Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 10–20 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.3–31.9% 27.8–32.4% 27.4–32.9% 26.6–33.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.5–21.6% 18.1–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.7–17.5% 14.3–18.0% 13.9–18.3% 13.3–19.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.4–10.8% 7.0–11.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.2% 5.7–9.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.6% 5.2–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.5% 5.6–7.5% 5.4–7.8% 5.2–8.1% 4.8–8.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 221 209–234 205–239 202–242 196–249
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 148 135–159 133–162 130–165 125–172
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 118 108–129 105–132 103–135 98–141
Alternative für Deutschland 94 67 58–75 56–78 55–80 51–84
Die Linke 69 55 49–63 46–66 45–68 41–72
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 44–59 43–62 41–63 38–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 48 41–55 40–57 38–60 0–64

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
189 0% 100%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.8%  
194 0.1% 99.7%  
195 0.1% 99.7%  
196 0.2% 99.5%  
197 0.2% 99.4%  
198 0.3% 99.2%  
199 0.3% 98.9%  
200 0.5% 98.6% Last Result
201 0.4% 98%  
202 0.8% 98%  
203 0.7% 97%  
204 1.2% 96%  
205 0.8% 95%  
206 1.0% 94%  
207 1.3% 93%  
208 2% 92%  
209 2% 90%  
210 3% 88%  
211 3% 86%  
212 2% 83%  
213 2% 81%  
214 3% 79%  
215 3% 76%  
216 6% 73%  
217 3% 67%  
218 5% 64%  
219 3% 60%  
220 4% 57%  
221 4% 53% Median
222 4% 49%  
223 4% 45%  
224 4% 42%  
225 4% 38%  
226 3% 34%  
227 3% 31%  
228 3% 28%  
229 3% 25%  
230 4% 22%  
231 2% 19%  
232 2% 17%  
233 3% 14%  
234 2% 12%  
235 1.2% 10%  
236 1.2% 9%  
237 1.1% 7%  
238 0.8% 6%  
239 1.1% 6%  
240 1.0% 4%  
241 0.6% 3%  
242 0.5% 3%  
243 0.4% 2%  
244 0.3% 2%  
245 0.4% 2%  
246 0.2% 1.2%  
247 0.3% 1.0%  
248 0.2% 0.8%  
249 0.1% 0.6%  
250 0.1% 0.5%  
251 0.1% 0.4%  
252 0.1% 0.3%  
253 0.1% 0.3%  
254 0% 0.2%  
255 0.1% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.2% 99.5%  
127 0.4% 99.3%  
128 0.4% 99.0%  
129 0.4% 98.5%  
130 0.7% 98%  
131 1.2% 97%  
132 1.0% 96%  
133 1.3% 95%  
134 2% 94%  
135 2% 92%  
136 2% 90%  
137 3% 88%  
138 3% 85%  
139 3% 83%  
140 2% 80%  
141 4% 77%  
142 2% 73%  
143 4% 70%  
144 3% 67%  
145 5% 64%  
146 2% 58%  
147 3% 56%  
148 6% 53% Median
149 3% 47%  
150 4% 44%  
151 5% 40%  
152 5% 35%  
153 4% 30%  
154 3% 27%  
155 4% 23%  
156 3% 19%  
157 3% 16%  
158 3% 14%  
159 2% 11%  
160 2% 9%  
161 2% 7%  
162 1.0% 6%  
163 1.1% 5%  
164 0.5% 4%  
165 0.8% 3%  
166 0.5% 2%  
167 0.3% 2%  
168 0.3% 1.5%  
169 0.3% 1.2%  
170 0.2% 0.9%  
171 0.1% 0.7%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.2% 99.4%  
100 0.4% 99.2%  
101 0.7% 98.8%  
102 0.5% 98%  
103 0.7% 98%  
104 1.1% 97%  
105 1.1% 96%  
106 1.5% 95%  
107 3% 93%  
108 2% 91%  
109 2% 88%  
110 3% 86%  
111 3% 82%  
112 3% 79%  
113 5% 76%  
114 4% 71%  
115 4% 67%  
116 6% 63%  
117 5% 57%  
118 5% 52% Median
119 5% 47%  
120 4% 42%  
121 4% 39%  
122 6% 35%  
123 4% 28%  
124 3% 25%  
125 3% 21%  
126 2% 19%  
127 3% 16%  
128 3% 13%  
129 2% 11%  
130 2% 8%  
131 1.3% 7%  
132 1.3% 5%  
133 0.8% 4%  
134 0.7% 3%  
135 0.6% 3%  
136 0.5% 2%  
137 0.4% 2%  
138 0.3% 1.2%  
139 0.2% 0.9%  
140 0.2% 0.7%  
141 0.2% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.6%  
52 0.4% 99.4%  
53 0.6% 99.0%  
54 0.8% 98%  
55 1.3% 98%  
56 2% 96%  
57 2% 95%  
58 3% 93%  
59 3% 90%  
60 3% 87%  
61 5% 83%  
62 5% 78%  
63 5% 73%  
64 6% 68%  
65 7% 62%  
66 5% 55%  
67 7% 50% Median
68 6% 43%  
69 5% 37%  
70 5% 32%  
71 5% 26%  
72 4% 21%  
73 3% 17%  
74 4% 14%  
75 2% 11%  
76 2% 9%  
77 1.5% 7%  
78 1.4% 5%  
79 0.9% 4%  
80 0.9% 3%  
81 0.5% 2%  
82 0.3% 1.3%  
83 0.4% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.7%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.7%  
42 0.4% 99.5%  
43 0.5% 99.1%  
44 1.0% 98.5%  
45 1.1% 98%  
46 1.5% 96%  
47 2% 95%  
48 2% 93%  
49 3% 90%  
50 4% 87%  
51 5% 83%  
52 6% 78%  
53 7% 73%  
54 8% 65%  
55 8% 58% Median
56 8% 49%  
57 7% 41%  
58 7% 35%  
59 5% 28%  
60 4% 23%  
61 4% 19%  
62 3% 15%  
63 2% 12%  
64 2% 10%  
65 2% 7%  
66 2% 6%  
67 1.2% 4%  
68 0.9% 3%  
69 0.7% 2% Last Result
70 0.5% 2%  
71 0.4% 1.0%  
72 0.2% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.3% 99.7%  
39 0.6% 99.3%  
40 0.8% 98.7%  
41 0.8% 98%  
42 1.3% 97%  
43 3% 96%  
44 4% 93%  
45 4% 89%  
46 3% 85% Last Result
47 4% 81%  
48 7% 77%  
49 7% 71%  
50 6% 63%  
51 5% 57%  
52 8% 52% Median
53 9% 43%  
54 7% 34%  
55 3% 27%  
56 3% 24%  
57 4% 21%  
58 5% 16%  
59 3% 11%  
60 2% 8%  
61 2% 7%  
62 2% 5%  
63 1.1% 3%  
64 0.6% 2%  
65 0.4% 2%  
66 0.5% 1.2%  
67 0.3% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 0% 98.6%  
5 0% 98.6%  
6 0% 98.6%  
7 0% 98.6%  
8 0% 98.6%  
9 0% 98.6%  
10 0% 98.6%  
11 0% 98.6%  
12 0% 98.6%  
13 0% 98.6%  
14 0% 98.6%  
15 0% 98.6%  
16 0% 98.6%  
17 0% 98.6%  
18 0% 98.6%  
19 0% 98.6%  
20 0% 98.6%  
21 0% 98.6%  
22 0% 98.6%  
23 0% 98.6%  
24 0% 98.6%  
25 0% 98.6%  
26 0% 98.6%  
27 0% 98.6%  
28 0% 98.6%  
29 0% 98.6%  
30 0% 98.6%  
31 0% 98.6%  
32 0% 98.6%  
33 0% 98.6%  
34 0% 98.6%  
35 0% 98.6%  
36 0% 98.6%  
37 0.6% 98.6%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 2% 95%  
41 4% 93%  
42 5% 89%  
43 5% 85%  
44 5% 80%  
45 7% 75%  
46 7% 68%  
47 6% 61%  
48 10% 55% Median
49 6% 46%  
50 6% 40%  
51 7% 33%  
52 4% 26%  
53 5% 22%  
54 5% 17%  
55 3% 12%  
56 2% 10%  
57 3% 7%  
58 1.1% 5%  
59 1.2% 4%  
60 0.8% 3%  
61 0.5% 2%  
62 0.4% 1.2%  
63 0.3% 0.8%  
64 0.2% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 539 100% 527–551 523–555 520–559 514–581
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 469 100% 455–482 450–486 447–489 440–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 439 100% 425–453 421–457 417–460 409–466
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 421 100% 407–435 403–439 399–443 392–456
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 391 100% 377–406 373–410 370–414 363–426
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 387 99.6% 373–402 369–406 365–409 356–416
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 339 10% 325–354 322–359 318–363 312–373
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 322 0.4% 307–336 303–340 300–344 293–353
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 321 0.1% 307–335 302–339 298–343 288–349
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 314 0% 299–327 295–331 290–335 279–342
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 266 0% 252–280 248–283 245–287 239–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 174 0% 162–186 159–190 156–193 150–200
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 167 0% 154–179 150–182 146–185 124–191

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 99.9%  
509 0% 99.9%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0.1% 99.8%  
512 0.1% 99.8%  
513 0.1% 99.6%  
514 0.1% 99.5%  
515 0.2% 99.4%  
516 0.3% 99.2%  
517 0.3% 98.9%  
518 0.4% 98.7%  
519 0.5% 98%  
520 0.6% 98%  
521 0.7% 97%  
522 1.0% 96%  
523 1.2% 95%  
524 0.9% 94%  
525 0.9% 93%  
526 2% 92%  
527 2% 90%  
528 2% 88%  
529 3% 87%  
530 4% 84%  
531 2% 80%  
532 3% 78%  
533 4% 75%  
534 4% 71%  
535 5% 68%  
536 3% 63%  
537 4% 60%  
538 5% 56%  
539 4% 51% Median
540 5% 47%  
541 5% 43%  
542 4% 38%  
543 3% 34%  
544 5% 31%  
545 3% 25%  
546 2% 23%  
547 3% 20%  
548 3% 18%  
549 3% 15%  
550 1.3% 12%  
551 2% 11%  
552 2% 9%  
553 0.9% 7%  
554 1.0% 6%  
555 1.0% 5%  
556 0.7% 4%  
557 0.4% 3%  
558 0.4% 3%  
559 0.4% 3%  
560 0.3% 2%  
561 0.2% 2%  
562 0.2% 2%  
563 0.1% 2%  
564 0.1% 2%  
565 0.1% 1.5%  
566 0.1% 1.4%  
567 0% 1.3%  
568 0.1% 1.3%  
569 0.1% 1.2%  
570 0% 1.1%  
571 0% 1.1%  
572 0.1% 1.1%  
573 0% 1.0%  
574 0% 1.0%  
575 0.1% 0.9%  
576 0% 0.8%  
577 0% 0.8%  
578 0.1% 0.7%  
579 0.1% 0.7%  
580 0% 0.6%  
581 0.1% 0.5%  
582 0.1% 0.5%  
583 0.1% 0.4%  
584 0% 0.3%  
585 0.1% 0.3%  
586 0% 0.3%  
587 0% 0.2%  
588 0% 0.2%  
589 0% 0.2%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.7%  
439 0.1% 99.6%  
440 0.1% 99.5%  
441 0.1% 99.4%  
442 0.2% 99.3%  
443 0.2% 99.1%  
444 0.3% 98.9%  
445 0.3% 98.6%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.7% 98%  
448 0.6% 97%  
449 0.9% 97%  
450 0.9% 96%  
451 0.7% 95%  
452 0.9% 94%  
453 0.9% 93%  
454 1.2% 92%  
455 1.1% 91%  
456 2% 90%  
457 2% 88%  
458 2% 86%  
459 3% 84%  
460 3% 81%  
461 3% 78%  
462 5% 75%  
463 3% 70%  
464 3% 67%  
465 3% 64%  
466 4% 61%  
467 3% 57%  
468 2% 54%  
469 3% 52% Median
470 4% 48%  
471 3% 44%  
472 4% 41%  
473 4% 37%  
474 4% 33%  
475 4% 29%  
476 3% 25%  
477 4% 22%  
478 3% 18%  
479 2% 16%  
480 1.3% 13%  
481 2% 12%  
482 1.1% 10%  
483 1.4% 9%  
484 0.8% 8%  
485 1.3% 7%  
486 1.1% 6%  
487 1.0% 5%  
488 0.8% 4%  
489 0.6% 3%  
490 0.7% 2%  
491 0.4% 2%  
492 0.3% 1.2%  
493 0.2% 0.9%  
494 0.1% 0.7%  
495 0.1% 0.5%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0.1% 0.3%  
498 0.1% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.2% 99.4%  
412 0.2% 99.2%  
413 0.3% 99.1%  
414 0.2% 98.8%  
415 0.4% 98.6%  
416 0.4% 98%  
417 0.4% 98%  
418 0.4% 97%  
419 0.7% 97%  
420 0.7% 96%  
421 1.1% 96%  
422 0.7% 94%  
423 2% 94%  
424 1.2% 92%  
425 2% 91%  
426 0.9% 89%  
427 2% 88%  
428 2% 86%  
429 3% 84%  
430 2% 81%  
431 4% 80%  
432 3% 76%  
433 3% 73%  
434 3% 70%  
435 3% 67%  
436 4% 64%  
437 4% 60%  
438 4% 57%  
439 5% 53% Median
440 4% 49%  
441 4% 45%  
442 3% 41%  
443 4% 38%  
444 3% 34%  
445 3% 31%  
446 3% 28%  
447 2% 25%  
448 2% 22%  
449 2% 20%  
450 2% 18%  
451 3% 15%  
452 2% 12%  
453 2% 11%  
454 2% 9%  
455 1.0% 7%  
456 1.0% 6%  
457 1.0% 5%  
458 0.9% 4%  
459 0.5% 3%  
460 0.6% 3%  
461 0.4% 2%  
462 0.5% 2%  
463 0.3% 1.4%  
464 0.2% 1.1%  
465 0.2% 0.9%  
466 0.2% 0.7%  
467 0.1% 0.5%  
468 0.1% 0.4%  
469 0.1% 0.3%  
470 0.1% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.2% 99.3%  
395 0.3% 99.1%  
396 0.2% 98.8%  
397 0.3% 98.6%  
398 0.3% 98%  
399 0.7% 98%  
400 0.7% 97%  
401 0.9% 97%  
402 0.6% 96%  
403 0.6% 95%  
404 1.2% 95%  
405 1.4% 93%  
406 2% 92%  
407 2% 90%  
408 2% 88%  
409 1.3% 86%  
410 2% 85%  
411 3% 84%  
412 4% 80%  
413 3% 76%  
414 2% 73%  
415 3% 71%  
416 3% 68%  
417 4% 65%  
418 5% 61%  
419 3% 56%  
420 2% 53%  
421 4% 51% Median
422 3% 47%  
423 5% 44%  
424 4% 39%  
425 4% 35%  
426 2% 31%  
427 2% 29%  
428 3% 28%  
429 4% 24%  
430 2% 21%  
431 3% 18%  
432 2% 15%  
433 1.3% 14%  
434 2% 12%  
435 2% 10%  
436 1.4% 9%  
437 0.7% 7%  
438 0.8% 6%  
439 0.8% 6%  
440 0.8% 5%  
441 0.6% 4%  
442 0.8% 3%  
443 0.2% 3%  
444 0.3% 2%  
445 0.3% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.3% 2%  
448 0.2% 1.4%  
449 0.1% 1.2%  
450 0.1% 1.1%  
451 0.1% 1.0%  
452 0.1% 0.8%  
453 0.1% 0.7%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.4%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0.1% 0.3%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0.1% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0.1% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.2% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.3% 99.0%  
367 0.3% 98.8%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.4% 98%  
370 0.5% 98%  
371 0.8% 97%  
372 0.9% 96%  
373 1.0% 96%  
374 1.0% 95%  
375 0.9% 94%  
376 2% 93%  
377 2% 91%  
378 2% 89%  
379 2% 87%  
380 2% 86%  
381 2% 83%  
382 2% 81%  
383 3% 79%  
384 4% 76%  
385 2% 72%  
386 4% 70%  
387 3% 66%  
388 3% 63%  
389 3% 60%  
390 5% 57%  
391 3% 52% Median
392 4% 49%  
393 4% 45%  
394 3% 41%  
395 3% 38%  
396 3% 35%  
397 4% 31%  
398 3% 28%  
399 3% 24% Last Result
400 2% 22%  
401 2% 19%  
402 2% 18%  
403 2% 16%  
404 2% 14%  
405 1.4% 12%  
406 2% 11%  
407 1.2% 9%  
408 0.8% 7%  
409 1.0% 7%  
410 0.7% 6%  
411 0.8% 5%  
412 0.8% 4%  
413 0.6% 3%  
414 0.3% 3%  
415 0.3% 2%  
416 0.4% 2%  
417 0.2% 2%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.2% 1.3%  
420 0.1% 1.1%  
421 0.1% 1.0%  
422 0.1% 0.9%  
423 0.1% 0.8%  
424 0.1% 0.7%  
425 0.1% 0.6%  
426 0.1% 0.6%  
427 0% 0.4%  
428 0% 0.4%  
429 0% 0.4%  
430 0% 0.3%  
431 0.1% 0.3%  
432 0% 0.2%  
433 0.1% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0% 99.7%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.6% Majority
356 0.1% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.5%  
358 0.1% 99.4%  
359 0.1% 99.3%  
360 0.2% 99.1%  
361 0.2% 98.9%  
362 0.2% 98.7%  
363 0.4% 98%  
364 0.3% 98%  
365 0.4% 98%  
366 0.3% 97%  
367 0.6% 97%  
368 0.6% 96%  
369 1.0% 96%  
370 1.2% 95%  
371 1.3% 94%  
372 2% 92%  
373 1.4% 90%  
374 2% 89%  
375 1.3% 87%  
376 2% 86%  
377 2% 84%  
378 2% 82%  
379 2% 80%  
380 3% 78%  
381 4% 75%  
382 3% 72%  
383 6% 68%  
384 4% 63%  
385 4% 59%  
386 3% 55%  
387 3% 52%  
388 3% 49% Median
389 3% 46%  
390 3% 44%  
391 2% 41%  
392 3% 39%  
393 3% 35%  
394 5% 32%  
395 3% 26%  
396 4% 24%  
397 2% 20%  
398 2% 17%  
399 2% 15%  
400 1.4% 13%  
401 1.1% 12%  
402 1.2% 11%  
403 2% 10%  
404 0.9% 8%  
405 1.4% 7%  
406 1.3% 6%  
407 0.9% 4%  
408 0.7% 3%  
409 0.6% 3%  
410 0.4% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.3% 1.4%  
413 0.2% 1.2%  
414 0.2% 1.0%  
415 0.2% 0.8%  
416 0.2% 0.6%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0.1% 0.4%  
419 0.1% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.2% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0.1% 99.6%  
312 0.2% 99.5%  
313 0.2% 99.3%  
314 0.2% 99.2%  
315 0.3% 99.0%  
316 0.4% 98.7%  
317 0.4% 98%  
318 0.4% 98%  
319 0.7% 97%  
320 0.8% 97%  
321 0.8% 96%  
322 0.8% 95%  
323 2% 94%  
324 1.2% 93%  
325 2% 92%  
326 1.3% 90%  
327 2% 88%  
328 2% 86%  
329 2% 84%  
330 3% 82%  
331 2% 79%  
332 4% 77%  
333 3% 73%  
334 2% 70%  
335 4% 68%  
336 2% 64%  
337 5% 61%  
338 2% 56%  
339 5% 54%  
340 4% 50% Last Result, Median
341 3% 46%  
342 3% 42%  
343 3% 39%  
344 4% 36%  
345 2% 33%  
346 3% 30%  
347 3% 27%  
348 3% 24%  
349 2% 21%  
350 3% 19%  
351 2% 16%  
352 2% 15%  
353 1.1% 12%  
354 1.4% 11%  
355 2% 10% Majority
356 1.0% 8%  
357 1.1% 7%  
358 0.9% 6%  
359 0.9% 5%  
360 0.6% 4%  
361 0.6% 4%  
362 0.5% 3%  
363 0.4% 3%  
364 0.4% 2%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.3% 2%  
367 0.2% 1.3%  
368 0.2% 1.1%  
369 0.1% 1.0%  
370 0.2% 0.8%  
371 0.1% 0.7%  
372 0.1% 0.6%  
373 0.1% 0.5%  
374 0.1% 0.5%  
375 0.1% 0.4%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0.1% 0.3%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.8%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0.2% 99.5%  
294 0.2% 99.4%  
295 0.2% 99.2%  
296 0.2% 99.0%  
297 0.3% 98.8%  
298 0.2% 98.6%  
299 0.4% 98%  
300 0.6% 98%  
301 0.7% 97%  
302 0.9% 97%  
303 1.3% 96%  
304 1.4% 94%  
305 0.9% 93%  
306 2% 92%  
307 1.2% 90%  
308 1.1% 89%  
309 1.4% 88%  
310 2% 87%  
311 2% 85%  
312 2% 83%  
313 4% 80%  
314 3% 76%  
315 5% 74%  
316 3% 68%  
317 3% 65%  
318 2% 61%  
319 3% 59%  
320 3% 56%  
321 3% 54% Median
322 3% 51%  
323 3% 48%  
324 4% 45%  
325 4% 41%  
326 6% 37%  
327 3% 32%  
328 4% 28%  
329 3% 25%  
330 2% 22%  
331 2% 20%  
332 2% 18%  
333 2% 16%  
334 1.3% 14%  
335 2% 13%  
336 1.4% 11%  
337 2% 10%  
338 1.3% 8%  
339 1.2% 6%  
340 1.0% 5%  
341 0.6% 4%  
342 0.6% 4%  
343 0.3% 3%  
344 0.4% 3%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.4% 2%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.2% 1.3%  
349 0.2% 1.1%  
350 0.1% 0.9%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0.1% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.3%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0.1% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.1% 99.4%  
290 0.1% 99.3%  
291 0.1% 99.2%  
292 0.1% 99.1%  
293 0.1% 99.0%  
294 0.3% 98.9%  
295 0.3% 98.6%  
296 0.3% 98%  
297 0.3% 98%  
298 0.4% 98%  
299 0.5% 97%  
300 0.6% 97%  
301 0.9% 96%  
302 0.8% 95%  
303 0.6% 95%  
304 1.3% 94%  
305 1.0% 93%  
306 1.4% 92%  
307 2% 90%  
308 2% 88%  
309 2% 86%  
310 2% 85%  
311 2% 83%  
312 3% 81%  
313 3% 78%  
314 3% 75%  
315 3% 72%  
316 2% 69%  
317 4% 67%  
318 4% 63%  
319 4% 59%  
320 3% 55%  
321 3% 52% Median
322 4% 49%  
323 3% 44%  
324 3% 41%  
325 4% 38%  
326 3% 34% Last Result
327 2% 31%  
328 3% 29%  
329 4% 26%  
330 3% 22%  
331 2% 19%  
332 2% 17%  
333 2% 15%  
334 1.3% 13%  
335 3% 12%  
336 1.1% 9%  
337 0.8% 8%  
338 1.3% 7%  
339 1.3% 6%  
340 0.5% 4%  
341 0.8% 4%  
342 0.5% 3%  
343 0.6% 3%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.5% 2%  
346 0.3% 1.3%  
347 0.1% 1.0%  
348 0.3% 0.9%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0% 99.7%  
276 0% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.6%  
278 0% 99.5%  
279 0.1% 99.5%  
280 0% 99.4%  
281 0.1% 99.4%  
282 0.2% 99.3%  
283 0.1% 99.2%  
284 0.1% 99.1%  
285 0.2% 99.0%  
286 0.2% 98.8%  
287 0.2% 98.7%  
288 0.2% 98%  
289 0.4% 98%  
290 0.4% 98%  
291 0.3% 97%  
292 0.7% 97%  
293 0.5% 96%  
294 0.8% 96%  
295 1.1% 95%  
296 0.8% 94%  
297 1.5% 93%  
298 1.3% 92%  
299 2% 90%  
300 1.2% 89% Last Result
301 2% 87%  
302 3% 85%  
303 1.3% 83%  
304 2% 81%  
305 3% 79%  
306 2% 76%  
307 3% 73%  
308 4% 71%  
309 3% 67%  
310 3% 65%  
311 4% 62%  
312 2% 58%  
313 3% 56%  
314 4% 52% Median
315 3% 49%  
316 3% 45%  
317 3% 42%  
318 4% 39%  
319 3% 35%  
320 4% 32%  
321 4% 28%  
322 2% 24%  
323 2% 22%  
324 3% 20%  
325 2% 17%  
326 2% 15%  
327 2% 12%  
328 1.2% 10%  
329 1.0% 9%  
330 2% 8%  
331 0.9% 6%  
332 0.8% 5%  
333 0.7% 4%  
334 0.8% 3%  
335 0.4% 3%  
336 0.5% 2%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.3% 1.4%  
339 0.2% 1.1%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.6%  
342 0.1% 0.5%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.2% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.6%  
239 0.2% 99.5%  
240 0.4% 99.4%  
241 0.1% 99.0%  
242 0.4% 98.9%  
243 0.4% 98.5%  
244 0.5% 98%  
245 0.5% 98%  
246 0.9% 97%  
247 1.0% 96%  
248 0.4% 95%  
249 2% 95%  
250 1.4% 93%  
251 1.2% 92%  
252 2% 90%  
253 1.1% 88%  
254 2% 87%  
255 0.9% 85%  
256 4% 84%  
257 1.2% 80%  
258 3% 78%  
259 4% 75%  
260 2% 71%  
261 6% 69%  
262 2% 63%  
263 5% 62%  
264 2% 57%  
265 3% 55%  
266 4% 52% Median
267 3% 48%  
268 4% 45%  
269 1.3% 41%  
270 8% 39%  
271 2% 32%  
272 3% 30%  
273 5% 27%  
274 1.1% 22%  
275 2% 21%  
276 2% 19%  
277 3% 16%  
278 0.7% 13%  
279 2% 13%  
280 3% 11%  
281 0.3% 8%  
282 2% 8%  
283 1.3% 6%  
284 0.6% 5%  
285 1.0% 4%  
286 0.4% 3%  
287 0.6% 3%  
288 0.1% 2%  
289 0.5% 2%  
290 0.2% 2%  
291 0.3% 1.3%  
292 0.3% 1.1%  
293 0.1% 0.8%  
294 0.2% 0.7%  
295 0% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.5%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.7%  
150 0.2% 99.6%  
151 0.2% 99.5%  
152 0.4% 99.3%  
153 0.2% 98.9%  
154 0.4% 98.7%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 1.2% 97%  
158 0.8% 96%  
159 1.0% 95%  
160 2% 94%  
161 2% 92%  
162 2% 91%  
163 2% 89%  
164 3% 87%  
165 2% 84%  
166 4% 82%  
167 3% 78%  
168 3% 74%  
169 5% 71%  
170 3% 67%  
171 4% 64%  
172 4% 59%  
173 4% 55% Median
174 4% 51%  
175 4% 47%  
176 5% 43%  
177 3% 39%  
178 5% 35%  
179 4% 31%  
180 3% 27%  
181 3% 24%  
182 2% 20%  
183 2% 18%  
184 3% 16%  
185 2% 13%  
186 2% 11%  
187 1.3% 9%  
188 1.5% 8%  
189 1.2% 6%  
190 0.9% 5%  
191 0.7% 4%  
192 0.8% 4%  
193 0.4% 3%  
194 0.5% 2%  
195 0.4% 2%  
196 0.2% 1.3%  
197 0.2% 1.1%  
198 0.2% 0.9%  
199 0.1% 0.7%  
200 0.1% 0.5%  
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.6%  
122 0% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0.1% 99.5%  
125 0.1% 99.4%  
126 0.1% 99.4%  
127 0.1% 99.3%  
128 0% 99.2%  
129 0.1% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.0%  
132 0.1% 99.0%  
133 0% 98.9%  
134 0% 98.9%  
135 0.1% 98.9%  
136 0% 98.8%  
137 0% 98.8%  
138 0.1% 98.7%  
139 0% 98.7%  
140 0.1% 98.6%  
141 0.1% 98.5%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0.1% 98%  
144 0.3% 98%  
145 0.2% 98%  
146 0.4% 98%  
147 0.5% 97%  
148 0.4% 97%  
149 0.9% 97%  
150 0.9% 96%  
151 1.2% 95%  
152 0.9% 94%  
153 2% 93%  
154 1.5% 91%  
155 2% 90%  
156 2% 88%  
157 2% 85%  
158 3% 83%  
159 4% 80%  
160 5% 76%  
161 3% 71%  
162 3% 68%  
163 3% 65%  
164 3% 62%  
165 5% 58%  
166 3% 53% Median
167 4% 50%  
168 4% 46%  
169 4% 42%  
170 5% 37%  
171 5% 32%  
172 4% 27%  
173 3% 23%  
174 3% 21%  
175 2% 18%  
176 2% 16%  
177 2% 14%  
178 2% 12%  
179 2% 10%  
180 2% 9%  
181 1.4% 6%  
182 1.3% 5%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.4% 3%  
185 0.4% 3%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.3% 1.2%  
190 0.2% 0.9%  
191 0.3% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations