Opinion Poll by Forsa, 27 April–3 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 28.0% 26.7–29.4% 26.3–29.8% 26.0–30.1% 25.4–30.8%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 18.7% 17.6–19.9% 17.3–20.2% 17.0–20.5% 16.5–21.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.0–16.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.3% 10.6–13.6% 10.2–14.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.3–11.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.5–5.3% 3.2–5.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 213 203–224 201–227 198–230 193–237
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 142 134–152 131–154 129–157 125–162
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 107 99–115 97–117 95–119 92–124
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 92 84–99 82–102 81–104 78–108
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 70–84 68–86 66–87 63–91
Die Linke 69 46 41–51 39–53 0–54 0–57
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 33 29–38 28–39 27–40 25–43

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 100%  
178 0% 100%  
179 0% 100%  
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0% 100%  
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0.1% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.8%  
193 0.2% 99.6%  
194 0.2% 99.5%  
195 0.4% 99.2%  
196 0.5% 98.8%  
197 0.5% 98%  
198 1.0% 98%  
199 0.9% 97%  
200 1.0% 96%  
201 2% 95%  
202 2% 93%  
203 2% 92%  
204 3% 89%  
205 3% 87%  
206 3% 83%  
207 4% 80%  
208 4% 76%  
209 3% 72%  
210 6% 69%  
211 5% 63%  
212 4% 58%  
213 6% 54% Median
214 5% 48%  
215 5% 43%  
216 4% 38%  
217 4% 34%  
218 4% 29%  
219 4% 25%  
220 3% 22%  
221 3% 18%  
222 2% 16%  
223 2% 13%  
224 2% 11%  
225 2% 9%  
226 1.4% 7%  
227 1.1% 6%  
228 1.1% 5%  
229 0.7% 4%  
230 0.6% 3%  
231 0.5% 2%  
232 0.3% 2%  
233 0.4% 2%  
234 0.4% 1.2%  
235 0.1% 0.9%  
236 0.2% 0.7%  
237 0.1% 0.6%  
238 0.1% 0.4%  
239 0.1% 0.3%  
240 0.1% 0.3%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0.2% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.4%  
127 0.5% 99.2%  
128 0.5% 98.7%  
129 0.8% 98%  
130 1.4% 97%  
131 1.4% 96%  
132 2% 95%  
133 2% 92%  
134 3% 90%  
135 4% 88%  
136 3% 84%  
137 5% 80%  
138 4% 76%  
139 5% 71%  
140 7% 66%  
141 5% 59%  
142 6% 54% Median
143 5% 48%  
144 5% 43%  
145 5% 38%  
146 5% 34%  
147 4% 28%  
148 4% 24%  
149 4% 21%  
150 3% 17%  
151 3% 13%  
152 2% 11%  
153 2% 8%  
154 2% 6%  
155 1.0% 5%  
156 0.9% 4%  
157 0.7% 3%  
158 0.6% 2%  
159 0.4% 1.4%  
160 0.3% 1.0%  
161 0.2% 0.7%  
162 0.1% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.4% 99.2%  
94 0.6% 98.8%  
95 0.8% 98%  
96 1.4% 97%  
97 2% 96%  
98 2% 94%  
99 4% 92%  
100 3% 88%  
101 4% 84%  
102 5% 80%  
103 5% 76%  
104 6% 71%  
105 5% 65%  
106 8% 59%  
107 7% 51% Median
108 6% 44%  
109 6% 38%  
110 4% 32%  
111 3% 28%  
112 5% 24%  
113 4% 20%  
114 4% 15%  
115 3% 12%  
116 3% 8%  
117 2% 6%  
118 1.0% 4%  
119 0.7% 3%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.5% 2%  
122 0.5% 1.3%  
123 0.3% 0.8%  
124 0.2% 0.6%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.3% 99.5%  
79 0.7% 99.2%  
80 0.7% 98% Last Result
81 1.2% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 2% 95%  
84 3% 93%  
85 4% 89%  
86 4% 85%  
87 5% 82%  
88 6% 77%  
89 8% 70%  
90 5% 63%  
91 7% 58%  
92 8% 51% Median
93 7% 43%  
94 5% 37%  
95 5% 31%  
96 5% 26%  
97 4% 21%  
98 4% 16%  
99 3% 12%  
100 2% 9%  
101 2% 7%  
102 2% 5%  
103 1.0% 4%  
104 0.8% 3%  
105 0.6% 2%  
106 0.5% 1.2%  
107 0.2% 0.7%  
108 0.2% 0.5%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.4% 99.5%  
65 0.7% 99.1%  
66 1.1% 98%  
67 2% 97%  
68 2% 96%  
69 3% 94%  
70 4% 91%  
71 5% 87%  
72 4% 82%  
73 5% 78%  
74 7% 73%  
75 8% 66%  
76 7% 58%  
77 8% 51% Median
78 8% 42%  
79 7% 35%  
80 5% 28%  
81 6% 24%  
82 4% 18%  
83 4% 14%  
84 3% 10%  
85 2% 7%  
86 1.5% 5%  
87 1.2% 4%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.2%  
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 0.6% 97%  
39 2% 96%  
40 3% 94%  
41 5% 91%  
42 7% 86%  
43 8% 79%  
44 9% 70%  
45 10% 61%  
46 9% 51% Median
47 9% 42%  
48 8% 32%  
49 6% 24%  
50 5% 18%  
51 4% 13%  
52 3% 9%  
53 2% 6%  
54 1.1% 4%  
55 0.9% 2%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.4% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 0.8% 99.5%  
26 1.1% 98.7%  
27 2% 98%  
28 4% 95%  
29 8% 91%  
30 9% 83%  
31 7% 75%  
32 10% 68%  
33 13% 58% Median
34 12% 45%  
35 8% 33%  
36 6% 25%  
37 7% 19%  
38 4% 12%  
39 3% 8%  
40 2% 4%  
41 0.9% 2%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 0.4% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1% Last Result
47 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 496 100% 485–506 482–511 480–523 475–536
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 480 100% 470–491 467–496 464–508 459–521
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 411 100% 401–423 398–428 395–435 390–448
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 389 100% 378–400 374–405 372–411 367–423
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 373 98.9% 363–386 360–390 357–395 352–407
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 365 88% 353–377 349–379 344–382 334–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 344 12% 332–356 330–360 327–365 322–375
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 320 0.2% 309–332 306–336 303–340 298–350
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 282 0% 271–294 269–298 266–301 261–309
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 267 0% 257–278 253–282 251–286 246–294
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 252 0% 242–263 239–267 236–271 231–277
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 198 0% 189–209 186–212 183–215 179–220
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 152 0% 143–162 139–164 118–166 109–171

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 99.9%  
471 0.1% 99.9%  
472 0.1% 99.9%  
473 0.1% 99.8%  
474 0.2% 99.7%  
475 0.2% 99.5%  
476 0.3% 99.4%  
477 0.3% 99.0%  
478 0.4% 98.8%  
479 0.7% 98%  
480 0.7% 98%  
481 1.3% 97%  
482 1.2% 96%  
483 1.3% 94%  
484 1.4% 93%  
485 3% 92%  
486 3% 89%  
487 3% 86%  
488 3% 83%  
489 3% 80%  
490 4% 77%  
491 5% 72%  
492 3% 68%  
493 5% 64%  
494 4% 59%  
495 5% 55% Median
496 6% 50%  
497 6% 44%  
498 5% 38%  
499 3% 33%  
500 3% 30%  
501 4% 27%  
502 3% 23%  
503 3% 20%  
504 2% 17%  
505 3% 15%  
506 2% 12%  
507 2% 10%  
508 1.3% 8%  
509 0.9% 7%  
510 0.7% 6%  
511 0.7% 5%  
512 0.5% 4%  
513 0.3% 4%  
514 0.3% 4%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0.1% 3%  
517 0.1% 3%  
518 0.1% 3%  
519 0% 3%  
520 0.1% 3%  
521 0.1% 3%  
522 0.2% 3%  
523 0.1% 3%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0% 2%  
526 0.1% 2%  
527 0.4% 2%  
528 0.4% 2%  
529 0.1% 1.4%  
530 0.1% 1.3%  
531 0% 1.2%  
532 0.3% 1.2%  
533 0.1% 0.9%  
534 0.2% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.7%  
536 0.1% 0.5%  
537 0.1% 0.5%  
538 0% 0.4%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0.1% 0.3%  
541 0.1% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0.1% 99.8%  
458 0.1% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.6%  
460 0.4% 99.5%  
461 0.2% 99.1%  
462 0.5% 98.9%  
463 0.5% 98%  
464 0.5% 98%  
465 1.2% 97%  
466 0.7% 96%  
467 1.3% 95%  
468 1.4% 94%  
469 2% 93%  
470 2% 91%  
471 3% 89%  
472 3% 86%  
473 3% 83%  
474 4% 80%  
475 5% 76%  
476 4% 71%  
477 4% 67%  
478 5% 63%  
479 6% 58%  
480 5% 52% Median
481 5% 47%  
482 4% 42%  
483 4% 38%  
484 4% 34%  
485 4% 30%  
486 4% 26%  
487 3% 22%  
488 3% 19%  
489 3% 17%  
490 2% 14%  
491 2% 12%  
492 2% 10%  
493 1.4% 8%  
494 0.7% 7%  
495 0.8% 6%  
496 0.8% 5%  
497 0.4% 4%  
498 0.4% 4%  
499 0.3% 4%  
500 0.2% 3%  
501 0.1% 3%  
502 0.1% 3%  
503 0.1% 3%  
504 0.1% 3%  
505 0.1% 3%  
506 0.2% 3%  
507 0% 3%  
508 0.5% 3%  
509 0.1% 2%  
510 0.3% 2%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.1% 2%  
513 0.1% 1.5%  
514 0.1% 1.4%  
515 0.1% 1.3%  
516 0.1% 1.2%  
517 0.2% 1.1%  
518 0.1% 0.9%  
519 0.2% 0.9%  
520 0.1% 0.7%  
521 0.1% 0.5%  
522 0.2% 0.5%  
523 0.1% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.2% 99.7%  
390 0.2% 99.5%  
391 0.3% 99.3%  
392 0.4% 99.0%  
393 0.3% 98.6%  
394 0.6% 98%  
395 0.7% 98%  
396 1.1% 97%  
397 0.8% 96%  
398 2% 95%  
399 2% 94%  
400 2% 92%  
401 2% 90%  
402 2% 88%  
403 3% 86%  
404 4% 83%  
405 3% 79%  
406 4% 76%  
407 3% 72%  
408 5% 69%  
409 6% 64%  
410 4% 58%  
411 6% 55%  
412 5% 49% Median
413 4% 44%  
414 3% 40%  
415 5% 37%  
416 4% 32%  
417 4% 29%  
418 3% 25%  
419 4% 22%  
420 3% 18%  
421 2% 16%  
422 1.2% 13%  
423 2% 12%  
424 1.4% 10%  
425 1.3% 8%  
426 0.7% 7%  
427 0.9% 6%  
428 0.7% 5%  
429 0.5% 5%  
430 0.4% 4%  
431 0.3% 4%  
432 0.4% 4%  
433 0.3% 3%  
434 0.2% 3%  
435 0.4% 3%  
436 0.4% 2%  
437 0.1% 2%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.1% 2%  
440 0.1% 1.4%  
441 0.1% 1.3%  
442 0.2% 1.2%  
443 0.1% 1.0%  
444 0.2% 1.0%  
445 0.1% 0.8%  
446 0.1% 0.8%  
447 0.1% 0.7%  
448 0% 0.5%  
449 0.1% 0.5%  
450 0.2% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0.1% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.2% 99.5%  
368 0.2% 99.3%  
369 0.5% 99.1%  
370 0.3% 98.6%  
371 0.6% 98%  
372 0.9% 98%  
373 0.6% 97%  
374 2% 96%  
375 0.8% 94%  
376 2% 94%  
377 2% 92%  
378 2% 90%  
379 2% 89%  
380 3% 86%  
381 4% 83%  
382 4% 79%  
383 4% 76%  
384 5% 71%  
385 3% 66%  
386 4% 63%  
387 5% 59%  
388 3% 54% Median
389 7% 51%  
390 3% 45%  
391 4% 42%  
392 5% 38%  
393 3% 33%  
394 4% 30%  
395 3% 26%  
396 3% 23%  
397 4% 21%  
398 2% 16%  
399 3% 14%  
400 2% 11%  
401 2% 10%  
402 1.1% 8%  
403 0.9% 7%  
404 0.9% 6%  
405 0.6% 5%  
406 0.5% 5%  
407 0.5% 4%  
408 0.3% 4%  
409 0.3% 3%  
410 0.3% 3%  
411 0.4% 3%  
412 0.3% 2%  
413 0.2% 2%  
414 0.3% 2%  
415 0.2% 2%  
416 0.3% 1.4%  
417 0.1% 1.1%  
418 0.2% 1.1%  
419 0.1% 0.9%  
420 0.1% 0.8%  
421 0.1% 0.7%  
422 0.1% 0.6%  
423 0.1% 0.6%  
424 0% 0.5%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.3%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0.1% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0.1% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0.1% 99.5%  
353 0.2% 99.4%  
354 0.3% 99.3%  
355 0.6% 98.9% Majority
356 0.6% 98%  
357 0.7% 98%  
358 0.6% 97%  
359 0.6% 96%  
360 2% 96%  
361 0.9% 94%  
362 2% 93%  
363 1.4% 90%  
364 1.2% 89%  
365 4% 88%  
366 4% 83%  
367 4% 80%  
368 3% 76%  
369 3% 72%  
370 4% 70%  
371 6% 66%  
372 2% 59%  
373 7% 57%  
374 3% 50% Median
375 2% 47%  
376 5% 45%  
377 6% 40%  
378 7% 35%  
379 3% 28%  
380 2% 25%  
381 2% 23%  
382 5% 21%  
383 2% 16%  
384 3% 15%  
385 0.9% 11%  
386 1.0% 11%  
387 2% 10%  
388 0.9% 8%  
389 1.4% 7%  
390 0.8% 5%  
391 0.4% 5%  
392 0.3% 4%  
393 0.5% 4%  
394 0.7% 3%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.1% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.1% 2%  
400 0.3% 2%  
401 0.1% 1.3%  
402 0.1% 1.2%  
403 0.1% 1.1%  
404 0.1% 1.1%  
405 0.1% 1.0%  
406 0.3% 0.9%  
407 0.1% 0.6%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.4%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0.1% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.9%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0% 99.7%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0% 99.6%  
334 0% 99.5%  
335 0.1% 99.5%  
336 0.3% 99.4%  
337 0.1% 99.0%  
338 0.1% 98.9%  
339 0.1% 98.8%  
340 0.2% 98.7%  
341 0.1% 98.5%  
342 0.5% 98%  
343 0.2% 98%  
344 0.3% 98%  
345 0.3% 97%  
346 0.4% 97%  
347 0.5% 97%  
348 0.4% 96%  
349 0.9% 96%  
350 0.9% 95%  
351 1.1% 94%  
352 1.3% 93%  
353 2% 92%  
354 2% 90%  
355 2% 88% Majority
356 3% 86%  
357 3% 84%  
358 3% 81%  
359 3% 78%  
360 5% 75%  
361 3% 69%  
362 4% 66%  
363 5% 63%  
364 4% 57%  
365 5% 53%  
366 5% 48% Median
367 3% 43%  
368 4% 40%  
369 5% 36%  
370 4% 32%  
371 4% 28%  
372 3% 24%  
373 3% 21%  
374 2% 18%  
375 2% 15%  
376 3% 13%  
377 2% 10%  
378 2% 8%  
379 2% 6%  
380 0.9% 5%  
381 0.7% 4%  
382 0.9% 3%  
383 0.5% 2%  
384 0.3% 2%  
385 0.3% 1.3%  
386 0.3% 1.0%  
387 0.2% 0.7%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.2% 99.5%  
323 0.3% 99.3%  
324 0.3% 99.0%  
325 0.3% 98.7%  
326 0.5% 98%  
327 0.9% 98%  
328 0.7% 97%  
329 0.9% 96%  
330 2% 95%  
331 2% 94%  
332 2% 92%  
333 3% 90%  
334 2% 87%  
335 2% 85%  
336 3% 82%  
337 3% 79%  
338 4% 76%  
339 4% 72%  
340 5% 68%  
341 4% 64%  
342 3% 60%  
343 5% 57%  
344 5% 52% Median
345 4% 47%  
346 5% 43%  
347 4% 37%  
348 3% 34%  
349 5% 31%  
350 3% 25%  
351 3% 22%  
352 3% 19%  
353 3% 16%  
354 2% 14%  
355 2% 12% Majority
356 2% 10%  
357 1.3% 8%  
358 1.1% 7%  
359 0.9% 6%  
360 0.9% 5%  
361 0.4% 4%  
362 0.5% 4%  
363 0.4% 3%  
364 0.3% 3%  
365 0.3% 3%  
366 0.2% 2%  
367 0.5% 2%  
368 0.1% 2%  
369 0.2% 1.5%  
370 0.1% 1.3%  
371 0.1% 1.2%  
372 0.1% 1.1%  
373 0.3% 1.0%  
374 0.1% 0.6%  
375 0% 0.5%  
376 0% 0.5%  
377 0.1% 0.4%  
378 0% 0.3%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0.1% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.9%  
296 0.1% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.7%  
298 0.2% 99.6%  
299 0.2% 99.4%  
300 0.3% 99.2%  
301 0.3% 98.9%  
302 0.6% 98.6%  
303 0.5% 98%  
304 1.1% 97%  
305 0.9% 96%  
306 1.2% 95%  
307 1.4% 94%  
308 2% 93%  
309 2% 91%  
310 3% 89%  
311 3% 86%  
312 3% 83%  
313 3% 80%  
314 3% 77%  
315 4% 74%  
316 4% 70%  
317 5% 66%  
318 5% 61%  
319 4% 56%  
320 4% 51% Median
321 5% 48%  
322 4% 43%  
323 6% 39%  
324 3% 33%  
325 3% 30%  
326 3% 27%  
327 3% 24%  
328 3% 21%  
329 3% 18%  
330 3% 15%  
331 1.5% 12%  
332 1.2% 10%  
333 1.3% 9%  
334 1.4% 8%  
335 1.3% 7%  
336 1.0% 5%  
337 0.7% 4%  
338 0.4% 4%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.4% 3%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.6% 2%  
343 0.2% 2%  
344 0.1% 1.3%  
345 0.1% 1.2%  
346 0.2% 1.1%  
347 0.1% 0.9%  
348 0.1% 0.9%  
349 0.3% 0.8%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0% 0.5%  
352 0.1% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0.2% 99.7%  
261 0.2% 99.5%  
262 0.3% 99.4%  
263 0.3% 99.1%  
264 0.5% 98.8%  
265 0.6% 98%  
266 0.7% 98%  
267 1.1% 97%  
268 0.9% 96%  
269 1.3% 95%  
270 2% 94%  
271 2% 92%  
272 3% 90%  
273 2% 87%  
274 4% 85%  
275 3% 81%  
276 4% 78%  
277 3% 75%  
278 5% 72%  
279 4% 67%  
280 5% 63%  
281 4% 59%  
282 6% 55% Median
283 3% 48%  
284 5% 46%  
285 5% 41%  
286 4% 36%  
287 3% 32%  
288 5% 29%  
289 3% 24%  
290 2% 20%  
291 2% 18%  
292 3% 16%  
293 2% 13%  
294 2% 10%  
295 1.5% 9%  
296 1.1% 7%  
297 1.1% 6%  
298 1.0% 5%  
299 0.6% 4%  
300 0.7% 4%  
301 0.4% 3%  
302 0.4% 2%  
303 0.3% 2%  
304 0.3% 2%  
305 0.2% 1.5%  
306 0.1% 1.2%  
307 0.4% 1.1%  
308 0.1% 0.7%  
309 0.1% 0.6%  
310 0.1% 0.5%  
311 0.1% 0.4%  
312 0.1% 0.3%  
313 0.1% 0.3%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.7%  
246 0.1% 99.6%  
247 0.3% 99.4%  
248 0.4% 99.1%  
249 0.4% 98.8%  
250 0.6% 98%  
251 0.8% 98%  
252 0.8% 97%  
253 1.5% 96%  
254 1.3% 95%  
255 1.3% 93%  
256 2% 92%  
257 2% 90%  
258 3% 88%  
259 4% 85%  
260 3% 82%  
261 4% 79%  
262 4% 75%  
263 4% 71%  
264 6% 67%  
265 5% 61%  
266 4% 57%  
267 4% 53% Median
268 5% 49%  
269 5% 44%  
270 3% 38%  
271 5% 35%  
272 4% 30%  
273 3% 27%  
274 3% 23%  
275 3% 20%  
276 3% 17%  
277 3% 15%  
278 2% 12%  
279 1.3% 10%  
280 2% 9%  
281 0.8% 7%  
282 1.5% 6%  
283 0.9% 5%  
284 0.7% 4%  
285 0.6% 3%  
286 0.4% 3%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.2% 2%  
289 0.3% 2%  
290 0.3% 1.3%  
291 0.1% 1.0%  
292 0.1% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.8%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0% 0.3%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0.1% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0.1% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.2% 99.6%  
232 0.1% 99.4%  
233 0.3% 99.3%  
234 0.6% 99.0%  
235 0.5% 98%  
236 0.8% 98%  
237 0.9% 97%  
238 1.2% 96%  
239 1.5% 95%  
240 2% 94%  
241 2% 92%  
242 2% 90%  
243 3% 88%  
244 3% 85%  
245 4% 82%  
246 3% 78%  
247 4% 75%  
248 4% 71%  
249 4% 67%  
250 4% 63%  
251 6% 59%  
252 5% 53% Median
253 5% 48%  
254 3% 43%  
255 7% 41%  
256 4% 34%  
257 5% 30%  
258 3% 26%  
259 4% 22%  
260 2% 19%  
261 3% 16%  
262 2% 14%  
263 2% 12%  
264 2% 10%  
265 1.2% 8%  
266 1.1% 7%  
267 1.1% 6%  
268 0.8% 5%  
269 0.6% 4%  
270 0.6% 3%  
271 0.4% 3%  
272 0.3% 2%  
273 0.5% 2%  
274 0.4% 1.4%  
275 0.2% 1.0%  
276 0.2% 0.8%  
277 0.1% 0.6%  
278 0.1% 0.4%  
279 0.1% 0.3%  
280 0.1% 0.3%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.1% 99.7%  
179 0.3% 99.6%  
180 0.3% 99.3%  
181 0.3% 99.0%  
182 0.4% 98.7%  
183 0.9% 98%  
184 1.1% 97%  
185 0.9% 96%  
186 1.4% 95%  
187 2% 94%  
188 1.5% 92%  
189 3% 91%  
190 3% 88%  
191 3% 84%  
192 3% 81%  
193 4% 78%  
194 6% 75%  
195 5% 69%  
196 4% 64%  
197 5% 59%  
198 6% 55%  
199 5% 49% Median
200 6% 44%  
201 4% 38%  
202 3% 34%  
203 3% 31%  
204 5% 28%  
205 4% 23%  
206 2% 18%  
207 2% 16%  
208 2% 14%  
209 3% 12%  
210 2% 9%  
211 1.4% 7%  
212 1.1% 6%  
213 0.9% 5%  
214 0.6% 4%  
215 1.0% 3%  
216 0.6% 2%  
217 0.4% 2%  
218 0.2% 1.1%  
219 0.2% 0.9%  
220 0.2% 0.7%  
221 0.1% 0.5%  
222 0.1% 0.4%  
223 0.1% 0.3%  
224 0.1% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.7%  
108 0.1% 99.6%  
109 0.2% 99.5%  
110 0.1% 99.3%  
111 0.2% 99.2%  
112 0.2% 99.0%  
113 0.1% 98.9%  
114 0.3% 98.7%  
115 0.2% 98%  
116 0.5% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.1% 98%  
119 0.1% 97%  
120 0% 97%  
121 0% 97%  
122 0.1% 97%  
123 0% 97%  
124 0% 97%  
125 0% 97%  
126 0.1% 97%  
127 0% 97%  
128 0% 97%  
129 0% 97%  
130 0% 97%  
131 0% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0.1% 97%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.3% 97%  
137 0.4% 96%  
138 0.3% 96%  
139 1.0% 96%  
140 1.0% 95%  
141 1.0% 94%  
142 2% 93%  
143 3% 91%  
144 2% 88%  
145 3% 85%  
146 4% 82%  
147 3% 79%  
148 3% 76%  
149 5% 73%  
150 7% 67%  
151 5% 60%  
152 8% 55%  
153 5% 47% Median
154 4% 42%  
155 6% 38%  
156 4% 32%  
157 3% 28%  
158 3% 24%  
159 5% 21%  
160 3% 16%  
161 3% 13%  
162 3% 10%  
163 2% 7%  
164 1.2% 6%  
165 1.3% 5%  
166 0.9% 3%  
167 0.6% 2%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.4% 1.3%  
170 0.3% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.4%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations