Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 23–25 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 28.5% 26.6–30.5% 26.1–31.0% 25.6–31.5% 24.8–32.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.4–20.7% 16.9–21.2% 16.5–21.7% 15.8–22.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.5–17.6% 14.1–18.1% 13.7–18.5% 13.0–19.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.8–11.4% 8.5–11.8% 8.2–12.1% 7.7–12.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.5% 5.5–8.8% 5.1–9.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.5% 5.5–8.8% 5.1–9.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.3–8.1% 5.1–8.4% 4.7–8.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 215 200–229 196–234 193–237 186–244
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 142 130–155 127–159 124–163 118–169
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 120 109–132 106–136 103–139 98–145
Alternative für Deutschland 94 75 66–85 64–88 61–91 57–96
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 53 45–62 43–64 41–67 38–71
Die Linke 69 53 45–61 43–64 42–66 0–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 50 42–58 40–60 38–63 35–67

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.9%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.8%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.1% 99.7%  
186 0.2% 99.6%  
187 0.1% 99.4%  
188 0.2% 99.3%  
189 0.3% 99.1%  
190 0.3% 98.8%  
191 0.4% 98%  
192 0.4% 98%  
193 0.6% 98%  
194 0.6% 97%  
195 0.7% 96%  
196 1.1% 96%  
197 1.1% 95%  
198 1.5% 93%  
199 2% 92%  
200 2% 90% Last Result
201 2% 89%  
202 2% 87%  
203 2% 85%  
204 2% 83%  
205 3% 80%  
206 2% 78%  
207 4% 76%  
208 3% 72%  
209 2% 69%  
210 4% 67%  
211 3% 63%  
212 4% 60%  
213 3% 56%  
214 3% 54%  
215 5% 50% Median
216 4% 46%  
217 2% 42%  
218 5% 40%  
219 3% 35%  
220 3% 32%  
221 3% 29%  
222 2% 25%  
223 2% 23%  
224 3% 21%  
225 2% 18%  
226 2% 16%  
227 3% 14%  
228 1.3% 12%  
229 1.3% 11%  
230 1.0% 9%  
231 1.4% 8%  
232 1.0% 7%  
233 0.7% 6%  
234 0.9% 5%  
235 0.9% 4%  
236 0.6% 3%  
237 0.6% 3%  
238 0.5% 2%  
239 0.3% 2%  
240 0.3% 1.4%  
241 0.2% 1.1%  
242 0.2% 0.9%  
243 0.1% 0.7%  
244 0.1% 0.6%  
245 0.1% 0.5%  
246 0.1% 0.4%  
247 0.1% 0.3%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.2%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.2% 99.5%  
120 0.3% 99.3%  
121 0.4% 99.0%  
122 0.3% 98.6%  
123 0.4% 98%  
124 0.6% 98%  
125 0.9% 97%  
126 0.8% 96%  
127 1.2% 96%  
128 2% 94%  
129 2% 93%  
130 2% 91%  
131 2% 89%  
132 2% 87%  
133 3% 86%  
134 2% 83%  
135 3% 80%  
136 3% 77%  
137 5% 74%  
138 5% 69%  
139 4% 64%  
140 4% 61%  
141 5% 57%  
142 3% 52% Median
143 4% 50%  
144 3% 46%  
145 5% 43%  
146 4% 38%  
147 4% 34%  
148 3% 30%  
149 4% 27%  
150 3% 23%  
151 2% 21%  
152 2% 18%  
153 2% 16%  
154 2% 14%  
155 2% 12%  
156 1.4% 10%  
157 2% 8%  
158 0.9% 6%  
159 0.9% 5%  
160 0.5% 4%  
161 0.7% 4%  
162 0.4% 3%  
163 0.4% 3%  
164 0.4% 2%  
165 0.5% 2%  
166 0.3% 1.3%  
167 0.2% 1.0%  
168 0.2% 0.7%  
169 0.1% 0.6%  
170 0.1% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0.1% 99.6%  
99 0.3% 99.5%  
100 0.3% 99.2%  
101 0.3% 98.9%  
102 0.7% 98.6%  
103 0.8% 98%  
104 0.6% 97%  
105 0.9% 97%  
106 1.4% 96%  
107 2% 94%  
108 1.2% 93%  
109 2% 91%  
110 3% 89%  
111 2% 86%  
112 3% 84%  
113 4% 81%  
114 3% 78%  
115 3% 74%  
116 4% 72%  
117 6% 68%  
118 3% 62%  
119 4% 59%  
120 7% 55% Median
121 4% 49%  
122 3% 45%  
123 4% 42%  
124 4% 38%  
125 3% 33%  
126 3% 30%  
127 5% 27%  
128 3% 22%  
129 2% 19%  
130 3% 17%  
131 3% 15%  
132 2% 11%  
133 1.2% 10%  
134 2% 9%  
135 1.3% 7%  
136 0.8% 6%  
137 1.0% 5%  
138 1.0% 4%  
139 0.4% 3%  
140 0.6% 2%  
141 0.3% 2%  
142 0.3% 1.4%  
143 0.2% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.6%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0.2% 99.7%  
58 0.2% 99.5%  
59 0.2% 99.2%  
60 0.6% 99.0%  
61 1.0% 98%  
62 0.6% 97%  
63 1.3% 97%  
64 3% 96%  
65 2% 92%  
66 1.1% 90%  
67 3% 89%  
68 3% 86%  
69 2% 83%  
70 5% 81%  
71 8% 76%  
72 5% 68%  
73 3% 64%  
74 7% 61%  
75 6% 53% Median
76 3% 47%  
77 5% 44%  
78 6% 40%  
79 3% 33%  
80 3% 30%  
81 6% 28%  
82 5% 21%  
83 1.4% 16%  
84 2% 14%  
85 3% 12%  
86 0.9% 9%  
87 0.9% 8%  
88 2% 7%  
89 1.4% 5%  
90 0.4% 3%  
91 0.9% 3%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.4%  
94 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
95 0.3% 0.9%  
96 0.2% 0.6%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0% 99.6%  
9 0% 99.6%  
10 0% 99.6%  
11 0% 99.6%  
12 0% 99.6%  
13 0% 99.6%  
14 0% 99.6%  
15 0% 99.6%  
16 0% 99.6%  
17 0% 99.6%  
18 0% 99.6%  
19 0% 99.6%  
20 0% 99.6%  
21 0% 99.6%  
22 0% 99.6%  
23 0% 99.6%  
24 0% 99.6%  
25 0% 99.6%  
26 0% 99.6%  
27 0% 99.6%  
28 0% 99.6%  
29 0% 99.6%  
30 0% 99.6%  
31 0% 99.6%  
32 0% 99.6%  
33 0% 99.6%  
34 0% 99.6%  
35 0% 99.6%  
36 0% 99.6%  
37 0% 99.6%  
38 0.2% 99.6%  
39 0.4% 99.4%  
40 0.6% 98.9%  
41 1.0% 98%  
42 1.3% 97%  
43 2% 96%  
44 2% 94%  
45 3% 92%  
46 4% 89%  
47 4% 85%  
48 5% 81%  
49 5% 75%  
50 6% 70%  
51 5% 64%  
52 6% 59%  
53 6% 53% Median
54 6% 46%  
55 6% 40%  
56 6% 34%  
57 4% 28%  
58 4% 24%  
59 4% 20%  
60 3% 16%  
61 3% 13%  
62 2% 10%  
63 2% 8%  
64 1.2% 6%  
65 1.3% 5%  
66 0.8% 3%  
67 0.7% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.2%  
70 0.2% 0.8%  
71 0.2% 0.6%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 0% 99.5%  
2 0% 99.5%  
3 0% 99.5%  
4 0% 99.5%  
5 0% 99.5%  
6 0% 99.5%  
7 0% 99.5%  
8 0% 99.5%  
9 0% 99.5%  
10 0% 99.5%  
11 0% 99.5%  
12 0% 99.5%  
13 0% 99.5%  
14 0% 99.5%  
15 0% 99.5%  
16 0% 99.5%  
17 0% 99.5%  
18 0% 99.5%  
19 0% 99.5%  
20 0% 99.5%  
21 0% 99.5%  
22 0% 99.5%  
23 0% 99.5%  
24 0% 99.5%  
25 0% 99.5%  
26 0% 99.5%  
27 0% 99.5%  
28 0% 99.5%  
29 0% 99.5%  
30 0% 99.5%  
31 0% 99.5%  
32 0% 99.5%  
33 0% 99.5%  
34 0% 99.5%  
35 0% 99.5%  
36 0% 99.5%  
37 0% 99.5%  
38 0.1% 99.5%  
39 0.5% 99.3%  
40 0.5% 98.9%  
41 0.5% 98%  
42 2% 98%  
43 3% 96%  
44 2% 93%  
45 2% 91%  
46 4% 89%  
47 3% 85%  
48 3% 81%  
49 6% 79%  
50 10% 73%  
51 6% 63%  
52 5% 56%  
53 7% 52% Median
54 6% 45%  
55 3% 39%  
56 5% 37%  
57 9% 32%  
58 5% 23%  
59 2% 18%  
60 4% 16%  
61 3% 12%  
62 0.9% 9%  
63 2% 8%  
64 3% 7%  
65 1.0% 4%  
66 0.6% 3%  
67 0.8% 2%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.9%  
71 0.3% 0.7%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.8%  
35 0.3% 99.7%  
36 0.5% 99.4%  
37 0.6% 98.9%  
38 0.9% 98%  
39 1.4% 97%  
40 2% 96%  
41 2% 94%  
42 3% 92%  
43 4% 89%  
44 4% 85%  
45 5% 80%  
46 6% 75% Last Result
47 6% 69%  
48 7% 63%  
49 7% 57%  
50 6% 50% Median
51 6% 44%  
52 7% 39%  
53 5% 32%  
54 5% 27%  
55 4% 22%  
56 4% 18%  
57 3% 14%  
58 3% 12%  
59 2% 9%  
60 2% 7%  
61 1.4% 5%  
62 1.0% 4%  
63 0.7% 3%  
64 0.6% 2%  
65 0.4% 1.3%  
66 0.3% 0.9%  
67 0.2% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 528 100% 513–541 509–545 506–550 499–569
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 460 100% 445–475 440–479 436–483 429–493
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 438 100% 422–453 418–458 415–461 406–471
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 407 100% 391–422 386–427 383–432 376–442
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 392 99.8% 376–407 371–413 369–418 360–425
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 385 99.3% 369–400 364–405 361–410 353–420
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 339 12% 324–355 319–360 316–365 309–374
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 317 0.1% 301–334 298–337 293–340 284–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 316 0.1% 301–332 296–337 292–340 283–349
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 317 0.2% 302–333 296–338 291–340 284–349
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 264 0% 248–279 244–283 241–287 234–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 174 0% 160–187 157–191 153–195 141–202
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 173 0% 160–187 157–192 153–195 143–202

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 99.9%  
493 0% 99.9%  
494 0% 99.9%  
495 0% 99.9%  
496 0% 99.8%  
497 0.1% 99.8%  
498 0.1% 99.7%  
499 0.1% 99.6%  
500 0.1% 99.5%  
501 0.2% 99.4%  
502 0.3% 99.2%  
503 0.3% 98.9%  
504 0.5% 98.6%  
505 0.3% 98%  
506 0.5% 98%  
507 0.9% 97%  
508 0.8% 96%  
509 0.7% 96%  
510 1.3% 95%  
511 1.3% 94%  
512 1.3% 92%  
513 1.4% 91%  
514 2% 90%  
515 2% 88%  
516 2% 85%  
517 2% 84%  
518 3% 81%  
519 3% 79%  
520 2% 76%  
521 4% 74%  
522 3% 70%  
523 2% 67%  
524 4% 65%  
525 4% 61%  
526 3% 57%  
527 2% 54% Median
528 5% 51%  
529 3% 46%  
530 3% 43%  
531 3% 40%  
532 5% 37%  
533 5% 33%  
534 2% 28%  
535 4% 26%  
536 4% 23%  
537 2% 19%  
538 2% 17%  
539 2% 15%  
540 2% 13%  
541 1.3% 10%  
542 1.1% 9%  
543 1.4% 8%  
544 0.9% 6%  
545 0.8% 6%  
546 0.9% 5%  
547 0.6% 4%  
548 0.3% 3%  
549 0.4% 3%  
550 0.6% 3%  
551 0.2% 2%  
552 0.2% 2%  
553 0.2% 2%  
554 0.2% 1.4%  
555 0.1% 1.2%  
556 0.1% 1.1%  
557 0.1% 1.0%  
558 0.1% 0.9%  
559 0% 0.9%  
560 0% 0.9%  
561 0.1% 0.8%  
562 0% 0.8%  
563 0% 0.7%  
564 0% 0.7%  
565 0% 0.7%  
566 0% 0.6%  
567 0% 0.6%  
568 0.1% 0.6%  
569 0% 0.5%  
570 0% 0.5%  
571 0% 0.5%  
572 0% 0.4%  
573 0% 0.4%  
574 0% 0.4%  
575 0% 0.3%  
576 0% 0.3%  
577 0% 0.3%  
578 0% 0.2%  
579 0% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0.1% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.1% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.6%  
429 0.2% 99.6%  
430 0.1% 99.4%  
431 0.2% 99.3%  
432 0.2% 99.1%  
433 0.2% 98.9%  
434 0.4% 98.6%  
435 0.3% 98%  
436 0.6% 98%  
437 0.4% 97%  
438 0.5% 97%  
439 1.1% 96%  
440 0.8% 95%  
441 0.9% 95%  
442 1.0% 94%  
443 0.9% 93%  
444 1.4% 92%  
445 1.3% 90%  
446 2% 89%  
447 2% 87%  
448 1.4% 85%  
449 2% 83%  
450 3% 82%  
451 3% 79%  
452 2% 76%  
453 2% 73%  
454 3% 71%  
455 3% 68%  
456 3% 64%  
457 3% 61%  
458 4% 58%  
459 3% 54%  
460 3% 51% Median
461 5% 48%  
462 3% 43%  
463 3% 40%  
464 3% 37%  
465 3% 34%  
466 3% 32%  
467 3% 29%  
468 3% 26%  
469 3% 23%  
470 2% 21%  
471 3% 18%  
472 3% 16%  
473 2% 13%  
474 1.2% 11%  
475 1.5% 10%  
476 1.4% 9%  
477 1.0% 7%  
478 0.7% 6%  
479 1.1% 6%  
480 0.7% 5%  
481 0.4% 4%  
482 0.6% 4%  
483 0.6% 3%  
484 0.4% 2%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.3% 2%  
487 0.1% 1.3%  
488 0.2% 1.2%  
489 0.1% 1.0%  
490 0.2% 0.9%  
491 0.1% 0.7%  
492 0.1% 0.6%  
493 0.1% 0.5%  
494 0.1% 0.5%  
495 0.1% 0.4%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0.1% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.6%  
406 0.1% 99.5%  
407 0.1% 99.4%  
408 0.1% 99.3%  
409 0.2% 99.2%  
410 0.2% 99.0%  
411 0.2% 98.7%  
412 0.3% 98.5%  
413 0.3% 98%  
414 0.4% 98%  
415 0.8% 98%  
416 0.5% 97%  
417 0.7% 96%  
418 1.2% 96%  
419 0.9% 94%  
420 0.9% 93%  
421 1.2% 93%  
422 2% 91%  
423 0.8% 89%  
424 2% 88%  
425 2% 86%  
426 1.2% 84%  
427 2% 83%  
428 2% 80%  
429 2% 78%  
430 3% 76%  
431 2% 73%  
432 2% 71%  
433 4% 69%  
434 3% 65%  
435 3% 62%  
436 6% 60%  
437 3% 54%  
438 2% 51% Median
439 4% 49%  
440 5% 44%  
441 2% 39%  
442 3% 37%  
443 4% 35%  
444 2% 31%  
445 2% 29%  
446 3% 26%  
447 2% 23%  
448 3% 21%  
449 2% 19%  
450 2% 17%  
451 2% 15%  
452 2% 13%  
453 1.1% 11%  
454 2% 10%  
455 2% 8%  
456 0.7% 7%  
457 0.9% 6%  
458 1.0% 5%  
459 0.6% 4%  
460 0.7% 3%  
461 0.3% 3%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0.3% 2%  
464 0.2% 2%  
465 0.2% 1.4%  
466 0.2% 1.2%  
467 0.2% 1.0%  
468 0.1% 0.8%  
469 0.1% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.6%  
471 0.1% 0.5%  
472 0.1% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.6%  
376 0.1% 99.5%  
377 0.2% 99.4%  
378 0.2% 99.2%  
379 0.2% 99.0%  
380 0.2% 98.8%  
381 0.4% 98.6%  
382 0.5% 98%  
383 0.4% 98%  
384 0.8% 97%  
385 1.0% 97%  
386 1.0% 96%  
387 0.7% 95%  
388 1.2% 94%  
389 1.2% 93%  
390 1.1% 92%  
391 1.3% 90%  
392 2% 89%  
393 2% 87%  
394 2% 85%  
395 2% 84%  
396 2% 82%  
397 2% 80%  
398 3% 78%  
399 3% 75%  
400 3% 72%  
401 3% 69%  
402 3% 67%  
403 3% 64%  
404 3% 61%  
405 3% 57%  
406 3% 54%  
407 3% 51% Median
408 3% 48%  
409 2% 44%  
410 3% 42%  
411 4% 39%  
412 3% 35%  
413 2% 32%  
414 4% 30%  
415 3% 27%  
416 3% 24%  
417 2% 21%  
418 2% 19%  
419 3% 17%  
420 2% 14%  
421 1.5% 13%  
422 2% 11%  
423 1.2% 9%  
424 1.0% 8%  
425 0.8% 7%  
426 0.8% 7%  
427 0.8% 6%  
428 0.8% 5%  
429 0.4% 4%  
430 0.6% 4%  
431 0.3% 3%  
432 0.4% 3%  
433 0.3% 2%  
434 0.3% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.3% 1.4%  
437 0.2% 1.1%  
438 0.1% 0.9%  
439 0.1% 0.8%  
440 0.1% 0.7%  
441 0.1% 0.6%  
442 0.1% 0.5%  
443 0.1% 0.5%  
444 0.1% 0.4%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.3%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0% 99.7%  
359 0.1% 99.6%  
360 0.1% 99.6%  
361 0.1% 99.5%  
362 0.1% 99.4%  
363 0.1% 99.3%  
364 0.1% 99.2%  
365 0.3% 99.0%  
366 0.2% 98.8%  
367 0.3% 98.6%  
368 0.5% 98%  
369 1.0% 98%  
370 0.6% 97%  
371 1.2% 96%  
372 0.9% 95%  
373 0.9% 94%  
374 0.9% 93%  
375 1.4% 92%  
376 1.0% 91%  
377 0.7% 90%  
378 1.0% 89%  
379 1.2% 88%  
380 0.8% 87%  
381 2% 86%  
382 2% 84%  
383 2% 82%  
384 3% 80%  
385 4% 78%  
386 3% 74%  
387 6% 71%  
388 4% 65%  
389 4% 61%  
390 3% 57%  
391 3% 54%  
392 3% 51%  
393 3% 48% Median
394 2% 46%  
395 2% 43%  
396 2% 41%  
397 2% 39%  
398 2% 37%  
399 3% 35%  
400 4% 32%  
401 3% 28%  
402 4% 25%  
403 3% 22%  
404 2% 19%  
405 2% 16%  
406 3% 14%  
407 2% 12%  
408 1.1% 10%  
409 1.2% 9%  
410 0.8% 7%  
411 0.6% 7%  
412 0.7% 6%  
413 0.6% 5%  
414 0.6% 5%  
415 0.4% 4%  
416 0.6% 4%  
417 0.5% 3%  
418 0.7% 3%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.4% 2% Last Result
421 0.2% 1.3%  
422 0.2% 1.1%  
423 0.2% 0.9%  
424 0.2% 0.7%  
425 0.1% 0.6%  
426 0.1% 0.5%  
427 0.1% 0.4%  
428 0% 0.3%  
429 0% 0.3%  
430 0% 0.3%  
431 0% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 99.3% Majority
356 0.2% 99.2%  
357 0.3% 99.0%  
358 0.3% 98.7%  
359 0.4% 98%  
360 0.4% 98%  
361 0.6% 98%  
362 0.6% 97%  
363 0.6% 96%  
364 1.1% 96%  
365 0.6% 95%  
366 1.1% 94%  
367 0.6% 93%  
368 2% 93%  
369 1.4% 91%  
370 2% 89%  
371 2% 88%  
372 2% 86%  
373 2% 84%  
374 2% 82%  
375 3% 80%  
376 3% 77%  
377 3% 75%  
378 3% 72%  
379 3% 69%  
380 2% 67%  
381 4% 65%  
382 2% 60%  
383 5% 58%  
384 3% 53%  
385 3% 51% Median
386 3% 48%  
387 4% 45%  
388 3% 41%  
389 3% 38%  
390 3% 35%  
391 2% 32%  
392 3% 30%  
393 2% 27%  
394 4% 25%  
395 1.5% 21%  
396 3% 20%  
397 1.4% 17%  
398 2% 15%  
399 2% 13% Last Result
400 2% 12%  
401 1.0% 10%  
402 0.9% 9%  
403 2% 8%  
404 1.1% 6%  
405 0.8% 5%  
406 0.5% 5%  
407 0.7% 4%  
408 0.3% 3%  
409 0.5% 3%  
410 0.3% 3%  
411 0.5% 2%  
412 0.2% 2%  
413 0.3% 2%  
414 0.1% 1.3%  
415 0.2% 1.1%  
416 0.1% 0.9%  
417 0.1% 0.8%  
418 0.1% 0.7%  
419 0.1% 0.6%  
420 0.1% 0.5%  
421 0.1% 0.5%  
422 0% 0.4%  
423 0% 0.4%  
424 0.1% 0.3%  
425 0% 0.3%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.6%  
309 0.2% 99.5%  
310 0.2% 99.4%  
311 0.2% 99.2%  
312 0.3% 99.0%  
313 0.4% 98.8%  
314 0.3% 98%  
315 0.5% 98%  
316 0.6% 98%  
317 0.5% 97%  
318 0.7% 96%  
319 1.0% 96%  
320 1.0% 95%  
321 0.7% 94%  
322 1.4% 93%  
323 1.2% 92%  
324 1.0% 91%  
325 2% 89%  
326 1.2% 88%  
327 2% 87%  
328 3% 85%  
329 2% 82%  
330 2% 80%  
331 3% 78%  
332 2% 74%  
333 3% 72%  
334 4% 70%  
335 3% 66%  
336 3% 63%  
337 4% 60%  
338 3% 56%  
339 3% 53%  
340 3% 50% Last Result, Median
341 4% 47%  
342 3% 43%  
343 3% 41%  
344 3% 38%  
345 3% 35%  
346 2% 32%  
347 2% 29%  
348 3% 28%  
349 3% 25%  
350 3% 22%  
351 3% 19%  
352 1.2% 16%  
353 2% 15%  
354 2% 13%  
355 2% 12% Majority
356 1.3% 10%  
357 1.4% 8%  
358 0.9% 7%  
359 0.7% 6%  
360 0.7% 5%  
361 0.7% 5%  
362 0.5% 4%  
363 0.4% 4%  
364 0.6% 3%  
365 0.4% 3%  
366 0.4% 2%  
367 0.4% 2%  
368 0.3% 2%  
369 0.2% 1.3%  
370 0.2% 1.0%  
371 0.1% 0.9%  
372 0.1% 0.7%  
373 0.1% 0.6%  
374 0.1% 0.5%  
375 0.1% 0.4%  
376 0% 0.4%  
377 0% 0.3%  
378 0% 0.3%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.6%  
284 0.1% 99.5%  
285 0.1% 99.4%  
286 0.1% 99.3%  
287 0.2% 99.2%  
288 0.2% 99.0%  
289 0.2% 98.8%  
290 0.3% 98.6%  
291 0.2% 98%  
292 0.3% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.3% 97%  
295 0.6% 97%  
296 0.6% 97%  
297 0.8% 96%  
298 1.0% 95%  
299 1.0% 94%  
300 2% 93%  
301 2% 91%  
302 1.1% 89%  
303 3% 88%  
304 2% 86%  
305 2% 84%  
306 3% 82%  
307 1.4% 79%  
308 2% 78%  
309 2% 76%  
310 2% 74%  
311 2% 72%  
312 2% 70%  
313 4% 68%  
314 3% 65%  
315 4% 61%  
316 4% 57%  
317 5% 53%  
318 3% 48% Median
319 5% 45%  
320 3% 40%  
321 4% 37%  
322 3% 33%  
323 2% 30%  
324 2% 28%  
325 1.4% 26%  
326 1.4% 24% Last Result
327 2% 23%  
328 2% 21%  
329 2% 19%  
330 2% 18%  
331 2% 16%  
332 2% 14%  
333 2% 12%  
334 2% 10%  
335 2% 8%  
336 1.0% 6%  
337 1.1% 5%  
338 0.7% 4%  
339 0.5% 3%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.2% 2%  
346 0.2% 1.3%  
347 0.2% 1.1%  
348 0.2% 0.9%  
349 0.2% 0.8%  
350 0.1% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0.1% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.1% 99.6%  
284 0.1% 99.5%  
285 0.2% 99.4%  
286 0.1% 99.2%  
287 0.1% 99.1%  
288 0.2% 99.0%  
289 0.3% 98.7%  
290 0.3% 98%  
291 0.4% 98%  
292 0.4% 98%  
293 0.5% 97%  
294 0.5% 97%  
295 0.7% 96%  
296 0.8% 96%  
297 0.9% 95%  
298 1.1% 94%  
299 1.1% 93%  
300 1.3% 92% Last Result
301 1.2% 90%  
302 2% 89%  
303 2% 87%  
304 3% 86%  
305 2% 83%  
306 2% 81%  
307 3% 79%  
308 2% 76%  
309 3% 74%  
310 3% 71%  
311 4% 68%  
312 3% 65%  
313 3% 61%  
314 2% 58%  
315 3% 56% Median
316 4% 53%  
317 3% 49%  
318 4% 46%  
319 3% 42%  
320 2% 39%  
321 4% 37%  
322 3% 33%  
323 3% 31%  
324 3% 28%  
325 2% 25%  
326 3% 23%  
327 2% 20%  
328 2% 18%  
329 2% 16%  
330 2% 14%  
331 1.0% 12%  
332 2% 11%  
333 1.1% 9%  
334 1.1% 8%  
335 1.2% 7%  
336 0.6% 6%  
337 0.9% 5%  
338 0.5% 4%  
339 0.5% 4%  
340 0.7% 3%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.3% 2%  
344 0.3% 1.4%  
345 0.2% 1.1%  
346 0.2% 0.9%  
347 0.1% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0.1% 0.5%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.7%  
281 0% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.6%  
284 0.1% 99.5%  
285 0.2% 99.4%  
286 0.2% 99.3%  
287 0.2% 99.1%  
288 0.2% 98.9%  
289 0.4% 98.7% Last Result
290 0.3% 98%  
291 0.7% 98%  
292 0.5% 97%  
293 0.6% 97%  
294 0.4% 96%  
295 0.6% 96%  
296 0.6% 95%  
297 0.7% 95%  
298 0.6% 94%  
299 0.8% 93%  
300 1.2% 93%  
301 1.1% 91%  
302 2% 90%  
303 3% 88%  
304 2% 86%  
305 2% 84%  
306 3% 81%  
307 4% 78%  
308 3% 75%  
309 4% 72%  
310 3% 68%  
311 2% 65%  
312 2% 63%  
313 2% 61%  
314 2% 59%  
315 2% 57% Median
316 3% 54%  
317 3% 52%  
318 3% 49%  
319 3% 46%  
320 4% 43%  
321 4% 39%  
322 6% 35%  
323 3% 29%  
324 4% 26%  
325 3% 22%  
326 2% 20%  
327 2% 18%  
328 2% 16%  
329 0.8% 14%  
330 1.2% 13%  
331 1.0% 12%  
332 0.7% 11%  
333 1.0% 10%  
334 1.4% 9%  
335 0.9% 8%  
336 0.9% 7%  
337 0.9% 6%  
338 1.2% 5%  
339 0.6% 4%  
340 1.0% 3%  
341 0.5% 2%  
342 0.3% 2%  
343 0.2% 1.4%  
344 0.3% 1.2%  
345 0.1% 1.0%  
346 0.1% 0.8%  
347 0.1% 0.7%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.1% 0.5%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.8%  
231 0.1% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.7%  
233 0.2% 99.7%  
234 0.2% 99.5%  
235 0.2% 99.3%  
236 0.3% 99.1%  
237 0.2% 98.8%  
238 0.3% 98.6%  
239 0.3% 98%  
240 0.5% 98%  
241 0.7% 98%  
242 0.6% 97%  
243 1.1% 96%  
244 0.8% 95%  
245 0.9% 94%  
246 0.8% 93%  
247 1.0% 93%  
248 2% 92%  
249 2% 90%  
250 3% 88%  
251 2% 85%  
252 2% 83%  
253 2% 82%  
254 1.4% 79%  
255 3% 78%  
256 3% 75%  
257 4% 72%  
258 4% 68%  
259 3% 64%  
260 2% 60%  
261 3% 58%  
262 2% 56% Median
263 3% 53%  
264 3% 50%  
265 6% 47%  
266 4% 41%  
267 3% 37%  
268 3% 35%  
269 2% 32%  
270 3% 30%  
271 2% 27%  
272 3% 25%  
273 3% 22%  
274 3% 19%  
275 2% 16%  
276 0.9% 14%  
277 1.0% 13%  
278 2% 12%  
279 1.2% 10%  
280 2% 9%  
281 0.9% 7%  
282 1.3% 7%  
283 0.8% 5%  
284 0.4% 4%  
285 0.4% 4%  
286 0.5% 4%  
287 0.8% 3%  
288 0.5% 2%  
289 0.4% 2%  
290 0.3% 1.5%  
291 0.1% 1.1%  
292 0.1% 1.0%  
293 0.1% 0.9%  
294 0.1% 0.8%  
295 0.2% 0.6%  
296 0.1% 0.5%  
297 0.1% 0.4%  
298 0% 0.3%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.6%  
137 0% 99.6%  
138 0% 99.6%  
139 0% 99.6%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0% 99.5%  
142 0% 99.5%  
143 0.1% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.4%  
145 0.1% 99.4%  
146 0.1% 99.3%  
147 0.1% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.0%  
149 0.3% 98.9%  
150 0.3% 98.6%  
151 0.3% 98%  
152 0.4% 98%  
153 0.4% 98%  
154 0.8% 97%  
155 0.5% 96%  
156 0.9% 96%  
157 1.2% 95%  
158 1.2% 94%  
159 1.2% 93%  
160 2% 91%  
161 2% 89%  
162 1.2% 87%  
163 3% 86%  
164 2% 83%  
165 2% 81%  
166 3% 79%  
167 3% 75%  
168 4% 72%  
169 3% 69%  
170 4% 66%  
171 4% 61%  
172 3% 57%  
173 4% 54% Median
174 4% 50%  
175 3% 46%  
176 2% 43%  
177 5% 41%  
178 4% 36%  
179 2% 32%  
180 4% 30%  
181 3% 26%  
182 2% 23%  
183 3% 21%  
184 3% 18%  
185 2% 15%  
186 2% 13%  
187 2% 11%  
188 2% 10%  
189 0.9% 8%  
190 1.5% 7%  
191 1.0% 6%  
192 0.8% 5%  
193 0.5% 4%  
194 0.8% 3%  
195 0.4% 3%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.2% 1.3%  
199 0.2% 1.1%  
200 0.2% 0.9%  
201 0.2% 0.7%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.6%  
140 0% 99.6%  
141 0% 99.6%  
142 0% 99.6%  
143 0.1% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.5%  
145 0.1% 99.4%  
146 0.1% 99.3%  
147 0.1% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.1%  
149 0.2% 99.1%  
150 0.2% 98.9%  
151 0.5% 98.7%  
152 0.7% 98%  
153 0.6% 98%  
154 0.4% 97%  
155 0.4% 97%  
156 0.4% 96%  
157 1.4% 96%  
158 2% 94%  
159 2% 93%  
160 2% 90%  
161 1.1% 88%  
162 0.8% 87%  
163 1.3% 86%  
164 2% 85%  
165 3% 83%  
166 5% 80%  
167 5% 74%  
168 2% 69%  
169 2% 67%  
170 2% 65%  
171 2% 63%  
172 6% 61%  
173 7% 55% Median
174 4% 48%  
175 4% 44%  
176 2% 40%  
177 1.2% 39%  
178 2% 37%  
179 4% 35%  
180 5% 31%  
181 4% 25%  
182 3% 21%  
183 1.2% 19%  
184 0.9% 17%  
185 2% 17%  
186 2% 15%  
187 3% 12%  
188 3% 10%  
189 1.3% 7%  
190 0.7% 6%  
191 0.3% 5%  
192 0.5% 5%  
193 0.6% 5%  
194 1.0% 4%  
195 0.9% 3%  
196 0.5% 2%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.1% 1.2%  
199 0.1% 1.1%  
200 0.2% 1.0%  
201 0.2% 0.8%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.2% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations