Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 12–14 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.5–31.8% 28.0–32.3% 27.6–32.7% 26.9–33.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9% 17.8–22.3% 17.2–23.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.7–16.3% 13.4–16.7% 13.1–17.1% 12.5–17.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.8% 8.0–12.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.6% 6.2–10.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.9% 6.1–7.9% 5.8–8.2% 5.6–8.4% 5.2–8.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 230 214–245 211–249 207–253 201–260
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 152 141–165 137–169 134–172 129–178
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 104–125 101–129 99–131 94–137
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 68–85 66–88 64–90 60–95
Die Linke 69 61 54–70 52–72 50–74 47–78
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 46–61 44–63 42–65 39–68
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 37 0–44 0–45 0–47 0–50

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0.1% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
201 0.2% 99.6%  
202 0.2% 99.5%  
203 0.2% 99.3%  
204 0.4% 99.1%  
205 0.5% 98.7%  
206 0.3% 98%  
207 0.5% 98%  
208 0.8% 97%  
209 0.7% 97%  
210 0.8% 96%  
211 1.2% 95%  
212 1.5% 94%  
213 1.4% 93%  
214 2% 91%  
215 2% 89%  
216 2% 88%  
217 2% 86%  
218 2% 84%  
219 3% 82%  
220 2% 80%  
221 2% 77%  
222 4% 75%  
223 3% 72%  
224 3% 69%  
225 4% 65%  
226 3% 62%  
227 2% 59%  
228 3% 57%  
229 3% 53%  
230 3% 51% Median
231 2% 47%  
232 3% 45%  
233 3% 42%  
234 3% 39%  
235 2% 35%  
236 3% 33%  
237 3% 30%  
238 2% 27%  
239 4% 25%  
240 2% 21%  
241 3% 19%  
242 2% 16%  
243 2% 15%  
244 1.2% 13%  
245 2% 11%  
246 1.3% 10%  
247 2% 8%  
248 1.2% 6%  
249 1.0% 5%  
250 0.4% 4%  
251 0.9% 4%  
252 0.3% 3%  
253 0.4% 3%  
254 0.4% 2%  
255 0.3% 2%  
256 0.2% 1.4%  
257 0.2% 1.2%  
258 0.2% 1.0%  
259 0.2% 0.8%  
260 0.1% 0.5%  
261 0.1% 0.4%  
262 0.1% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.2% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.5%  
130 0.2% 99.4%  
131 0.3% 99.2%  
132 0.4% 98.9%  
133 0.7% 98.6%  
134 0.6% 98%  
135 0.5% 97%  
136 1.2% 97%  
137 1.2% 96%  
138 2% 94%  
139 2% 93%  
140 1.0% 91%  
141 2% 90%  
142 3% 88%  
143 2% 85%  
144 4% 83%  
145 3% 79%  
146 2% 76%  
147 4% 74%  
148 4% 70%  
149 5% 66%  
150 4% 61%  
151 2% 57%  
152 5% 55% Median
153 5% 50%  
154 3% 45%  
155 5% 42%  
156 2% 37%  
157 3% 35%  
158 5% 32%  
159 3% 26%  
160 3% 24%  
161 3% 21%  
162 2% 18%  
163 3% 16%  
164 2% 13%  
165 1.3% 11%  
166 2% 10%  
167 1.0% 8%  
168 0.9% 7%  
169 2% 6%  
170 0.7% 4%  
171 0.7% 4%  
172 0.7% 3%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.2% 1.0%  
177 0.2% 0.8%  
178 0.1% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.2% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0.3% 99.5%  
96 0.3% 99.2%  
97 0.4% 98.9%  
98 0.7% 98.5%  
99 0.6% 98%  
100 1.1% 97%  
101 1.3% 96%  
102 1.2% 95%  
103 2% 94%  
104 2% 91%  
105 3% 89%  
106 3% 87%  
107 3% 84%  
108 4% 80%  
109 3% 77%  
110 4% 73%  
111 5% 69%  
112 4% 64%  
113 6% 60%  
114 5% 54% Median
115 6% 49%  
116 4% 44%  
117 4% 40%  
118 4% 36%  
119 3% 31%  
120 5% 28%  
121 2% 23%  
122 4% 21%  
123 4% 17%  
124 2% 14%  
125 2% 12%  
126 2% 10%  
127 2% 8%  
128 1.0% 6%  
129 1.2% 5%  
130 0.8% 4%  
131 1.0% 3%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.4%  
135 0.3% 1.0%  
136 0.2% 0.7%  
137 0.1% 0.5%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.7%  
61 0.3% 99.4%  
62 0.4% 99.1%  
63 0.7% 98.7%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 1.4% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 3% 93%  
68 2% 91%  
69 2% 89%  
70 4% 86%  
71 5% 82%  
72 4% 77%  
73 6% 73%  
74 7% 67%  
75 5% 60%  
76 6% 55% Median
77 6% 49%  
78 7% 44%  
79 5% 37%  
80 4% 33%  
81 5% 28%  
82 4% 23%  
83 3% 19%  
84 3% 16%  
85 3% 13%  
86 2% 10%  
87 1.4% 7%  
88 2% 6%  
89 1.0% 4%  
90 0.9% 3%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.5% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.3%  
94 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
95 0.2% 0.7%  
96 0.1% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 0.3% 99.6%  
48 0.5% 99.3%  
49 0.7% 98.8%  
50 1.1% 98%  
51 1.3% 97%  
52 2% 96%  
53 2% 94%  
54 3% 91%  
55 4% 89%  
56 6% 85%  
57 4% 79%  
58 7% 76%  
59 7% 69%  
60 6% 62%  
61 8% 55% Median
62 7% 48%  
63 7% 41%  
64 6% 34%  
65 4% 28%  
66 4% 24%  
67 5% 20%  
68 3% 15%  
69 3% 13% Last Result
70 2% 10%  
71 2% 8%  
72 2% 6%  
73 1.0% 4%  
74 1.0% 3%  
75 0.8% 2%  
76 0.4% 1.3%  
77 0.3% 0.9%  
78 0.3% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.4%  
41 0.7% 99.0%  
42 0.8% 98%  
43 1.4% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 3% 94%  
46 3% 91% Last Result
47 4% 88%  
48 6% 85%  
49 8% 79%  
50 6% 71%  
51 6% 65%  
52 8% 58%  
53 6% 50% Median
54 7% 44%  
55 6% 37%  
56 6% 32%  
57 4% 26%  
58 4% 22%  
59 5% 18%  
60 3% 13%  
61 3% 11%  
62 2% 8%  
63 2% 6%  
64 2% 4%  
65 0.8% 3%  
66 0.5% 2%  
67 0.5% 1.2%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.1% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 0% 51%  
17 0% 51%  
18 0% 51%  
19 0% 51%  
20 0% 51%  
21 0% 51%  
22 0% 51%  
23 0% 51%  
24 0% 51%  
25 0% 51%  
26 0% 51%  
27 0% 51%  
28 0% 51%  
29 0% 51%  
30 0% 51%  
31 0% 51%  
32 0% 51%  
33 0% 51%  
34 0% 51%  
35 0% 51%  
36 0% 51%  
37 1.3% 51% Median
38 7% 49%  
39 9% 42%  
40 8% 33%  
41 6% 25%  
42 4% 19%  
43 4% 15%  
44 3% 10%  
45 3% 7%  
46 2% 5%  
47 1.1% 3%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.3%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 549 100% 527–573 523–577 520–581 514–585
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 457 100% 440–472 436–476 431–479 425–486
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 435 100% 414–457 410–461 406–465 400–472
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 418 100% 401–435 396–439 393–443 386–450
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 397 100% 378–418 372–423 369–426 362–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 380 97% 362–398 357–403 353–407 346–413
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 359 60% 340–379 335–384 332–388 326–394
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 329 3% 311–347 306–352 302–356 296–363
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 304 0% 283–325 278–329 274–332 267–339
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 288 0% 267–309 263–313 259–317 252–323
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 267 0% 251–284 247–288 243–292 237–299
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 176 0% 163–190 159–194 157–196 151–204
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 137 0% 112–159 108–162 106–166 101–171

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 99.9%  
509 0% 99.9%  
510 0.1% 99.9%  
511 0.1% 99.8%  
512 0.1% 99.7%  
513 0.1% 99.6%  
514 0.1% 99.5%  
515 0.2% 99.4%  
516 0.3% 99.2%  
517 0.4% 99.0%  
518 0.3% 98.6%  
519 0.4% 98%  
520 0.7% 98%  
521 0.8% 97%  
522 0.9% 96%  
523 1.3% 95%  
524 0.7% 94%  
525 1.5% 93%  
526 2% 92%  
527 1.4% 90%  
528 2% 89%  
529 3% 87%  
530 2% 84%  
531 2% 82%  
532 3% 80%  
533 2% 77%  
534 2% 75%  
535 4% 73%  
536 3% 69%  
537 1.0% 67%  
538 2% 66%  
539 4% 64%  
540 1.0% 60%  
541 1.2% 59%  
542 2% 58%  
543 1.4% 56%  
544 0.7% 55%  
545 1.0% 54%  
546 1.4% 53%  
547 0.8% 52%  
548 0.4% 51%  
549 0.7% 50% Median
550 0.9% 50%  
551 0.9% 49%  
552 0.2% 48%  
553 1.0% 48%  
554 0.9% 47%  
555 0.5% 46%  
556 0.9% 45%  
557 2% 44%  
558 1.5% 42%  
559 1.0% 41%  
560 0.7% 40%  
561 3% 39%  
562 1.3% 36%  
563 2% 35%  
564 1.1% 33%  
565 4% 32%  
566 2% 28%  
567 2% 26%  
568 0.9% 24%  
569 5% 23%  
570 2% 18%  
571 2% 16%  
572 2% 15%  
573 4% 13%  
574 0.9% 9%  
575 1.3% 9%  
576 0.7% 7%  
577 2% 7%  
578 0.3% 4%  
579 0.9% 4%  
580 0.5% 3%  
581 1.0% 3%  
582 0.2% 2%  
583 0.4% 1.3%  
584 0.3% 0.9%  
585 0.2% 0.6%  
586 0.1% 0.5%  
587 0.1% 0.3%  
588 0.1% 0.2%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0.1% 0.1%  
592 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0.1% 99.9%  
422 0.1% 99.8%  
423 0.1% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.6%  
425 0.2% 99.5%  
426 0.1% 99.4%  
427 0.3% 99.2%  
428 0.2% 98.9%  
429 0.4% 98.7%  
430 0.3% 98%  
431 0.6% 98%  
432 0.3% 97%  
433 0.6% 97%  
434 0.5% 96%  
435 0.6% 96%  
436 1.0% 95%  
437 0.8% 94%  
438 2% 94%  
439 0.8% 92%  
440 2% 91%  
441 2% 90%  
442 1.4% 87%  
443 1.3% 86%  
444 2% 85%  
445 2% 83%  
446 4% 81%  
447 2% 78%  
448 2% 75%  
449 3% 73%  
450 4% 70%  
451 2% 67%  
452 2% 65%  
453 3% 63%  
454 3% 59%  
455 3% 56%  
456 2% 53%  
457 3% 50%  
458 5% 47%  
459 2% 42%  
460 2% 40%  
461 3% 38%  
462 3% 35%  
463 4% 32%  
464 2% 28%  
465 2% 26%  
466 4% 24%  
467 2% 20%  
468 1.5% 18%  
469 2% 17%  
470 3% 15%  
471 2% 12%  
472 2% 11% Median
473 0.6% 9%  
474 1.4% 9%  
475 2% 7%  
476 1.0% 6%  
477 0.5% 5%  
478 0.6% 4%  
479 1.1% 4%  
480 0.4% 2%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.2% 2%  
483 0.5% 1.4%  
484 0.3% 0.9%  
485 0.1% 0.7%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.5%  
488 0.1% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.7%  
399 0.1% 99.6%  
400 0.2% 99.5%  
401 0.2% 99.4%  
402 0.2% 99.2%  
403 0.3% 99.0%  
404 0.3% 98.7%  
405 0.5% 98%  
406 0.5% 98%  
407 0.3% 97%  
408 1.0% 97%  
409 0.4% 96%  
410 1.0% 96%  
411 2% 95%  
412 1.3% 93%  
413 1.1% 92%  
414 0.7% 91%  
415 2% 90%  
416 2% 88%  
417 2% 86%  
418 2% 85%  
419 3% 83%  
420 2% 80%  
421 3% 78%  
422 1.3% 75%  
423 2% 74%  
424 1.0% 72%  
425 3% 71%  
426 4% 68%  
427 2% 64%  
428 2% 63%  
429 2% 61%  
430 2% 59%  
431 1.5% 57%  
432 1.2% 56%  
433 1.3% 54%  
434 2% 53%  
435 2% 51% Median
436 2% 50%  
437 1.4% 47%  
438 2% 46%  
439 1.1% 44%  
440 2% 43%  
441 2% 41%  
442 2% 39%  
443 1.4% 37%  
444 2% 36%  
445 2% 34%  
446 3% 32%  
447 2% 29%  
448 2% 27%  
449 2% 26%  
450 2% 24%  
451 2% 21%  
452 2% 20%  
453 2% 18%  
454 1.5% 16%  
455 2% 15%  
456 1.2% 12%  
457 1.3% 11%  
458 2% 10%  
459 0.9% 8%  
460 0.6% 7%  
461 1.2% 6%  
462 0.4% 5%  
463 1.4% 5%  
464 0.6% 3%  
465 0.6% 3%  
466 0.4% 2%  
467 0.3% 2%  
468 0.3% 1.4%  
469 0.2% 1.1%  
470 0.3% 0.9%  
471 0.1% 0.6%  
472 0.1% 0.5%  
473 0.1% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.2% 99.5%  
387 0.2% 99.3%  
388 0.3% 99.2%  
389 0.3% 98.9%  
390 0.4% 98.6%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.5% 98%  
394 0.5% 97%  
395 0.8% 96%  
396 1.1% 96%  
397 1.0% 95%  
398 1.2% 94%  
399 0.9% 92%  
400 1.4% 91%  
401 2% 90%  
402 0.8% 88%  
403 1.4% 87%  
404 2% 86%  
405 1.4% 84%  
406 2% 83%  
407 2% 81%  
408 2% 78%  
409 2% 76%  
410 2% 74%  
411 3% 71%  
412 3% 69%  
413 2% 66%  
414 2% 64%  
415 2% 62%  
416 3% 60%  
417 2% 56%  
418 4% 54%  
419 2% 50%  
420 4% 48%  
421 4% 44%  
422 2% 40%  
423 3% 38%  
424 2% 35%  
425 2% 33%  
426 2% 30%  
427 2% 28%  
428 2% 26%  
429 2% 24%  
430 4% 22%  
431 2% 18%  
432 2% 16%  
433 1.2% 14%  
434 2% 13% Median
435 2% 11%  
436 1.1% 10%  
437 1.3% 9%  
438 1.0% 7%  
439 1.2% 6%  
440 0.6% 5%  
441 0.6% 4%  
442 0.8% 4%  
443 0.7% 3%  
444 0.4% 2%  
445 0.5% 2%  
446 0.4% 1.5%  
447 0.1% 1.1%  
448 0.3% 1.0%  
449 0.2% 0.7%  
450 0.1% 0.5%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0.1% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0.1% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.2% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.5%  
363 0.2% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.3%  
365 0.2% 99.2%  
366 0.3% 99.0%  
367 0.2% 98.7%  
368 0.6% 98%  
369 0.4% 98%  
370 0.8% 97%  
371 1.1% 97%  
372 0.7% 96%  
373 1.0% 95%  
374 0.6% 94%  
375 0.9% 93%  
376 0.9% 92%  
377 0.8% 92%  
378 3% 91%  
379 0.8% 87%  
380 2% 87%  
381 4% 85%  
382 2% 81%  
383 3% 79%  
384 1.2% 76%  
385 2% 75%  
386 2% 73%  
387 2% 72%  
388 2% 70%  
389 1.5% 68%  
390 3% 67%  
391 2% 64%  
392 2% 62%  
393 3% 60%  
394 2% 56%  
395 2% 55%  
396 2% 53%  
397 2% 51% Median
398 2% 49%  
399 2% 47% Last Result
400 2% 45%  
401 3% 43%  
402 1.2% 41%  
403 2% 39%  
404 2% 37%  
405 1.4% 36%  
406 2% 34%  
407 2% 32%  
408 2% 30%  
409 2% 28%  
410 2% 26%  
411 2% 24%  
412 2% 21%  
413 2% 19%  
414 1.4% 18%  
415 1.2% 16%  
416 2% 15%  
417 1.1% 13%  
418 3% 12%  
419 0.5% 10%  
420 2% 9%  
421 2% 7%  
422 0.7% 6%  
423 0.8% 5%  
424 0.7% 4%  
425 0.7% 4%  
426 0.4% 3%  
427 0.5% 2%  
428 0.3% 2%  
429 0.4% 2%  
430 0.3% 1.3%  
431 0.2% 1.0%  
432 0.2% 0.7%  
433 0.1% 0.5%  
434 0.1% 0.4%  
435 0.1% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0.1% 0.2%  
438 0.1% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.2% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.4%  
348 0.2% 99.3%  
349 0.2% 99.1%  
350 0.4% 98.9%  
351 0.4% 98%  
352 0.3% 98%  
353 0.6% 98%  
354 0.5% 97%  
355 0.6% 97% Majority
356 0.9% 96%  
357 0.7% 95%  
358 0.8% 94%  
359 0.8% 94%  
360 1.3% 93%  
361 1.2% 91%  
362 1.1% 90%  
363 0.9% 89%  
364 3% 88%  
365 2% 85%  
366 2% 84%  
367 2% 82%  
368 1.3% 80%  
369 3% 79%  
370 3% 76%  
371 2% 74%  
372 3% 72%  
373 2% 69%  
374 3% 66%  
375 2% 63%  
376 2% 61%  
377 2% 59%  
378 3% 57%  
379 2% 54%  
380 2% 52%  
381 2% 50%  
382 3% 48%  
383 2% 45%  
384 2% 43%  
385 2% 41%  
386 2% 38%  
387 2% 36%  
388 3% 34%  
389 2% 30%  
390 2% 28%  
391 3% 26%  
392 2% 23%  
393 3% 21%  
394 2% 19%  
395 2% 16%  
396 2% 15% Median
397 2% 13%  
398 1.4% 11%  
399 1.1% 10%  
400 1.1% 9%  
401 1.2% 7%  
402 0.8% 6%  
403 1.1% 6%  
404 0.5% 4%  
405 0.6% 4%  
406 0.8% 3%  
407 0.5% 3%  
408 0.3% 2%  
409 0.5% 2%  
410 0.2% 1.3%  
411 0.3% 1.1%  
412 0.2% 0.7%  
413 0.1% 0.6%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0.1% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.2% 99.4%  
328 0.3% 99.2%  
329 0.2% 98.9%  
330 0.3% 98.7%  
331 0.7% 98%  
332 0.5% 98%  
333 0.7% 97%  
334 0.7% 97%  
335 0.9% 96%  
336 1.1% 95%  
337 1.1% 94%  
338 1.2% 93%  
339 0.8% 92%  
340 1.1% 91% Last Result
341 1.3% 90%  
342 2% 88%  
343 1.3% 86%  
344 2% 85%  
345 2% 83%  
346 3% 82%  
347 2% 79%  
348 1.4% 77%  
349 3% 76%  
350 3% 73%  
351 3% 70%  
352 2% 66%  
353 2% 65%  
354 3% 63%  
355 3% 60% Majority
356 2% 57%  
357 2% 55%  
358 2% 53%  
359 2% 51% Median
360 2% 49%  
361 2% 47%  
362 2% 45%  
363 1.4% 43%  
364 3% 42%  
365 2% 38%  
366 3% 36%  
367 2% 34%  
368 1.5% 32%  
369 3% 30%  
370 2% 28%  
371 2% 25%  
372 2% 23%  
373 2% 21%  
374 2% 19%  
375 1.5% 17%  
376 2% 15%  
377 1.0% 14%  
378 2% 13%  
379 2% 10%  
380 1.3% 9%  
381 0.7% 8%  
382 0.9% 7%  
383 0.7% 6%  
384 0.8% 5%  
385 0.4% 4%  
386 0.9% 4%  
387 0.4% 3%  
388 0.7% 3%  
389 0.2% 2%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.3% 1.4%  
392 0.2% 1.1%  
393 0.3% 0.9%  
394 0.1% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.5%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0.1% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.2% 99.4%  
298 0.3% 99.3%  
299 0.2% 98.9%  
300 0.5% 98.7%  
301 0.3% 98%  
302 0.5% 98%  
303 0.8% 97%  
304 0.6% 97%  
305 0.5% 96%  
306 1.1% 96%  
307 0.8% 94%  
308 1.2% 94%  
309 1.1% 93%  
310 1.1% 91%  
311 1.4% 90%  
312 2% 89%  
313 2% 87%  
314 2% 85%  
315 2% 84%  
316 3% 81%  
317 2% 79%  
318 3% 77%  
319 2% 74%  
320 2% 72%  
321 3% 70%  
322 2% 66%  
323 2% 64%  
324 2% 62%  
325 2% 59%  
326 2% 57%  
327 3% 55% Median
328 2% 52%  
329 2% 50%  
330 2% 48%  
331 3% 46%  
332 2% 43%  
333 2% 41%  
334 2% 39%  
335 3% 37%  
336 2% 34%  
337 3% 31%  
338 2% 28%  
339 3% 26%  
340 3% 24%  
341 1.3% 21%  
342 2% 20%  
343 2% 18%  
344 2% 16%  
345 3% 15%  
346 0.9% 12%  
347 1.1% 11%  
348 1.2% 10%  
349 1.3% 9%  
350 0.8% 7%  
351 0.8% 6%  
352 0.7% 6%  
353 0.9% 5%  
354 0.6% 4%  
355 0.5% 3% Majority
356 0.6% 3%  
357 0.3% 2%  
358 0.4% 2%  
359 0.4% 2%  
360 0.2% 1.1%  
361 0.2% 0.9%  
362 0.1% 0.7%  
363 0.2% 0.6%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0.1% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.6%  
268 0.1% 99.5%  
269 0.2% 99.4%  
270 0.3% 99.2%  
271 0.2% 98.9%  
272 0.4% 98.7%  
273 0.5% 98%  
274 0.6% 98%  
275 0.5% 97%  
276 0.4% 97%  
277 0.6% 96%  
278 1.2% 96%  
279 0.6% 95%  
280 1.5% 94%  
281 1.1% 93%  
282 0.9% 91%  
283 1.0% 91%  
284 1.2% 90%  
285 2% 88%  
286 2% 86%  
287 1.0% 84%  
288 3% 83%  
289 1.3% 80%  
290 1.2% 79%  
291 2% 78%  
292 3% 76%  
293 2% 73%  
294 2% 72%  
295 4% 70%  
296 2% 66%  
297 1.1% 64%  
298 3% 63%  
299 2% 60%  
300 2% 59%  
301 1.0% 57%  
302 3% 56%  
303 3% 53%  
304 2% 50%  
305 2% 49%  
306 1.3% 47%  
307 2% 45%  
308 3% 44%  
309 2% 41%  
310 2% 38%  
311 2% 36%  
312 3% 33%  
313 1.4% 31%  
314 2% 30%  
315 2% 28%  
316 2% 26%  
317 2% 24%  
318 3% 21%  
319 2% 19%  
320 1.2% 17% Median
321 1.5% 16%  
322 2% 14%  
323 1.4% 12%  
324 0.9% 11%  
325 2% 10%  
326 1.1% 8% Last Result
327 1.2% 7%  
328 0.9% 6%  
329 0.8% 5%  
330 0.8% 4%  
331 0.7% 3%  
332 0.4% 3%  
333 0.6% 2%  
334 0.4% 2%  
335 0.3% 1.3%  
336 0.2% 1.1%  
337 0.2% 0.9%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0.2% 0.4%  
341 0.1% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0.1% 99.8%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.7%  
251 0.1% 99.6%  
252 0.1% 99.5%  
253 0.1% 99.4%  
254 0.2% 99.3%  
255 0.3% 99.0%  
256 0.3% 98.7%  
257 0.3% 98%  
258 0.5% 98%  
259 0.6% 98%  
260 0.5% 97%  
261 0.5% 97%  
262 1.0% 96%  
263 1.2% 95%  
264 0.9% 94%  
265 1.1% 93%  
266 1.5% 92%  
267 1.3% 90%  
268 1.4% 89%  
269 2% 88%  
270 2% 86%  
271 2% 84%  
272 1.3% 82%  
273 2% 81%  
274 2% 79%  
275 2% 77%  
276 1.5% 75%  
277 2% 73%  
278 3% 71%  
279 1.1% 68%  
280 2% 67%  
281 3% 65%  
282 2% 62%  
283 2% 60%  
284 2% 59%  
285 2% 57%  
286 2% 55%  
287 2% 53%  
288 1.4% 51%  
289 1.4% 50%  
290 1.5% 48%  
291 2% 47%  
292 2% 45%  
293 2% 43%  
294 2% 41%  
295 1.4% 38%  
296 2% 37%  
297 3% 35%  
298 2% 32%  
299 2% 30%  
300 3% 28% Last Result
301 2% 25%  
302 3% 23%  
303 0.7% 20% Median
304 2% 20%  
305 2% 17%  
306 2% 15%  
307 1.3% 14%  
308 2% 12%  
309 1.0% 11%  
310 0.9% 10%  
311 2% 9%  
312 0.8% 7%  
313 1.1% 6%  
314 0.7% 5%  
315 1.1% 4%  
316 0.3% 3%  
317 0.5% 3%  
318 0.4% 2%  
319 0.4% 2%  
320 0.2% 1.3%  
321 0.2% 1.0%  
322 0.2% 0.8%  
323 0.1% 0.6%  
324 0.1% 0.5%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0.1% 0.3%  
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0.1% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.2% 99.6%  
238 0.2% 99.4%  
239 0.3% 99.2%  
240 0.2% 98.9%  
241 0.3% 98.7%  
242 0.5% 98%  
243 0.4% 98%  
244 0.6% 97%  
245 0.9% 97%  
246 0.7% 96%  
247 0.9% 95%  
248 1.2% 94%  
249 1.0% 93%  
250 2% 92%  
251 2% 90%  
252 1.3% 89%  
253 2% 88%  
254 2% 86%  
255 3% 84%  
256 1.4% 81%  
257 2% 79%  
258 3% 77%  
259 2% 74%  
260 3% 71%  
261 2% 69%  
262 4% 67%  
263 3% 63%  
264 3% 60%  
265 3% 57%  
266 3% 54% Median
267 2% 51%  
268 3% 49%  
269 3% 45%  
270 3% 43%  
271 3% 40%  
272 3% 37%  
273 3% 35%  
274 2% 32%  
275 3% 30%  
276 2% 27%  
277 2% 25%  
278 3% 23%  
279 1.1% 20%  
280 2% 18%  
281 3% 17%  
282 1.5% 13%  
283 1.3% 12%  
284 1.3% 11%  
285 2% 9%  
286 0.8% 7%  
287 1.0% 7%  
288 0.8% 6%  
289 0.8% 5%  
290 0.4% 4%  
291 0.7% 4%  
292 0.8% 3%  
293 0.3% 2%  
294 0.4% 2%  
295 0.2% 1.4%  
296 0.2% 1.2%  
297 0.2% 1.0%  
298 0.1% 0.8%  
299 0.2% 0.6%  
300 0.1% 0.4%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0% 0.3%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0.1% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.3% 99.6%  
152 0.3% 99.3%  
153 0.2% 99.1%  
154 0.2% 98.9%  
155 0.4% 98.6%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 0.4% 98%  
158 0.6% 97%  
159 2% 97%  
160 2% 95%  
161 1.0% 93%  
162 0.9% 92%  
163 2% 91%  
164 2% 89%  
165 3% 87%  
166 1.3% 84%  
167 3% 83%  
168 3% 80%  
169 5% 77%  
170 1.1% 71%  
171 2% 70%  
172 5% 68%  
173 6% 63%  
174 4% 57%  
175 2% 53% Median
176 4% 52%  
177 4% 48%  
178 4% 44%  
179 2% 39%  
180 2% 37%  
181 5% 35%  
182 5% 31%  
183 2% 26%  
184 1.5% 24%  
185 2% 22%  
186 4% 20%  
187 4% 16%  
188 1.4% 13%  
189 1.3% 11%  
190 2% 10%  
191 1.3% 8%  
192 0.6% 7%  
193 0.5% 6%  
194 0.9% 6%  
195 1.2% 5%  
196 1.2% 4%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.4% 2%  
199 0.5% 2%  
200 0.3% 1.2%  
201 0.1% 0.9%  
202 0.1% 0.8%  
203 0.1% 0.7%  
204 0.2% 0.6%  
205 0.2% 0.4%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0.1% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.1% 99.5%  
102 0.4% 99.4%  
103 0.4% 99.0%  
104 0.4% 98.6%  
105 0.6% 98%  
106 0.7% 98%  
107 1.1% 97%  
108 0.9% 96%  
109 1.2% 95%  
110 1.4% 94%  
111 2% 92%  
112 1.3% 90%  
113 2% 89%  
114 3% 87%  
115 3% 84%  
116 2% 81%  
117 2% 79%  
118 3% 77%  
119 2% 74%  
120 3% 72%  
121 1.0% 69%  
122 3% 68%  
123 3% 65%  
124 2% 62%  
125 1.4% 60%  
126 2% 59%  
127 1.4% 57%  
128 0.7% 56%  
129 1.0% 55%  
130 0.7% 54%  
131 0.9% 54%  
132 0.4% 53%  
133 0.6% 52%  
134 0.4% 52%  
135 0.5% 51%  
136 0.3% 51%  
137 0.4% 50%  
138 0.4% 50%  
139 0.9% 50%  
140 0.6% 49%  
141 1.1% 48%  
142 0.9% 47%  
143 2% 46%  
144 1.5% 44%  
145 2% 43%  
146 1.0% 41%  
147 2% 40%  
148 3% 38%  
149 3% 35%  
150 2% 32%  
151 2% 30% Median
152 3% 28%  
153 4% 25%  
154 2% 21%  
155 1.4% 19%  
156 2% 17%  
157 2% 15%  
158 2% 13%  
159 2% 11%  
160 2% 9%  
161 1.3% 7%  
162 1.3% 6%  
163 1.2% 5%  
164 0.5% 4%  
165 0.6% 3%  
166 0.5% 3%  
167 0.5% 2%  
168 0.4% 1.4%  
169 0.2% 1.1%  
170 0.2% 0.8%  
171 0.1% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.5%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations