Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 23 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.7% 19.7–26.6%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.5–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.1–20.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 171 159–184 155–187 152–191 147–197
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 145 133–157 130–160 127–163 122–170
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 126 116–138 113–141 110–145 105–150
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 89 80–100 77–102 75–105 71–110
Alternative für Deutschland 94 82 73–92 70–95 68–97 64–102
Die Linke 69 60 52–68 50–71 48–73 45–78
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 34 28–41 26–43 25–44 23–48

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.7%  
146 0.1% 99.6%  
147 0.2% 99.5%  
148 0.2% 99.3%  
149 0.3% 99.1%  
150 0.4% 98.8%  
151 0.5% 98%  
152 0.6% 98%  
153 0.7% 97%  
154 1.0% 97%  
155 1.3% 96%  
156 1.0% 94%  
157 2% 93%  
158 1.5% 92%  
159 2% 90%  
160 2% 88%  
161 3% 86%  
162 3% 83%  
163 3% 81%  
164 3% 78%  
165 3% 75%  
166 3% 72%  
167 3% 69%  
168 4% 65%  
169 4% 62%  
170 4% 57%  
171 4% 53% Median
172 4% 49%  
173 3% 45%  
174 4% 42%  
175 3% 38%  
176 5% 34%  
177 3% 30%  
178 4% 27%  
179 3% 23%  
180 2% 20%  
181 2% 18%  
182 2% 15%  
183 2% 13%  
184 2% 11%  
185 2% 9%  
186 1.1% 7%  
187 1.2% 6%  
188 0.9% 5%  
189 0.9% 4%  
190 0.6% 3%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.3% 1.3%  
195 0.2% 0.9%  
196 0.2% 0.8%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.6%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 0.3% 99.3%  
125 0.4% 99.0%  
126 0.4% 98.6%  
127 0.8% 98%  
128 0.7% 97%  
129 0.9% 97%  
130 1.2% 96%  
131 0.9% 95%  
132 2% 94%  
133 2% 91%  
134 2% 89%  
135 2% 87%  
136 3% 85%  
137 3% 82%  
138 4% 79%  
139 4% 76%  
140 3% 72%  
141 4% 69%  
142 4% 65%  
143 5% 62%  
144 6% 57%  
145 5% 51% Median
146 4% 47%  
147 4% 43%  
148 5% 39%  
149 3% 34%  
150 5% 32%  
151 3% 27%  
152 3% 23%  
153 3% 21%  
154 2% 18%  
155 2% 16%  
156 2% 13%  
157 2% 11%  
158 2% 9%  
159 0.9% 7%  
160 1.3% 6%  
161 0.9% 5%  
162 0.8% 4%  
163 0.9% 3%  
164 0.5% 2%  
165 0.4% 2%  
166 0.3% 2%  
167 0.2% 1.3%  
168 0.3% 1.0%  
169 0.2% 0.7%  
170 0.1% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.3% 99.6%  
106 0.4% 99.4%  
107 0.3% 99.0%  
108 0.4% 98.7%  
109 0.7% 98%  
110 0.7% 98%  
111 0.9% 97%  
112 0.9% 96%  
113 2% 95%  
114 1.1% 93%  
115 1.5% 92%  
116 2% 91%  
117 2% 88%  
118 4% 86%  
119 4% 83%  
120 3% 79%  
121 4% 76%  
122 5% 71%  
123 7% 67%  
124 6% 60%  
125 3% 54%  
126 4% 52% Median
127 3% 47%  
128 4% 44%  
129 3% 40%  
130 3% 37%  
131 4% 34%  
132 3% 30%  
133 4% 28%  
134 3% 24%  
135 5% 21%  
136 4% 16%  
137 2% 12%  
138 2% 10%  
139 1.1% 8%  
140 2% 7%  
141 1.1% 6%  
142 0.6% 5%  
143 0.6% 4%  
144 0.7% 3%  
145 0.4% 3%  
146 0.6% 2%  
147 0.3% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.3%  
149 0.3% 0.9%  
150 0.2% 0.7%  
151 0.1% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.6%  
72 0.4% 99.4%  
73 0.4% 99.1%  
74 0.7% 98.7%  
75 0.8% 98%  
76 1.0% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 2% 95%  
79 2% 93%  
80 2% 91% Last Result
81 3% 88%  
82 3% 85%  
83 4% 82%  
84 4% 78%  
85 4% 74%  
86 5% 70%  
87 5% 65%  
88 5% 60%  
89 7% 55% Median
90 5% 48%  
91 6% 44%  
92 3% 38%  
93 5% 35%  
94 3% 29%  
95 4% 26%  
96 3% 22%  
97 3% 19%  
98 4% 16%  
99 2% 12%  
100 3% 10%  
101 2% 8%  
102 1.3% 6%  
103 1.0% 5%  
104 0.9% 4%  
105 0.8% 3%  
106 0.5% 2%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.4% 1.3%  
109 0.3% 1.0%  
110 0.2% 0.6%  
111 0.1% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.6%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 0.4% 99.3%  
67 0.7% 98.8%  
68 1.0% 98%  
69 0.9% 97%  
70 1.3% 96%  
71 2% 95%  
72 2% 93%  
73 3% 91%  
74 3% 89%  
75 4% 86%  
76 4% 82%  
77 5% 77%  
78 4% 73%  
79 4% 68%  
80 6% 64%  
81 6% 58%  
82 6% 53% Median
83 4% 47%  
84 5% 42%  
85 5% 37%  
86 5% 33%  
87 5% 28%  
88 3% 23%  
89 3% 19%  
90 3% 16%  
91 3% 14%  
92 2% 11%  
93 2% 9%  
94 2% 7% Last Result
95 1.0% 5%  
96 1.1% 4%  
97 0.7% 3%  
98 0.6% 2%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.4% 1.3%  
101 0.3% 1.0%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0.1% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.3% 99.6%  
46 0.4% 99.2%  
47 0.8% 98.8%  
48 1.0% 98%  
49 1.5% 97%  
50 2% 96%  
51 3% 94%  
52 3% 91%  
53 4% 88%  
54 3% 85%  
55 6% 81%  
56 5% 76%  
57 6% 71%  
58 5% 65%  
59 7% 60%  
60 5% 52% Median
61 7% 47%  
62 5% 40%  
63 6% 35%  
64 4% 28%  
65 5% 24%  
66 4% 20%  
67 3% 16%  
68 3% 12%  
69 2% 10% Last Result
70 2% 7%  
71 1.2% 5%  
72 1.2% 4%  
73 0.6% 3%  
74 0.8% 2%  
75 0.4% 2%  
76 0.4% 1.1%  
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0.2% 0.5%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 0.3% 99.8%  
23 0.4% 99.5%  
24 0.8% 99.1%  
25 1.4% 98%  
26 2% 97%  
27 3% 95%  
28 4% 92%  
29 5% 88%  
30 5% 82%  
31 9% 77%  
32 7% 68%  
33 8% 61%  
34 8% 53% Median
35 6% 44%  
36 7% 38%  
37 7% 31%  
38 6% 24%  
39 4% 18%  
40 4% 14%  
41 2% 10%  
42 2% 8%  
43 2% 5%  
44 1.0% 3%  
45 0.9% 2%  
46 0.4% 1.5% Last Result
47 0.4% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.7%  
49 0.2% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 477 100% 463–491 459–495 456–498 449–504
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 440 100% 425–454 422–459 418–461 411–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 394 100% 382–411 378–415 374–418 366–424
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 387 99.8% 373–402 368–407 365–410 358–417
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 358 62% 344–373 339–377 335–380 328–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 351 38% 336–365 332–370 329–374 322–381
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 351 36% 336–365 332–369 328–373 321–380
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 306 0% 291–321 288–325 283–328 277–335
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 298 0% 284–312 279–317 276–320 269–327
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 269 0% 255–283 251–287 247–291 240–298
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 262 0% 246–277 243–281 241–284 235–289
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 215 0% 203–230 199–235 196–238 190–243
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 187 0% 174–200 170–203 167–207 161–214

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0.1% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.7%  
449 0.2% 99.6%  
450 0.1% 99.4%  
451 0.2% 99.3%  
452 0.2% 99.1%  
453 0.4% 98.8%  
454 0.3% 98%  
455 0.6% 98%  
456 0.5% 98%  
457 0.7% 97%  
458 0.7% 96%  
459 0.7% 96%  
460 1.0% 95%  
461 1.1% 94%  
462 2% 93%  
463 2% 91%  
464 2% 89%  
465 2% 88%  
466 3% 86% Last Result
467 2% 83%  
468 3% 81%  
469 3% 79%  
470 3% 76%  
471 4% 73%  
472 2% 69%  
473 3% 67%  
474 4% 64%  
475 3% 60%  
476 4% 57% Median
477 4% 52%  
478 4% 49%  
479 3% 45%  
480 4% 42%  
481 3% 37%  
482 5% 35%  
483 2% 30%  
484 3% 28%  
485 4% 26%  
486 2% 22%  
487 2% 20%  
488 2% 17%  
489 2% 15%  
490 2% 13%  
491 2% 11%  
492 1.0% 9%  
493 2% 8%  
494 0.8% 6%  
495 1.0% 5%  
496 0.7% 4%  
497 0.7% 3%  
498 0.4% 3%  
499 0.6% 2%  
500 0.3% 2%  
501 0.3% 1.4%  
502 0.4% 1.1%  
503 0.1% 0.8%  
504 0.1% 0.6%  
505 0.1% 0.5%  
506 0.1% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.3%  
508 0.1% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0.1% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.3% 99.4%  
414 0.2% 99.1%  
415 0.3% 98.9%  
416 0.5% 98.6%  
417 0.3% 98%  
418 0.3% 98%  
419 0.5% 97%  
420 0.6% 97%  
421 0.7% 96%  
422 1.2% 96%  
423 2% 95%  
424 1.4% 93%  
425 2% 91%  
426 1.1% 89%  
427 1.2% 88%  
428 2% 87%  
429 1.2% 85%  
430 2% 84%  
431 3% 82%  
432 3% 79%  
433 5% 76%  
434 3% 71%  
435 4% 67%  
436 2% 64%  
437 2% 62%  
438 3% 60%  
439 4% 57% Median
440 4% 53%  
441 4% 50%  
442 4% 45%  
443 5% 41%  
444 2% 37%  
445 3% 35%  
446 2% 32%  
447 3% 30%  
448 4% 27%  
449 3% 23%  
450 4% 20%  
451 3% 16%  
452 1.3% 14%  
453 2% 12%  
454 0.7% 10%  
455 1.0% 10%  
456 1.1% 9%  
457 0.8% 7%  
458 1.5% 7%  
459 1.0% 5%  
460 0.6% 4%  
461 1.3% 4%  
462 0.2% 2%  
463 0.4% 2%  
464 0.3% 2%  
465 0.2% 1.3%  
466 0.4% 1.2%  
467 0.2% 0.8%  
468 0.1% 0.6%  
469 0.2% 0.5%  
470 0.1% 0.3%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0.1% 99.8%  
364 0.1% 99.7%  
365 0.1% 99.6%  
366 0.2% 99.5%  
367 0.1% 99.3%  
368 0.1% 99.2%  
369 0.2% 99.1%  
370 0.2% 98.9%  
371 0.2% 98.7%  
372 0.3% 98%  
373 0.3% 98%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.5% 97%  
376 0.5% 97%  
377 0.8% 97%  
378 0.8% 96%  
379 1.4% 95%  
380 1.3% 93%  
381 2% 92%  
382 2% 91%  
383 2% 88%  
384 4% 86%  
385 2% 83%  
386 3% 80%  
387 4% 77%  
388 3% 73%  
389 4% 70%  
390 4% 66%  
391 4% 62%  
392 3% 58%  
393 3% 55%  
394 4% 52% Median
395 2% 48%  
396 3% 46%  
397 2% 42%  
398 3% 40%  
399 2% 37%  
400 2% 35%  
401 2% 33%  
402 2% 31%  
403 3% 29%  
404 2% 26%  
405 2% 24%  
406 3% 22%  
407 2% 19%  
408 2% 17%  
409 3% 16%  
410 2% 13%  
411 2% 11%  
412 2% 10%  
413 1.4% 8%  
414 1.3% 7%  
415 1.0% 5%  
416 0.9% 4%  
417 0.9% 3%  
418 0.5% 3%  
419 0.5% 2%  
420 0.4% 2%  
421 0.3% 1.2%  
422 0.2% 0.9%  
423 0.1% 0.7%  
424 0.1% 0.5%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0.1% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0.2% 99.4%  
360 0.2% 99.2%  
361 0.3% 99.1%  
362 0.3% 98.8%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.8% 98%  
366 0.5% 97%  
367 0.7% 96%  
368 0.7% 96%  
369 1.1% 95%  
370 0.9% 94%  
371 2% 93%  
372 1.3% 91%  
373 1.1% 90%  
374 1.5% 89%  
375 2% 87%  
376 2% 85%  
377 3% 84%  
378 2% 81%  
379 2% 79%  
380 3% 77%  
381 4% 74%  
382 2% 70%  
383 3% 68%  
384 3% 65%  
385 4% 62%  
386 4% 58% Median
387 5% 53%  
388 3% 48%  
389 3% 45%  
390 4% 42%  
391 4% 39%  
392 4% 35%  
393 3% 31%  
394 2% 28%  
395 2% 26%  
396 3% 24%  
397 2% 21%  
398 2% 19%  
399 2% 17%  
400 2% 15%  
401 2% 13%  
402 2% 12%  
403 1.3% 10%  
404 1.0% 9%  
405 1.3% 8%  
406 0.8% 6%  
407 1.3% 6%  
408 0.7% 4%  
409 0.6% 3%  
410 0.6% 3%  
411 0.5% 2%  
412 0.4% 2%  
413 0.2% 1.4%  
414 0.3% 1.1%  
415 0.2% 0.8%  
416 0.1% 0.6%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0.1% 0.4%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.8%  
326 0.1% 99.8%  
327 0.1% 99.7%  
328 0.1% 99.6%  
329 0.2% 99.5%  
330 0.1% 99.3%  
331 0.3% 99.2%  
332 0.2% 98.9%  
333 0.4% 98.7%  
334 0.6% 98%  
335 0.3% 98%  
336 0.7% 97%  
337 0.6% 97%  
338 0.8% 96%  
339 0.7% 95%  
340 1.1% 94%  
341 0.8% 93%  
342 1.1% 93%  
343 1.2% 91%  
344 1.5% 90%  
345 2% 89%  
346 2% 87%  
347 3% 85%  
348 2% 82%  
349 3% 80%  
350 2% 77%  
351 2% 75%  
352 2% 72%  
353 3% 70%  
354 4% 67%  
355 3% 62% Majority
356 5% 59%  
357 4% 54% Median
358 4% 50%  
359 3% 47%  
360 3% 43%  
361 4% 40%  
362 2% 36%  
363 3% 34%  
364 3% 31%  
365 3% 28%  
366 2% 25%  
367 2% 23%  
368 3% 21%  
369 2% 18%  
370 2% 16%  
371 2% 14%  
372 1.3% 12%  
373 2% 11%  
374 1.3% 10%  
375 2% 8%  
376 0.7% 6%  
377 1.1% 6%  
378 0.8% 5%  
379 0.8% 4%  
380 0.4% 3%  
381 0.6% 2%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.4% 2%  
384 0.2% 1.3%  
385 0.2% 1.0%  
386 0.2% 0.8%  
387 0.2% 0.7%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.2% 99.5%  
323 0.2% 99.3%  
324 0.2% 99.2%  
325 0.2% 99.0%  
326 0.4% 98.7%  
327 0.2% 98%  
328 0.6% 98%  
329 0.4% 98%  
330 0.8% 97%  
331 0.8% 96%  
332 1.1% 95%  
333 0.7% 94%  
334 2% 94%  
335 1.3% 92%  
336 2% 90%  
337 1.3% 89%  
338 2% 88%  
339 2% 86%  
340 2% 84%  
341 3% 82%  
342 2% 79%  
343 2% 77%  
344 3% 75%  
345 3% 72%  
346 3% 69%  
347 2% 66%  
348 4% 64%  
349 3% 60%  
350 3% 57% Median
351 4% 53%  
352 4% 50%  
353 5% 46%  
354 3% 41%  
355 4% 38% Majority
356 3% 33%  
357 2% 30%  
358 2% 28%  
359 2% 25%  
360 3% 23%  
361 2% 20%  
362 3% 18%  
363 2% 15%  
364 2% 13%  
365 1.5% 11%  
366 1.2% 10%  
367 1.1% 9%  
368 0.8% 7%  
369 1.1% 7%  
370 0.7% 6%  
371 0.8% 5%  
372 0.6% 4%  
373 0.7% 3%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.6% 2%  
376 0.4% 2%  
377 0.2% 1.3%  
378 0.3% 1.1%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.2% 0.7%  
381 0.1% 0.5%  
382 0.1% 0.4%  
383 0.1% 0.3%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0.1% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.8%  
318 0% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.6%  
321 0.1% 99.5%  
322 0.2% 99.4%  
323 0.2% 99.3%  
324 0.2% 99.1%  
325 0.3% 98.9%  
326 0.4% 98.6%  
327 0.4% 98%  
328 0.6% 98%  
329 0.6% 97%  
330 0.8% 97%  
331 0.6% 96%  
332 1.2% 95%  
333 0.9% 94%  
334 0.9% 93%  
335 2% 92%  
336 1.5% 90%  
337 2% 89%  
338 2% 87%  
339 2% 85%  
340 3% 83%  
341 3% 81%  
342 3% 78%  
343 3% 75%  
344 3% 72%  
345 2% 69%  
346 3% 67%  
347 4% 64%  
348 2% 60%  
349 2% 57%  
350 5% 55% Median
351 3% 50%  
352 3% 47%  
353 4% 45%  
354 4% 40%  
355 3% 36% Majority
356 3% 33%  
357 3% 30%  
358 2% 27%  
359 3% 24%  
360 2% 21%  
361 2% 19%  
362 3% 17%  
363 1.2% 14%  
364 2% 13%  
365 1.2% 11%  
366 2% 10%  
367 1.2% 8%  
368 1.1% 7%  
369 1.1% 6%  
370 0.8% 5%  
371 0.7% 4%  
372 0.5% 3%  
373 0.4% 3%  
374 0.4% 2%  
375 0.5% 2%  
376 0.3% 1.5%  
377 0.2% 1.2%  
378 0.3% 1.0%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.6%  
381 0.1% 0.5%  
382 0.1% 0.4%  
383 0% 0.3%  
384 0.1% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.7%  
277 0.2% 99.6%  
278 0.2% 99.4%  
279 0.1% 99.1%  
280 0.1% 99.0%  
281 0.3% 98.9%  
282 0.4% 98.6%  
283 0.7% 98%  
284 0.5% 97%  
285 0.6% 97%  
286 0.3% 96%  
287 1.0% 96%  
288 1.0% 95%  
289 2% 94%  
290 1.1% 92%  
291 1.3% 91%  
292 0.7% 90%  
293 3% 89%  
294 3% 86%  
295 3% 83%  
296 2% 80%  
297 2% 79%  
298 2% 76%  
299 4% 75%  
300 4% 71%  
301 4% 67%  
302 2% 63%  
303 2% 61%  
304 3% 58%  
305 5% 55% Median
306 5% 51%  
307 3% 46%  
308 2% 43%  
309 2% 40%  
310 4% 38%  
311 4% 34%  
312 4% 30%  
313 2% 26%  
314 2% 24%  
315 2% 22%  
316 3% 21%  
317 2% 18%  
318 2% 15%  
319 1.3% 13%  
320 0.9% 12%  
321 1.2% 11%  
322 2% 10%  
323 1.3% 7%  
324 0.8% 6%  
325 0.7% 5%  
326 0.7% 5%  
327 0.5% 4%  
328 0.8% 3%  
329 0.6% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0.2% 2%  
332 0.2% 1.4%  
333 0.3% 1.2%  
334 0.2% 0.9%  
335 0.2% 0.7%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.2% 99.6%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.2% 99.2%  
272 0.3% 99.1%  
273 0.3% 98.8%  
274 0.3% 98%  
275 0.5% 98%  
276 0.5% 98%  
277 0.5% 97%  
278 0.8% 97%  
279 0.8% 96%  
280 1.1% 95%  
281 1.2% 94%  
282 1.2% 93%  
283 1.4% 92%  
284 2% 90%  
285 2% 88%  
286 2% 87%  
287 2% 84%  
288 2% 82%  
289 3% 80%  
290 2% 77%  
291 4% 75%  
292 3% 71%  
293 4% 68%  
294 3% 65%  
295 4% 62%  
296 3% 58%  
297 4% 55% Median
298 4% 51%  
299 3% 47%  
300 3% 44%  
301 4% 41%  
302 2% 37%  
303 4% 35%  
304 2% 31%  
305 2% 28%  
306 3% 26%  
307 3% 23%  
308 2% 20%  
309 2% 18%  
310 2% 16%  
311 2% 13%  
312 2% 12%  
313 2% 10%  
314 1.0% 8%  
315 1.0% 7%  
316 1.0% 6%  
317 0.8% 5%  
318 0.9% 5%  
319 0.7% 4%  
320 0.5% 3%  
321 0.5% 2%  
322 0.3% 2%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.2% 1.3%  
325 0.3% 1.1%  
326 0.1% 0.7%  
327 0.1% 0.6%  
328 0.1% 0.5%  
329 0.1% 0.4%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0.1% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0.1% 99.7%  
240 0.2% 99.6%  
241 0.1% 99.5%  
242 0.2% 99.4%  
243 0.3% 99.2%  
244 0.3% 99.0%  
245 0.3% 98.7%  
246 0.3% 98%  
247 0.5% 98%  
248 0.7% 97%  
249 0.6% 97%  
250 1.0% 96%  
251 0.8% 95%  
252 1.5% 94%  
253 1.4% 93%  
254 1.4% 92%  
255 2% 90%  
256 2% 88%  
257 3% 86%  
258 1.2% 83%  
259 3% 82%  
260 2% 79%  
261 2% 76%  
262 3% 74%  
263 4% 71%  
264 3% 67%  
265 3% 64%  
266 3% 61%  
267 4% 58%  
268 4% 54% Median
269 3% 50%  
270 4% 47%  
271 4% 43%  
272 2% 40%  
273 4% 38%  
274 2% 33%  
275 3% 31%  
276 3% 28%  
277 2% 25%  
278 3% 22%  
279 3% 20%  
280 2% 17%  
281 2% 15%  
282 2% 13%  
283 1.4% 11%  
284 1.1% 10%  
285 1.4% 8%  
286 1.2% 7%  
287 0.9% 6%  
288 0.8% 5%  
289 0.9% 4%  
290 0.5% 3%  
291 0.5% 3%  
292 0.5% 2%  
293 0.2% 2%  
294 0.4% 2%  
295 0.2% 1.1%  
296 0.2% 0.9%  
297 0.2% 0.7%  
298 0.1% 0.6%  
299 0.1% 0.4%  
300 0.1% 0.4%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0.1% 0.2%  
303 0.1% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0% 99.6%  
235 0.1% 99.5%  
236 0.1% 99.5%  
237 0.3% 99.4%  
238 0.3% 99.0%  
239 0.5% 98.7%  
240 0.6% 98%  
241 0.8% 98%  
242 1.0% 97%  
243 1.4% 96%  
244 2% 94%  
245 2% 92%  
246 2% 91%  
247 2% 88%  
248 1.5% 86%  
249 2% 85%  
250 2% 83%  
251 2% 81%  
252 1.4% 79%  
253 1.1% 78%  
254 0.9% 77%  
255 1.5% 76%  
256 1.5% 74%  
257 2% 73%  
258 3% 71%  
259 5% 68%  
260 5% 63%  
261 4% 58% Median
262 5% 54%  
263 5% 49%  
264 7% 44%  
265 6% 37%  
266 4% 31%  
267 4% 27%  
268 2% 23%  
269 2% 20%  
270 2% 18%  
271 1.4% 16%  
272 2% 15%  
273 0.7% 13%  
274 0.9% 12%  
275 0.6% 11%  
276 0.8% 11%  
277 0.8% 10%  
278 2% 9%  
279 1.1% 8%  
280 0.9% 7%  
281 0.9% 6%  
282 0.8% 5%  
283 0.7% 4%  
284 0.8% 3%  
285 0.7% 2%  
286 0.6% 2%  
287 0.4% 1.1%  
288 0.2% 0.7%  
289 0.1% 0.6%  
290 0.1% 0.4%  
291 0.1% 0.3%  
292 0% 0.2%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.8%  
187 0.1% 99.8%  
188 0.1% 99.7%  
189 0.1% 99.7%  
190 0.1% 99.5%  
191 0.2% 99.4%  
192 0.2% 99.2%  
193 0.3% 99.0%  
194 0.4% 98.7%  
195 0.4% 98%  
196 0.6% 98%  
197 0.8% 97%  
198 0.6% 97%  
199 1.3% 96%  
200 0.7% 95%  
201 1.3% 94%  
202 1.4% 93%  
203 1.4% 91%  
204 2% 90%  
205 3% 88%  
206 3% 85%  
207 4% 82%  
208 3% 78%  
209 4% 75%  
210 4% 72%  
211 4% 67%  
212 3% 64%  
213 5% 60%  
214 3% 55%  
215 3% 53% Median
216 3% 50%  
217 2% 46%  
218 4% 44%  
219 3% 40%  
220 3% 37%  
221 2% 34%  
222 4% 32%  
223 3% 28%  
224 3% 25%  
225 3% 22%  
226 2% 19%  
227 2% 17%  
228 2% 15%  
229 2% 13%  
230 2% 12%  
231 1.1% 10%  
232 0.9% 9%  
233 1.1% 8% Last Result
234 1.3% 7%  
235 0.8% 5%  
236 1.2% 5%  
237 0.8% 3%  
238 0.5% 3%  
239 0.6% 2%  
240 0.3% 1.5%  
241 0.4% 1.2%  
242 0.2% 0.8%  
243 0.1% 0.6%  
244 0.1% 0.4%  
245 0.1% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.7%  
161 0.1% 99.6%  
162 0.1% 99.5%  
163 0.3% 99.3%  
164 0.3% 99.0%  
165 0.4% 98.7%  
166 0.4% 98%  
167 0.8% 98%  
168 0.6% 97%  
169 0.7% 97%  
170 0.9% 96%  
171 2% 95%  
172 1.2% 93%  
173 1.2% 92%  
174 2% 91%  
175 3% 89%  
176 2% 87%  
177 2% 84%  
178 3% 83%  
179 4% 80%  
180 4% 76%  
181 2% 72%  
182 3% 70%  
183 4% 66%  
184 4% 62%  
185 4% 58%  
186 4% 54% Median
187 4% 51%  
188 4% 46%  
189 3% 42%  
190 4% 39%  
191 4% 35%  
192 4% 31%  
193 2% 27%  
194 3% 25%  
195 3% 22%  
196 3% 19%  
197 2% 16%  
198 2% 14%  
199 2% 12%  
200 1.5% 10%  
201 2% 9%  
202 1.1% 7%  
203 1.0% 6%  
204 0.9% 5%  
205 0.8% 4%  
206 0.5% 3%  
207 0.5% 3%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 0.3% 2%  
210 0.3% 1.4%  
211 0.2% 1.1%  
212 0.2% 0.9%  
213 0.1% 0.7%  
214 0.1% 0.5%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations