Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 10–12 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.5–31.7% 28.1–32.2% 27.7–32.6% 26.9–33.4%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.6–21.4% 18.2–21.8% 17.9–22.2% 17.3–22.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.8–17.4% 14.5–17.8% 14.2–18.1% 13.6–18.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.6–10.6% 7.1–11.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.7–8.5% 5.4–9.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.9% 6.1–7.9% 5.9–8.2% 5.7–8.4% 5.3–8.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 232 217–248 213–251 210–255 204–261
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 154 142–167 139–171 136–174 131–179
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 124 113–135 110–139 108–142 104–147
Alternative für Deutschland 94 70 62–78 60–80 58–83 55–87
Die Linke 69 54 47–61 45–64 44–66 41–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 54 47–61 45–63 43–65 40–69
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 0 0–44 0–45 0–47 0–50

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.7%  
204 0.1% 99.6%  
205 0.1% 99.5%  
206 0.2% 99.4%  
207 0.3% 99.2%  
208 0.4% 98.9%  
209 0.4% 98%  
210 0.7% 98%  
211 0.6% 97%  
212 1.0% 97%  
213 1.0% 96%  
214 0.8% 95%  
215 2% 94%  
216 2% 92%  
217 2% 90%  
218 2% 88%  
219 2% 86%  
220 3% 84%  
221 3% 81%  
222 2% 78%  
223 2% 76%  
224 2% 74%  
225 4% 72%  
226 2% 68%  
227 2% 66%  
228 2% 64%  
229 3% 62%  
230 3% 59%  
231 3% 56%  
232 3% 52% Median
233 4% 50%  
234 4% 45%  
235 3% 41%  
236 3% 38%  
237 2% 35%  
238 5% 33%  
239 3% 28%  
240 2% 25%  
241 2% 24%  
242 4% 22%  
243 2% 18%  
244 1.1% 16%  
245 1.0% 15%  
246 3% 14%  
247 2% 12%  
248 0.9% 10%  
249 0.7% 9%  
250 2% 9%  
251 2% 7%  
252 0.9% 5%  
253 0.4% 4%  
254 0.5% 4%  
255 0.8% 3%  
256 0.8% 2%  
257 0.3% 2%  
258 0.2% 1.3%  
259 0.3% 1.1%  
260 0.3% 0.9%  
261 0.1% 0.6%  
262 0.1% 0.5%  
263 0.1% 0.4%  
264 0.1% 0.3%  
265 0.1% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.2%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.2% 99.7%  
132 0.3% 99.5%  
133 0.3% 99.2%  
134 0.6% 98.9%  
135 0.4% 98%  
136 0.5% 98%  
137 1.0% 97%  
138 0.8% 96%  
139 1.1% 96%  
140 1.1% 94%  
141 2% 93%  
142 2% 91%  
143 1.0% 90%  
144 3% 88%  
145 3% 85%  
146 2% 82%  
147 4% 80%  
148 3% 76%  
149 3% 73%  
150 5% 70%  
151 4% 65%  
152 4% 61%  
153 3% 57%  
154 5% 54% Median
155 5% 49%  
156 3% 45%  
157 4% 42%  
158 3% 37%  
159 4% 34%  
160 3% 30%  
161 4% 28%  
162 3% 24%  
163 3% 21%  
164 2% 18%  
165 3% 15%  
166 2% 13%  
167 2% 11%  
168 2% 9%  
169 1.0% 7%  
170 0.8% 6%  
171 0.9% 5%  
172 0.7% 4%  
173 0.8% 4%  
174 0.5% 3%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.7% 2%  
177 0.2% 1.1%  
178 0.3% 0.8%  
179 0.1% 0.5%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.7%  
104 0.3% 99.5%  
105 0.4% 99.3%  
106 0.3% 98.9%  
107 0.7% 98.5%  
108 0.6% 98%  
109 0.8% 97%  
110 2% 96%  
111 1.2% 95%  
112 2% 94%  
113 2% 92%  
114 3% 89%  
115 3% 86%  
116 3% 83%  
117 3% 80%  
118 3% 78%  
119 4% 74%  
120 4% 71%  
121 4% 67%  
122 4% 63%  
123 4% 58%  
124 5% 54% Median
125 5% 49%  
126 5% 44%  
127 5% 39%  
128 4% 34%  
129 3% 31%  
130 4% 27%  
131 4% 23%  
132 3% 19%  
133 2% 16%  
134 2% 13%  
135 2% 12%  
136 1.4% 9%  
137 2% 8%  
138 1.0% 6%  
139 1.0% 5%  
140 0.7% 4%  
141 0.8% 3%  
142 0.7% 3%  
143 0.6% 2%  
144 0.3% 1.2%  
145 0.2% 1.0%  
146 0.2% 0.8%  
147 0.2% 0.6%  
148 0.1% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.5% 99.5%  
56 0.5% 99.1%  
57 0.7% 98.6%  
58 1.2% 98%  
59 1.4% 97%  
60 2% 95%  
61 2% 93%  
62 2% 90%  
63 4% 88%  
64 4% 84%  
65 6% 80%  
66 5% 74%  
67 6% 69%  
68 6% 63%  
69 7% 57%  
70 7% 51% Median
71 5% 44%  
72 4% 38%  
73 6% 34%  
74 5% 28%  
75 5% 24%  
76 4% 19%  
77 3% 15%  
78 3% 12%  
79 2% 9%  
80 2% 7%  
81 1.4% 5%  
82 0.9% 4%  
83 0.7% 3%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 0.5% 1.5%  
86 0.3% 0.9%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.6%  
42 0.4% 99.4%  
43 0.7% 99.0%  
44 1.3% 98%  
45 2% 97%  
46 3% 95%  
47 4% 92%  
48 4% 88%  
49 4% 84%  
50 7% 80%  
51 7% 73%  
52 8% 66%  
53 5% 59%  
54 5% 53% Median
55 7% 49%  
56 7% 41%  
57 6% 34%  
58 4% 29%  
59 5% 24%  
60 4% 20%  
61 6% 16%  
62 3% 10%  
63 2% 7%  
64 2% 5%  
65 0.9% 4%  
66 1.2% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.4% 1.1%  
69 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.3% 99.5%  
42 0.9% 99.2%  
43 0.9% 98%  
44 1.2% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 3% 94% Last Result
47 4% 91%  
48 4% 87%  
49 6% 83%  
50 6% 77%  
51 5% 71%  
52 7% 65%  
53 7% 59%  
54 7% 52% Median
55 6% 45%  
56 8% 39%  
57 7% 32%  
58 5% 24%  
59 3% 19%  
60 4% 16%  
61 3% 12%  
62 2% 9%  
63 1.4% 6%  
64 1.2% 5%  
65 1.4% 4%  
66 0.8% 2%  
67 0.4% 1.5%  
68 0.3% 1.1%  
69 0.3% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 0% 49%  
8 0% 49%  
9 0% 49%  
10 0% 49%  
11 0% 49%  
12 0% 49%  
13 0% 49%  
14 0% 49%  
15 0% 49%  
16 0% 49%  
17 0% 49%  
18 0% 49%  
19 0% 49%  
20 0% 49%  
21 0% 49%  
22 0% 49%  
23 0% 49%  
24 0% 49%  
25 0% 49%  
26 0% 49%  
27 0% 49%  
28 0% 49%  
29 0% 49%  
30 0% 49%  
31 0% 49%  
32 0% 49%  
33 0% 49%  
34 0% 49%  
35 0% 49%  
36 0% 49%  
37 0.3% 49%  
38 5% 49%  
39 8% 43%  
40 8% 36%  
41 7% 27%  
42 6% 20%  
43 4% 15%  
44 3% 10%  
45 2% 7%  
46 1.5% 5%  
47 1.4% 4%  
48 0.9% 2%  
49 0.6% 1.3%  
50 0.3% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 566 100% 541–588 537–591 534–594 528–599
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 461 100% 445–477 440–480 437–483 430–490
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 440 100% 419–462 415–466 411–470 405–476
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 430 100% 413–448 409–452 406–455 398–462
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 410 100% 389–431 385–435 381–439 375–445
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 376 94% 357–396 353–399 350–403 342–409
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 356 55% 336–375 332–380 330–383 323–389
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 333 6% 313–352 310–356 306–359 300–367
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 307 0% 286–328 281–331 280–335 272–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 299 0% 278–320 273–324 270–327 264–334
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 279 0% 261–296 257–300 254–303 248–309
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 179 0% 165–192 162–196 159–199 153–205
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 143 0% 122–169 118–171 115–175 110–181

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 100%  
519 0% 100%  
520 0% 100%  
521 0% 100%  
522 0% 100%  
523 0% 99.9%  
524 0% 99.9%  
525 0.1% 99.9%  
526 0.1% 99.8%  
527 0.1% 99.8%  
528 0.2% 99.6%  
529 0.1% 99.5%  
530 0.2% 99.3%  
531 0.3% 99.1%  
532 0.5% 98.8%  
533 0.3% 98%  
534 0.5% 98%  
535 0.9% 97%  
536 0.9% 97%  
537 0.8% 96%  
538 1.3% 95%  
539 1.3% 93%  
540 2% 92%  
541 1.1% 90%  
542 2% 89%  
543 2% 87%  
544 3% 85%  
545 2% 82%  
546 2% 81%  
547 2% 79%  
548 3% 76%  
549 2% 73%  
550 2% 70%  
551 2% 69%  
552 3% 67%  
553 2% 64%  
554 2% 62%  
555 2% 61%  
556 2% 58%  
557 1.0% 57%  
558 1.1% 56%  
559 1.0% 55%  
560 0.8% 54%  
561 0.5% 53%  
562 0.5% 52%  
563 0.6% 52%  
564 0.5% 51% Median
565 0.6% 51%  
566 0.5% 50%  
567 0.7% 50%  
568 0.9% 49%  
569 0.7% 48%  
570 0.8% 47%  
571 1.3% 47%  
572 1.3% 45%  
573 2% 44%  
574 2% 42%  
575 1.4% 40%  
576 3% 39%  
577 2% 36%  
578 2% 34%  
579 3% 32%  
580 2% 29%  
581 2% 27%  
582 3% 25%  
583 3% 22%  
584 2% 19%  
585 2% 17%  
586 3% 15%  
587 2% 12%  
588 2% 10%  
589 2% 9%  
590 0.9% 7%  
591 1.4% 6%  
592 0.8% 4%  
593 0.8% 4%  
594 0.6% 3%  
595 0.6% 2%  
596 0.4% 2%  
597 0.3% 1.2%  
598 0.3% 0.9%  
599 0.1% 0.6%  
600 0.2% 0.5%  
601 0.1% 0.3%  
602 0.1% 0.2%  
603 0% 0.2%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0.1% 99.8%  
428 0.1% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.7%  
430 0.1% 99.6%  
431 0.1% 99.5%  
432 0.3% 99.4%  
433 0.2% 99.1%  
434 0.2% 98.9%  
435 0.4% 98.7%  
436 0.5% 98%  
437 0.6% 98%  
438 1.0% 97%  
439 0.6% 96%  
440 1.1% 96% Median
441 0.7% 94%  
442 0.9% 94%  
443 1.5% 93%  
444 0.7% 91%  
445 2% 91%  
446 2% 89%  
447 2% 87%  
448 2% 85%  
449 2% 83%  
450 3% 81%  
451 3% 78%  
452 2% 75%  
453 3% 73%  
454 3% 70%  
455 3% 67%  
456 3% 65%  
457 3% 62%  
458 3% 59%  
459 4% 56%  
460 2% 53%  
461 3% 51%  
462 3% 48%  
463 2% 44%  
464 2% 42%  
465 3% 40%  
466 2% 36%  
467 2% 35%  
468 4% 32%  
469 3% 28%  
470 3% 26%  
471 2% 23%  
472 3% 21%  
473 2% 18%  
474 2% 16%  
475 2% 14%  
476 1.4% 12%  
477 1.2% 11%  
478 2% 9%  
479 2% 8%  
480 0.8% 6%  
481 0.8% 5%  
482 0.8% 4%  
483 0.8% 3%  
484 0.4% 2%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.4% 2%  
487 0.4% 1.4%  
488 0.2% 1.0%  
489 0.2% 0.8%  
490 0.2% 0.6%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.6%  
405 0.1% 99.5%  
406 0.2% 99.4%  
407 0.2% 99.2%  
408 0.3% 99.0%  
409 0.3% 98.6%  
410 0.6% 98%  
411 0.5% 98%  
412 0.6% 97%  
413 1.1% 97%  
414 0.5% 96%  
415 1.2% 95%  
416 1.3% 94%  
417 0.7% 93%  
418 1.2% 92%  
419 2% 91%  
420 1.4% 88%  
421 1.3% 87%  
422 2% 86%  
423 2% 84%  
424 1.4% 83%  
425 2% 81%  
426 1.5% 79%  
427 3% 78%  
428 1.5% 75%  
429 2% 73%  
430 3% 71%  
431 2% 68%  
432 2% 66%  
433 2% 65%  
434 2% 62%  
435 2% 60%  
436 1.4% 58%  
437 2% 57%  
438 2% 55%  
439 2% 54%  
440 2% 52% Median
441 2% 50%  
442 1.3% 48%  
443 2% 46%  
444 0.8% 44%  
445 2% 43%  
446 2% 42%  
447 2% 39%  
448 2% 37%  
449 2% 35%  
450 2% 34%  
451 3% 31%  
452 2% 29%  
453 3% 27%  
454 2% 24%  
455 2% 22%  
456 2% 20%  
457 1.5% 18%  
458 2% 17%  
459 2% 15%  
460 1.0% 13%  
461 2% 12%  
462 2% 10%  
463 0.8% 8%  
464 1.0% 7%  
465 1.0% 6%  
466 0.6% 5%  
467 0.5% 5%  
468 0.6% 4%  
469 1.0% 4%  
470 0.5% 3%  
471 0.6% 2%  
472 0.3% 1.5%  
473 0.2% 1.2%  
474 0.3% 1.0%  
475 0.1% 0.7%  
476 0.1% 0.6%  
477 0.1% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.8%  
398 0.2% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.5%  
400 0.1% 99.4%  
401 0.1% 99.3%  
402 0.3% 99.1%  
403 0.4% 98.8%  
404 0.4% 98%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.6% 98%  
407 0.7% 97%  
408 1.1% 96%  
409 1.1% 95%  
410 0.8% 94% Median
411 1.3% 93%  
412 1.0% 92%  
413 2% 91%  
414 2% 89%  
415 1.1% 87%  
416 0.9% 86%  
417 2% 85%  
418 4% 83%  
419 2% 79%  
420 2% 78%  
421 2% 76%  
422 2% 74%  
423 3% 72%  
424 3% 69%  
425 2% 65%  
426 2% 63%  
427 3% 62%  
428 4% 59%  
429 3% 55%  
430 2% 52%  
431 2% 50%  
432 3% 48%  
433 3% 45%  
434 3% 41%  
435 3% 38%  
436 2% 36%  
437 2% 34%  
438 3% 31%  
439 2% 29%  
440 2% 26%  
441 2% 24%  
442 3% 22%  
443 2% 18%  
444 2% 16%  
445 1.4% 15%  
446 1.4% 13%  
447 1.2% 12%  
448 2% 11%  
449 2% 9%  
450 0.6% 7%  
451 0.5% 6%  
452 1.3% 6%  
453 1.1% 4%  
454 0.5% 3%  
455 0.3% 3%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.6% 2%  
458 0.4% 1.4%  
459 0.2% 1.0%  
460 0.2% 0.8%  
461 0.1% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0.1% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0.1% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.2% 99.6%  
376 0.1% 99.4%  
377 0.3% 99.3%  
378 0.3% 99.0%  
379 0.2% 98.7%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.8% 98%  
382 0.8% 97%  
383 0.5% 97%  
384 0.7% 96%  
385 1.1% 95%  
386 1.1% 94%  
387 1.3% 93%  
388 1.3% 92%  
389 1.2% 91%  
390 1.0% 89%  
391 2% 88%  
392 2% 86%  
393 1.3% 84%  
394 1.5% 83%  
395 2% 81%  
396 2% 80%  
397 3% 77%  
398 2% 74%  
399 2% 73% Last Result
400 2% 71%  
401 1.3% 69%  
402 3% 68%  
403 2% 65%  
404 1.2% 63%  
405 2% 62%  
406 2% 60%  
407 3% 58%  
408 2% 55%  
409 2% 53%  
410 1.5% 51% Median
411 2% 50%  
412 2% 47%  
413 3% 45%  
414 2% 43%  
415 1.3% 41%  
416 1.1% 39%  
417 2% 38%  
418 4% 36%  
419 2% 32%  
420 2% 31%  
421 2% 29%  
422 1.4% 27%  
423 3% 26%  
424 2% 23%  
425 2% 20%  
426 1.2% 19%  
427 1.3% 17%  
428 3% 16%  
429 2% 13%  
430 0.9% 12%  
431 1.2% 11%  
432 1.3% 9%  
433 1.0% 8%  
434 1.3% 7%  
435 1.3% 6%  
436 0.7% 4%  
437 0.5% 4%  
438 0.4% 3%  
439 0.7% 3%  
440 0.5% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.2% 1.5%  
443 0.2% 1.2%  
444 0.4% 1.0%  
445 0.2% 0.6%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0.1% 0.3%  
448 0.1% 0.3%  
449 0.1% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.1% 99.5%  
343 0.1% 99.4%  
344 0.1% 99.4%  
345 0.2% 99.2%  
346 0.2% 99.1%  
347 0.1% 98.8%  
348 0.2% 98.7%  
349 0.5% 98.5%  
350 0.7% 98%  
351 1.2% 97%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 0.7% 96%  
354 0.9% 95%  
355 3% 94% Majority
356 1.3% 91% Median
357 1.1% 90%  
358 1.2% 89%  
359 2% 88%  
360 2% 86%  
361 4% 84%  
362 2% 80%  
363 1.2% 78%  
364 1.1% 77%  
365 2% 76%  
366 2% 74%  
367 2% 72%  
368 1.2% 70%  
369 1.4% 68%  
370 3% 67%  
371 2% 64%  
372 1.4% 62%  
373 2% 61%  
374 4% 59%  
375 3% 55%  
376 4% 52%  
377 3% 48%  
378 2% 45%  
379 3% 44%  
380 3% 41%  
381 3% 38%  
382 3% 35%  
383 3% 32%  
384 1.3% 29%  
385 2% 28%  
386 2% 26%  
387 2% 24%  
388 2% 22%  
389 1.5% 21%  
390 1.2% 19%  
391 2% 18%  
392 1.0% 16%  
393 1.2% 15%  
394 2% 14%  
395 1.4% 12%  
396 1.3% 11%  
397 2% 10%  
398 2% 7%  
399 1.1% 6%  
400 0.8% 5%  
401 0.7% 4%  
402 0.5% 3%  
403 0.6% 3%  
404 0.4% 2%  
405 0.6% 2%  
406 0.3% 1.1%  
407 0.2% 0.8%  
408 0.1% 0.6%  
409 0.1% 0.5%  
410 0.1% 0.4%  
411 0.1% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.8%  
319 0% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0.2% 99.4%  
325 0.2% 99.2%  
326 0.3% 99.0%  
327 0.3% 98.7%  
328 0.4% 98%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.8% 98%  
331 0.9% 97%  
332 1.1% 96%  
333 1.0% 95%  
334 1.1% 94%  
335 3% 93%  
336 2% 90%  
337 1.4% 88%  
338 2% 87%  
339 1.4% 85%  
340 3% 84% Last Result
341 2% 81%  
342 2% 79%  
343 2% 77%  
344 1.0% 75%  
345 1.1% 74%  
346 2% 73%  
347 2% 71%  
348 1.2% 69%  
349 2% 68%  
350 2% 66%  
351 2% 64%  
352 1.4% 62%  
353 2% 60%  
354 4% 59%  
355 4% 55% Majority
356 3% 51% Median
357 2% 48%  
358 3% 46%  
359 3% 44%  
360 3% 41%  
361 4% 38%  
362 2% 34%  
363 1.4% 31%  
364 1.3% 30%  
365 2% 29%  
366 2% 26%  
367 2% 24%  
368 1.0% 22%  
369 0.9% 21%  
370 3% 20%  
371 1.3% 18%  
372 0.6% 16%  
373 1.3% 16%  
374 3% 14%  
375 2% 12%  
376 2% 10%  
377 0.9% 8%  
378 0.6% 7%  
379 1.2% 7%  
380 0.8% 5%  
381 0.9% 4%  
382 0.9% 4%  
383 0.3% 3%  
384 0.3% 2%  
385 0.6% 2%  
386 0.4% 1.3%  
387 0.2% 0.9%  
388 0.1% 0.7%  
389 0.1% 0.6%  
390 0.1% 0.4%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.3%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.8%  
298 0.1% 99.8%  
299 0.1% 99.7%  
300 0.1% 99.6%  
301 0.1% 99.5%  
302 0.2% 99.4%  
303 0.3% 99.2%  
304 0.6% 98.9%  
305 0.4% 98%  
306 0.6% 98%  
307 0.5% 97%  
308 0.7% 97%  
309 0.8% 96%  
310 1.1% 95%  
311 2% 94%  
312 2% 93%  
313 1.3% 90%  
314 1.4% 89%  
315 2% 88%  
316 1.2% 86%  
317 1.0% 85%  
318 2% 84%  
319 1.2% 82%  
320 1.5% 81%  
321 2% 79%  
322 2% 78%  
323 2% 76%  
324 2% 74%  
325 1.3% 72%  
326 3% 71%  
327 3% 68%  
328 3% 65%  
329 3% 62%  
330 3% 59%  
331 2% 56%  
332 3% 55% Median
333 4% 52%  
334 3% 48%  
335 4% 45%  
336 2% 41%  
337 1.4% 39%  
338 2% 38%  
339 3% 36%  
340 1.4% 33%  
341 1.2% 32%  
342 2% 30%  
343 2% 28%  
344 2% 26%  
345 1.1% 24%  
346 1.2% 23%  
347 2% 22%  
348 4% 20%  
349 2% 16%  
350 2% 14%  
351 1.2% 12%  
352 1.1% 11%  
353 1.3% 10%  
354 3% 9%  
355 0.9% 6% Majority
356 0.7% 5%  
357 0.6% 4%  
358 1.2% 4%  
359 0.7% 3%  
360 0.5% 2%  
361 0.2% 1.5%  
362 0.1% 1.3%  
363 0.2% 1.2%  
364 0.2% 0.9%  
365 0.1% 0.8%  
366 0.1% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.6%  
368 0.1% 0.5%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 0% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.5%  
273 0.2% 99.5%  
274 0.2% 99.2%  
275 0.4% 99.1%  
276 0.1% 98.7%  
277 0.1% 98.7%  
278 0.3% 98.5%  
279 0.7% 98%  
280 3% 98%  
281 0.8% 95%  
282 0.4% 94%  
283 0.9% 94%  
284 0.7% 93%  
285 2% 92%  
286 4% 90% Median
287 2% 86%  
288 1.5% 84%  
289 1.0% 83%  
290 1.1% 82%  
291 3% 81%  
292 4% 77%  
293 0.8% 73%  
294 1.5% 73%  
295 0.5% 71%  
296 0.9% 71%  
297 1.2% 70%  
298 3% 69%  
299 2% 65%  
300 0.7% 64%  
301 1.0% 63%  
302 1.2% 62%  
303 4% 61%  
304 2% 57%  
305 2% 55%  
306 2% 52%  
307 2% 50%  
308 2% 48%  
309 2% 46%  
310 3% 44%  
311 2% 41%  
312 4% 39%  
313 3% 35%  
314 1.3% 32%  
315 2% 31%  
316 1.5% 28%  
317 1.1% 27%  
318 3% 26%  
319 1.5% 23%  
320 0.8% 22%  
321 0.7% 21%  
322 1.2% 20%  
323 2% 19%  
324 1.3% 17%  
325 2% 16%  
326 1.5% 14% Last Result
327 0.7% 13%  
328 2% 12%  
329 2% 10%  
330 1.3% 8%  
331 2% 6%  
332 0.6% 5%  
333 0.4% 4%  
334 0.9% 4%  
335 1.1% 3%  
336 0.4% 2%  
337 0.3% 1.4%  
338 0.2% 1.1%  
339 0.2% 0.9%  
340 0.2% 0.8%  
341 0.2% 0.6%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0.1% 99.9%  
261 0.1% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.7%  
264 0.2% 99.6%  
265 0.2% 99.3%  
266 0.3% 99.1%  
267 0.6% 98.9%  
268 0.3% 98%  
269 0.3% 98%  
270 0.5% 98%  
271 0.9% 97%  
272 0.4% 96%  
273 0.8% 96%  
274 1.2% 95%  
275 0.7% 94%  
276 0.8% 93%  
277 1.0% 92%  
278 2% 91% Median
279 2% 89%  
280 1.4% 88%  
281 2% 86%  
282 1.3% 84%  
283 1.4% 83%  
284 2% 82%  
285 2% 79%  
286 2% 77%  
287 2% 75%  
288 1.4% 73%  
289 2% 71%  
290 1.3% 69%  
291 3% 68%  
292 3% 65%  
293 2% 63%  
294 2% 61%  
295 2% 59%  
296 2% 57%  
297 2% 55%  
298 2% 53%  
299 2% 51%  
300 2% 49% Last Result
301 3% 47%  
302 1.4% 44%  
303 3% 43%  
304 2% 40%  
305 2% 38%  
306 2% 36%  
307 2% 34%  
308 1.2% 32%  
309 2% 31%  
310 2% 29%  
311 2% 27%  
312 2% 25%  
313 2% 24%  
314 1.4% 22%  
315 1.3% 20%  
316 2% 19%  
317 3% 17%  
318 1.2% 15%  
319 2% 13%  
320 2% 12%  
321 1.2% 10%  
322 1.3% 9%  
323 2% 7%  
324 1.2% 6%  
325 0.6% 4%  
326 0.8% 4%  
327 0.6% 3%  
328 0.5% 2%  
329 0.4% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.3% 1.2%  
332 0.2% 1.0%  
333 0.1% 0.8%  
334 0.2% 0.6%  
335 0.1% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0.1% 0.3%  
338 0.1% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.8%  
247 0.2% 99.7%  
248 0.1% 99.5%  
249 0.2% 99.4%  
250 0.2% 99.2%  
251 0.3% 99.0%  
252 0.3% 98.7%  
253 0.7% 98%  
254 0.3% 98%  
255 0.5% 97%  
256 0.8% 97%  
257 1.4% 96%  
258 0.8% 95%  
259 1.2% 94%  
260 1.1% 93%  
261 2% 92%  
262 1.1% 90%  
263 1.2% 88%  
264 2% 87%  
265 2% 85%  
266 2% 83%  
267 2% 81%  
268 2% 79%  
269 2% 77%  
270 3% 75%  
271 3% 72%  
272 2% 69%  
273 3% 67%  
274 2% 65%  
275 3% 63%  
276 3% 60%  
277 3% 57%  
278 3% 54% Median
279 3% 51%  
280 3% 48%  
281 3% 45%  
282 2% 42%  
283 3% 40%  
284 3% 37%  
285 3% 34%  
286 3% 31%  
287 3% 29%  
288 2% 26%  
289 2% 24%  
290 1.3% 22%  
291 2% 20%  
292 3% 18%  
293 2% 15%  
294 1.4% 14%  
295 1.4% 12%  
296 2% 11%  
297 1.3% 9%  
298 2% 8%  
299 0.9% 6%  
300 0.7% 5%  
301 1.1% 5%  
302 0.6% 4%  
303 0.8% 3%  
304 0.5% 2%  
305 0.4% 2%  
306 0.2% 1.2%  
307 0.2% 1.0%  
308 0.2% 0.8%  
309 0.1% 0.6%  
310 0.1% 0.5%  
311 0.1% 0.4%  
312 0.1% 0.3%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.7%  
153 0.1% 99.6%  
154 0.2% 99.5%  
155 0.2% 99.3%  
156 0.3% 99.1%  
157 0.4% 98.8%  
158 0.8% 98%  
159 0.7% 98%  
160 0.9% 97%  
161 0.8% 96%  
162 1.0% 95%  
163 1.2% 94%  
164 2% 93%  
165 2% 91%  
166 2% 89%  
167 2% 87%  
168 3% 85%  
169 3% 82%  
170 2% 79%  
171 3% 76%  
172 4% 73%  
173 3% 70%  
174 3% 67%  
175 4% 64%  
176 3% 60%  
177 3% 57%  
178 3% 54% Median
179 3% 51%  
180 4% 48%  
181 3% 43%  
182 4% 40%  
183 4% 36%  
184 3% 32%  
185 3% 29%  
186 3% 26%  
187 3% 23%  
188 2% 19%  
189 3% 17%  
190 3% 15%  
191 2% 12%  
192 1.3% 10%  
193 2% 9%  
194 1.0% 7%  
195 0.7% 6%  
196 1.2% 6%  
197 0.6% 4%  
198 0.7% 4%  
199 0.9% 3%  
200 0.5% 2%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.5% 1.5%  
203 0.2% 1.0%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0% 0.3%  
208 0.1% 0.3%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.2% 99.6%  
111 0.3% 99.3%  
112 0.3% 99.1%  
113 0.4% 98.7%  
114 0.5% 98%  
115 0.7% 98%  
116 0.8% 97%  
117 1.1% 96%  
118 0.9% 95%  
119 1.2% 94%  
120 1.1% 93%  
121 1.4% 92%  
122 2% 91%  
123 2% 88%  
124 3% 87% Median
125 3% 84%  
126 4% 81%  
127 3% 77%  
128 2% 74%  
129 2% 72%  
130 2% 70%  
131 3% 68%  
132 3% 64%  
133 2% 62%  
134 1.3% 60%  
135 2% 59%  
136 0.9% 57%  
137 2% 56%  
138 0.9% 54%  
139 0.8% 53%  
140 0.7% 53%  
141 0.8% 52%  
142 0.8% 51%  
143 0.6% 50%  
144 0.5% 50%  
145 0.4% 49%  
146 0.5% 49%  
147 0.4% 48%  
148 0.4% 48%  
149 0.8% 48%  
150 2% 47%  
151 1.0% 45%  
152 1.2% 44%  
153 1.0% 43%  
154 2% 42%  
155 2% 40%  
156 3% 38%  
157 1.1% 35%  
158 2% 34%  
159 3% 32%  
160 3% 30%  
161 3% 27%  
162 3% 25%  
163 2% 22%  
164 2% 20%  
165 3% 19%  
166 1.3% 16%  
167 2% 14%  
168 1.3% 12%  
169 2% 11%  
170 2% 9%  
171 2% 7%  
172 0.8% 5%  
173 0.5% 4%  
174 0.4% 4%  
175 1.1% 3%  
176 0.4% 2%  
177 0.6% 2%  
178 0.3% 1.1%  
179 0.1% 0.9%  
180 0.1% 0.8%  
181 0.3% 0.6%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations