Opinion Poll by Forsa, 23–29 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.0% 21.8–24.3% 21.5–24.6% 21.2–24.9% 20.6–25.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.9% 20.8–23.2% 20.4–23.5% 20.1–23.8% 19.6–24.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.7% 13.0–17.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.2–12.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–13.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 175 167–183 164–187 162–190 157–194
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 166 159–174 155–178 152–180 149–187
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 106–121 104–124 102–126 99–130
Alternative für Deutschland 94 84 77–91 75–93 74–95 71–98
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 76 70–83 68–85 66–87 64–90
Die Linke 69 55 49–59 46–61 46–63 42–65
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 34–44 33–45 32–46 30–49

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.2% 99.7%  
157 0.2% 99.6%  
158 0.3% 99.4%  
159 0.3% 99.1%  
160 0.4% 98.8%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.9% 98%  
163 0.9% 97%  
164 1.2% 96%  
165 2% 95%  
166 2% 93%  
167 3% 91%  
168 4% 88%  
169 4% 84%  
170 4% 81%  
171 8% 76%  
172 5% 69%  
173 5% 64%  
174 6% 60%  
175 6% 54% Median
176 6% 48%  
177 8% 42%  
178 5% 34%  
179 6% 28%  
180 5% 23%  
181 3% 18%  
182 3% 15%  
183 2% 12%  
184 2% 10%  
185 2% 8%  
186 2% 7%  
187 1.1% 5%  
188 0.7% 4%  
189 0.9% 3%  
190 0.6% 3%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.6% 1.5%  
193 0.2% 0.9%  
194 0.2% 0.7%  
195 0.2% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.8%  
149 0.3% 99.6%  
150 0.5% 99.3%  
151 0.8% 98.8%  
152 0.7% 98%  
153 1.1% 97%  
154 0.9% 96%  
155 1.1% 95%  
156 1.1% 94%  
157 1.3% 93%  
158 1.0% 92%  
159 1.3% 91%  
160 2% 90%  
161 4% 88%  
162 4% 84%  
163 6% 79%  
164 7% 73%  
165 11% 66%  
166 8% 55% Median
167 9% 48%  
168 7% 39%  
169 5% 32%  
170 5% 27%  
171 4% 22%  
172 4% 18%  
173 3% 14%  
174 2% 12%  
175 2% 10%  
176 2% 8%  
177 1.3% 6%  
178 1.2% 5%  
179 1.0% 4%  
180 0.5% 3%  
181 0.5% 2%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.3% 1.5%  
184 0.3% 1.2%  
185 0.2% 0.9%  
186 0.2% 0.7%  
187 0.2% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.6% 99.5%  
101 0.5% 98.9%  
102 1.0% 98%  
103 1.5% 97%  
104 2% 96%  
105 2% 94%  
106 3% 92%  
107 3% 89%  
108 3% 86%  
109 8% 84%  
110 5% 76%  
111 5% 71%  
112 9% 66%  
113 6% 57%  
114 7% 51% Median
115 6% 44%  
116 6% 38%  
117 4% 32%  
118 5% 27%  
119 4% 22%  
120 3% 18%  
121 5% 15%  
122 2% 10%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 6%  
125 1.0% 4%  
126 0.9% 3%  
127 0.6% 2%  
128 0.5% 2%  
129 0.3% 1.0%  
130 0.3% 0.8%  
131 0.2% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.6%  
72 0.6% 99.3%  
73 1.0% 98.7%  
74 1.3% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 94%  
77 2% 91%  
78 4% 89%  
79 5% 85%  
80 5% 80%  
81 6% 75%  
82 8% 69%  
83 10% 61%  
84 6% 52% Median
85 8% 45%  
86 6% 37%  
87 6% 31%  
88 5% 25%  
89 5% 21%  
90 3% 15%  
91 3% 12%  
92 3% 9%  
93 2% 6%  
94 1.1% 4% Last Result
95 1.1% 3%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 0.4% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.4% 99.5%  
65 0.7% 99.1%  
66 0.9% 98%  
67 1.4% 97%  
68 3% 96%  
69 3% 93%  
70 5% 91%  
71 4% 86%  
72 7% 82%  
73 7% 76%  
74 6% 69%  
75 8% 63%  
76 7% 55% Median
77 8% 47%  
78 8% 39%  
79 6% 31%  
80 6% 26% Last Result
81 5% 20%  
82 4% 15%  
83 3% 11%  
84 2% 8%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.1% 4%  
87 1.0% 3%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.1%  
90 0.2% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.4%  
44 0.4% 99.4%  
45 0.6% 99.0%  
46 5% 98%  
47 2% 94%  
48 1.0% 92%  
49 2% 91%  
50 11% 89%  
51 13% 78%  
52 2% 65%  
53 3% 63%  
54 6% 60%  
55 24% 54% Median
56 4% 29%  
57 2% 25%  
58 2% 23%  
59 12% 21%  
60 4% 9%  
61 1.1% 5%  
62 0.3% 4%  
63 2% 4%  
64 1.4% 2%  
65 0.2% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.8%  
30 0.7% 99.5%  
31 1.3% 98.8%  
32 2% 98%  
33 3% 96%  
34 4% 93%  
35 4% 89%  
36 6% 85%  
37 7% 79%  
38 8% 72%  
39 12% 64%  
40 13% 52% Median
41 10% 39%  
42 10% 29%  
43 8% 19%  
44 5% 11%  
45 3% 6%  
46 1.5% 3% Last Result
47 0.8% 2%  
48 0.5% 1.1%  
49 0.3% 0.7%  
50 0.1% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 495 100% 485–504 482–507 480–510 475–514
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 459 100% 447–466 446–472 442–473 436–476
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 396 100% 386–406 383–409 380–412 375–417
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 381 99.9% 370–391 368–395 365–397 359–402
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 365 94% 357–374 352–380 348–383 343–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 366 93% 356–375 353–379 349–382 344–387
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 343 7% 334–353 330–356 327–360 322–365
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 320 0% 310–330 307–333 304–336 298–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 289 0% 281–298 277–303 273–306 268–311
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 290 0% 280–299 277–302 273–305 268–311
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 282 0% 273–291 269–294 266–298 261–304
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 190 0% 181–199 178–202 176–205 172–209
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 168 0% 159–177 157–180 154–182 150–186

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0.1% 99.9%  
472 0.1% 99.9%  
473 0.1% 99.8%  
474 0.1% 99.7%  
475 0.2% 99.6%  
476 0.3% 99.4%  
477 0.4% 99.1%  
478 0.3% 98.7%  
479 0.8% 98%  
480 0.8% 98%  
481 1.0% 97%  
482 1.1% 96%  
483 1.3% 95%  
484 2% 93%  
485 2% 91%  
486 4% 89%  
487 3% 85%  
488 3% 82%  
489 4% 80%  
490 3% 76%  
491 6% 72%  
492 6% 67%  
493 5% 61%  
494 5% 56%  
495 4% 51% Median
496 6% 47%  
497 4% 41%  
498 5% 37%  
499 4% 32%  
500 5% 28%  
501 4% 23%  
502 3% 18%  
503 3% 15%  
504 3% 12%  
505 2% 10%  
506 2% 8%  
507 2% 6%  
508 1.1% 5%  
509 1.0% 4%  
510 0.7% 3%  
511 0.5% 2%  
512 0.4% 1.5%  
513 0.3% 1.0%  
514 0.2% 0.7%  
515 0.2% 0.5%  
516 0.1% 0.3%  
517 0.1% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.9%  
435 0.2% 99.8%  
436 0.3% 99.6%  
437 0.3% 99.3%  
438 0.3% 99.0%  
439 0.3% 98.7%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.6% 98%  
442 0.5% 98%  
443 0.5% 97%  
444 0.7% 97%  
445 0.8% 96%  
446 2% 95%  
447 3% 93%  
448 6% 89%  
449 5% 84%  
450 4% 78%  
451 3% 74%  
452 2% 71%  
453 2% 69%  
454 3% 66%  
455 2% 63%  
456 2% 61%  
457 2% 59% Median
458 5% 57%  
459 7% 52%  
460 10% 45%  
461 9% 35%  
462 8% 26%  
463 4% 18%  
464 2% 14%  
465 2% 12%  
466 1.3% 11%  
467 0.9% 9%  
468 0.6% 8%  
469 0.8% 8%  
470 0.6% 7%  
471 1.1% 7%  
472 2% 5%  
473 1.4% 4%  
474 1.2% 2%  
475 0.5% 1.1%  
476 0.3% 0.6%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0.1% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.2% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.5%  
376 0.2% 99.4%  
377 0.4% 99.2%  
378 0.4% 98.8%  
379 0.5% 98%  
380 0.7% 98%  
381 1.0% 97%  
382 0.9% 96%  
383 2% 95%  
384 1.3% 93%  
385 1.4% 92%  
386 2% 91%  
387 3% 89%  
388 3% 86%  
389 3% 83%  
390 3% 80%  
391 7% 77%  
392 4% 70%  
393 4% 65%  
394 5% 61%  
395 5% 56%  
396 5% 51% Median
397 4% 47%  
398 6% 42%  
399 4% 37%  
400 4% 33%  
401 5% 28%  
402 4% 23%  
403 2% 20%  
404 3% 17%  
405 2% 14%  
406 2% 12%  
407 2% 9%  
408 2% 8%  
409 1.2% 6%  
410 0.7% 4%  
411 1.1% 4%  
412 0.7% 3%  
413 0.4% 2%  
414 0.4% 2%  
415 0.3% 1.1%  
416 0.2% 0.9%  
417 0.2% 0.7%  
418 0.2% 0.5%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0.1% 0.2%  
421 0.1% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0.1% 99.9%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.2% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.5%  
361 0.2% 99.4%  
362 0.4% 99.1%  
363 0.4% 98.7%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.6% 98%  
366 1.0% 97%  
367 1.0% 96%  
368 1.2% 95%  
369 2% 94%  
370 2% 92%  
371 3% 90%  
372 3% 87%  
373 3% 84%  
374 4% 81%  
375 4% 78%  
376 3% 74%  
377 5% 71%  
378 4% 66%  
379 4% 62%  
380 6% 58%  
381 6% 52% Median
382 5% 46%  
383 4% 42%  
384 4% 38%  
385 5% 34%  
386 4% 30%  
387 5% 25%  
388 4% 20%  
389 2% 16%  
390 3% 14%  
391 2% 11%  
392 1.2% 9%  
393 2% 8%  
394 1.0% 6%  
395 0.9% 5%  
396 1.3% 4%  
397 0.5% 3%  
398 0.5% 2%  
399 0.5% 2%  
400 0.4% 1.4%  
401 0.4% 1.0%  
402 0.2% 0.7%  
403 0.2% 0.4%  
404 0.1% 0.3%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0.1% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.2% 99.6%  
344 0.3% 99.4%  
345 0.3% 99.1%  
346 0.4% 98.8%  
347 0.6% 98%  
348 0.4% 98%  
349 0.4% 97%  
350 0.6% 97%  
351 0.8% 96%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 0.5% 95%  
354 0.8% 94%  
355 1.0% 94% Majority
356 1.4% 93%  
357 2% 91%  
358 4% 89%  
359 3% 86%  
360 4% 83%  
361 5% 79%  
362 8% 74%  
363 8% 66%  
364 7% 59%  
365 4% 51% Median
366 9% 47%  
367 8% 39%  
368 6% 31%  
369 5% 25%  
370 2% 20%  
371 3% 18%  
372 2% 15%  
373 2% 12%  
374 1.3% 11%  
375 0.9% 9%  
376 0.7% 9%  
377 0.8% 8%  
378 1.2% 7%  
379 0.9% 6%  
380 0.8% 5%  
381 0.9% 4%  
382 0.5% 3%  
383 0.7% 3%  
384 0.6% 2%  
385 0.4% 1.5%  
386 0.3% 1.0%  
387 0.3% 0.7%  
388 0.2% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.2% 99.6%  
345 0.1% 99.4%  
346 0.4% 99.2%  
347 0.4% 98.8%  
348 0.4% 98%  
349 0.6% 98%  
350 0.7% 97%  
351 0.7% 97%  
352 1.0% 96%  
353 1.0% 95%  
354 1.3% 94%  
355 1.3% 93% Majority
356 2% 92%  
357 2% 89%  
358 2% 87%  
359 3% 85%  
360 3% 82%  
361 5% 79%  
362 4% 75%  
363 7% 71%  
364 4% 64%  
365 6% 60%  
366 4% 54% Median
367 8% 49%  
368 4% 41%  
369 6% 37%  
370 4% 31%  
371 4% 27%  
372 5% 23%  
373 3% 18%  
374 2% 15%  
375 2% 12%  
376 2% 10%  
377 1.0% 7%  
378 1.1% 6%  
379 1.3% 5%  
380 0.8% 4%  
381 0.5% 3%  
382 0.6% 3%  
383 0.6% 2%  
384 0.2% 2%  
385 0.3% 1.3%  
386 0.3% 1.0%  
387 0.2% 0.7%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.2% 99.5%  
323 0.3% 99.3%  
324 0.3% 99.0%  
325 0.2% 98.7%  
326 0.6% 98%  
327 0.6% 98%  
328 0.5% 97%  
329 0.8% 97%  
330 1.3% 96%  
331 1.1% 95%  
332 1.0% 94%  
333 2% 93%  
334 2% 90%  
335 2% 88%  
336 3% 85%  
337 5% 82%  
338 4% 77%  
339 4% 73%  
340 6% 69%  
341 4% 63%  
342 8% 59%  
343 4% 51%  
344 6% 46% Median
345 4% 40%  
346 7% 36%  
347 4% 29%  
348 5% 25%  
349 3% 21%  
350 3% 18%  
351 2% 15%  
352 2% 13%  
353 2% 11%  
354 1.3% 8%  
355 1.3% 7% Majority
356 1.0% 6%  
357 1.0% 5%  
358 0.7% 4%  
359 0.7% 3%  
360 0.6% 3%  
361 0.4% 2%  
362 0.4% 2%  
363 0.4% 1.2%  
364 0.1% 0.8%  
365 0.2% 0.6%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0.1% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0.2% 99.7%  
299 0.2% 99.5%  
300 0.1% 99.3%  
301 0.3% 99.2%  
302 0.4% 98.8%  
303 0.5% 98%  
304 0.7% 98%  
305 1.1% 97%  
306 1.0% 96%  
307 1.3% 95%  
308 2% 94%  
309 2% 92%  
310 3% 90%  
311 2% 87%  
312 3% 85%  
313 4% 82%  
314 5% 78%  
315 3% 73%  
316 6% 70%  
317 4% 65%  
318 4% 61%  
319 5% 56%  
320 5% 52% Median
321 5% 47%  
322 4% 42%  
323 5% 37%  
324 5% 32%  
325 5% 27%  
326 3% 22%  
327 3% 19%  
328 3% 16%  
329 2% 13%  
330 3% 11%  
331 2% 8%  
332 1.2% 7%  
333 1.2% 5%  
334 0.7% 4%  
335 0.8% 3%  
336 0.6% 3%  
337 0.4% 2%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.3% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.2% 0.7%  
342 0.1% 0.5%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.2% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.6%  
268 0.3% 99.6%  
269 0.3% 99.3%  
270 0.5% 99.0%  
271 0.2% 98%  
272 0.7% 98%  
273 0.4% 98%  
274 0.8% 97%  
275 0.5% 96%  
276 0.9% 96%  
277 0.6% 95%  
278 1.2% 94%  
279 0.8% 93%  
280 2% 92%  
281 2% 91%  
282 4% 89%  
283 4% 85%  
284 5% 82%  
285 4% 77%  
286 6% 73%  
287 10% 67%  
288 4% 57%  
289 11% 53% Median
290 5% 42%  
291 8% 38%  
292 4% 30%  
293 6% 26%  
294 3% 20%  
295 3% 17%  
296 1.4% 14%  
297 2% 12%  
298 0.9% 10%  
299 1.2% 9%  
300 0.9% 8%  
301 1.0% 7%  
302 0.9% 6%  
303 0.6% 5%  
304 1.0% 5%  
305 0.7% 4%  
306 0.8% 3%  
307 0.5% 2%  
308 0.6% 2%  
309 0.3% 1.3%  
310 0.3% 1.0%  
311 0.2% 0.6%  
312 0.2% 0.4%  
313 0.1% 0.2%  
314 0.1% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.2% 99.6%  
269 0.2% 99.4%  
270 0.3% 99.2%  
271 0.3% 98.9%  
272 0.6% 98.6%  
273 0.7% 98%  
274 0.5% 97%  
275 0.7% 97%  
276 1.0% 96%  
277 1.0% 95%  
278 2% 94%  
279 1.3% 93%  
280 1.3% 91%  
281 2% 90%  
282 3% 88%  
283 3% 85%  
284 3% 82%  
285 4% 79%  
286 5% 75%  
287 7% 70%  
288 4% 63%  
289 5% 59%  
290 6% 54% Median
291 7% 49%  
292 7% 42%  
293 6% 35%  
294 5% 29%  
295 5% 25%  
296 4% 20%  
297 3% 15%  
298 2% 13%  
299 2% 11%  
300 2% 9%  
301 1.2% 7%  
302 1.2% 6%  
303 0.9% 5%  
304 0.6% 4%  
305 0.7% 3%  
306 0.5% 2%  
307 0.4% 2%  
308 0.3% 2%  
309 0.3% 1.2%  
310 0.3% 0.9%  
311 0.2% 0.7%  
312 0.1% 0.5%  
313 0.1% 0.4%  
314 0.1% 0.2%  
315 0.1% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.6%  
261 0.3% 99.5%  
262 0.2% 99.2%  
263 0.5% 99.0%  
264 0.4% 98.5%  
265 0.5% 98%  
266 0.7% 98%  
267 0.7% 97%  
268 1.2% 96%  
269 0.8% 95%  
270 1.2% 94%  
271 1.1% 93%  
272 2% 92%  
273 2% 90%  
274 3% 89%  
275 2% 86%  
276 4% 84%  
277 4% 80%  
278 5% 76%  
279 3% 72%  
280 9% 68%  
281 6% 60%  
282 7% 54% Median
283 6% 46%  
284 5% 41%  
285 5% 35%  
286 5% 31%  
287 6% 25%  
288 3% 19%  
289 4% 17%  
290 2% 13%  
291 2% 11%  
292 1.4% 9%  
293 1.2% 7%  
294 1.2% 6%  
295 1.1% 5%  
296 0.6% 4%  
297 0.7% 3%  
298 0.5% 3%  
299 0.4% 2%  
300 0.4% 2%  
301 0.2% 1.2%  
302 0.2% 1.0%  
303 0.2% 0.7%  
304 0.2% 0.5%  
305 0.1% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.3% 99.6%  
173 0.3% 99.3%  
174 0.4% 99.1%  
175 0.7% 98.6%  
176 0.6% 98%  
177 1.2% 97%  
178 1.2% 96%  
179 2% 95%  
180 2% 93%  
181 3% 91%  
182 3% 88%  
183 3% 85%  
184 6% 83%  
185 3% 77%  
186 4% 74%  
187 7% 69%  
188 5% 62%  
189 4% 57%  
190 6% 53% Median
191 5% 47%  
192 6% 42%  
193 5% 36%  
194 5% 31%  
195 4% 26%  
196 3% 22%  
197 3% 19%  
198 3% 16%  
199 3% 13%  
200 2% 10%  
201 2% 8%  
202 1.3% 6%  
203 1.2% 5%  
204 0.8% 3%  
205 0.5% 3%  
206 0.6% 2%  
207 0.5% 1.4%  
208 0.2% 1.0%  
209 0.2% 0.7%  
210 0.2% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.2% 99.8%  
150 0.2% 99.6%  
151 0.3% 99.4%  
152 0.5% 99.1%  
153 0.7% 98.6%  
154 0.7% 98%  
155 1.2% 97%  
156 1.0% 96%  
157 1.5% 95%  
158 2% 94%  
159 2% 92%  
160 4% 89%  
161 3% 86%  
162 4% 82%  
163 4% 79%  
164 6% 74%  
165 6% 68%  
166 4% 62%  
167 7% 58%  
168 6% 51%  
169 5% 45% Median
170 4% 40%  
171 6% 36%  
172 4% 30%  
173 4% 26%  
174 3% 21%  
175 4% 18%  
176 3% 14%  
177 3% 12%  
178 1.5% 9%  
179 2% 7%  
180 1.5% 5%  
181 0.9% 4%  
182 0.8% 3%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.5% 1.4%  
185 0.3% 1.0%  
186 0.2% 0.7%  
187 0.1% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations