Opinion Poll by GMS, 4–9 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.3–32.0% 27.8–32.5% 27.3–33.0% 26.5–33.9%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.5–20.6% 17.0–21.1% 16.7–21.5% 16.0–22.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 234 218–251 213–257 209–260 203–268
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 148 135–162 131–166 128–169 122–176
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 117 106–129 102–134 100–136 94–142
Alternative für Deutschland 94 78 69–89 66–92 64–94 60–100
Die Linke 69 54 47–63 45–66 43–68 39–72
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 54 47–63 44–66 43–68 40–73
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 0 0–45 0–47 0–49 0–53

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
201 0% 99.7%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0.1% 99.5%  
204 0.2% 99.4%  
205 0.2% 99.2%  
206 0.4% 99.0%  
207 0.2% 98.7%  
208 0.5% 98%  
209 0.5% 98%  
210 0.4% 97%  
211 0.8% 97%  
212 0.7% 96%  
213 0.6% 96%  
214 0.9% 95%  
215 1.4% 94%  
216 1.1% 93%  
217 1.4% 92%  
218 1.3% 90%  
219 1.3% 89%  
220 2% 88%  
221 2% 85%  
222 2% 84%  
223 2% 82%  
224 3% 80%  
225 2% 77%  
226 2% 75%  
227 4% 73%  
228 3% 69%  
229 3% 66%  
230 3% 64%  
231 3% 61%  
232 3% 58%  
233 2% 55%  
234 4% 53% Median
235 2% 49%  
236 3% 47%  
237 3% 43%  
238 2% 41%  
239 4% 39%  
240 2% 35%  
241 3% 33%  
242 2% 30%  
243 2% 28%  
244 4% 26%  
245 2% 22%  
246 2% 21%  
247 3% 18%  
248 1.4% 15%  
249 1.2% 14%  
250 2% 13%  
251 0.7% 11%  
252 1.4% 10%  
253 1.2% 8%  
254 0.5% 7%  
255 1.0% 7%  
256 0.7% 6%  
257 0.8% 5%  
258 0.6% 4%  
259 0.8% 4%  
260 0.6% 3%  
261 0.3% 2%  
262 0.3% 2%  
263 0.4% 2%  
264 0.1% 1.3%  
265 0.4% 1.2%  
266 0.1% 0.8%  
267 0.1% 0.7%  
268 0.2% 0.6%  
269 0.1% 0.4%  
270 0.1% 0.4%  
271 0.1% 0.3%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.2%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.8%  
122 0.2% 99.6%  
123 0.1% 99.5%  
124 0.3% 99.3%  
125 0.3% 99.1%  
126 0.3% 98.8%  
127 0.5% 98%  
128 0.7% 98%  
129 0.7% 97%  
130 0.6% 97%  
131 1.4% 96%  
132 1.1% 95%  
133 1.3% 93%  
134 1.4% 92%  
135 2% 91%  
136 2% 89%  
137 3% 87%  
138 3% 84%  
139 2% 81%  
140 2% 79%  
141 3% 77%  
142 4% 74%  
143 3% 70%  
144 4% 66%  
145 2% 62%  
146 4% 60%  
147 4% 56%  
148 4% 52% Median
149 3% 48%  
150 4% 45%  
151 4% 41%  
152 2% 37%  
153 6% 35%  
154 2% 29%  
155 3% 27%  
156 3% 24%  
157 3% 21%  
158 2% 19%  
159 2% 16%  
160 2% 14%  
161 2% 12%  
162 1.2% 10%  
163 2% 9%  
164 0.9% 8%  
165 1.2% 7%  
166 1.3% 5%  
167 0.8% 4%  
168 0.6% 3%  
169 0.4% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.4% 2%  
173 0.2% 1.2%  
174 0.2% 1.0%  
175 0.2% 0.8%  
176 0.1% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.2% 99.7%  
95 0.1% 99.4%  
96 0.4% 99.3%  
97 0.4% 99.0%  
98 0.5% 98.6%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 0.6% 98%  
101 0.9% 97%  
102 1.3% 96%  
103 1.1% 95%  
104 2% 94%  
105 2% 92%  
106 2% 90%  
107 4% 89%  
108 2% 84%  
109 3% 82%  
110 3% 79%  
111 6% 76%  
112 3% 70%  
113 4% 68%  
114 3% 64%  
115 3% 61%  
116 5% 58%  
117 4% 53% Median
118 4% 49%  
119 4% 45%  
120 4% 41%  
121 5% 38%  
122 3% 33%  
123 4% 29%  
124 4% 26%  
125 1.3% 21%  
126 5% 20%  
127 0.9% 15%  
128 2% 14%  
129 2% 12%  
130 0.8% 10%  
131 2% 9%  
132 1.1% 7%  
133 0.5% 6%  
134 1.2% 5%  
135 0.8% 4%  
136 0.7% 3%  
137 0.6% 2%  
138 0.2% 2%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.3% 1.2%  
141 0.2% 0.9%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.2% 99.7%  
61 0.3% 99.5%  
62 0.5% 99.2%  
63 0.4% 98.7%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 1.0% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 2% 93%  
69 2% 91%  
70 3% 88%  
71 2% 86%  
72 4% 83%  
73 3% 80%  
74 6% 76%  
75 4% 71%  
76 7% 67%  
77 4% 61%  
78 7% 57% Median
79 4% 49%  
80 7% 45%  
81 4% 38%  
82 4% 34%  
83 3% 30%  
84 4% 26%  
85 3% 23%  
86 4% 20%  
87 2% 16%  
88 4% 14%  
89 2% 10%  
90 2% 9%  
91 2% 7%  
92 0.8% 5%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.4% 3% Last Result
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.4% 2%  
97 0.2% 1.3%  
98 0.4% 1.1%  
99 0.1% 0.7%  
100 0.3% 0.6%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.2% 99.6%  
40 0.3% 99.4%  
41 0.4% 99.1%  
42 0.7% 98.7%  
43 1.0% 98%  
44 1.2% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 2% 94%  
47 3% 91%  
48 4% 88%  
49 5% 84%  
50 6% 79%  
51 6% 73%  
52 5% 67%  
53 7% 62%  
54 5% 55% Median
55 6% 50%  
56 6% 44%  
57 6% 38%  
58 5% 32%  
59 5% 26%  
60 4% 21%  
61 4% 18%  
62 3% 14%  
63 2% 11%  
64 2% 9%  
65 2% 8%  
66 1.3% 6%  
67 1.1% 4%  
68 1.0% 3%  
69 0.9% 2% Last Result
70 0.4% 2%  
71 0.4% 1.1%  
72 0.2% 0.7%  
73 0.1% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.3% 99.5%  
41 0.5% 99.3%  
42 0.8% 98.7%  
43 1.2% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 93% Last Result
47 3% 91%  
48 4% 88%  
49 5% 84%  
50 5% 79%  
51 5% 73%  
52 7% 68%  
53 6% 62%  
54 6% 55% Median
55 6% 50%  
56 5% 44%  
57 5% 39%  
58 6% 34%  
59 5% 27%  
60 5% 23%  
61 4% 18%  
62 3% 14%  
63 2% 11%  
64 2% 9%  
65 2% 7%  
66 1.4% 6%  
67 1.0% 4%  
68 1.0% 3%  
69 0.6% 2%  
70 0.4% 2%  
71 0.3% 1.1%  
72 0.2% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 0% 49%  
8 0% 49%  
9 0% 49%  
10 0% 49%  
11 0% 49%  
12 0% 49%  
13 0% 49%  
14 0% 49%  
15 0% 49%  
16 0% 49%  
17 0% 49%  
18 0% 49%  
19 0% 49%  
20 0% 49%  
21 0% 49%  
22 0% 49%  
23 0% 49%  
24 0% 49%  
25 0% 49%  
26 0% 49%  
27 0% 49%  
28 0% 49%  
29 0% 49%  
30 0% 49%  
31 0% 49%  
32 0% 49%  
33 0% 49%  
34 0% 49%  
35 0% 49%  
36 0% 49%  
37 0% 49%  
38 3% 49%  
39 7% 46%  
40 7% 40%  
41 6% 33%  
42 6% 26%  
43 5% 21%  
44 4% 16%  
45 3% 12%  
46 3% 9%  
47 2% 6%  
48 1.4% 5%  
49 1.0% 3%  
50 0.8% 2%  
51 0.4% 1.4%  
52 0.3% 0.9%  
53 0.2% 0.6%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 555 100% 529–580 525–582 522–587 515–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 459 100% 441–476 436–481 432–484 424–493
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 437 100% 414–460 409–465 405–469 398–478
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 427 100% 409–446 404–450 400–455 391–463
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 407 100% 384–429 379–434 375–438 368–447
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 389 99.0% 369–408 364–414 360–418 351–426
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 368 77% 347–389 342–394 338–399 330–407
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 320 1.0% 301–340 295–345 291–349 283–358
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 310 0.2% 288–332 283–337 279–341 272–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 287 0% 263–309 258–314 255–318 247–326
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 265 0% 248–284 243–289 239–294 232–301
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 172 0% 158–187 154–191 150–194 142–202
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 138 0% 113–164 110–166 107–171 101–178

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 99.9%  
509 0% 99.9%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0% 99.9%  
512 0% 99.8%  
513 0.1% 99.8%  
514 0.1% 99.7%  
515 0.2% 99.6%  
516 0.2% 99.4%  
517 0.2% 99.2%  
518 0.2% 99.0%  
519 0.2% 98.8%  
520 0.3% 98.6%  
521 0.7% 98%  
522 0.6% 98%  
523 1.0% 97%  
524 0.8% 96%  
525 0.7% 95%  
526 0.6% 94%  
527 0.8% 94%  
528 1.4% 93%  
529 2% 92%  
530 2% 89%  
531 1.4% 88%  
532 1.3% 86%  
533 0.9% 85%  
534 1.3% 84%  
535 2% 83%  
536 3% 81%  
537 3% 77%  
538 2% 75%  
539 2% 72%  
540 0.7% 70%  
541 2% 70%  
542 2% 68%  
543 3% 66%  
544 2% 63%  
545 2% 61%  
546 2% 59%  
547 0.4% 57%  
548 0.7% 57%  
549 0.9% 56%  
550 1.0% 55%  
551 1.2% 54%  
552 1.3% 53%  
553 0.8% 52% Median
554 0.8% 51%  
555 0.5% 50%  
556 0.4% 50%  
557 0.7% 49%  
558 0.9% 49%  
559 1.1% 48%  
560 2% 47%  
561 2% 45%  
562 0.7% 42%  
563 0.5% 42%  
564 0.5% 41%  
565 1.2% 41%  
566 4% 39%  
567 3% 36%  
568 2% 33%  
569 2% 32%  
570 3% 30%  
571 2% 27%  
572 1.3% 26%  
573 1.1% 24%  
574 2% 23%  
575 5% 21%  
576 3% 16%  
577 1.1% 14%  
578 0.7% 13%  
579 0.6% 12%  
580 2% 11%  
581 3% 10%  
582 2% 7%  
583 0.6% 5%  
584 0.6% 4%  
585 0.4% 4%  
586 0.7% 3%  
587 0.8% 3%  
588 0.2% 2%  
589 0.3% 2%  
590 0.4% 1.4%  
591 0.3% 1.0%  
592 0.1% 0.7%  
593 0% 0.6%  
594 0% 0.5%  
595 0.1% 0.5%  
596 0.1% 0.3%  
597 0% 0.2%  
598 0% 0.2%  
599 0% 0.2%  
600 0% 0.2%  
601 0% 0.2%  
602 0% 0.1%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0.1%  
608 0% 0.1%  
609 0% 0.1%  
610 0% 0.1%  
611 0% 0.1%  
612 0% 0.1%  
613 0% 0.1%  
614 0% 0.1%  
615 0% 0.1%  
616 0% 0.1%  
617 0% 0.1%  
618 0% 0.1%  
619 0% 0.1%  
620 0% 0.1%  
621 0% 0.1%  
622 0% 0.1%  
623 0% 0.1%  
624 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.5%  
425 0.1% 99.4%  
426 0.2% 99.3%  
427 0.2% 99.1%  
428 0.2% 98.9%  
429 0.2% 98.7%  
430 0.3% 98%  
431 0.5% 98%  
432 0.4% 98%  
433 0.5% 97%  
434 0.5% 97%  
435 0.8% 96%  
436 1.2% 95% Median
437 0.8% 94%  
438 1.3% 93%  
439 1.0% 92%  
440 0.8% 91%  
441 2% 90%  
442 1.0% 88%  
443 2% 87%  
444 1.2% 85%  
445 3% 84%  
446 2% 81%  
447 2% 79%  
448 2% 77%  
449 3% 75%  
450 2% 73%  
451 2% 71%  
452 2% 69%  
453 2% 66%  
454 3% 64%  
455 3% 61%  
456 3% 58%  
457 3% 56%  
458 2% 53%  
459 3% 50%  
460 2% 47%  
461 4% 44%  
462 3% 41%  
463 2% 38%  
464 2% 36%  
465 2% 34%  
466 4% 31%  
467 3% 27%  
468 2% 24%  
469 1.3% 23%  
470 2% 22%  
471 3% 19%  
472 2% 16%  
473 1.3% 14%  
474 1.0% 13%  
475 1.2% 12%  
476 1.1% 11%  
477 2% 10%  
478 2% 8%  
479 0.4% 7%  
480 1.0% 6%  
481 0.6% 5%  
482 0.8% 5%  
483 0.5% 4%  
484 0.8% 3%  
485 0.5% 2%  
486 0.3% 2%  
487 0.3% 2%  
488 0.2% 1.4%  
489 0.3% 1.2%  
490 0.1% 0.9%  
491 0.1% 0.8%  
492 0.1% 0.6%  
493 0.1% 0.6%  
494 0.1% 0.5%  
495 0.1% 0.4%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.7%  
397 0.1% 99.6%  
398 0.1% 99.5%  
399 0.2% 99.4%  
400 0.2% 99.2%  
401 0.2% 99.0%  
402 0.3% 98.9%  
403 0.4% 98.6%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.7% 98%  
406 0.3% 97%  
407 0.6% 97%  
408 0.6% 96%  
409 0.8% 96%  
410 0.8% 95%  
411 0.6% 94%  
412 1.1% 93%  
413 1.2% 92%  
414 1.3% 91%  
415 1.0% 90%  
416 1.5% 89%  
417 2% 87%  
418 2% 86%  
419 1.1% 84%  
420 2% 83%  
421 2% 81%  
422 3% 80%  
423 2% 77%  
424 2% 75%  
425 1.2% 74%  
426 3% 72%  
427 2% 69%  
428 2% 68%  
429 1.2% 65%  
430 1.2% 64%  
431 3% 63%  
432 3% 61%  
433 1.2% 58%  
434 1.1% 57%  
435 2% 55%  
436 2% 53% Median
437 2% 51%  
438 2% 50%  
439 1.4% 48%  
440 2% 47%  
441 2% 45%  
442 2% 43%  
443 2% 41%  
444 1.5% 39%  
445 3% 37%  
446 2% 35%  
447 2% 33%  
448 2% 31%  
449 2% 29%  
450 1.2% 27%  
451 2% 26%  
452 2% 25%  
453 2% 23%  
454 2% 21%  
455 2% 18%  
456 0.9% 17%  
457 2% 16%  
458 1.4% 14%  
459 2% 12%  
460 1.4% 11%  
461 1.4% 10%  
462 1.0% 8%  
463 0.7% 7%  
464 1.2% 7%  
465 0.6% 5%  
466 1.1% 5%  
467 0.4% 4%  
468 0.4% 3%  
469 0.3% 3%  
470 0.4% 2%  
471 0.3% 2%  
472 0.4% 2%  
473 0.1% 1.3%  
474 0.2% 1.2%  
475 0.1% 1.0%  
476 0.1% 0.8%  
477 0.1% 0.7%  
478 0.2% 0.6%  
479 0% 0.4%  
480 0.1% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.3%  
482 0% 0.3%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.2% 99.6%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.1% 99.4%  
394 0.2% 99.2%  
395 0.2% 99.1%  
396 0.3% 98.9%  
397 0.2% 98.6%  
398 0.5% 98%  
399 0.3% 98%  
400 0.4% 98%  
401 0.5% 97%  
402 0.5% 97%  
403 1.1% 96%  
404 0.8% 95%  
405 0.9% 94% Median
406 0.8% 94%  
407 1.0% 93%  
408 2% 92%  
409 1.0% 90%  
410 1.0% 89%  
411 2% 88%  
412 1.4% 86%  
413 2% 85%  
414 2% 82%  
415 2% 81%  
416 3% 79%  
417 2% 76%  
418 2% 74%  
419 1.2% 72%  
420 3% 70%  
421 3% 68%  
422 2% 65%  
423 2% 63%  
424 2% 61%  
425 5% 58%  
426 1.5% 53%  
427 3% 52%  
428 2% 49%  
429 2% 47%  
430 2% 45%  
431 3% 43%  
432 2% 40%  
433 3% 38%  
434 2% 35%  
435 3% 33%  
436 2% 30%  
437 3% 28%  
438 2% 25%  
439 2% 22%  
440 2% 21%  
441 1.4% 19%  
442 2% 17%  
443 2% 15%  
444 2% 14%  
445 0.8% 12%  
446 3% 11%  
447 0.7% 9%  
448 1.5% 8%  
449 0.7% 6%  
450 0.8% 6%  
451 0.7% 5%  
452 0.7% 4%  
453 0.5% 4%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.5% 3%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.3% 2%  
458 0.3% 2%  
459 0.2% 1.2%  
460 0.2% 1.0%  
461 0.2% 0.9%  
462 0.1% 0.7%  
463 0.1% 0.6%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0.1% 0.4%  
466 0% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1% Last Result
480 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.5%  
369 0.2% 99.4%  
370 0.2% 99.2%  
371 0.3% 99.1%  
372 0.2% 98.8%  
373 0.4% 98.5%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.5% 98%  
376 0.3% 97%  
377 0.6% 97%  
378 0.9% 96%  
379 0.9% 95%  
380 0.6% 95%  
381 0.7% 94%  
382 1.4% 93%  
383 0.9% 92%  
384 1.2% 91%  
385 1.1% 90%  
386 2% 89%  
387 1.4% 86%  
388 1.4% 85%  
389 1.3% 84%  
390 3% 82%  
391 1.2% 80%  
392 1.5% 79%  
393 1.3% 77%  
394 1.3% 76%  
395 3% 75%  
396 2% 72%  
397 1.2% 70%  
398 3% 68%  
399 2% 65% Last Result
400 2% 63%  
401 1.3% 61%  
402 2% 60%  
403 2% 58%  
404 2% 56%  
405 1.5% 54% Median
406 2% 52%  
407 2% 50%  
408 3% 48%  
409 1.5% 46%  
410 1.5% 44%  
411 3% 43%  
412 2% 40%  
413 2% 39%  
414 2% 36%  
415 2% 35%  
416 3% 33%  
417 2% 30%  
418 2% 28%  
419 1.0% 26%  
420 2% 25%  
421 2% 23%  
422 1.2% 21%  
423 2% 20%  
424 1.3% 18%  
425 3% 17%  
426 0.8% 14%  
427 2% 13%  
428 1.2% 11%  
429 0.8% 10%  
430 1.3% 9%  
431 0.9% 8%  
432 0.6% 7%  
433 1.2% 7%  
434 0.7% 5%  
435 0.8% 5%  
436 0.5% 4%  
437 0.8% 3%  
438 0.4% 3%  
439 0.3% 2%  
440 0.3% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.3% 1.5%  
443 0.3% 1.2%  
444 0.1% 0.9%  
445 0.2% 0.7%  
446 0.1% 0.6%  
447 0.1% 0.5%  
448 0% 0.4%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0% 99.6%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.4%  
353 0.1% 99.3%  
354 0.2% 99.2%  
355 0.2% 99.0% Majority
356 0.2% 98.8%  
357 0.3% 98.6%  
358 0.2% 98%  
359 0.3% 98%  
360 1.0% 98%  
361 0.4% 97%  
362 0.4% 96%  
363 0.7% 96%  
364 0.8% 95%  
365 0.7% 95%  
366 2% 94% Median
367 0.6% 92%  
368 1.1% 91%  
369 2% 90%  
370 0.7% 88%  
371 2% 88%  
372 1.3% 86%  
373 1.1% 84%  
374 2% 83%  
375 1.2% 81%  
376 2% 80%  
377 2% 78%  
378 2% 76%  
379 2% 73%  
380 2% 72%  
381 2% 70%  
382 3% 68%  
383 2% 65%  
384 2% 64%  
385 3% 61%  
386 2% 58%  
387 2% 56%  
388 2% 54%  
389 3% 52%  
390 2% 49%  
391 2% 47%  
392 3% 45%  
393 3% 42%  
394 2% 39%  
395 2% 37%  
396 2% 34%  
397 2% 32%  
398 2% 30%  
399 2% 28%  
400 2% 26%  
401 2% 23%  
402 2% 21%  
403 1.2% 20%  
404 2% 18%  
405 2% 16%  
406 1.0% 14%  
407 1.2% 13%  
408 2% 12%  
409 0.9% 10%  
410 0.8% 9%  
411 1.2% 8%  
412 1.0% 7%  
413 0.7% 6%  
414 1.1% 5%  
415 0.5% 4%  
416 0.7% 4%  
417 0.4% 3%  
418 0.3% 3%  
419 0.4% 2%  
420 0.5% 2% Last Result
421 0.3% 1.4%  
422 0.1% 1.1%  
423 0.2% 1.0%  
424 0.1% 0.8%  
425 0.2% 0.7%  
426 0.1% 0.5%  
427 0.1% 0.5%  
428 0.1% 0.4%  
429 0% 0.3%  
430 0% 0.3%  
431 0.1% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.8%  
327 0.1% 99.8%  
328 0.1% 99.7%  
329 0.1% 99.7%  
330 0.1% 99.6%  
331 0.1% 99.5%  
332 0.1% 99.3%  
333 0.2% 99.2%  
334 0.2% 99.0%  
335 0.4% 98.8%  
336 0.2% 98%  
337 0.4% 98%  
338 0.4% 98%  
339 0.5% 97%  
340 0.7% 97% Last Result
341 0.6% 96%  
342 0.7% 96%  
343 0.7% 95%  
344 2% 94%  
345 0.8% 93%  
346 1.0% 92%  
347 1.4% 91%  
348 1.3% 89%  
349 2% 88%  
350 2% 87%  
351 2% 85%  
352 2% 83%  
353 1.2% 81%  
354 2% 79%  
355 1.4% 77% Majority
356 2% 76%  
357 2% 74%  
358 2% 71%  
359 2% 70%  
360 3% 67%  
361 0.8% 64%  
362 2% 63%  
363 3% 62%  
364 2% 59%  
365 2% 57%  
366 2% 55% Median
367 2% 53%  
368 3% 51%  
369 2% 48%  
370 2% 46%  
371 3% 44%  
372 2% 42%  
373 2% 40%  
374 2% 38%  
375 2% 36%  
376 2% 34%  
377 2% 32%  
378 2% 29%  
379 2% 27%  
380 1.1% 25%  
381 2% 24%  
382 3% 23%  
383 1.0% 20%  
384 2% 19%  
385 3% 17%  
386 0.8% 15%  
387 1.3% 14%  
388 2% 12%  
389 0.9% 11%  
390 1.2% 10%  
391 1.1% 9%  
392 0.7% 8%  
393 0.8% 7%  
394 1.3% 6%  
395 0.4% 5%  
396 0.7% 5%  
397 0.4% 4%  
398 0.3% 3%  
399 0.6% 3%  
400 0.5% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.3% 2%  
403 0.2% 1.3%  
404 0.3% 1.1%  
405 0.1% 0.8%  
406 0.1% 0.7%  
407 0.1% 0.6%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0.1% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0.1% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.1% 99.5%  
284 0.2% 99.5%  
285 0.1% 99.3%  
286 0.2% 99.2%  
287 0.1% 99.0%  
288 0.3% 98.9%  
289 0.5% 98.6% Last Result
290 0.4% 98%  
291 0.3% 98%  
292 0.4% 97%  
293 0.7% 97%  
294 0.5% 96%  
295 1.1% 96%  
296 0.7% 95%  
297 1.0% 94%  
298 1.2% 93%  
299 0.8% 92%  
300 0.9% 91%  
301 2% 90%  
302 1.2% 88%  
303 1.0% 87%  
304 2% 86%  
305 2% 84%  
306 1.2% 82%  
307 2% 80%  
308 2% 79%  
309 2% 77%  
310 2% 74%  
311 2% 72%  
312 2% 70%  
313 2% 68%  
314 2% 66%  
315 2% 63%  
316 3% 61%  
317 3% 58%  
318 2% 55%  
319 2% 53% Median
320 3% 51%  
321 2% 48%  
322 2% 46%  
323 2% 44%  
324 3% 42%  
325 2% 39%  
326 2% 36%  
327 3% 35%  
328 2% 32%  
329 2% 30%  
330 2% 28%  
331 2% 27%  
332 2% 24%  
333 2% 22%  
334 1.2% 20%  
335 2% 19%  
336 1.1% 17%  
337 1.3% 16%  
338 2% 14%  
339 0.7% 12%  
340 2% 12%  
341 1.1% 10%  
342 0.6% 9%  
343 2% 8%  
344 0.7% 6%  
345 0.8% 5%  
346 0.7% 5%  
347 0.4% 4%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 1.0% 3%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.2% 2%  
352 0.3% 2%  
353 0.2% 1.4%  
354 0.2% 1.2%  
355 0.2% 1.0% Majority
356 0.1% 0.8%  
357 0.1% 0.7%  
358 0.1% 0.6%  
359 0% 0.4%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.1% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0.2% 99.5%  
273 0.2% 99.3%  
274 0.2% 99.1%  
275 0.2% 98.9%  
276 0.2% 98.7%  
277 0.3% 98.6%  
278 0.6% 98%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.8% 97%  
281 0.6% 97%  
282 0.9% 96%  
283 0.6% 95%  
284 0.7% 95%  
285 0.4% 94%  
286 1.2% 93%  
287 2% 92%  
288 0.9% 91% Median
289 1.4% 90%  
290 2% 88%  
291 0.9% 87%  
292 2% 86%  
293 2% 84%  
294 2% 82%  
295 2% 80%  
296 2% 78%  
297 2% 77%  
298 1.3% 74%  
299 2% 73%  
300 2% 71%  
301 2% 69%  
302 2% 67%  
303 2% 65%  
304 2% 63%  
305 2% 61%  
306 2% 59%  
307 2% 57%  
308 2% 55%  
309 2% 53%  
310 1.5% 51%  
311 2% 50%  
312 2% 48%  
313 2% 46%  
314 2% 44%  
315 3% 42%  
316 2% 39%  
317 1.4% 37%  
318 2% 36%  
319 2% 34%  
320 3% 32%  
321 2% 28%  
322 1.5% 27%  
323 2% 25%  
324 1.4% 24%  
325 2% 22%  
326 2% 20% Last Result
327 2% 19%  
328 2% 17%  
329 2% 15%  
330 0.8% 13%  
331 0.9% 12%  
332 1.0% 11%  
333 2% 10%  
334 1.3% 8%  
335 0.5% 6%  
336 0.7% 6%  
337 0.5% 5%  
338 0.8% 5%  
339 0.7% 4%  
340 0.6% 3%  
341 0.3% 3%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.4% 2%  
345 0.2% 1.4%  
346 0.2% 1.2%  
347 0.2% 1.0%  
348 0.1% 0.8%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0.1% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.7%  
246 0.1% 99.6%  
247 0.1% 99.5%  
248 0.1% 99.4%  
249 0.2% 99.3%  
250 0.1% 99.1%  
251 0.3% 98.9%  
252 0.3% 98.7%  
253 0.3% 98%  
254 0.4% 98%  
255 0.5% 98%  
256 0.8% 97%  
257 0.6% 96%  
258 0.8% 96%  
259 0.6% 95%  
260 1.3% 94%  
261 0.9% 93%  
262 0.8% 92%  
263 1.4% 91%  
264 1.1% 90%  
265 1.2% 89% Median
266 1.3% 88%  
267 2% 86%  
268 1.1% 84%  
269 1.3% 83%  
270 1.2% 82%  
271 3% 80%  
272 1.4% 78%  
273 2% 76%  
274 2% 75%  
275 2% 72%  
276 2% 70%  
277 2% 68%  
278 1.1% 66%  
279 2% 65%  
280 2% 63%  
281 2% 61%  
282 1.2% 59%  
283 2% 58%  
284 2% 56%  
285 2% 54%  
286 1.2% 52%  
287 2% 50%  
288 2% 48%  
289 2% 46%  
290 2% 45%  
291 2% 42%  
292 1.4% 40%  
293 2% 39%  
294 3% 37%  
295 1.1% 34%  
296 1.3% 33%  
297 2% 32%  
298 1.4% 30%  
299 2% 28%  
300 1.0% 26% Last Result
301 3% 25%  
302 3% 22%  
303 1.1% 19%  
304 2% 18%  
305 2% 16%  
306 1.1% 15%  
307 2% 14%  
308 1.0% 11%  
309 1.3% 10%  
310 1.1% 9%  
311 1.0% 8%  
312 1.0% 7%  
313 0.7% 6%  
314 0.9% 5%  
315 0.5% 4%  
316 0.8% 4%  
317 0.4% 3%  
318 0.3% 3%  
319 0.6% 2%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0.2% 1.4%  
322 0.2% 1.3%  
323 0.2% 1.1%  
324 0.2% 0.9%  
325 0.2% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.5%  
327 0.1% 0.5%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0.1% 0.3%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.1% 99.7%  
232 0.1% 99.5%  
233 0.2% 99.4%  
234 0.2% 99.2%  
235 0.3% 99.0%  
236 0.3% 98.8%  
237 0.5% 98.5%  
238 0.3% 98%  
239 0.3% 98%  
240 0.7% 97%  
241 0.6% 97%  
242 0.8% 96%  
243 0.5% 95%  
244 1.0% 95%  
245 1.0% 94%  
246 1.0% 93%  
247 1.3% 92%  
248 1.2% 91%  
249 2% 89%  
250 3% 88%  
251 2% 85%  
252 2% 83%  
253 2% 82%  
254 2% 80%  
255 3% 78%  
256 2% 75%  
257 2% 73%  
258 3% 71%  
259 2% 69%  
260 3% 66%  
261 2% 63%  
262 3% 60%  
263 2% 58%  
264 4% 55%  
265 2% 52% Median
266 3% 49%  
267 3% 47%  
268 3% 43%  
269 2% 40%  
270 2% 38%  
271 3% 36%  
272 2% 33%  
273 3% 31%  
274 2% 29%  
275 3% 26%  
276 2% 24%  
277 2% 22%  
278 1.2% 20%  
279 2% 19%  
280 2% 16%  
281 2% 15%  
282 1.0% 13%  
283 2% 12%  
284 1.0% 10%  
285 2% 9%  
286 0.7% 7%  
287 1.0% 7%  
288 0.6% 6%  
289 0.8% 5%  
290 0.5% 4%  
291 0.5% 4%  
292 0.4% 3%  
293 0.3% 3%  
294 0.7% 3%  
295 0.3% 2%  
296 0.2% 2%  
297 0.2% 1.4%  
298 0.2% 1.1%  
299 0.2% 0.9%  
300 0.2% 0.7%  
301 0.1% 0.6%  
302 0% 0.4%  
303 0.1% 0.4%  
304 0.1% 0.3%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0.1% 99.6%  
141 0.1% 99.6%  
142 0.1% 99.5%  
143 0.1% 99.4%  
144 0.1% 99.3%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.2% 99.1%  
147 0.4% 98.9%  
148 0.3% 98.5%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.6% 98%  
151 0.7% 97%  
152 0.4% 97%  
153 0.9% 96%  
154 1.3% 95%  
155 0.9% 94%  
156 1.1% 93%  
157 1.5% 92%  
158 3% 90%  
159 2% 88%  
160 2% 86%  
161 3% 84%  
162 2% 81%  
163 3% 79%  
164 4% 76%  
165 2% 72%  
166 3% 70%  
167 4% 68%  
168 3% 64%  
169 3% 61%  
170 2% 58%  
171 4% 55% Median
172 2% 51%  
173 4% 49%  
174 4% 45%  
175 2% 41%  
176 4% 38%  
177 4% 35%  
178 2% 31%  
179 2% 28%  
180 4% 27%  
181 2% 22%  
182 2% 21%  
183 2% 19%  
184 3% 17%  
185 2% 14%  
186 2% 13%  
187 2% 11%  
188 0.9% 9%  
189 1.4% 8%  
190 1.3% 6%  
191 0.6% 5%  
192 0.6% 5%  
193 1.0% 4%  
194 0.6% 3%  
195 0.3% 2%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.5% 2%  
198 0.3% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 1.1%  
200 0.2% 0.9%  
201 0.1% 0.7%  
202 0.2% 0.6%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.1% 99.6%  
102 0.3% 99.5%  
103 0.3% 99.2%  
104 0.2% 98.9%  
105 0.9% 98.8%  
106 0.4% 98%  
107 0.8% 98%  
108 1.2% 97%  
109 0.3% 96%  
110 2% 95%  
111 0.9% 93%  
112 1.4% 92%  
113 1.4% 91%  
114 0.7% 89%  
115 2% 89%  
116 3% 87%  
117 1.1% 84% Median
118 3% 83%  
119 2% 80%  
120 2% 78%  
121 3% 76%  
122 0.9% 72%  
123 3% 71%  
124 3% 68%  
125 0.8% 66%  
126 4% 65%  
127 0.5% 61%  
128 2% 61%  
129 2% 59%  
130 0.6% 57%  
131 2% 57%  
132 0.9% 55%  
133 0.6% 54%  
134 1.1% 53%  
135 0.7% 52%  
136 0.8% 52%  
137 0.8% 51%  
138 0.7% 50%  
139 0.6% 49%  
140 0.3% 49%  
141 0.7% 49%  
142 1.2% 48%  
143 1.1% 47%  
144 0.3% 45%  
145 0.6% 45%  
146 2% 45%  
147 3% 42%  
148 1.1% 39%  
149 0.1% 38%  
150 0.9% 38%  
151 4% 37%  
152 4% 33%  
153 0.4% 29%  
154 0.2% 29%  
155 2% 29%  
156 4% 27%  
157 3% 23%  
158 0.5% 20%  
159 0.5% 19%  
160 3% 19%  
161 3% 16%  
162 2% 12%  
163 0.2% 10%  
164 0.7% 10%  
165 2% 10%  
166 2% 7%  
167 0.3% 5%  
168 0.1% 5%  
169 0.5% 5%  
170 1.2% 4%  
171 0.9% 3%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.1% 2%  
174 0.4% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.3%  
176 0.2% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.5%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations