Opinion Poll by Kantar, 22–28 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 27.0% 25.5–28.5% 25.1–29.0% 24.7–29.3% 24.1–30.1%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 19.5% 18.2–20.9% 17.8–21.3% 17.5–21.6% 16.9–22.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.8–16.2% 13.5–16.6% 13.2–16.9% 12.7–17.5%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.8% 9.1–13.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.0–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.5–11.6% 8.1–12.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.4–8.9%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 203 192–214 189–217 186–220 181–226
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 147 137–157 134–160 132–162 128–167
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 113 104–122 102–124 99–127 95–132
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 83 75–91 74–93 72–96 68–100
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 68–83 66–85 64–87 61–91
Die Linke 69 53 47–60 45–62 44–63 41–67
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 34 29–40 28–41 27–43 25–46

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.7%  
181 0.2% 99.6%  
182 0.2% 99.4%  
183 0.2% 99.2%  
184 0.4% 99.0%  
185 0.5% 98.6%  
186 0.7% 98%  
187 0.7% 97%  
188 1.0% 97%  
189 1.1% 96%  
190 2% 95%  
191 2% 93%  
192 2% 91%  
193 3% 89%  
194 2% 86%  
195 4% 84%  
196 3% 80%  
197 4% 78%  
198 4% 74%  
199 4% 70%  
200 5% 66%  
201 5% 60%  
202 4% 56%  
203 5% 52% Median
204 4% 47%  
205 6% 43%  
206 4% 37%  
207 4% 33%  
208 3% 29%  
209 4% 26%  
210 3% 22%  
211 3% 19%  
212 2% 15%  
213 2% 13%  
214 2% 11%  
215 2% 9%  
216 1.1% 7%  
217 1.4% 6%  
218 1.0% 5%  
219 0.9% 4%  
220 0.4% 3%  
221 0.7% 2%  
222 0.4% 2%  
223 0.3% 1.3%  
224 0.3% 1.0%  
225 0.1% 0.7%  
226 0.2% 0.5%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0.1% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.3% 99.5%  
129 0.3% 99.2%  
130 0.7% 98.9%  
131 0.5% 98%  
132 0.6% 98%  
133 1.4% 97%  
134 1.4% 96%  
135 2% 94%  
136 2% 93%  
137 2% 91%  
138 3% 89%  
139 3% 86%  
140 4% 83%  
141 4% 79%  
142 4% 75%  
143 4% 71%  
144 6% 67%  
145 6% 62%  
146 5% 56%  
147 6% 51% Median
148 4% 45%  
149 4% 41%  
150 5% 37%  
151 5% 32%  
152 5% 27%  
153 3% 22%  
154 2% 19%  
155 3% 17%  
156 2% 14%  
157 3% 11%  
158 1.3% 8%  
159 1.0% 7%  
160 1.4% 6%  
161 0.9% 4%  
162 1.1% 3%  
163 0.5% 2%  
164 0.3% 2%  
165 0.3% 1.3%  
166 0.3% 1.0%  
167 0.3% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.4%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.6%  
96 0.2% 99.5%  
97 0.4% 99.3%  
98 0.7% 98.9%  
99 0.9% 98%  
100 1.3% 97%  
101 1.0% 96%  
102 1.3% 95%  
103 2% 94%  
104 3% 92%  
105 3% 89%  
106 3% 86%  
107 3% 84%  
108 4% 80%  
109 6% 77%  
110 6% 71%  
111 5% 65%  
112 5% 60%  
113 6% 55% Median
114 6% 49%  
115 8% 43%  
116 7% 36%  
117 6% 29%  
118 4% 23%  
119 3% 19%  
120 3% 17%  
121 3% 13%  
122 2% 10%  
123 2% 8%  
124 1.3% 6%  
125 1.0% 5%  
126 0.8% 4%  
127 0.7% 3%  
128 0.5% 2%  
129 0.3% 2%  
130 0.4% 1.2%  
131 0.2% 0.9%  
132 0.2% 0.7%  
133 0.2% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.6%  
69 0.4% 99.4%  
70 0.5% 99.0%  
71 0.7% 98%  
72 1.3% 98%  
73 1.5% 96%  
74 2% 95%  
75 3% 93%  
76 3% 89%  
77 4% 86%  
78 4% 82%  
79 6% 78%  
80 6% 72% Last Result
81 5% 66%  
82 7% 60%  
83 6% 54% Median
84 6% 47%  
85 5% 41%  
86 6% 36%  
87 5% 30%  
88 5% 25%  
89 4% 20%  
90 3% 16%  
91 3% 12%  
92 3% 9%  
93 2% 7%  
94 1.3% 5%  
95 0.8% 4%  
96 0.8% 3%  
97 0.6% 2%  
98 0.4% 1.3%  
99 0.3% 0.9%  
100 0.2% 0.6%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.6%  
62 0.4% 99.3%  
63 0.6% 98.9%  
64 0.9% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 2% 94%  
68 3% 92%  
69 4% 89%  
70 5% 85%  
71 4% 80%  
72 6% 75%  
73 7% 69%  
74 6% 62%  
75 6% 57%  
76 6% 51% Median
77 9% 45%  
78 6% 36%  
79 5% 30%  
80 4% 24%  
81 5% 20%  
82 4% 15%  
83 2% 11%  
84 2% 9%  
85 2% 7%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.0% 3%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.2%  
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.6%  
42 0.6% 99.3%  
43 1.0% 98.7%  
44 2% 98%  
45 2% 96%  
46 3% 94%  
47 4% 91%  
48 5% 86%  
49 6% 82%  
50 7% 75%  
51 7% 69%  
52 8% 61%  
53 7% 53% Median
54 7% 46%  
55 8% 39%  
56 6% 31%  
57 6% 25%  
58 5% 19%  
59 4% 15%  
60 3% 11%  
61 2% 7%  
62 2% 5%  
63 1.2% 3%  
64 0.7% 2%  
65 0.6% 2%  
66 0.4% 1.0%  
67 0.2% 0.6%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.3% 99.8%  
25 0.5% 99.6%  
26 0.9% 99.0%  
27 2% 98%  
28 3% 96%  
29 5% 93%  
30 6% 88%  
31 8% 82%  
32 9% 74%  
33 10% 65%  
34 9% 55% Median
35 9% 47%  
36 8% 37%  
37 7% 29%  
38 7% 23%  
39 5% 16%  
40 4% 10%  
41 2% 7%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.1% 3%  
44 0.7% 2%  
45 0.4% 1.0%  
46 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 498 100% 486–508 483–512 480–514 474–520
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 467 100% 456–479 453–482 450–486 443–491
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 399 100% 387–411 384–415 381–418 375–424
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 384 99.9% 372–396 369–400 365–403 359–409
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 377 99.1% 365–389 362–393 358–396 353–402
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 369 94% 357–381 353–385 350–388 344–394
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 340 6% 328–352 324–356 321–359 315–365
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 316 0% 304–328 301–332 297–335 292–341
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 294 0% 282–306 279–310 276–313 270–319
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 264 0% 253–276 250–280 247–283 241–289
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 257 0% 244–269 242–272 238–275 233–281
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 197 0% 185–207 183–211 180–213 175–219
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 166 0% 156–176 153–179 150–182 145–187

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 99.9%  
470 0.1% 99.9%  
471 0.1% 99.8%  
472 0.1% 99.7%  
473 0.1% 99.6%  
474 0.1% 99.5%  
475 0.1% 99.4%  
476 0.2% 99.3%  
477 0.4% 99.1%  
478 0.4% 98.7%  
479 0.8% 98%  
480 0.6% 98%  
481 0.7% 97%  
482 0.7% 96%  
483 1.1% 96%  
484 2% 95%  
485 2% 93%  
486 3% 90%  
487 3% 88%  
488 2% 85%  
489 2% 83%  
490 2% 81%  
491 4% 79%  
492 5% 75%  
493 5% 70%  
494 3% 65%  
495 4% 63%  
496 4% 59%  
497 5% 55% Median
498 6% 51%  
499 6% 45%  
500 6% 39%  
501 4% 33%  
502 3% 29%  
503 2% 26%  
504 3% 24%  
505 4% 21%  
506 3% 17%  
507 3% 14%  
508 2% 11%  
509 1.2% 10%  
510 2% 8%  
511 1.4% 7%  
512 1.4% 5%  
513 1.4% 4%  
514 0.5% 3%  
515 0.5% 2%  
516 0.3% 2%  
517 0.2% 1.2%  
518 0.2% 1.0%  
519 0.2% 0.8%  
520 0.2% 0.6%  
521 0.1% 0.4%  
522 0.1% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0.1% 99.9%  
441 0.1% 99.8%  
442 0.1% 99.7%  
443 0.1% 99.6%  
444 0.2% 99.5%  
445 0.2% 99.3%  
446 0.3% 99.2%  
447 0.3% 98.8%  
448 0.5% 98.5%  
449 0.4% 98%  
450 0.7% 98%  
451 0.8% 97%  
452 0.6% 96%  
453 1.3% 96%  
454 1.2% 94%  
455 2% 93%  
456 2% 92%  
457 2% 90%  
458 2% 88%  
459 2% 85%  
460 3% 83%  
461 4% 80%  
462 4% 76%  
463 4% 72%  
464 4% 68%  
465 5% 64%  
466 6% 59%  
467 5% 53% Median
468 6% 48%  
469 5% 42%  
470 4% 37%  
471 5% 33%  
472 2% 28%  
473 4% 26%  
474 3% 22%  
475 3% 19%  
476 2% 17%  
477 2% 14%  
478 2% 12%  
479 2% 11%  
480 1.4% 9%  
481 1.5% 8%  
482 1.2% 6%  
483 0.9% 5%  
484 0.6% 4%  
485 0.7% 3%  
486 0.8% 3%  
487 0.4% 2%  
488 0.5% 1.5%  
489 0.2% 1.0%  
490 0.2% 0.8%  
491 0.2% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0.1% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.2% 99.7%  
375 0.2% 99.5%  
376 0.2% 99.3%  
377 0.3% 99.2%  
378 0.3% 98.9%  
379 0.6% 98.6%  
380 0.5% 98%  
381 0.7% 98%  
382 1.0% 97%  
383 0.7% 96%  
384 0.9% 95%  
385 2% 94%  
386 1.5% 92%  
387 2% 91%  
388 2% 89%  
389 3% 87%  
390 2% 84%  
391 3% 82%  
392 4% 79%  
393 2% 75%  
394 3% 73%  
395 4% 70%  
396 4% 65%  
397 6% 62%  
398 3% 56%  
399 3% 52% Median
400 4% 49%  
401 4% 45%  
402 3% 41%  
403 6% 38%  
404 3% 32%  
405 3% 29%  
406 3% 26%  
407 2% 22%  
408 4% 20%  
409 2% 16%  
410 2% 15%  
411 2% 12%  
412 1.2% 10%  
413 1.2% 9%  
414 2% 7%  
415 1.3% 6%  
416 0.9% 4%  
417 0.6% 4%  
418 0.8% 3%  
419 0.4% 2%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.5% 1.4%  
422 0.2% 0.9%  
423 0.2% 0.7%  
424 0.2% 0.6%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0.1% 99.9%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.7%  
359 0.1% 99.6%  
360 0.2% 99.5%  
361 0.2% 99.3%  
362 0.3% 99.1%  
363 0.4% 98.8%  
364 0.6% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.5% 97%  
367 0.8% 97%  
368 1.0% 96%  
369 1.5% 95%  
370 1.2% 94%  
371 2% 93%  
372 1.1% 91%  
373 3% 90%  
374 2% 87%  
375 3% 84%  
376 3% 82%  
377 3% 79%  
378 4% 76%  
379 3% 73%  
380 4% 69%  
381 4% 66%  
382 3% 62%  
383 5% 59%  
384 8% 54% Median
385 4% 46%  
386 4% 42%  
387 3% 38%  
388 3% 35%  
389 4% 32%  
390 5% 28%  
391 3% 23%  
392 2% 20%  
393 1.5% 18%  
394 3% 17%  
395 2% 13%  
396 2% 11%  
397 0.8% 9%  
398 2% 8%  
399 1.0% 6%  
400 1.0% 5%  
401 1.1% 4%  
402 0.4% 3%  
403 0.6% 3%  
404 0.3% 2%  
405 0.5% 2%  
406 0.2% 1.3%  
407 0.3% 1.0%  
408 0.1% 0.7%  
409 0.1% 0.6%  
410 0.1% 0.5%  
411 0.1% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0.1% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.5%  
354 0.3% 99.4%  
355 0.2% 99.1% Majority
356 0.3% 98.9%  
357 0.4% 98.6%  
358 0.8% 98%  
359 0.6% 97%  
360 0.7% 97%  
361 0.9% 96%  
362 0.8% 95%  
363 1.3% 94%  
364 2% 93%  
365 3% 91%  
366 2% 89%  
367 1.4% 87%  
368 2% 86%  
369 3% 83%  
370 3% 80%  
371 5% 77%  
372 3% 72%  
373 3% 69%  
374 3% 67%  
375 6% 64%  
376 4% 58%  
377 5% 54% Median
378 3% 48%  
379 2% 45%  
380 5% 43%  
381 6% 38%  
382 4% 33%  
383 3% 29%  
384 2% 25%  
385 2% 23%  
386 3% 20%  
387 2% 17%  
388 3% 15%  
389 2% 12%  
390 1.4% 10%  
391 1.1% 8%  
392 2% 7%  
393 1.1% 6%  
394 0.9% 5%  
395 1.0% 4%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.5% 2%  
398 0.5% 2%  
399 0.3% 1.4%  
400 0.3% 1.1%  
401 0.2% 0.8%  
402 0.1% 0.6%  
403 0.1% 0.4%  
404 0.1% 0.3%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0.1% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.6%  
345 0.2% 99.5%  
346 0.2% 99.3%  
347 0.3% 99.1%  
348 0.4% 98.8%  
349 0.5% 98%  
350 0.4% 98%  
351 0.6% 97%  
352 1.0% 97%  
353 0.9% 96%  
354 1.1% 95%  
355 1.3% 94% Majority
356 2% 92%  
357 2% 90%  
358 1.3% 88%  
359 4% 87%  
360 2% 83%  
361 2% 81%  
362 3% 79%  
363 4% 76%  
364 4% 72%  
365 3% 68%  
366 3% 65%  
367 5% 62%  
368 5% 56%  
369 3% 51% Median
370 4% 48%  
371 5% 44%  
372 3% 40%  
373 4% 36%  
374 4% 33%  
375 3% 29%  
376 4% 26%  
377 2% 22%  
378 3% 19%  
379 2% 16%  
380 2% 14%  
381 2% 12%  
382 2% 10%  
383 2% 8%  
384 1.0% 6%  
385 0.8% 5%  
386 1.0% 5%  
387 0.9% 4%  
388 0.5% 3%  
389 0.5% 2%  
390 0.3% 2%  
391 0.5% 1.3%  
392 0.2% 0.9%  
393 0.2% 0.7%  
394 0.1% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.4%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.8%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.7%  
315 0.1% 99.6%  
316 0.2% 99.4%  
317 0.2% 99.3%  
318 0.5% 99.1%  
319 0.3% 98.7%  
320 0.5% 98%  
321 0.5% 98%  
322 0.9% 97%  
323 1.0% 96%  
324 0.8% 95%  
325 1.0% 95%  
326 2% 94%  
327 2% 92%  
328 2% 90%  
329 2% 88%  
330 2% 86%  
331 3% 84%  
332 2% 81%  
333 4% 78%  
334 3% 74%  
335 4% 71%  
336 4% 67%  
337 3% 64%  
338 5% 60%  
339 4% 56%  
340 3% 52% Median
341 5% 49%  
342 5% 44%  
343 3% 38%  
344 3% 35%  
345 4% 32%  
346 4% 28%  
347 3% 24%  
348 2% 21%  
349 2% 19%  
350 4% 17%  
351 1.3% 13%  
352 2% 12%  
353 2% 10%  
354 1.3% 8%  
355 1.1% 6% Majority
356 0.9% 5%  
357 1.0% 4%  
358 0.6% 3%  
359 0.4% 3%  
360 0.5% 2%  
361 0.4% 2%  
362 0.3% 1.2%  
363 0.2% 0.9%  
364 0.2% 0.7%  
365 0.1% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0.1% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.8%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.2% 99.5%  
293 0.2% 99.4%  
294 0.4% 99.2%  
295 0.4% 98.8%  
296 0.5% 98%  
297 0.6% 98%  
298 0.5% 97%  
299 0.9% 97%  
300 0.9% 96%  
301 1.4% 95%  
302 2% 94%  
303 2% 92%  
304 1.3% 90%  
305 3% 89%  
306 1.5% 86%  
307 3% 85%  
308 3% 82%  
309 4% 79%  
310 3% 75%  
311 3% 72%  
312 4% 69%  
313 6% 65%  
314 3% 60%  
315 5% 56%  
316 4% 51% Median
317 3% 47%  
318 4% 44%  
319 3% 40%  
320 5% 37%  
321 4% 32%  
322 3% 28%  
323 3% 25%  
324 2% 21%  
325 2% 19%  
326 4% 17%  
327 2% 13%  
328 2% 11%  
329 2% 9%  
330 1.1% 8%  
331 1.2% 7%  
332 1.3% 5%  
333 0.8% 4%  
334 0.8% 3%  
335 0.4% 3%  
336 0.6% 2%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.2% 1.3%  
339 0.3% 1.0%  
340 0.2% 0.7%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0.1% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.1% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.7%  
270 0.2% 99.6%  
271 0.2% 99.4%  
272 0.2% 99.2%  
273 0.3% 99.0%  
274 0.5% 98.6%  
275 0.4% 98%  
276 0.7% 98%  
277 0.9% 97%  
278 0.6% 96%  
279 1.5% 95%  
280 1.1% 94%  
281 2% 93%  
282 1.3% 91%  
283 2% 90%  
284 3% 87%  
285 3% 85%  
286 2% 82%  
287 3% 80%  
288 3% 77%  
289 4% 73%  
290 4% 70%  
291 5% 66%  
292 4% 61%  
293 4% 57%  
294 3% 53% Median
295 5% 49%  
296 5% 44%  
297 5% 40%  
298 3% 35%  
299 3% 32%  
300 4% 29%  
301 3% 24%  
302 2% 21%  
303 3% 19%  
304 2% 16%  
305 2% 14%  
306 2% 11%  
307 1.4% 9%  
308 2% 8%  
309 1.1% 6%  
310 1.0% 5%  
311 0.8% 4%  
312 0.8% 3%  
313 0.5% 3%  
314 0.5% 2%  
315 0.4% 2%  
316 0.3% 1.2%  
317 0.2% 0.9%  
318 0.2% 0.7%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0.1% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0.1% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.7%  
241 0.2% 99.6%  
242 0.2% 99.4%  
243 0.4% 99.2%  
244 0.3% 98.8%  
245 0.4% 98.6%  
246 0.6% 98%  
247 0.9% 98%  
248 0.6% 97%  
249 1.0% 96%  
250 2% 95%  
251 2% 93%  
252 1.4% 92%  
253 2% 91%  
254 3% 89%  
255 3% 86%  
256 2% 83%  
257 4% 81%  
258 4% 77%  
259 4% 74%  
260 4% 70%  
261 5% 67%  
262 3% 61%  
263 4% 58%  
264 5% 54% Median
265 5% 49%  
266 2% 43%  
267 4% 41%  
268 6% 37%  
269 3% 31%  
270 3% 28%  
271 3% 24%  
272 4% 22%  
273 2% 18%  
274 2% 16%  
275 2% 13%  
276 2% 11%  
277 1.4% 9%  
278 1.3% 8%  
279 1.5% 7%  
280 1.3% 5%  
281 0.8% 4%  
282 0.6% 3%  
283 0.7% 3%  
284 0.3% 2%  
285 0.4% 2%  
286 0.3% 1.3%  
287 0.3% 0.9%  
288 0.1% 0.7%  
289 0.1% 0.5%  
290 0.1% 0.4%  
291 0.1% 0.3%  
292 0.1% 0.2%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.8%  
232 0.2% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.5%  
234 0.1% 99.4%  
235 0.1% 99.3%  
236 0.3% 99.1%  
237 0.8% 98.8%  
238 0.7% 98%  
239 0.9% 97%  
240 0.5% 96%  
241 0.5% 96%  
242 0.8% 95%  
243 2% 95%  
244 3% 92%  
245 2% 89%  
246 1.1% 87%  
247 1.2% 86%  
248 3% 85%  
249 4% 82%  
250 6% 79%  
251 4% 73%  
252 3% 69%  
253 2% 66%  
254 3% 64%  
255 4% 61%  
256 7% 57%  
257 7% 50% Median
258 3% 43%  
259 3% 40%  
260 2% 38%  
261 5% 36%  
262 5% 31%  
263 5% 26%  
264 3% 22%  
265 1.3% 18%  
266 2% 17%  
267 2% 15%  
268 2% 13%  
269 3% 11%  
270 2% 8%  
271 0.7% 6%  
272 0.6% 5%  
273 0.7% 5%  
274 1.0% 4%  
275 1.1% 3%  
276 0.5% 2%  
277 0.3% 1.4%  
278 0.1% 1.2%  
279 0.2% 1.0%  
280 0.3% 0.8%  
281 0.2% 0.5%  
282 0.1% 0.4%  
283 0.1% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.7%  
175 0.2% 99.6%  
176 0.3% 99.3%  
177 0.3% 99.1%  
178 0.5% 98.8%  
179 0.5% 98%  
180 0.8% 98%  
181 1.1% 97%  
182 0.9% 96%  
183 1.0% 95%  
184 2% 94%  
185 3% 92%  
186 1.4% 89%  
187 3% 87%  
188 2% 85%  
189 4% 83%  
190 5% 79%  
191 2% 74%  
192 5% 72%  
193 3% 67%  
194 6% 63%  
195 4% 57%  
196 3% 53% Median
197 8% 51%  
198 4% 43%  
199 3% 39%  
200 4% 35%  
201 4% 31%  
202 3% 27%  
203 5% 24%  
204 3% 19%  
205 1.0% 16%  
206 4% 15%  
207 2% 11%  
208 1.5% 9%  
209 1.1% 8%  
210 0.8% 7%  
211 2% 6%  
212 0.8% 4%  
213 0.7% 3%  
214 0.5% 2%  
215 0.3% 2%  
216 0.5% 2%  
217 0.3% 1.0%  
218 0.2% 0.7%  
219 0.1% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.7%  
145 0.2% 99.6%  
146 0.2% 99.5%  
147 0.3% 99.3%  
148 0.4% 99.0%  
149 0.6% 98.6%  
150 0.5% 98%  
151 0.8% 97%  
152 0.8% 97%  
153 1.3% 96%  
154 2% 95%  
155 2% 93%  
156 3% 91%  
157 2% 89%  
158 4% 87%  
159 4% 83%  
160 4% 80%  
161 4% 76%  
162 5% 72%  
163 5% 68%  
164 5% 63%  
165 5% 58%  
166 5% 54% Median
167 5% 48%  
168 6% 44%  
169 5% 38%  
170 5% 33%  
171 4% 28%  
172 3% 24%  
173 3% 21%  
174 3% 18%  
175 2% 14%  
176 2% 12%  
177 2% 10%  
178 1.5% 8%  
179 1.5% 6%  
180 1.0% 5%  
181 0.9% 4%  
182 0.7% 3%  
183 0.5% 2%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.4% 1.2%  
186 0.2% 0.9%  
187 0.2% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations