Opinion Poll by GMS, 29 December 2020–4 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.0% 28.2–31.9% 27.7–32.4% 27.2–32.9% 26.4–33.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.5–19.7% 16.1–20.1% 15.8–20.5% 15.1–21.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.1% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 226 212–242 208–246 205–250 199–259
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 136 124–149 121–152 119–156 113–162
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 121 110–133 107–136 105–140 100–146
Alternative für Deutschland 94 68 59–77 57–80 55–83 52–87
Die Linke 69 60 52–69 50–72 48–74 45–79
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 46–62 43–64 42–66 39–70
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 39–53 0–55 0–57 0–61

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0.1% 99.9%  
196 0.1% 99.8%  
197 0.1% 99.7%  
198 0.1% 99.7%  
199 0.2% 99.6%  
200 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
201 0.2% 99.2%  
202 0.4% 99.0%  
203 0.4% 98.5%  
204 0.6% 98%  
205 0.5% 98%  
206 0.8% 97%  
207 0.7% 96%  
208 1.4% 96%  
209 0.9% 94%  
210 2% 93%  
211 1.2% 91%  
212 2% 90%  
213 2% 88%  
214 2% 87%  
215 2% 84%  
216 3% 83%  
217 3% 79%  
218 3% 77%  
219 3% 74%  
220 3% 71%  
221 4% 68%  
222 3% 64%  
223 2% 61%  
224 4% 59%  
225 3% 55%  
226 4% 52% Median
227 4% 48%  
228 3% 44%  
229 3% 41%  
230 4% 38%  
231 2% 35%  
232 2% 32%  
233 3% 30%  
234 2% 27%  
235 2% 25%  
236 3% 23%  
237 2% 20%  
238 2% 18%  
239 3% 16%  
240 1.4% 13%  
241 1.2% 12%  
242 2% 11%  
243 1.3% 9%  
244 1.2% 8%  
245 0.9% 6%  
246 0.7% 6%  
247 0.9% 5%  
248 0.9% 4%  
249 0.5% 3%  
250 0.4% 3%  
251 0.3% 2%  
252 0.2% 2%  
253 0.2% 2%  
254 0.3% 2%  
255 0.2% 1.3%  
256 0.1% 1.1%  
257 0.2% 1.0%  
258 0.2% 0.8%  
259 0.2% 0.5%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.3%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.2% 99.5%  
115 0.3% 99.3%  
116 0.4% 99.0%  
117 0.5% 98.7%  
118 0.7% 98%  
119 0.6% 98%  
120 1.1% 97%  
121 1.0% 96%  
122 1.1% 95%  
123 2% 94%  
124 2% 92%  
125 2% 90%  
126 3% 88%  
127 2% 85%  
128 3% 83%  
129 4% 80%  
130 3% 76%  
131 4% 73%  
132 4% 69%  
133 4% 66%  
134 4% 61%  
135 4% 57%  
136 5% 53% Median
137 3% 48%  
138 4% 45%  
139 5% 41%  
140 3% 36%  
141 4% 32%  
142 3% 29%  
143 4% 25%  
144 3% 22%  
145 2% 19%  
146 2% 17%  
147 3% 14%  
148 2% 12%  
149 1.4% 10%  
150 1.4% 9%  
151 2% 8%  
152 1.1% 6%  
153 0.7% 5%  
154 0.8% 4%  
155 0.4% 3%  
156 0.7% 3%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.4% 2%  
159 0.3% 1.3%  
160 0.2% 1.1%  
161 0.2% 0.9%  
162 0.2% 0.7%  
163 0.1% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.6%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 0.3% 99.0%  
103 0.5% 98.7%  
104 0.7% 98%  
105 0.6% 98%  
106 1.0% 97%  
107 1.4% 96%  
108 2% 95%  
109 2% 93%  
110 2% 91%  
111 2% 89%  
112 2% 87%  
113 3% 84%  
114 3% 81%  
115 4% 78%  
116 4% 74%  
117 6% 70%  
118 2% 64%  
119 6% 62%  
120 2% 56%  
121 6% 53% Median
122 3% 48%  
123 6% 45%  
124 3% 38%  
125 4% 35%  
126 3% 31%  
127 3% 28%  
128 4% 25%  
129 3% 21%  
130 4% 18%  
131 2% 15%  
132 3% 13%  
133 1.0% 11%  
134 2% 10%  
135 0.8% 7%  
136 2% 7%  
137 0.5% 5%  
138 1.2% 4%  
139 0.5% 3%  
140 0.4% 3%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.3% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.4%  
144 0.2% 1.0%  
145 0.2% 0.8%  
146 0.1% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.5%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.7%  
52 0.3% 99.6%  
53 0.4% 99.3%  
54 0.8% 98.9%  
55 0.9% 98%  
56 1.4% 97%  
57 2% 96%  
58 2% 94%  
59 2% 92%  
60 3% 90%  
61 4% 87%  
62 4% 83%  
63 5% 79%  
64 4% 74%  
65 6% 70%  
66 5% 65%  
67 6% 60%  
68 6% 54% Median
69 7% 47%  
70 5% 41%  
71 5% 36%  
72 4% 31%  
73 5% 26%  
74 3% 21%  
75 4% 18%  
76 3% 15%  
77 3% 12%  
78 1.4% 9%  
79 2% 8%  
80 0.9% 6%  
81 1.2% 5%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 0.8% 3%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.4% 1.3%  
86 0.2% 0.9%  
87 0.2% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.6%  
46 0.4% 99.4%  
47 0.7% 99.0%  
48 0.9% 98%  
49 1.0% 97%  
50 1.5% 96%  
51 2% 95%  
52 3% 93%  
53 4% 90%  
54 3% 86%  
55 5% 83%  
56 5% 79%  
57 5% 73%  
58 8% 68%  
59 5% 60%  
60 5% 55% Median
61 7% 50%  
62 6% 43%  
63 4% 37%  
64 5% 32%  
65 4% 27%  
66 4% 23%  
67 4% 19%  
68 3% 15%  
69 2% 12% Last Result
70 2% 9%  
71 2% 7%  
72 1.3% 5%  
73 1.0% 4%  
74 0.7% 3%  
75 0.6% 2%  
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0.3% 1.2%  
78 0.3% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.2% 99.7%  
39 0.3% 99.5%  
40 0.5% 99.2%  
41 1.0% 98.7%  
42 1.3% 98%  
43 2% 96%  
44 2% 95%  
45 2% 93%  
46 3% 91% Last Result
47 4% 87%  
48 7% 84%  
49 4% 77%  
50 7% 72%  
51 4% 65%  
52 7% 61%  
53 5% 53% Median
54 8% 48%  
55 6% 40%  
56 7% 33%  
57 4% 27%  
58 3% 23%  
59 3% 19%  
60 4% 17%  
61 3% 13%  
62 3% 10%  
63 2% 7%  
64 1.4% 5%  
65 0.7% 4%  
66 1.1% 3%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 0.7% 2%  
69 0.3% 1.0%  
70 0.2% 0.7%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0.1% 92%  
38 2% 92%  
39 4% 90%  
40 6% 86%  
41 6% 81%  
42 6% 75%  
43 6% 69%  
44 8% 63%  
45 7% 55% Median
46 7% 49%  
47 6% 42%  
48 7% 36%  
49 5% 29%  
50 5% 24%  
51 4% 19%  
52 4% 15%  
53 3% 11%  
54 2% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 1.4% 5%  
57 0.9% 3%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.4% 1.1%  
61 0.2% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 536 100% 522–553 519–569 515–577 509–586
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 459 100% 443–474 439–477 434–481 424–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 445 100% 428–459 422–463 418–466 409–473
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 415 100% 399–433 395–442 392–450 385–460
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 400 100% 384–418 380–426 377–433 370–444
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 391 99.2% 374–407 368–410 363–414 352–421
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 347 29% 332–365 327–371 323–378 317–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 323 0.4% 305–339 299–343 292–347 278–353
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 318 0.8% 302–335 299–341 295–346 288–357
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 302 0% 283–317 275–321 269–325 256–332
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 258 0% 243–274 238–278 235–284 229–292
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 181 0% 168–196 165–200 162–204 157–212
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 149–179 132–183 124–186 115–192

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 99.9%  
504 0% 99.9%  
505 0% 99.9%  
506 0.1% 99.8%  
507 0.1% 99.8%  
508 0.1% 99.7%  
509 0.1% 99.5%  
510 0.1% 99.4%  
511 0.2% 99.3%  
512 0.3% 99.0%  
513 0.4% 98.8%  
514 0.4% 98%  
515 0.5% 98%  
516 0.6% 97%  
517 0.7% 97%  
518 0.8% 96%  
519 1.4% 95%  
520 1.3% 94%  
521 1.3% 93%  
522 1.3% 91%  
523 2% 90%  
524 2% 88%  
525 2% 86%  
526 3% 84%  
527 3% 81%  
528 2% 78%  
529 4% 75%  
530 3% 72%  
531 4% 69%  
532 3% 65%  
533 4% 62%  
534 5% 59%  
535 3% 54%  
536 4% 50% Median
537 3% 47%  
538 4% 44%  
539 3% 39%  
540 3% 36%  
541 3% 33%  
542 3% 31%  
543 4% 28%  
544 2% 24%  
545 3% 22%  
546 2% 19%  
547 1.4% 17%  
548 0.8% 16%  
549 2% 15%  
550 1.2% 13%  
551 0.8% 12%  
552 0.8% 11%  
553 0.7% 10%  
554 0.7% 10%  
555 0.3% 9%  
556 0.3% 9%  
557 0.4% 8%  
558 0.3% 8%  
559 0.3% 8%  
560 0.2% 7%  
561 0.2% 7%  
562 0.3% 7%  
563 0.1% 7%  
564 0.2% 7%  
565 0.2% 6%  
566 0.2% 6%  
567 0.5% 6%  
568 0.3% 5%  
569 0.4% 5%  
570 0.4% 5%  
571 0.1% 4%  
572 0.5% 4%  
573 0.2% 4%  
574 0.4% 4%  
575 0.3% 3%  
576 0.1% 3%  
577 0.3% 3%  
578 0.4% 2%  
579 0.2% 2%  
580 0.3% 2%  
581 0.2% 2%  
582 0.1% 1.4%  
583 0.5% 1.3%  
584 0.1% 0.8%  
585 0.2% 0.7%  
586 0.1% 0.6%  
587 0.1% 0.5%  
588 0.1% 0.4%  
589 0.1% 0.3%  
590 0.1% 0.2%  
591 0.1% 0.2%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.8%  
420 0% 99.8%  
421 0% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.6%  
425 0.1% 99.5%  
426 0.1% 99.4%  
427 0.2% 99.3%  
428 0.1% 99.1%  
429 0.3% 99.0%  
430 0.3% 98.7%  
431 0.3% 98%  
432 0.3% 98%  
433 0.3% 98%  
434 0.4% 98%  
435 0.5% 97%  
436 0.6% 97%  
437 0.5% 96%  
438 0.6% 96%  
439 1.1% 95%  
440 0.6% 94%  
441 1.2% 93%  
442 0.9% 92%  
443 1.2% 91%  
444 1.3% 90%  
445 2% 89%  
446 2% 87%  
447 2% 85%  
448 2% 83%  
449 2% 81%  
450 3% 79%  
451 2% 76%  
452 2% 74%  
453 3% 71%  
454 3% 69%  
455 3% 66%  
456 3% 62%  
457 4% 59%  
458 3% 56%  
459 3% 52%  
460 3% 49% Median
461 5% 46%  
462 3% 42%  
463 4% 39%  
464 3% 35%  
465 2% 32%  
466 3% 30%  
467 2% 27%  
468 3% 25%  
469 3% 21%  
470 2% 18%  
471 2% 16%  
472 1.4% 14%  
473 2% 12%  
474 2% 10%  
475 2% 9%  
476 1.2% 7%  
477 0.9% 6%  
478 0.9% 5%  
479 0.8% 4%  
480 0.6% 3%  
481 0.5% 3%  
482 0.4% 2%  
483 0.3% 2%  
484 0.4% 1.4%  
485 0.2% 1.0%  
486 0.2% 0.9%  
487 0.1% 0.7%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0.1% 0.4%  
490 0.1% 0.3%  
491 0.1% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.4%  
411 0.2% 99.3%  
412 0.1% 99.0%  
413 0.1% 98.9%  
414 0.1% 98.8%  
415 0.2% 98.6%  
416 0.2% 98%  
417 0.4% 98%  
418 0.5% 98%  
419 0.7% 97%  
420 0.2% 97%  
421 0.8% 96%  
422 0.7% 96%  
423 0.4% 95%  
424 0.5% 95%  
425 1.5% 94%  
426 0.6% 93%  
427 1.1% 92%  
428 2% 91%  
429 2% 89%  
430 1.0% 87%  
431 2% 86%  
432 2% 84%  
433 0.8% 82%  
434 3% 81%  
435 3% 79%  
436 2% 75%  
437 1.5% 74%  
438 4% 72%  
439 4% 68%  
440 2% 64%  
441 3% 62%  
442 3% 59%  
443 2% 56%  
444 4% 54%  
445 6% 51% Median
446 3% 45%  
447 2% 42%  
448 4% 40%  
449 4% 35%  
450 2% 31%  
451 3% 29%  
452 3% 27%  
453 1.2% 24%  
454 3% 23%  
455 4% 20%  
456 2% 16%  
457 2% 14%  
458 2% 12%  
459 1.4% 10%  
460 0.9% 9%  
461 1.2% 8%  
462 1.3% 7%  
463 0.5% 5%  
464 1.1% 5%  
465 0.9% 4%  
466 0.6% 3%  
467 0.3% 2%  
468 0.5% 2%  
469 0.2% 1.4%  
470 0.2% 1.2%  
471 0.2% 1.0%  
472 0.2% 0.8%  
473 0.1% 0.6%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0.1% 0.3%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1% Last Result
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.2% 99.4%  
387 0.2% 99.2%  
388 0.3% 99.1%  
389 0.3% 98.8%  
390 0.4% 98%  
391 0.4% 98%  
392 0.6% 98%  
393 0.5% 97%  
394 0.8% 96%  
395 0.7% 96%  
396 1.0% 95%  
397 1.2% 94%  
398 1.2% 93%  
399 1.5% 91%  
400 2% 90%  
401 2% 88%  
402 3% 87%  
403 1.4% 84%  
404 2% 82%  
405 3% 80%  
406 3% 78%  
407 2% 75%  
408 3% 73%  
409 3% 71%  
410 3% 67%  
411 3% 64%  
412 3% 61%  
413 3% 58%  
414 3% 55%  
415 3% 52% Median
416 3% 49%  
417 4% 46%  
418 3% 43%  
419 3% 40%  
420 3% 37%  
421 2% 34%  
422 3% 31%  
423 2% 28%  
424 2% 26%  
425 2% 24%  
426 3% 22%  
427 1.0% 19%  
428 2% 18%  
429 2% 16%  
430 2% 14%  
431 1.0% 13%  
432 1.0% 12%  
433 1.0% 11%  
434 0.7% 10%  
435 0.7% 9%  
436 0.8% 8%  
437 0.6% 7%  
438 0.4% 7%  
439 0.6% 6%  
440 0.3% 6%  
441 0.4% 5%  
442 0.3% 5%  
443 0.4% 5%  
444 0.4% 4%  
445 0.5% 4%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0.2% 3%  
448 0.3% 3%  
449 0.2% 3%  
450 0.2% 3%  
451 0.5% 2%  
452 0.1% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 2%  
455 0.3% 1.3%  
456 0.1% 1.0%  
457 0.1% 0.9%  
458 0.2% 0.8%  
459 0.1% 0.6%  
460 0.1% 0.6%  
461 0% 0.5%  
462 0.1% 0.4%  
463 0% 0.3%  
464 0.1% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0.1% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0.1% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.5%  
371 0.1% 99.4%  
372 0.3% 99.3%  
373 0.2% 99.0%  
374 0.4% 98.9%  
375 0.4% 98.5%  
376 0.6% 98%  
377 0.5% 98%  
378 0.6% 97%  
379 0.8% 96%  
380 0.6% 96%  
381 1.4% 95%  
382 0.9% 94%  
383 1.1% 93%  
384 2% 92%  
385 2% 90%  
386 2% 88%  
387 2% 86%  
388 2% 84%  
389 3% 82%  
390 2% 79%  
391 2% 78%  
392 3% 75%  
393 3% 73%  
394 2% 70%  
395 4% 68%  
396 3% 64%  
397 3% 61%  
398 3% 58%  
399 3% 55% Last Result
400 3% 52% Median
401 4% 49%  
402 3% 45%  
403 3% 43%  
404 4% 40%  
405 3% 36%  
406 3% 34%  
407 3% 31%  
408 2% 28%  
409 3% 26%  
410 1.5% 23%  
411 2% 22%  
412 2% 20%  
413 2% 18%  
414 1.1% 16%  
415 2% 15%  
416 1.0% 13%  
417 1.4% 12%  
418 1.1% 11%  
419 0.9% 10%  
420 0.9% 9%  
421 0.9% 8%  
422 0.6% 7%  
423 0.5% 7%  
424 0.5% 6%  
425 0.4% 6%  
426 0.4% 5%  
427 0.6% 5%  
428 0.4% 4%  
429 0.4% 4%  
430 0.2% 4%  
431 0.5% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.2% 3%  
434 0.3% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.2% 2%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.3% 1.4%  
440 0.3% 1.1%  
441 0.1% 0.8%  
442 0.1% 0.7%  
443 0.1% 0.6%  
444 0.1% 0.6%  
445 0.1% 0.5%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.3%  
449 0.1% 0.2%  
450 0.1% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.5%  
353 0.1% 99.4%  
354 0.1% 99.4%  
355 0.1% 99.2% Majority
356 0.2% 99.1%  
357 0.2% 98.9%  
358 0.1% 98.7%  
359 0.2% 98.6%  
360 0.2% 98%  
361 0.2% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.4% 98%  
364 0.5% 97%  
365 0.4% 97%  
366 0.6% 96%  
367 0.5% 96%  
368 0.4% 95%  
369 0.7% 95%  
370 0.7% 94%  
371 0.6% 93%  
372 1.1% 93%  
373 1.0% 92%  
374 1.4% 91%  
375 2% 89%  
376 1.2% 88%  
377 2% 87%  
378 1.4% 85%  
379 2% 83%  
380 2% 82%  
381 1.4% 80%  
382 2% 79%  
383 2% 76%  
384 2% 74%  
385 5% 72%  
386 3% 67%  
387 3% 64%  
388 5% 61%  
389 3% 57%  
390 3% 54%  
391 2% 51%  
392 3% 49% Median
393 3% 47%  
394 2% 43%  
395 4% 41%  
396 4% 37%  
397 4% 34%  
398 4% 30%  
399 3% 26%  
400 3% 23%  
401 2% 20%  
402 1.5% 18%  
403 1.0% 17%  
404 1.2% 16%  
405 1.3% 15%  
406 2% 13%  
407 2% 11%  
408 2% 9%  
409 2% 7%  
410 1.1% 6%  
411 1.1% 5%  
412 0.6% 4%  
413 0.4% 3%  
414 0.3% 3%  
415 0.2% 2%  
416 0.3% 2%  
417 0.3% 2%  
418 0.2% 1.4%  
419 0.4% 1.2%  
420 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
421 0.2% 0.6%  
422 0.1% 0.4%  
423 0.1% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.1% 99.5%  
318 0.2% 99.4%  
319 0.3% 99.2%  
320 0.4% 98.9%  
321 0.3% 98.5%  
322 0.3% 98%  
323 0.4% 98%  
324 0.8% 97%  
325 0.6% 97%  
326 0.8% 96%  
327 0.6% 95%  
328 0.9% 95%  
329 1.0% 94%  
330 2% 93%  
331 1.0% 91%  
332 2% 90%  
333 1.5% 89%  
334 2% 87%  
335 2% 86%  
336 2% 83%  
337 3% 82%  
338 2% 79%  
339 2% 77%  
340 3% 74% Last Result
341 3% 71%  
342 3% 68%  
343 3% 65%  
344 4% 62%  
345 4% 58%  
346 3% 54%  
347 3% 51% Median
348 4% 48%  
349 3% 45%  
350 3% 42%  
351 2% 39%  
352 3% 36%  
353 2% 34%  
354 2% 32%  
355 3% 29% Majority
356 3% 26%  
357 2% 24%  
358 2% 21%  
359 2% 20%  
360 2% 18%  
361 1.4% 16%  
362 1.3% 14%  
363 1.2% 13%  
364 1.2% 12%  
365 1.3% 11%  
366 1.1% 9%  
367 0.7% 8%  
368 0.9% 8%  
369 0.9% 7%  
370 0.8% 6%  
371 0.5% 5%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.3% 4%  
374 0.3% 4%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.2% 3%  
378 0.2% 3%  
379 0.3% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.4% 2%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.3% 1.3%  
384 0.2% 1.0%  
385 0.1% 0.8%  
386 0.1% 0.7%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0% 0.5%  
390 0% 0.4%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0% 0.3%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.8%  
276 0% 99.7%  
277 0.1% 99.6%  
278 0.1% 99.6%  
279 0.1% 99.5%  
280 0% 99.4%  
281 0.1% 99.3%  
282 0.1% 99.2%  
283 0.1% 99.1%  
284 0.1% 99.0%  
285 0.1% 99.0%  
286 0.1% 98.8%  
287 0.2% 98.7%  
288 0.1% 98%  
289 0.2% 98%  
290 0.2% 98%  
291 0.1% 98%  
292 0.3% 98%  
293 0.2% 97%  
294 0.2% 97%  
295 0.6% 97%  
296 0.3% 96%  
297 0.4% 96%  
298 0.6% 96%  
299 0.6% 95%  
300 0.5% 94%  
301 0.7% 94%  
302 0.8% 93%  
303 0.9% 92%  
304 1.3% 92%  
305 1.2% 90%  
306 1.2% 89%  
307 1.3% 88%  
308 1.4% 87%  
309 0.8% 85%  
310 1.5% 84%  
311 2% 83%  
312 3% 81%  
313 2% 78%  
314 3% 76%  
315 2% 73%  
316 2% 71%  
317 2% 69%  
318 2% 67%  
319 3% 65%  
320 3% 62%  
321 4% 59%  
322 3% 55%  
323 3% 51%  
324 2% 48% Median
325 3% 46%  
326 2% 43% Last Result
327 3% 41%  
328 3% 38%  
329 3% 35%  
330 4% 32%  
331 3% 28%  
332 3% 25%  
333 2% 22%  
334 1.4% 20%  
335 2% 18%  
336 2% 16%  
337 2% 15%  
338 2% 13%  
339 2% 11%  
340 2% 9%  
341 1.5% 7%  
342 0.6% 6%  
343 0.6% 5%  
344 0.8% 5%  
345 0.6% 4%  
346 0.7% 3%  
347 0.6% 3%  
348 0.4% 2%  
349 0.4% 1.5%  
350 0.1% 1.1%  
351 0.2% 1.0%  
352 0.2% 0.8%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.2% 99.6%  
289 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
290 0.4% 99.2%  
291 0.2% 98.8%  
292 0.3% 98.6%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.2% 98%  
295 0.3% 98%  
296 0.4% 97%  
297 0.6% 97%  
298 1.1% 96%  
299 1.1% 95%  
300 2% 94%  
301 2% 93%  
302 2% 91%  
303 2% 89%  
304 1.3% 87%  
305 1.2% 85%  
306 1.0% 84%  
307 1.5% 83%  
308 2% 82%  
309 3% 80%  
310 3% 77%  
311 4% 74%  
312 4% 70%  
313 4% 66%  
314 4% 63%  
315 2% 59%  
316 3% 57%  
317 3% 53% Median
318 2% 51%  
319 3% 49%  
320 3% 46%  
321 5% 43%  
322 3% 39%  
323 3% 36%  
324 5% 33%  
325 2% 28%  
326 2% 26%  
327 2% 24%  
328 1.4% 21%  
329 2% 20%  
330 2% 18%  
331 1.4% 17%  
332 2% 15%  
333 1.2% 13%  
334 2% 12%  
335 1.4% 11%  
336 1.0% 9%  
337 1.1% 8%  
338 0.6% 7%  
339 0.7% 7%  
340 0.7% 6%  
341 0.4% 5%  
342 0.5% 5%  
343 0.6% 4%  
344 0.4% 4%  
345 0.5% 3%  
346 0.4% 3%  
347 0.3% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.2% 2%  
351 0.1% 1.4%  
352 0.2% 1.3%  
353 0.2% 1.1%  
354 0.1% 0.9%  
355 0.1% 0.8% Majority
356 0.1% 0.6%  
357 0.1% 0.6%  
358 0.1% 0.5%  
359 0.1% 0.4%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0.1% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.1% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.6%  
256 0.1% 99.5%  
257 0.1% 99.5%  
258 0.1% 99.3%  
259 0.1% 99.3%  
260 0.1% 99.2%  
261 0.1% 99.1%  
262 0.1% 99.0%  
263 0.1% 98.8%  
264 0.1% 98.8%  
265 0.1% 98.6%  
266 0.4% 98.5%  
267 0.2% 98%  
268 0.3% 98%  
269 0.4% 98%  
270 0.5% 97%  
271 0.4% 97%  
272 0.3% 96%  
273 0.4% 96%  
274 0.6% 96%  
275 0.3% 95%  
276 0.3% 95%  
277 0.4% 94%  
278 0.3% 94%  
279 0.4% 94%  
280 0.7% 93%  
281 0.9% 93%  
282 0.9% 92%  
283 0.8% 91%  
284 2% 90%  
285 1.0% 88%  
286 1.3% 87%  
287 2% 86%  
288 1.5% 85%  
289 1.3% 83%  
290 2% 82%  
291 3% 80%  
292 2% 77%  
293 2% 75%  
294 2% 73%  
295 3% 71%  
296 3% 68%  
297 2% 65%  
298 3% 62%  
299 2% 59%  
300 3% 57% Last Result
301 3% 54%  
302 5% 51% Median
303 4% 46%  
304 2% 42%  
305 3% 40%  
306 3% 37%  
307 3% 34%  
308 3% 30%  
309 2% 28%  
310 2% 26%  
311 2% 23%  
312 3% 21%  
313 2% 18%  
314 2% 16%  
315 2% 14%  
316 1.3% 12%  
317 2% 11%  
318 2% 9%  
319 1.2% 8%  
320 0.9% 7%  
321 0.9% 6%  
322 0.5% 5%  
323 0.9% 4%  
324 0.6% 3%  
325 0.4% 3%  
326 0.5% 2%  
327 0.3% 2%  
328 0.5% 2%  
329 0.2% 1.1%  
330 0.2% 0.9%  
331 0.2% 0.7%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0.1% 0.3%  
335 0.1% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.8%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.7%  
228 0.1% 99.7%  
229 0.1% 99.5%  
230 0.2% 99.4%  
231 0.3% 99.2%  
232 0.3% 99.0%  
233 0.3% 98.7%  
234 0.5% 98%  
235 0.6% 98%  
236 0.7% 97%  
237 0.9% 97%  
238 0.8% 96%  
239 1.0% 95%  
240 0.8% 94%  
241 1.1% 93%  
242 1.1% 92%  
243 2% 91%  
244 1.3% 89%  
245 2% 88%  
246 2% 85%  
247 4% 84%  
248 3% 80%  
249 3% 77%  
250 3% 75%  
251 4% 71%  
252 2% 67%  
253 3% 65%  
254 3% 62%  
255 3% 59%  
256 3% 56%  
257 3% 53% Median
258 3% 51%  
259 3% 47%  
260 3% 44%  
261 4% 42%  
262 4% 38%  
263 3% 33%  
264 4% 30%  
265 2% 26%  
266 3% 24%  
267 1.4% 21%  
268 2% 20%  
269 2% 18%  
270 2% 16%  
271 1.5% 15%  
272 1.4% 13%  
273 1.4% 12%  
274 2% 10%  
275 1.1% 9%  
276 0.9% 7%  
277 0.9% 7%  
278 0.8% 6%  
279 0.6% 5%  
280 0.5% 4%  
281 0.5% 4%  
282 0.5% 3%  
283 0.3% 3%  
284 0.5% 3%  
285 0.2% 2%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.3% 1.5%  
288 0.2% 1.2%  
289 0.2% 1.0%  
290 0.1% 0.8%  
291 0.1% 0.7%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0% 0.4%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0% 0.3%  
296 0% 0.3%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.3% 99.6%  
158 0.4% 99.3%  
159 0.1% 98.8%  
160 0.3% 98.7%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.6% 98%  
163 0.2% 97%  
164 0.7% 97%  
165 2% 96%  
166 2% 95%  
167 1.1% 93%  
168 2% 92%  
169 3% 90%  
170 1.3% 87%  
171 1.1% 86%  
172 2% 85%  
173 4% 83%  
174 4% 80%  
175 2% 76%  
176 4% 74%  
177 6% 70%  
178 4% 64%  
179 2% 60%  
180 4% 58%  
181 5% 54% Median
182 3% 49%  
183 2% 47%  
184 3% 45%  
185 7% 42%  
186 5% 35%  
187 1.4% 30%  
188 3% 29%  
189 3% 26%  
190 3% 23%  
191 1.0% 20%  
192 2% 19%  
193 3% 17%  
194 2% 14%  
195 1.3% 11%  
196 1.0% 10%  
197 2% 9%  
198 1.3% 7%  
199 0.5% 6%  
200 0.7% 5%  
201 0.6% 5%  
202 0.9% 4%  
203 0.4% 3%  
204 0.4% 3%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.4% 2%  
207 0.3% 2%  
208 0.2% 1.2%  
209 0.1% 1.0%  
210 0.1% 0.9%  
211 0.1% 0.8%  
212 0.2% 0.7%  
213 0.1% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.2% 99.4%  
117 0.1% 99.3%  
118 0.1% 99.2%  
119 0.2% 99.1%  
120 0.2% 98.8%  
121 0.3% 98.6%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.4% 97%  
126 0.2% 97%  
127 0.2% 97%  
128 0.2% 97%  
129 0.5% 96%  
130 0.7% 96%  
131 0.2% 95%  
132 0.5% 95%  
133 0.2% 95%  
134 0.2% 94%  
135 0.2% 94%  
136 0.3% 94%  
137 0.2% 94%  
138 0.3% 94%  
139 0.3% 93%  
140 0.1% 93%  
141 0.2% 93%  
142 0.2% 93%  
143 0.3% 92%  
144 0.2% 92%  
145 0.3% 92%  
146 0.3% 92%  
147 0.5% 91%  
148 0.6% 91%  
149 0.6% 90%  
150 1.0% 90%  
151 0.8% 89%  
152 1.1% 88%  
153 1.3% 87%  
154 1.4% 86%  
155 2% 84%  
156 2% 82%  
157 2% 80%  
158 2% 77%  
159 4% 75%  
160 3% 72%  
161 3% 69%  
162 4% 66%  
163 3% 62%  
164 5% 59%  
165 3% 54%  
166 4% 51% Median
167 3% 47%  
168 4% 44%  
169 4% 41%  
170 4% 36%  
171 3% 32%  
172 3% 29%  
173 3% 26%  
174 2% 23%  
175 4% 20%  
176 2% 17%  
177 2% 15%  
178 1.4% 13%  
179 2% 11%  
180 1.5% 9%  
181 2% 8%  
182 1.1% 6%  
183 0.8% 5%  
184 0.8% 4%  
185 0.8% 4%  
186 0.6% 3%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.4% 1.5%  
190 0.3% 1.1%  
191 0.2% 0.8%  
192 0.1% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations