Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 18–20 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 27.7% 25.9–29.5% 25.4–30.0% 25.0–30.5% 24.2–31.4%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.5–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.9–24.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 210 197–225 193–229 190–233 184–242
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 161 149–173 145–178 141–181 136–188
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 104–126 101–129 98–132 94–138
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 68–86 65–89 63–91 60–97
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 54 46–62 44–64 43–66 39–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 48 41–57 39–59 38–61 35–65
Die Linke 69 46 40–54 0–56 0–58 0–62

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0.1% 99.8%  
182 0.1% 99.8%  
183 0.2% 99.7%  
184 0.1% 99.5%  
185 0.2% 99.4%  
186 0.2% 99.2%  
187 0.4% 99.0%  
188 0.3% 98.6%  
189 0.7% 98%  
190 0.5% 98%  
191 1.0% 97%  
192 0.5% 96%  
193 1.3% 96%  
194 0.7% 94%  
195 2% 94%  
196 1.1% 91%  
197 3% 90%  
198 2% 88%  
199 3% 86%  
200 2% 83% Last Result
201 3% 82%  
202 2% 78%  
203 3% 76%  
204 2% 73%  
205 4% 71%  
206 3% 66%  
207 5% 64%  
208 3% 59%  
209 4% 56%  
210 2% 52% Median
211 5% 50%  
212 3% 45%  
213 4% 41%  
214 4% 38%  
215 2% 33%  
216 3% 31%  
217 3% 28%  
218 3% 25%  
219 3% 22%  
220 2% 20%  
221 2% 18%  
222 2% 16%  
223 1.4% 13%  
224 2% 12%  
225 1.3% 10%  
226 1.5% 9%  
227 0.8% 7%  
228 1.1% 7%  
229 0.9% 5%  
230 0.5% 5%  
231 0.6% 4%  
232 0.6% 3%  
233 0.5% 3%  
234 0.3% 2%  
235 0.4% 2%  
236 0.4% 2%  
237 0.2% 1.3%  
238 0.2% 1.1%  
239 0.1% 0.9%  
240 0.1% 0.7%  
241 0.1% 0.6%  
242 0.1% 0.5%  
243 0.1% 0.4%  
244 0.1% 0.3%  
245 0% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.6%  
137 0.3% 99.4%  
138 0.4% 99.1%  
139 0.4% 98.7%  
140 0.4% 98%  
141 0.5% 98%  
142 0.5% 97%  
143 0.6% 97%  
144 0.7% 96%  
145 0.8% 96%  
146 1.1% 95%  
147 2% 94%  
148 1.4% 92%  
149 2% 90%  
150 3% 88%  
151 3% 85%  
152 4% 82%  
153 3% 78%  
154 3% 75%  
155 3% 72%  
156 3% 69%  
157 3% 66%  
158 4% 63%  
159 3% 59%  
160 5% 56%  
161 5% 51% Median
162 5% 46%  
163 6% 41%  
164 4% 35%  
165 4% 31%  
166 4% 27%  
167 3% 22%  
168 2% 19%  
169 3% 17%  
170 2% 14%  
171 1.2% 12%  
172 1.2% 11%  
173 1.0% 10%  
174 1.1% 9%  
175 1.0% 8%  
176 1.1% 7%  
177 0.8% 6%  
178 0.8% 5%  
179 0.7% 4%  
180 0.6% 4%  
181 0.5% 3%  
182 0.6% 2%  
183 0.2% 2%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.3% 1.2%  
186 0.1% 0.9%  
187 0.2% 0.8%  
188 0.1% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0.2% 99.6%  
95 0.3% 99.3%  
96 0.4% 99.0%  
97 0.5% 98.7%  
98 0.8% 98%  
99 1.0% 97%  
100 1.1% 96%  
101 2% 95%  
102 2% 94%  
103 2% 92%  
104 3% 90%  
105 2% 88%  
106 3% 86%  
107 4% 83%  
108 3% 79%  
109 4% 76%  
110 5% 73%  
111 5% 68%  
112 4% 62%  
113 6% 59%  
114 6% 53% Median
115 4% 47%  
116 5% 43%  
117 4% 38%  
118 4% 34%  
119 4% 30%  
120 3% 26%  
121 3% 23%  
122 2% 20%  
123 3% 18%  
124 2% 15%  
125 2% 12%  
126 2% 10%  
127 2% 8%  
128 1.0% 7%  
129 1.2% 5%  
130 0.8% 4%  
131 0.6% 3%  
132 0.7% 3%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.5% 2%  
135 0.2% 1.3%  
136 0.3% 1.0%  
137 0.1% 0.7%  
138 0.2% 0.6%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 0.3% 99.5%  
61 0.4% 99.2%  
62 0.6% 98.8%  
63 0.7% 98%  
64 1.0% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 2% 95%  
67 2% 93%  
68 2% 91%  
69 2% 88%  
70 4% 86%  
71 4% 82%  
72 6% 78%  
73 4% 72%  
74 6% 68%  
75 5% 62%  
76 5% 57%  
77 7% 52% Median
78 6% 46%  
79 6% 40%  
80 4% 34%  
81 4% 30%  
82 4% 26%  
83 4% 22%  
84 3% 18%  
85 3% 15%  
86 2% 11%  
87 2% 10%  
88 1.5% 7%  
89 1.4% 6%  
90 1.0% 4%  
91 0.9% 3%  
92 0.5% 2%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.4% 1.4% Last Result
95 0.3% 1.0%  
96 0.2% 0.7%  
97 0.1% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.5%  
41 0.7% 99.1%  
42 0.9% 98%  
43 1.4% 98%  
44 2% 96%  
45 2% 94%  
46 3% 92%  
47 4% 89%  
48 5% 85%  
49 4% 80%  
50 7% 76%  
51 7% 70%  
52 7% 63%  
53 5% 56%  
54 6% 51% Median
55 7% 44%  
56 5% 38%  
57 6% 33%  
58 5% 27%  
59 5% 23%  
60 3% 18%  
61 3% 14%  
62 2% 11%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 6%  
65 1.3% 5%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.6% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.3%  
70 0.2% 0.9%  
71 0.3% 0.7%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.2% 99.8%  
35 0.4% 99.6%  
36 0.5% 99.3%  
37 0.8% 98.8%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 2% 97%  
40 2% 95%  
41 3% 93%  
42 4% 90%  
43 4% 86%  
44 6% 82%  
45 5% 76%  
46 7% 71% Last Result
47 6% 64%  
48 8% 58% Median
49 7% 49%  
50 5% 43%  
51 7% 37%  
52 5% 31%  
53 6% 26%  
54 3% 20%  
55 4% 17%  
56 2% 13%  
57 3% 10%  
58 2% 8%  
59 1.3% 5%  
60 1.2% 4%  
61 0.8% 3%  
62 0.7% 2%  
63 0.4% 1.4%  
64 0.3% 0.9%  
65 0.2% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0% 94%  
10 0% 94%  
11 0% 94%  
12 0% 94%  
13 0% 94%  
14 0% 94%  
15 0% 94%  
16 0% 94%  
17 0% 94%  
18 0% 94%  
19 0% 94%  
20 0% 94%  
21 0% 94%  
22 0% 94%  
23 0% 94%  
24 0% 94%  
25 0% 94%  
26 0% 94%  
27 0% 94%  
28 0% 94%  
29 0% 94%  
30 0% 94%  
31 0% 94%  
32 0% 94%  
33 0% 94%  
34 0% 94%  
35 0% 94%  
36 0% 94%  
37 0% 94%  
38 1.0% 94%  
39 3% 93%  
40 5% 91%  
41 5% 86%  
42 5% 81%  
43 4% 76%  
44 6% 71%  
45 10% 65%  
46 8% 55% Median
47 4% 47%  
48 7% 43%  
49 7% 36%  
50 7% 28%  
51 4% 21%  
52 3% 17%  
53 3% 14%  
54 4% 11%  
55 2% 7%  
56 1.2% 5%  
57 1.1% 4%  
58 1.0% 3%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.3% 1.3%  
61 0.3% 0.9%  
62 0.2% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 533 100% 520–547 516–562 513–572 507–582
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 472 100% 459–488 453–497 450–507 444–518
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 426 100% 413–445 409–451 404–458 396–474
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 418 100% 405–436 400–444 396–451 389–462
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 389 99.8% 374–406 369–413 366–420 359–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 372 94% 358–390 354–397 350–403 343–415
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 336 8% 321–352 316–358 313–364 306–375
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 327 2% 313–345 309–350 305–354 298–366
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 320 0.2% 303–335 296–340 289–343 276–350
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 312 0.2% 297–329 293–335 290–339 282–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 274 0% 260–290 256–295 253–300 246–310
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 167 0% 154–182 152–184 150–189 141–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 160 0% 146–172 131–176 119–179 110–186

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 99.9%  
501 0% 99.9%  
502 0% 99.9%  
503 0.1% 99.8%  
504 0.1% 99.8%  
505 0.1% 99.7%  
506 0.1% 99.6%  
507 0.2% 99.5%  
508 0.2% 99.3%  
509 0.2% 99.1%  
510 0.3% 98.9%  
511 0.4% 98.6%  
512 0.4% 98%  
513 0.6% 98%  
514 0.6% 97%  
515 0.8% 97%  
516 1.2% 96%  
517 1.0% 95%  
518 0.9% 94%  
519 2% 93%  
520 2% 91%  
521 1.3% 89%  
522 3% 87%  
523 2% 85%  
524 4% 83%  
525 3% 79%  
526 3% 77%  
527 4% 74%  
528 4% 69%  
529 3% 65%  
530 4% 62%  
531 5% 58%  
532 3% 53%  
533 5% 50% Median
534 3% 45%  
535 5% 43%  
536 4% 38%  
537 3% 34%  
538 2% 30%  
539 3% 28%  
540 4% 25%  
541 2% 21%  
542 2% 19%  
543 2% 17%  
544 2% 16%  
545 1.4% 14%  
546 2% 12%  
547 0.9% 11%  
548 0.8% 10%  
549 0.6% 9%  
550 0.6% 9%  
551 0.5% 8%  
552 0.3% 7%  
553 0.5% 7%  
554 0.3% 7%  
555 0.3% 6%  
556 0.1% 6%  
557 0.2% 6%  
558 0.1% 6%  
559 0.2% 6%  
560 0.2% 5%  
561 0.1% 5%  
562 0.4% 5%  
563 0.1% 5%  
564 0.2% 5%  
565 0.2% 5%  
566 0.3% 4%  
567 0.3% 4%  
568 0.2% 4%  
569 0.4% 4%  
570 0.1% 3%  
571 0.3% 3%  
572 0.4% 3%  
573 0.1% 2%  
574 0.3% 2%  
575 0.2% 2%  
576 0.2% 2%  
577 0.2% 2%  
578 0.2% 1.3%  
579 0.2% 1.1%  
580 0.2% 0.9%  
581 0.1% 0.7%  
582 0.1% 0.6%  
583 0% 0.5%  
584 0.1% 0.4%  
585 0.1% 0.3%  
586 0% 0.3%  
587 0.1% 0.2%  
588 0% 0.2%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.8%  
442 0.1% 99.8%  
443 0.1% 99.7%  
444 0.2% 99.5%  
445 0.2% 99.3%  
446 0.3% 99.1%  
447 0.3% 98.8%  
448 0.3% 98.6%  
449 0.4% 98%  
450 0.6% 98%  
451 0.8% 97%  
452 0.6% 96%  
453 0.9% 96%  
454 0.7% 95%  
455 1.0% 94%  
456 0.7% 93%  
457 1.0% 92%  
458 1.2% 91%  
459 1.1% 90%  
460 1.2% 89%  
461 1.3% 88%  
462 2% 87%  
463 2% 85%  
464 3% 83%  
465 3% 80%  
466 4% 77%  
467 4% 73%  
468 3% 69%  
469 3% 66%  
470 3% 62%  
471 5% 59%  
472 5% 54%  
473 6% 49% Median
474 6% 43%  
475 4% 37%  
476 4% 34%  
477 3% 30%  
478 2% 27%  
479 2% 25%  
480 2% 23%  
481 2% 21%  
482 2% 19%  
483 1.1% 17%  
484 1.3% 16%  
485 1.1% 15%  
486 2% 14%  
487 0.9% 12%  
488 1.2% 11%  
489 0.7% 10%  
490 0.5% 9%  
491 0.3% 9%  
492 0.3% 8%  
493 0.5% 8%  
494 0.6% 8%  
495 0.7% 7%  
496 1.1% 6%  
497 0.5% 5%  
498 0.3% 5%  
499 0.1% 4%  
500 0.1% 4%  
501 0% 4%  
502 0.1% 4%  
503 0.2% 4%  
504 0.5% 4%  
505 0.5% 3%  
506 0.3% 3%  
507 0.3% 3%  
508 0.3% 2%  
509 0.2% 2%  
510 0% 2%  
511 0% 2%  
512 0% 2%  
513 0% 2%  
514 0.1% 2%  
515 0.1% 2%  
516 0.3% 1.4%  
517 0.4% 1.1%  
518 0.3% 0.7%  
519 0.1% 0.4%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0.1% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0.1% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0% 99.8%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0.2% 99.7%  
397 0.2% 99.5%  
398 0.1% 99.3%  
399 0% 99.2%  
400 0% 99.2%  
401 0.2% 99.2%  
402 0.7% 99.0%  
403 0.7% 98%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.1% 97%  
406 0% 97%  
407 0.5% 97%  
408 1.4% 97%  
409 2% 95%  
410 2% 93%  
411 0.3% 91%  
412 0.1% 91%  
413 1.4% 91%  
414 3% 89%  
415 5% 86%  
416 4% 81%  
417 1.1% 77%  
418 0.3% 76%  
419 2% 76%  
420 7% 74%  
421 7% 68%  
422 4% 61%  
423 1.0% 57%  
424 0.1% 56%  
425 2% 56%  
426 5% 54% Median
427 7% 49%  
428 4% 42%  
429 0.5% 39%  
430 0.2% 38%  
431 0.6% 38%  
432 3% 37%  
433 5% 34%  
434 5% 29%  
435 1.1% 25%  
436 0.3% 24%  
437 0.6% 23%  
438 2% 23%  
439 3% 20%  
440 4% 17%  
441 1.2% 13%  
442 0.2% 12%  
443 0.6% 12%  
444 1.1% 12%  
445 3% 10%  
446 1.1% 8%  
447 0.6% 7%  
448 0.2% 6%  
449 0.3% 6%  
450 0.5% 6%  
451 0.8% 5%  
452 0.5% 4%  
453 0.3% 4%  
454 0.1% 4%  
455 0.1% 4%  
456 0.3% 3%  
457 0.6% 3%  
458 0.4% 3%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.1% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.2% 1.5%  
466 0% 1.3%  
467 0% 1.3%  
468 0.1% 1.2%  
469 0.2% 1.1%  
470 0.2% 1.0%  
471 0.2% 0.8%  
472 0.1% 0.6%  
473 0% 0.5%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0.2% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.2%  
478 0.1% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.1% Last Result
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.2% 99.6%  
390 0.2% 99.4%  
391 0.2% 99.2%  
392 0.2% 99.0%  
393 0.3% 98.8%  
394 0.4% 98.5%  
395 0.5% 98%  
396 0.6% 98%  
397 0.5% 97%  
398 0.6% 96%  
399 0.7% 96%  
400 0.6% 95%  
401 1.1% 95%  
402 0.9% 94%  
403 1.1% 93%  
404 1.3% 91%  
405 1.2% 90%  
406 1.4% 89%  
407 2% 88%  
408 2% 86%  
409 1.5% 84%  
410 3% 82%  
411 3% 79%  
412 3% 76%  
413 3% 73%  
414 4% 70%  
415 4% 65%  
416 3% 62%  
417 4% 58%  
418 5% 54%  
419 3% 49% Median
420 5% 46%  
421 3% 41%  
422 4% 38%  
423 3% 33%  
424 3% 31%  
425 2% 28%  
426 3% 26%  
427 2% 22%  
428 2% 21%  
429 2% 19%  
430 2% 17%  
431 2% 16%  
432 1.0% 14%  
433 1.0% 13%  
434 0.8% 12%  
435 0.7% 11%  
436 0.7% 10%  
437 1.0% 10%  
438 0.6% 9%  
439 0.7% 8%  
440 0.6% 7%  
441 0.6% 7%  
442 0.7% 6%  
443 0.4% 5%  
444 0.3% 5%  
445 0.5% 5%  
446 0.4% 4%  
447 0.4% 4%  
448 0.3% 3%  
449 0.2% 3%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.2% 3%  
452 0.2% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.3% 2%  
458 0.1% 1.3%  
459 0.3% 1.2%  
460 0.2% 0.9%  
461 0.1% 0.8%  
462 0.2% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0.1% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0.1% 99.6%  
360 0.1% 99.4%  
361 0.1% 99.3%  
362 0.3% 99.2%  
363 0.3% 98.9%  
364 0.3% 98.6%  
365 0.6% 98%  
366 0.6% 98%  
367 0.5% 97%  
368 0.9% 97%  
369 0.7% 96%  
370 1.0% 95%  
371 0.8% 94%  
372 1.4% 93%  
373 1.4% 92%  
374 1.1% 90%  
375 2% 89%  
376 2% 88%  
377 2% 86%  
378 2% 84%  
379 2% 82%  
380 3% 80%  
381 3% 78%  
382 2% 75%  
383 3% 72%  
384 2% 69%  
385 4% 67%  
386 3% 63%  
387 4% 60%  
388 4% 56%  
389 4% 53% Median
390 4% 48%  
391 4% 44%  
392 3% 40%  
393 2% 37%  
394 3% 35%  
395 3% 32%  
396 3% 29%  
397 2% 27%  
398 2% 25%  
399 2% 23%  
400 3% 21%  
401 2% 19%  
402 2% 17%  
403 1.2% 15%  
404 2% 14%  
405 1.0% 12%  
406 1.4% 11%  
407 0.9% 10%  
408 1.1% 9%  
409 0.7% 8%  
410 0.6% 7%  
411 0.6% 6%  
412 0.6% 6%  
413 0.4% 5%  
414 0.4% 5%  
415 0.4% 4%  
416 0.3% 4%  
417 0.4% 4%  
418 0.4% 3%  
419 0.2% 3%  
420 0.2% 3% Last Result
421 0.4% 2%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.1% 2%  
424 0.3% 2%  
425 0.2% 1.4%  
426 0.1% 1.2%  
427 0.3% 1.2%  
428 0.1% 0.9%  
429 0.1% 0.8%  
430 0.1% 0.8%  
431 0% 0.7%  
432 0.1% 0.6%  
433 0.2% 0.6%  
434 0% 0.4%  
435 0% 0.4%  
436 0.1% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.3%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0.1% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0% 99.7%  
342 0% 99.7%  
343 0.2% 99.7%  
344 0.2% 99.5%  
345 0% 99.3%  
346 0.2% 99.2%  
347 0.6% 99.0%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.1% 98%  
350 0.7% 98%  
351 1.0% 97%  
352 0.1% 96%  
353 0.8% 96%  
354 2% 96%  
355 1.1% 94% Majority
356 0.1% 93%  
357 2% 93%  
358 3% 91%  
359 0.5% 88%  
360 0.6% 87%  
361 4% 87%  
362 3% 83%  
363 0.2% 80%  
364 2% 80%  
365 6% 77%  
366 2% 71%  
367 0.7% 69%  
368 6% 68%  
369 4% 63%  
370 0.5% 58%  
371 2% 58%  
372 7% 56% Median
373 3% 49%  
374 0.4% 46%  
375 5% 46%  
376 5% 41%  
377 2% 36%  
378 1.0% 35%  
379 5% 34%  
380 3% 29%  
381 0.4% 26%  
382 2% 26%  
383 4% 23%  
384 1.1% 19%  
385 0.7% 18%  
386 2% 17%  
387 3% 15%  
388 0.4% 13%  
389 1.0% 12%  
390 2% 11%  
391 0.6% 9%  
392 0.4% 9%  
393 1.0% 8%  
394 1.0% 7%  
395 0.4% 6%  
396 0.3% 6%  
397 0.8% 5%  
398 0.6% 5%  
399 0.2% 4% Last Result
400 0.7% 4%  
401 0.4% 3%  
402 0.2% 3%  
403 0.1% 3%  
404 0.4% 2%  
405 0.2% 2%  
406 0.2% 2%  
407 0.3% 2%  
408 0.2% 1.4%  
409 0.1% 1.2%  
410 0.1% 1.2%  
411 0.1% 1.1%  
412 0.3% 1.0%  
413 0.1% 0.7%  
414 0.1% 0.7%  
415 0.1% 0.6%  
416 0.1% 0.5%  
417 0% 0.4%  
418 0% 0.3%  
419 0% 0.3%  
420 0.1% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.8%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.1% 99.6%  
307 0.2% 99.5%  
308 0.2% 99.3%  
309 0.3% 99.0%  
310 0.3% 98.8%  
311 0.4% 98%  
312 0.4% 98%  
313 0.5% 98%  
314 0.8% 97%  
315 1.0% 96%  
316 0.8% 95%  
317 1.1% 95%  
318 0.9% 93%  
319 1.2% 93%  
320 1.3% 91%  
321 1.2% 90%  
322 2% 89%  
323 2% 86%  
324 2% 85%  
325 2% 82%  
326 3% 80%  
327 2% 77%  
328 2% 76%  
329 3% 74%  
330 4% 71%  
331 2% 67%  
332 3% 64%  
333 5% 61%  
334 3% 56%  
335 3% 53% Median
336 3% 50%  
337 3% 47%  
338 2% 44%  
339 3% 41%  
340 7% 39% Last Result
341 2% 32%  
342 2% 30%  
343 3% 28%  
344 3% 25%  
345 2% 23%  
346 2% 21%  
347 2% 19%  
348 2% 16%  
349 1.4% 15%  
350 2% 13%  
351 1.4% 12%  
352 0.5% 10%  
353 1.0% 10%  
354 1.1% 9%  
355 1.0% 8% Majority
356 0.8% 7%  
357 0.4% 6%  
358 0.6% 6%  
359 0.5% 5%  
360 0.4% 4%  
361 0.5% 4%  
362 0.4% 4%  
363 0.5% 3%  
364 0.4% 3%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.1% 2%  
367 0.5% 2%  
368 0.3% 2%  
369 0.2% 1.3%  
370 0.1% 1.1%  
371 0.1% 1.0%  
372 0.1% 0.9%  
373 0.1% 0.8%  
374 0.2% 0.7%  
375 0.1% 0.6%  
376 0% 0.5%  
377 0% 0.4%  
378 0.1% 0.4%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.3%  
381 0% 0.3%  
382 0.1% 0.2%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.7%  
297 0.1% 99.6%  
298 0.1% 99.5%  
299 0.2% 99.4%  
300 0.2% 99.2% Last Result
301 0.2% 99.1%  
302 0.3% 98.9%  
303 0.3% 98.6%  
304 0.4% 98%  
305 0.6% 98%  
306 0.5% 97%  
307 0.3% 97%  
308 1.0% 96%  
309 0.9% 95%  
310 1.1% 95%  
311 0.6% 94%  
312 2% 93%  
313 2% 91%  
314 2% 90%  
315 1.5% 88%  
316 2% 87%  
317 3% 85%  
318 1.0% 82%  
319 3% 81%  
320 4% 78%  
321 2% 74%  
322 2% 72%  
323 4% 70%  
324 5% 66%  
325 2% 61%  
326 3% 59%  
327 6% 56%  
328 3% 50%  
329 1.1% 46% Median
330 3% 45%  
331 6% 42%  
332 3% 36%  
333 1.1% 33%  
334 3% 32%  
335 4% 29%  
336 2% 25%  
337 1.0% 24%  
338 3% 22%  
339 2% 20%  
340 1.3% 18%  
341 1.4% 17%  
342 3% 15%  
343 0.7% 13%  
344 0.8% 12%  
345 2% 11%  
346 1.3% 9%  
347 0.6% 8%  
348 0.7% 7%  
349 1.4% 6%  
350 0.8% 5%  
351 0.2% 4%  
352 0.3% 4%  
353 0.8% 4%  
354 0.5% 3%  
355 0.1% 2% Majority
356 0.3% 2%  
357 0.2% 2%  
358 0.2% 2%  
359 0.1% 2%  
360 0.3% 2%  
361 0.2% 1.2%  
362 0.1% 1.0%  
363 0.1% 1.0%  
364 0.1% 0.9%  
365 0.2% 0.8%  
366 0.1% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.5%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0% 0.3%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0% 99.6%  
276 0.2% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.4%  
278 0% 99.4%  
279 0.1% 99.3%  
280 0.1% 99.2%  
281 0.1% 99.2%  
282 0.3% 99.1%  
283 0.1% 98.8%  
284 0.2% 98.8%  
285 0.3% 98.6%  
286 0.1% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.4% 98%  
289 0.2% 98% Last Result
290 0.2% 97%  
291 0.4% 97%  
292 0.4% 97%  
293 0.3% 96%  
294 0.4% 96%  
295 0.4% 96%  
296 0.4% 95%  
297 0.6% 95%  
298 0.6% 94%  
299 0.6% 94%  
300 0.7% 93%  
301 1.1% 92%  
302 0.9% 91%  
303 1.4% 90%  
304 1.0% 89%  
305 2% 88%  
306 1.2% 86%  
307 2% 85%  
308 2% 83%  
309 3% 81%  
310 2% 79%  
311 2% 77%  
312 2% 75%  
313 3% 73%  
314 3% 71%  
315 3% 68%  
316 2% 65%  
317 3% 63%  
318 4% 60%  
319 4% 56%  
320 4% 52%  
321 4% 47% Median
322 4% 44%  
323 3% 40%  
324 4% 37%  
325 2% 33%  
326 3% 31%  
327 2% 28%  
328 3% 25%  
329 3% 22%  
330 2% 20%  
331 2% 18%  
332 2% 16%  
333 2% 14%  
334 2% 12%  
335 1.1% 11%  
336 1.4% 10%  
337 1.4% 8%  
338 0.8% 7%  
339 1.0% 6%  
340 0.7% 5%  
341 0.9% 4%  
342 0.5% 3%  
343 0.6% 3%  
344 0.6% 2%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.3% 1.4%  
347 0.3% 1.1%  
348 0.1% 0.8%  
349 0.1% 0.7%  
350 0.1% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.1% 99.4%  
284 0.1% 99.3%  
285 0.2% 99.2%  
286 0.2% 99.0%  
287 0.4% 98.8%  
288 0.3% 98%  
289 0.4% 98%  
290 0.6% 98%  
291 0.6% 97%  
292 0.6% 97%  
293 0.9% 96%  
294 1.0% 95%  
295 1.0% 94%  
296 2% 93%  
297 1.3% 91%  
298 1.4% 90%  
299 2% 89%  
300 2% 86%  
301 2% 84%  
302 2% 82%  
303 3% 80%  
304 3% 77%  
305 3% 74%  
306 2% 72%  
307 3% 69%  
308 3% 66%  
309 4% 63%  
310 4% 59%  
311 4% 56%  
312 2% 52% Median
313 4% 50%  
314 3% 46%  
315 2% 42%  
316 4% 40%  
317 2% 36%  
318 3% 34%  
319 2% 31%  
320 3% 28%  
321 2% 26%  
322 3% 24%  
323 2% 21%  
324 2% 19%  
325 2% 17%  
326 1.5% 15% Last Result
327 2% 14%  
328 0.9% 12%  
329 1.4% 11%  
330 0.9% 10%  
331 1.0% 9%  
332 0.8% 8%  
333 0.6% 7%  
334 0.7% 6%  
335 0.9% 6%  
336 0.6% 5%  
337 0.6% 4%  
338 0.6% 3%  
339 0.5% 3%  
340 0.3% 2%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.1% 2%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.1% 1.4%  
346 0.2% 1.3%  
347 0.2% 1.1%  
348 0.1% 0.9%  
349 0.1% 0.8%  
350 0.1% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.1% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.4%  
248 0.2% 99.2%  
249 0.2% 99.0%  
250 0.2% 98.8%  
251 0.4% 98.5%  
252 0.3% 98%  
253 0.6% 98%  
254 0.7% 97%  
255 0.9% 96%  
256 0.6% 96%  
257 2% 95%  
258 1.1% 93%  
259 1.4% 92%  
260 2% 91%  
261 1.4% 89%  
262 2% 87%  
263 3% 86%  
264 2% 82%  
265 2% 80%  
266 3% 78%  
267 3% 76%  
268 2% 73%  
269 4% 70%  
270 2% 66%  
271 2% 64%  
272 4% 62%  
273 5% 58%  
274 3% 53%  
275 5% 50% Median
276 2% 45%  
277 3% 43%  
278 4% 39%  
279 3% 36%  
280 2% 32%  
281 4% 30%  
282 3% 26%  
283 2% 23%  
284 3% 21%  
285 2% 18%  
286 1.1% 17%  
287 2% 15%  
288 2% 14%  
289 1.4% 12%  
290 1.2% 11%  
291 0.9% 10%  
292 0.8% 9%  
293 2% 8%  
294 0.7% 6%  
295 0.9% 6%  
296 0.5% 5%  
297 0.5% 4%  
298 0.4% 4%  
299 0.4% 3%  
300 0.5% 3%  
301 0.3% 2%  
302 0.4% 2%  
303 0.3% 2%  
304 0.2% 1.4%  
305 0.1% 1.2%  
306 0.2% 1.1%  
307 0.1% 0.9%  
308 0.1% 0.8%  
309 0.1% 0.7%  
310 0.1% 0.6%  
311 0% 0.5%  
312 0.1% 0.4%  
313 0.1% 0.4%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.2%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0.1% 99.6%  
141 0.1% 99.6%  
142 0.1% 99.5%  
143 0.1% 99.4%  
144 0.1% 99.3%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.2% 99.1%  
147 0.3% 98.9%  
148 0.3% 98.6%  
149 0.8% 98%  
150 1.0% 98%  
151 1.1% 97%  
152 1.4% 95%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 92%  
155 1.4% 90%  
156 1.5% 89%  
157 2% 87%  
158 1.1% 85%  
159 1.2% 84%  
160 2% 83%  
161 3% 81%  
162 3% 79%  
163 5% 76%  
164 6% 71%  
165 6% 66%  
166 5% 59%  
167 5% 54%  
168 7% 50% Median
169 4% 43%  
170 4% 39%  
171 2% 35%  
172 2% 33%  
173 2% 30%  
174 2% 28%  
175 2% 27%  
176 3% 25%  
177 3% 22%  
178 2% 20%  
179 3% 18%  
180 2% 15%  
181 2% 12%  
182 2% 10%  
183 2% 8%  
184 2% 7%  
185 0.5% 5%  
186 0.7% 4%  
187 0.4% 4%  
188 0.3% 3%  
189 0.5% 3%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.3% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.3%  
194 0.3% 1.0%  
195 0.2% 0.7%  
196 0.2% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0.3% 99.6%  
111 0.1% 99.3%  
112 0.1% 99.2%  
113 0.1% 99.1%  
114 0.1% 99.0%  
115 0.2% 98.8%  
116 0.1% 98.6%  
117 0.4% 98.5%  
118 0.2% 98%  
119 0.5% 98%  
120 0.1% 97%  
121 0.6% 97%  
122 0.1% 97%  
123 0.3% 97%  
124 0.2% 96%  
125 0.4% 96%  
126 0.1% 96%  
127 0.2% 96%  
128 0.1% 96%  
129 0.2% 95%  
130 0.1% 95%  
131 0.1% 95%  
132 0.3% 95%  
133 0.1% 95%  
134 0.3% 95%  
135 0.1% 94%  
136 0.3% 94%  
137 0.1% 94%  
138 0.3% 94%  
139 0.3% 94%  
140 0.3% 93%  
141 0.2% 93%  
142 0.4% 93%  
143 0.6% 92%  
144 0.5% 92%  
145 0.7% 91%  
146 1.3% 90%  
147 1.2% 89%  
148 2% 88%  
149 2% 86%  
150 2% 85%  
151 2% 83%  
152 2% 81%  
153 3% 78%  
154 3% 76%  
155 3% 73%  
156 4% 70%  
157 4% 66%  
158 5% 62%  
159 3% 56%  
160 4% 53% Median
161 5% 49%  
162 4% 44%  
163 5% 41%  
164 4% 36%  
165 3% 31%  
166 4% 28%  
167 4% 25%  
168 3% 21%  
169 2% 18%  
170 2% 16%  
171 3% 14%  
172 2% 12%  
173 2% 10%  
174 1.3% 8%  
175 2% 7%  
176 0.9% 6%  
177 0.8% 5%  
178 0.8% 4%  
179 0.6% 3%  
180 0.5% 2%  
181 0.3% 2%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.3% 1.3%  
184 0.3% 1.0%  
185 0.2% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations