Opinion Poll by Forsa, 13–16 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.0% 21.8–24.3% 21.5–24.6% 21.2–24.9% 20.7–25.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.8% 21.6–24.0% 21.3–24.4% 21.0–24.7% 20.4–25.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.0% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.6% 13.0–17.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.4% 9.3–12.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 175 166–185 164–188 162–190 157–196
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 173 165–184 162–186 160–188 156–193
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 115 107–122 104–125 103–127 99–131
Alternative für Deutschland 94 84 77–91 75–93 74–95 71–99
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 76 70–83 68–85 67–87 64–90
Die Linke 69 46 41–51 39–53 0–54 0–57
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 35–45 34–47 33–48 31–51

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.7%  
158 0.2% 99.4%  
159 0.4% 99.3%  
160 0.6% 98.8%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 0.7% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 2% 95%  
165 2% 94%  
166 2% 92%  
167 2% 89%  
168 4% 87%  
169 3% 83%  
170 4% 79%  
171 5% 76%  
172 5% 70%  
173 6% 65%  
174 6% 59%  
175 5% 54% Median
176 5% 48%  
177 5% 43%  
178 5% 39%  
179 6% 34%  
180 5% 28%  
181 4% 23%  
182 3% 20%  
183 2% 16%  
184 3% 14%  
185 2% 11%  
186 1.3% 9%  
187 2% 7%  
188 1.4% 5%  
189 1.0% 4%  
190 0.8% 3%  
191 0.4% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.4% 1.4%  
194 0.3% 1.0%  
195 0.2% 0.8%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.7%  
156 0.3% 99.5%  
157 0.5% 99.2%  
158 0.6% 98.7%  
159 0.6% 98%  
160 1.0% 98%  
161 1.0% 97%  
162 1.5% 96%  
163 2% 94%  
164 2% 93%  
165 2% 91%  
166 3% 88%  
167 3% 85%  
168 5% 82%  
169 5% 77%  
170 5% 72%  
171 7% 67%  
172 7% 60%  
173 6% 53% Median
174 5% 47%  
175 5% 42%  
176 5% 37%  
177 4% 32%  
178 3% 28%  
179 3% 25%  
180 4% 22%  
181 3% 18%  
182 2% 15%  
183 2% 13%  
184 2% 11%  
185 3% 8%  
186 2% 6%  
187 1.1% 4%  
188 0.9% 3%  
189 0.8% 2%  
190 0.4% 1.4%  
191 0.2% 1.0%  
192 0.2% 0.8%  
193 0.1% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1% Last Result
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.4% 99.4%  
101 0.5% 99.0%  
102 0.7% 98%  
103 1.2% 98%  
104 2% 97%  
105 2% 95%  
106 3% 93%  
107 4% 90%  
108 4% 86%  
109 5% 82%  
110 5% 77%  
111 5% 72%  
112 5% 67%  
113 6% 62%  
114 5% 56%  
115 8% 51% Median
116 7% 42%  
117 6% 36%  
118 5% 30%  
119 5% 25%  
120 5% 20%  
121 3% 15%  
122 3% 12%  
123 2% 9%  
124 2% 7%  
125 1.4% 5%  
126 1.0% 4%  
127 1.1% 3%  
128 0.6% 2%  
129 0.4% 1.3%  
130 0.3% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.6%  
132 0.1% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.6%  
72 0.6% 99.3%  
73 0.9% 98.7%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 2% 94%  
77 3% 92%  
78 4% 89%  
79 5% 85%  
80 7% 80%  
81 7% 72%  
82 6% 65%  
83 6% 59%  
84 6% 52% Median
85 8% 46%  
86 7% 38%  
87 7% 32%  
88 5% 24%  
89 4% 19%  
90 4% 15%  
91 3% 11%  
92 2% 9%  
93 2% 6%  
94 1.5% 4% Last Result
95 0.8% 3%  
96 0.6% 2%  
97 0.4% 1.2%  
98 0.2% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.6%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.5% 99.6%  
65 0.8% 99.1%  
66 0.8% 98%  
67 1.4% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 3% 94%  
70 4% 92%  
71 5% 88%  
72 4% 83%  
73 8% 79%  
74 9% 71%  
75 8% 63%  
76 6% 55% Median
77 7% 49%  
78 7% 41%  
79 6% 34%  
80 7% 29% Last Result
81 6% 22%  
82 3% 15%  
83 4% 12%  
84 2% 8%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.4% 4%  
87 1.0% 3%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.3%  
90 0.3% 0.8%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 0.6% 97%  
39 2% 97%  
40 4% 94%  
41 4% 90%  
42 7% 87%  
43 6% 80%  
44 9% 74%  
45 8% 65%  
46 12% 56% Median
47 7% 44%  
48 12% 37%  
49 5% 25%  
50 8% 20%  
51 3% 12%  
52 4% 9%  
53 2% 5%  
54 2% 4%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.7% 1.3%  
57 0.2% 0.6%  
58 0.3% 0.4%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.4% 99.7%  
32 0.8% 99.3%  
33 2% 98%  
34 2% 97%  
35 5% 94%  
36 6% 89%  
37 7% 84%  
38 11% 76%  
39 10% 65%  
40 11% 55% Median
41 9% 44%  
42 7% 35%  
43 8% 28%  
44 5% 20%  
45 6% 14%  
46 3% 9% Last Result
47 2% 5%  
48 2% 4%  
49 0.9% 2%  
50 0.6% 1.1%  
51 0.3% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 503 100% 493–513 491–517 488–529 483–545
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 465 100% 455–476 452–480 450–490 445–504
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 404 100% 393–416 391–420 389–426 383–439
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 389 100% 379–400 375–404 373–411 368–424
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 374 99.0% 363–385 360–389 357–395 352–406
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 366 91% 355–377 352–382 350–387 344–397
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 335 1.0% 324–346 320–349 314–352 303–357
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 328 0.8% 317–339 314–343 312–348 307–358
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 297 0% 287–309 285–313 282–317 277–325
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 290 0% 280–301 277–305 274–309 269–317
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 290 0% 279–301 276–304 274–308 269–316
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 191 0% 181–200 179–203 176–206 172–212
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 160 0% 150–169 147–172 129–174 117–178

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 99.9%  
480 0.1% 99.9%  
481 0.1% 99.8%  
482 0.1% 99.8%  
483 0.2% 99.6%  
484 0.2% 99.5%  
485 0.3% 99.3%  
486 0.4% 99.0%  
487 0.6% 98.6%  
488 0.7% 98%  
489 1.0% 97%  
490 1.2% 96%  
491 2% 95%  
492 2% 94%  
493 2% 92%  
494 2% 90%  
495 4% 88%  
496 4% 84%  
497 4% 81%  
498 5% 77%  
499 4% 72%  
500 6% 68%  
501 4% 62%  
502 5% 58%  
503 6% 53% Median
504 6% 48%  
505 4% 42%  
506 4% 37%  
507 5% 33%  
508 5% 28%  
509 3% 24%  
510 5% 21%  
511 2% 16%  
512 3% 14%  
513 2% 12%  
514 1.5% 9%  
515 1.0% 8%  
516 1.2% 7%  
517 0.7% 6%  
518 0.6% 5%  
519 0.6% 4%  
520 0.3% 4%  
521 0.2% 3%  
522 0.2% 3%  
523 0.1% 3%  
524 0.1% 3%  
525 0.1% 3%  
526 0.1% 3%  
527 0% 3%  
528 0.1% 3%  
529 0.1% 3%  
530 0% 2%  
531 0.1% 2%  
532 0.1% 2%  
533 0.1% 2%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.4% 2%  
536 0.1% 2%  
537 0.1% 2%  
538 0.2% 1.4%  
539 0.3% 1.2%  
540 0.1% 1.0%  
541 0.1% 0.9%  
542 0.1% 0.8%  
543 0.1% 0.7%  
544 0.1% 0.6%  
545 0.1% 0.5%  
546 0.1% 0.5%  
547 0.1% 0.3%  
548 0.1% 0.3%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0.1% 99.8%  
443 0.1% 99.8%  
444 0.2% 99.7%  
445 0.2% 99.5%  
446 0.2% 99.3%  
447 0.3% 99.1%  
448 0.6% 98.7%  
449 0.5% 98%  
450 0.8% 98%  
451 0.9% 97%  
452 1.2% 96%  
453 2% 95%  
454 2% 93%  
455 2% 91%  
456 3% 89%  
457 3% 86%  
458 2% 84%  
459 5% 81%  
460 5% 77%  
461 3% 71%  
462 4% 68%  
463 5% 63%  
464 6% 58% Median
465 5% 52%  
466 5% 48%  
467 5% 43%  
468 5% 38%  
469 3% 33%  
470 4% 30%  
471 4% 26%  
472 3% 22%  
473 2% 18%  
474 2% 16%  
475 2% 14%  
476 2% 12%  
477 2% 9%  
478 1.3% 8%  
479 1.0% 6%  
480 0.5% 5%  
481 0.6% 5%  
482 0.5% 4%  
483 0.3% 4%  
484 0.3% 3%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.2% 3%  
487 0.1% 3%  
488 0.1% 3%  
489 0.1% 3%  
490 0.1% 3%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.1% 2%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.3% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.3% 1.4%  
499 0.1% 1.1%  
500 0.1% 1.0%  
501 0.2% 0.9%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0.2% 0.6%  
505 0.1% 0.4%  
506 0.1% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0.1% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0.1% 99.9%  
381 0.1% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.7%  
383 0.1% 99.5%  
384 0.2% 99.4%  
385 0.3% 99.2%  
386 0.4% 98.9%  
387 0.4% 98.6%  
388 0.6% 98%  
389 1.3% 98%  
390 0.8% 96%  
391 1.2% 95%  
392 2% 94%  
393 3% 92%  
394 2% 89%  
395 3% 87%  
396 3% 84%  
397 3% 81%  
398 2% 78%  
399 4% 76%  
400 3% 72%  
401 3% 68%  
402 4% 65%  
403 6% 61%  
404 6% 56% Median
405 6% 50%  
406 6% 44%  
407 5% 37%  
408 5% 33%  
409 3% 28%  
410 3% 25%  
411 3% 22%  
412 2% 19%  
413 2% 16%  
414 2% 14%  
415 2% 12%  
416 2% 11%  
417 0.9% 9%  
418 1.4% 8%  
419 1.1% 6%  
420 0.6% 5%  
421 0.8% 4%  
422 0.4% 4%  
423 0.3% 3%  
424 0.2% 3%  
425 0.1% 3%  
426 0.1% 3%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.1% 2%  
429 0.2% 2%  
430 0.2% 2%  
431 0.3% 2%  
432 0.1% 2%  
433 0.3% 2%  
434 0.3% 1.2%  
435 0.2% 0.9%  
436 0.1% 0.7%  
437 0.1% 0.7%  
438 0.1% 0.6%  
439 0.1% 0.5%  
440 0.1% 0.5%  
441 0% 0.4%  
442 0.1% 0.4%  
443 0% 0.3%  
444 0.1% 0.3%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.2% 99.5%  
369 0.3% 99.3%  
370 0.2% 99.0%  
371 0.6% 98.8%  
372 0.4% 98%  
373 0.6% 98%  
374 1.2% 97%  
375 1.0% 96%  
376 1.1% 95%  
377 2% 94%  
378 2% 92%  
379 2% 90%  
380 4% 88%  
381 2% 84%  
382 5% 82%  
383 3% 77%  
384 4% 74%  
385 6% 70%  
386 4% 65%  
387 4% 61%  
388 5% 57% Median
389 5% 51%  
390 5% 46%  
391 4% 42%  
392 4% 37%  
393 5% 33%  
394 4% 29%  
395 2% 24%  
396 3% 22%  
397 3% 19%  
398 2% 16%  
399 3% 14%  
400 1.3% 11%  
401 1.3% 10%  
402 2% 9%  
403 0.9% 7%  
404 0.9% 6%  
405 0.7% 5%  
406 0.5% 4%  
407 0.5% 4%  
408 0.4% 3%  
409 0.1% 3%  
410 0.2% 3%  
411 0.4% 3%  
412 0.1% 2%  
413 0.1% 2%  
414 0% 2%  
415 0.8% 2%  
416 0.1% 1.2%  
417 0% 1.1%  
418 0% 1.1%  
419 0.3% 1.1%  
420 0.1% 0.8%  
421 0% 0.6%  
422 0% 0.6%  
423 0.1% 0.6%  
424 0.3% 0.6%  
425 0.1% 0.3%  
426 0% 0.3%  
427 0.1% 0.3%  
428 0.1% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0.2% 99.6%  
353 0.2% 99.5%  
354 0.3% 99.3%  
355 0.3% 99.0% Majority
356 0.5% 98.7%  
357 0.8% 98%  
358 0.6% 97%  
359 0.9% 97%  
360 1.2% 96%  
361 1.5% 95%  
362 2% 93%  
363 2% 91%  
364 2% 90%  
365 3% 88%  
366 4% 85%  
367 3% 81%  
368 4% 78%  
369 4% 74%  
370 4% 70%  
371 6% 66%  
372 4% 60%  
373 6% 56% Median
374 3% 50%  
375 7% 47%  
376 3% 40%  
377 4% 37%  
378 5% 32%  
379 3% 28%  
380 3% 25%  
381 3% 22%  
382 3% 19%  
383 2% 16%  
384 2% 14%  
385 2% 12%  
386 1.3% 10%  
387 2% 9%  
388 0.7% 7%  
389 1.1% 6%  
390 0.6% 5%  
391 0.5% 4%  
392 0.5% 4%  
393 0.3% 3%  
394 0.4% 3%  
395 0.3% 3%  
396 0.3% 2%  
397 0.3% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.1% 2%  
400 0.2% 2%  
401 0.2% 1.4%  
402 0.2% 1.2%  
403 0.1% 1.0%  
404 0.1% 1.0%  
405 0.3% 0.8%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.3%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0.1% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0.2% 99.7%  
345 0.2% 99.5%  
346 0.2% 99.3%  
347 0.5% 99.1%  
348 0.7% 98.6%  
349 0.4% 98%  
350 0.7% 98%  
351 1.3% 97%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 1.1% 95%  
354 3% 94%  
355 2% 91% Majority
356 2% 89%  
357 4% 87%  
358 3% 83%  
359 3% 80%  
360 4% 77%  
361 5% 74%  
362 2% 69%  
363 3% 66%  
364 7% 63%  
365 5% 56%  
366 5% 51% Median
367 5% 47%  
368 5% 42%  
369 3% 36%  
370 4% 33%  
371 4% 29%  
372 3% 25%  
373 3% 23%  
374 4% 20%  
375 2% 16%  
376 3% 14%  
377 2% 11%  
378 1.3% 9%  
379 1.0% 8%  
380 1.3% 7%  
381 0.7% 6%  
382 0.5% 5%  
383 0.8% 5%  
384 0.6% 4%  
385 0.3% 3%  
386 0.3% 3%  
387 0.5% 3%  
388 0.2% 2%  
389 0.1% 2%  
390 0.2% 2%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.1% 1.3%  
393 0.1% 1.2%  
394 0.3% 1.1%  
395 0.2% 0.9%  
396 0.1% 0.7%  
397 0% 0.5%  
398 0.1% 0.5%  
399 0.1% 0.4%  
400 0.1% 0.3%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0.1% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0.1% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.8%  
301 0.1% 99.7%  
302 0.1% 99.6%  
303 0.1% 99.5%  
304 0.3% 99.4%  
305 0.1% 99.2%  
306 0.1% 99.0%  
307 0.2% 99.0%  
308 0.2% 98.8%  
309 0.2% 98.6%  
310 0.1% 98%  
311 0.2% 98%  
312 0.3% 98%  
313 0.3% 98%  
314 0.3% 98%  
315 0.4% 97%  
316 0.3% 97%  
317 0.5% 97%  
318 0.5% 96%  
319 0.6% 96%  
320 1.1% 95%  
321 0.7% 94%  
322 2% 93%  
323 1.3% 91%  
324 2% 90%  
325 2% 88%  
326 2% 86%  
327 3% 84%  
328 3% 81%  
329 3% 78%  
330 3% 75%  
331 5% 72%  
332 4% 68%  
333 3% 63%  
334 7% 60%  
335 3% 53%  
336 6% 50% Median
337 4% 44%  
338 6% 40%  
339 4% 34%  
340 4% 30%  
341 4% 26%  
342 3% 22%  
343 4% 19%  
344 3% 15%  
345 2% 12%  
346 2% 10%  
347 2% 9%  
348 1.5% 7%  
349 1.2% 5%  
350 0.9% 4%  
351 0.6% 3%  
352 0.8% 3%  
353 0.5% 2%  
354 0.3% 1.3%  
355 0.3% 1.0% Majority
356 0.2% 0.7%  
357 0.2% 0.5%  
358 0.1% 0.4%  
359 0.1% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.9%  
304 0.1% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.7%  
307 0.2% 99.6%  
308 0.2% 99.3%  
309 0.4% 99.1%  
310 0.5% 98.8%  
311 0.7% 98%  
312 0.6% 98%  
313 0.9% 97%  
314 1.2% 96%  
315 2% 95%  
316 2% 93%  
317 2% 91%  
318 3% 89%  
319 3% 87%  
320 2% 83%  
321 3% 81%  
322 3% 78%  
323 4% 75%  
324 4% 70%  
325 4% 66%  
326 6% 62%  
327 5% 56%  
328 4% 51% Median
329 4% 47%  
330 5% 43%  
331 4% 38%  
332 5% 34%  
333 3% 28%  
334 5% 25%  
335 2% 21%  
336 3% 19%  
337 2% 16%  
338 2% 14%  
339 2% 12%  
340 1.5% 10%  
341 1.2% 8%  
342 1.0% 7%  
343 1.1% 6%  
344 0.8% 5%  
345 0.6% 4%  
346 0.6% 4%  
347 0.3% 3%  
348 0.3% 3%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.4% 2%  
351 0.5% 2%  
352 0.1% 1.3%  
353 0.2% 1.2%  
354 0.2% 1.0%  
355 0.1% 0.8% Majority
356 0.1% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.7%  
358 0.1% 0.6%  
359 0% 0.4%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0% 0.3%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0% 99.6%  
277 0.2% 99.6%  
278 0.5% 99.4%  
279 0.4% 98.9%  
280 0.1% 98%  
281 0.6% 98%  
282 1.3% 98%  
283 1.1% 96%  
284 0.3% 95%  
285 1.4% 95%  
286 3% 94%  
287 2% 91%  
288 0.7% 88%  
289 3% 88%  
290 6% 85%  
291 3% 79%  
292 1.2% 75%  
293 5% 74%  
294 8% 69%  
295 3% 61%  
296 1.3% 58%  
297 7% 57% Median
298 8% 49%  
299 3% 42%  
300 2% 39%  
301 5% 37%  
302 7% 32%  
303 2% 25%  
304 1.2% 23%  
305 4% 22%  
306 4% 18%  
307 2% 15%  
308 1.0% 13%  
309 2% 12%  
310 2% 9%  
311 0.6% 7%  
312 0.5% 6%  
313 1.4% 6%  
314 0.8% 4%  
315 0.6% 4%  
316 0.2% 3%  
317 0.5% 3%  
318 0.5% 2%  
319 0.2% 2%  
320 0.1% 1.4%  
321 0.2% 1.3%  
322 0.4% 1.2%  
323 0.1% 0.7%  
324 0.1% 0.6%  
325 0% 0.5%  
326 0.2% 0.5%  
327 0% 0.3%  
328 0.1% 0.3%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0.2% 99.7%  
269 0.2% 99.6%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.3% 99.2%  
272 0.5% 98.9%  
273 0.5% 98%  
274 0.8% 98%  
275 0.8% 97%  
276 1.1% 96%  
277 1.2% 95%  
278 2% 94%  
279 2% 92%  
280 2% 90%  
281 2% 88%  
282 4% 87%  
283 4% 83%  
284 4% 79%  
285 3% 75%  
286 7% 72%  
287 4% 65%  
288 6% 62%  
289 5% 56% Median
290 3% 50%  
291 5% 47%  
292 5% 42%  
293 3% 37%  
294 4% 33%  
295 4% 29%  
296 3% 25%  
297 3% 22%  
298 3% 19%  
299 2% 16%  
300 2% 14%  
301 2% 12%  
302 1.1% 10%  
303 2% 8%  
304 1.2% 7%  
305 1.0% 6%  
306 0.8% 5%  
307 0.9% 4%  
308 0.3% 3%  
309 0.3% 3%  
310 0.4% 2%  
311 0.4% 2%  
312 0.2% 2%  
313 0.1% 1.3%  
314 0.4% 1.2%  
315 0.2% 0.8%  
316 0.1% 0.7%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0.1% 0.5%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Last Result
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.3% 99.6%  
270 0.2% 99.3%  
271 0.5% 99.1%  
272 0.4% 98.6%  
273 0.7% 98%  
274 0.8% 98%  
275 1.0% 97%  
276 1.2% 96%  
277 1.4% 95%  
278 2% 93%  
279 2% 92%  
280 4% 89%  
281 2% 86%  
282 3% 84%  
283 5% 81%  
284 3% 76%  
285 3% 73%  
286 5% 70%  
287 3% 65%  
288 7% 61%  
289 3% 54%  
290 6% 51% Median
291 6% 45%  
292 3% 39%  
293 5% 36%  
294 3% 31%  
295 4% 28%  
296 3% 24%  
297 3% 21%  
298 3% 18%  
299 3% 15%  
300 2% 12%  
301 2% 10%  
302 1.3% 9%  
303 1.1% 7%  
304 1.3% 6%  
305 0.7% 5%  
306 0.7% 4%  
307 0.6% 3%  
308 0.5% 3%  
309 0.4% 2%  
310 0.3% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.3% 1.5%  
313 0.3% 1.2%  
314 0.2% 0.9%  
315 0.2% 0.7%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0.1% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.7%  
172 0.2% 99.6%  
173 0.3% 99.3%  
174 0.3% 99.1%  
175 0.6% 98.8%  
176 0.8% 98%  
177 1.1% 97%  
178 1.3% 96%  
179 1.4% 95%  
180 2% 94%  
181 2% 92%  
182 3% 90%  
183 4% 87%  
184 4% 83%  
185 5% 79%  
186 4% 75%  
187 5% 71%  
188 5% 66%  
189 6% 62%  
190 5% 56%  
191 6% 51% Median
192 4% 45%  
193 4% 41%  
194 6% 36%  
195 5% 31%  
196 5% 26%  
197 3% 21%  
198 3% 18%  
199 2% 15%  
200 2% 12%  
201 2% 10%  
202 2% 8%  
203 1.4% 6%  
204 1.0% 5%  
205 0.9% 4%  
206 0.8% 3%  
207 0.5% 2%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 0.3% 1.3%  
210 0.3% 1.0%  
211 0.2% 0.7%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0.1% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0.1% 99.5%  
119 0.1% 99.3%  
120 0.4% 99.2%  
121 0.2% 98.8%  
122 0.2% 98.7%  
123 0.2% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.2% 98%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0.1% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0% 97%  
134 0% 97%  
135 0% 97%  
136 0% 97%  
137 0% 97%  
138 0% 97%  
139 0% 97%  
140 0% 97%  
141 0.1% 97%  
142 0.1% 97%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.3% 97%  
145 0.5% 96%  
146 0.5% 96%  
147 0.9% 95%  
148 1.2% 95%  
149 2% 93%  
150 2% 92%  
151 2% 90%  
152 3% 88%  
153 3% 85%  
154 4% 82%  
155 3% 78%  
156 5% 75%  
157 5% 70%  
158 5% 65%  
159 5% 60%  
160 7% 55%  
161 6% 49% Median
162 5% 42%  
163 7% 38%  
164 4% 31%  
165 7% 27%  
166 3% 20%  
167 3% 16%  
168 3% 13%  
169 2% 10%  
170 2% 8%  
171 1.1% 6%  
172 1.4% 5%  
173 0.7% 4%  
174 1.0% 3%  
175 0.5% 2%  
176 0.5% 1.5%  
177 0.2% 0.9%  
178 0.3% 0.7%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations