Opinion Poll by Kantar, 15–21 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 28.0% 26.4–29.7% 25.9–30.2% 25.5–30.6% 24.8–31.4%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.0% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0% 19.7–24.4% 19.0–25.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.7% 11.2–15.0% 10.7–15.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.6% 8.5–11.9% 8.0–12.5%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.0% 8.0–10.1% 7.7–10.4% 7.5–10.7% 7.1–11.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 4.0–6.4% 3.6–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 211 198–222 194–227 192–229 186–236
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 165 154–177 151–180 148–183 143–188
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 98 89–107 86–109 85–113 80–116
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 68–84 66–87 64–89 60–93
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 68 60–76 58–79 56–81 53–85
Die Linke 69 53 46–61 44–62 43–65 40–68
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 38 32–45 31–47 30–48 27–52

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.1% 99.8%  
186 0.2% 99.6%  
187 0.2% 99.4%  
188 0.3% 99.2%  
189 0.2% 98.9%  
190 0.4% 98.7%  
191 0.4% 98%  
192 0.6% 98%  
193 1.0% 97%  
194 1.4% 96%  
195 2% 95%  
196 1.0% 93%  
197 2% 92%  
198 1.4% 91%  
199 2% 89%  
200 2% 88%  
201 3% 86%  
202 3% 83%  
203 3% 80%  
204 4% 76%  
205 3% 72%  
206 3% 69%  
207 3% 65%  
208 3% 63%  
209 4% 59%  
210 4% 55%  
211 5% 52% Median
212 7% 47%  
213 4% 40%  
214 4% 36%  
215 3% 32%  
216 3% 29%  
217 2% 26%  
218 3% 24%  
219 4% 21%  
220 4% 17%  
221 2% 13%  
222 2% 11%  
223 1.3% 9%  
224 1.0% 8%  
225 0.9% 7%  
226 0.8% 6%  
227 1.0% 5%  
228 1.2% 4%  
229 0.8% 3%  
230 0.5% 2%  
231 0.3% 2%  
232 0.2% 1.3%  
233 0.2% 1.1%  
234 0.2% 0.9%  
235 0.2% 0.8%  
236 0.2% 0.6%  
237 0.1% 0.4%  
238 0.1% 0.3%  
239 0.1% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.6%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.2% 99.5%  
145 0.5% 99.3%  
146 0.6% 98.8%  
147 0.5% 98%  
148 0.9% 98%  
149 0.5% 97%  
150 0.5% 96%  
151 1.1% 96%  
152 2% 95%  
153 3% 93%  
154 3% 90%  
155 1.4% 87%  
156 1.5% 86%  
157 2% 85%  
158 4% 83%  
159 6% 79%  
160 5% 73%  
161 4% 68%  
162 3% 64%  
163 2% 62%  
164 5% 60%  
165 6% 55% Median
166 5% 49%  
167 7% 44%  
168 4% 37%  
169 2% 33%  
170 2% 31%  
171 2% 29%  
172 6% 27%  
173 5% 21%  
174 2% 16%  
175 2% 14%  
176 0.9% 12%  
177 2% 11%  
178 1.2% 9%  
179 1.2% 8%  
180 3% 7%  
181 1.0% 4%  
182 0.2% 3%  
183 0.3% 3%  
184 0.3% 2%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.4% 1.3%  
187 0.2% 0.9%  
188 0.3% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.2% 99.6%  
81 0.2% 99.4%  
82 0.3% 99.2%  
83 0.5% 98.9%  
84 0.9% 98%  
85 2% 98%  
86 2% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 2% 92%  
89 2% 90%  
90 2% 89%  
91 5% 87%  
92 5% 82%  
93 6% 77%  
94 6% 71%  
95 5% 65%  
96 3% 60%  
97 3% 57%  
98 5% 54% Median
99 7% 49%  
100 7% 42%  
101 7% 35%  
102 4% 28%  
103 3% 23%  
104 2% 21%  
105 3% 19%  
106 3% 16%  
107 4% 13%  
108 2% 9%  
109 2% 7%  
110 0.9% 5%  
111 0.5% 4%  
112 0.5% 3%  
113 0.8% 3%  
114 0.7% 2%  
115 0.6% 1.4%  
116 0.3% 0.7%  
117 0.1% 0.5%  
118 0.1% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0.1% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.7%  
61 0.3% 99.4%  
62 0.5% 99.0%  
63 0.9% 98.6%  
64 1.1% 98%  
65 1.3% 97%  
66 2% 95%  
67 2% 93%  
68 3% 91%  
69 4% 88%  
70 4% 84%  
71 5% 80%  
72 6% 75%  
73 5% 69%  
74 6% 64%  
75 8% 58%  
76 6% 50% Median
77 4% 45%  
78 6% 40%  
79 6% 34%  
80 4% 28%  
81 5% 24%  
82 5% 19%  
83 2% 14%  
84 2% 12%  
85 3% 10%  
86 2% 7%  
87 1.1% 5%  
88 1.2% 4%  
89 0.9% 3%  
90 0.5% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.5%  
92 0.3% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.6%  
54 0.5% 99.3%  
55 0.7% 98.8%  
56 0.8% 98%  
57 1.3% 97%  
58 2% 96%  
59 2% 94%  
60 3% 92%  
61 3% 89%  
62 4% 86%  
63 5% 82%  
64 6% 77%  
65 7% 71%  
66 7% 65%  
67 5% 58%  
68 7% 53% Median
69 7% 45%  
70 7% 39%  
71 5% 32%  
72 5% 27%  
73 4% 22%  
74 4% 18%  
75 3% 14%  
76 2% 11%  
77 2% 9%  
78 2% 7%  
79 1.4% 5%  
80 1.0% 4% Last Result
81 0.9% 3%  
82 0.5% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.3%  
84 0.3% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.4% 99.6%  
41 0.4% 99.2%  
42 0.8% 98.8%  
43 1.3% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 93%  
47 4% 90%  
48 5% 85%  
49 7% 80%  
50 5% 73%  
51 6% 68%  
52 9% 61%  
53 7% 52% Median
54 6% 45%  
55 6% 39%  
56 7% 33%  
57 5% 26%  
58 5% 21%  
59 3% 16%  
60 2% 13%  
61 3% 10%  
62 2% 7%  
63 1.5% 5%  
64 0.9% 3%  
65 1.0% 3%  
66 0.6% 2%  
67 0.3% 1.1%  
68 0.3% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.8%  
28 0.7% 99.5%  
29 1.0% 98.8%  
30 1.5% 98%  
31 3% 96%  
32 4% 94%  
33 3% 90%  
34 7% 87%  
35 7% 80%  
36 6% 73%  
37 10% 66%  
38 9% 56% Median
39 6% 47%  
40 9% 41%  
41 8% 32%  
42 5% 24%  
43 6% 20%  
44 4% 14%  
45 2% 10%  
46 2% 8% Last Result
47 2% 6%  
48 1.2% 4%  
49 0.9% 2%  
50 0.6% 2%  
51 0.3% 0.9%  
52 0.2% 0.6%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 512 100% 500–524 496–527 493–530 487–536
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 482 100% 470–494 466–498 463–501 456–507
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 414 100% 401–427 397–431 394–434 387–441
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 376 98% 363–389 359–393 356–397 349–403
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 369 92% 356–383 352–387 349–390 342–397
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 362 74% 348–375 344–379 340–382 334–389
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 347 26% 334–361 330–365 327–369 320–375
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 308 0% 295–322 291–325 288–329 281–335
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 302 0% 288–315 285–319 281–322 275–329
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 279 0% 267–293 263–296 259–300 253–307
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 272 0% 258–285 255–289 252–292 246–299
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 154–177 151–181 149–184 144–189
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 150 0% 141–162 138–165 134–168 129–174

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 99.9%  
483 0.1% 99.9%  
484 0% 99.8%  
485 0.1% 99.8%  
486 0.1% 99.7%  
487 0.1% 99.6%  
488 0.1% 99.5%  
489 0.2% 99.3%  
490 0.3% 99.1%  
491 0.3% 98.8%  
492 0.3% 98%  
493 0.7% 98%  
494 0.6% 97%  
495 0.8% 97%  
496 1.0% 96%  
497 1.3% 95%  
498 1.2% 94%  
499 1.4% 92%  
500 2% 91%  
501 2% 89%  
502 2% 87%  
503 2% 85%  
504 3% 83%  
505 4% 79%  
506 3% 76%  
507 3% 72%  
508 4% 69%  
509 3% 65%  
510 6% 62%  
511 3% 56%  
512 3% 53% Median
513 5% 49%  
514 4% 45%  
515 4% 40%  
516 4% 36%  
517 5% 33%  
518 3% 27%  
519 3% 24%  
520 3% 21%  
521 3% 18%  
522 2% 15%  
523 2% 13%  
524 2% 11%  
525 1.5% 9%  
526 1.4% 7%  
527 1.2% 6%  
528 1.2% 5%  
529 0.7% 4%  
530 0.6% 3%  
531 0.6% 2%  
532 0.3% 2%  
533 0.3% 1.3%  
534 0.2% 1.1%  
535 0.2% 0.8%  
536 0.1% 0.6%  
537 0.1% 0.5%  
538 0.1% 0.3%  
539 0.1% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0.1% 99.8%  
455 0.1% 99.7%  
456 0.2% 99.6%  
457 0.2% 99.4%  
458 0.2% 99.3%  
459 0.2% 99.1%  
460 0.3% 98.9%  
461 0.3% 98.7%  
462 0.6% 98%  
463 0.6% 98%  
464 0.9% 97%  
465 0.8% 96%  
466 1.3% 95%  
467 1.1% 94%  
468 1.2% 93%  
469 1.3% 92%  
470 2% 90%  
471 2% 89%  
472 3% 87%  
473 3% 84%  
474 3% 82%  
475 3% 78%  
476 4% 75%  
477 3% 71%  
478 3% 68%  
479 4% 65%  
480 3% 61%  
481 4% 58%  
482 5% 54% Median
483 4% 50%  
484 5% 45%  
485 5% 40%  
486 3% 35%  
487 3% 32%  
488 3% 29%  
489 2% 26%  
490 3% 24%  
491 3% 20%  
492 3% 17%  
493 2% 14%  
494 2% 11%  
495 2% 9%  
496 1.1% 8%  
497 1.1% 7%  
498 0.9% 5%  
499 0.9% 5%  
500 0.7% 4%  
501 0.7% 3%  
502 0.5% 2%  
503 0.4% 2%  
504 0.3% 1.3%  
505 0.2% 1.0%  
506 0.2% 0.8%  
507 0.1% 0.6%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0.1% 99.8%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0.2% 99.3%  
390 0.2% 99.1%  
391 0.5% 98.9%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.4% 98%  
394 0.5% 98%  
395 0.4% 97%  
396 1.5% 97%  
397 0.6% 95%  
398 1.3% 95%  
399 0.8% 93%  
400 2% 92%  
401 1.2% 90%  
402 2% 89%  
403 2% 88%  
404 2% 85%  
405 3% 84%  
406 3% 81%  
407 3% 78%  
408 3% 75%  
409 3% 72%  
410 5% 70%  
411 4% 65%  
412 4% 61%  
413 2% 57%  
414 5% 54% Median
415 4% 49%  
416 5% 45%  
417 4% 40%  
418 3% 36%  
419 3% 33%  
420 3% 30%  
421 4% 27%  
422 4% 23%  
423 2% 19%  
424 2% 17%  
425 3% 15%  
426 2% 13%  
427 2% 11%  
428 1.4% 9%  
429 1.3% 8%  
430 1.0% 7%  
431 1.1% 6%  
432 0.9% 5%  
433 0.6% 4%  
434 0.7% 3%  
435 0.6% 2%  
436 0.5% 2%  
437 0.2% 1.3%  
438 0.2% 1.2%  
439 0.2% 1.0%  
440 0.2% 0.8%  
441 0.1% 0.5%  
442 0.1% 0.4%  
443 0.1% 0.3%  
444 0% 0.3%  
445 0.1% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.1% 99.5%  
351 0.2% 99.4%  
352 0.2% 99.2%  
353 0.3% 98.9%  
354 0.6% 98.6%  
355 0.5% 98% Majority
356 0.7% 98%  
357 0.6% 97%  
358 1.0% 96%  
359 1.0% 95%  
360 1.1% 94%  
361 1.2% 93%  
362 1.3% 92%  
363 1.5% 91%  
364 1.3% 89%  
365 2% 88%  
366 2% 86%  
367 3% 84%  
368 2% 81%  
369 3% 78%  
370 4% 75%  
371 3% 71%  
372 4% 68%  
373 5% 64%  
374 4% 59%  
375 3% 55%  
376 3% 53%  
377 3% 49% Median
378 4% 46%  
379 3% 42%  
380 4% 39%  
381 5% 36%  
382 5% 31%  
383 3% 26%  
384 3% 24%  
385 3% 20%  
386 2% 17%  
387 2% 15%  
388 2% 13%  
389 2% 11%  
390 1.3% 9%  
391 1.1% 8%  
392 0.9% 7%  
393 1.0% 6%  
394 0.6% 5%  
395 0.8% 4%  
396 0.8% 4%  
397 0.6% 3%  
398 0.4% 2%  
399 0.5% 2%  
400 0.3% 1.3%  
401 0.3% 1.0%  
402 0.1% 0.7%  
403 0.1% 0.6%  
404 0.1% 0.5%  
405 0.1% 0.3%  
406 0.1% 0.3%  
407 0% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.6%  
343 0.3% 99.5%  
344 0.1% 99.2%  
345 0.1% 99.1%  
346 0.6% 99.0%  
347 0.3% 98%  
348 0.3% 98%  
349 0.7% 98%  
350 0.6% 97%  
351 0.5% 97%  
352 2% 96%  
353 1.2% 95%  
354 0.9% 93%  
355 0.9% 92% Majority
356 2% 91%  
357 2% 89%  
358 2% 87%  
359 3% 85%  
360 1.2% 82%  
361 2% 81%  
362 6% 79%  
363 3% 73%  
364 1.4% 70%  
365 3% 68%  
366 4% 65%  
367 3% 61%  
368 4% 59%  
369 4% 54% Median
370 2% 50%  
371 2% 48%  
372 7% 45%  
373 5% 38%  
374 2% 34%  
375 3% 32%  
376 2% 29%  
377 3% 27%  
378 4% 24%  
379 4% 20%  
380 0.9% 16%  
381 2% 15%  
382 3% 14%  
383 1.5% 11%  
384 1.3% 9%  
385 1.4% 8%  
386 0.9% 7%  
387 0.7% 6%  
388 1.4% 5%  
389 0.9% 3%  
390 0.3% 3%  
391 0.4% 2%  
392 0.4% 2%  
393 0.2% 1.5%  
394 0.5% 1.3%  
395 0.2% 0.8%  
396 0.1% 0.6%  
397 0.1% 0.5%  
398 0.1% 0.4%  
399 0.1% 0.3%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0.1% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0% 99.7%  
333 0.1% 99.7%  
334 0.2% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.4%  
336 0.1% 99.3%  
337 0.4% 99.2%  
338 0.1% 98.7%  
339 0.4% 98.6%  
340 0.9% 98%  
341 0.2% 97%  
342 0.8% 97%  
343 1.0% 96%  
344 0.4% 95%  
345 2% 95%  
346 1.4% 93%  
347 0.5% 92%  
348 3% 91%  
349 2% 88%  
350 0.7% 87%  
351 4% 86%  
352 2% 82%  
353 2% 80%  
354 5% 78%  
355 2% 74% Majority
356 3% 71%  
357 5% 68%  
358 2% 63%  
359 4% 61%  
360 4% 57%  
361 2% 53%  
362 5% 51% Median
363 4% 45%  
364 2% 41%  
365 4% 39%  
366 5% 35%  
367 0.8% 30%  
368 4% 29%  
369 3% 25%  
370 1.2% 22%  
371 3% 20%  
372 3% 17%  
373 1.4% 15%  
374 2% 13%  
375 2% 11%  
376 0.7% 9%  
377 2% 8%  
378 0.7% 6%  
379 0.7% 5%  
380 0.9% 5%  
381 0.8% 4%  
382 0.4% 3%  
383 0.8% 2%  
384 0.3% 2%  
385 0.3% 1.4%  
386 0.3% 1.1%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0.2% 0.7%  
389 0.2% 0.5%  
390 0.1% 0.4%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.2% 99.6%  
321 0.2% 99.5%  
322 0.1% 99.3%  
323 0.3% 99.2%  
324 0.3% 98.9%  
325 0.3% 98.6%  
326 0.8% 98%  
327 0.4% 98%  
328 0.8% 97%  
329 0.9% 96%  
330 0.7% 95%  
331 0.7% 95%  
332 2% 94%  
333 0.7% 92%  
334 2% 91%  
335 2% 89%  
336 1.4% 87%  
337 3% 85%  
338 3% 83%  
339 1.2% 80%  
340 3% 78%  
341 4% 75%  
342 0.8% 71%  
343 5% 70%  
344 4% 65%  
345 2% 61%  
346 4% 59%  
347 5% 55% Median
348 2% 49%  
349 4% 47%  
350 4% 43%  
351 2% 39%  
352 5% 37%  
353 3% 32%  
354 2% 29%  
355 5% 26% Majority
356 2% 22%  
357 2% 20%  
358 4% 18%  
359 0.7% 14%  
360 2% 13%  
361 3% 12%  
362 0.5% 9%  
363 1.4% 8%  
364 2% 7%  
365 0.4% 5%  
366 1.0% 5%  
367 0.8% 4%  
368 0.2% 3%  
369 0.9% 3%  
370 0.4% 2%  
371 0.1% 1.4%  
372 0.4% 1.3%  
373 0.1% 0.8%  
374 0.1% 0.7%  
375 0.2% 0.6%  
376 0.1% 0.4%  
377 0% 0.3%  
378 0.1% 0.3%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.2% 99.6%  
282 0.2% 99.5%  
283 0.1% 99.3%  
284 0.2% 99.2%  
285 0.3% 99.0%  
286 0.4% 98.7%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 0.5% 98%  
289 0.6% 97%  
290 0.6% 97%  
291 1.1% 96%  
292 1.4% 95%  
293 1.0% 93%  
294 1.2% 92%  
295 2% 91%  
296 2% 89%  
297 3% 87%  
298 2% 84%  
299 2% 82%  
300 2% 80%  
301 2% 78%  
302 4% 76%  
303 5% 72%  
304 4% 67%  
305 3% 62%  
306 3% 60%  
307 3% 57%  
308 6% 55%  
309 3% 48% Median
310 4% 45%  
311 3% 41%  
312 3% 39%  
313 5% 36%  
314 5% 31%  
315 2% 25%  
316 2% 24%  
317 2% 22%  
318 3% 20%  
319 3% 17%  
320 2% 13%  
321 1.0% 11%  
322 1.3% 10%  
323 1.3% 9%  
324 2% 8%  
325 1.0% 6%  
326 0.6% 5%  
327 0.8% 4%  
328 0.7% 3%  
329 0.6% 3%  
330 0.6% 2%  
331 0.3% 2%  
332 0.2% 1.2%  
333 0.2% 1.0%  
334 0.1% 0.8%  
335 0.2% 0.7%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.6%  
276 0.2% 99.5%  
277 0.2% 99.2%  
278 0.3% 99.0%  
279 0.4% 98.7%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.5% 98%  
282 0.5% 97%  
283 0.7% 97%  
284 0.8% 96%  
285 1.0% 95%  
286 1.2% 94%  
287 1.2% 93%  
288 2% 92%  
289 2% 90%  
290 2% 88%  
291 2% 86%  
292 3% 84%  
293 3% 81%  
294 3% 78%  
295 2% 75%  
296 4% 73%  
297 4% 68%  
298 3% 65%  
299 4% 62%  
300 3% 58%  
301 4% 55% Median
302 3% 51%  
303 4% 48%  
304 4% 44%  
305 4% 40%  
306 5% 36%  
307 3% 32%  
308 5% 28%  
309 2% 23%  
310 3% 21%  
311 2% 19%  
312 2% 17%  
313 2% 15%  
314 2% 12%  
315 2% 11%  
316 1.1% 9%  
317 2% 8%  
318 1.1% 6%  
319 1.1% 5%  
320 0.7% 4%  
321 0.5% 3%  
322 0.7% 3%  
323 0.4% 2%  
324 0.4% 2%  
325 0.2% 1.3%  
326 0.3% 1.1%  
327 0.2% 0.9%  
328 0.1% 0.7%  
329 0.1% 0.5%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0.1% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0.1% 99.7%  
253 0.2% 99.6%  
254 0.2% 99.5%  
255 0.3% 99.3%  
256 0.2% 99.0%  
257 0.4% 98.8%  
258 0.3% 98%  
259 0.6% 98%  
260 0.6% 97%  
261 0.9% 97%  
262 0.8% 96%  
263 0.8% 95%  
264 1.0% 94%  
265 1.2% 93%  
266 1.4% 92%  
267 2% 91%  
268 2% 89%  
269 2% 87%  
270 2% 85%  
271 3% 83%  
272 3% 80%  
273 4% 77%  
274 3% 73%  
275 5% 70%  
276 2% 65%  
277 5% 63%  
278 4% 58%  
279 4% 54% Median
280 4% 50%  
281 5% 46%  
282 4% 41%  
283 3% 37%  
284 4% 34%  
285 3% 30%  
286 2% 27%  
287 3% 25%  
288 3% 22%  
289 2% 19%  
290 2% 16%  
291 2% 14%  
292 2% 13%  
293 1.4% 11%  
294 2% 9%  
295 1.5% 8%  
296 1.0% 6%  
297 0.8% 5%  
298 0.8% 4%  
299 0.7% 3%  
300 0.4% 3%  
301 0.5% 2%  
302 0.4% 2%  
303 0.3% 1.3%  
304 0.2% 1.0%  
305 0.2% 0.8%  
306 0.1% 0.6%  
307 0.1% 0.5%  
308 0.2% 0.4%  
309 0.1% 0.3%  
310 0.1% 0.2%  
311 0% 0.2%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.2% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.4%  
248 0.3% 99.2%  
249 0.3% 98.9%  
250 0.5% 98.5%  
251 0.4% 98%  
252 0.6% 98%  
253 1.0% 97%  
254 0.5% 96%  
255 1.1% 95%  
256 1.4% 94%  
257 0.9% 93%  
258 2% 92%  
259 2% 90%  
260 2% 88%  
261 2% 86%  
262 3% 84%  
263 3% 81%  
264 3% 78%  
265 4% 76%  
266 3% 72%  
267 4% 69%  
268 2% 65%  
269 3% 62%  
270 4% 59%  
271 4% 55% Median
272 5% 51%  
273 4% 46%  
274 3% 43%  
275 3% 39%  
276 5% 36%  
277 4% 32%  
278 3% 28%  
279 3% 25%  
280 2% 22%  
281 3% 20%  
282 1.5% 17%  
283 2% 15%  
284 2% 13%  
285 2% 11%  
286 2% 9%  
287 1.3% 8%  
288 1.1% 6%  
289 0.9% 5%  
290 0.9% 4%  
291 0.6% 3%  
292 0.6% 3%  
293 0.4% 2%  
294 0.4% 2%  
295 0.3% 1.4%  
296 0.2% 1.1%  
297 0.2% 0.8%  
298 0.1% 0.6%  
299 0.1% 0.5%  
300 0.1% 0.4%  
301 0% 0.3%  
302 0.1% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.1% 99.5%  
145 0.3% 99.4%  
146 0.4% 99.1%  
147 0.4% 98.8%  
148 0.7% 98%  
149 0.7% 98%  
150 1.0% 97%  
151 1.4% 96%  
152 1.0% 95%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 92%  
155 1.4% 89%  
156 2% 88%  
157 4% 86%  
158 2% 82%  
159 3% 80%  
160 4% 77%  
161 2% 73%  
162 5% 70%  
163 5% 65%  
164 4% 61%  
165 5% 57%  
166 6% 51% Median
167 4% 46%  
168 5% 42%  
169 5% 37%  
170 3% 32%  
171 4% 29%  
172 3% 25%  
173 3% 21%  
174 3% 18%  
175 2% 15%  
176 2% 13%  
177 2% 11%  
178 2% 9%  
179 1.2% 8%  
180 1.4% 7%  
181 1.0% 5%  
182 0.8% 4%  
183 0.9% 3%  
184 0.6% 3%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.2% 1.1%  
188 0.3% 0.9%  
189 0.2% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.2% 99.6%  
130 0.2% 99.4%  
131 0.3% 99.3%  
132 0.3% 98.9%  
133 0.5% 98.6%  
134 0.6% 98%  
135 0.6% 97%  
136 1.0% 97%  
137 0.8% 96%  
138 1.2% 95%  
139 1.4% 94%  
140 2% 92%  
141 1.5% 90%  
142 3% 89%  
143 4% 86%  
144 4% 82%  
145 5% 78%  
146 5% 73%  
147 5% 68%  
148 3% 63%  
149 4% 59%  
150 6% 55%  
151 4% 49% Median
152 4% 45%  
153 4% 41%  
154 3% 37%  
155 2% 34%  
156 4% 31%  
157 4% 27%  
158 3% 23%  
159 4% 21%  
160 3% 17%  
161 3% 14%  
162 1.5% 11%  
163 3% 9%  
164 2% 7%  
165 1.0% 5%  
166 1.0% 4%  
167 0.7% 3%  
168 0.5% 3%  
169 0.5% 2%  
170 0.4% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.4%  
172 0.3% 1.1%  
173 0.3% 0.8%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations