Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 25–27 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.1% 28.5–31.7% 28.1–32.1% 27.7–32.5% 26.9–33.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.6–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.2% 17.3–22.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.8–16.3% 13.5–16.7% 13.2–17.0% 12.7–17.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.1–11.1%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.4–9.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.9% 6.1–7.9% 5.9–8.2% 5.7–8.4% 5.3–8.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 226 215–239 211–243 208–246 203–255
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 151 140–162 138–165 135–168 131–174
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 113 104–123 102–126 100–129 96–134
Alternative für Deutschland 94 68 61–76 59–78 57–80 54–84
Die Linke 69 53 47–60 45–62 43–64 41–68
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 46–59 44–61 43–63 40–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 40–52 38–54 0–55 0–59

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0.2% 99.6%  
204 0.2% 99.4%  
205 0.3% 99.2%  
206 0.4% 99.0%  
207 0.5% 98.5%  
208 0.6% 98%  
209 0.8% 97%  
210 0.7% 97%  
211 1.4% 96%  
212 1.0% 94%  
213 2% 93%  
214 2% 92%  
215 2% 90%  
216 3% 88%  
217 3% 86%  
218 3% 83%  
219 3% 80%  
220 4% 77%  
221 4% 73%  
222 3% 70%  
223 4% 67%  
224 4% 63%  
225 4% 59%  
226 5% 55% Median
227 3% 50%  
228 6% 47%  
229 3% 41%  
230 5% 38%  
231 4% 33%  
232 3% 30%  
233 3% 26%  
234 3% 23%  
235 2% 21%  
236 3% 18%  
237 2% 15%  
238 2% 13%  
239 1.3% 11%  
240 2% 10%  
241 1.4% 8%  
242 1.0% 6%  
243 1.0% 5%  
244 0.6% 4%  
245 0.7% 4%  
246 0.5% 3%  
247 0.4% 2%  
248 0.4% 2%  
249 0.3% 2%  
250 0.3% 1.5%  
251 0.3% 1.2%  
252 0.2% 0.9%  
253 0.1% 0.8%  
254 0.1% 0.6%  
255 0.1% 0.5%  
256 0.1% 0.4%  
257 0.1% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.3%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0.3% 99.5%  
132 0.3% 99.3%  
133 0.5% 99.0%  
134 0.5% 98%  
135 0.7% 98%  
136 0.9% 97%  
137 1.2% 96%  
138 1.2% 95%  
139 2% 94%  
140 2% 92%  
141 3% 90%  
142 3% 87%  
143 2% 84%  
144 3% 82%  
145 4% 79%  
146 5% 75%  
147 4% 70%  
148 5% 66%  
149 4% 61%  
150 6% 57%  
151 5% 51% Median
152 4% 46%  
153 5% 42%  
154 4% 37%  
155 4% 33%  
156 4% 29%  
157 3% 25%  
158 4% 22%  
159 3% 18%  
160 3% 15%  
161 1.5% 12%  
162 2% 10%  
163 2% 8%  
164 2% 7%  
165 0.9% 5%  
166 0.6% 4%  
167 0.7% 4%  
168 0.7% 3%  
169 0.5% 2%  
170 0.3% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.5%  
172 0.3% 1.2%  
173 0.3% 0.9%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.5%  
97 0.4% 99.3%  
98 0.6% 98.9%  
99 0.7% 98%  
100 0.9% 98%  
101 1.1% 97%  
102 2% 96%  
103 3% 94%  
104 2% 91%  
105 3% 90%  
106 3% 87%  
107 3% 83%  
108 4% 80%  
109 5% 76%  
110 5% 71%  
111 6% 66%  
112 4% 60%  
113 6% 56% Median
114 5% 50%  
115 6% 45%  
116 5% 40%  
117 5% 34%  
118 4% 29%  
119 3% 25%  
120 4% 21%  
121 3% 17%  
122 3% 15%  
123 2% 12%  
124 2% 10%  
125 1.5% 7%  
126 1.4% 6%  
127 1.2% 5%  
128 0.8% 3%  
129 0.6% 3%  
130 0.6% 2%  
131 0.4% 1.5%  
132 0.2% 1.1%  
133 0.3% 0.8%  
134 0.2% 0.6%  
135 0.1% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.3%  
137 0.1% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.3% 99.6%  
55 0.5% 99.3%  
56 0.8% 98.7%  
57 1.2% 98%  
58 1.4% 97%  
59 2% 95%  
60 2% 93%  
61 3% 91%  
62 5% 88%  
63 6% 83%  
64 6% 78%  
65 6% 72%  
66 7% 66%  
67 8% 59%  
68 6% 51% Median
69 7% 45%  
70 7% 38%  
71 5% 31%  
72 4% 26%  
73 4% 21%  
74 4% 17%  
75 3% 14%  
76 3% 11%  
77 2% 8%  
78 2% 6%  
79 1.3% 4%  
80 0.9% 3%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.5%  
83 0.3% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.6%  
42 0.5% 99.2%  
43 1.2% 98.6%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 2% 94%  
47 5% 91%  
48 6% 87%  
49 6% 81%  
50 5% 74%  
51 6% 69%  
52 8% 63%  
53 9% 55% Median
54 8% 46%  
55 6% 38%  
56 6% 32%  
57 6% 26%  
58 5% 20%  
59 4% 16%  
60 3% 12%  
61 2% 9%  
62 2% 7%  
63 2% 4%  
64 0.9% 3%  
65 0.7% 2%  
66 0.4% 1.3%  
67 0.3% 0.9%  
68 0.2% 0.6%  
69 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.2% 99.6%  
41 0.6% 99.4%  
42 0.8% 98.8%  
43 1.0% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 92% Last Result
47 6% 89%  
48 6% 83%  
49 6% 78%  
50 7% 72%  
51 6% 64%  
52 8% 58%  
53 9% 50% Median
54 5% 41%  
55 7% 36%  
56 6% 29%  
57 5% 23%  
58 5% 18%  
59 3% 13%  
60 3% 10%  
61 2% 7%  
62 1.4% 5%  
63 1.1% 3%  
64 0.8% 2%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0.3% 1.0%  
67 0.3% 0.7%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0% 95%  
38 2% 95%  
39 3% 93%  
40 5% 90%  
41 6% 85%  
42 5% 79%  
43 9% 74%  
44 6% 65%  
45 8% 59%  
46 13% 50% Median
47 5% 38%  
48 6% 32%  
49 6% 26%  
50 3% 19%  
51 6% 16%  
52 3% 11%  
53 2% 7%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.0% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.3% 0.9%  
59 0.2% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 543 100% 532–555 529–564 526–579 520–590
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 475 100% 462–486 457–490 453–493 445–498
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 430 100% 417–444 413–450 410–458 404–470
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 437 100% 424–449 419–453 414–456 405–462
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 392 100% 380–407 376–412 373–419 367–431
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 392 99.6% 377–404 373–408 367–411 356–417
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 347 24% 334–361 330–366 328–371 321–383
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 324 0.1% 309–337 304–340 296–344 285–349
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 317 0.4% 305–332 301–336 298–342 292–353
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 309 0% 294–322 290–326 282–329 269–335
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 264 0% 252–278 248–282 245–287 240–296
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 167 0% 156–178 153–182 150–185 145–191
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 159 0% 147–170 138–173 122–175 112–181

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 99.9%  
516 0% 99.9%  
517 0% 99.9%  
518 0.1% 99.8%  
519 0.1% 99.8%  
520 0.2% 99.7%  
521 0.2% 99.5%  
522 0.3% 99.3%  
523 0.3% 99.0%  
524 0.4% 98.8%  
525 0.5% 98%  
526 0.6% 98%  
527 0.8% 97%  
528 1.0% 96%  
529 1.1% 95%  
530 2% 94%  
531 2% 93%  
532 2% 91%  
533 2% 89%  
534 2% 87%  
535 3% 84%  
536 3% 82%  
537 5% 79%  
538 6% 74%  
539 3% 68%  
540 4% 65%  
541 5% 61%  
542 5% 56%  
543 3% 50% Median
544 4% 47%  
545 5% 43%  
546 5% 38%  
547 4% 33%  
548 4% 29%  
549 4% 26%  
550 3% 22%  
551 2% 19%  
552 2% 17%  
553 2% 15%  
554 1.4% 13%  
555 2% 12%  
556 1.4% 10%  
557 1.1% 8%  
558 0.7% 7%  
559 0.5% 7%  
560 0.3% 6%  
561 0.3% 6%  
562 0.2% 5%  
563 0.2% 5%  
564 0.1% 5%  
565 0.1% 5%  
566 0.1% 5%  
567 0.1% 5%  
568 0.1% 5%  
569 0.1% 4%  
570 0.1% 4%  
571 0.1% 4%  
572 0.2% 4%  
573 0.2% 4%  
574 0.1% 4%  
575 0.4% 4%  
576 0.1% 3%  
577 0.2% 3%  
578 0.4% 3%  
579 0.2% 3%  
580 0.2% 2%  
581 0.2% 2%  
582 0.2% 2%  
583 0.5% 2%  
584 0.2% 1.4%  
585 0.1% 1.2%  
586 0.2% 1.1%  
587 0.2% 0.9%  
588 0.1% 0.7%  
589 0.1% 0.6%  
590 0.1% 0.5%  
591 0.1% 0.4%  
592 0.1% 0.4%  
593 0.1% 0.3%  
594 0.1% 0.2%  
595 0% 0.1%  
596 0% 0.1%  
597 0% 0.1%  
598 0% 0.1%  
599 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0.1% 99.8%  
442 0.1% 99.8%  
443 0% 99.7%  
444 0.1% 99.7%  
445 0.1% 99.6%  
446 0.1% 99.5%  
447 0.1% 99.3%  
448 0.2% 99.3%  
449 0.3% 99.1%  
450 0.2% 98.8%  
451 0.3% 98.6%  
452 0.4% 98%  
453 0.4% 98%  
454 0.5% 97%  
455 0.7% 97%  
456 0.7% 96%  
457 0.7% 96%  
458 1.0% 95%  
459 2% 94%  
460 1.2% 92%  
461 0.7% 91%  
462 2% 90%  
463 3% 89%  
464 2% 85%  
465 1.2% 84%  
466 3% 82%  
467 4% 80%  
468 3% 76%  
469 2% 73%  
470 4% 71%  
471 5% 67%  
472 4% 62%  
473 3% 58%  
474 5% 55%  
475 6% 50%  
476 3% 45% Median
477 3% 42%  
478 6% 39%  
479 5% 33%  
480 2% 29%  
481 4% 27%  
482 4% 23%  
483 3% 19%  
484 2% 16%  
485 2% 14%  
486 2% 12%  
487 2% 10%  
488 0.8% 7%  
489 1.4% 7%  
490 1.4% 5%  
491 0.9% 4%  
492 0.4% 3%  
493 0.7% 3%  
494 0.5% 2%  
495 0.3% 1.5%  
496 0.2% 1.1%  
497 0.3% 0.9%  
498 0.2% 0.7%  
499 0.1% 0.4%  
500 0.1% 0.3%  
501 0.1% 0.3%  
502 0.1% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0.1% 99.9%  
401 0.1% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.6%  
405 0.2% 99.5%  
406 0.2% 99.3%  
407 0.2% 99.0%  
408 0.4% 98.8%  
409 0.3% 98%  
410 0.7% 98%  
411 0.7% 97%  
412 0.8% 97%  
413 0.9% 96%  
414 1.1% 95%  
415 1.2% 94%  
416 2% 93%  
417 2% 91%  
418 2% 89%  
419 2% 87%  
420 2% 85%  
421 3% 83%  
422 3% 80%  
423 3% 77%  
424 3% 74%  
425 4% 70%  
426 3% 66%  
427 5% 63%  
428 5% 58%  
429 3% 53%  
430 5% 50% Median
431 2% 46%  
432 4% 44%  
433 5% 39%  
434 2% 34%  
435 4% 32%  
436 3% 28%  
437 2% 25%  
438 3% 23%  
439 3% 19%  
440 1.1% 17%  
441 2% 16%  
442 2% 14%  
443 1.3% 12%  
444 1.3% 10%  
445 1.0% 9%  
446 0.7% 8%  
447 0.6% 7%  
448 0.8% 7%  
449 0.6% 6%  
450 0.5% 5%  
451 0.3% 5%  
452 0.3% 4%  
453 0.4% 4%  
454 0.4% 4%  
455 0.2% 3%  
456 0.1% 3%  
457 0.5% 3%  
458 0.3% 3%  
459 0.2% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0.1% 1.4%  
464 0.1% 1.3%  
465 0.1% 1.2%  
466 0.1% 1.1%  
467 0.1% 0.9%  
468 0.1% 0.8%  
469 0.1% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.6%  
471 0.1% 0.5%  
472 0% 0.4%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0.1% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.6%  
406 0.1% 99.5%  
407 0.1% 99.4%  
408 0.1% 99.2%  
409 0.2% 99.1%  
410 0.3% 99.0%  
411 0.3% 98.7%  
412 0.3% 98%  
413 0.3% 98%  
414 0.4% 98%  
415 0.3% 97%  
416 0.5% 97%  
417 0.7% 97%  
418 0.8% 96%  
419 1.0% 95%  
420 0.7% 94%  
421 0.9% 93%  
422 1.1% 93%  
423 1.2% 91%  
424 1.5% 90%  
425 2% 89%  
426 2% 87%  
427 2% 85%  
428 3% 83%  
429 3% 81%  
430 3% 78%  
431 3% 75%  
432 3% 71%  
433 4% 68%  
434 3% 64%  
435 3% 61%  
436 4% 57%  
437 4% 53%  
438 4% 49% Median
439 4% 45%  
440 5% 41%  
441 3% 36%  
442 3% 32%  
443 3% 30%  
444 3% 26%  
445 3% 23%  
446 3% 20%  
447 3% 17%  
448 2% 14%  
449 3% 12%  
450 2% 10%  
451 1.5% 8%  
452 1.3% 7%  
453 1.1% 6%  
454 0.8% 4%  
455 0.7% 4%  
456 0.7% 3%  
457 0.6% 2%  
458 0.4% 2%  
459 0.2% 1.3%  
460 0.2% 1.1%  
461 0.2% 0.8%  
462 0.2% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.3%  
465 0.1% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.7%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.5%  
368 0.2% 99.4%  
369 0.3% 99.2%  
370 0.4% 98.9%  
371 0.3% 98.6%  
372 0.6% 98%  
373 0.6% 98%  
374 0.7% 97%  
375 1.0% 96%  
376 1.0% 95%  
377 1.1% 94%  
378 2% 93%  
379 0.9% 91%  
380 2% 90%  
381 2% 88%  
382 2% 86%  
383 2% 84%  
384 3% 82%  
385 3% 79%  
386 4% 76%  
387 4% 72%  
388 3% 68%  
389 3% 65%  
390 5% 62%  
391 3% 57%  
392 5% 54% Median
393 4% 49%  
394 4% 45%  
395 4% 41%  
396 2% 37%  
397 4% 35%  
398 3% 31%  
399 2% 28% Last Result
400 5% 26%  
401 2% 21%  
402 3% 20%  
403 2% 17%  
404 1.2% 15%  
405 2% 14%  
406 2% 12%  
407 1.1% 10%  
408 1.3% 9%  
409 0.6% 8%  
410 1.1% 7%  
411 0.8% 6%  
412 0.6% 5%  
413 0.5% 5%  
414 0.4% 4%  
415 0.3% 4%  
416 0.3% 4%  
417 0.2% 3%  
418 0.4% 3%  
419 0.6% 3%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.2% 2%  
422 0.1% 2%  
423 0.1% 2%  
424 0.2% 1.5%  
425 0.1% 1.3%  
426 0.2% 1.2%  
427 0.2% 1.0%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.7%  
430 0.1% 0.6%  
431 0.1% 0.5%  
432 0.1% 0.5%  
433 0.1% 0.4%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0.1% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.2% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.6% Majority
356 0.1% 99.5%  
357 0% 99.4%  
358 0.1% 99.4%  
359 0.1% 99.3%  
360 0.1% 99.2%  
361 0.1% 99.1%  
362 0.2% 98.9%  
363 0.5% 98.8%  
364 0.2% 98%  
365 0.2% 98%  
366 0.3% 98%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.3% 97%  
369 0.5% 97%  
370 0.5% 97%  
371 0.4% 96%  
372 0.5% 96%  
373 1.0% 95%  
374 0.9% 94%  
375 1.1% 93%  
376 1.3% 92%  
377 1.1% 91%  
378 1.3% 90%  
379 1.1% 89%  
380 2% 88%  
381 2% 85%  
382 2% 84%  
383 2% 81%  
384 4% 79%  
385 4% 75%  
386 4% 71%  
387 3% 68%  
388 4% 65%  
389 3% 61%  
390 3% 58%  
391 3% 54%  
392 4% 51%  
393 3% 47% Median
394 6% 44%  
395 4% 38%  
396 4% 35%  
397 3% 31%  
398 4% 28%  
399 3% 24%  
400 2% 21%  
401 3% 19%  
402 3% 17%  
403 2% 14%  
404 2% 11%  
405 1.5% 9%  
406 1.2% 8%  
407 1.1% 7%  
408 0.8% 6%  
409 1.0% 5%  
410 0.6% 4%  
411 0.7% 3%  
412 0.7% 2%  
413 0.5% 2%  
414 0.3% 1.4%  
415 0.3% 1.1%  
416 0.2% 0.8%  
417 0.1% 0.6%  
418 0.1% 0.5%  
419 0.1% 0.4%  
420 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
421 0% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.2% 99.5%  
323 0.2% 99.3%  
324 0.2% 99.1%  
325 0.3% 98.8%  
326 0.5% 98.5%  
327 0.5% 98%  
328 0.8% 98%  
329 0.9% 97%  
330 1.4% 96%  
331 0.7% 94%  
332 1.4% 94%  
333 2% 92%  
334 1.2% 91%  
335 2% 90%  
336 2% 87%  
337 4% 86%  
338 3% 82%  
339 3% 79%  
340 3% 76% Last Result
341 4% 73%  
342 3% 69%  
343 3% 66%  
344 2% 62%  
345 4% 60%  
346 4% 56%  
347 3% 52% Median
348 5% 49%  
349 4% 44%  
350 3% 39%  
351 3% 36%  
352 3% 33%  
353 2% 29%  
354 3% 27%  
355 3% 24% Majority
356 2% 21%  
357 3% 19%  
358 2% 16%  
359 2% 14%  
360 2% 12%  
361 1.0% 10%  
362 1.0% 10%  
363 1.3% 8%  
364 0.9% 7%  
365 0.8% 6%  
366 0.7% 5%  
367 0.7% 5%  
368 0.5% 4%  
369 0.6% 4%  
370 0.3% 3%  
371 0.4% 3%  
372 0.2% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.2% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.2% 2%  
377 0.1% 1.4%  
378 0.1% 1.3%  
379 0.1% 1.2%  
380 0.3% 1.1%  
381 0.1% 0.7%  
382 0.1% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0% 0.5%  
385 0.1% 0.4%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.1% 99.5%  
286 0.1% 99.5%  
287 0.3% 99.4%  
288 0.1% 99.1%  
289 0.2% 99.0%  
290 0.1% 98.8%  
291 0.2% 98.7%  
292 0.1% 98.5%  
293 0.4% 98%  
294 0.2% 98%  
295 0.3% 98%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 0.1% 97%  
298 0.3% 97%  
299 0.2% 97%  
300 0.2% 96%  
301 0.3% 96%  
302 0.4% 96%  
303 0.5% 96%  
304 0.6% 95%  
305 0.9% 94%  
306 0.8% 94%  
307 0.6% 93%  
308 1.5% 92%  
309 1.1% 91%  
310 0.8% 90%  
311 2% 89%  
312 2% 87%  
313 2% 85%  
314 1.5% 83%  
315 2% 81%  
316 4% 79%  
317 3% 75%  
318 3% 72%  
319 3% 69%  
320 2% 66%  
321 4% 64%  
322 5% 60%  
323 3% 55%  
324 3% 52%  
325 6% 49% Median
326 4% 43% Last Result
327 2% 39%  
328 6% 37%  
329 3% 31%  
330 3% 27%  
331 3% 25%  
332 3% 22%  
333 1.3% 19%  
334 3% 18%  
335 3% 14%  
336 2% 12%  
337 2% 10%  
338 1.3% 8%  
339 1.0% 7%  
340 1.1% 6%  
341 1.0% 5%  
342 0.8% 4%  
343 0.5% 3%  
344 0.5% 3%  
345 0.6% 2%  
346 0.2% 1.4%  
347 0.3% 1.2%  
348 0.3% 0.9%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0.1% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.2% 99.4%  
294 0.3% 99.2%  
295 0.3% 98.9%  
296 0.5% 98.6%  
297 0.7% 98%  
298 0.7% 98%  
299 0.6% 97%  
300 1.0% 96%  
301 0.8% 95%  
302 1.1% 94%  
303 1.2% 93%  
304 1.5% 92%  
305 2% 91%  
306 2% 89%  
307 3% 86%  
308 3% 83%  
309 2% 81%  
310 3% 79%  
311 4% 76%  
312 3% 72%  
313 4% 69%  
314 4% 65%  
315 6% 62%  
316 3% 56%  
317 4% 53% Median
318 3% 49%  
319 3% 46%  
320 3% 42%  
321 4% 39%  
322 3% 35%  
323 4% 32%  
324 4% 29%  
325 4% 25%  
326 2% 21%  
327 2% 19%  
328 2% 16%  
329 2% 15%  
330 1.1% 12%  
331 1.3% 11%  
332 1.1% 10%  
333 1.3% 9%  
334 1.1% 8%  
335 0.9% 7%  
336 1.0% 6%  
337 0.5% 5%  
338 0.4% 4%  
339 0.5% 4%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.3% 3%  
342 0.2% 3%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.2% 2%  
346 0.5% 2%  
347 0.2% 1.2%  
348 0.1% 1.1%  
349 0.1% 0.9%  
350 0.1% 0.8%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0.2% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.5%  
270 0.1% 99.4%  
271 0.1% 99.4%  
272 0.1% 99.3%  
273 0.1% 99.2%  
274 0.1% 99.1%  
275 0.3% 99.0%  
276 0.1% 98.7%  
277 0.1% 98.7%  
278 0.1% 98.5%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.2% 98%  
281 0.2% 98%  
282 0.3% 98%  
283 0.2% 97%  
284 0.3% 97%  
285 0.3% 97%  
286 0.3% 97%  
287 0.5% 96%  
288 0.3% 96%  
289 0.4% 95%  
290 0.9% 95%  
291 0.9% 94%  
292 0.7% 93%  
293 1.4% 93%  
294 1.4% 91%  
295 1.1% 90%  
296 1.5% 89%  
297 2% 87%  
298 2% 86%  
299 2% 83%  
300 3% 82% Last Result
301 3% 79%  
302 3% 76%  
303 3% 73%  
304 2% 70%  
305 4% 68%  
306 3% 63%  
307 4% 60%  
308 4% 56%  
309 4% 52%  
310 3% 49% Median
311 4% 45%  
312 4% 41%  
313 3% 37%  
314 4% 34%  
315 4% 30%  
316 4% 27%  
317 3% 23%  
318 2% 20%  
319 3% 18%  
320 3% 15%  
321 2% 12%  
322 1.4% 10%  
323 2% 9%  
324 1.3% 7%  
325 1.1% 6%  
326 1.1% 5%  
327 0.7% 4%  
328 0.7% 3%  
329 0.6% 3%  
330 0.5% 2%  
331 0.2% 1.5%  
332 0.4% 1.3%  
333 0.2% 0.9%  
334 0.2% 0.7%  
335 0.1% 0.5%  
336 0.1% 0.4%  
337 0.1% 0.3%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0.1% 99.5%  
241 0.2% 99.4%  
242 0.3% 99.2%  
243 0.3% 98.9%  
244 0.4% 98.6%  
245 0.9% 98%  
246 0.8% 97%  
247 0.7% 97%  
248 1.1% 96%  
249 1.3% 95%  
250 1.1% 94%  
251 2% 92%  
252 3% 91%  
253 2% 88%  
254 2% 86%  
255 3% 84%  
256 3% 82%  
257 3% 78%  
258 2% 75%  
259 3% 73%  
260 4% 70%  
261 2% 65%  
262 5% 63%  
263 5% 58%  
264 4% 53% Median
265 4% 49%  
266 4% 45%  
267 4% 41%  
268 3% 37%  
269 3% 34%  
270 5% 31%  
271 3% 26%  
272 2% 23%  
273 3% 21%  
274 3% 17%  
275 1.5% 15%  
276 1.3% 13%  
277 2% 12%  
278 1.5% 10%  
279 0.9% 9%  
280 1.1% 8%  
281 1.2% 7%  
282 1.1% 6%  
283 0.6% 5%  
284 0.5% 4%  
285 0.6% 3%  
286 0.3% 3%  
287 0.3% 3%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.1% 2%  
290 0.4% 2%  
291 0.2% 1.4%  
292 0.2% 1.2%  
293 0.2% 1.0%  
294 0.1% 0.8%  
295 0.1% 0.7%  
296 0.1% 0.6%  
297 0.1% 0.5%  
298 0% 0.4%  
299 0.1% 0.3%  
300 0% 0.3%  
301 0.1% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.7%  
145 0.2% 99.6%  
146 0.2% 99.4%  
147 0.3% 99.3%  
148 0.5% 98.9%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.7% 98%  
151 0.8% 97%  
152 1.0% 97%  
153 0.9% 96%  
154 2% 95%  
155 2% 93%  
156 2% 91%  
157 2% 89%  
158 4% 86%  
159 2% 82%  
160 3% 80%  
161 3% 77%  
162 5% 74%  
163 4% 69%  
164 5% 65%  
165 7% 60%  
166 3% 54% Median
167 5% 51%  
168 4% 46%  
169 4% 41%  
170 4% 37%  
171 5% 33%  
172 4% 29%  
173 3% 24%  
174 4% 22%  
175 2% 18%  
176 3% 16%  
177 2% 13%  
178 2% 11%  
179 2% 9%  
180 1.3% 8%  
181 0.9% 6%  
182 1.1% 5%  
183 0.9% 4%  
184 0.8% 3%  
185 0.6% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.3% 1.2%  
189 0.2% 1.0%  
190 0.1% 0.8%  
191 0.2% 0.6%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0.1% 99.7%  
111 0.1% 99.6%  
112 0.1% 99.6%  
113 0.2% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.3%  
115 0.3% 99.2%  
116 0.3% 98.9%  
117 0.2% 98.6%  
118 0.2% 98%  
119 0.2% 98%  
120 0.2% 98%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0.3% 98%  
123 0.2% 97%  
124 0.2% 97%  
125 0.2% 97%  
126 0.4% 97%  
127 0.2% 96%  
128 0.2% 96%  
129 0.1% 96%  
130 0.2% 96%  
131 0.1% 96%  
132 0.1% 96%  
133 0.1% 96%  
134 0.1% 95%  
135 0.1% 95%  
136 0.1% 95%  
137 0.1% 95%  
138 0.1% 95%  
139 0.2% 95%  
140 0.2% 95%  
141 0.3% 95%  
142 0.5% 94%  
143 0.6% 94%  
144 0.9% 93%  
145 0.6% 92%  
146 2% 92%  
147 2% 90%  
148 2% 88%  
149 3% 87%  
150 3% 84%  
151 3% 82%  
152 2% 79%  
153 4% 77%  
154 6% 73%  
155 2% 67%  
156 5% 65%  
157 6% 60%  
158 3% 54%  
159 5% 51% Median
160 6% 46%  
161 3% 40%  
162 2% 37%  
163 6% 35%  
164 6% 29%  
165 2% 23%  
166 3% 21%  
167 4% 17%  
168 1.3% 13%  
169 2% 12%  
170 3% 10%  
171 1.5% 7%  
172 0.7% 6%  
173 1.3% 5%  
174 1.0% 4%  
175 0.5% 3%  
176 0.9% 2%  
177 0.4% 2%  
178 0.2% 1.2%  
179 0.2% 0.9%  
180 0.2% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations