Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 7–9 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.4–32.1% 25.6–33.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.1% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 220 206–235 202–241 199–245 192–254
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 152 139–164 135–169 133–172 127–180
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 121 110–133 107–136 104–139 100–146
Alternative für Deutschland 94 68 59–78 57–81 55–83 51–88
Die Linke 69 53 45–62 44–64 42–66 38–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 44–59 42–62 40–64 38–69
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 38–53 0–55 0–57 0–61

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0.1% 99.8%  
191 0.1% 99.7%  
192 0.1% 99.6%  
193 0.1% 99.5%  
194 0.2% 99.4%  
195 0.3% 99.2%  
196 0.4% 98.9%  
197 0.3% 98.5%  
198 0.4% 98%  
199 0.6% 98%  
200 0.7% 97% Last Result
201 1.2% 97%  
202 0.6% 95%  
203 0.8% 95%  
204 1.4% 94%  
205 2% 93%  
206 2% 91%  
207 1.5% 89%  
208 1.3% 88%  
209 2% 86%  
210 4% 84%  
211 3% 80%  
212 2% 77%  
213 2% 76%  
214 4% 73%  
215 4% 69%  
216 3% 65%  
217 2% 61%  
218 3% 59%  
219 4% 56%  
220 5% 52% Median
221 3% 47%  
222 3% 44%  
223 3% 41%  
224 4% 39%  
225 4% 34%  
226 2% 30%  
227 2% 28%  
228 3% 26%  
229 3% 23%  
230 2% 20%  
231 2% 18%  
232 1.2% 16%  
233 2% 15%  
234 2% 13%  
235 2% 12%  
236 1.2% 10%  
237 0.7% 9%  
238 1.0% 8%  
239 1.0% 7%  
240 1.1% 6%  
241 0.5% 5%  
242 0.7% 5%  
243 0.4% 4%  
244 0.7% 3%  
245 0.3% 3%  
246 0.5% 2%  
247 0.2% 2%  
248 0.3% 2%  
249 0.3% 1.5%  
250 0.2% 1.2%  
251 0.2% 1.0%  
252 0.1% 0.8%  
253 0.2% 0.7%  
254 0.1% 0.5%  
255 0.1% 0.4%  
256 0.1% 0.3%  
257 0.1% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.7%  
127 0.2% 99.6%  
128 0.2% 99.4%  
129 0.3% 99.2%  
130 0.4% 98.9%  
131 0.5% 98.5%  
132 0.5% 98%  
133 0.8% 98%  
134 0.9% 97%  
135 1.2% 96%  
136 1.2% 95%  
137 1.4% 93%  
138 2% 92%  
139 2% 90%  
140 2% 89%  
141 2% 87%  
142 3% 85%  
143 3% 82%  
144 3% 79%  
145 3% 76%  
146 4% 73%  
147 3% 69%  
148 4% 66%  
149 4% 62%  
150 4% 58%  
151 4% 55%  
152 4% 50% Median
153 4% 46%  
154 4% 42%  
155 4% 37%  
156 4% 34%  
157 3% 30%  
158 4% 27%  
159 3% 24%  
160 3% 21%  
161 3% 18%  
162 2% 15%  
163 2% 13%  
164 1.2% 11%  
165 1.3% 10%  
166 1.4% 8%  
167 1.1% 7%  
168 0.8% 6%  
169 0.8% 5%  
170 0.7% 4%  
171 0.6% 4%  
172 0.5% 3%  
173 0.4% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.2% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.5%  
177 0.3% 1.2%  
178 0.2% 0.9%  
179 0.2% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 0.4% 99.0%  
103 0.5% 98.6%  
104 0.7% 98%  
105 0.9% 97%  
106 1.0% 97%  
107 1.2% 96%  
108 1.5% 94%  
109 2% 93%  
110 2% 91%  
111 2% 89%  
112 3% 87%  
113 3% 84%  
114 3% 82%  
115 4% 78%  
116 4% 74%  
117 5% 71%  
118 4% 66%  
119 4% 62%  
120 4% 58%  
121 5% 54% Median
122 5% 49%  
123 4% 44%  
124 3% 40%  
125 4% 37%  
126 4% 33%  
127 4% 29%  
128 4% 25%  
129 3% 21%  
130 2% 19%  
131 3% 16%  
132 2% 13%  
133 2% 11%  
134 2% 9%  
135 1.1% 7%  
136 1.3% 6%  
137 0.8% 5%  
138 1.0% 4%  
139 0.7% 3%  
140 0.4% 2%  
141 0.4% 2%  
142 0.4% 2%  
143 0.3% 1.3%  
144 0.2% 0.9%  
145 0.1% 0.7%  
146 0.1% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.7%  
52 0.3% 99.5%  
53 0.6% 99.2%  
54 0.6% 98.6%  
55 0.9% 98%  
56 2% 97%  
57 1.2% 95%  
58 2% 94%  
59 2% 92%  
60 3% 89%  
61 3% 86%  
62 4% 83%  
63 5% 79%  
64 4% 74%  
65 4% 69%  
66 6% 65%  
67 5% 59%  
68 5% 54% Median
69 6% 49%  
70 6% 43%  
71 4% 38%  
72 4% 33%  
73 5% 29%  
74 4% 24%  
75 4% 21%  
76 2% 17%  
77 4% 15%  
78 2% 11%  
79 2% 9%  
80 2% 7%  
81 0.9% 5%  
82 1.4% 4%  
83 0.7% 3%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 0.3% 1.2%  
87 0.2% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0% 99.6%  
9 0% 99.6%  
10 0% 99.6%  
11 0% 99.6%  
12 0% 99.6%  
13 0% 99.6%  
14 0% 99.6%  
15 0% 99.6%  
16 0% 99.6%  
17 0% 99.6%  
18 0% 99.6%  
19 0% 99.6%  
20 0% 99.6%  
21 0% 99.6%  
22 0% 99.6%  
23 0% 99.6%  
24 0% 99.6%  
25 0% 99.6%  
26 0% 99.6%  
27 0% 99.6%  
28 0% 99.6%  
29 0% 99.6%  
30 0% 99.6%  
31 0% 99.6%  
32 0% 99.6%  
33 0% 99.6%  
34 0% 99.6%  
35 0% 99.6%  
36 0% 99.6%  
37 0% 99.6%  
38 0.2% 99.6%  
39 0.3% 99.5%  
40 0.5% 99.1%  
41 0.9% 98.7%  
42 1.1% 98%  
43 2% 97%  
44 3% 95%  
45 4% 92%  
46 3% 89%  
47 5% 86%  
48 4% 80%  
49 5% 76%  
50 5% 71%  
51 7% 66%  
52 6% 59%  
53 8% 53% Median
54 6% 45%  
55 6% 39%  
56 5% 33%  
57 5% 28%  
58 3% 23%  
59 3% 20%  
60 3% 16%  
61 3% 13%  
62 3% 10%  
63 2% 7%  
64 1.4% 5%  
65 1.3% 4%  
66 0.5% 3%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 0.4% 1.5%  
69 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.8%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.7%  
38 0.4% 99.5%  
39 0.7% 99.1%  
40 1.0% 98%  
41 1.5% 97%  
42 2% 96%  
43 3% 94%  
44 3% 91%  
45 3% 88%  
46 5% 85% Last Result
47 5% 80%  
48 5% 75%  
49 6% 70%  
50 7% 64%  
51 7% 57%  
52 6% 50% Median
53 7% 44%  
54 7% 37%  
55 6% 30%  
56 4% 25%  
57 4% 21%  
58 3% 16%  
59 3% 13%  
60 2% 10%  
61 2% 8%  
62 1.4% 6%  
63 1.4% 5%  
64 0.7% 3%  
65 0.7% 2%  
66 0.5% 2%  
67 0.4% 1.3%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.2% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 0% 91%  
9 0% 91%  
10 0% 91%  
11 0% 91%  
12 0% 91%  
13 0% 91%  
14 0% 91%  
15 0% 91%  
16 0% 91%  
17 0% 91%  
18 0% 91%  
19 0% 91%  
20 0% 91%  
21 0% 91%  
22 0% 91%  
23 0% 91%  
24 0% 91%  
25 0% 91%  
26 0% 91%  
27 0% 91%  
28 0% 91%  
29 0% 91%  
30 0% 91%  
31 0% 91%  
32 0% 91%  
33 0% 91%  
34 0% 91%  
35 0% 91%  
36 0% 91%  
37 0.2% 91%  
38 2% 91%  
39 3% 89%  
40 6% 86%  
41 6% 80%  
42 5% 74%  
43 8% 69%  
44 7% 61%  
45 6% 54% Median
46 7% 48%  
47 6% 41%  
48 7% 34%  
49 5% 28%  
50 5% 23%  
51 4% 18%  
52 3% 14%  
53 2% 11%  
54 2% 9%  
55 1.3% 6%  
56 2% 5%  
57 1.0% 3%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.3% 1.0%  
61 0.2% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 544 100% 530–563 526–578 523–585 517–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 466 100% 451–481 446–485 441–488 432–497
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 436 100% 420–451 415–456 409–459 400–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 423 100% 407–442 403–451 399–457 392–469
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 393 99.9% 377–412 373–419 370–426 362–437
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 383 98% 367–400 361–404 355–408 342–415
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 340 15% 323–358 319–367 316–372 309–382
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 326 2% 309–342 305–348 301–354 294–367
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 317 0.1% 297–332 288–337 282–341 273–348
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 315 0.1% 297–331 290–335 284–339 272–347
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 274 0% 257–288 253–294 250–300 243–309
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 174 0% 161–188 157–192 154–197 146–204
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 148–179 130–183 124–186 115–192

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0% 99.9%  
512 0% 99.9%  
513 0.1% 99.8%  
514 0% 99.8%  
515 0.1% 99.7%  
516 0.1% 99.6%  
517 0.2% 99.5%  
518 0.2% 99.3%  
519 0.3% 99.1%  
520 0.3% 98.8%  
521 0.4% 98.5%  
522 0.4% 98%  
523 0.4% 98%  
524 0.6% 97%  
525 0.7% 97%  
526 1.2% 96%  
527 1.3% 95%  
528 1.3% 94%  
529 2% 92%  
530 2% 90%  
531 1.4% 89%  
532 2% 87%  
533 2% 85%  
534 2% 83%  
535 3% 81%  
536 3% 78%  
537 4% 75%  
538 3% 70%  
539 4% 67%  
540 4% 64%  
541 4% 60%  
542 3% 56%  
543 3% 53%  
544 3% 50%  
545 5% 47% Median
546 4% 42%  
547 4% 38%  
548 3% 34%  
549 3% 31%  
550 2% 28%  
551 2% 25%  
552 2% 24%  
553 2% 22%  
554 2% 20%  
555 1.4% 18%  
556 2% 17%  
557 1.4% 14%  
558 0.8% 13%  
559 0.9% 12%  
560 0.4% 11%  
561 0.5% 11%  
562 0.2% 10%  
563 0.5% 10%  
564 0.3% 10%  
565 0.3% 9%  
566 0.2% 9%  
567 0.2% 9%  
568 0.3% 9%  
569 0.4% 8%  
570 0.3% 8%  
571 0.5% 8%  
572 0.4% 7%  
573 0.1% 7%  
574 0.2% 7%  
575 0.2% 6%  
576 0.3% 6%  
577 0.5% 6%  
578 0.4% 5%  
579 0.5% 5%  
580 0.8% 5%  
581 0.3% 4%  
582 0.3% 3%  
583 0.2% 3%  
584 0.2% 3%  
585 0.2% 3%  
586 0.4% 2%  
587 0.3% 2%  
588 0.4% 2%  
589 0.2% 1.4%  
590 0.3% 1.3%  
591 0.1% 0.9%  
592 0.1% 0.8%  
593 0.1% 0.7%  
594 0.1% 0.6%  
595 0.1% 0.4%  
596 0.1% 0.4%  
597 0.1% 0.3%  
598 0% 0.2%  
599 0% 0.2%  
600 0% 0.1%  
601 0% 0.1%  
602 0% 0.1%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0.1% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.5%  
434 0.1% 99.4%  
435 0.1% 99.2%  
436 0.1% 99.1%  
437 0.4% 99.0%  
438 0.2% 98.6%  
439 0.2% 98%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.5% 98%  
442 0.4% 97%  
443 0.4% 97%  
444 0.5% 97%  
445 0.7% 96%  
446 0.7% 95%  
447 0.8% 95%  
448 1.3% 94%  
449 1.4% 93%  
450 1.0% 91%  
451 2% 90%  
452 2% 89%  
453 1.4% 87%  
454 2% 86%  
455 2% 84%  
456 2% 81%  
457 3% 79%  
458 2% 77%  
459 3% 74%  
460 3% 71%  
461 2% 68%  
462 3% 66%  
463 4% 63%  
464 3% 59%  
465 3% 57%  
466 4% 54%  
467 3% 50%  
468 4% 47%  
469 4% 43% Median
470 3% 40%  
471 4% 37%  
472 3% 33%  
473 3% 30%  
474 3% 27%  
475 3% 24%  
476 2% 21%  
477 3% 19%  
478 2% 16%  
479 2% 14%  
480 2% 12%  
481 2% 11%  
482 1.4% 9%  
483 1.2% 8%  
484 0.9% 6%  
485 1.1% 6%  
486 0.8% 5%  
487 0.5% 4%  
488 0.7% 3%  
489 0.4% 2%  
490 0.4% 2%  
491 0.3% 2%  
492 0.2% 1.4%  
493 0.3% 1.2%  
494 0.1% 0.9%  
495 0.1% 0.8%  
496 0.1% 0.7%  
497 0.1% 0.5%  
498 0% 0.5%  
499 0.1% 0.4%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.8%  
398 0% 99.7%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0.1% 99.6%  
401 0.1% 99.5%  
402 0.2% 99.4%  
403 0.1% 99.2%  
404 0.3% 99.1%  
405 0.1% 98.8%  
406 0.4% 98.7%  
407 0.2% 98%  
408 0.3% 98%  
409 0.2% 98%  
410 0.3% 97%  
411 0.3% 97%  
412 0.6% 97%  
413 0.6% 96%  
414 0.6% 96%  
415 0.7% 95%  
416 0.7% 94%  
417 1.0% 94%  
418 1.0% 93%  
419 1.3% 92%  
420 1.1% 90%  
421 1.0% 89%  
422 2% 88%  
423 1.5% 86%  
424 2% 85%  
425 2% 83%  
426 2% 81%  
427 3% 79%  
428 2% 76%  
429 3% 74%  
430 2% 71%  
431 3% 69%  
432 4% 66%  
433 3% 62%  
434 3% 59%  
435 3% 56%  
436 3% 53%  
437 3% 50%  
438 4% 46% Median
439 3% 43%  
440 3% 39%  
441 3% 36%  
442 4% 33%  
443 2% 30%  
444 3% 28%  
445 3% 24%  
446 3% 22%  
447 2% 19%  
448 2% 17%  
449 2% 15%  
450 2% 13%  
451 2% 12%  
452 1.0% 10%  
453 1.4% 9%  
454 1.3% 7%  
455 0.8% 6%  
456 0.9% 5%  
457 0.8% 4%  
458 0.5% 3%  
459 0.5% 3%  
460 0.4% 2%  
461 0.4% 2%  
462 0.3% 2%  
463 0.2% 1.4%  
464 0.2% 1.2%  
465 0.2% 1.0%  
466 0.1% 0.8%  
467 0.2% 0.7%  
468 0.1% 0.5%  
469 0.1% 0.5%  
470 0.1% 0.4%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1% Last Result
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.2% 99.3%  
395 0.2% 99.1%  
396 0.3% 98.9%  
397 0.3% 98.6%  
398 0.4% 98%  
399 0.4% 98%  
400 0.6% 97%  
401 0.5% 97%  
402 0.9% 96%  
403 0.7% 95%  
404 1.0% 95%  
405 1.2% 94%  
406 2% 93%  
407 1.4% 91%  
408 1.1% 89%  
409 2% 88%  
410 2% 87%  
411 2% 84%  
412 2% 82%  
413 2% 80%  
414 3% 78%  
415 3% 75%  
416 2% 71%  
417 3% 69%  
418 3% 66%  
419 3% 63%  
420 3% 60%  
421 3% 57%  
422 3% 54%  
423 4% 51%  
424 3% 46% Median
425 3% 43%  
426 3% 41%  
427 4% 38%  
428 2% 34%  
429 2% 32%  
430 3% 30%  
431 2% 27%  
432 2% 24%  
433 2% 22%  
434 2% 20%  
435 1.4% 18%  
436 2% 17%  
437 1.1% 16%  
438 1.2% 14%  
439 1.2% 13%  
440 0.8% 12%  
441 1.1% 11%  
442 0.6% 10%  
443 0.8% 10%  
444 0.5% 9%  
445 0.6% 8%  
446 0.5% 8%  
447 0.5% 7%  
448 0.7% 7%  
449 0.6% 6%  
450 0.3% 5%  
451 0.5% 5%  
452 0.6% 5%  
453 0.2% 4%  
454 0.2% 4%  
455 0.5% 4%  
456 0.2% 3%  
457 0.4% 3%  
458 0.3% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.3% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.2% 2%  
463 0.2% 1.3%  
464 0.2% 1.1%  
465 0.1% 1.0%  
466 0.1% 0.9%  
467 0.1% 0.8%  
468 0.1% 0.6%  
469 0.1% 0.6%  
470 0.1% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.4%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0.1% 0.3%  
474 0.1% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0.1% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.2% 99.4%  
364 0.1% 99.2%  
365 0.2% 99.1%  
366 0.2% 98.9%  
367 0.3% 98.7%  
368 0.4% 98%  
369 0.5% 98%  
370 0.6% 98%  
371 0.6% 97%  
372 0.9% 96%  
373 1.0% 95%  
374 1.1% 94%  
375 1.4% 93%  
376 2% 92%  
377 1.1% 90%  
378 2% 89%  
379 1.4% 88%  
380 2% 86%  
381 2% 85%  
382 2% 83%  
383 3% 80%  
384 2% 78%  
385 2% 75%  
386 4% 73%  
387 3% 69%  
388 3% 66%  
389 3% 63%  
390 3% 60%  
391 3% 57%  
392 3% 53%  
393 3% 50% Median
394 3% 47%  
395 4% 44%  
396 3% 40%  
397 3% 38%  
398 2% 35%  
399 3% 32% Last Result
400 2% 29%  
401 2% 27%  
402 2% 25%  
403 2% 22%  
404 2% 21%  
405 2% 19%  
406 2% 18%  
407 1.4% 16%  
408 1.3% 14%  
409 1.0% 13%  
410 0.9% 12%  
411 1.2% 11%  
412 1.0% 10%  
413 0.7% 9%  
414 0.8% 8%  
415 0.4% 8%  
416 0.7% 7%  
417 0.4% 6%  
418 0.7% 6%  
419 0.5% 5%  
420 0.4% 5%  
421 0.3% 4%  
422 0.6% 4%  
423 0.3% 4%  
424 0.3% 3%  
425 0.2% 3%  
426 0.4% 3%  
427 0.2% 2%  
428 0.4% 2%  
429 0.1% 2%  
430 0.2% 2%  
431 0.2% 1.4%  
432 0.2% 1.2%  
433 0.2% 1.1%  
434 0.2% 0.9%  
435 0.1% 0.7%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.4%  
440 0.1% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.3%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.8%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.1% 99.5%  
343 0.1% 99.5%  
344 0.1% 99.4%  
345 0.1% 99.3%  
346 0.1% 99.2%  
347 0.1% 99.1%  
348 0.2% 99.0%  
349 0.1% 98.9%  
350 0.3% 98.7%  
351 0.2% 98%  
352 0.2% 98%  
353 0.2% 98%  
354 0.2% 98%  
355 0.3% 98% Majority
356 0.5% 97%  
357 0.5% 97%  
358 0.6% 96%  
359 0.3% 96%  
360 0.2% 95%  
361 1.0% 95%  
362 0.7% 94%  
363 1.0% 94%  
364 1.1% 93%  
365 0.4% 91%  
366 0.8% 91%  
367 2% 90%  
368 2% 88%  
369 2% 87%  
370 2% 85%  
371 1.1% 83%  
372 2% 82%  
373 3% 80%  
374 2% 76%  
375 2% 74%  
376 2% 72%  
377 3% 70%  
378 4% 67%  
379 3% 63%  
380 3% 60%  
381 4% 58%  
382 3% 54%  
383 3% 51%  
384 3% 48%  
385 3% 45% Median
386 4% 43%  
387 3% 39%  
388 2% 36%  
389 2% 34%  
390 3% 32%  
391 2% 29%  
392 3% 27%  
393 2% 23%  
394 1.1% 22%  
395 1.5% 20%  
396 2% 19%  
397 3% 17%  
398 2% 13%  
399 1.0% 11%  
400 0.5% 10%  
401 0.9% 10%  
402 2% 9%  
403 2% 7%  
404 0.7% 5%  
405 0.2% 4%  
406 0.4% 4%  
407 0.9% 4%  
408 0.7% 3%  
409 0.6% 2%  
410 0.2% 2%  
411 0.1% 1.4%  
412 0.2% 1.3%  
413 0.3% 1.1%  
414 0.2% 0.8%  
415 0.1% 0.6%  
416 0% 0.5%  
417 0.1% 0.4%  
418 0.1% 0.4%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
421 0% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.6%  
309 0.1% 99.5%  
310 0.2% 99.4%  
311 0.3% 99.2%  
312 0.4% 98.9%  
313 0.2% 98.6%  
314 0.5% 98%  
315 0.3% 98%  
316 0.7% 98%  
317 0.7% 97%  
318 0.7% 96%  
319 0.8% 95%  
320 1.0% 95%  
321 1.1% 94%  
322 2% 93%  
323 1.1% 91%  
324 2% 90%  
325 1.2% 88%  
326 2% 87%  
327 2% 85%  
328 2% 83%  
329 2% 81%  
330 3% 79%  
331 2% 76%  
332 3% 74%  
333 3% 72%  
334 3% 69%  
335 3% 66%  
336 3% 63%  
337 3% 60%  
338 3% 57%  
339 3% 54%  
340 3% 51% Last Result, Median
341 3% 48%  
342 3% 45%  
343 2% 42%  
344 4% 39%  
345 2% 36%  
346 2% 33%  
347 2% 31%  
348 2% 28%  
349 2% 26%  
350 2% 24%  
351 2% 22%  
352 2% 20%  
353 1.1% 18%  
354 2% 17%  
355 1.1% 15% Majority
356 1.5% 14%  
357 2% 13%  
358 1.0% 11%  
359 0.7% 10%  
360 0.6% 9%  
361 0.9% 9%  
362 0.7% 8%  
363 0.6% 7%  
364 0.7% 6%  
365 0.4% 6%  
366 0.3% 5%  
367 0.7% 5%  
368 0.7% 4%  
369 0.3% 4%  
370 0.4% 3%  
371 0.4% 3%  
372 0.3% 3%  
373 0.4% 2%  
374 0.3% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.1% 1.4%  
377 0.2% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 1.0%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.7%  
381 0.1% 0.6%  
382 0.1% 0.5%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0% 99.6%  
294 0.1% 99.5%  
295 0.2% 99.4%  
296 0.3% 99.2%  
297 0.2% 98.9%  
298 0.1% 98.7%  
299 0.2% 98.6%  
300 0.6% 98%  
301 0.7% 98%  
302 0.9% 97%  
303 0.4% 96%  
304 0.2% 96%  
305 0.7% 96%  
306 2% 95%  
307 2% 93%  
308 0.9% 91%  
309 0.5% 90%  
310 1.0% 90%  
311 2% 89%  
312 3% 87%  
313 2% 83%  
314 1.5% 81%  
315 1.1% 80%  
316 2% 78%  
317 3% 77%  
318 2% 73%  
319 3% 71%  
320 2% 68%  
321 2% 66%  
322 3% 64%  
323 4% 61%  
324 3% 57%  
325 3% 55%  
326 3% 52% Median
327 3% 49%  
328 4% 46%  
329 3% 42%  
330 3% 40%  
331 4% 37%  
332 3% 33%  
333 2% 30%  
334 2% 28%  
335 2% 26%  
336 3% 24%  
337 2% 20%  
338 1.1% 18%  
339 2% 17%  
340 2% 15%  
341 2% 13%  
342 2% 12%  
343 0.8% 10%  
344 0.4% 9%  
345 1.1% 9%  
346 1.0% 7%  
347 0.7% 6%  
348 1.0% 6%  
349 0.2% 5%  
350 0.3% 5%  
351 0.6% 4%  
352 0.5% 4%  
353 0.5% 3%  
354 0.3% 3%  
355 0.2% 2% Majority
356 0.2% 2%  
357 0.2% 2%  
358 0.2% 2%  
359 0.3% 2%  
360 0.1% 1.3%  
361 0.2% 1.1%  
362 0.1% 1.0%  
363 0.1% 0.9%  
364 0.1% 0.8%  
365 0.1% 0.7%  
366 0.1% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.5%  
368 0.1% 0.5%  
369 0% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0% 0.3%  
372 0.1% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0% 99.7%  
271 0% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.5%  
274 0.1% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.3%  
276 0.1% 99.2%  
277 0.1% 99.1%  
278 0.3% 99.0%  
279 0.3% 98.6%  
280 0.1% 98%  
281 0.3% 98%  
282 0.6% 98%  
283 0.2% 97%  
284 0.4% 97%  
285 0.3% 97%  
286 0.8% 96%  
287 0.4% 96%  
288 0.3% 95%  
289 0.8% 95%  
290 0.4% 94%  
291 0.6% 94%  
292 0.3% 93%  
293 0.4% 93%  
294 0.9% 92%  
295 0.7% 91%  
296 0.4% 91%  
297 0.6% 90%  
298 1.3% 90%  
299 0.7% 88%  
300 1.3% 88% Last Result
301 1.1% 86%  
302 1.3% 85%  
303 2% 84%  
304 2% 82%  
305 1.1% 81%  
306 2% 80%  
307 3% 78%  
308 2% 75%  
309 2% 73%  
310 2% 71%  
311 2% 68%  
312 3% 66%  
313 4% 63%  
314 4% 59%  
315 2% 56%  
316 3% 54%  
317 3% 51%  
318 4% 47% Median
319 2% 43%  
320 3% 41%  
321 4% 38%  
322 3% 34%  
323 3% 31%  
324 3% 29%  
325 3% 26%  
326 3% 23%  
327 2% 21%  
328 2% 18%  
329 2% 17%  
330 2% 14%  
331 1.2% 12%  
332 1.3% 11%  
333 2% 10%  
334 1.4% 8%  
335 0.8% 7%  
336 0.8% 6%  
337 0.7% 5%  
338 0.8% 4%  
339 0.7% 4%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.4% 3%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.3% 1.4%  
345 0.2% 1.2%  
346 0.2% 1.0%  
347 0.2% 0.7%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0.1% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.7%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.1% 99.6%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.5%  
273 0.1% 99.4%  
274 0.1% 99.3%  
275 0.1% 99.2%  
276 0.1% 99.1%  
277 0.1% 98.9%  
278 0.1% 98.8%  
279 0.2% 98.7%  
280 0.2% 98.5%  
281 0.2% 98%  
282 0.3% 98%  
283 0.2% 98%  
284 0.3% 98%  
285 0.6% 97%  
286 0.2% 97%  
287 0.2% 97%  
288 0.6% 96%  
289 0.3% 96%  
290 0.5% 95%  
291 0.8% 95%  
292 0.4% 94%  
293 0.9% 94%  
294 0.6% 93%  
295 0.8% 92%  
296 1.0% 91%  
297 1.0% 90%  
298 0.7% 89%  
299 1.2% 89%  
300 1.4% 87%  
301 1.3% 86%  
302 1.2% 85%  
303 2% 84%  
304 2% 82%  
305 2% 79%  
306 2% 77%  
307 3% 76%  
308 3% 73%  
309 2% 70%  
310 3% 67%  
311 2% 64%  
312 4% 62%  
313 3% 58%  
314 3% 54%  
315 3% 51%  
316 3% 48%  
317 4% 46% Median
318 3% 42%  
319 3% 39%  
320 2% 36%  
321 3% 33%  
322 2% 30%  
323 3% 28%  
324 2% 25%  
325 2% 23%  
326 2% 21% Last Result
327 2% 19%  
328 3% 17%  
329 1.1% 14%  
330 2% 13%  
331 2% 11%  
332 1.3% 10%  
333 1.3% 8%  
334 1.0% 7%  
335 1.1% 6%  
336 0.8% 5%  
337 0.7% 4%  
338 0.7% 3%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.6% 2%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.3% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.3%  
344 0.2% 1.0%  
345 0.2% 0.9%  
346 0.1% 0.7%  
347 0.1% 0.6%  
348 0.1% 0.5%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0.1% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0.1% 99.6%  
243 0.1% 99.5%  
244 0.2% 99.4%  
245 0.2% 99.2%  
246 0.3% 99.0%  
247 0.2% 98.7%  
248 0.5% 98.5%  
249 0.5% 98%  
250 0.5% 98%  
251 0.7% 97%  
252 1.0% 96%  
253 1.0% 95%  
254 1.2% 94%  
255 1.4% 93%  
256 2% 92%  
257 1.5% 90%  
258 1.4% 89%  
259 3% 87%  
260 2% 85%  
261 2% 83%  
262 2% 81%  
263 3% 79%  
264 2% 76%  
265 2% 75%  
266 2% 72%  
267 2% 70%  
268 3% 68%  
269 2% 65%  
270 2% 63%  
271 3% 60%  
272 4% 58%  
273 2% 54% Median
274 4% 51%  
275 4% 48%  
276 4% 44%  
277 3% 40%  
278 4% 37%  
279 4% 33%  
280 3% 29%  
281 3% 26%  
282 3% 24%  
283 3% 20%  
284 2% 18%  
285 2% 16%  
286 2% 14%  
287 1.3% 12%  
288 1.3% 11%  
289 1.2% 9%  
290 0.8% 8%  
291 0.9% 7%  
292 0.7% 7%  
293 0.6% 6%  
294 0.6% 5%  
295 0.5% 5%  
296 0.5% 4%  
297 0.4% 4%  
298 0.4% 3%  
299 0.3% 3%  
300 0.3% 3%  
301 0.3% 2%  
302 0.2% 2%  
303 0.3% 2%  
304 0.3% 1.5%  
305 0.2% 1.2%  
306 0.1% 1.0%  
307 0.2% 0.9%  
308 0.1% 0.6%  
309 0.1% 0.6%  
310 0.1% 0.4%  
311 0.1% 0.4%  
312 0% 0.3%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0.1% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0% 99.6%  
145 0% 99.6%  
146 0% 99.5%  
147 0.1% 99.5%  
148 0.1% 99.4%  
149 0.2% 99.3%  
150 0.2% 99.1%  
151 0.3% 98.9%  
152 0.3% 98.6%  
153 0.4% 98%  
154 0.5% 98%  
155 0.6% 97%  
156 0.9% 97%  
157 1.0% 96%  
158 1.1% 95%  
159 0.7% 94%  
160 2% 93%  
161 2% 91%  
162 2% 89%  
163 2% 87%  
164 2% 85%  
165 2% 83%  
166 3% 80%  
167 2% 77%  
168 3% 75%  
169 4% 72%  
170 4% 68%  
171 4% 64%  
172 3% 60%  
173 3% 56%  
174 3% 53% Median
175 4% 50%  
176 4% 46%  
177 4% 42%  
178 4% 39%  
179 3% 35%  
180 3% 32%  
181 3% 28%  
182 2% 25%  
183 3% 23%  
184 3% 19%  
185 2% 17%  
186 2% 15%  
187 2% 13%  
188 1.3% 11%  
189 1.3% 10%  
190 2% 9%  
191 0.9% 6%  
192 1.0% 6%  
193 0.7% 5%  
194 0.7% 4%  
195 0.4% 3%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.7% 3%  
198 0.4% 2%  
199 0.2% 1.4%  
200 0.2% 1.2%  
201 0.1% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.8%  
203 0.1% 0.7%  
204 0.1% 0.6%  
205 0.1% 0.5%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.1% 99.5%  
116 0.2% 99.4%  
117 0.1% 99.3%  
118 0.1% 99.1%  
119 0.4% 99.0%  
120 0.2% 98.6%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0.3% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.4% 98%  
125 0.5% 97%  
126 0.4% 97%  
127 0.2% 96%  
128 0.6% 96%  
129 0.2% 95%  
130 0.3% 95%  
131 0.7% 95%  
132 0.3% 94%  
133 0.4% 94%  
134 0.4% 94%  
135 0.2% 93%  
136 0.3% 93%  
137 0.2% 93%  
138 0.2% 92%  
139 0.2% 92%  
140 0.2% 92%  
141 0.2% 92%  
142 0.2% 92%  
143 0.2% 92%  
144 0.2% 91%  
145 0.3% 91%  
146 0.3% 91%  
147 0.4% 90%  
148 0.6% 90%  
149 0.5% 89%  
150 1.0% 89%  
151 0.8% 88%  
152 1.2% 87%  
153 1.1% 86%  
154 2% 85%  
155 2% 83%  
156 2% 81%  
157 2% 80%  
158 3% 77%  
159 2% 74%  
160 3% 72%  
161 3% 69%  
162 3% 66%  
163 4% 63%  
164 4% 59%  
165 4% 55%  
166 4% 51% Median
167 3% 48%  
168 4% 44%  
169 4% 40%  
170 4% 36%  
171 3% 32%  
172 3% 29%  
173 3% 26%  
174 3% 23%  
175 3% 20%  
176 2% 17%  
177 3% 15%  
178 1.4% 13%  
179 2% 11%  
180 2% 9%  
181 1.4% 8%  
182 1.0% 6%  
183 1.1% 5%  
184 0.8% 4%  
185 0.6% 3%  
186 0.6% 3%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.4% 1.4%  
190 0.3% 1.1%  
191 0.2% 0.8%  
192 0.2% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations