Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 23–25 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.0% 21.2–25.1% 20.6–25.6% 20.2–26.1% 19.3–27.1%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.8% 20.9–24.8% 20.4–25.4% 20.0–25.9% 19.1–26.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.5–16.8% 13.0–17.3% 12.7–17.7% 11.9–18.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 10.6–13.7% 10.3–14.1% 9.9–14.5% 9.3–15.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.1% 7.8–10.5% 7.5–10.9% 7.2–11.3% 6.7–12.0%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.6–8.7% 5.4–9.0% 4.9–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.8–7.0% 3.4–7.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 173 159–187 155–192 151–196 145–204
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 170 156–185 153–189 149–193 143–201
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 102–126 98–130 95–133 90–139
Alternative für Deutschland 94 91 80–102 76–105 74–109 70–114
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 69 59–79 57–82 55–85 50–90
Die Linke 69 53 44–62 42–65 41–67 0–73
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 32–48 30–50 29–52 26–57

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.1% 99.7%  
145 0.1% 99.5%  
146 0.1% 99.4%  
147 0.2% 99.3%  
148 0.3% 99.1%  
149 0.5% 98.8%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 0.5% 98%  
152 0.6% 97%  
153 0.6% 97%  
154 0.8% 96%  
155 0.9% 95%  
156 1.5% 95%  
157 1.5% 93%  
158 1.0% 92%  
159 2% 91%  
160 2% 89%  
161 2% 87%  
162 2% 85%  
163 4% 83%  
164 3% 79%  
165 2% 76%  
166 3% 74%  
167 3% 71%  
168 3% 69%  
169 3% 65%  
170 4% 62%  
171 6% 58%  
172 3% 53%  
173 3% 50% Median
174 3% 47%  
175 4% 44%  
176 3% 40%  
177 3% 38%  
178 4% 34%  
179 3% 31%  
180 2% 27%  
181 2% 25%  
182 3% 23%  
183 3% 20%  
184 2% 17%  
185 3% 16%  
186 2% 13%  
187 1.3% 11%  
188 1.0% 10%  
189 1.1% 9%  
190 2% 8%  
191 0.8% 6%  
192 0.9% 5%  
193 0.7% 4%  
194 0.8% 4%  
195 0.4% 3%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.5% 2%  
198 0.3% 2%  
199 0.2% 1.4%  
200 0.3% 1.1%  
201 0.2% 0.9%  
202 0.2% 0.7%  
203 0.1% 0.6%  
204 0.1% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.2% 99.4%  
145 0.2% 99.2%  
146 0.2% 99.0%  
147 0.5% 98.8%  
148 0.4% 98%  
149 0.6% 98%  
150 0.5% 97%  
151 0.8% 97%  
152 1.0% 96%  
153 1.1% 95%  
154 1.5% 94%  
155 1.2% 93%  
156 1.4% 91%  
157 2% 90%  
158 2% 88%  
159 2% 86%  
160 2% 84%  
161 3% 82%  
162 3% 79%  
163 3% 76%  
164 4% 73%  
165 3% 70%  
166 4% 66%  
167 3% 63%  
168 4% 60%  
169 4% 56%  
170 3% 51% Median
171 4% 48%  
172 3% 44%  
173 4% 41%  
174 4% 38%  
175 3% 34%  
176 3% 31%  
177 3% 28%  
178 3% 26%  
179 2% 22%  
180 3% 20%  
181 2% 17%  
182 2% 16%  
183 2% 14%  
184 1.2% 12%  
185 2% 11%  
186 0.8% 9%  
187 1.3% 8%  
188 1.2% 7%  
189 0.8% 5%  
190 0.7% 5%  
191 0.5% 4%  
192 0.7% 3%  
193 0.4% 3%  
194 0.6% 2%  
195 0.2% 2%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.3% 1.3%  
198 0.1% 1.0%  
199 0.2% 0.8%  
200 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
201 0.1% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 0.2% 99.4%  
92 0.3% 99.2%  
93 0.3% 98.9%  
94 0.5% 98.6%  
95 0.7% 98%  
96 0.7% 97%  
97 0.7% 97%  
98 1.3% 96%  
99 0.9% 95%  
100 2% 94%  
101 2% 92%  
102 2% 90%  
103 2% 88%  
104 3% 86%  
105 3% 83%  
106 4% 80%  
107 3% 77%  
108 4% 74%  
109 3% 70%  
110 4% 66%  
111 4% 62%  
112 4% 59%  
113 4% 55%  
114 4% 51% Median
115 4% 47%  
116 5% 43%  
117 4% 38%  
118 4% 34%  
119 4% 30%  
120 3% 26%  
121 3% 23%  
122 3% 20%  
123 2% 17%  
124 2% 15%  
125 2% 13%  
126 2% 11%  
127 1.1% 9%  
128 2% 8%  
129 1.2% 6%  
130 1.1% 5%  
131 0.9% 4%  
132 0.8% 3%  
133 0.5% 3%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.3% 2%  
136 0.3% 1.2%  
137 0.2% 0.9%  
138 0.1% 0.8%  
139 0.2% 0.6%  
140 0.1% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0.1% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.2% 99.6%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 0.6% 99.1%  
73 0.7% 98.5%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 1.0% 97%  
76 1.0% 96%  
77 0.9% 95%  
78 1.1% 94%  
79 2% 93%  
80 3% 91%  
81 3% 89%  
82 4% 85%  
83 4% 82%  
84 5% 78%  
85 4% 73%  
86 3% 69%  
87 3% 66%  
88 3% 63%  
89 4% 60%  
90 5% 56%  
91 6% 51% Median
92 7% 45%  
93 5% 38%  
94 5% 34% Last Result
95 4% 29%  
96 2% 25%  
97 2% 23%  
98 2% 21%  
99 3% 19%  
100 3% 16%  
101 3% 13%  
102 2% 10%  
103 2% 8%  
104 1.3% 6%  
105 1.0% 5%  
106 0.5% 4%  
107 0.5% 4%  
108 0.6% 3%  
109 0.5% 3%  
110 0.6% 2%  
111 0.4% 1.5%  
112 0.2% 1.1%  
113 0.3% 0.8%  
114 0.2% 0.6%  
115 0.1% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 0.1% 99.4%  
52 0.3% 99.3%  
53 0.8% 98.9%  
54 0.2% 98%  
55 2% 98%  
56 1.0% 96%  
57 1.2% 95%  
58 3% 94%  
59 0.7% 91%  
60 4% 90%  
61 3% 86%  
62 2% 83%  
63 6% 81%  
64 2% 75%  
65 6% 73%  
66 5% 66%  
67 1.2% 62%  
68 9% 60%  
69 4% 51% Median
70 5% 47%  
71 7% 43%  
72 3% 35%  
73 6% 33%  
74 3% 27%  
75 3% 23%  
76 5% 21%  
77 1.3% 16%  
78 3% 14%  
79 2% 11%  
80 1.0% 9% Last Result
81 2% 8%  
82 0.6% 5%  
83 1.2% 5%  
84 1.1% 4%  
85 0.3% 3%  
86 0.8% 2%  
87 0.3% 1.4%  
88 0.2% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.9%  
90 0.1% 0.5%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100%  
1 0% 99.2%  
2 0% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.2%  
4 0% 99.2%  
5 0% 99.2%  
6 0% 99.2%  
7 0% 99.2%  
8 0% 99.2%  
9 0% 99.2%  
10 0% 99.2%  
11 0% 99.2%  
12 0% 99.2%  
13 0% 99.2%  
14 0% 99.2%  
15 0% 99.2%  
16 0% 99.2%  
17 0% 99.2%  
18 0% 99.2%  
19 0% 99.2%  
20 0% 99.2%  
21 0% 99.2%  
22 0% 99.2%  
23 0% 99.2%  
24 0% 99.2%  
25 0% 99.2%  
26 0% 99.2%  
27 0% 99.2%  
28 0% 99.2%  
29 0% 99.2%  
30 0% 99.2%  
31 0% 99.2%  
32 0% 99.2%  
33 0% 99.2%  
34 0% 99.2%  
35 0% 99.2%  
36 0% 99.2%  
37 0% 99.2%  
38 0.3% 99.2%  
39 0.6% 98.9%  
40 0.5% 98%  
41 2% 98%  
42 2% 96%  
43 1.5% 94%  
44 3% 93%  
45 3% 90%  
46 2% 86%  
47 6% 84%  
48 4% 78%  
49 4% 75%  
50 8% 71%  
51 6% 63%  
52 3% 56%  
53 8% 53% Median
54 4% 45%  
55 6% 41%  
56 6% 36%  
57 3% 29%  
58 4% 26%  
59 5% 22%  
60 2% 17%  
61 3% 14%  
62 3% 12%  
63 1.2% 9%  
64 2% 8%  
65 1.4% 5%  
66 0.7% 4%  
67 0.9% 3%  
68 0.6% 2%  
69 0.4% 2% Last Result
70 0.4% 1.4%  
71 0.2% 0.9%  
72 0.2% 0.7%  
73 0.2% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.7%  
26 0.5% 99.6%  
27 0.4% 99.1%  
28 1.2% 98.7%  
29 0.9% 98%  
30 2% 97%  
31 2% 94%  
32 4% 93%  
33 3% 89%  
34 6% 86%  
35 4% 80%  
36 8% 76%  
37 5% 68%  
38 7% 63%  
39 6% 56% Median
40 8% 50%  
41 6% 42%  
42 7% 36%  
43 4% 29%  
44 4% 24%  
45 3% 20%  
46 4% 17% Last Result
47 2% 13%  
48 3% 10%  
49 1.5% 7%  
50 2% 6%  
51 1.1% 4%  
52 1.0% 3%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.6% 2%  
55 0.4% 1.1%  
56 0.2% 0.7%  
57 0.1% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 497 100% 481–512 477–517 472–521 465–535
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 452 100% 435–468 431–473 427–478 419–489
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 393 99.8% 376–409 371–414 367–419 359–429
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 383 98.6% 367–400 362–405 358–409 350–419
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 369 88% 353–386 348–391 344–396 336–407
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 356 54% 339–372 334–377 330–381 322–390
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 340 12% 323–356 318–361 313–365 302–373
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 324 1.1% 307–341 302–345 298–350 290–359
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 300 0% 284–317 281–322 277–327 269–336
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 287 0% 270–303 266–308 262–312 254–321
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 279 0% 263–296 258–300 254–305 247–314
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 183 0% 168–197 164–201 160–205 154–212
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 167 0% 153–181 148–185 144–189 125–196

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.8%  
463 0.1% 99.7%  
464 0.1% 99.7%  
465 0.1% 99.5%  
466 0.1% 99.4% Last Result
467 0.2% 99.3%  
468 0.2% 99.1%  
469 0.2% 98.9%  
470 0.4% 98.7%  
471 0.3% 98%  
472 0.6% 98%  
473 0.4% 97%  
474 0.5% 97%  
475 0.5% 97%  
476 0.9% 96%  
477 0.8% 95%  
478 1.1% 94%  
479 1.2% 93%  
480 1.1% 92%  
481 1.4% 91%  
482 1.3% 90%  
483 2% 88%  
484 2% 86%  
485 2% 84%  
486 2% 82%  
487 3% 80%  
488 2% 77%  
489 3% 75%  
490 3% 73%  
491 4% 70%  
492 3% 66%  
493 3% 63%  
494 3% 60%  
495 3% 57%  
496 3% 54% Median
497 5% 51%  
498 4% 46%  
499 2% 42%  
500 3% 40%  
501 2% 37%  
502 2% 34%  
503 3% 32%  
504 4% 29%  
505 3% 25%  
506 3% 23%  
507 2% 20%  
508 2% 18%  
509 2% 16%  
510 2% 15%  
511 2% 13%  
512 2% 11%  
513 1.1% 9%  
514 1.1% 8%  
515 0.8% 7%  
516 0.8% 6%  
517 0.8% 5%  
518 0.9% 5%  
519 0.5% 4%  
520 0.5% 3%  
521 0.3% 3%  
522 0.3% 2%  
523 0.3% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.3% 1.5%  
526 0.1% 1.2%  
527 0.1% 1.1%  
528 0.1% 1.0%  
529 0.1% 0.9%  
530 0.1% 0.8%  
531 0.1% 0.7%  
532 0.1% 0.6%  
533 0% 0.6%  
534 0% 0.5%  
535 0% 0.5%  
536 0% 0.5%  
537 0.1% 0.4%  
538 0% 0.3%  
539 0% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.8%  
417 0.1% 99.7%  
418 0.1% 99.6%  
419 0.1% 99.6%  
420 0.1% 99.4%  
421 0.2% 99.3%  
422 0.2% 99.2%  
423 0.3% 99.0%  
424 0.2% 98.7%  
425 0.4% 98%  
426 0.3% 98%  
427 0.4% 98%  
428 0.6% 97%  
429 0.5% 97%  
430 0.8% 96%  
431 0.8% 96%  
432 0.9% 95%  
433 1.1% 94%  
434 1.2% 93%  
435 2% 92%  
436 1.1% 90%  
437 2% 89%  
438 2% 87%  
439 2% 85%  
440 2% 84%  
441 2% 82%  
442 3% 80%  
443 3% 77%  
444 2% 74%  
445 2% 72%  
446 3% 70%  
447 3% 67%  
448 3% 64%  
449 2% 61%  
450 4% 59%  
451 4% 55% Median
452 2% 51%  
453 3% 49%  
454 4% 45%  
455 3% 42%  
456 2% 38%  
457 3% 36%  
458 3% 33%  
459 4% 31%  
460 2% 27%  
461 3% 25%  
462 2% 22%  
463 2% 20%  
464 3% 18%  
465 2% 16%  
466 1.4% 14%  
467 1.4% 12%  
468 2% 11%  
469 1.1% 9%  
470 1.1% 8%  
471 0.5% 7%  
472 0.9% 6%  
473 0.9% 6%  
474 0.6% 5%  
475 0.5% 4%  
476 0.5% 4%  
477 0.5% 3%  
478 0.4% 3%  
479 0.3% 2%  
480 0.3% 2%  
481 0.2% 2%  
482 0.2% 1.4%  
483 0.2% 1.2%  
484 0.1% 1.0%  
485 0.1% 0.9%  
486 0.1% 0.8%  
487 0.1% 0.7%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0% 0.5%  
491 0% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.4%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0.1% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.8% Majority
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0.1% 99.5%  
360 0.1% 99.4%  
361 0.1% 99.3%  
362 0.2% 99.2%  
363 0.2% 99.0%  
364 0.3% 98.7%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.4% 98%  
367 0.6% 98%  
368 0.4% 97%  
369 0.6% 97%  
370 0.8% 96%  
371 0.5% 95%  
372 0.9% 95%  
373 1.0% 94%  
374 0.9% 93%  
375 1.3% 92%  
376 1.3% 91%  
377 2% 89%  
378 1.5% 88%  
379 2% 86%  
380 2% 85%  
381 2% 83%  
382 2% 80%  
383 3% 79%  
384 3% 76%  
385 2% 73%  
386 3% 71%  
387 3% 68%  
388 2% 65%  
389 3% 63%  
390 3% 60%  
391 4% 57%  
392 2% 53% Median
393 3% 51%  
394 3% 48%  
395 4% 45%  
396 3% 41%  
397 3% 38%  
398 3% 36%  
399 3% 33%  
400 2% 30%  
401 3% 28%  
402 2% 25%  
403 2% 23%  
404 2% 21%  
405 2% 18%  
406 2% 16%  
407 2% 14%  
408 1.3% 13%  
409 1.4% 11%  
410 1.3% 10%  
411 1.1% 9%  
412 1.1% 8%  
413 0.8% 6%  
414 0.8% 6%  
415 0.5% 5%  
416 0.8% 4%  
417 0.5% 4%  
418 0.4% 3%  
419 0.4% 3%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.3% 2%  
422 0.3% 2%  
423 0.2% 1.4%  
424 0.2% 1.2%  
425 0.2% 1.1%  
426 0.2% 0.9%  
427 0.1% 0.7%  
428 0.1% 0.6%  
429 0.1% 0.5%  
430 0% 0.5%  
431 0.1% 0.4%  
432 0% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0.1% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.1% 99.5%  
351 0.1% 99.4%  
352 0.2% 99.3%  
353 0.2% 99.1%  
354 0.3% 98.9%  
355 0.3% 98.6% Majority
356 0.3% 98%  
357 0.4% 98%  
358 0.5% 98%  
359 0.6% 97%  
360 0.7% 97%  
361 0.7% 96%  
362 1.0% 95%  
363 0.8% 94%  
364 0.9% 93%  
365 1.2% 92%  
366 1.1% 91%  
367 2% 90%  
368 2% 88%  
369 1.4% 87%  
370 2% 85%  
371 2% 83%  
372 3% 81%  
373 2% 78%  
374 2% 76%  
375 2% 74%  
376 3% 72%  
377 3% 69%  
378 3% 66%  
379 2% 63%  
380 4% 61%  
381 4% 58%  
382 3% 54% Median
383 3% 50%  
384 3% 47%  
385 3% 44%  
386 3% 41%  
387 3% 38%  
388 2% 36%  
389 3% 33%  
390 3% 30%  
391 3% 28%  
392 2% 25%  
393 2% 23%  
394 2% 21%  
395 2% 19%  
396 2% 17%  
397 2% 15%  
398 2% 13%  
399 1.4% 12%  
400 1.2% 10%  
401 1.1% 9%  
402 1.1% 8%  
403 0.9% 7%  
404 0.5% 6%  
405 1.0% 5%  
406 0.6% 4%  
407 0.6% 4%  
408 0.5% 3%  
409 0.4% 3%  
410 0.3% 2%  
411 0.2% 2%  
412 0.3% 2%  
413 0.2% 2%  
414 0.2% 1.3%  
415 0.2% 1.1%  
416 0.2% 0.9%  
417 0.1% 0.7%  
418 0.1% 0.7%  
419 0.1% 0.5%  
420 0.1% 0.4%  
421 0% 0.4%  
422 0.1% 0.3%  
423 0% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.7%  
335 0.1% 99.6%  
336 0.1% 99.5%  
337 0.2% 99.4%  
338 0.2% 99.3%  
339 0.2% 99.1%  
340 0.3% 98.9%  
341 0.3% 98.6%  
342 0.3% 98%  
343 0.5% 98%  
344 0.3% 98%  
345 0.6% 97%  
346 0.6% 97%  
347 0.6% 96%  
348 0.7% 96%  
349 0.8% 95%  
350 0.9% 94%  
351 0.8% 93%  
352 1.1% 92%  
353 2% 91%  
354 1.3% 89%  
355 2% 88% Majority
356 2% 86%  
357 2% 84%  
358 2% 82%  
359 3% 80%  
360 3% 78%  
361 2% 75%  
362 4% 73%  
363 2% 69%  
364 4% 67%  
365 3% 63%  
366 2% 60%  
367 4% 58%  
368 3% 54%  
369 3% 51% Median
370 3% 49%  
371 4% 46%  
372 3% 42%  
373 2% 39%  
374 2% 37%  
375 3% 35%  
376 2% 32%  
377 2% 30%  
378 3% 28%  
379 2% 25%  
380 2% 23%  
381 2% 21%  
382 2% 19%  
383 2% 17%  
384 1.2% 15%  
385 2% 13%  
386 2% 12%  
387 1.1% 10%  
388 1.3% 9%  
389 0.9% 7%  
390 0.8% 6%  
391 0.9% 6%  
392 0.7% 5%  
393 0.5% 4%  
394 0.5% 3%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.3% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.3% 2%  
400 0.2% 1.4%  
401 0.2% 1.2%  
402 0.1% 1.0%  
403 0.1% 0.9%  
404 0.1% 0.8%  
405 0.1% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0% 0.4%  
410 0% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0.1% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0.1% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.8%  
318 0% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.2% 99.5%  
323 0.1% 99.3%  
324 0.1% 99.2%  
325 0.1% 99.0%  
326 0.2% 98.9%  
327 0.4% 98.7%  
328 0.2% 98%  
329 0.4% 98%  
330 0.5% 98%  
331 0.3% 97%  
332 0.7% 97%  
333 0.9% 96%  
334 0.6% 95%  
335 0.7% 95%  
336 1.1% 94%  
337 0.8% 93%  
338 2% 92%  
339 0.9% 90%  
340 2% 90%  
341 1.0% 88%  
342 1.3% 87%  
343 2% 85%  
344 2% 83%  
345 2% 81%  
346 2% 79%  
347 2% 76%  
348 3% 75%  
349 3% 72%  
350 2% 69%  
351 3% 66%  
352 2% 63%  
353 3% 61%  
354 4% 59%  
355 2% 54% Majority
356 4% 52% Median
357 3% 48%  
358 2% 45%  
359 4% 43%  
360 3% 39%  
361 3% 36%  
362 4% 33%  
363 2% 29%  
364 3% 28%  
365 3% 25%  
366 0.9% 22%  
367 4% 21%  
368 2% 17%  
369 1.0% 16%  
370 3% 15%  
371 0.8% 12%  
372 2% 11%  
373 2% 9%  
374 0.4% 8%  
375 1.4% 7%  
376 0.6% 6%  
377 0.7% 5%  
378 0.9% 4%  
379 0.4% 4%  
380 0.5% 3%  
381 0.5% 3%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.5% 2%  
384 0.3% 2%  
385 0.1% 1.3%  
386 0.2% 1.2%  
387 0.1% 0.9%  
388 0.2% 0.8%  
389 0.2% 0.7%  
390 0% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0% 99.8%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0% 99.7%  
300 0% 99.7%  
301 0.1% 99.6%  
302 0.1% 99.5%  
303 0.1% 99.5%  
304 0.1% 99.4%  
305 0.1% 99.3%  
306 0.1% 99.2%  
307 0.1% 99.1%  
308 0.2% 99.0%  
309 0.2% 98.8%  
310 0.3% 98.6%  
311 0.2% 98%  
312 0.3% 98%  
313 0.4% 98%  
314 0.4% 97%  
315 0.5% 97%  
316 0.5% 97%  
317 0.7% 96%  
318 0.9% 95%  
319 0.8% 94%  
320 0.9% 94%  
321 1.3% 93%  
322 1.1% 91%  
323 2% 90%  
324 2% 88%  
325 1.2% 87%  
326 2% 85%  
327 2% 83%  
328 2% 81%  
329 2% 79%  
330 2% 77%  
331 3% 75%  
332 2% 72%  
333 2% 70%  
334 3% 68%  
335 2% 65%  
336 2% 63%  
337 3% 61%  
338 4% 58%  
339 3% 54%  
340 3% 51% Median
341 3% 49%  
342 4% 46%  
343 2% 42%  
344 3% 40%  
345 4% 37%  
346 2% 33%  
347 4% 31%  
348 2% 27%  
349 3% 25%  
350 3% 22%  
351 2% 20%  
352 2% 18%  
353 2% 16%  
354 2% 14%  
355 1.3% 12% Majority
356 2% 11%  
357 1.1% 9%  
358 0.8% 8%  
359 0.9% 7%  
360 0.8% 6%  
361 0.7% 5%  
362 0.6% 4%  
363 0.6% 4%  
364 0.6% 3%  
365 0.3% 3%  
366 0.5% 2%  
367 0.3% 2%  
368 0.3% 2%  
369 0.3% 1.4%  
370 0.2% 1.1%  
371 0.2% 0.9%  
372 0.2% 0.7%  
373 0.1% 0.6%  
374 0.1% 0.5%  
375 0.1% 0.4%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0.1% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.5%  
292 0.3% 99.4%  
293 0.2% 99.1%  
294 0.1% 98.9%  
295 0.5% 98.9%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 0.1% 98%  
298 0.4% 98%  
299 0.8% 97%  
300 0.3% 97%  
301 0.6% 96%  
302 1.2% 96%  
303 0.8% 95%  
304 0.4% 94%  
305 2% 93%  
306 2% 92%  
307 0.5% 90%  
308 2% 90%  
309 2% 88%  
310 0.6% 85%  
311 2% 85%  
312 3% 83%  
313 1.4% 79%  
314 2% 78%  
315 4% 76%  
316 2% 72%  
317 1.3% 71%  
318 5% 69%  
319 3% 65%  
320 1.1% 62%  
321 4% 61%  
322 4% 57%  
323 2% 53% Median
324 3% 51%  
325 4% 48%  
326 3% 44%  
327 2% 41%  
328 5% 40%  
329 2% 35%  
330 1.2% 32%  
331 4% 31%  
332 3% 27%  
333 1.0% 24%  
334 3% 23%  
335 3% 20%  
336 0.6% 17%  
337 2% 17%  
338 3% 15%  
339 0.8% 12%  
340 1.1% 11%  
341 2% 10%  
342 0.9% 8%  
343 0.6% 8%  
344 1.2% 7%  
345 0.9% 6%  
346 0.4% 5%  
347 0.8% 4%  
348 0.6% 4%  
349 0.3% 3%  
350 0.5% 3%  
351 0.4% 2%  
352 0.2% 2%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.3% 1.4%  
355 0.1% 1.1% Majority
356 0.1% 1.0%  
357 0.2% 0.9%  
358 0.1% 0.7%  
359 0.1% 0.6%  
360 0.1% 0.5%  
361 0.1% 0.4%  
362 0% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.3%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0.1% 99.5%  
270 0.1% 99.4%  
271 0.2% 99.3%  
272 0.3% 99.1%  
273 0.3% 98.9%  
274 0.2% 98.6%  
275 0.4% 98%  
276 0.3% 98%  
277 0.7% 98%  
278 0.5% 97%  
279 0.8% 96%  
280 0.6% 96%  
281 0.9% 95%  
282 1.3% 94%  
283 2% 93%  
284 1.5% 91%  
285 1.3% 90%  
286 2% 89%  
287 2% 86%  
288 2% 84%  
289 2% 83%  
290 2% 81%  
291 3% 79%  
292 3% 76%  
293 3% 73%  
294 3% 70%  
295 3% 67%  
296 3% 64%  
297 4% 61%  
298 3% 57%  
299 3% 54%  
300 3% 52% Median
301 4% 49%  
302 4% 45%  
303 3% 42%  
304 3% 39%  
305 2% 36%  
306 3% 34%  
307 3% 31%  
308 2% 28%  
309 2% 26%  
310 3% 24%  
311 2% 21%  
312 2% 19%  
313 2% 17%  
314 2% 15%  
315 0.9% 14%  
316 2% 13%  
317 0.9% 10%  
318 1.3% 9%  
319 0.8% 8%  
320 1.1% 7%  
321 0.6% 6%  
322 0.8% 6%  
323 0.6% 5%  
324 0.7% 4%  
325 0.4% 3%  
326 0.5% 3%  
327 0.4% 3%  
328 0.3% 2%  
329 0.3% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.1% 1.3%  
332 0.1% 1.2%  
333 0.2% 1.0%  
334 0.2% 0.8%  
335 0.1% 0.7%  
336 0.1% 0.6%  
337 0.1% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.4%  
339 0.1% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.3% Last Result
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.8%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0.1% 99.7%  
253 0.1% 99.6%  
254 0.1% 99.5%  
255 0.2% 99.4%  
256 0.2% 99.3%  
257 0.2% 99.1%  
258 0.2% 98.9%  
259 0.3% 98.7%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0.3% 98%  
262 0.6% 98%  
263 0.6% 97%  
264 0.5% 97%  
265 1.1% 96%  
266 0.9% 95%  
267 1.0% 94%  
268 0.8% 93%  
269 1.5% 92%  
270 2% 91%  
271 1.2% 89%  
272 2% 88%  
273 2% 86%  
274 2% 84%  
275 2% 82%  
276 2% 80%  
277 2% 78%  
278 3% 76%  
279 2% 73%  
280 3% 71%  
281 2% 68%  
282 2% 66%  
283 3% 63%  
284 3% 60%  
285 2% 57%  
286 4% 55%  
287 3% 51% Median
288 4% 48%  
289 3% 44%  
290 4% 42%  
291 3% 38%  
292 2% 35%  
293 2% 33%  
294 4% 31%  
295 2% 27%  
296 3% 25%  
297 3% 22%  
298 2% 20%  
299 2% 17%  
300 1.4% 15%  
301 2% 14%  
302 2% 12%  
303 0.6% 10%  
304 2% 10%  
305 0.9% 8%  
306 0.8% 7%  
307 1.1% 6%  
308 0.4% 5%  
309 0.8% 5%  
310 0.5% 4%  
311 0.2% 3%  
312 0.8% 3%  
313 0.2% 2%  
314 0.4% 2%  
315 0.3% 2%  
316 0.1% 1.3%  
317 0.3% 1.2%  
318 0.2% 0.9%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.2% 0.7%  
321 0.1% 0.5%  
322 0.1% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.7%  
246 0.1% 99.6%  
247 0.2% 99.5%  
248 0.1% 99.3%  
249 0.1% 99.2%  
250 0.2% 99.0%  
251 0.3% 98.8%  
252 0.3% 98%  
253 0.3% 98%  
254 0.6% 98%  
255 0.5% 97%  
256 0.4% 97%  
257 0.9% 96%  
258 0.8% 96%  
259 0.6% 95%  
260 0.9% 94%  
261 2% 93%  
262 1.1% 91%  
263 1.3% 90%  
264 1.2% 89%  
265 3% 88%  
266 1.4% 85%  
267 2% 84%  
268 2% 82%  
269 3% 79%  
270 2% 77%  
271 2% 75%  
272 4% 73%  
273 3% 69%  
274 3% 66%  
275 3% 63%  
276 3% 60%  
277 3% 57%  
278 3% 54% Median
279 3% 51%  
280 3% 48%  
281 3% 44%  
282 3% 42%  
283 2% 39%  
284 3% 36%  
285 3% 33%  
286 3% 31%  
287 2% 28%  
288 2% 26%  
289 2% 23%  
290 2% 21%  
291 3% 19%  
292 2% 16%  
293 2% 15%  
294 1.4% 13%  
295 1.3% 12%  
296 2% 10%  
297 1.0% 9%  
298 1.5% 8%  
299 0.7% 6%  
300 0.8% 6%  
301 0.5% 5%  
302 0.7% 4%  
303 0.7% 4%  
304 0.4% 3%  
305 0.4% 3%  
306 0.2% 2%  
307 0.4% 2%  
308 0.2% 2%  
309 0.2% 1.3%  
310 0.1% 1.1%  
311 0.2% 1.0%  
312 0.1% 0.7%  
313 0.1% 0.7%  
314 0.1% 0.5%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0.1% 0.4%  
317 0% 0.3%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.7%  
153 0.1% 99.6%  
154 0.2% 99.5%  
155 0.1% 99.3%  
156 0.2% 99.2%  
157 0.4% 99.0%  
158 0.2% 98.6%  
159 0.5% 98%  
160 0.6% 98%  
161 0.5% 97%  
162 0.6% 97%  
163 0.9% 96%  
164 0.7% 95%  
165 1.2% 95%  
166 1.1% 94%  
167 1.4% 92%  
168 3% 91%  
169 0.7% 88%  
170 2% 88%  
171 2% 85%  
172 1.3% 83%  
173 3% 82%  
174 3% 79%  
175 1.3% 76%  
176 4% 75%  
177 3% 71%  
178 2% 68%  
179 4% 66%  
180 4% 63%  
181 2% 59%  
182 5% 57%  
183 3% 52% Median
184 3% 49%  
185 6% 47%  
186 3% 41%  
187 4% 38%  
188 4% 34%  
189 2% 30%  
190 5% 28%  
191 3% 24%  
192 2% 21%  
193 3% 19%  
194 2% 16%  
195 1.2% 14%  
196 3% 13%  
197 1.3% 10%  
198 0.9% 9%  
199 2% 8%  
200 0.6% 6%  
201 0.8% 5%  
202 1.1% 4%  
203 0.3% 3%  
204 0.6% 3%  
205 0.7% 3%  
206 0.2% 2%  
207 0.4% 2%  
208 0.3% 1.3%  
209 0.1% 1.0%  
210 0.2% 0.9%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0.1% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.5%  
125 0% 99.5%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0.1% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.4%  
129 0% 99.4%  
130 0% 99.4%  
131 0% 99.3%  
132 0% 99.3%  
133 0% 99.3%  
134 0% 99.2%  
135 0.1% 99.2%  
136 0% 99.1%  
137 0.1% 99.1%  
138 0.1% 99.0%  
139 0.1% 98.9%  
140 0.3% 98.8%  
141 0.2% 98%  
142 0.2% 98%  
143 0.2% 98%  
144 0.4% 98%  
145 0.5% 97%  
146 0.8% 97%  
147 0.6% 96%  
148 1.0% 96%  
149 0.6% 95%  
150 0.7% 94%  
151 2% 93%  
152 2% 92%  
153 3% 90%  
154 1.5% 87%  
155 1.1% 86%  
156 2% 85%  
157 3% 83%  
158 3% 80%  
159 4% 77%  
160 3% 74%  
161 3% 71%  
162 2% 68%  
163 4% 66%  
164 4% 62%  
165 5% 58%  
166 3% 53%  
167 4% 50% Median
168 3% 46%  
169 3% 43%  
170 4% 40%  
171 3% 36%  
172 4% 33%  
173 2% 29%  
174 3% 27%  
175 2% 24%  
176 3% 22%  
177 2% 19%  
178 2% 17%  
179 2% 14%  
180 2% 12%  
181 2% 11%  
182 1.2% 9%  
183 2% 8%  
184 1.0% 6%  
185 1.1% 5%  
186 0.6% 4%  
187 0.4% 4%  
188 0.7% 3%  
189 0.5% 3%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.4% 2%  
192 0.2% 1.3%  
193 0.2% 1.1%  
194 0.2% 0.9%  
195 0.1% 0.7%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations