Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 3–5 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 26.0% 24.5–27.6% 24.1–28.0% 23.7–28.4% 23.0–29.2%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 18.7% 17.4–20.1% 17.0–20.5% 16.7–20.9% 16.1–21.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.2–16.0% 11.7–16.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.4–13.8% 9.9–14.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 11.0% 10.0–12.2% 9.7–12.5% 9.5–12.8% 9.0–13.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.9%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.3% 3.7–5.1% 3.5–5.3% 3.3–5.5% 3.0–5.9%
Freie Wähler 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 199 189–213 185–216 182–219 177–228
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 144 134–156 132–158 129–161 124–168
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 99–118 96–120 94–123 90–128
Alternative für Deutschland 94 92 84–102 82–104 80–107 76–111
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 85 77–94 75–97 73–99 69–103
Die Linke 69 46 40–53 39–55 0–57 0–60
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 34 28–39 27–41 26–43 24–45
Freie Wähler 0 0 0 0 0 0

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.8%  
176 0.1% 99.7%  
177 0.2% 99.6%  
178 0.4% 99.4%  
179 0.2% 99.1%  
180 0.3% 98.8%  
181 0.4% 98.6%  
182 0.8% 98%  
183 0.6% 97%  
184 1.1% 97%  
185 1.0% 96%  
186 1.4% 95%  
187 1.1% 93%  
188 1.4% 92%  
189 3% 91%  
190 2% 88%  
191 3% 86%  
192 5% 83%  
193 3% 78%  
194 2% 74%  
195 4% 73%  
196 5% 68%  
197 2% 63%  
198 7% 61%  
199 4% 54% Median
200 3% 50%  
201 3% 47%  
202 5% 43%  
203 3% 38%  
204 4% 36%  
205 4% 32%  
206 4% 28%  
207 3% 24%  
208 4% 21%  
209 1.4% 17%  
210 2% 16%  
211 2% 14%  
212 0.9% 11%  
213 2% 10%  
214 1.3% 8%  
215 1.1% 7%  
216 1.2% 6%  
217 0.9% 4%  
218 0.4% 3%  
219 0.7% 3%  
220 0.4% 2%  
221 0.2% 2%  
222 0.4% 2%  
223 0.3% 1.4%  
224 0.2% 1.0%  
225 0.1% 0.9%  
226 0.1% 0.7%  
227 0.1% 0.6%  
228 0.1% 0.6%  
229 0.1% 0.5%  
230 0.1% 0.4%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.7%  
124 0.1% 99.5%  
125 0.3% 99.4%  
126 0.4% 99.1%  
127 0.3% 98.7%  
128 0.7% 98%  
129 1.1% 98%  
130 0.7% 97%  
131 0.9% 96%  
132 1.3% 95%  
133 2% 94%  
134 6% 92%  
135 2% 86%  
136 4% 85%  
137 3% 81%  
138 2% 78%  
139 4% 76%  
140 5% 72%  
141 4% 67%  
142 6% 64%  
143 3% 58%  
144 5% 55% Median
145 5% 50%  
146 5% 45%  
147 5% 41%  
148 3% 35%  
149 6% 32%  
150 2% 26%  
151 4% 24%  
152 5% 20%  
153 2% 15%  
154 1.0% 13%  
155 2% 12%  
156 2% 11%  
157 3% 9%  
158 0.6% 5%  
159 0.9% 5%  
160 1.2% 4%  
161 0.4% 3%  
162 0.4% 2%  
163 0.7% 2%  
164 0.2% 1.2%  
165 0.2% 1.0%  
166 0.1% 0.8%  
167 0.1% 0.6%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 0.4% 99.4%  
92 0.6% 99.0%  
93 0.8% 98%  
94 0.5% 98%  
95 1.1% 97%  
96 2% 96%  
97 2% 94%  
98 2% 93%  
99 3% 91%  
100 2% 88%  
101 4% 86%  
102 4% 82%  
103 4% 77%  
104 4% 73%  
105 8% 69%  
106 4% 61%  
107 4% 57%  
108 7% 54% Median
109 6% 46%  
110 4% 40%  
111 4% 36%  
112 3% 32%  
113 3% 29%  
114 9% 26%  
115 3% 17%  
116 1.4% 13%  
117 2% 12%  
118 3% 10%  
119 1.2% 7%  
120 1.3% 6%  
121 1.4% 5%  
122 0.5% 3%  
123 0.5% 3%  
124 0.6% 2%  
125 0.4% 2%  
126 0.4% 1.3%  
127 0.3% 0.9%  
128 0.1% 0.6%  
129 0.1% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.3% 99.6%  
77 0.5% 99.4%  
78 0.4% 98.8%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 0.7% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 2% 96%  
83 2% 94%  
84 3% 92%  
85 4% 89%  
86 5% 85%  
87 4% 81%  
88 5% 76%  
89 4% 72%  
90 5% 68%  
91 7% 63%  
92 6% 56% Median
93 8% 50%  
94 4% 42% Last Result
95 4% 38%  
96 5% 33%  
97 4% 28%  
98 6% 24%  
99 3% 18%  
100 3% 16%  
101 2% 12%  
102 3% 10%  
103 2% 8%  
104 1.0% 6%  
105 1.0% 5%  
106 1.2% 4%  
107 0.6% 3%  
108 0.5% 2%  
109 0.3% 1.4%  
110 0.3% 1.1%  
111 0.2% 0.7%  
112 0.1% 0.5%  
113 0.1% 0.4%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 0.5% 99.2%  
72 0.7% 98.7%  
73 1.0% 98%  
74 2% 97%  
75 3% 95%  
76 2% 92%  
77 3% 91%  
78 4% 88%  
79 3% 84%  
80 5% 81% Last Result
81 4% 76%  
82 6% 71%  
83 9% 65%  
84 5% 56%  
85 4% 51% Median
86 4% 46%  
87 7% 42%  
88 3% 35%  
89 6% 32%  
90 4% 27%  
91 5% 22%  
92 5% 17%  
93 3% 13%  
94 2% 10%  
95 1.3% 8%  
96 1.3% 7%  
97 2% 5%  
98 1.0% 4%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.3%  
102 0.2% 0.9%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0% 96%  
38 0.1% 96%  
39 2% 96%  
40 4% 93%  
41 4% 89%  
42 7% 85%  
43 7% 78%  
44 6% 72%  
45 9% 66%  
46 9% 56% Median
47 7% 48%  
48 8% 40%  
49 6% 33%  
50 7% 27%  
51 5% 20%  
52 5% 15%  
53 3% 11%  
54 2% 8%  
55 2% 6%  
56 0.9% 4%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.4% 2%  
59 0.4% 1.1%  
60 0.3% 0.7%  
61 0.1% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.2% 99.7%  
24 0.9% 99.6%  
25 0.4% 98.7%  
26 3% 98%  
27 2% 95%  
28 5% 94%  
29 4% 89%  
30 10% 85%  
31 5% 75%  
32 11% 70%  
33 8% 59%  
34 11% 51% Median
35 7% 40%  
36 8% 33%  
37 8% 25%  
38 4% 16%  
39 5% 13%  
40 2% 8%  
41 3% 6%  
42 0.5% 3%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.2% 1.3%  
45 0.7% 1.1%  
46 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 486 100% 473–499 470–505 466–518 461–531
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 463 100% 450–476 447–483 443–492 437–507
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 393 100% 380–408 376–413 373–419 367–433
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 378 99.0% 365–391 360–398 358–403 351–417
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 371 94% 357–386 353–390 351–396 345–409
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 355 52% 342–370 339–376 335–381 329–392
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 354 48% 339–367 333–370 328–374 317–380
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 307 0% 295–322 291–327 288–332 281–343
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 286 0% 273–299 269–304 266–308 260–318
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 270 0% 258–284 255–289 251–292 246–302
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 263 0% 250–276 246–281 244–285 238–294
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 193 0% 181–206 178–209 176–212 171–219
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 154 0% 142–165 135–168 118–171 106–176

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0.1% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.8%  
458 0.1% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.7%  
460 0.1% 99.7%  
461 0.2% 99.5%  
462 0.2% 99.4%  
463 0.5% 99.2%  
464 0.3% 98.7%  
465 0.2% 98%  
466 0.9% 98% Last Result
467 0.6% 97%  
468 0.6% 97%  
469 0.5% 96%  
470 1.2% 96%  
471 3% 94%  
472 1.1% 91%  
473 2% 90%  
474 2% 88%  
475 2% 87%  
476 2% 85%  
477 3% 82%  
478 2% 79%  
479 3% 77%  
480 3% 74%  
481 6% 71%  
482 2% 65%  
483 4% 63%  
484 4% 58%  
485 3% 54% Median
486 5% 51%  
487 6% 46%  
488 3% 41%  
489 2% 37%  
490 3% 35%  
491 6% 32%  
492 1.4% 26%  
493 1.2% 24%  
494 5% 23%  
495 3% 19%  
496 0.5% 15%  
497 2% 15%  
498 2% 12%  
499 1.5% 10%  
500 1.2% 9%  
501 0.7% 7%  
502 0.3% 7%  
503 0.6% 6%  
504 0.5% 6%  
505 0.4% 5%  
506 0.2% 5%  
507 0.3% 5%  
508 0.1% 4%  
509 0.1% 4%  
510 0.1% 4%  
511 0.2% 4%  
512 0.2% 4%  
513 0.1% 4%  
514 0.2% 4%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0.1% 3%  
517 0.5% 3%  
518 0.4% 3%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.1% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0.3% 2%  
523 0.1% 1.5%  
524 0.2% 1.3%  
525 0.1% 1.1%  
526 0.1% 1.0%  
527 0.1% 0.9%  
528 0% 0.9%  
529 0.1% 0.8%  
530 0.1% 0.8%  
531 0.2% 0.7%  
532 0% 0.5%  
533 0.1% 0.4%  
534 0.1% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0.1% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.2% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.5%  
439 0.4% 99.3%  
440 0.2% 98.9%  
441 0.7% 98.7%  
442 0.3% 98%  
443 0.4% 98%  
444 0.7% 97%  
445 0.8% 97%  
446 0.9% 96%  
447 0.7% 95%  
448 1.1% 94%  
449 2% 93%  
450 4% 91%  
451 2% 88%  
452 2% 86%  
453 2% 84%  
454 1.2% 82%  
455 3% 80%  
456 4% 77%  
457 2% 73%  
458 2% 71%  
459 6% 69%  
460 4% 63%  
461 5% 59%  
462 4% 54% Median
463 4% 50%  
464 5% 46%  
465 3% 41%  
466 4% 38%  
467 2% 34%  
468 2% 32%  
469 4% 30%  
470 5% 26%  
471 2% 21%  
472 2% 18%  
473 2% 17%  
474 2% 15%  
475 2% 13%  
476 2% 11%  
477 0.8% 9%  
478 0.9% 9%  
479 0.5% 8%  
480 0.4% 7%  
481 1.2% 7%  
482 0.6% 6%  
483 0.3% 5%  
484 0.2% 5%  
485 0.7% 4%  
486 0.2% 4%  
487 0.1% 4%  
488 0.2% 3%  
489 0.1% 3%  
490 0.2% 3%  
491 0.4% 3%  
492 0.1% 3%  
493 0.3% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.1% 1.4%  
501 0.1% 1.4%  
502 0.1% 1.2%  
503 0.1% 1.2%  
504 0.3% 1.1%  
505 0.1% 0.9%  
506 0.1% 0.8%  
507 0.3% 0.6%  
508 0% 0.4%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0.1% 0.2%  
512 0.1% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.6%  
367 0.2% 99.5%  
368 0.2% 99.4%  
369 0.1% 99.2%  
370 0.5% 99.1%  
371 0.4% 98.5%  
372 0.3% 98%  
373 0.4% 98%  
374 0.6% 97%  
375 0.8% 97%  
376 2% 96%  
377 1.2% 95%  
378 1.0% 93%  
379 2% 92%  
380 3% 91%  
381 1.5% 88%  
382 3% 87%  
383 2% 84%  
384 2% 82%  
385 3% 79%  
386 4% 77%  
387 4% 73%  
388 4% 69%  
389 2% 65%  
390 3% 63%  
391 3% 60%  
392 5% 57% Median
393 5% 52%  
394 4% 47%  
395 2% 42%  
396 6% 40%  
397 4% 35%  
398 3% 31%  
399 2% 28%  
400 2% 25%  
401 2% 23%  
402 4% 21%  
403 2% 17%  
404 1.2% 16%  
405 2% 14%  
406 1.2% 12%  
407 1.1% 11%  
408 2% 10%  
409 1.1% 8%  
410 1.0% 7%  
411 0.7% 6%  
412 0.4% 6%  
413 0.5% 5%  
414 0.8% 5%  
415 0.2% 4%  
416 0.2% 4%  
417 0.2% 4%  
418 0.5% 3%  
419 0.4% 3%  
420 0.3% 2%  
421 0.1% 2%  
422 0.1% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.1% 2%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.2% 1.3%  
427 0.2% 1.2%  
428 0.1% 1.0%  
429 0.1% 0.9%  
430 0.1% 0.8%  
431 0% 0.7%  
432 0% 0.7%  
433 0.1% 0.6%  
434 0.1% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.4%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.3%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0.1% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.5%  
353 0.1% 99.3%  
354 0.2% 99.2%  
355 0.3% 99.0% Majority
356 0.7% 98.7%  
357 0.4% 98%  
358 0.6% 98%  
359 1.4% 97%  
360 0.7% 96%  
361 0.8% 95%  
362 0.6% 94%  
363 2% 94%  
364 0.7% 92%  
365 2% 91%  
366 2% 89%  
367 5% 87%  
368 2% 83%  
369 5% 81%  
370 2% 76%  
371 3% 74%  
372 3% 70%  
373 3% 67%  
374 1.0% 64%  
375 3% 63%  
376 4% 60%  
377 4% 57% Median
378 4% 53%  
379 5% 49%  
380 5% 44%  
381 3% 38%  
382 2% 35%  
383 4% 33%  
384 3% 29%  
385 1.2% 26%  
386 4% 25%  
387 2% 21%  
388 3% 18%  
389 3% 16%  
390 2% 13%  
391 1.3% 11%  
392 0.6% 10%  
393 1.1% 9%  
394 0.6% 8%  
395 1.0% 7%  
396 0.5% 6%  
397 0.6% 6%  
398 0.8% 5%  
399 0.7% 5%  
400 0.5% 4%  
401 0.3% 3%  
402 0.2% 3%  
403 0.4% 3%  
404 0.2% 2%  
405 0.1% 2%  
406 0.1% 2%  
407 0.2% 2%  
408 0.2% 2%  
409 0.3% 2%  
410 0.2% 1.4%  
411 0.1% 1.2%  
412 0.1% 1.2%  
413 0.2% 1.1%  
414 0% 0.9%  
415 0.2% 0.9%  
416 0.2% 0.7%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0% 0.4%  
419 0.1% 0.4%  
420 0% 0.3%  
421 0.1% 0.3%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0.1% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.1% 99.6%  
346 0.2% 99.5%  
347 0.2% 99.2%  
348 0.2% 99.0%  
349 0.6% 98.8%  
350 0.8% 98%  
351 0.3% 98%  
352 1.0% 97%  
353 1.3% 96%  
354 1.3% 95%  
355 1.4% 94% Majority
356 1.5% 92%  
357 2% 91%  
358 0.9% 89%  
359 2% 88%  
360 2% 86%  
361 2% 85%  
362 1.4% 83%  
363 5% 82%  
364 3% 77%  
365 3% 73%  
366 4% 71%  
367 3% 67%  
368 5% 64%  
369 5% 58%  
370 2% 53%  
371 2% 51% Median
372 4% 48%  
373 4% 44%  
374 3% 40%  
375 2% 38%  
376 6% 35%  
377 4% 30%  
378 3% 26%  
379 4% 23%  
380 2% 19%  
381 2% 17%  
382 2% 15%  
383 1.4% 13%  
384 1.0% 12%  
385 1.0% 11%  
386 2% 10%  
387 0.8% 9%  
388 0.5% 8%  
389 1.2% 7%  
390 1.2% 6%  
391 0.7% 5%  
392 0.3% 4%  
393 0.5% 4%  
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.2% 3%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.1% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.1% 2%  
400 0.2% 2%  
401 0.1% 2%  
402 0.1% 2%  
403 0.1% 1.5%  
404 0.3% 1.3%  
405 0.1% 1.1%  
406 0.1% 1.0%  
407 0.1% 0.9%  
408 0.3% 0.8%  
409 0.1% 0.5%  
410 0% 0.4%  
411 0% 0.4%  
412 0.1% 0.4%  
413 0% 0.3%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0.1% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0.1% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.8%  
327 0.1% 99.8%  
328 0.1% 99.7%  
329 0.1% 99.6%  
330 0.2% 99.5%  
331 0.2% 99.3%  
332 0.3% 99.2%  
333 0.5% 98.9%  
334 0.2% 98%  
335 0.8% 98%  
336 1.0% 97%  
337 0.5% 96%  
338 0.8% 96%  
339 0.7% 95%  
340 1.2% 94%  
341 2% 93%  
342 1.3% 91%  
343 2% 90%  
344 2% 88%  
345 1.2% 86%  
346 4% 85%  
347 3% 81%  
348 2% 79%  
349 4% 76%  
350 2% 73%  
351 7% 71%  
352 5% 64%  
353 3% 59%  
354 4% 56%  
355 3% 52% Median, Majority
356 4% 49%  
357 3% 45%  
358 3% 42%  
359 4% 39%  
360 3% 35%  
361 3% 32%  
362 3% 28%  
363 2% 26%  
364 4% 23%  
365 3% 19%  
366 0.8% 16%  
367 1.4% 15%  
368 2% 13%  
369 0.8% 11%  
370 1.4% 10%  
371 0.9% 9%  
372 1.0% 8%  
373 0.7% 7%  
374 0.4% 6%  
375 0.8% 6%  
376 0.7% 5%  
377 0.9% 4%  
378 0.5% 4%  
379 0.4% 3%  
380 0.2% 3%  
381 0.3% 3%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.4% 2%  
385 0.1% 1.4%  
386 0.3% 1.4%  
387 0.1% 1.1%  
388 0.1% 1.0%  
389 0.1% 0.9%  
390 0.2% 0.8%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.8%  
312 0% 99.8%  
313 0% 99.8%  
314 0% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.7%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.1% 99.5%  
319 0.2% 99.4%  
320 0.1% 99.2%  
321 0.1% 99.1%  
322 0.1% 99.0%  
323 0.3% 98.9%  
324 0.1% 98.6%  
325 0.4% 98.5%  
326 0.2% 98%  
327 0.2% 98%  
328 0.3% 98%  
329 0.2% 97%  
330 0.4% 97%  
331 0.5% 97%  
332 0.9% 96%  
333 0.7% 95%  
334 0.8% 95%  
335 0.4% 94%  
336 0.7% 94%  
337 1.0% 93%  
338 0.9% 92%  
339 1.4% 91%  
340 0.8% 90%  
341 2% 89%  
342 1.4% 87%  
343 0.8% 85%  
344 3% 84%  
345 4% 81%  
346 2% 77%  
347 3% 74%  
348 3% 72%  
349 3% 68%  
350 4% 65%  
351 3% 61%  
352 3% 58%  
353 4% 55% Median
354 3% 51%  
355 4% 48% Majority
356 3% 44%  
357 5% 41%  
358 7% 36%  
359 2% 29%  
360 4% 27%  
361 2% 24%  
362 3% 21%  
363 4% 19%  
364 1.2% 15%  
365 2% 14%  
366 2% 12%  
367 1.3% 10%  
368 2% 9%  
369 1.2% 7%  
370 0.7% 6%  
371 0.8% 5%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 1.0% 4%  
374 0.8% 3%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.5% 2%  
377 0.3% 1.1%  
378 0.2% 0.8%  
379 0.2% 0.7%  
380 0.1% 0.5%  
381 0.1% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0.1% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0.2% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.4%  
283 0.1% 99.3%  
284 0.2% 99.2%  
285 0.5% 99.1%  
286 0.3% 98.6%  
287 0.4% 98%  
288 0.5% 98%  
289 0.7% 97%  
290 1.2% 97%  
291 0.7% 95%  
292 0.9% 95%  
293 1.1% 94%  
294 2% 93%  
295 1.0% 90%  
296 2% 89%  
297 2% 87%  
298 3% 85%  
299 3% 83%  
300 2% 80%  
301 5% 78%  
302 2% 72%  
303 7% 71%  
304 2% 64%  
305 3% 62%  
306 5% 59%  
307 5% 54% Median
308 2% 50%  
309 2% 48%  
310 9% 46%  
311 2% 37%  
312 3% 35%  
313 2% 32%  
314 3% 29%  
315 4% 26%  
316 2% 22%  
317 2% 20%  
318 4% 19%  
319 1.5% 15%  
320 1.4% 13%  
321 0.8% 12%  
322 2% 11%  
323 2% 9%  
324 1.1% 8%  
325 0.9% 6%  
326 0.4% 6%  
327 0.9% 5%  
328 0.4% 4%  
329 0.3% 4%  
330 0.4% 4%  
331 0.6% 3%  
332 0.6% 3%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.2% 2%  
335 0.2% 1.5%  
336 0.2% 1.3%  
337 0.1% 1.1%  
338 0.1% 1.0%  
339 0.1% 0.9%  
340 0.1% 0.8%  
341 0% 0.7%  
342 0.2% 0.7%  
343 0.1% 0.5%  
344 0.1% 0.5%  
345 0.1% 0.4%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.3%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.8%  
259 0.1% 99.7%  
260 0.1% 99.6%  
261 0.2% 99.4%  
262 0.1% 99.2%  
263 0.4% 99.1%  
264 0.4% 98.7%  
265 0.5% 98%  
266 0.4% 98%  
267 0.8% 97%  
268 0.8% 97%  
269 1.2% 96%  
270 0.7% 95%  
271 0.9% 94%  
272 3% 93%  
273 2% 90%  
274 2% 89%  
275 3% 87%  
276 2% 84%  
277 3% 82%  
278 4% 80%  
279 3% 76%  
280 5% 73%  
281 3% 68%  
282 4% 66%  
283 3% 62%  
284 3% 59%  
285 6% 57%  
286 2% 51% Median
287 4% 49%  
288 3% 45%  
289 5% 41%  
290 4% 36%  
291 3% 32%  
292 2% 29%  
293 5% 27%  
294 1.3% 23%  
295 3% 21%  
296 2% 18%  
297 2% 16%  
298 2% 14%  
299 4% 13%  
300 1.1% 9%  
301 0.8% 8%  
302 1.1% 7%  
303 0.8% 6%  
304 0.8% 5%  
305 0.9% 5%  
306 0.5% 4%  
307 0.3% 3%  
308 0.4% 3%  
309 0.4% 2%  
310 0.2% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.3% 2%  
313 0.1% 1.5%  
314 0.3% 1.4%  
315 0.2% 1.1%  
316 0.1% 0.9%  
317 0.2% 0.7%  
318 0.1% 0.5%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0% 0.3%  
321 0.1% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.2% 99.5%  
247 0.3% 99.3%  
248 0.3% 99.0%  
249 0.6% 98.7%  
250 0.4% 98%  
251 0.7% 98%  
252 0.5% 97%  
253 0.5% 96%  
254 0.6% 96%  
255 1.2% 95%  
256 1.4% 94%  
257 2% 93%  
258 1.2% 91%  
259 2% 90%  
260 1.4% 88%  
261 3% 86%  
262 3% 83%  
263 4% 80%  
264 3% 76%  
265 3% 73%  
266 2% 70%  
267 6% 68%  
268 5% 62%  
269 6% 57%  
270 5% 51% Median
271 4% 47%  
272 3% 43%  
273 4% 40%  
274 3% 37%  
275 4% 33%  
276 4% 30%  
277 2% 25%  
278 2% 23%  
279 1.2% 22%  
280 2% 20%  
281 4% 18%  
282 2% 15%  
283 1.1% 12%  
284 2% 11%  
285 0.9% 9%  
286 0.9% 8%  
287 1.3% 7%  
288 0.9% 6%  
289 1.0% 5%  
290 0.7% 4%  
291 0.7% 4%  
292 0.4% 3%  
293 0.3% 2%  
294 0.3% 2%  
295 0.4% 2%  
296 0.2% 1.4%  
297 0.2% 1.2%  
298 0.2% 1.0%  
299 0.1% 0.8%  
300 0.1% 0.7%  
301 0.1% 0.6%  
302 0.1% 0.5%  
303 0.1% 0.4%  
304 0% 0.3%  
305 0% 0.3%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.2% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.2% 99.5%  
239 0.1% 99.3%  
240 0.3% 99.2%  
241 0.5% 99.0%  
242 0.4% 98%  
243 0.3% 98%  
244 0.5% 98%  
245 2% 97%  
246 0.6% 95%  
247 0.6% 95%  
248 1.4% 94%  
249 2% 93%  
250 2% 91%  
251 2% 89%  
252 0.9% 87%  
253 3% 86%  
254 5% 84%  
255 2% 79%  
256 2% 77%  
257 3% 75%  
258 4% 72%  
259 5% 68%  
260 3% 63%  
261 4% 60%  
262 3% 56%  
263 4% 53% Median
264 4% 49%  
265 4% 45%  
266 5% 41%  
267 4% 37%  
268 4% 33%  
269 2% 29%  
270 3% 26%  
271 5% 24%  
272 3% 19%  
273 1.4% 16%  
274 2% 15%  
275 2% 13%  
276 0.9% 10%  
277 1.0% 10%  
278 1.0% 9%  
279 1.1% 8%  
280 1.1% 6%  
281 1.4% 5%  
282 0.6% 4%  
283 0.4% 3%  
284 0.2% 3%  
285 0.4% 3%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 0.4% 2%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.3% 1.5%  
290 0.2% 1.2%  
291 0.1% 1.0%  
292 0.2% 0.9%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0% 0.5%  
296 0% 0.5%  
297 0% 0.4%  
298 0.1% 0.4%  
299 0.1% 0.3%  
300 0.1% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.7%  
171 0.1% 99.6%  
172 0.2% 99.5%  
173 0.5% 99.2%  
174 0.4% 98.8%  
175 0.6% 98%  
176 1.2% 98%  
177 1.0% 97%  
178 1.5% 96%  
179 1.1% 94%  
180 2% 93%  
181 2% 90%  
182 2% 89%  
183 2% 87%  
184 2% 84%  
185 2% 83%  
186 3% 81%  
187 1.5% 78%  
188 5% 76%  
189 4% 71%  
190 5% 67%  
191 5% 63%  
192 3% 58%  
193 6% 54% Median
194 4% 48%  
195 6% 44%  
196 5% 38%  
197 6% 33%  
198 3% 27%  
199 2% 25%  
200 3% 23%  
201 3% 20%  
202 1.4% 17%  
203 1.3% 16%  
204 2% 15%  
205 2% 12%  
206 2% 10%  
207 0.7% 8%  
208 0.9% 7%  
209 1.4% 6%  
210 0.6% 5%  
211 1.3% 4%  
212 0.4% 3%  
213 0.6% 2%  
214 0.4% 2%  
215 0.4% 1.5%  
216 0.2% 1.1%  
217 0.1% 0.9%  
218 0.2% 0.8%  
219 0.2% 0.6%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.3%  
223 0.1% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.2% 99.6%  
107 0.2% 99.4%  
108 0.1% 99.2%  
109 0.1% 99.1%  
110 0.2% 99.0%  
111 0.2% 98.9%  
112 0.2% 98.7%  
113 0.3% 98%  
114 0.2% 98%  
115 0.1% 98%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.6% 98%  
119 0.1% 97%  
120 0.1% 97%  
121 0.3% 97%  
122 0.1% 96%  
123 0.1% 96%  
124 0.1% 96%  
125 0.1% 96%  
126 0.1% 96%  
127 0.1% 96%  
128 0.1% 96%  
129 0% 96%  
130 0.1% 96%  
131 0.1% 96%  
132 0.1% 96%  
133 0.1% 95%  
134 0.2% 95%  
135 0.2% 95%  
136 0.4% 95%  
137 0.2% 95%  
138 0.4% 94%  
139 0.8% 94%  
140 0.5% 93%  
141 3% 93%  
142 0.8% 90%  
143 1.5% 89%  
144 1.4% 88%  
145 2% 86%  
146 3% 84%  
147 6% 81%  
148 2% 76%  
149 4% 74%  
150 3% 70%  
151 3% 67%  
152 6% 64%  
153 4% 58%  
154 6% 53% Median
155 4% 47%  
156 4% 43%  
157 4% 40%  
158 5% 35%  
159 3% 31%  
160 7% 27%  
161 4% 20%  
162 2% 17%  
163 2% 15%  
164 3% 13%  
165 1.1% 11%  
166 3% 9%  
167 1.3% 6%  
168 0.9% 5%  
169 1.1% 4%  
170 0.6% 3%  
171 0.5% 3%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.5% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.1%  
175 0.3% 0.9%  
176 0.1% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations