303 5% 27%  
304 3% 22%  
305 3% 19%  
306 2% 16%  
307 3% 13%  
308 2% 10%  
309 2% 9%  
310 2% 7%  
311 1.2% 5%  
312 0.9% 4%  
313 0.6% 3%  
314 0.7% 3%  
315 0.4% 2%  
316 0.3% 1.4%  
317 0.3% 1.1%  
318 0.2% 0.7%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0.1% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.2% 99.6%  
232 0.3% 99.4%  
233 0.3% 99.2%  
234 0.4% 98.9%  
235 0.6% 98%  
236 1.0% 98%  
237 0.9% 97%  
238 1.0% 96%  
239 1.3% 95%  
240 2% 94%  
241 2% 92%  
242 4% 89%  
243 2% 86%  
244 2% 84%  
245 4% 81%  
246 5% 77%  
247 4% 73%  
248 5% 68%  
249 4% 63%  
250 4% 60%  
251 4% 55%  
252 5% 51% Median
253 7% 46%  
254 6% 40%  
255 3% 34%  
256 5% 31%  
257 3% 26%  
258 3% 23%  
259 4% 20%  
260 3% 17%  
261 2% 14%  
262 2% 12%  
263 1.3% 9%  
264 2% 8%  
265 1.5% 7%  
266 1.2% 5%  
267 0.5% 4%  
268 0.5% 3%  
269 0.6% 3%  
270 0.5% 2%  
271 0.4% 2%  
272 0.3% 1.4%  
273 0.2% 1.2%  
274 0.2% 1.0%  
275 0.1% 0.8%  
276 0.2% 0.8%  
277 0.2% 0.6%  
278 0.1% 0.4%  
279 0.1% 0.3%  
280 0% 0.3%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0.1% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.7%  
158 0.2% 99.5%  
159 0.5% 99.3%  
160 0.6% 98.9%  
161 0.7% 98%  
162 0.7% 98%  
163 0.8% 97%  
164 1.2% 96%  
165 2% 95%  
166 3% 93%  
167 4% 90%  
168 4% 86%  
169 4% 82%  
170 3% 78%  
171 4% 75%  
172 6% 71%  
173 5% 65%  
174 8% 60%  
175 5% 52% Median
176 4% 46%  
177 5% 42%  
178 4% 37%  
179 5% 33%  
180 5% 27%  
181 3% 23%  
182 3% 20%  
183 2% 16%  
184 2% 14%  
185 2% 12%  
186 2% 9%  
187 2% 8%  
188 1.3% 6%  
189 0.7% 4%  
190 0.7% 4%  
191 0.6% 3%  
192 0.9% 2%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.3% 1.2%  
195 0.3% 0.9%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.3% 99.6%  
118 0.1% 99.3%  
119 0.1% 99.2%  
120 0.1% 99.1%  
121 0.1% 99.0%  
122 0.1% 98.8%  
123 0.1% 98.7%  
124 0.1% 98.7%  
125 0.3% 98.6%  
126 0.2% 98%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 98%  
142 0.1% 97%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.3% 97%  
145 0.7% 97%  
146 0.8% 96%  
147 0.4% 95%  
148 0.9% 95%  
149 1.2% 94%  
150 2% 93%  
151 3% 91%  
152 4% 89%  
153 3% 84%  
154 3% 82%  
155 4% 78%  
156 6% 74%  
157 4% 68%  
158 5% 64%  
159 6% 58%  
160 5% 52% Median
161 4% 47%  
162 6% 42%  
163 6% 36%  
164 4% 30%  
165 4% 26%  
166 5% 22%  
167 2% 17%  
168 2% 14%  
169 3% 12%  
170 2% 9%  
171 1.2% 7%  
172 2% 6%  
173 1.3% 4%  
174 0.5% 3%  
175 0.4% 2%  
176 0.7% 2%  
177 0.2% 1.1%  
178 0.3% 0.9%  
179 0.2% 0.6%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations