Opinion Poll by Forsa, 19–20 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 28.0% 26.4–29.8% 25.9–30.3% 25.5–30.7% 24.7–31.6%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 17.1% 15.7–18.6% 15.4–19.1% 15.0–19.4% 14.4–20.2%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 11.8–14.4% 11.5–14.8% 11.2–15.2% 10.6–15.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 10.8–13.3% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.0% 9.7–14.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.6–12.7% 9.3–13.0% 8.8–13.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.7–8.7% 5.3–9.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.2% 2.6–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 215 202–228 199–232 196–236 190–242
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 131 121–143 118–146 115–149 110–155
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 100 91–110 88–113 86–116 82–121
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 92 83–102 80–105 78–107 74–112
Alternative für Deutschland 94 85 76–94 73–97 71–99 67–104
Die Linke 69 54 47–62 45–64 43–66 40–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 30 25–36 23–38 22–40 20–43

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0.1% 99.8%  
188 0.1% 99.7%  
189 0.1% 99.7%  
190 0.2% 99.5%  
191 0.1% 99.3%  
192 0.4% 99.2%  
193 0.2% 98.8%  
194 0.4% 98.6%  
195 0.7% 98%  
196 0.2% 98%  
197 1.2% 97%  
198 0.4% 96%  
199 1.4% 96%  
200 2% 94%  
201 0.6% 93%  
202 3% 92%  
203 0.8% 89%  
204 3% 88%  
205 3% 84%  
206 2% 81%  
207 5% 80%  
208 2% 75%  
209 4% 73%  
210 3% 70%  
211 2% 66%  
212 4% 64%  
213 2% 60%  
214 5% 58%  
215 5% 53% Median
216 2% 47%  
217 5% 46%  
218 2% 41%  
219 6% 39%  
220 4% 32%  
221 3% 29%  
222 4% 25%  
223 2% 21%  
224 3% 20%  
225 2% 16%  
226 2% 14%  
227 2% 12%  
228 1.3% 10%  
229 1.2% 9%  
230 0.7% 8%  
231 1.2% 7%  
232 1.2% 6%  
233 0.6% 5%  
234 0.7% 4%  
235 0.5% 3%  
236 0.7% 3%  
237 0.6% 2%  
238 0.3% 1.5%  
239 0.4% 1.2%  
240 0.2% 0.9%  
241 0.2% 0.7%  
242 0.1% 0.5%  
243 0.1% 0.4%  
244 0.1% 0.3%  
245 0% 0.2%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0.2% 99.7%  
111 0.2% 99.5%  
112 0.3% 99.3%  
113 0.4% 99.0%  
114 0.6% 98.6%  
115 0.7% 98%  
116 0.9% 97%  
117 1.0% 97%  
118 1.5% 96%  
119 2% 94%  
120 2% 92%  
121 2% 91%  
122 3% 89%  
123 3% 86%  
124 3% 83%  
125 4% 80%  
126 4% 76%  
127 4% 72%  
128 5% 68%  
129 3% 63%  
130 5% 59%  
131 6% 55% Median
132 5% 49%  
133 4% 44%  
134 4% 40%  
135 5% 37%  
136 4% 31%  
137 3% 27%  
138 4% 25%  
139 3% 21%  
140 3% 18%  
141 3% 15%  
142 2% 12%  
143 2% 10%  
144 1.2% 8%  
145 2% 7%  
146 1.3% 5%  
147 0.6% 4%  
148 0.7% 3%  
149 0.7% 3%  
150 0.4% 2%  
151 0.4% 2%  
152 0.3% 1.2%  
153 0.2% 0.9%  
154 0.2% 0.7%  
155 0.2% 0.5%  
156 0.1% 0.3%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.1% 99.7%  
82 0.2% 99.6%  
83 0.3% 99.4%  
84 0.5% 99.0%  
85 0.7% 98.5%  
86 0.9% 98%  
87 1.3% 97%  
88 1.4% 96%  
89 2% 94%  
90 2% 92%  
91 2% 91%  
92 2% 88%  
93 3% 86%  
94 3% 83%  
95 5% 79%  
96 5% 75%  
97 6% 70%  
98 6% 64%  
99 6% 58%  
100 5% 52% Median
101 5% 47%  
102 4% 42%  
103 5% 38%  
104 4% 33%  
105 4% 30%  
106 3% 25%  
107 5% 22%  
108 2% 17%  
109 4% 15%  
110 2% 11%  
111 2% 9%  
112 1.3% 7%  
113 1.2% 6%  
114 1.0% 5%  
115 0.7% 4%  
116 0.7% 3%  
117 0.6% 2%  
118 0.4% 2%  
119 0.4% 1.2%  
120 0.2% 0.8%  
121 0.2% 0.6%  
122 0.1% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 0.2% 99.4%  
76 0.4% 99.2%  
77 0.7% 98.8%  
78 0.7% 98%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 1.4% 96% Last Result
81 1.2% 95%  
82 3% 94%  
83 2% 91%  
84 3% 89%  
85 4% 86%  
86 5% 82%  
87 4% 77%  
88 6% 74%  
89 4% 68%  
90 5% 64%  
91 7% 59%  
92 4% 52% Median
93 5% 48%  
94 6% 43%  
95 5% 38%  
96 5% 33%  
97 4% 28%  
98 4% 24%  
99 4% 20%  
100 2% 16%  
101 3% 14%  
102 3% 11%  
103 1.5% 8%  
104 2% 7%  
105 1.3% 5%  
106 0.6% 4%  
107 1.1% 3%  
108 0.5% 2%  
109 0.4% 2%  
110 0.4% 1.3%  
111 0.3% 0.9%  
112 0.2% 0.6%  
113 0.2% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.3% 99.5%  
69 0.4% 99.2%  
70 0.6% 98.8%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 1.1% 97%  
73 1.4% 96%  
74 2% 95%  
75 3% 93%  
76 3% 91%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 85%  
79 4% 81%  
80 5% 78%  
81 5% 73%  
82 5% 67%  
83 5% 63%  
84 7% 58%  
85 6% 51% Median
86 4% 45%  
87 5% 41%  
88 5% 35%  
89 5% 30%  
90 4% 25%  
91 4% 21%  
92 4% 18%  
93 3% 14%  
94 2% 11% Last Result
95 2% 9%  
96 2% 7%  
97 1.3% 5%  
98 1.2% 4%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.4% 1.2%  
103 0.2% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.6%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.4% 99.4%  
42 0.6% 99.1%  
43 1.1% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 2% 94%  
47 3% 92%  
48 4% 88%  
49 5% 84%  
50 7% 79%  
51 6% 72%  
52 5% 66%  
53 6% 61%  
54 6% 55% Median
55 8% 49%  
56 7% 41%  
57 6% 34%  
58 4% 27%  
59 5% 23%  
60 4% 19%  
61 4% 15%  
62 3% 11%  
63 2% 8%  
64 1.4% 6%  
65 1.3% 4%  
66 0.8% 3%  
67 0.8% 2%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
70 0.3% 0.7%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.9%  
20 0.4% 99.7%  
21 0.6% 99.4%  
22 1.3% 98.7%  
23 2% 97%  
24 3% 95%  
25 4% 92%  
26 6% 88%  
27 7% 82%  
28 8% 74%  
29 9% 67%  
30 9% 58% Median
31 9% 49%  
32 8% 40%  
33 8% 32%  
34 6% 24%  
35 5% 18%  
36 4% 14%  
37 3% 9%  
38 2% 6%  
39 1.4% 4%  
40 1.1% 3%  
41 0.6% 2%  
42 0.4% 1.2%  
43 0.4% 0.8%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 477 100% 464–491 460–494 458–497 450–505
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 469 100% 456–483 452–486 449–490 443–497
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 409 100% 394–421 391–426 387–429 379–436
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 377 98% 363–392 359–395 356–398 349–406
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 369 92% 356–384 352–388 348–391 341–398
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 355 51% 341–369 337–373 334–376 326–384
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 340 8% 325–353 321–357 318–361 311–368
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 315 0% 301–330 298–333 295–337 288–344
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 263 0% 250–276 245–280 242–284 235–290
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 255 0% 242–268 237–273 235–275 228–281
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 247 0% 234–260 230–264 226–267 221–275
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 192 0% 181–205 177–209 174–213 169–218
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 154 0% 143–167 140–170 137–173 131–178

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0.1% 99.9%  
448 0.1% 99.8%  
449 0.1% 99.7%  
450 0.1% 99.6%  
451 0.2% 99.5%  
452 0.2% 99.3%  
453 0.2% 99.1%  
454 0.2% 98.9%  
455 0.3% 98.7%  
456 0.3% 98%  
457 0.4% 98%  
458 0.5% 98%  
459 1.2% 97%  
460 1.1% 96%  
461 1.0% 95%  
462 2% 94%  
463 2% 92%  
464 1.3% 90%  
465 2% 89%  
466 2% 87% Last Result
467 2% 86%  
468 2% 84%  
469 2% 82%  
470 3% 80%  
471 3% 76%  
472 3% 73%  
473 4% 70%  
474 3% 66%  
475 5% 63%  
476 4% 58% Median
477 5% 55%  
478 5% 50%  
479 4% 45%  
480 3% 41%  
481 4% 37%  
482 2% 33%  
483 4% 31%  
484 2% 27%  
485 2% 25%  
486 2% 23%  
487 3% 21%  
488 2% 18%  
489 2% 15%  
490 3% 14%  
491 2% 11%  
492 2% 9%  
493 1.5% 7%  
494 1.1% 6%  
495 0.8% 5%  
496 0.5% 4%  
497 0.7% 3%  
498 0.4% 2%  
499 0.4% 2%  
500 0.3% 2%  
501 0.3% 1.4%  
502 0.1% 1.1%  
503 0.3% 0.9%  
504 0.1% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.6%  
506 0.1% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.3%  
508 0.1% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0.1% 99.9%  
440 0.1% 99.8%  
441 0.1% 99.7%  
442 0.1% 99.6%  
443 0.1% 99.5%  
444 0.2% 99.4%  
445 0.4% 99.2%  
446 0.3% 98.8%  
447 0.4% 98.5%  
448 0.4% 98%  
449 0.5% 98%  
450 0.9% 97%  
451 0.7% 96%  
452 0.9% 96%  
453 1.2% 95%  
454 1.1% 94%  
455 2% 93%  
456 1.4% 91%  
457 2% 90%  
458 2% 88%  
459 2% 86%  
460 3% 84%  
461 3% 81%  
462 3% 78%  
463 2% 75%  
464 3% 72%  
465 5% 69%  
466 3% 64%  
467 3% 61%  
468 4% 58% Median
469 4% 54%  
470 5% 50%  
471 3% 45%  
472 3% 42%  
473 3% 39%  
474 3% 35%  
475 4% 32%  
476 3% 28%  
477 3% 25%  
478 3% 22%  
479 2% 19%  
480 3% 17%  
481 2% 14%  
482 2% 12%  
483 2% 10%  
484 1.2% 9%  
485 1.5% 7%  
486 1.2% 6%  
487 0.6% 5%  
488 0.9% 4%  
489 0.6% 3%  
490 0.3% 3%  
491 0.5% 2%  
492 0.5% 2%  
493 0.2% 1.3%  
494 0.2% 1.1%  
495 0.2% 0.9%  
496 0.1% 0.7%  
497 0.1% 0.6%  
498 0.1% 0.4%  
499 0.1% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.4%  
381 0.2% 99.3%  
382 0.2% 99.1%  
383 0.2% 98.9%  
384 0.3% 98.6%  
385 0.2% 98%  
386 0.3% 98%  
387 0.4% 98%  
388 0.7% 97%  
389 0.8% 97%  
390 0.7% 96%  
391 1.4% 95%  
392 1.3% 94%  
393 2% 93%  
394 2% 91%  
395 2% 89%  
396 4% 87%  
397 3% 83%  
398 3% 80%  
399 2% 77%  
400 2% 74%  
401 2% 72%  
402 2% 71%  
403 3% 68%  
404 3% 66%  
405 3% 63%  
406 3% 60%  
407 2% 57% Median
408 4% 54%  
409 4% 50%  
410 4% 47%  
411 6% 43%  
412 5% 37%  
413 4% 32%  
414 3% 28%  
415 2% 25%  
416 3% 23%  
417 2% 20%  
418 2% 18%  
419 3% 15%  
420 1.3% 12%  
421 1.3% 11%  
422 0.9% 10%  
423 1.3% 9%  
424 1.1% 8%  
425 0.8% 6%  
426 1.0% 6%  
427 0.9% 5%  
428 0.8% 4%  
429 0.7% 3%  
430 0.2% 2%  
431 0.5% 2%  
432 0.3% 2%  
433 0.4% 1.3%  
434 0.2% 0.9%  
435 0.1% 0.7%  
436 0.1% 0.5%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.3%  
439 0.1% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.5%  
350 0.2% 99.5%  
351 0.2% 99.3%  
352 0.3% 99.1%  
353 0.3% 98.8%  
354 0.5% 98.5%  
355 0.5% 98% Majority
356 0.5% 98%  
357 1.1% 97%  
358 0.7% 96%  
359 0.7% 95%  
360 1.1% 95%  
361 1.3% 94%  
362 1.1% 92%  
363 2% 91%  
364 2% 89%  
365 2% 88%  
366 2% 86%  
367 3% 84%  
368 2% 82%  
369 3% 79%  
370 3% 77%  
371 4% 74%  
372 4% 70%  
373 2% 66%  
374 4% 64%  
375 4% 60%  
376 4% 56% Median
377 4% 52%  
378 4% 48%  
379 3% 43%  
380 4% 40%  
381 3% 36%  
382 3% 33%  
383 3% 30%  
384 2% 28%  
385 2% 26%  
386 3% 23%  
387 2% 20%  
388 2% 18%  
389 2% 16%  
390 2% 14%  
391 2% 12%  
392 2% 10%  
393 1.3% 8%  
394 1.4% 7%  
395 0.7% 6%  
396 1.1% 5%  
397 0.7% 4%  
398 0.7% 3%  
399 0.3% 2%  
400 0.4% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.2% 1.3%  
403 0.2% 1.1%  
404 0.2% 0.9%  
405 0.2% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.3%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.6%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0.1% 99.4%  
343 0.2% 99.3%  
344 0.3% 99.1%  
345 0.3% 98.8%  
346 0.2% 98.5%  
347 0.5% 98%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 0.5% 97%  
350 0.7% 97%  
351 0.7% 96%  
352 1.4% 95%  
353 1.1% 94%  
354 1.0% 93%  
355 2% 92% Majority
356 2% 90%  
357 2% 89%  
358 2% 86%  
359 2% 85%  
360 2% 82%  
361 3% 80%  
362 3% 77%  
363 2% 74%  
364 4% 72%  
365 3% 68%  
366 3% 65%  
367 3% 62%  
368 4% 59%  
369 5% 55% Median
370 3% 50%  
371 4% 47%  
372 4% 43%  
373 4% 39%  
374 3% 35%  
375 3% 32%  
376 2% 29%  
377 2% 27%  
378 2% 24%  
379 3% 22%  
380 2% 19%  
381 3% 17%  
382 2% 14%  
383 1.4% 12%  
384 2% 11%  
385 2% 9%  
386 1.1% 7%  
387 0.7% 6%  
388 1.2% 5%  
389 0.6% 4%  
390 0.6% 4%  
391 0.6% 3%  
392 0.5% 2%  
393 0.3% 2%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.2% 1.2%  
396 0.3% 1.0%  
397 0.2% 0.8%  
398 0.2% 0.6%  
399 0.1% 0.4%  
400 0.1% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.2%  
402 0.1% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.2% 99.6%  
327 0.1% 99.5%  
328 0.2% 99.3%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.3% 99.0%  
331 0.4% 98.7%  
332 0.3% 98%  
333 0.4% 98%  
334 0.7% 98%  
335 0.7% 97%  
336 0.7% 96%  
337 1.1% 95%  
338 0.8% 94%  
339 1.2% 94%  
340 1.4% 92%  
341 2% 91%  
342 2% 89%  
343 2% 87%  
344 2% 85%  
345 3% 83%  
346 3% 80%  
347 3% 78%  
348 3% 75%  
349 2% 71%  
350 4% 69%  
351 4% 65%  
352 5% 61%  
353 2% 57% Median
354 4% 55%  
355 4% 51% Majority
356 4% 47%  
357 3% 42%  
358 3% 40%  
359 3% 37%  
360 3% 33%  
361 3% 30%  
362 2% 27%  
363 3% 25%  
364 2% 22%  
365 3% 19%  
366 2% 17%  
367 3% 15%  
368 2% 12%  
369 2% 11%  
370 1.1% 9%  
371 1.4% 8%  
372 1.1% 7%  
373 0.8% 5%  
374 0.7% 5%  
375 0.6% 4%  
376 0.8% 3%  
377 0.4% 2%  
378 0.5% 2%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.3% 1.4%  
381 0.2% 1.1%  
382 0.1% 0.8%  
383 0.2% 0.7%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0.1% 0.4%  
386 0.1% 0.3%  
387 0.1% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0.2% 99.6%  
312 0.2% 99.4%  
313 0.3% 99.2%  
314 0.2% 99.0%  
315 0.3% 98.8%  
316 0.3% 98%  
317 0.5% 98%  
318 0.6% 98%  
319 0.6% 97%  
320 0.6% 96%  
321 1.2% 96%  
322 0.7% 95%  
323 1.1% 94%  
324 2% 93%  
325 2% 91%  
326 1.4% 89%  
327 2% 88%  
328 3% 86%  
329 2% 83%  
330 3% 81%  
331 2% 78%  
332 2% 76%  
333 2% 73%  
334 3% 71%  
335 3% 68%  
336 4% 65%  
337 4% 61%  
338 4% 57% Median
339 3% 53%  
340 5% 50%  
341 4% 45%  
342 3% 41%  
343 3% 38%  
344 3% 35%  
345 4% 32%  
346 2% 28%  
347 3% 26%  
348 3% 23%  
349 2% 20%  
350 2% 18%  
351 2% 15%  
352 2% 14%  
353 2% 11%  
354 2% 10%  
355 1.0% 8% Majority
356 1.1% 7%  
357 1.4% 6%  
358 0.7% 5%  
359 0.7% 4%  
360 0.5% 3%  
361 0.5% 3%  
362 0.5% 2%  
363 0.2% 2%  
364 0.3% 1.5%  
365 0.3% 1.2%  
366 0.2% 0.9%  
367 0.1% 0.7%  
368 0.1% 0.6%  
369 0.1% 0.5%  
370 0.1% 0.4%  
371 0.1% 0.3%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0.1% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.2% 99.4%  
290 0.2% 99.2%  
291 0.3% 98.9%  
292 0.3% 98.7%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.5% 98%  
295 0.7% 98%  
296 0.6% 97%  
297 0.8% 96%  
298 1.2% 95%  
299 1.2% 94%  
300 1.4% 93%  
301 2% 92%  
302 2% 90%  
303 2% 88%  
304 2% 86%  
305 2% 84%  
306 2% 82%  
307 4% 80%  
308 3% 76%  
309 3% 73%  
310 2% 71%  
311 5% 68%  
312 4% 64%  
313 3% 60%  
314 4% 57%  
315 3% 53% Median
316 3% 50%  
317 4% 47%  
318 4% 43%  
319 3% 39%  
320 4% 36%  
321 3% 32%  
322 4% 29%  
323 2% 25%  
324 3% 23%  
325 2% 19%  
326 3% 18%  
327 2% 15%  
328 2% 13%  
329 1.2% 12%  
330 2% 10%  
331 1.5% 8%  
332 0.7% 7%  
333 1.2% 6%  
334 0.8% 5%  
335 0.6% 4%  
336 0.5% 4%  
337 0.8% 3%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.3% 2%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.3% 1.3%  
342 0.2% 0.9%  
343 0.2% 0.7%  
344 0.2% 0.6%  
345 0.1% 0.4%  
346 0.1% 0.3%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0.1% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.7%  
235 0.1% 99.5%  
236 0.1% 99.5%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0.1% 99.3%  
239 0.3% 99.2%  
240 0.4% 98.9%  
241 0.7% 98%  
242 0.8% 98%  
243 0.7% 97%  
244 1.0% 96%  
245 1.4% 95%  
246 0.6% 94%  
247 0.6% 93%  
248 0.8% 93%  
249 0.8% 92%  
250 2% 91%  
251 3% 89%  
252 3% 86%  
253 4% 83%  
254 3% 79%  
255 4% 76%  
256 3% 72%  
257 2% 69%  
258 2% 67%  
259 2% 65%  
260 3% 63%  
261 4% 60% Median
262 5% 55%  
263 5% 50%  
264 4% 45%  
265 3% 40%  
266 4% 37%  
267 3% 33%  
268 2% 30%  
269 2% 28%  
270 2% 26%  
271 2% 24%  
272 2% 22%  
273 3% 20%  
274 5% 17%  
275 2% 13%  
276 2% 11%  
277 2% 9%  
278 1.2% 7%  
279 0.7% 6%  
280 0.7% 6%  
281 0.7% 5%  
282 0.7% 4%  
283 0.6% 3%  
284 0.5% 3%  
285 0.7% 2%  
286 0.6% 2%  
287 0.2% 1.1%  
288 0.2% 0.9%  
289 0.1% 0.7%  
290 0.1% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.5%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.3%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.9%  
225 0.1% 99.8%  
226 0.1% 99.7%  
227 0% 99.6%  
228 0.2% 99.6%  
229 0.2% 99.4%  
230 0.2% 99.2%  
231 0.4% 99.0%  
232 0.5% 98.5%  
233 0.2% 98%  
234 0.2% 98%  
235 1.0% 98%  
236 1.4% 97%  
237 0.9% 95%  
238 1.2% 95%  
239 1.1% 93%  
240 0.5% 92%  
241 2% 92%  
242 3% 90%  
243 4% 87%  
244 1.1% 83%  
245 2% 82%  
246 2% 80%  
247 2% 78%  
248 2% 76%  
249 10% 74%  
250 3% 64%  
251 1.2% 61%  
252 3% 60%  
253 4% 57% Median
254 2% 53%  
255 5% 51%  
256 7% 46%  
257 2% 39%  
258 1.1% 37%  
259 3% 36%  
260 5% 33%  
261 3% 28%  
262 5% 25%  
263 3% 21%  
264 1.1% 18%  
265 0.6% 17%  
266 3% 16%  
267 3% 13%  
268 2% 10%  
269 1.1% 8%  
270 1.0% 7%  
271 0.4% 6%  
272 0.7% 6%  
273 1.3% 5%  
274 1.3% 4%  
275 0.3% 3%  
276 0.4% 2%  
277 0.2% 2%  
278 0.2% 2%  
279 0.3% 1.4%  
280 0.4% 1.1%  
281 0.2% 0.7%  
282 0.1% 0.5%  
283 0.1% 0.4%  
284 0.1% 0.4%  
285 0% 0.3%  
286 0.1% 0.2%  
287 0.1% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.8%  
218 0.1% 99.8%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0.1% 99.7%  
221 0.2% 99.6%  
222 0.3% 99.3%  
223 0.2% 99.0%  
224 0.5% 98.8%  
225 0.4% 98%  
226 0.8% 98%  
227 0.4% 97%  
228 0.5% 97%  
229 0.8% 96%  
230 1.0% 96%  
231 1.0% 95%  
232 2% 94%  
233 1.5% 92%  
234 1.4% 90%  
235 3% 89%  
236 2% 86%  
237 2% 84%  
238 2% 82%  
239 3% 80%  
240 2% 77%  
241 4% 75%  
242 5% 70%  
243 4% 66%  
244 4% 62%  
245 5% 58%  
246 3% 54% Median
247 4% 51%  
248 2% 47%  
249 4% 44%  
250 3% 40%  
251 4% 37%  
252 3% 33%  
253 3% 30%  
254 3% 27%  
255 3% 24%  
256 3% 22%  
257 2% 19%  
258 3% 17%  
259 2% 14%  
260 2% 12%  
261 2% 10%  
262 1.3% 8%  
263 1.1% 7%  
264 1.3% 6%  
265 0.7% 4%  
266 0.6% 4%  
267 0.8% 3%  
268 0.5% 2%  
269 0.4% 2%  
270 0.3% 2%  
271 0.2% 1.2%  
272 0.2% 1.1%  
273 0.2% 0.9%  
274 0.1% 0.7%  
275 0.1% 0.5%  
276 0.1% 0.4%  
277 0.1% 0.3%  
278 0.1% 0.3%  
279 0.1% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.8%  
167 0.1% 99.7%  
168 0.1% 99.6%  
169 0.2% 99.5%  
170 0.4% 99.3%  
171 0.2% 98.9%  
172 0.5% 98.7%  
173 0.6% 98%  
174 0.8% 98%  
175 0.6% 97%  
176 0.7% 96%  
177 1.1% 95%  
178 0.9% 94%  
179 1.2% 93%  
180 2% 92%  
181 2% 90%  
182 2% 88%  
183 3% 86%  
184 4% 84%  
185 3% 80%  
186 3% 77%  
187 5% 74%  
188 3% 69%  
189 4% 66%  
190 5% 62%  
191 5% 57%  
192 3% 52% Median
193 3% 49%  
194 4% 46%  
195 4% 43%  
196 3% 39%  
197 5% 36%  
198 4% 31%  
199 3% 27%  
200 3% 25%  
201 4% 22%  
202 3% 18%  
203 2% 15%  
204 3% 13%  
205 1.3% 10%  
206 2% 9%  
207 1.0% 8%  
208 1.0% 7%  
209 0.7% 6%  
210 1.0% 5%  
211 0.7% 4%  
212 0.5% 3%  
213 0.6% 3%  
214 0.5% 2%  
215 0.4% 2%  
216 0.3% 1.1%  
217 0.2% 0.8%  
218 0.2% 0.7%  
219 0.1% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0.1% 99.6%  
132 0.1% 99.5%  
133 0.2% 99.3%  
134 0.2% 99.2%  
135 0.4% 98.9%  
136 0.6% 98.5%  
137 1.0% 98%  
138 0.9% 97%  
139 0.9% 96%  
140 1.4% 95%  
141 1.2% 94%  
142 2% 93%  
143 2% 90%  
144 2% 88%  
145 2% 87%  
146 2% 85%  
147 3% 83%  
148 4% 80%  
149 4% 76%  
150 4% 73%  
151 4% 69%  
152 5% 65%  
153 6% 60%  
154 5% 55% Median
155 5% 49%  
156 4% 44%  
157 4% 40%  
158 4% 36%  
159 5% 32%  
160 4% 27%  
161 2% 23%  
162 2% 21%  
163 2% 19%  
164 2% 17%  
165 2% 15%  
166 3% 13%  
167 2% 10%  
168 2% 9%  
169 1.0% 7%  
170 1.3% 6%  
171 1.5% 5%  
172 0.6% 3%  
173 0.7% 3%  
174 0.4% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.5%  
176 0.3% 1.1%  
177 0.3% 0.8%  
178 0.1% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.5%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations