Opinion Poll by Forsa, 30 November–4 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.2% 27.9–30.6% 27.6–30.9% 27.3–31.3% 26.7–31.9%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.5–21.5% 18.3–21.8% 17.8–22.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.6% 13.0–17.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.8% 6.1–7.5% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 222 213–233 210–235 208–239 203–245
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 152 144–162 141–164 139–167 135–172
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 106–122 104–125 103–127 99–131
Alternative für Deutschland 94 61 55–67 54–69 52–70 50–74
Die Linke 69 61 55–67 54–69 52–70 50–74
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 46–57 45–59 44–61 41–64
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 41–51 40–53 39–54 0–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0.2% 99.6%  
204 0.2% 99.4%  
205 0.4% 99.2%  
206 0.4% 98.8%  
207 0.7% 98%  
208 0.7% 98%  
209 0.9% 97%  
210 2% 96%  
211 2% 95%  
212 2% 93%  
213 2% 91%  
214 2% 89%  
215 4% 86%  
216 4% 82%  
217 4% 79%  
218 4% 74%  
219 4% 70%  
220 5% 66%  
221 5% 61%  
222 6% 56% Median
223 4% 50%  
224 6% 45%  
225 5% 39%  
226 4% 34%  
227 5% 30%  
228 3% 25%  
229 4% 22%  
230 3% 18%  
231 2% 15%  
232 3% 13%  
233 2% 10%  
234 2% 8%  
235 2% 7%  
236 0.6% 5%  
237 1.1% 4%  
238 0.7% 3%  
239 0.6% 3%  
240 0.4% 2%  
241 0.4% 2%  
242 0.3% 1.3%  
243 0.1% 0.9%  
244 0.2% 0.8%  
245 0.1% 0.6%  
246 0.1% 0.5%  
247 0.1% 0.4%  
248 0% 0.3%  
249 0.1% 0.3%  
250 0% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0.1% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.3% 99.5%  
137 0.6% 99.2%  
138 0.6% 98.6%  
139 0.9% 98%  
140 1.1% 97%  
141 1.1% 96%  
142 2% 95%  
143 3% 93%  
144 4% 90%  
145 3% 87%  
146 3% 84%  
147 3% 80%  
148 5% 77%  
149 5% 71%  
150 8% 66%  
151 6% 59%  
152 4% 53% Median
153 4% 48%  
154 6% 44%  
155 7% 38%  
156 6% 32%  
157 5% 26%  
158 3% 21%  
159 3% 18%  
160 2% 16%  
161 4% 14%  
162 2% 10%  
163 2% 8%  
164 0.9% 5%  
165 0.8% 4%  
166 0.8% 4%  
167 0.8% 3%  
168 0.7% 2%  
169 0.4% 1.2%  
170 0.2% 0.9%  
171 0.2% 0.7%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.4% 99.5%  
101 0.4% 99.1%  
102 0.9% 98.6%  
103 2% 98%  
104 2% 96%  
105 2% 94%  
106 3% 93%  
107 4% 90%  
108 4% 86%  
109 3% 82%  
110 5% 78%  
111 6% 73%  
112 4% 68%  
113 6% 64%  
114 8% 58% Median
115 6% 50%  
116 5% 44%  
117 6% 39%  
118 5% 32%  
119 5% 27%  
120 6% 22%  
121 4% 17%  
122 3% 13%  
123 2% 10%  
124 2% 8%  
125 2% 5%  
126 1.0% 4%  
127 0.8% 3%  
128 0.5% 2%  
129 0.4% 1.3%  
130 0.2% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.7%  
132 0.2% 0.5%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 0.3% 99.6%  
51 1.0% 99.3%  
52 1.2% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 3% 95%  
55 3% 92%  
56 5% 89%  
57 5% 84%  
58 8% 79%  
59 7% 71%  
60 9% 64%  
61 11% 55% Median
62 7% 45%  
63 8% 37%  
64 6% 29%  
65 6% 23%  
66 3% 17%  
67 4% 13%  
68 3% 9%  
69 2% 6%  
70 2% 4%  
71 0.9% 2%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 0.3% 0.9%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 0.5% 99.6%  
51 0.9% 99.2%  
52 0.9% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 4% 95%  
55 3% 92%  
56 4% 89%  
57 8% 85%  
58 5% 77%  
59 8% 72%  
60 10% 63%  
61 7% 53% Median
62 7% 46%  
63 11% 39%  
64 5% 28%  
65 5% 22%  
66 5% 18%  
67 4% 12%  
68 2% 9%  
69 3% 6% Last Result
70 1.3% 4%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.4% 0.9%  
74 0.2% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 0.5% 99.4%  
43 1.1% 98.9%  
44 2% 98%  
45 2% 96%  
46 5% 94% Last Result
47 5% 89%  
48 6% 84%  
49 9% 78%  
50 8% 69%  
51 9% 61%  
52 9% 52% Median
53 7% 43%  
54 10% 35%  
55 6% 26%  
56 5% 20%  
57 5% 15%  
58 3% 10%  
59 2% 7%  
60 2% 4%  
61 1.0% 3%  
62 0.7% 2%  
63 0.4% 0.9%  
64 0.2% 0.6%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.4% 98%  
39 2% 98%  
40 4% 95%  
41 4% 92%  
42 8% 88%  
43 7% 80%  
44 9% 73%  
45 10% 65%  
46 11% 55% Median
47 7% 44%  
48 11% 37%  
49 6% 26%  
50 6% 20%  
51 5% 14%  
52 3% 9%  
53 2% 6%  
54 2% 4%  
55 0.7% 2%  
56 0.6% 1.3%  
57 0.4% 0.7%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 541 100% 532–550 530–553 527–559 523–583
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 472 100% 462–482 459–485 456–487 449–492
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 435 100% 424–445 420–448 417–450 409–455
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 427 100% 416–437 413–441 411–446 406–462
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 389 100% 378–400 376–404 373–408 367–421
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 381 99.3% 370–392 367–395 363–397 352–402
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 335 2% 325–346 322–350 319–354 314–365
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 328 0.7% 317–339 314–342 312–346 307–357
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 320 0% 309–331 306–334 301–336 287–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 313 0% 301–323 298–326 293–329 279–334
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 267 0% 257–277 254–281 251–285 246–293
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 176 0% 166–185 164–188 161–191 158–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 161 0% 151–169 148–171 144–173 117–178

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 99.9%  
519 0% 99.9%  
520 0.1% 99.9%  
521 0.1% 99.8%  
522 0.1% 99.7%  
523 0.2% 99.5%  
524 0.3% 99.3%  
525 0.4% 99.0%  
526 0.6% 98.6%  
527 1.0% 98%  
528 0.7% 97%  
529 1.2% 96%  
530 2% 95%  
531 2% 94%  
532 2% 91%  
533 4% 89%  
534 3% 86%  
535 5% 82%  
536 3% 78%  
537 5% 75%  
538 6% 70%  
539 7% 64%  
540 5% 57% Median
541 6% 52%  
542 7% 47%  
543 3% 40%  
544 8% 37%  
545 3% 29%  
546 5% 26%  
547 3% 21%  
548 4% 18%  
549 2% 13%  
550 3% 12%  
551 2% 9%  
552 1.4% 7%  
553 1.3% 6%  
554 0.9% 5%  
555 0.5% 4%  
556 0.4% 3%  
557 0.3% 3%  
558 0.2% 3%  
559 0.2% 3%  
560 0.1% 2%  
561 0.1% 2%  
562 0% 2%  
563 0% 2%  
564 0% 2%  
565 0% 2%  
566 0% 2%  
567 0% 2%  
568 0% 2%  
569 0% 2%  
570 0.1% 2%  
571 0.1% 2%  
572 0.1% 2%  
573 0.1% 2%  
574 0.1% 2%  
575 0.1% 2%  
576 0.1% 1.5%  
577 0.1% 1.4%  
578 0.1% 1.2%  
579 0.1% 1.1%  
580 0.2% 1.1%  
581 0.1% 0.8%  
582 0.2% 0.8%  
583 0.1% 0.5%  
584 0.1% 0.4%  
585 0.1% 0.4%  
586 0.1% 0.3%  
587 0% 0.2%  
588 0.1% 0.2%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0.1% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.6%  
449 0.2% 99.6%  
450 0.1% 99.4%  
451 0.1% 99.3%  
452 0.2% 99.1%  
453 0.3% 98.9%  
454 0.5% 98.6%  
455 0.3% 98%  
456 0.5% 98%  
457 1.0% 97%  
458 0.9% 96%  
459 1.3% 95%  
460 1.1% 94%  
461 2% 93%  
462 2% 91%  
463 2% 89%  
464 4% 87%  
465 4% 84%  
466 3% 80%  
467 3% 77%  
468 4% 74%  
469 4% 69%  
470 6% 65%  
471 5% 60%  
472 6% 55% Median
473 5% 48%  
474 4% 44%  
475 5% 40%  
476 4% 34%  
477 5% 31%  
478 4% 26%  
479 5% 22%  
480 3% 17%  
481 3% 14%  
482 2% 12%  
483 2% 10%  
484 2% 8%  
485 1.4% 6%  
486 1.1% 4%  
487 1.0% 3%  
488 0.6% 2%  
489 0.4% 2%  
490 0.4% 1.4%  
491 0.2% 0.9%  
492 0.3% 0.7%  
493 0.1% 0.4%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0.1% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.4%  
411 0.1% 99.3%  
412 0.2% 99.2%  
413 0.2% 99.0%  
414 0.3% 98.8%  
415 0.3% 98%  
416 0.4% 98%  
417 0.5% 98%  
418 0.5% 97%  
419 0.9% 97%  
420 1.1% 96%  
421 1.2% 95%  
422 1.3% 93%  
423 2% 92%  
424 2% 90%  
425 2% 88%  
426 3% 86%  
427 3% 83%  
428 3% 80%  
429 4% 77%  
430 3% 73%  
431 5% 70%  
432 4% 65%  
433 6% 61%  
434 5% 55% Median
435 6% 50%  
436 3% 44%  
437 5% 41%  
438 4% 36%  
439 5% 32%  
440 4% 27%  
441 3% 24%  
442 4% 21%  
443 3% 16%  
444 3% 14%  
445 2% 11%  
446 2% 9%  
447 1.3% 7%  
448 2% 6%  
449 0.9% 4%  
450 0.7% 3%  
451 0.5% 2%  
452 0.5% 2%  
453 0.5% 1.3%  
454 0.2% 0.8%  
455 0.2% 0.6%  
456 0.2% 0.4%  
457 0.1% 0.3%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0.1% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.9%  
404 0.1% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.7%  
406 0.2% 99.6%  
407 0.2% 99.3%  
408 0.3% 99.1%  
409 0.3% 98.8%  
410 0.7% 98%  
411 0.7% 98%  
412 0.8% 97%  
413 2% 96%  
414 1.4% 95%  
415 1.4% 93%  
416 2% 92%  
417 2% 89%  
418 3% 88%  
419 3% 84%  
420 4% 82%  
421 4% 78%  
422 5% 74%  
423 3% 69%  
424 7% 66%  
425 3% 59%  
426 5% 56% Median
427 6% 51%  
428 6% 45%  
429 3% 39%  
430 4% 36%  
431 5% 32%  
432 4% 26%  
433 3% 23%  
434 3% 20%  
435 3% 16%  
436 3% 14%  
437 2% 11%  
438 1.4% 9%  
439 1.1% 8%  
440 1.0% 7%  
441 1.0% 6%  
442 0.6% 5%  
443 0.5% 4%  
444 0.4% 3%  
445 0.3% 3%  
446 0.4% 3%  
447 0.2% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.2% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.1% 2%  
453 0.1% 2%  
454 0.2% 1.4%  
455 0.1% 1.2%  
456 0.1% 1.2%  
457 0.2% 1.1%  
458 0.1% 0.9%  
459 0.1% 0.8%  
460 0.1% 0.7%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.3%  
468 0.1% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.2% 99.6%  
368 0.2% 99.5%  
369 0.2% 99.3%  
370 0.4% 99.1%  
371 0.5% 98.7%  
372 0.5% 98%  
373 0.7% 98%  
374 1.0% 97%  
375 0.9% 96%  
376 2% 95%  
377 2% 93%  
378 2% 91%  
379 2% 90%  
380 3% 87%  
381 2% 84%  
382 5% 82%  
383 3% 77%  
384 5% 74%  
385 3% 69%  
386 4% 65%  
387 6% 61%  
388 4% 55% Median
389 7% 51%  
390 3% 44%  
391 3% 41%  
392 5% 38%  
393 4% 32%  
394 4% 29%  
395 4% 25%  
396 3% 21%  
397 2% 18%  
398 3% 16%  
399 2% 12% Last Result
400 2% 11%  
401 2% 9%  
402 0.7% 7%  
403 1.1% 6%  
404 0.9% 5%  
405 0.6% 4%  
406 0.5% 4%  
407 0.4% 3%  
408 0.3% 3%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.1% 2%  
414 0.2% 1.4%  
415 0.1% 1.2%  
416 0.1% 1.1%  
417 0.1% 1.0%  
418 0.1% 0.9%  
419 0.1% 0.8%  
420 0.2% 0.7%  
421 0.1% 0.5%  
422 0.1% 0.5%  
423 0.1% 0.4%  
424 0% 0.3%  
425 0.1% 0.3%  
426 0.1% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0% 99.5%  
353 0.1% 99.5%  
354 0.1% 99.4%  
355 0.1% 99.3% Majority
356 0.2% 99.2%  
357 0.1% 99.0%  
358 0.2% 98.8%  
359 0.1% 98.6%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.4% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.5% 98%  
364 0.5% 97%  
365 0.4% 96%  
366 1.0% 96%  
367 1.2% 95%  
368 1.3% 94%  
369 2% 93%  
370 2% 91%  
371 2% 89%  
372 3% 87%  
373 2% 84%  
374 4% 83%  
375 5% 79%  
376 4% 74%  
377 3% 70%  
378 5% 67%  
379 3% 63%  
380 7% 60%  
381 6% 53% Median
382 4% 47%  
383 4% 43%  
384 4% 39%  
385 3% 35%  
386 5% 32%  
387 5% 27%  
388 3% 22%  
389 4% 19%  
390 3% 16%  
391 2% 13%  
392 2% 11%  
393 2% 9%  
394 2% 7%  
395 1.2% 5%  
396 1.2% 4%  
397 0.4% 3%  
398 0.6% 2%  
399 0.6% 2%  
400 0.3% 1.3%  
401 0.3% 1.0%  
402 0.2% 0.7%  
403 0.1% 0.5%  
404 0.1% 0.3%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0.1% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.8%  
313 0.1% 99.7%  
314 0.2% 99.6%  
315 0.3% 99.5%  
316 0.2% 99.2%  
317 0.4% 98.9%  
318 0.4% 98.6%  
319 0.7% 98%  
320 1.2% 97%  
321 0.7% 96%  
322 1.3% 96%  
323 2% 94%  
324 2% 93%  
325 2% 91%  
326 3% 89%  
327 3% 86%  
328 3% 83%  
329 4% 80%  
330 5% 76%  
331 3% 71%  
332 4% 68%  
333 5% 64%  
334 4% 59%  
335 5% 55% Median
336 6% 50%  
337 3% 44%  
338 6% 40%  
339 3% 34%  
340 3% 31% Last Result
341 4% 28%  
342 3% 24%  
343 4% 21%  
344 2% 17%  
345 3% 14%  
346 2% 12%  
347 2% 10%  
348 1.2% 8%  
349 1.4% 7%  
350 0.8% 6%  
351 0.9% 5%  
352 0.7% 4%  
353 0.4% 3%  
354 0.5% 3%  
355 0.3% 2% Majority
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.2% 2%  
358 0.2% 1.4%  
359 0.1% 1.2%  
360 0.2% 1.1%  
361 0.1% 0.9%  
362 0.1% 0.8%  
363 0.1% 0.7%  
364 0.1% 0.6%  
365 0.1% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.4%  
368 0.1% 0.3%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.9%  
304 0.1% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.7%  
307 0.2% 99.5%  
308 0.3% 99.3%  
309 0.3% 99.0%  
310 0.6% 98.7%  
311 0.6% 98%  
312 0.4% 98%  
313 1.2% 97%  
314 1.2% 96%  
315 2% 95%  
316 2% 93%  
317 2% 91%  
318 2% 89%  
319 3% 87%  
320 4% 84%  
321 3% 81%  
322 5% 78%  
323 5% 73%  
324 3% 68%  
325 4% 65%  
326 4% 61%  
327 4% 57% Median
328 6% 53%  
329 7% 47%  
330 3% 40%  
331 5% 37%  
332 3% 33%  
333 4% 30%  
334 5% 26%  
335 4% 21%  
336 2% 17%  
337 3% 16%  
338 2% 13%  
339 2% 11%  
340 2% 9%  
341 1.3% 7%  
342 1.2% 6%  
343 1.0% 5%  
344 0.4% 4%  
345 0.5% 4%  
346 0.5% 3%  
347 0.3% 2%  
348 0.4% 2%  
349 0.3% 2%  
350 0.1% 2%  
351 0.2% 1.4%  
352 0.1% 1.2%  
353 0.2% 1.0%  
354 0.1% 0.8%  
355 0.1% 0.7% Majority
356 0.1% 0.6%  
357 0% 0.5%  
358 0.1% 0.5%  
359 0% 0.4%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0.1% 99.5%  
288 0% 99.4%  
289 0.1% 99.4%  
290 0% 99.3%  
291 0.1% 99.3%  
292 0.2% 99.2%  
293 0.1% 99.0%  
294 0.1% 98.9%  
295 0.2% 98.8%  
296 0.1% 98.6%  
297 0.1% 98%  
298 0.2% 98%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0.2% 98%  
301 0.5% 98%  
302 0.4% 97%  
303 0.6% 97%  
304 0.5% 96%  
305 0.7% 96%  
306 1.3% 95%  
307 1.2% 94%  
308 1.5% 93%  
309 2% 91%  
310 2% 89%  
311 2% 87%  
312 2% 84%  
313 3% 82%  
314 4% 79%  
315 4% 75%  
316 3% 71%  
317 5% 68%  
318 5% 63%  
319 6% 58%  
320 4% 52% Median
321 5% 48%  
322 4% 43%  
323 5% 39%  
324 4% 34%  
325 3% 30%  
326 5% 26% Last Result
327 3% 22%  
328 2% 19%  
329 3% 16%  
330 2% 13%  
331 2% 11%  
332 2% 8%  
333 1.0% 6%  
334 1.1% 5%  
335 1.1% 4%  
336 0.7% 3%  
337 0.5% 2%  
338 0.5% 2%  
339 0.4% 1.3%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.2% 0.7%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.8%  
276 0.1% 99.7%  
277 0% 99.7%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.6%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0.1% 99.4%  
282 0.1% 99.3%  
283 0.1% 99.3%  
284 0.1% 99.2%  
285 0.1% 99.1%  
286 0.1% 99.0%  
287 0.2% 98.9%  
288 0.2% 98.7%  
289 0.1% 98.5%  
290 0.1% 98%  
291 0.3% 98%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.4% 97%  
295 0.5% 97%  
296 0.7% 97%  
297 0.6% 96%  
298 1.2% 95%  
299 1.3% 94%  
300 1.3% 93% Last Result
301 2% 91%  
302 2% 90%  
303 2% 88%  
304 3% 86%  
305 3% 83%  
306 3% 80%  
307 4% 77%  
308 4% 73%  
309 6% 69%  
310 3% 63%  
311 6% 61%  
312 3% 55% Median
313 6% 51%  
314 4% 45%  
315 5% 41%  
316 3% 36%  
317 5% 32%  
318 4% 27%  
319 3% 23%  
320 3% 20%  
321 3% 17%  
322 3% 14%  
323 2% 11%  
324 2% 9%  
325 2% 8%  
326 1.1% 6%  
327 1.1% 5%  
328 1.0% 4%  
329 0.5% 3%  
330 0.7% 2%  
331 0.4% 1.4%  
332 0.2% 1.0%  
333 0.3% 0.8%  
334 0.1% 0.5%  
335 0.2% 0.4%  
336 0.1% 0.2%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.7%  
246 0.2% 99.6%  
247 0.3% 99.4%  
248 0.2% 99.2%  
249 0.3% 98.9%  
250 0.5% 98.6%  
251 1.0% 98%  
252 0.7% 97%  
253 1.0% 96%  
254 2% 95%  
255 2% 94%  
256 1.3% 92%  
257 3% 90%  
258 3% 88%  
259 3% 84%  
260 2% 81%  
261 5% 79%  
262 4% 74%  
263 4% 70%  
264 4% 65%  
265 6% 62%  
266 5% 56% Median
267 4% 50%  
268 4% 46%  
269 6% 42%  
270 4% 36%  
271 3% 32%  
272 5% 29%  
273 3% 24%  
274 4% 21%  
275 2% 17%  
276 2% 15%  
277 3% 12%  
278 2% 10%  
279 1.2% 8%  
280 1.4% 7%  
281 1.1% 5%  
282 0.8% 4%  
283 0.6% 4%  
284 0.5% 3%  
285 0.5% 3%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.3% 1.3%  
289 0.2% 1.0%  
290 0.1% 0.9%  
291 0.2% 0.8%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0.1% 0.3%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.2% 99.5%  
159 0.4% 99.3%  
160 0.5% 98.9%  
161 1.0% 98%  
162 0.8% 97%  
163 1.0% 97%  
164 1.4% 96%  
165 2% 94%  
166 3% 92%  
167 3% 89%  
168 3% 86%  
169 3% 83%  
170 3% 80%  
171 6% 77%  
172 6% 72%  
173 6% 66%  
174 5% 60%  
175 4% 54% Median
176 5% 50%  
177 4% 46%  
178 8% 41%  
179 5% 34%  
180 5% 28%  
181 3% 24%  
182 3% 21%  
183 3% 18%  
184 3% 15%  
185 3% 12%  
186 2% 9%  
187 1.4% 7%  
188 0.9% 5%  
189 0.8% 4%  
190 0.9% 4%  
191 0.9% 3%  
192 0.5% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.3%  
194 0.2% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.8%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0.1% 99.5%  
118 0% 99.4%  
119 0.1% 99.4%  
120 0.1% 99.3%  
121 0.1% 99.2%  
122 0.1% 99.1%  
123 0.1% 99.0%  
124 0.1% 98.9%  
125 0.2% 98.8%  
126 0.2% 98.6%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0.1% 98%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0.2% 98%  
144 0.2% 98%  
145 0.3% 97%  
146 0.6% 97%  
147 1.1% 96%  
148 1.4% 95%  
149 1.4% 94%  
150 2% 93%  
151 2% 90%  
152 3% 88%  
153 3% 85%  
154 3% 82%  
155 4% 79%  
156 4% 75%  
157 4% 71%  
158 6% 67%  
159 5% 61%  
160 5% 56% Median
161 7% 51%  
162 4% 44%  
163 6% 40%  
164 5% 34%  
165 5% 29%  
166 4% 24%  
167 5% 20%  
168 3% 16%  
169 3% 13%  
170 2% 9%  
171 2% 7%  
172 1.5% 5%  
173 0.9% 3%  
174 0.8% 2%  
175 0.6% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.1%  
177 0.2% 0.8%  
178 0.2% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations