Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 4–6 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 26.0% 24.2–27.9% 23.8–28.4% 23.3–28.9% 22.5–29.8%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 20.3% 18.7–22.0% 18.2–22.5% 17.8–22.9% 17.1–23.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.2–15.9% 11.9–16.3% 11.3–17.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.2% 8.6–13.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.2–12.0% 7.7–12.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.6% 5.6–8.8% 5.1–9.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.2–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 198 184–212 181–216 177–219 171–226
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 154 141–167 138–170 135–173 130–180
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 106 96–118 93–121 91–123 86–130
Alternative für Deutschland 94 84 75–94 72–97 70–100 66–105
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 75 67–87 65–89 63–91 59–96
Die Linke 69 54 46–62 44–65 42–67 39–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 30–44 28–45 27–47 24–51

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.8%  
169 0.1% 99.7%  
170 0.1% 99.7%  
171 0.1% 99.6%  
172 0.2% 99.4%  
173 0.3% 99.2%  
174 0.3% 99.0%  
175 0.4% 98.7%  
176 0.5% 98%  
177 0.5% 98%  
178 0.7% 97%  
179 0.6% 97%  
180 1.0% 96%  
181 0.8% 95%  
182 1.5% 94%  
183 1.3% 93%  
184 2% 91%  
185 2% 90%  
186 2% 88%  
187 2% 86%  
188 2% 84%  
189 3% 82%  
190 3% 78%  
191 3% 75%  
192 4% 72%  
193 2% 69%  
194 5% 67%  
195 3% 61%  
196 4% 59%  
197 4% 54%  
198 4% 51% Median
199 4% 46%  
200 3% 42%  
201 4% 39%  
202 3% 35%  
203 4% 32%  
204 3% 28%  
205 3% 25%  
206 3% 22%  
207 1.5% 20%  
208 3% 18%  
209 2% 15%  
210 2% 14%  
211 2% 12%  
212 2% 10%  
213 1.2% 8%  
214 1.2% 7%  
215 0.9% 6%  
216 0.9% 5%  
217 0.6% 4%  
218 0.9% 4%  
219 0.5% 3%  
220 0.5% 2%  
221 0.3% 2%  
222 0.3% 2%  
223 0.3% 1.2%  
224 0.2% 0.9%  
225 0.2% 0.8%  
226 0.1% 0.6%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0.1% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0.3% 99.6%  
131 0.1% 99.3%  
132 0.1% 99.2%  
133 0.7% 99.1%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 1.0% 98%  
136 0.7% 97%  
137 0.3% 97%  
138 2% 96%  
139 0.2% 94%  
140 2% 94%  
141 2% 92%  
142 0.4% 90%  
143 3% 89%  
144 3% 86%  
145 0.8% 84%  
146 6% 83%  
147 1.3% 77%  
148 3% 76%  
149 6% 73%  
150 0.4% 66%  
151 8% 66%  
152 2% 58%  
153 3% 56%  
154 8% 53% Median
155 0.9% 45%  
156 6% 45%  
157 5% 39%  
158 0.7% 34%  
159 6% 34%  
160 2% 28%  
161 2% 25%  
162 6% 23%  
163 0.5% 18%  
164 3% 17%  
165 3% 14%  
166 0.4% 11%  
167 3% 11%  
168 0.7% 8%  
169 0.9% 7%  
170 2% 6%  
171 0.2% 4%  
172 1.1% 4%  
173 0.8% 3%  
174 0.2% 2%  
175 0.7% 2%  
176 0.2% 1.5%  
177 0.2% 1.3%  
178 0.4% 1.1%  
179 0% 0.7%  
180 0.2% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.4%  
182 0% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.5%  
87 0.2% 99.4%  
88 0.5% 99.2%  
89 0.5% 98.8%  
90 0.4% 98%  
91 0.7% 98%  
92 1.4% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 1.4% 94%  
95 1.3% 93%  
96 3% 91%  
97 3% 89%  
98 3% 85%  
99 2% 82%  
100 4% 80%  
101 5% 77%  
102 4% 72%  
103 3% 67%  
104 6% 65%  
105 6% 59%  
106 6% 53% Median
107 4% 47%  
108 4% 44%  
109 6% 40%  
110 5% 34%  
111 3% 29%  
112 2% 25%  
113 4% 23%  
114 3% 19%  
115 2% 16%  
116 2% 14%  
117 2% 12%  
118 3% 10%  
119 2% 8%  
120 0.6% 6%  
121 1.0% 5%  
122 1.3% 4%  
123 0.8% 3%  
124 0.4% 2%  
125 0.3% 2%  
126 0.4% 1.4%  
127 0.3% 1.0%  
128 0.1% 0.7%  
129 0.1% 0.6%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 99.3%  
68 0.3% 98.8%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 0.8% 98%  
71 1.3% 97%  
72 2% 96%  
73 2% 94%  
74 2% 92%  
75 4% 90%  
76 2% 86%  
77 5% 84%  
78 3% 80%  
79 4% 76%  
80 5% 72%  
81 5% 67%  
82 4% 62%  
83 7% 57%  
84 4% 51% Median
85 5% 47%  
86 6% 42%  
87 3% 36%  
88 6% 33%  
89 4% 27%  
90 2% 23%  
91 4% 21%  
92 2% 16%  
93 3% 14%  
94 3% 12% Last Result
95 2% 9%  
96 2% 7%  
97 1.4% 6%  
98 0.7% 4%  
99 0.9% 4%  
100 0.7% 3%  
101 0.4% 2%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.3% 1.1%  
104 0.2% 0.8%  
105 0.2% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 0.4% 99.4%  
61 0.5% 99.0%  
62 0.8% 98.6%  
63 0.9% 98%  
64 1.4% 97%  
65 2% 95%  
66 2% 93%  
67 3% 91%  
68 4% 88%  
69 6% 84%  
70 4% 79%  
71 4% 74%  
72 7% 70%  
73 6% 64%  
74 4% 58%  
75 5% 54% Median
76 4% 48%  
77 4% 44%  
78 4% 40%  
79 4% 37%  
80 3% 33% Last Result
81 4% 29%  
82 3% 25%  
83 3% 23%  
84 4% 19%  
85 2% 15%  
86 3% 13%  
87 3% 10%  
88 2% 8%  
89 1.2% 6%  
90 1.5% 4%  
91 0.8% 3%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 0.4% 1.4%  
94 0.3% 1.1%  
95 0.2% 0.7%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.2% 99.6%  
40 0.5% 99.4%  
41 0.7% 98.9%  
42 1.0% 98%  
43 1.5% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 2% 94%  
46 3% 92%  
47 4% 88%  
48 4% 85%  
49 4% 81%  
50 5% 77%  
51 8% 72%  
52 6% 64%  
53 5% 58%  
54 6% 53% Median
55 7% 47%  
56 5% 39%  
57 5% 34%  
58 4% 29%  
59 5% 24%  
60 4% 20%  
61 3% 16%  
62 3% 12%  
63 3% 10%  
64 2% 7%  
65 1.5% 6%  
66 1.0% 4%  
67 0.8% 3%  
68 0.6% 2%  
69 0.6% 2% Last Result
70 0.3% 1.0%  
71 0.3% 0.7%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.3% 99.8%  
25 0.5% 99.5%  
26 1.1% 99.0%  
27 1.4% 98%  
28 2% 96%  
29 3% 94%  
30 4% 91%  
31 4% 88%  
32 5% 84%  
33 6% 79%  
34 7% 73%  
35 9% 66%  
36 8% 57% Median
37 8% 48%  
38 6% 40%  
39 6% 34%  
40 4% 27%  
41 5% 23%  
42 4% 18%  
43 4% 15%  
44 2% 10%  
45 3% 8%  
46 1.3% 5% Last Result
47 1.3% 4%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.6% 2%  
50 0.2% 1.0%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.1% 0.5%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 495 100% 480–509 476–513 473–516 466–524
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 465 100% 450–479 446–483 442–487 435–495
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 389 99.8% 373–404 369–408 366–412 358–420
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 380 98.6% 365–395 361–400 357–404 350–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 373 95% 358–388 354–392 350–396 343–405
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 359 62% 343–374 338–378 335–381 326–389
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 350 38% 335–366 331–371 328–374 320–383
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 304 0% 289–319 285–324 281–327 274–335
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 297 0% 282–312 278–317 274–321 267–328
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 275 0% 260–289 256–294 252–297 245–305
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 267 0% 252–282 248–286 244–290 238–297
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 182 0% 170–196 166–199 163–203 158–210
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 161 0% 147–174 145–177 142–179 133–187

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.8%  
463 0.1% 99.8%  
464 0.1% 99.7%  
465 0.1% 99.6%  
466 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
467 0.2% 99.4%  
468 0.2% 99.2%  
469 0.3% 99.1%  
470 0.3% 98.8%  
471 0.2% 98%  
472 0.5% 98%  
473 0.6% 98%  
474 0.7% 97%  
475 0.8% 96%  
476 0.9% 96%  
477 1.0% 95%  
478 1.0% 94%  
479 1.3% 93%  
480 1.5% 91%  
481 2% 90%  
482 2% 88%  
483 2% 86%  
484 2% 84%  
485 2% 82%  
486 2% 80%  
487 3% 78%  
488 3% 75%  
489 3% 72%  
490 3% 69%  
491 4% 65%  
492 3% 61%  
493 4% 58%  
494 3% 54% Median
495 3% 52%  
496 5% 48%  
497 3% 44%  
498 3% 41%  
499 3% 37%  
500 3% 34%  
501 3% 32%  
502 2% 28%  
503 3% 26%  
504 3% 23%  
505 2% 20%  
506 2% 17%  
507 2% 15%  
508 2% 13%  
509 2% 11%  
510 1.3% 9%  
511 1.1% 8%  
512 1.1% 7%  
513 1.0% 6%  
514 0.7% 5%  
515 0.6% 4%  
516 0.8% 3%  
517 0.3% 2%  
518 0.4% 2%  
519 0.4% 2%  
520 0.3% 1.4%  
521 0.2% 1.1%  
522 0.1% 0.8%  
523 0.1% 0.7%  
524 0.1% 0.6%  
525 0.1% 0.5%  
526 0.1% 0.4%  
527 0% 0.4%  
528 0% 0.3%  
529 0% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.3%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0.1% 99.7%  
435 0.1% 99.5%  
436 0.2% 99.5%  
437 0.2% 99.3%  
438 0.2% 99.0%  
439 0.2% 98.9%  
440 0.3% 98.6%  
441 0.5% 98%  
442 0.6% 98%  
443 0.6% 97%  
444 0.8% 97%  
445 0.7% 96%  
446 0.9% 95%  
447 1.0% 94%  
448 1.2% 93%  
449 1.3% 92%  
450 2% 91%  
451 2% 89%  
452 2% 87%  
453 2% 85%  
454 2% 83%  
455 2% 81%  
456 4% 79%  
457 2% 76%  
458 3% 74%  
459 4% 70%  
460 3% 66%  
461 3% 63%  
462 2% 60%  
463 3% 58% Median
464 4% 55%  
465 4% 51%  
466 5% 47%  
467 3% 42%  
468 3% 39%  
469 3% 36%  
470 3% 33%  
471 4% 31%  
472 2% 27%  
473 4% 25%  
474 2% 21%  
475 3% 19%  
476 2% 16%  
477 2% 14%  
478 2% 13%  
479 1.1% 11%  
480 2% 10%  
481 2% 8%  
482 0.8% 6%  
483 1.1% 5%  
484 0.6% 4%  
485 0.6% 4%  
486 0.5% 3%  
487 0.5% 3%  
488 0.4% 2%  
489 0.5% 2%  
490 0.2% 1.3%  
491 0.2% 1.1%  
492 0.1% 0.9%  
493 0.1% 0.8%  
494 0.1% 0.7%  
495 0.1% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0.1% 0.4%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.6%  
358 0.1% 99.5%  
359 0.1% 99.5%  
360 0.3% 99.4%  
361 0.3% 99.0%  
362 0.3% 98.7%  
363 0.2% 98%  
364 0.3% 98%  
365 0.5% 98%  
366 0.7% 98%  
367 0.7% 97%  
368 0.8% 96%  
369 0.5% 95%  
370 0.9% 95%  
371 1.4% 94%  
372 2% 93%  
373 1.4% 91%  
374 1.2% 89%  
375 0.9% 88%  
376 1.4% 87%  
377 3% 86%  
378 4% 83%  
379 2% 79%  
380 1.5% 77%  
381 2% 75%  
382 3% 73%  
383 5% 70%  
384 3% 65%  
385 3% 62%  
386 2% 59%  
387 2% 57%  
388 4% 55% Median
389 5% 51%  
390 4% 46%  
391 2% 42%  
392 2% 39%  
393 3% 38%  
394 4% 35%  
395 4% 31%  
396 3% 27%  
397 2% 24%  
398 2% 22%  
399 3% 20%  
400 2% 18%  
401 3% 15%  
402 1.2% 13%  
403 0.9% 11%  
404 1.2% 11%  
405 2% 9%  
406 1.2% 8%  
407 1.2% 6%  
408 0.7% 5%  
409 0.6% 4%  
410 0.6% 4%  
411 0.6% 3%  
412 0.6% 3%  
413 0.4% 2%  
414 0.2% 2%  
415 0.3% 1.5%  
416 0.3% 1.2%  
417 0.2% 0.9%  
418 0.2% 0.8%  
419 0.1% 0.6%  
420 0.1% 0.5%  
421 0.1% 0.4%  
422 0% 0.3%  
423 0.1% 0.3%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.2% 99.4%  
352 0.2% 99.3%  
353 0.2% 99.0%  
354 0.3% 98.9%  
355 0.5% 98.6% Majority
356 0.2% 98%  
357 0.6% 98%  
358 0.7% 97%  
359 0.6% 97%  
360 0.8% 96%  
361 0.6% 95%  
362 1.2% 94%  
363 1.1% 93%  
364 1.3% 92%  
365 1.3% 91%  
366 2% 90%  
367 2% 88%  
368 2% 86%  
369 2% 84%  
370 2% 82%  
371 3% 79%  
372 2% 76%  
373 3% 74%  
374 4% 71%  
375 2% 67%  
376 3% 65%  
377 2% 62%  
378 4% 59%  
379 4% 56% Median
380 3% 52%  
381 3% 49%  
382 5% 46%  
383 3% 42%  
384 2% 39%  
385 3% 37%  
386 3% 33%  
387 3% 30%  
388 3% 27%  
389 2% 25%  
390 3% 22%  
391 3% 19%  
392 2% 17%  
393 1.4% 15%  
394 2% 13%  
395 2% 11%  
396 1.1% 10%  
397 2% 8%  
398 0.8% 7%  
399 1.1% 6%  
400 1.0% 5%  
401 0.6% 4%  
402 0.6% 4%  
403 0.4% 3%  
404 0.5% 3%  
405 0.3% 2%  
406 0.4% 2%  
407 0.2% 1.4%  
408 0.3% 1.2%  
409 0.2% 1.0%  
410 0.1% 0.8%  
411 0.1% 0.6%  
412 0.1% 0.5%  
413 0.1% 0.4%  
414 0% 0.3%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.2% 99.6%  
344 0.3% 99.4%  
345 0.1% 99.1%  
346 0.1% 99.0%  
347 0.3% 98.8%  
348 0.3% 98.6%  
349 0.3% 98%  
350 0.8% 98%  
351 0.5% 97%  
352 0.5% 97%  
353 0.5% 96%  
354 0.8% 96%  
355 0.9% 95% Majority
356 2% 94%  
357 1.3% 92%  
358 1.0% 91%  
359 0.9% 89%  
360 1.4% 89%  
361 2% 87%  
362 3% 85%  
363 3% 82%  
364 3% 79%  
365 2% 76%  
366 2% 74%  
367 2% 72%  
368 4% 70%  
369 4% 66%  
370 4% 62%  
371 3% 58% Median
372 3% 55%  
373 4% 52%  
374 2% 49%  
375 4% 46%  
376 4% 42%  
377 3% 38%  
378 3% 34%  
379 3% 32%  
380 3% 29%  
381 1.4% 26%  
382 3% 24%  
383 2% 21%  
384 3% 19%  
385 2% 16%  
386 2% 14%  
387 2% 12%  
388 1.0% 10%  
389 2% 9%  
390 0.9% 8%  
391 1.2% 7%  
392 1.1% 6%  
393 0.9% 5%  
394 0.5% 4%  
395 0.5% 3%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.4% 2%  
398 0.4% 2%  
399 0.3% 2%  
400 0.3% 1.4%  
401 0.1% 1.1%  
402 0.2% 1.0%  
403 0.1% 0.8%  
404 0.1% 0.7%  
405 0.1% 0.6%  
406 0.1% 0.4%  
407 0.1% 0.3%  
408 0% 0.3%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0.1% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6%  
327 0.2% 99.5%  
328 0.1% 99.3%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.2% 99.0%  
331 0.2% 98.8%  
332 0.3% 98.5%  
333 0.3% 98%  
334 0.3% 98%  
335 0.5% 98%  
336 0.7% 97%  
337 0.7% 96%  
338 1.2% 96%  
339 0.8% 94%  
340 0.9% 94%  
341 1.1% 93%  
342 1.4% 92%  
343 2% 90%  
344 2% 89%  
345 2% 87%  
346 2% 85%  
347 3% 83%  
348 3% 80%  
349 2% 77%  
350 3% 75%  
351 3% 72%  
352 3% 69%  
353 3% 67%  
354 3% 64%  
355 2% 62% Majority
356 3% 59%  
357 3% 56%  
358 3% 53% Median
359 4% 50%  
360 3% 46%  
361 2% 44%  
362 3% 41%  
363 3% 38%  
364 3% 35%  
365 3% 32%  
366 4% 29%  
367 3% 26%  
368 2% 23%  
369 2% 20%  
370 2% 18%  
371 2% 16%  
372 2% 14%  
373 2% 12%  
374 2% 10%  
375 1.1% 9%  
376 2% 8%  
377 0.8% 6%  
378 0.7% 5%  
379 0.9% 4%  
380 0.6% 3%  
381 0.4% 3%  
382 0.4% 2%  
383 0.3% 2%  
384 0.3% 2%  
385 0.3% 1.3%  
386 0.2% 1.0%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0.1% 0.7%  
389 0.1% 0.5%  
390 0.1% 0.4%  
391 0% 0.3%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.8%  
318 0% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.6%  
321 0.1% 99.5%  
322 0.1% 99.3%  
323 0.2% 99.2%  
324 0.3% 99.0%  
325 0.3% 98.7%  
326 0.3% 98%  
327 0.4% 98%  
328 0.4% 98%  
329 0.6% 97%  
330 0.9% 97%  
331 0.7% 96%  
332 0.8% 95%  
333 2% 94%  
334 1.1% 92%  
335 2% 91%  
336 2% 90%  
337 2% 88%  
338 2% 86%  
339 2% 84%  
340 2% 82%  
341 2% 80%  
342 3% 77%  
343 4% 74%  
344 3% 71%  
345 3% 68%  
346 3% 65%  
347 3% 62%  
348 2% 59%  
349 3% 56% Median
350 4% 54%  
351 3% 50%  
352 3% 47%  
353 3% 44%  
354 2% 41%  
355 3% 38% Majority
356 3% 36%  
357 3% 33%  
358 3% 31%  
359 3% 28%  
360 2% 25%  
361 3% 23%  
362 3% 20%  
363 2% 17%  
364 2% 15%  
365 2% 13%  
366 2% 11%  
367 1.4% 10%  
368 1.1% 8%  
369 0.9% 7%  
370 0.8% 6%  
371 1.2% 6%  
372 0.7% 4%  
373 0.7% 4%  
374 0.5% 3%  
375 0.3% 2%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.3% 2%  
378 0.2% 1.5%  
379 0.2% 1.2%  
380 0.2% 1.0%  
381 0.1% 0.8%  
382 0.2% 0.7%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0.1% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0.1% 99.6%  
275 0.2% 99.5%  
276 0.2% 99.3%  
277 0.2% 99.1%  
278 0.4% 98.9%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0.3% 98%  
281 0.7% 98%  
282 0.3% 97%  
283 0.5% 97%  
284 1.1% 96%  
285 0.8% 95%  
286 1.1% 94%  
287 2% 93%  
288 1.2% 92%  
289 2% 90%  
290 2% 89%  
291 0.9% 87%  
292 2% 86%  
293 3% 84%  
294 2% 81%  
295 3% 79%  
296 2% 76%  
297 2% 73%  
298 5% 71%  
299 3% 67%  
300 3% 64%  
301 4% 62%  
302 2% 57%  
303 3% 56%  
304 5% 53% Median
305 2% 48%  
306 3% 46%  
307 5% 43%  
308 1.4% 38%  
309 4% 37%  
310 4% 33%  
311 1.3% 29%  
312 3% 27%  
313 3% 24%  
314 1.0% 21%  
315 3% 20%  
316 2% 17%  
317 1.1% 15%  
318 3% 14%  
319 1.4% 11%  
320 1.0% 10%  
321 1.5% 9%  
322 0.9% 7%  
323 0.8% 6%  
324 1.0% 5%  
325 0.4% 4%  
326 0.8% 4%  
327 0.8% 3%  
328 0.2% 2%  
329 0.4% 2%  
330 0.4% 2%  
331 0.1% 1.3%  
332 0.2% 1.2%  
333 0.2% 1.0%  
334 0.1% 0.8%  
335 0.2% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.8%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.2% 99.6%  
268 0.1% 99.4%  
269 0.1% 99.3%  
270 0.2% 99.1%  
271 0.4% 98.9%  
272 0.4% 98.5%  
273 0.4% 98%  
274 0.3% 98%  
275 0.7% 97%  
276 0.9% 97%  
277 0.7% 96%  
278 0.6% 95%  
279 0.7% 95%  
280 1.3% 94%  
281 2% 93%  
282 1.3% 91%  
283 1.4% 89%  
284 2% 88%  
285 3% 86%  
286 2% 84%  
287 2% 82%  
288 2% 80%  
289 3% 78%  
290 4% 75%  
291 3% 71%  
292 2% 68%  
293 4% 66%  
294 3% 62%  
295 5% 59%  
296 3% 54% Median
297 2% 51%  
298 4% 49%  
299 4% 45%  
300 4% 42%  
301 2% 38%  
302 3% 36%  
303 4% 33%  
304 4% 29%  
305 2% 25%  
306 2% 23%  
307 2% 21%  
308 3% 19%  
309 2% 16%  
310 1.4% 14%  
311 1.4% 12%  
312 1.4% 11%  
313 2% 10%  
314 1.1% 8%  
315 0.7% 7%  
316 0.7% 6%  
317 0.7% 5%  
318 0.9% 4%  
319 0.6% 4%  
320 0.4% 3%  
321 0.4% 3%  
322 0.5% 2%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.2% 1.3%  
325 0.2% 1.1%  
326 0.2% 0.9%  
327 0.2% 0.7%  
328 0.1% 0.5%  
329 0.1% 0.4%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.2% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.3%  
248 0.2% 99.1%  
249 0.2% 98.9%  
250 0.4% 98.7%  
251 0.5% 98%  
252 0.3% 98%  
253 0.5% 97%  
254 0.7% 97%  
255 0.6% 96%  
256 1.2% 96%  
257 0.6% 94%  
258 1.2% 94%  
259 2% 93%  
260 1.3% 91%  
261 2% 90%  
262 2% 88%  
263 3% 86%  
264 2% 83%  
265 3% 81%  
266 2% 78%  
267 2% 76%  
268 5% 74%  
269 3% 69%  
270 3% 66%  
271 4% 63%  
272 3% 60%  
273 3% 57%  
274 3% 54% Median
275 4% 51%  
276 3% 47%  
277 3% 44%  
278 3% 41%  
279 4% 38%  
280 3% 34%  
281 3% 31%  
282 3% 28%  
283 2% 25%  
284 3% 24%  
285 3% 21%  
286 2% 18%  
287 2% 16%  
288 2% 14%  
289 2% 12%  
290 1.5% 10%  
291 1.0% 8%  
292 1.0% 7%  
293 1.4% 6%  
294 0.8% 5%  
295 0.6% 4%  
296 0.6% 4%  
297 0.6% 3%  
298 0.4% 2%  
299 0.3% 2%  
300 0.3% 2%  
301 0.3% 1.4%  
302 0.2% 1.1%  
303 0.1% 0.9%  
304 0.2% 0.8%  
305 0.1% 0.6%  
306 0.1% 0.4%  
307 0.1% 0.4%  
308 0.1% 0.3%  
309 0.1% 0.2%  
310 0% 0.2%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.2% 99.5%  
239 0.2% 99.3%  
240 0.2% 99.1%  
241 0.3% 98.9%  
242 0.5% 98.6%  
243 0.3% 98%  
244 0.6% 98%  
245 0.4% 97%  
246 0.8% 97%  
247 0.7% 96%  
248 0.9% 95%  
249 1.2% 94%  
250 1.0% 93%  
251 2% 92%  
252 2% 90%  
253 1.4% 89%  
254 2% 87%  
255 2% 85%  
256 3% 84%  
257 3% 81%  
258 2% 78%  
259 3% 76%  
260 3% 73%  
261 3% 70%  
262 3% 67%  
263 3% 64%  
264 4% 61%  
265 3% 57% Median
266 4% 54%  
267 3% 50%  
268 3% 47%  
269 3% 44%  
270 4% 40%  
271 3% 37%  
272 3% 34%  
273 3% 31%  
274 2% 28%  
275 3% 26%  
276 2% 23%  
277 3% 21%  
278 2% 18%  
279 2% 16%  
280 2% 14%  
281 1.3% 12%  
282 2% 11%  
283 1.0% 9%  
284 1.5% 8%  
285 0.8% 6%  
286 0.9% 6%  
287 0.7% 5%  
288 0.7% 4%  
289 0.5% 3%  
290 0.6% 3%  
291 0.4% 2%  
292 0.3% 2%  
293 0.3% 1.4%  
294 0.2% 1.2%  
295 0.2% 1.0%  
296 0.2% 0.8%  
297 0.1% 0.6%  
298 0.1% 0.5%  
299 0.1% 0.4%  
300 0.1% 0.3%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0% 99.6%  
157 0.1% 99.6%  
158 0.2% 99.5%  
159 0.3% 99.3%  
160 0.7% 99.0%  
161 0.4% 98%  
162 0.4% 98%  
163 0.5% 98%  
164 0.7% 97%  
165 1.1% 96%  
166 0.7% 95%  
167 0.5% 95%  
168 0.5% 94%  
169 1.1% 94%  
170 3% 92%  
171 3% 89%  
172 3% 86%  
173 2% 83%  
174 3% 80%  
175 3% 77%  
176 4% 75%  
177 3% 70%  
178 2% 67%  
179 2% 65%  
180 3% 63%  
181 4% 60% Median
182 7% 56%  
183 5% 49%  
184 3% 43%  
185 4% 40%  
186 4% 36%  
187 5% 33%  
188 3% 28%  
189 2% 25%  
190 1.4% 22%  
191 2% 21%  
192 2% 19%  
193 2% 17%  
194 3% 14%  
195 1.3% 12%  
196 2% 10%  
197 1.4% 9%  
198 2% 7%  
199 1.1% 5%  
200 0.6% 4%  
201 0.3% 4%  
202 0.3% 3%  
203 0.6% 3%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.5% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.3% 1.4%  
208 0.2% 1.1%  
209 0.3% 0.9%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.6%  
132 0.1% 99.6%  
133 0% 99.5%  
134 0.1% 99.5%  
135 0.1% 99.4%  
136 0.1% 99.3%  
137 0.3% 99.2%  
138 0.1% 98.9%  
139 0.3% 98.7%  
140 0.4% 98%  
141 0.5% 98%  
142 0.9% 98%  
143 0.8% 97%  
144 0.9% 96%  
145 1.2% 95%  
146 2% 94%  
147 2% 92%  
148 2% 90%  
149 2% 88%  
150 2% 86%  
151 3% 84%  
152 2% 81%  
153 3% 79%  
154 3% 76%  
155 3% 73%  
156 5% 69%  
157 3% 65%  
158 3% 62%  
159 4% 58%  
160 4% 54% Median
161 5% 50%  
162 4% 46%  
163 3% 41%  
164 3% 38%  
165 6% 35%  
166 3% 29%  
167 3% 26%  
168 3% 24%  
169 2% 21%  
170 4% 19%  
171 2% 15%  
172 1.4% 13%  
173 2% 12%  
174 2% 10%  
175 1.2% 8%  
176 1.2% 7%  
177 0.7% 5%  
178 0.8% 5%  
179 1.3% 4%  
180 0.4% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.3% 1.3%  
184 0.3% 1.1%  
185 0.2% 0.8%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.1% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations