Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 28 November–10 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.0% 28.2–31.9% 27.7–32.5% 27.3–32.9% 26.5–33.9%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.5–20.6% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.5% 16.0–22.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.5% 15.1–18.1% 14.7–18.6% 14.4–18.9% 13.7–19.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 222 209–236 205–240 202–243 195–250
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 140 129–152 126–156 123–159 118–165
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 112–133 108–137 107–140 102–145
Alternative für Deutschland 94 67 58–75 56–78 55–81 51–85
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 53 45–61 43–63 41–65 39–69
Die Linke 69 53 45–60 43–63 41–65 39–69
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 44–60 43–62 41–64 38–68

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.8%  
194 0.1% 99.7%  
195 0.1% 99.6%  
196 0.1% 99.5%  
197 0.2% 99.3%  
198 0.4% 99.2%  
199 0.4% 98.8%  
200 0.3% 98% Last Result
201 0.4% 98%  
202 0.7% 98%  
203 0.8% 97%  
204 0.7% 96%  
205 0.9% 95%  
206 2% 95%  
207 1.2% 93%  
208 1.2% 92%  
209 2% 91%  
210 3% 89%  
211 2% 86%  
212 2% 84%  
213 4% 82%  
214 3% 78%  
215 2% 76%  
216 3% 73%  
217 4% 70%  
218 3% 66%  
219 2% 63%  
220 4% 60%  
221 4% 56%  
222 3% 52% Median
223 4% 49%  
224 4% 45%  
225 4% 41%  
226 3% 37%  
227 3% 34%  
228 3% 30%  
229 3% 27%  
230 2% 24%  
231 2% 21%  
232 4% 19%  
233 2% 16%  
234 2% 14%  
235 2% 12%  
236 2% 10%  
237 2% 9%  
238 1.0% 7%  
239 1.1% 6%  
240 1.0% 5%  
241 0.7% 4%  
242 0.4% 3%  
243 0.6% 3%  
244 0.6% 2%  
245 0.3% 2%  
246 0.3% 2%  
247 0.3% 1.2%  
248 0.3% 1.0%  
249 0.1% 0.7%  
250 0.1% 0.6%  
251 0.2% 0.5%  
252 0.1% 0.3%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.2%  
255 0.1% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.7%  
118 0.2% 99.6%  
119 0.3% 99.4%  
120 0.3% 99.1%  
121 0.4% 98.8%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 0.7% 98%  
124 0.7% 97%  
125 1.1% 97%  
126 1.5% 95%  
127 2% 94%  
128 1.4% 92%  
129 2% 91%  
130 2% 89%  
131 3% 87%  
132 2% 83%  
133 4% 81%  
134 4% 77%  
135 4% 74%  
136 4% 70%  
137 4% 66%  
138 3% 62%  
139 5% 58%  
140 5% 53% Median
141 5% 48%  
142 3% 43%  
143 4% 40%  
144 4% 36%  
145 4% 32%  
146 3% 28%  
147 4% 25%  
148 3% 21%  
149 3% 19%  
150 2% 15%  
151 2% 13%  
152 2% 11%  
153 2% 9%  
154 1.3% 7%  
155 1.1% 6%  
156 1.0% 5%  
157 0.9% 4%  
158 0.8% 3%  
159 0.5% 3%  
160 0.3% 2%  
161 0.5% 2%  
162 0.2% 1.2%  
163 0.3% 1.0%  
164 0.1% 0.7%  
165 0.1% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.2% 99.5%  
103 0.2% 99.4%  
104 0.4% 99.1%  
105 0.7% 98.8%  
106 0.6% 98%  
107 1.2% 98%  
108 1.4% 96%  
109 1.2% 95%  
110 2% 94%  
111 2% 92%  
112 1.2% 90%  
113 2% 89%  
114 3% 87%  
115 3% 84%  
116 3% 81%  
117 5% 78%  
118 7% 73%  
119 4% 66%  
120 5% 62%  
121 6% 56%  
122 3% 50% Median
123 3% 47%  
124 4% 44%  
125 3% 40%  
126 2% 37%  
127 4% 34%  
128 4% 30%  
129 3% 25%  
130 4% 22%  
131 4% 18%  
132 3% 14%  
133 1.5% 11%  
134 2% 10%  
135 1.3% 8%  
136 0.6% 7%  
137 1.0% 6%  
138 1.1% 5%  
139 0.8% 4%  
140 0.8% 3%  
141 0.7% 2%  
142 0.5% 2%  
143 0.2% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 0.8%  
145 0.2% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.6%  
52 0.3% 99.5%  
53 0.5% 99.1%  
54 0.8% 98.6%  
55 2% 98%  
56 2% 96%  
57 3% 94%  
58 2% 92%  
59 2% 89%  
60 3% 88%  
61 4% 85%  
62 4% 80%  
63 5% 76%  
64 7% 71%  
65 7% 64%  
66 7% 57%  
67 6% 50% Median
68 6% 44%  
69 4% 38%  
70 4% 34%  
71 4% 30%  
72 5% 26%  
73 4% 22%  
74 4% 17%  
75 4% 13%  
76 2% 9%  
77 2% 7%  
78 1.2% 6%  
79 0.9% 4%  
80 0.7% 3%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.5% 1.4%  
84 0.3% 1.0%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0.1% 99.8%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.6% 99.6%  
40 0.2% 99.0%  
41 2% 98.8%  
42 0.5% 97%  
43 3% 97%  
44 0.5% 93%  
45 6% 93%  
46 0.9% 87%  
47 8% 86%  
48 1.4% 79%  
49 12% 77%  
50 1.2% 66%  
51 11% 64%  
52 2% 54%  
53 12% 52% Median
54 1.4% 40%  
55 12% 39%  
56 2% 27%  
57 7% 26%  
58 0.9% 18%  
59 7% 18%  
60 0.9% 11%  
61 4% 10%  
62 0.7% 6%  
63 2% 6%  
64 0.5% 4%  
65 1.4% 3%  
66 0.3% 2%  
67 0.6% 1.5%  
68 0.2% 0.9%  
69 0.3% 0.7%  
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.2% 99.7%  
39 0.4% 99.5%  
40 0.5% 99.1%  
41 2% 98.6%  
42 1.3% 97%  
43 1.4% 96%  
44 3% 94%  
45 3% 92%  
46 4% 89%  
47 4% 85%  
48 3% 81%  
49 7% 78%  
50 9% 71%  
51 6% 62%  
52 7% 57%  
53 8% 50% Median
54 6% 42%  
55 7% 36%  
56 5% 29%  
57 4% 25%  
58 5% 20%  
59 2% 15%  
60 3% 13%  
61 3% 10%  
62 1.2% 7%  
63 2% 6%  
64 1.1% 4%  
65 1.0% 3%  
66 0.8% 2%  
67 0.3% 1.2%  
68 0.2% 0.9%  
69 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.3% 99.6%  
39 0.4% 99.3%  
40 0.8% 98.9%  
41 1.1% 98%  
42 2% 97%  
43 2% 95%  
44 3% 93%  
45 3% 90%  
46 4% 87% Last Result
47 5% 82%  
48 7% 77%  
49 6% 71%  
50 7% 65%  
51 7% 58%  
52 6% 51% Median
53 7% 45%  
54 6% 38%  
55 7% 33%  
56 5% 26%  
57 4% 21%  
58 3% 17%  
59 3% 13%  
60 2% 10%  
61 2% 8%  
62 2% 6%  
63 0.9% 4%  
64 0.9% 3%  
65 0.6% 2%  
66 0.4% 1.4%  
67 0.4% 1.0%  
68 0.2% 0.6%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 537 100% 524–550 521–553 518–556 511–566
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 467 100% 453–481 449–485 446–488 439–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 449 100% 435–463 431–467 427–470 420–478
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 415 100% 400–429 396–433 392–437 386–445
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 396 100% 382–411 378–415 374–419 368–428
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 394 99.9% 379–408 375–412 371–415 364–423
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 341 13% 326–356 323–360 318–364 311–372
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 326 0.7% 312–341 308–345 304–349 296–356
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 315 0.1% 301–330 297–334 294–338 286–345
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 315 0.1% 301–330 297–334 293–338 286–346
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 263 0% 249–277 245–282 242–285 235–292
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 175 0% 162–188 159–192 157–195 149–201
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 175 0% 163–188 159–191 156–194 149–201

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 99.9%  
506 0% 99.9%  
507 0% 99.9%  
508 0.1% 99.8%  
509 0.1% 99.8%  
510 0.1% 99.7%  
511 0.2% 99.6%  
512 0.2% 99.4%  
513 0.2% 99.2%  
514 0.3% 99.0%  
515 0.3% 98.8%  
516 0.4% 98%  
517 0.5% 98%  
518 0.6% 98%  
519 0.7% 97%  
520 1.0% 96%  
521 1.4% 95%  
522 1.3% 94%  
523 2% 93%  
524 2% 91%  
525 2% 89%  
526 2% 87%  
527 2% 85%  
528 2% 83%  
529 3% 81%  
530 3% 78%  
531 3% 75%  
532 4% 71%  
533 4% 67%  
534 4% 63%  
535 3% 59%  
536 4% 56% Median
537 4% 52%  
538 3% 47%  
539 4% 44%  
540 4% 41%  
541 3% 36%  
542 5% 33%  
543 4% 28%  
544 4% 25%  
545 3% 21%  
546 2% 18%  
547 2% 16%  
548 2% 14%  
549 2% 12%  
550 2% 11%  
551 1.4% 8%  
552 2% 7%  
553 0.9% 6%  
554 1.2% 5%  
555 0.7% 3%  
556 0.4% 3%  
557 0.5% 2%  
558 0.2% 2%  
559 0.3% 2%  
560 0.2% 1.3%  
561 0.3% 1.1%  
562 0.1% 0.9%  
563 0.1% 0.8%  
564 0.1% 0.6%  
565 0.1% 0.6%  
566 0% 0.5%  
567 0% 0.5%  
568 0% 0.5%  
569 0% 0.4%  
570 0% 0.4%  
571 0% 0.4%  
572 0% 0.4%  
573 0% 0.4%  
574 0% 0.3%  
575 0% 0.3%  
576 0% 0.3%  
577 0% 0.3%  
578 0% 0.2%  
579 0% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.2%  
582 0% 0.2%  
583 0% 0.2%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0.1%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0.1%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.6%  
439 0.1% 99.5%  
440 0.2% 99.4%  
441 0.2% 99.2%  
442 0.4% 99.0%  
443 0.3% 98.6%  
444 0.4% 98%  
445 0.4% 98%  
446 0.8% 98%  
447 0.6% 97%  
448 0.8% 96%  
449 0.7% 95%  
450 0.8% 95%  
451 2% 94%  
452 1.3% 92%  
453 1.3% 91%  
454 2% 90%  
455 2% 87%  
456 3% 86%  
457 2% 83%  
458 2% 81%  
459 3% 79%  
460 3% 76%  
461 3% 72%  
462 3% 69%  
463 4% 66%  
464 4% 63%  
465 3% 58%  
466 4% 55%  
467 3% 51% Median
468 4% 47%  
469 3% 44%  
470 3% 40%  
471 4% 38%  
472 5% 34%  
473 2% 29%  
474 3% 27%  
475 3% 24%  
476 2% 21%  
477 3% 19%  
478 2% 16%  
479 2% 14%  
480 2% 12%  
481 2% 10%  
482 1.4% 9%  
483 1.0% 7%  
484 1.1% 6%  
485 1.0% 5%  
486 1.0% 4%  
487 0.5% 3%  
488 0.4% 3%  
489 0.5% 2%  
490 0.3% 2%  
491 0.2% 1.4%  
492 0.2% 1.2%  
493 0.2% 1.0%  
494 0.2% 0.8%  
495 0.1% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0.1% 0.4%  
498 0.1% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.8%  
417 0.1% 99.8%  
418 0.1% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.6%  
420 0.1% 99.6%  
421 0.2% 99.5%  
422 0.2% 99.3%  
423 0.2% 99.1%  
424 0.3% 98.9%  
425 0.4% 98.6%  
426 0.4% 98%  
427 0.5% 98%  
428 0.5% 97%  
429 0.9% 97%  
430 0.7% 96%  
431 0.7% 95%  
432 1.0% 95%  
433 1.2% 94%  
434 1.5% 92%  
435 1.5% 91%  
436 2% 89%  
437 2% 88%  
438 2% 86%  
439 2% 84%  
440 3% 82%  
441 3% 79%  
442 4% 76%  
443 3% 72%  
444 3% 70%  
445 3% 67%  
446 5% 64%  
447 3% 59%  
448 4% 56%  
449 3% 52% Median
450 5% 48%  
451 3% 43%  
452 3% 40%  
453 2% 37%  
454 4% 34%  
455 3% 30%  
456 2% 27%  
457 2% 25%  
458 2% 22%  
459 3% 20%  
460 2% 17%  
461 2% 14%  
462 2% 13%  
463 2% 11%  
464 1.3% 9%  
465 1.3% 8%  
466 0.9% 7%  
467 1.2% 6%  
468 1.0% 4%  
469 0.5% 3%  
470 0.5% 3%  
471 0.5% 2%  
472 0.3% 2%  
473 0.3% 2%  
474 0.2% 1.3%  
475 0.2% 1.1%  
476 0.2% 0.8%  
477 0.1% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.5%  
479 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
480 0.1% 0.3%  
481 0.1% 0.3%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.2% 99.5%  
387 0.1% 99.3%  
388 0.2% 99.2%  
389 0.3% 99.0%  
390 0.3% 98.7%  
391 0.5% 98%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.9% 97%  
394 0.5% 97%  
395 0.7% 96%  
396 0.7% 95%  
397 1.1% 95%  
398 1.0% 94%  
399 1.5% 93%  
400 2% 91%  
401 2% 89%  
402 2% 88%  
403 2% 86%  
404 2% 83%  
405 2% 81%  
406 3% 79%  
407 4% 75%  
408 2% 72%  
409 4% 70%  
410 3% 66%  
411 3% 63%  
412 3% 60%  
413 3% 57%  
414 3% 54% Median
415 4% 50%  
416 6% 47%  
417 3% 41%  
418 3% 38%  
419 3% 35%  
420 2% 32%  
421 4% 30%  
422 2% 26%  
423 3% 24%  
424 2% 21%  
425 3% 19%  
426 2% 16%  
427 1.3% 14%  
428 2% 12%  
429 2% 11%  
430 1.4% 9%  
431 1.0% 8%  
432 1.3% 6%  
433 0.8% 5%  
434 0.8% 4%  
435 0.4% 4%  
436 0.5% 3%  
437 0.4% 3%  
438 0.5% 2%  
439 0.4% 2%  
440 0.3% 1.5%  
441 0.2% 1.2%  
442 0.2% 1.0%  
443 0.1% 0.8%  
444 0.1% 0.7%  
445 0.1% 0.6%  
446 0.1% 0.5%  
447 0.1% 0.4%  
448 0% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.2% 99.5%  
369 0.1% 99.3%  
370 0.3% 99.2%  
371 0.3% 98.9%  
372 0.3% 98.6%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 0.6% 98%  
375 0.6% 97%  
376 0.5% 97%  
377 0.9% 96%  
378 1.2% 95%  
379 0.9% 94%  
380 1.1% 93%  
381 0.8% 92%  
382 1.4% 91%  
383 2% 90%  
384 2% 88%  
385 2% 86%  
386 2% 84%  
387 2% 82%  
388 2% 80%  
389 3% 77%  
390 3% 74%  
391 3% 71%  
392 3% 67%  
393 4% 64%  
394 3% 60%  
395 4% 57%  
396 4% 53% Median
397 4% 49%  
398 2% 45%  
399 3% 43% Last Result
400 3% 39%  
401 4% 36%  
402 2% 32%  
403 3% 30%  
404 3% 27%  
405 2% 24%  
406 2% 22%  
407 3% 20%  
408 2% 17%  
409 1.5% 15%  
410 2% 14%  
411 2% 11%  
412 0.8% 9%  
413 1.4% 8%  
414 1.4% 7%  
415 0.9% 5%  
416 0.5% 4%  
417 0.6% 4%  
418 0.7% 3%  
419 0.6% 3%  
420 0.3% 2%  
421 0.3% 2%  
422 0.2% 1.4%  
423 0.2% 1.3%  
424 0.2% 1.1%  
425 0.2% 0.9%  
426 0.1% 0.7%  
427 0.1% 0.6%  
428 0.1% 0.5%  
429 0.1% 0.4%  
430 0.1% 0.3%  
431 0% 0.3%  
432 0% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.1% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.4%  
366 0.2% 99.2%  
367 0.1% 99.0%  
368 0.2% 98.9%  
369 0.7% 98.6%  
370 0.3% 98%  
371 0.2% 98%  
372 0.7% 97%  
373 1.0% 97%  
374 0.6% 96%  
375 0.6% 95%  
376 2% 94%  
377 1.1% 93%  
378 0.9% 92%  
379 1.0% 91%  
380 3% 90%  
381 2% 87%  
382 1.4% 86%  
383 2% 84%  
384 4% 82%  
385 3% 78%  
386 1.1% 75%  
387 5% 74%  
388 3% 69%  
389 3% 66%  
390 1.5% 63%  
391 4% 62%  
392 4% 57%  
393 2% 53%  
394 2% 51% Median
395 5% 49%  
396 4% 44%  
397 2% 40%  
398 4% 38%  
399 5% 33%  
400 3% 29%  
401 2% 26%  
402 3% 24%  
403 3% 21%  
404 2% 18%  
405 1.2% 16%  
406 2% 15%  
407 2% 13%  
408 2% 11%  
409 0.9% 9%  
410 2% 8%  
411 1.1% 6%  
412 0.5% 5%  
413 1.0% 5%  
414 0.8% 4%  
415 0.7% 3%  
416 0.3% 2%  
417 0.4% 2%  
418 0.4% 2%  
419 0.2% 1.3%  
420 0.1% 1.1% Last Result
421 0.2% 0.9%  
422 0.2% 0.7%  
423 0.1% 0.5%  
424 0.1% 0.5%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0.1% 99.6%  
312 0.1% 99.4%  
313 0.1% 99.3%  
314 0.2% 99.2%  
315 0.2% 99.1%  
316 0.3% 98.9%  
317 0.6% 98.6%  
318 0.5% 98%  
319 0.7% 97%  
320 0.7% 97%  
321 0.4% 96%  
322 0.6% 96%  
323 0.7% 95%  
324 1.2% 94%  
325 2% 93%  
326 2% 91%  
327 2% 89%  
328 2% 87%  
329 1.2% 86%  
330 1.2% 85%  
331 2% 83%  
332 4% 81%  
333 3% 77%  
334 4% 74%  
335 3% 70%  
336 2% 67%  
337 1.3% 65%  
338 3% 63%  
339 5% 60%  
340 4% 56% Last Result
341 4% 52% Median
342 5% 48%  
343 3% 43%  
344 2% 40%  
345 2% 38%  
346 3% 36%  
347 3% 33%  
348 4% 30%  
349 4% 26%  
350 4% 22%  
351 2% 18%  
352 1.2% 17%  
353 1.4% 16%  
354 1.5% 14%  
355 2% 13% Majority
356 2% 11%  
357 2% 9%  
358 1.0% 7%  
359 0.7% 6%  
360 0.4% 5%  
361 0.5% 5%  
362 0.6% 4%  
363 0.7% 3%  
364 0.8% 3%  
365 0.6% 2%  
366 0.3% 1.5%  
367 0.2% 1.2%  
368 0.1% 1.1%  
369 0.1% 1.0%  
370 0.2% 0.8%  
371 0.2% 0.7%  
372 0.1% 0.5%  
373 0.1% 0.4%  
374 0% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0.1% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.7%  
295 0.1% 99.6%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.1% 99.5%  
298 0.2% 99.4%  
299 0.2% 99.2%  
300 0.3% 99.0%  
301 0.2% 98.8%  
302 0.3% 98.5%  
303 0.5% 98%  
304 0.4% 98%  
305 0.6% 97%  
306 0.6% 97%  
307 0.8% 96%  
308 0.9% 95%  
309 1.2% 94%  
310 1.5% 93%  
311 1.3% 92%  
312 1.3% 91%  
313 2% 89%  
314 2% 88%  
315 2% 86%  
316 3% 84%  
317 2% 81%  
318 3% 79%  
319 3% 76%  
320 3% 73%  
321 3% 70%  
322 3% 67%  
323 3% 64%  
324 4% 61%  
325 4% 57%  
326 3% 52% Last Result
327 3% 50% Median
328 3% 46%  
329 3% 44%  
330 3% 41%  
331 5% 37%  
332 3% 32%  
333 2% 29%  
334 3% 27%  
335 2% 24%  
336 3% 22%  
337 2% 19%  
338 3% 17%  
339 2% 14%  
340 2% 12%  
341 2% 11%  
342 2% 9%  
343 0.8% 8%  
344 1.1% 7%  
345 1.1% 6%  
346 0.5% 5%  
347 0.8% 4%  
348 0.5% 3%  
349 0.5% 3%  
350 0.5% 2%  
351 0.4% 2%  
352 0.2% 1.3%  
353 0.2% 1.1%  
354 0.2% 0.9%  
355 0.1% 0.7% Majority
356 0.1% 0.6%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0.1% 0.3%  
359 0.1% 0.3%  
360 0.1% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.1% 99.6%  
286 0.1% 99.5%  
287 0.2% 99.5%  
288 0.2% 99.3%  
289 0.1% 99.1% Last Result
290 0.2% 98.9%  
291 0.4% 98.7%  
292 0.4% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.7% 98%  
295 0.8% 97%  
296 1.0% 96%  
297 0.5% 95%  
298 1.1% 95%  
299 2% 94%  
300 0.9% 92%  
301 2% 91%  
302 2% 89%  
303 2% 87%  
304 1.2% 85%  
305 2% 84%  
306 3% 82%  
307 3% 79%  
308 2% 76%  
309 3% 74%  
310 5% 71%  
311 4% 67%  
312 2% 62%  
313 4% 60%  
314 5% 56%  
315 2% 51% Median
316 2% 49%  
317 4% 47%  
318 4% 43%  
319 1.5% 38%  
320 3% 37%  
321 3% 34%  
322 5% 31%  
323 1.1% 26%  
324 3% 25%  
325 4% 22%  
326 2% 18%  
327 1.4% 16%  
328 2% 14%  
329 3% 13%  
330 1.0% 10%  
331 0.9% 9%  
332 1.1% 8%  
333 2% 7%  
334 0.6% 6%  
335 0.6% 5%  
336 1.0% 4%  
337 0.7% 3%  
338 0.2% 3%  
339 0.3% 2%  
340 0.7% 2%  
341 0.2% 1.4%  
342 0.1% 1.1%  
343 0.2% 1.0%  
344 0.2% 0.8%  
345 0.1% 0.6%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.1% 99.6%  
286 0.1% 99.5%  
287 0.1% 99.4%  
288 0.2% 99.4%  
289 0.2% 99.2%  
290 0.4% 99.0%  
291 0.4% 98.6%  
292 0.3% 98%  
293 0.7% 98%  
294 0.5% 97%  
295 0.8% 97%  
296 0.6% 96%  
297 1.0% 95%  
298 0.8% 94%  
299 1.1% 94%  
300 2% 93% Last Result
301 2% 91%  
302 1.1% 89%  
303 2% 88%  
304 2% 87%  
305 3% 85%  
306 3% 82%  
307 3% 79%  
308 4% 76%  
309 5% 72%  
310 3% 68%  
311 2% 65%  
312 2% 62%  
313 2% 60%  
314 5% 58%  
315 4% 53% Median
316 3% 49%  
317 3% 46%  
318 5% 43%  
319 3% 38%  
320 3% 36%  
321 3% 33%  
322 3% 30%  
323 3% 27%  
324 4% 24%  
325 2% 19%  
326 2% 17%  
327 2% 15%  
328 1.0% 13%  
329 1.2% 12%  
330 1.4% 11%  
331 1.1% 10%  
332 2% 9%  
333 2% 7%  
334 0.8% 6%  
335 0.7% 5%  
336 0.7% 4%  
337 0.6% 3%  
338 0.5% 3%  
339 0.5% 2%  
340 0.3% 2%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.3% 1.2%  
343 0.1% 0.9%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0.1% 0.6%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.7%  
235 0.1% 99.6%  
236 0.1% 99.5%  
237 0.3% 99.3%  
238 0.3% 99.0%  
239 0.2% 98.8%  
240 0.5% 98.5%  
241 0.4% 98%  
242 0.6% 98%  
243 0.9% 97%  
244 0.8% 96%  
245 0.9% 95%  
246 1.1% 95%  
247 1.1% 93%  
248 1.5% 92%  
249 2% 91%  
250 2% 89%  
251 2% 87%  
252 2% 85%  
253 2% 83%  
254 4% 81%  
255 3% 77%  
256 2% 74%  
257 4% 72%  
258 3% 69%  
259 4% 66%  
260 5% 62%  
261 3% 57%  
262 3% 54% Median
263 4% 52%  
264 4% 47%  
265 4% 44%  
266 2% 39%  
267 4% 37%  
268 3% 33%  
269 3% 30%  
270 3% 27%  
271 2% 24%  
272 2% 22%  
273 2% 20%  
274 2% 17%  
275 3% 15%  
276 2% 12%  
277 1.1% 11%  
278 1.4% 10%  
279 1.2% 8%  
280 1.4% 7%  
281 0.6% 6%  
282 1.1% 5%  
283 0.6% 4%  
284 0.5% 3%  
285 0.7% 3%  
286 0.4% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.2% 1.3%  
290 0.3% 1.0%  
291 0.2% 0.7%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0% 0.4%  
295 0.1% 0.3%  
296 0.1% 0.3%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.1% 99.5%  
151 0.2% 99.4%  
152 0.3% 99.2%  
153 0.2% 98.9%  
154 0.3% 98.7%  
155 0.4% 98%  
156 0.4% 98%  
157 0.7% 98%  
158 0.8% 97%  
159 1.2% 96%  
160 1.1% 95%  
161 2% 94%  
162 2% 92%  
163 1.4% 90%  
164 3% 89%  
165 2% 86%  
166 2% 84%  
167 3% 82%  
168 3% 78%  
169 5% 75%  
170 3% 70%  
171 4% 67%  
172 3% 63%  
173 3% 60%  
174 5% 57%  
175 3% 51% Median
176 5% 48%  
177 4% 44%  
178 4% 40%  
179 4% 36%  
180 3% 32%  
181 3% 29%  
182 2% 27%  
183 4% 24%  
184 3% 20%  
185 3% 17%  
186 2% 14%  
187 2% 12%  
188 2% 11%  
189 1.0% 9%  
190 2% 8%  
191 0.8% 6%  
192 1.4% 5%  
193 0.6% 4%  
194 0.8% 3%  
195 0.5% 3%  
196 0.3% 2%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.2% 1.3%  
199 0.4% 1.1%  
200 0.2% 0.8%  
201 0.1% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.1% 99.5%  
151 0.2% 99.3%  
152 0.3% 99.2%  
153 0.3% 98.9%  
154 0.3% 98.6%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 0.5% 97%  
158 1.0% 97%  
159 0.9% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 1.3% 93%  
162 1.4% 92%  
163 2% 91%  
164 2% 89%  
165 3% 87%  
166 3% 84%  
167 3% 81%  
168 4% 79%  
169 3% 75%  
170 3% 72%  
171 4% 68%  
172 4% 64%  
173 5% 60%  
174 4% 55%  
175 3% 52% Median
176 4% 48%  
177 5% 44%  
178 4% 39%  
179 3% 36%  
180 4% 32%  
181 4% 29%  
182 3% 25%  
183 3% 22%  
184 2% 19%  
185 3% 17%  
186 2% 14%  
187 2% 12%  
188 2% 10%  
189 1.5% 8%  
190 1.2% 7%  
191 1.0% 6%  
192 0.8% 5%  
193 0.9% 4%  
194 0.6% 3%  
195 0.5% 2%  
196 0.5% 2%  
197 0.2% 1.5%  
198 0.3% 1.3%  
199 0.2% 1.0%  
200 0.2% 0.8%  
201 0.2% 0.6%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations