Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 15–17 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 26.8% 25.1–28.7% 24.6–29.2% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.9–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.3–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 202 189–216 185–221 182–225 176–232
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 151 139–163 136–168 133–171 127–177
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 121 110–132 107–135 105–139 99–145
Alternative für Deutschland 94 83 74–93 72–96 69–99 66–104
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 61 53–69 51–72 49–74 45–79
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 47 40–54 38–56 36–59 33–63
Die Linke 69 46 39–53 0–55 0–57 0–62

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.1% 99.7%  
176 0.2% 99.5%  
177 0.2% 99.4%  
178 0.2% 99.1%  
179 0.4% 98.9%  
180 0.3% 98.5%  
181 0.5% 98%  
182 0.8% 98%  
183 0.7% 97%  
184 0.7% 96%  
185 1.0% 95%  
186 1.2% 94%  
187 1.2% 93%  
188 2% 92%  
189 1.4% 90%  
190 2% 89%  
191 3% 87%  
192 2% 84%  
193 3% 82%  
194 3% 79%  
195 3% 77%  
196 4% 74%  
197 4% 70%  
198 4% 66%  
199 4% 62%  
200 3% 59% Last Result
201 3% 55%  
202 4% 52% Median
203 3% 48%  
204 4% 44%  
205 3% 40%  
206 3% 37%  
207 3% 34%  
208 4% 31%  
209 2% 27%  
210 2% 25%  
211 3% 22%  
212 2% 19%  
213 2% 17%  
214 2% 15%  
215 2% 13%  
216 1.4% 11%  
217 1.4% 10%  
218 1.2% 8%  
219 0.9% 7%  
220 0.9% 6%  
221 0.7% 5%  
222 0.7% 4%  
223 0.8% 4%  
224 0.4% 3%  
225 0.6% 3%  
226 0.3% 2%  
227 0.3% 2%  
228 0.2% 1.3%  
229 0.2% 1.1%  
230 0.2% 0.9%  
231 0.1% 0.7%  
232 0.1% 0.6%  
233 0.1% 0.5%  
234 0.1% 0.4%  
235 0% 0.3%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.7%  
127 0.2% 99.6%  
128 0.2% 99.4%  
129 0.2% 99.3%  
130 0.3% 99.0%  
131 0.5% 98.7%  
132 0.4% 98%  
133 0.8% 98%  
134 0.9% 97%  
135 1.1% 96%  
136 1.2% 95%  
137 1.5% 94%  
138 2% 92%  
139 2% 91%  
140 2% 89%  
141 3% 87%  
142 3% 84%  
143 3% 80%  
144 4% 77%  
145 2% 74%  
146 4% 71%  
147 4% 68%  
148 6% 64%  
149 4% 58%  
150 5% 55%  
151 4% 50% Median
152 4% 47%  
153 5% 43%  
154 3% 38%  
155 4% 35%  
156 3% 31%  
157 4% 27%  
158 3% 23%  
159 3% 21%  
160 2% 18%  
161 2% 16%  
162 2% 14%  
163 2% 12%  
164 1.3% 10%  
165 1.3% 8%  
166 0.9% 7%  
167 1.0% 6%  
168 1.0% 5%  
169 0.7% 4%  
170 0.9% 4%  
171 0.6% 3%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.2% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.4%  
175 0.3% 1.1%  
176 0.1% 0.8%  
177 0.2% 0.7%  
178 0.1% 0.5%  
179 0% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.5%  
101 0% 99.2%  
102 0.7% 99.1%  
103 0.4% 98%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 2% 98%  
106 0.2% 96%  
107 1.1% 96%  
108 3% 95%  
109 0.1% 92%  
110 4% 91%  
111 1.5% 87%  
112 0.6% 86%  
113 7% 85%  
114 0.8% 78%  
115 4% 77%  
116 7% 73%  
117 0.3% 66%  
118 9% 66%  
119 4% 57%  
120 0.9% 54%  
121 8% 53% Median
122 1.3% 45%  
123 5% 43%  
124 8% 39%  
125 0.2% 31%  
126 5% 30%  
127 3% 26%  
128 1.2% 23%  
129 7% 21%  
130 1.1% 14%  
131 0.9% 13%  
132 3% 12%  
133 0.8% 10%  
134 3% 9%  
135 1.4% 6%  
136 0.2% 5%  
137 1.1% 5%  
138 0.5% 3%  
139 0.9% 3%  
140 0.7% 2%  
141 0.1% 1.4%  
142 0.3% 1.4%  
143 0.2% 1.0%  
144 0.3% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.6%  
146 0% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.3%  
68 0.7% 98.9%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 0.9% 97%  
71 1.1% 96%  
72 2% 95%  
73 2% 94%  
74 3% 92%  
75 3% 89%  
76 4% 86%  
77 3% 82%  
78 3% 79%  
79 7% 75%  
80 5% 69%  
81 5% 64%  
82 4% 59%  
83 5% 54% Median
84 5% 49%  
85 7% 44%  
86 5% 38%  
87 5% 33%  
88 3% 28%  
89 3% 25%  
90 4% 22%  
91 3% 17%  
92 3% 14%  
93 2% 11%  
94 1.3% 9% Last Result
95 2% 8%  
96 2% 6%  
97 1.1% 5%  
98 0.8% 3%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.5% 2%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 0.4% 1.3%  
103 0.3% 0.9%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.5%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.7%  
46 0.3% 99.5%  
47 0.6% 99.2%  
48 0.8% 98.6%  
49 1.1% 98%  
50 1.5% 97%  
51 2% 95%  
52 3% 93%  
53 3% 91%  
54 4% 87%  
55 4% 84%  
56 5% 79%  
57 5% 74%  
58 7% 69%  
59 5% 62%  
60 7% 57%  
61 7% 50% Median
62 5% 44%  
63 6% 39%  
64 5% 33%  
65 5% 28%  
66 4% 23%  
67 3% 18%  
68 3% 15%  
69 3% 12%  
70 2% 9%  
71 2% 8%  
72 1.1% 5%  
73 1.1% 4%  
74 1.0% 3%  
75 0.5% 2%  
76 0.5% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.1%  
78 0.2% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.7%  
34 0.4% 99.5%  
35 0.6% 99.0%  
36 1.1% 98%  
37 2% 97%  
38 2% 96%  
39 3% 93%  
40 4% 91%  
41 5% 87%  
42 5% 83%  
43 6% 78%  
44 6% 72%  
45 6% 66%  
46 8% 60% Last Result
47 7% 52% Median
48 7% 45%  
49 7% 38%  
50 6% 31%  
51 5% 26%  
52 4% 21%  
53 4% 17%  
54 3% 13%  
55 2% 9%  
56 2% 7%  
57 1.2% 5%  
58 1.0% 4%  
59 0.7% 3%  
60 0.5% 2%  
61 0.4% 1.3%  
62 0.3% 0.9%  
63 0.2% 0.6%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0.1% 93%  
38 2% 93%  
39 3% 91%  
40 4% 88%  
41 5% 84%  
42 7% 79%  
43 5% 72%  
44 8% 67%  
45 7% 59%  
46 8% 52% Median
47 8% 45%  
48 6% 37%  
49 5% 31%  
50 4% 25%  
51 4% 21%  
52 4% 17%  
53 3% 13%  
54 2% 10%  
55 3% 7%  
56 1.3% 5%  
57 1.2% 4%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.6% 2%  
60 0.3% 1.1%  
61 0.2% 0.8%  
62 0.2% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 520 100% 506–536 503–549 499–558 492–569
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 460 100% 446–478 441–486 438–494 430–506
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 430 100% 415–447 412–454 408–463 400–475
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 400 100% 384–417 380–423 376–431 370–442
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 393 100% 378–410 373–416 370–424 363–435
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 369 90% 354–386 350–392 346–399 339–411
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 332 5% 317–349 313–354 309–360 303–371
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 332 5% 317–349 313–355 309–360 303–372
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 316 0% 299–331 293–336 285–339 274–346
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 309 0.1% 294–326 290–331 287–336 280–347
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 272 0% 257–287 253–293 250–298 243–307
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 181 0% 169–195 165–199 162–203 156–211
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 166 0% 151–179 134–182 127–186 116–192

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 99.9%  
487 0% 99.9%  
488 0% 99.9%  
489 0.1% 99.8%  
490 0.1% 99.8%  
491 0.1% 99.7%  
492 0.2% 99.6%  
493 0.1% 99.5%  
494 0.2% 99.4%  
495 0.2% 99.2%  
496 0.3% 99.0%  
497 0.4% 98.7%  
498 0.6% 98%  
499 0.6% 98%  
500 0.5% 97%  
501 0.5% 97%  
502 1.0% 96%  
503 1.2% 95%  
504 2% 94%  
505 1.3% 92%  
506 1.5% 91%  
507 2% 89%  
508 2% 88%  
509 3% 86%  
510 3% 83%  
511 3% 80%  
512 2% 78%  
513 3% 75%  
514 2% 72%  
515 4% 70%  
516 3% 66%  
517 3% 62%  
518 4% 59%  
519 5% 55%  
520 5% 51%  
521 3% 46% Median
522 3% 42%  
523 3% 39%  
524 4% 36%  
525 3% 33%  
526 4% 29%  
527 2% 26%  
528 2% 24%  
529 2% 22%  
530 3% 20%  
531 2% 18%  
532 2% 16%  
533 1.2% 14%  
534 1.0% 12%  
535 1.2% 11%  
536 0.7% 10%  
537 1.1% 9%  
538 0.5% 8%  
539 0.4% 8%  
540 0.4% 8%  
541 0.4% 7%  
542 0.4% 7%  
543 0.3% 6%  
544 0.2% 6%  
545 0.2% 6%  
546 0.3% 6%  
547 0.1% 5%  
548 0.2% 5%  
549 0.3% 5%  
550 0.1% 5%  
551 0.1% 5%  
552 0.5% 5%  
553 0.3% 4%  
554 0.2% 4%  
555 0.2% 4%  
556 0.2% 3%  
557 0.4% 3%  
558 0.2% 3%  
559 0.5% 2%  
560 0.2% 2%  
561 0.2% 2%  
562 0.2% 2%  
563 0.1% 1.4%  
564 0.2% 1.3%  
565 0.2% 1.1%  
566 0.1% 0.9%  
567 0.2% 0.8%  
568 0.1% 0.6%  
569 0.1% 0.6%  
570 0.1% 0.5%  
571 0.1% 0.4%  
572 0.1% 0.3%  
573 0.1% 0.2%  
574 0.1% 0.2%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0.1%  
578 0% 0.1%  
579 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.7%  
430 0.1% 99.6%  
431 0.2% 99.5%  
432 0.1% 99.3%  
433 0.2% 99.2%  
434 0.1% 99.0%  
435 0.2% 98.9%  
436 0.3% 98.7%  
437 0.5% 98%  
438 0.8% 98%  
439 1.0% 97%  
440 1.0% 96%  
441 1.1% 95%  
442 0.9% 94%  
443 0.7% 93%  
444 0.9% 92%  
445 1.0% 92%  
446 1.1% 91%  
447 2% 89%  
448 3% 88%  
449 3% 85%  
450 3% 82%  
451 3% 78%  
452 2% 75%  
453 3% 73%  
454 2% 70%  
455 2% 69%  
456 2% 67%  
457 3% 64%  
458 4% 62%  
459 6% 57%  
460 3% 51%  
461 5% 48% Median
462 4% 43%  
463 3% 39%  
464 2% 36%  
465 2% 34%  
466 2% 32%  
467 2% 30%  
468 3% 29%  
469 4% 26%  
470 3% 22%  
471 3% 19%  
472 2% 17%  
473 1.0% 14%  
474 1.2% 13%  
475 0.6% 12%  
476 0.7% 12%  
477 0.7% 11%  
478 1.0% 10%  
479 1.1% 9%  
480 0.7% 8%  
481 0.5% 7%  
482 0.9% 7%  
483 0.2% 6%  
484 0.4% 6%  
485 0.3% 5%  
486 0.3% 5%  
487 0.4% 5%  
488 0.2% 4%  
489 0.3% 4%  
490 0.1% 4%  
491 0.2% 4%  
492 0.8% 4%  
493 0.3% 3%  
494 0.2% 3%  
495 0.4% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.4% 2%  
498 0.1% 1.4%  
499 0.1% 1.4%  
500 0.1% 1.3%  
501 0.2% 1.2%  
502 0.1% 1.0%  
503 0.2% 0.9%  
504 0.1% 0.8%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0.1% 0.6%  
507 0.1% 0.4%  
508 0.1% 0.4%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0.1% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0.2% 99.6%  
401 0.2% 99.4%  
402 0.1% 99.2%  
403 0.1% 99.1%  
404 0.3% 98.9%  
405 0.5% 98.6%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.2% 98%  
408 0.5% 98%  
409 0.8% 97%  
410 0.6% 96%  
411 0.4% 96%  
412 1.1% 95%  
413 2% 94%  
414 2% 92%  
415 0.9% 90%  
416 2% 89%  
417 3% 88%  
418 3% 85%  
419 2% 82%  
420 1.0% 80%  
421 3% 79%  
422 3% 77%  
423 2% 74%  
424 1.5% 72%  
425 3% 70%  
426 4% 67%  
427 4% 63%  
428 2% 59%  
429 3% 57%  
430 6% 54%  
431 5% 48% Median
432 3% 43%  
433 2% 40%  
434 4% 38%  
435 4% 34%  
436 2% 30%  
437 1.1% 28%  
438 2% 27%  
439 3% 25%  
440 1.2% 22%  
441 2% 21%  
442 2% 19%  
443 3% 18%  
444 2% 15%  
445 0.8% 13%  
446 1.0% 12%  
447 1.4% 11%  
448 1.1% 10%  
449 0.6% 8%  
450 0.7% 8%  
451 0.5% 7%  
452 0.7% 7%  
453 0.8% 6%  
454 0.3% 5%  
455 0.4% 5%  
456 0.4% 4%  
457 0.4% 4%  
458 0.2% 4%  
459 0.1% 3%  
460 0.2% 3%  
461 0.3% 3%  
462 0.2% 3%  
463 0.4% 3%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0.1% 2%  
467 0.2% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.1% 1.4%  
470 0.1% 1.3%  
471 0.2% 1.2%  
472 0.3% 1.0%  
473 0.1% 0.8%  
474 0.1% 0.6%  
475 0.1% 0.5%  
476 0% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.4%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.9%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.7%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.1% 99.5%  
371 0.2% 99.4%  
372 0.2% 99.2%  
373 0.3% 99.0%  
374 0.4% 98.7%  
375 0.4% 98%  
376 0.4% 98%  
377 0.4% 97%  
378 0.6% 97%  
379 0.6% 96%  
380 1.1% 96%  
381 1.3% 95%  
382 1.0% 93%  
383 1.1% 92%  
384 1.4% 91%  
385 2% 90%  
386 2% 88%  
387 2% 86%  
388 2% 84%  
389 3% 83%  
390 2% 80%  
391 5% 78%  
392 2% 74%  
393 2% 72%  
394 2% 69%  
395 5% 67%  
396 2% 62%  
397 4% 60%  
398 3% 56%  
399 2% 53%  
400 4% 51% Median
401 5% 47%  
402 3% 42%  
403 3% 39%  
404 2% 36%  
405 3% 34%  
406 3% 31%  
407 3% 28%  
408 2% 25%  
409 1.3% 23%  
410 2% 22%  
411 3% 20%  
412 2% 17%  
413 2% 15%  
414 0.8% 13%  
415 0.8% 13%  
416 2% 12%  
417 1.2% 10%  
418 0.8% 9%  
419 0.8% 8%  
420 0.5% 7%  
421 0.6% 7%  
422 0.9% 6%  
423 0.4% 5%  
424 0.2% 5%  
425 0.5% 5%  
426 0.3% 4%  
427 0.3% 4%  
428 0.3% 4%  
429 0.3% 3%  
430 0.4% 3%  
431 0.4% 3%  
432 0.4% 2%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.1% 2%  
435 0.1% 1.4%  
436 0.2% 1.3%  
437 0.1% 1.0%  
438 0.1% 0.9%  
439 0.1% 0.8%  
440 0.1% 0.7%  
441 0.1% 0.7%  
442 0.1% 0.6%  
443 0.1% 0.5%  
444 0% 0.4%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.3%  
447 0.1% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.2% 99.4%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.3% 99.1%  
367 0.4% 98.8%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.4% 98%  
370 0.6% 98%  
371 0.6% 97%  
372 0.7% 96%  
373 0.8% 96%  
374 0.9% 95%  
375 0.9% 94%  
376 1.4% 93%  
377 2% 92%  
378 2% 90%  
379 1.5% 88%  
380 2% 87%  
381 2% 85%  
382 2% 84%  
383 3% 82%  
384 2% 78%  
385 3% 76%  
386 3% 73%  
387 3% 70%  
388 3% 67%  
389 3% 64%  
390 3% 62%  
391 3% 58%  
392 4% 55%  
393 3% 52% Median
394 3% 48%  
395 4% 45%  
396 4% 41%  
397 3% 37%  
398 2% 34%  
399 2% 32%  
400 2% 29%  
401 3% 27%  
402 2% 24%  
403 3% 22%  
404 2% 19%  
405 2% 17%  
406 1.2% 15%  
407 1.1% 14%  
408 1.4% 13%  
409 1.2% 12%  
410 1.1% 10%  
411 2% 9%  
412 0.6% 8%  
413 0.7% 7%  
414 0.7% 7%  
415 0.4% 6%  
416 0.5% 5%  
417 0.5% 5%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.3% 4%  
420 0.3% 4% Last Result
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.3% 3%  
423 0.4% 3%  
424 0.3% 3%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.3% 2%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.3% 2%  
429 0.3% 1.4%  
430 0.1% 1.2%  
431 0.1% 1.1%  
432 0.1% 1.0%  
433 0.2% 0.9%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0.2% 0.7%  
436 0.1% 0.5%  
437 0% 0.4%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0.1% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0.1% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.7%  
339 0.1% 99.6%  
340 0.2% 99.5%  
341 0.2% 99.3%  
342 0.2% 99.1%  
343 0.3% 98.9%  
344 0.4% 98.7%  
345 0.3% 98%  
346 0.5% 98%  
347 0.4% 97%  
348 0.6% 97%  
349 0.8% 96%  
350 1.0% 96%  
351 1.1% 95%  
352 1.2% 94%  
353 2% 92%  
354 1.2% 91%  
355 2% 90% Majority
356 2% 88%  
357 1.3% 86%  
358 3% 85%  
359 2% 82%  
360 3% 80%  
361 3% 78%  
362 3% 75%  
363 3% 71%  
364 3% 69%  
365 2% 66%  
366 4% 64%  
367 3% 60%  
368 3% 57%  
369 5% 54%  
370 3% 49% Median
371 3% 46%  
372 4% 43%  
373 3% 39%  
374 3% 36%  
375 3% 33%  
376 2% 31%  
377 3% 29%  
378 2% 26%  
379 3% 24%  
380 2% 21%  
381 2% 19%  
382 1.5% 17%  
383 2% 16%  
384 1.2% 14%  
385 1.4% 13%  
386 1.5% 11%  
387 0.8% 10%  
388 0.8% 9%  
389 1.4% 8%  
390 0.9% 7%  
391 0.9% 6%  
392 0.5% 5%  
393 0.4% 5%  
394 0.3% 4%  
395 0.2% 4%  
396 0.5% 4%  
397 0.3% 3%  
398 0.3% 3%  
399 0.2% 3% Last Result
400 0.1% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.1% 2%  
403 0.4% 2%  
404 0.2% 1.4%  
405 0.1% 1.1%  
406 0.1% 1.1%  
407 0.1% 1.0%  
408 0.2% 0.9%  
409 0.1% 0.7%  
410 0.1% 0.6%  
411 0% 0.5%  
412 0% 0.5%  
413 0.1% 0.4%  
414 0.1% 0.3%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0.1% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.8%  
301 0.1% 99.7%  
302 0.1% 99.6%  
303 0.2% 99.5%  
304 0.2% 99.3%  
305 0.2% 99.2%  
306 0.2% 99.0%  
307 0.5% 98.8%  
308 0.6% 98%  
309 0.4% 98%  
310 0.6% 97%  
311 0.7% 97%  
312 0.6% 96%  
313 0.8% 95%  
314 1.1% 95%  
315 1.1% 93%  
316 1.0% 92%  
317 2% 91%  
318 2% 90%  
319 1.0% 88%  
320 2% 87%  
321 4% 84%  
322 2% 81%  
323 3% 79%  
324 3% 76%  
325 3% 74%  
326 3% 71%  
327 3% 68%  
328 3% 65%  
329 3% 62%  
330 3% 59%  
331 3% 56%  
332 3% 53% Median
333 4% 50%  
334 4% 46%  
335 2% 42%  
336 4% 39%  
337 3% 36%  
338 4% 33%  
339 3% 30%  
340 2% 27% Last Result
341 3% 25%  
342 2% 22%  
343 3% 20%  
344 2% 18%  
345 2% 16%  
346 1.2% 14%  
347 1.3% 13%  
348 1.5% 12%  
349 1.4% 10%  
350 1.1% 9%  
351 0.9% 8%  
352 0.6% 7%  
353 0.8% 6%  
354 0.8% 6%  
355 0.4% 5% Majority
356 0.4% 4%  
357 0.4% 4%  
358 0.3% 4%  
359 0.4% 3%  
360 0.4% 3%  
361 0.3% 2%  
362 0.3% 2%  
363 0.1% 2%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.1% 1.3%  
366 0.2% 1.2%  
367 0.1% 1.1%  
368 0.1% 0.9%  
369 0.1% 0.8%  
370 0.1% 0.7%  
371 0.1% 0.6%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0% 0.4%  
374 0% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
301 0.1% 99.7%  
302 0.1% 99.6%  
303 0.2% 99.5%  
304 0.2% 99.4%  
305 0.3% 99.2%  
306 0.2% 98.9%  
307 0.3% 98.6%  
308 0.4% 98%  
309 0.5% 98%  
310 0.5% 97%  
311 0.7% 97%  
312 0.7% 96%  
313 1.2% 95%  
314 0.9% 94%  
315 1.0% 93%  
316 1.3% 92%  
317 2% 91%  
318 1.5% 89%  
319 2% 88%  
320 2% 86%  
321 3% 84%  
322 3% 81%  
323 2% 78%  
324 3% 77%  
325 3% 73%  
326 3% 70%  
327 3% 67%  
328 3% 64%  
329 3% 62%  
330 4% 59%  
331 2% 55%  
332 4% 53%  
333 3% 49% Median
334 4% 46%  
335 3% 42%  
336 3% 39%  
337 3% 36%  
338 3% 33%  
339 3% 31%  
340 3% 28%  
341 4% 25%  
342 1.3% 21%  
343 2% 20%  
344 2% 18%  
345 2% 16%  
346 1.1% 14%  
347 1.3% 13%  
348 0.8% 11%  
349 1.4% 11%  
350 1.1% 9%  
351 0.7% 8%  
352 0.7% 7%  
353 0.9% 7%  
354 0.5% 6%  
355 0.5% 5% Majority
356 0.7% 5%  
357 0.4% 4%  
358 0.5% 4%  
359 0.7% 3%  
360 0.4% 3%  
361 0.2% 2%  
362 0.1% 2%  
363 0.3% 2%  
364 0.1% 2%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.2% 1.3%  
367 0.2% 1.1%  
368 0.1% 0.9%  
369 0.2% 0.8%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.6%  
372 0.1% 0.5%  
373 0% 0.4%  
374 0.1% 0.4%  
375 0% 0.3%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0.1% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.6%  
274 0.2% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.3%  
276 0.2% 99.3%  
277 0.1% 99.1%  
278 0.1% 99.0%  
279 0.1% 98.9%  
280 0.3% 98.8%  
281 0.3% 98.6%  
282 0.1% 98%  
283 0.3% 98%  
284 0.2% 98%  
285 0.3% 98%  
286 0.4% 97%  
287 0.3% 97%  
288 0.2% 97%  
289 0.3% 97% Last Result
290 0.3% 96%  
291 0.3% 96%  
292 0.5% 96%  
293 0.5% 95%  
294 0.4% 95%  
295 0.7% 94%  
296 0.7% 93%  
297 0.6% 93%  
298 2% 92%  
299 1.1% 91%  
300 1.2% 90%  
301 1.4% 88%  
302 1.1% 87%  
303 1.2% 86%  
304 2% 85%  
305 2% 83%  
306 3% 81%  
307 2% 78%  
308 3% 76%  
309 2% 73%  
310 2% 71%  
311 2% 68%  
312 3% 66%  
313 4% 63%  
314 4% 59%  
315 3% 55%  
316 3% 52%  
317 4% 48%  
318 3% 45% Median
319 3% 42%  
320 3% 38%  
321 3% 36%  
322 3% 33%  
323 3% 30%  
324 3% 27%  
325 2% 24%  
326 3% 22%  
327 2% 18%  
328 2% 16%  
329 2% 15%  
330 1.5% 13%  
331 2% 12%  
332 2% 10%  
333 1.4% 8%  
334 0.9% 7%  
335 0.9% 6%  
336 0.8% 5%  
337 0.7% 4%  
338 0.6% 4%  
339 0.6% 3%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.3% 1.2%  
344 0.2% 0.9%  
345 0.2% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.5%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0.2% 99.4%  
282 0.2% 99.2%  
283 0.2% 99.0%  
284 0.2% 98.8%  
285 0.5% 98.6%  
286 0.4% 98%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 0.7% 97%  
289 0.9% 96%  
290 0.5% 96%  
291 1.1% 95%  
292 1.1% 94%  
293 2% 93%  
294 2% 91%  
295 2% 90%  
296 1.4% 88%  
297 1.3% 87%  
298 2% 85%  
299 2% 83%  
300 2% 81%  
301 2% 79%  
302 4% 77%  
303 2% 73%  
304 3% 71%  
305 4% 68%  
306 4% 64%  
307 3% 60%  
308 4% 57%  
309 4% 53%  
310 3% 49% Median
311 4% 47%  
312 3% 43%  
313 3% 40%  
314 3% 37%  
315 3% 33%  
316 2% 31%  
317 2% 28%  
318 3% 27%  
319 2% 24%  
320 2% 22%  
321 3% 20%  
322 2% 17%  
323 2% 15%  
324 2% 12%  
325 0.9% 11%  
326 1.0% 10% Last Result
327 1.1% 9%  
328 0.9% 8%  
329 0.8% 7%  
330 0.6% 6%  
331 0.8% 6%  
332 0.5% 5%  
333 0.6% 4%  
334 0.4% 4%  
335 0.5% 3%  
336 0.4% 3%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.2% 2%  
339 0.3% 2%  
340 0.2% 2%  
341 0.1% 1.4%  
342 0.1% 1.2%  
343 0.1% 1.1%  
344 0.3% 1.0%  
345 0.1% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.6%  
348 0.1% 0.4%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0.1% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.3%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.5%  
244 0.2% 99.4%  
245 0.3% 99.2%  
246 0.2% 98.9%  
247 0.3% 98.7%  
248 0.4% 98%  
249 0.4% 98%  
250 0.4% 98%  
251 0.6% 97%  
252 0.7% 97%  
253 1.1% 96%  
254 1.1% 95%  
255 2% 94%  
256 1.1% 92%  
257 2% 91%  
258 2% 89%  
259 2% 87%  
260 2% 85%  
261 2% 83%  
262 3% 81%  
263 2% 78%  
264 4% 76%  
265 2% 72%  
266 4% 70%  
267 4% 66%  
268 4% 62%  
269 2% 58%  
270 4% 57%  
271 2% 53%  
272 5% 51% Median
273 4% 46%  
274 2% 42%  
275 3% 40%  
276 3% 37%  
277 4% 34%  
278 3% 30%  
279 3% 27%  
280 2% 24%  
281 3% 22%  
282 1.5% 19%  
283 2% 18%  
284 1.4% 16%  
285 2% 15%  
286 2% 13%  
287 1.3% 11%  
288 1.2% 10%  
289 1.0% 8%  
290 0.9% 7%  
291 0.5% 7%  
292 0.7% 6%  
293 0.7% 5%  
294 0.5% 4%  
295 0.6% 4%  
296 0.4% 3%  
297 0.4% 3%  
298 0.6% 3%  
299 0.3% 2%  
300 0.1% 2%  
301 0.2% 2%  
302 0.3% 1.3%  
303 0.1% 1.1%  
304 0.2% 0.9%  
305 0.1% 0.8%  
306 0.1% 0.7%  
307 0.2% 0.6%  
308 0.1% 0.4%  
309 0.1% 0.4%  
310 0% 0.3%  
311 0.1% 0.3%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0.1% 99.5%  
158 0.3% 99.4%  
159 0.2% 99.1%  
160 0.5% 98.9%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.7% 98%  
163 0.9% 97%  
164 0.9% 96%  
165 0.7% 95%  
166 0.9% 95%  
167 2% 94%  
168 2% 92%  
169 3% 91%  
170 2% 88%  
171 3% 86%  
172 2% 82%  
173 3% 80%  
174 2% 78%  
175 3% 76%  
176 3% 73%  
177 5% 70%  
178 4% 65%  
179 5% 61%  
180 4% 56%  
181 4% 52%  
182 3% 48% Median
183 2% 45%  
184 4% 43%  
185 3% 40%  
186 5% 37%  
187 3% 32%  
188 4% 29%  
189 3% 24%  
190 3% 21%  
191 2% 19%  
192 2% 17%  
193 2% 16%  
194 2% 14%  
195 2% 11%  
196 2% 9%  
197 1.3% 8%  
198 1.2% 6%  
199 0.5% 5%  
200 0.7% 5%  
201 0.6% 4%  
202 0.6% 3%  
203 0.4% 3%  
204 0.5% 2%  
205 0.3% 2%  
206 0.6% 2%  
207 0.1% 1.1%  
208 0.3% 1.0%  
209 0.1% 0.8%  
210 0.1% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0.3% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.4%  
118 0.2% 99.3%  
119 0.2% 99.1%  
120 0% 99.0%  
121 0.1% 99.0%  
122 0.5% 98.9%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0.7% 98%  
128 0.8% 97%  
129 0.1% 96%  
130 0.2% 96%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0.1% 96%  
133 0.7% 96%  
134 0.1% 95%  
135 0.1% 95%  
136 0.1% 95%  
137 0% 95%  
138 0.4% 95%  
139 0.4% 94%  
140 0.1% 94%  
141 0.1% 94%  
142 0.1% 94%  
143 0.2% 94%  
144 0.4% 93%  
145 0.3% 93%  
146 0.3% 93%  
147 0.4% 93%  
148 0.5% 92%  
149 0.6% 92%  
150 0.9% 91%  
151 1.3% 90%  
152 0.8% 89%  
153 1.3% 88%  
154 2% 87%  
155 2% 85%  
156 2% 83%  
157 2% 81%  
158 3% 79%  
159 2% 76%  
160 4% 74%  
161 3% 70%  
162 3% 67%  
163 3% 63%  
164 3% 60%  
165 6% 57%  
166 4% 51%  
167 4% 48% Median
168 3% 44%  
169 3% 41%  
170 4% 37%  
171 4% 33%  
172 3% 29%  
173 3% 26%  
174 3% 23%  
175 3% 20%  
176 3% 17%  
177 2% 14%  
178 2% 12%  
179 2% 11%  
180 1.4% 9%  
181 1.1% 7%  
182 1.1% 6%  
183 0.8% 5%  
184 0.8% 4%  
185 0.8% 3%  
186 0.4% 3%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.3% 1.3%  
190 0.1% 1.0%  
191 0.2% 0.8%  
192 0.2% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations